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In other news – politicalbetting.com
In other news – politicalbetting.com
There’s been a lot going on recently, what with the resurgence of Covid-19, the new lockdown, the US elections and French terror attacks. What else has been going on that might be important but which might have escaped your attention? Lots, obviously. Here are three things that deserve more attention than they’re getting.
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https://twitter.com/netanyahu/status/1325302956363812864?s=20
https://twitter.com/netanyahu/status/1325306327476867078?s=20
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1325442336957018112?s=20
https://democracyinstitute.org/patrick-bashams-sunday-express-article-assesses-us-election-pollingtemp/
My letter to CIWF is in draft. Palmer has hours to show some contrition for his glib ignorance of the misery to which his ideology condemned millions of lives during the previous century.
It might be one of those on here though that went for a Biden at well over 350 EC votes and that the Democrats would take Senate seats like Montana and South Carolina
Who seems to think that Biden outperformed Clinton in Philadephia when actually he underperformed her. Although he may be playing fast and loose on the difference between total votes and percentage vote.
(I wasn’t)
Possibly also some people confusing the recount and the rerun in the Senate races.
Apparently this morning they discovered an error in one of the machines, and it actually disadvantaged Biden by a couple of thousand votes!
https://twitter.com/leonardocarella/status/1325216644369670144
I’ll be writing to them in the morning terminating my annual donation and explaining precisely why, in the absence of some grown up contrition from our home grown “unapologetic” communist on this site.
On the subject of foreign elections, I was having a look over the situation in Germany. I'm sure others on here know more about it than I do, but it's curious that the CDU keep delaying their leadership election. They're currently riding high in the polls with the Greens having fallen back (change on last election):
Union - 36 (+3)
Green - 20 (+11)
SPD - 15 (-6)
AfD - 10 (-3)
Linke - 8 (-1)
FDP - 5 (-6)
Others - 6 (+1)
Just reading on Wikipedia, the formation of the grand coalition between the Union and the SPD took until March 2018. I reckon if the results are anything like the current polls, then it could be even longer in 2021-22. I can't imagine the SPD have any appetite for propping up the Union any more, and I'm not sure the Greens would want to replace them in that role. But it's hard to see any alternative.
What is the point of supporting a charity supposedly concerned about animal suffering that employs someone so recklessly carefree about human misery?
The comment about Muslim women in full burkas looting like “letterboxes” was in an article defending their right to do so.
But people have chosen to focus on his perceived insult to Muslim people rather than his defence of their rights.
And yet they idolise Macron who had banned the things.
Funny old world isn’t it when what people say matters more than what they do
Leoffler is the Martha McSally of Georgia.
We could see a split result between the two run offs.
Perdue has got to hope that his coronavirus insider trading isn't too heavily tied to Leoffler's coronavirus insider trading as Georgia surges into its third wave.
Of I was a Georgia politician with and election due in early January I'd deffo be wanting my state party to have built up a robust battle tested vote by mail operation about now.
Surely CIWF is worth supporting in its own right?
https://twitter.com/MhairiHunter/status/1325448970081095681?s=20
If someone popped up and declared themself an “unapologetic former Nazi”, how would you react?
Then consider the double standard.
Former communist, fair enough, we all make mistakes, particularly when young. “Unapologetic” puts you beyond the pale IMHO.
"Miss, miss, he said he was an unapologetic former communist on this website I read".
Who gives a crap? I'm betting he does excellent work for the charity.
Call me an old fashioned neon-fascist-capitalist-imperlialist-ensalver-of-the-oppressed, but a reasonable response to shortage of labour at price x could suggest that x is a bit on the low side...
We should be automating low paid jobs out of existence, not turning humans into low price automation. Progress, I think they call it.
Due to the comparative advantage of moving to low cost locations (China etc) being eroded by the disgusting behaviour of the workers*, simply dumping your manufacturing abroad is no longer automatically super profitable.
The socio-legal-political environment has a major effect on productivity. NHS, Schools, reliable legal system etc etc.
So while it is still cheaper per worker, the actual productivity per worker for skilled work is remarkably constant, around the world.
So how to cheat on this?
Well, if you employee people for x times more than they would have earned in their home country - sounds awesome. Since they don't speak the language, they won't know their rights. Yet. A year or 2 down the line, their is a risk they will learn some English and realise how shit the deal they are getting is.... But, hey, there are always more suckers.....
*Asking for a getting pay rises, working conditions that include actual health and safety etc.
Another one to add to the crazies list and to ignore when they ever their articles get posted again.
Edit: but isn’t it interesting that - instead of trying to defend your position - you choose to accuse me of double standards instead.
And yet I’m sure I saw your taking a high and mighty tone with @Casino_Royale earlier on what is the right and proper way to behave
I wonder if what we see in the 2020s is a return to the 2000s, Tories and Labour hovering around the mid 30s
They’re the same company!
Of course we could go over the other racist things he's said, like attacking Obama's heritage but it doesn't matter as the Democrats haven't forgotten.
What was the point in this argument, do some Tories want to explain this piece of political masterstroke?
Basically they held their views at the time, and for entirely good reasons (and therefore they don't apologise for that). But passage of time and experience have suggested to them that those strongly held youthful ideals are perhaps (typically understated!) not something that coincide well with reality. And therefore the views are "former".
But why somebody should have to apologise for holding views in good faith and good reasons, is besides me.
You'd struggle to find too many people holding Nazi views for benevolently idealistic reasons.
Should somebody apologise for liking the song "Imagine" and the message behind it? Even if believing it to be utterly unrealistic.
It will be interesting to see how many of the "fearless contrarians" will go down this path.
Let's not forget the huge crowd who have spent years telling us how Putin rigged the last election for Trump. Where was their respect for the democratic process?
What's sauce for the goose is sauce for the gander. There is precedent for not respecting election results and it doesn't come from the Trumpsters.
When you lose, you need to accept the loss gracefully. That goes for those on all sides of the political divide.
Trump won in 2016, Hilary lost. The electoral system that let him win is stupid but that's the game.
Trump lost in 2019 and Biden won decisively.
He's having a breakdown right before our eyes, but don't worry he only has the nuclear button for another ten weeks.
Like the former, I will now give the site the miss the rest of the evening.
If I feel the same way tomorrow, I will follow up with a letter to the charity.
I have my own, strongly personal, reasons for reacting badly when someone pops up here to describe themselves as an unapologetic former communist. I don’t need you to understand; I am just grateful to have been born into a country where whatever I might happen to say and think doesn’t immediately condemn me to a miserable and considerably shorter life.
Latest NHS Wales figures show 1,344 people are being treated in hospital for Covid-19 while 54 of the 163 critical care patients have the virus - with the intensive care occupancy rate beyond Wales' usual 152-bed capacity.
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-wales-54855015
But its ok, Drakeford is going to let people gather in groups of upto 15 indoors and 30 outdoors in a few days.
There are several solutions that present themselves, probably the most effective being unions educating workers on their existing rights. This is the place where I think unions come into their own, which is why I'm a member of Prospect (chosen mainly cos it's politically neutral).
The true and objective word is "bollocks".
However if you are going to argue the point, you have to do so from a position of evidence and sanity. Trump's claims about this election are clearly bear no relation to this. As has been repeated over and over again. If Trump has serious evidence of widespread voter fraud generating hundreds of thousands or even millions of fake votes then he has the right to present and test this in the courts. But he doesn't. Alleging widespread voter fraud on the belief that you should have won just undermines faith in the democratic process. And ultimately this will be to the detriment of GOP voters who will be disheartened from turning out in future.
In London, we have the delayed Mayoral election. I imagine any Reform candidate is going to struggle in the capital and on all known polling evidence, Sadiq Khan will be re-elected possibly on the first ballot.
We have the County Council elections in the remaining 24 county authorities, 21 of which are run by Conservatives alone and two of the other three have the Conservatives in coalition - only Cumbria is not run by the Conservatives.
The seats were last contested at the height of Theresa May's popularity (those words seem fine separately but together they seem odd) in May 2017 and the Party made sweeping gains winning 38% of the vote nationally. I would argue a repetition of that performance is going to be challenging and there is scope for Labour, LD, Green and perhaps even Reform gains at the governing party's expense.
There are also a number of Unitary Councils such as Cornwall having elections as well as a number of Mayoral contests outside London and the PCC elections in England and Wales.
Klopp's playing all four of the fab four, Firmino, Salah, Mane, and Jota.
Last time, Clinton picked up and ran with the Northern Ireland Peace Process and that helped with Major (whose role in making it happen isn't always appreciated) though the real warmth returned with the election of Blair.
For better or worse, the UK Government is going to live with a Biden administration and of course vice versa so realpolitik will ensure that whatever private issues may exist, the public rhetoric will be warm even if that warmth looks a little "forced".
I had an argument with Kamski about exactly this point yesterday who, for some reason, didn't want to discuss it. It's also being quietly forgotten that HRC would happily have gone to court to try and overturn the result to get herself "elected" and many of her advisers were suggesting she should.
https://twitter.com/SophiaCai99/status/1325453072093601794
How are the "evangelicals" feeling this morning?