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2024 vision. Some 66/1 and 50/1 tips to start off your Sunday – politicalbetting.com
2024 vision. Some 66/1 and 50/1 tips to start off your Sunday – politicalbetting.com
It's a wonder Fox News still invites this man. He keeps spanking them and they ask for more 🙂#PeteButtigieg #PeteOnFox pic.twitter.com/AvRXx2lH1V
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SELL EVERYONE
If Biden loses then Mayor Pete is better than 66/1 but he still has a total lack of experience, and there's plenty of time for a competitor to show up.
If Biden wins then he presumably gets an administration job where he gets to shine but he has to somehow get past Kamala. She's the presumptive successor to Biden but Pete can't really run against Biden's record (unless he picks a fight and strategically flounces) so it's not at all clear how he dislodges her. And this all assumes Biden steps aside: He's been running for president for decades, I doubt he'd give it up just because he's old.
Ouch, Mr Eagles.
That said, there’s a high likelihood she will be President or Acting President, at which point Buttigieg would surely be a front runner for her Veep nomination.
But it’s the Republicans and they are mad.
I don’t think it likely he will want to serve more than one term. If he leaves then he will be able to have some influence over his successor and enjoy a retirement knowing he stopped the madness of Trump.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/
Now
NV->PA->WI->[GOAL]->NE2->FL->AZ->NC
I have the impression that these local lockdown measures are much less politically controversial here than in the UK. Maybe because here they are locally decided. Plus people probably have more confidence that decisions aren't being made by a bunch of blustering chancers who ignore their own rules when they feel like it.
Betting Post
Good morning, everyone.
F1: backed Verstappen to win each way at 4.5 (4.6 with boost). I was somewhat tempted to just back him for the win outright. Looked very impressive in qualifying and the Red Bull's usually closer in race trim.
Incidentally, happened to see the start time is apparently 1.10pm, an hour earlier than usual.
https://enormo-haddock.blogspot.com/2020/10/germany-pre-race-2020.html
Presidential politics favours the audacious, and generally if you can raise the money you run. AOC defeated a 10-term incumbent bigwig, and she can raise the money. Serving her time in the party isn't going to get her promoted, so why wait?
The Secret Service had to rent out an entire floor at Trump Tower during the election campaign and pay full commercial rate for the privilege.
But schools and universities would remain open.
So - let me see if I’ve got this right.
During the summer, we all spent lots of time in pubs and restaurants, and transmission rates remained low.
Then universities went back, solely due to a financial panic that without fees from halls a few unis would become unviable, and cases soar.
So - in order to reduce the transmission, we close pubs and restaurants, which are not apparently that dangerous and will collapse if they cannot trade. And keep unis open, even though they (a) clearly are and (b) can teach remotely.
I sometimes think that Leon Trotsky is a much maligned man...
Don't forget we were once told by the Government that statistics suggested mask wearing was counter productive.
Fortune favours the bold, fierce urgency of now etc etc.
Genius from Nippy. Ferrier has been chucked out of the party and encouraged to apply to the Chiltern Hundreds. She won't go! Once all this Covid nonsense has subsided, she can quietly return to the fold under the cover of darkness.
Apparently the testing centre algorithm now has a 75-mile cap to prevent further embarrassment from people being sent long distances, but doesn't stop them being sent on a ferry journey where you are sitting among other passengers.
Has any candidate in any other major national election run on a Manslaughter ticket?
PS Alaska price noted with thanks. This isn't just wishful thinking. I really do think it's a stonking good bet.
PS; Sturgeon will be needing a job soon herself.
And Good Morning to everyone.
https://www.news.com.au/world/coronavirus/global/coronavirus-who-backflips-on-virus-stance-by-condemning-lockdowns/news-story/f2188f2aebff1b7b291b297731c3da74
The Rock really is taking the piss.
Ferrier would be also better advised to STFU and not speak to the Scottish Sun.
Voting early/mail 58% Biden leads 70% to 26% in that group.
Election Day 40% Trump leads 64% to 32%
In the overall poll Biden leads 54% to 42%
Ferrier should indeed stay quiet , given she is 60 , sticking it out for next 4 years will take her close to retirement and be worth in region of half a million, nice job being an MP, any other profession you would be out on your ear.
On the Republican side you'd like to think that a wave of moral revulsion would overcome the Republicans as has happened for at least some in Labour post Corbyn. But maybe not, there is something in the symptom and not a cause point. But if they go down that road again I don't see them winning in 2024.
I certainly wouldn't put it past him to do an Arnie.
I don't see Salmond as the political titan he see himself to be. He is a Poundland Trotskyist Trump or Johnson. If anyone can derail the SNP he is your man.
https://morningconsult.com/tracking-trump-2/
The Trump gag should have been the giveaway.
https://twitter.com/e_casalicchio/status/1315200974521348099
So her job is is primarily to explain to an adoring public why the fallout from Brexit isn't as bad as they think it is from experience...
There must be a non-zero chance she never appears, if backbenchers got their act together
https://twitter.com/progressscot/status/1315185527583322112?s=19
I only bet on Alaska because of the quirkiness of the place - a bit like backing a team that is inexplicably rubbish one day and brilliant the next.
Tottenham supporters will understand what I mean.
Edit: If you find the Betfair odds on Alaska a bit too mean, another way to kind of do it is through Sporting Index and their 'States Won Supremacy' market. That pays well if Biden steals a number of States with low ECV, such as Alaska, Iowa etc
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/10/09/us/donald-trump-taxes-las-vegas.html
What is also interesting from that story is that in America these days, the private sector is involved in building new railways in a way not seen over here.
https://twitter.com/jimayr/status/1315204968878608385
Doesn’t seem the right occasion to be venturing such gags.
https://twitter.com/nycsouthpaw/status/1314982674747011073
I personally have no desire to see Salmond lynched. At the very least, however, he appeared to be unacceptably predatory. He displayed the same behaviour towards women we rightly call out from Trump and Johnson.
"The tide of infection is swelling again and the government still has not built sea walls anything like capable of holding it back. At the heart of that failure is the lack of an adequate regime for testing, tracing and isolating. That, along with all the other blunders, has cost the government trust, credibility and authority."
"This weekend’s mess of cabinet wrangling, prime ministerial indecision and muddled messaging is over the plan to split England into three tiers, with differing severities of restriction depending on the region. This scheme leaked days ago, but it still has not been officially launched because the cabinet is split."
“Boris is getting into a perfect storm,” remarks one senior Tory.
"The big concern is that decision-making is being distorted by Number 10’s party management problems and that will result in bad outcomes. Several independent sources tell me the process has become polluted by Mr Johnson’s fright of revolt by the Tory right. There is now no obvious decision that Mr Johnson can take that will keep all of his party happy, arrest the resurgence of the virus and reunify the country. Whatever he does now, there will be no consensus behind it."
Even by Scottish standards it is truly astonishing that her husband is still in post. Its almost as if she needs him to cover her back for her.