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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » ComRes phone poll and ComRes and YouGov Euros polls all out
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » ComRes phone poll and ComRes and YouGov Euros polls all out
In recent days and especially today, it feels like a General Election campaign with a phalanx of polls, and it hard to work out what the polls mean with polls with markedly different results.
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First but slipping.
perdix said:
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I am really looking forward to the Indyref.
If the vote is YES I can hope for greater chances of permanent Tory majority in Westminster.
If the vote is NO then I will be pleased that the union has survived.
So something to celebrate either way. But above all maybe we can hope that the miserable, whining Nats will shut up for a few years.
Fanny
Before he only had the Tory establishment against him now he has everyone against him.
I don't know if he can still revert to the old strategy that worked of being an opposition to the government, instead of being an opposition to the opposition.
You don't know how lucky you are up in Ayrshire.
A report published by HM Revenue and Customs last year estimated that alcohol duty fraud in the UK costs the taxpayer an estimated £1.2bn a year.
http://www.thesundaytimes.co.uk/sto/news/article1412105.ece
These voter people - you have met them haven't you?
The result will be some pollsters will look like chumps.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2633024/MP-Charlotte-Leslie-recreates-Baywatch-pose-red-lifeguard-swimming-costume-15-years-wore-life-guard.html
http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2014/may/19/labour-wrong-brother-ed-miliband-david
But ignore is my advice - seems to be mischief at work pre-Euros
Andrew Hawkins @Andrew_ComRes · 22m
ComRes/Independent: 6% say Ed M makes more likely to vote Lab, 40% less likely, 53% no diff http://ht.ly/x1g3L
Andrew Hawkins @Andrew_ComRes · 7m
ComRes/Independent: 32% say Lab's policies on eg energy prices & income tax make more likely to vote Lab, 17% less so http://ht.ly/x1gd8
Their strategy of attacking UKIP has had precisely the opposite effect that they intended and is driving undecideds straight into their arms..well done. Cleggy
Portsmouth is the one I really want to see.
...but, on those certain to vote in euros: UKIP top but Libs still 5th. UKIP 29%, LAB 25%, CON 19%, GRN 12%, LD 10%.
Waste two days studying the form, or sharpen a pin and close your eyes.
if UKIP are marginally ahead of Labour for the Euros, you should expect see polls putting either party ahead.
He is better on Transylvanian crime.
With my record of betting on the nags, it would possibly be less painfull.
It's all greek to me.
Beware of greeks baring gifts.
That's my sum total of greek understanding - I need a compressive education to make up for my comprehensive education.
One of my more geekier moments in my life was when I said John Redwood was more of a Romulan, not a Vulcan as the Vulcans are in favour of a United Federation of differing nations, whereas the Romulans want to destroy said Federation.
So the avowed Eurosceptic Redwood had be a Romulan
(Checks tinfoil hat for fit...)
Among those certain to vote, they're 29% with Yougov, 33% with Com Res.
So disliking some gays should be OK?
If UKIP come 3rd next week, then the story will be the bubble has burst (although UKIP will still be able to point to likely record national vote share). If Lab or Con come 3rd then prepare for media meltdown
O/T - I spent the weekend in Dublin where like us they have local as well as Euro elections. There are huge numbers of posters up on every lamp post. As the Irish have open list rather than closed list for the Euros there are multiple posters for each party with different candidates.
The view in the press is that of the current coalition Fine Gael will hold up reasonably well while Labour will take a hammering. One of the austerity measures introduced has been charges for water (this is currently free!) The Socialists have dubbed this in their posters the Water Tax (another poster also had "Cost of living crisis!"). The previous incumbents of Fianna Fail and the Greens are not expected to see any gain although Fianna Fail may hold their current seats. The big winners are expected to be Sinn Fein who are not tainted by government and are I think the most EU sceptic party in Ireland
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Parliament_election,_2009_(United_Kingdom)
Unless they really do have a machine for reading thoughts, you can hold any views you like.
Broadcasting those views, or discriminating with them is the crime.
Would you like a bet on that?
The alliance between the media and the three main parties against UKIP strikes me a very bad sign.
And the same goes for racism. They've been left behind a little as the world has changed around them. But these things are cyclical (as is everything). In another half century. perhaps these young people who know it all now will be looked upon then as ancient remnants from an old world?
I am pretty sure that there will be no official party members watching the boxes.
The returning officer and his colleagues (along with the police) are deemed to be like judges in these matters.
Sun Politics @Sun_Politics
EXCL: Ukip using Britain's war dead to drum up anti-foreigner votes: http://bit.ly/1qQb7va
Never mind the sun saying ukip going to a new low,this is a new low from the sun.
Blackmail is a much worse crime than being gay, so the law was changed and being gay is no longer a crime.
I believe it's called "democracy".
One Euro election leaflet obtained by The Sun carries a photograph of a cemetery of the fallen in France.
Above the sombre snap, the headline on it reads: "They fought and died to keep Britain free from foreign invasion.
"Don't let their sacrifice die in vain. VOTE UKIP."
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/election/article-1267921/GENERAL-ELECTION-2010-Nick-Clegg-Nazi-slur-Britain.html
Another is that Nigel is not very good when talking about non-EU issues. He'll need to do a lot of homework between now and the GE campaign.
You're not the first person to think I'm gay.
The tide in favour of gays started when contraceptives became freely available in the 1960's. After that, who could criticise non-procreative sex. This would explain the vitriol from gays against the Pope in 2010.
I wonder if they are behind the vitriol against UKIP now?