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  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,318

    The Sword is mightier than the Penarth?
    You’ve used that joke about Severn times already.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 27,491
    eadric said:

    Isn't this just a class thing? Labourite Lefties are MORE likely to be middle class, urban, professional, or they are public sector, or students. As such they are insulated from the worst horrors of lockdown. Teachers will not get laid off, nor will doctors.

    North London writers can work from their homes. They're probably enjoying the lockdown sun. Posh wankers.

    Tory voters are somewhat more likely to be self employed (no furlough for them), in the private sector (facing redundancy if lockdown persists) and so on.

    There's certainly an element of the middle class who believe the proles should work and take risks while they enjoy the pleasures of life.

    It links into the 'get some immigrants to keep the wages down mentality'.
  • BluestBlueBluestBlue Posts: 4,556
    eadric said:

    Isn't this just a class thing? Labourite Lefties are MORE likely to be middle class, urban, professional, or they are public sector, or students. As such they are insulated from the worst horrors of lockdown. Teachers will not get laid off, nor will doctors.

    North London writers can work from their homes. They're probably enjoying the lockdown sun. Posh wankers.

    Tory voters are somewhat more likely to be self employed (no furlough for them), in the private sector (facing redundancy if lockdown persists) and so on.

    I think it's more just that the naive belief that the government can or should solve every problem is now deeply ingrained in them - they voted for the government to nationalize everything that wasn't nailed down and to supply all services up to and including broadband, so of course they'd like the government to cure the coronavirus while paying them full wages to sit at home and do nothing.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022

    Which would also be in the interest of Big Media - since they can afford the lawyers and insurance to protect themselves.
    Yes, it would present a barrier to entry for new media companies and entrench the status quo, albeit with additional costs for current social media companies that take advantage of S230.

    As I've been predicting for a long time, the 2020 elections in the US are going to be an absolute sh!t-show of fake news and negative campaigning from all sides, with Google and Facebook in the middle profiting from the mess. I'm happy now to add Twitter to the club. No matter who wins, there will almost certainly be bipartisan support for changes to social media law.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,082

    There's certainly an element of the middle class who believe the proles should work and take risks while they enjoy the pleasures of life.

    It links into the 'get some immigrants to keep the wages down mentality'.
    ...because all UK working class people are too lazy and stupid to work for the wages we are prepared to pay. Some of them don't even like cake.....
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    justin124 said:

    I was never a Corbynite . and had I been presnted with clear evidence that he was an adulterer or fornicator I would have refused to vote for him in his constituency.
    Why the constant obsession with what people you have never met do with their genitals?
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617

    I find that perspective a little hard to swallow, given that St Tony walked on water with a landslide majority at the time. He didn't need to do it, he wanted to. Don't forget that breaking the UK up into regions with their own legislatures was always a cornerstone of EU and New Labour policy. I think he just thought there would be Labour Scottish Governments forever.
    I may well have been unfair, as noted elsewhere, so apologies to Mr Blair if so. But my perception of the time was that the horse was being held back, in the hope the Scots would emasculate their own administration. .

    By way of a PB pedantry: he wouldn't have expected Labour Scottish Gmts forever - only Labour-dominated unionist coalitions with the LDs, given the modified d'Hondt system which was openly admitted to have been put in place to prevent the SNP ever getting a majority.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,025

    Whereas the independence campaigners were completely honest I suppose ?

    Remind us again of their economic projection and how the oil price featured in it.

    There is never any shortage of electoral promises which turn out to be different to the reality.
    Cretin, you obviously would be unable to differentiate an elephant from a giraffe if that is the way your twisted mind thinks.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 27,491

    ...because all UK working class people are too lazy and stupid to work for the wages we are prepared to pay. Some of them don't even like cake.....
    Its worse than that - there is a tendency among them to vote Conservative.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,318
    Carnyx said:

    I may well have been unfair, as noted elsewhere, so apologies to Mr Blair if so. But my perception of the time was that the horse was being held back, in the hope the Scots would emasculate their own administration. .

    By way of a PB pedantry: he wouldn't have expected Labour Scottish Gmts forever - only Labour-dominated unionist coalitions with the LDs, given the modified d'Hondt system which was openly admitted to have been put in place to prevent the SNP ever getting a majority.

    The d’Hondt system is a disaster. Most undemocratic system imaginable. Hence I presume why it was so popular in New Labour.
  • MonkeysMonkeys Posts: 766
    ydoethur said:

    Alistair Campbell once ordered Robin Cook to make an instant decision - leave your wife, or leave your job.

    He left his wife. Most brutal breakup imaginable (he told her as they were about to board the plane to go on holiday together) but saved the government.

    Typical of how Campbell operated (and Cook, for the matter of that). Not nice, and not good. But such ruthlessness wasn’t needed here. A humble mea culpa, an undertaking to behave in future and an agreement to step back from all work to do with the pandemic and the story would have fizzled out in twelve hours.

    We’ve now got to the stage where it has so damaged the government it is far from clear it can survive much longer, and where the government’s own policies have been fatally undermined and are being widely flouted.

    All to protect a man so insecure he doesn’t have the courage to admit he’s made a mistake.

    The way Campbell operated was abominable, especially towards the unfortunate Margaret Cook. But a little more of that decisiveness would have worked wonders.
    For Campbell, media was everything. For Cummings, media is nothing. They operate differently.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,442
    eadric said:

    I have decided you are a parody. A brilliant parody, mind.
    Does that make you a mere pastiche ?
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,318
    Monkeys said:

    For Campbell, media was everything. For Cummings, media is nothing. They operate differently.
    I disagree. For Cummings, media is not nothing, it’s the enemy.

    That may explain why he’s so reluctant to admit they have him bang to rights.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,318
    Anyway, nobody got my wonderful pun earlier on A Bridge Too Far, when I said matters were too Grave for puns.

    So I shall go and console myself by doing some marking.

    Have a good afternoon.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,442
    Barnesian said:

    Could you have two populations - one with a very high R (the dry tinder) and the other with a low R (the damp wood)? The initial (composite) R0 could appear to be 2 or 3 but as the dry tinder is consumed, the R drops below 1 without acquired immunity because immunity is innate for a large proportion of the population? Sorry for the naive questions but I'm trying to get my head around this.
    A more parsimonious explanation would be the considerably more efficient immune systems of the young.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,220

    I find that perspective a little hard to swallow, given that St Tony walked on water with a landslide majority at the time. He didn't need to do it, he wanted to. Don't forget that breaking the UK up into regions with their own legislatures was always a cornerstone of EU and New Labour policy. I think he just thought there would be Labour Scottish Governments forever.
    I know I'm in danger of asking you to believe Tony Blair, but..

    'Mr Blair admitted in his 2010 memoirs that he was “never a passionate believer” in devolution and he always thought creating a Scottish Parliament was a dangerous path.'

    https://tinyurl.com/y83whc2m
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,442
    edited May 2020
    eadric said:

    I'm more of a failed spin off, I think.
    Perhaps.
    You really need a team of writers to make that kind of thing work.

    Anyway, like @ydoethur , I have stuff to do.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,025
    ydoethur said:

    The d’Hondt system is a disaster. Most undemocratic system imaginable. Hence I presume why it was so popular in New Labour.
    It really is crap and means you get so many dross party drones that are rejected by the electorate but get seats due to the list system Murdo Fraser , rejected soundly by the electorate 7 times yet has had a seat and made well over £1M. The man is a moronic knuckle dragger.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,082
    NHS England numbers out - 85

    image
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    image
    image
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,674
    Carnyx said:

    I may well have been unfair, as noted elsewhere, so apologies to Mr Blair if so. But my perception of the time was that the horse was being held back, in the hope the Scots would emasculate their own administration. .

    By way of a PB pedantry: he wouldn't have expected Labour Scottish Gmts forever - only Labour-dominated unionist coalitions with the LDs, given the modified d'Hondt system which was openly admitted to have been put in place to prevent the SNP ever getting a majority.
    Fair correction. And good for you for admitting to a possible misconception in your initial post. Personally I think if Tony wasn't for devolution there are a lot more effective ways he could have sabotaged it - just delaying 'constitutional matters' until his second term because 'things with public services after the Tories were worse than we could have imagined' being the simplest option. As it is he did it very early on when the Tories were in disarray after their landslide defeat.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,220
    Nigelb said:

    Perhaps.
    You really need a team of writers to make that kind of thing work.

    Anyway, like @ydoethur , I have stuff to do.
    If only they could get Eadric, Byronic, Mysticrose and SeanT in a room together banging away on typewriters, think of the magic that could be produced!
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,336
    Andy_JS said:
    The whole thing was a mistake? And yet still 60,000 people died...
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 27,491
    malcolmg said:

    Cretin, you obviously would be unable to differentiate an elephant from a giraffe if that is the way your twisted mind thinks.
    So enlighten us by explaining what part the oil price played in the independence movement's economic forecasts.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,082

    If only they could get Eadric, Byronic, Mysticrose and SeanT in a room together banging away on typewriters, think of the magic that could be produced!
    If you put all the SeanTs in a room, and gave them a typewriter each, one of them would produce Shakespeare...
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,674

    If only they could get Eadric, Byronic, Mysticrose and SeanT in a room together banging away on typewriters, think of the magic that could be produced!
    I have a sneaking suspicion about Another Ex Tory too. Perhaps PB hasn't actually had a new member since 2017.
  • MonkeysMonkeys Posts: 766
    ydoethur said:

    I disagree. For Cummings, media is not nothing, it’s the enemy.

    That may explain why he’s so reluctant to admit they have him bang to rights.
    Nobody reads them.
  • justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527
    ydoethur said:

    Alistair Campbell once ordered Robin Cook to make an instant decision - leave your wife, or leave your job.

    He left his wife. Most brutal breakup imaginable (he told her as they were about to board the plane to go on holiday together) but saved the government.

    Typical of how Campbell operated (and Cook, for the matter of that). Not nice, and not good. But such ruthlessness wasn’t needed here. A humble mea culpa, an undertaking to behave in future and an agreement to step back from all work to do with the pandemic and the story would have fizzled out in twelve hours.

    We’ve now got to the stage where it has so damaged the government it is far from clear it can survive much longer, and where the government’s own policies have been fatally undermined and are being widely flouted.

    All to protect a man so insecure he doesn’t have the courage to admit he’s made a mistake.

    The way Campbell operated was abominable, especially towards the unfortunate Margaret Cook. But a little more of that decisiveness would have worked wonders.
    Cook could have told him to 'Get Stuffed'!
  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 9,058
    eadric said:

    I have decided you are a parody. A brilliant parody, mind.
    You're really enjoying yourself, aren't you. ;)
  • justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527
    IshmaelZ said:

    Why the constant obsession with what people you have never met do with their genitals?
    Many churchgoers would be put off supporting such people.Doubtless Mary Whitehouse would have been such a person.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,852
    Andy_JS said:
    The Boris equivalent: "We have the worst death toll Europe because I couldn't be arsed."

    Closing schools unnecessarily because you have the situation under control is a relatively nice problem for Norway to have.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,674

    I know I'm in danger of asking you to believe Tony Blair, but..

    'Mr Blair admitted in his 2010 memoirs that he was “never a passionate believer” in devolution and he always thought creating a Scottish Parliament was a dangerous path.'

    https://tinyurl.com/y83whc2m
    Easy thing to say with hindsight and Alex Salmond sitting in Bute House. If there are any contemporaneous accounts of this wise, prescient sense of foreboding (that lead to Tony campaigning in favour) I would be interested to read them.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 27,491

    NHS England numbers out - 85

    image
    image
    image
    image
    image

    Only 63 of which are from the last 7 days.

    So even with the weekend lag that's a good sign.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,341
    edited May 2020
    eadric said:
    If it does, big test for the plod and Khan. Do they repeat the same mistakes as 2011, where they went far too softly softly for 2-3 days.
  • justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527
    ydoethur said:

    Norwich isn’t part of his constituency.
    As it happens I did not vote for his party anyway in 2019.
  • BluestBlueBluestBlue Posts: 4,556
    justin124 said:

    As it happens I did not vote for his party anyway in 2019.
    Was that because he put his, er, ex-fornicatee in the Shadow Cabinet? :wink:
  • justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527

    Was that because he put his, er, ex-fornicatee in the Shadow Cabinet? :wink:
    No - I was not prepared to support a gender vetted candidate despite the seat being marginal.
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,307
  • ClippPClippP Posts: 1,961
    Andy_JS said:

    I don't understand why there's such a strong link between being left-of-centre and being a strong supporter of the lockdown. It could be anti-libertarianism, but at one time the left was just as, if not more, libertarian than the right, in for example the 1960s and 1970s. At that time it was old-fashioned conservatives like Mary Whitehouse who were more likely to be anti-libertarian.

    Could the missing link be concern for the well-being of others? Such concern is clearly missing in some parts of the political spectrum.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022

    If it does, big test for the plod and Khan. Do they repeat the same mistakes as 2011, where they went far too softly softly for 2-3 days.
    So, let me get this right. Someone dies in police custody in the USA, so a bunch of Brits are going to protest in London and antagonise British police?

    Good luck to the Metropolitan boys in blue. Hopefully none of them get injured.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,341
    dr_spyn said:
    Mr Conoravirus says thanks very much, more new people to spread to.
  • squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 7,007
    eadric said:

    Kinda alarming to think that Santander might go bust when it is my main bank

    WHERE DID YOU HEAR THIS?
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,800
    eadric said:

    Kinda alarming to think that Santander might go bust when it is my main bank

    Santander would probably get bailed out by the UK/BoE and forced to relocate to London as a consequence.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,674

    England voting for Brexit was a betrayal of all Better Together’s promises. You won on a false case.
    When the Indyref happened, the possibility of the UK later voting to leave the EU (pretty sure it wouldn't have got over the line without those brave Scottish voters defying the prevailing orthodoxy), was already a possibility. An EUref was already being mooted by the Tories and the Lib Dems as far as I recall, and the threat of a Leave vote was something the 'Yes' Campaign used in their literature. So calling it a betrayal is rather a reinvention of history.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,341
    eadric said:

    Bored morons and clueless SJWs

    One good thing: the pubs are nearly all shut so it will be harder for the protestors to get hammered and start fighting as a result. Indeed they might be stoned (the royal parks reek of weed) which could calm things down

    It will all be blamed on Big Dom if it kicks off.
  • BannedinnParisBannedinnParis Posts: 1,884
    ClippP said:

    Could the missing link be concern for the well-being of others? Such concern is clearly missing in some parts of the political spectrum.
    They think it will bring down the government, or the economy, or stop Brexit. Or all three.

    Obvious answer is obvious.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,082
    Pulpstar said:
    When the BLM protestors managed to shut London City Airport, the cops fed them cups of tea.

    Then claimed that they couldn't cut the chains (that they had chained themselves up with and thrown away the keys) off, since the safety case for doing so, hadn't been done....
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,082

    Only 63 of which are from the last 7 days.

    So even with the weekend lag that's a good sign.
    15 is the lowest first day number (including weekends) since March
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,341
    edited May 2020

    When the BLM protestors managed to shut London City Airport, the cops fed them cups of tea.

    Then claimed that they couldn't cut the chains (that they had chained themselves up with and thrown away the keys) off, since the safety case for doing so, hadn't been done....
    That lot of BLM were overwhelmingly laughable double barrelled white poshos, who spend their days cos-playing at being protesters.
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,795
    MaxPB said:

    Santander would probably get bailed out by the UK/BoE and forced to relocate to London as a consequence.
    Nationalise it, and bring back Abbey National.
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,795
    Sandpit said:

    So, let me get this right. Someone dies in police custody in the USA, so a bunch of Brits are going to protest in London and antagonise British police?

    Good luck to the Metropolitan boys in blue. Hopefully none of them get injured.
    It's what the rent-a-mob do...any excuse to wanting it to kick off.
  • BannedinnParisBannedinnParis Posts: 1,884
    Trafalgar Square full of people chanting "I can't breathe"
    And they say viruses don't do irony.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,668
    edited May 2020
    Wow. Only yesterday I watched Blue Story. V powerful and, as this footage shows, absolutely on the button relevant.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,341
    After watching I presume terrible movies and having to endure crappy food in cramped cattle class for the past 19hrs, the astronauts are about to dock.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,668
    MaxPB said:

    Santander would probably get bailed out by the UK/BoE and forced to relocate to London as a consequence.
    And as we all know the FCA takes a very dim view of spreading leaks and rumours.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    edited May 2020

    That lot of BLM were overwhelmingly laughable double barrelled white poshos, who spend their days cos-playing at being protesters.
    LOL, posh white kids cos-playing as protestors. :D

    Wait until they realise that the cops aren't cos-players, and their batons aren't made of toilet rolls.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,113
    Pulpstar said:

    NHS staff antibodies would skew greater than the population at large I'd have thought.
    I would expect so too, but it will give quite a good match with symptoms, and absences, as all absences for self isolation are recorded by the Trust.

    If you really want a gloomy picture then remember antibodies are not always a good thing. There is also the phenomenon of Antibody Disease Enhancement. This is recognised in certain viruses, and potentially has a role in Covid-19. This is one of the hazards of a poor vaccine:

    https://smw.ch/article/doi/smw.2020.20249
  • Andy_CookeAndy_Cooke Posts: 5,045
    Andy_JS said:
    Absolutely inevitable that an idiot like Hitchens would take a look at that and instantly howl that the lockdown was a mistake.

    That if we hadn't done it here, it would somehow, magically, have all gone away. That the massive decrease in people interacting has had zero effect on the spread of an infectious respiratory aerosol-borne disease. That nations with far less in the way of people living on top of each other and a culture of greater distancing and far less physical connectivity MUST be immediately comparable to us rather, you know, their immediate neighbours. Who have had a vastly worse outcome thanks to doing something a little bit closer to what Hitchens wanted us to do (but had we done that, he would certainly have been still screaming about "Muh Freedoms" being violated because he can't do whatever he likes and fuck the consequences to anyone else.

    It comes to the point with Hitchens and Haimes and their keenest acolytes that you have to conclude that they are beyond self-deluding. They must know the repercussions of what they're proposing - insisting, rather.

    But they are so self-centred and uncaring of the effects on others that they don't care.

    Seriously - what do they think would have happened without drastic social distancing? Do they truly think the course of the infection would have been exactly the same? Or even less damaging? Do they think that it's all governed by - I don't know - the movement of the spheres, or some ineffable mystical arcania?

    It's a respiratory virus. It's conveyed by aerosol droplets. These are passed from person to person.
    If they cannot be passed from person to person, or that transmission is reduced or limited, the spread of the virus is limited. This ain't hidden arcane knowledge. It's not magic, or rocket science.

    If the transmission is less limited, it will spread more, and faster.
    Had we not engaged in widespread social distancing, our infection rate would have been far higher. The death toll, likewise.

    If the lockdown was so unnecessary, then why has it been taking so bleeding long for the infection rate and the death toll to subside to the extent it has done? Since the peak in deaths, the R-value implied by the 7-day average in daily death toll has been consistently between 0.75 and 0.88 for England. How much higher would it have been if we'd done as Hitchens demands? Or is that irrelevant? Because it doesn't have to be much higher to be skyrocketing.

    On and on he chunters about his freedoms and how we're all serfs for not doing as we please and screw everyone else (as if laws and regulations circumscribing our actions from harming others haven't been a fixture of every goddamn society since the year dot).

    Fuck me.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,220
    edited May 2020

    Easy thing to say with hindsight and Alex Salmond sitting in Bute House. If there are any contemporaneous accounts of this wise, prescient sense of foreboding (that lead to Tony campaigning in favour) I would be interested to read them.
    He's hardly going to say at the time 'this is a plank of our landslide winning manifesto, but I'm pretty ambivalent about it'. My impression *at the time* was that Blair was lukewarm but he couldn't gainsay passionate, influential Scottish members (yes children, there used to be unicorns) of the PLP such as Cook, Dewar and even Brown who actually believed in devolution.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,800
    TOPPING said:

    And as we all know the FCA takes a very dim view of spreading leaks and rumours.
    I'm just theorising on a hypothetical situation.
  • squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 7,007
    new thread
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,668
    eadric said:

    But quite a handy rumour if you have more than £85k in Santander and it does, actually, go bust
    Article 12 of MAR 2016 is your friend (or not) here.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022

    After watching I presume terrible movies and having to endure crappy food in cramped cattle class for the past 19hrs, the astronauts are about to dock.

    This is awesome to watch. Hope they got the right docking connector!

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bIZsnKGV8TE
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,113
    eadric said:

    Isn't this just a class thing? Labourite Lefties are MORE likely to be middle class, urban, professional, or they are public sector, or students. As such they are insulated from the worst horrors of lockdown. Teachers will not get laid off, nor will doctors.

    North London writers can work from their homes. They're probably enjoying the lockdown sun. Posh wankers.

    Tory voters are somewhat more likely to be self employed (no furlough for them), in the private sector (facing redundancy if lockdown persists) and so on.

    Tory voters are more likely to be retired.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    edited May 2020

    Easy thing to say with hindsight and Alex Salmond sitting in Bute House. If there are any contemporaneous accounts of this wise, prescient sense of foreboding (that lead to Tony campaigning in favour) I would be interested to read them.
    Hmm, thinking about it, Mr Blair had a triple series of results - some pros and cons in each:

    1. Scots say no to devolution. |Mr Blair keeps all power.
    2. Scots say yes to devolution but no to tax powers - great, Potemkin Village erected, no real devolution, lotsa jobs for the SLAB gals and boys and their LD besties independent of any Tory victory in UK.
    3. Scots say yes to both - not much more real devolution, else ditto ...

    Mr Salmond was, as Mr Luckyguy implies, never supposed to win a majority .,..

  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,668
    MaxPB said:

    I'm just theorising on a hypothetical situation.
    Indeed.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    Sandpit said:

    This is awesome to watch. Hope they got the right docking connector!

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bIZsnKGV8TE
    Amazing how it gets to look more like 2001 A Space Odyssey every time ...
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,672
    malcolmg said:

    It really is crap and means you get so many dross party drones that are rejected by the electorate but get seats due to the list system Murdo Fraser , rejected soundly by the electorate 7 times yet has had a seat and made well over £1M. The man is a moronic knuckle dragger.
    There's nothing wrong with d'Hondt unless you weight the votes cast for the party rather than individuals as counting in the totals at the top of the list. If you just use the party votes to calculate number of seats and then allocate the seats won by the number who voted for each candidate down the list (as some but not all Danish parties do), then you have a beauiful marriage of proportionality and individual voter choice. You generally liked Labour but preferred Balls to Corbyn, or vice versa? You were a Tory but didn't think much of May and hankered for a true Brexiteer? You can cast your vote as a precise reflection of your views. It's a much better system than STV, because it isn't biased to the most-transfer friendly candidates (unless you think that distortion of democracy is a good thing).

    For example, if Sinn Fein or the DUP gets 20% of the vote, they'll get 20% of the seats under d'Hondt. Under STV they'll probably get fewer, because few of the other 80% will transfer to them on later ballots. STV disadvantages people outside the mainstream - it's a feature, not a bug - and in that way is, I think, not really democratic.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    eadric said:

    Look at it another way. Look at it through the media prism. Look at the Guardian and the Milly Dowler phone hacking scandal

    How did the Guardian employ that story? They started with an excellent scoop - but with a juicy falsehood in the middle. Some extra black pepper on the strawberries.

    https://www.theguardian.com/theguardian/2011/dec/20/corrections-and-clarifications


    They used this confection of truths and a lie to generate widespread outrage, across politics and public debate, and they kept the ball rolling for weeks, until the News of the World, owned by their hated enemy Rupert Murdoch, actually closed.

    They took down their opponent.

    But that wasn't their ultimate agenda. Their ultimate agenda was to stop Murdoch taking over BSkyB and creating a new rival that might crush them. This takeover was about to happen, just as the Guardian dropped their bomb. What a coincidence.

    The Guardian succeeded in that too. They stopped the takeover

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/News_Corporation_takeover_bid_for_BSkyB

    A complete triumph.

    The Guardian is following the very same pattern here (and why not, it works brilliantly). Take a real scoop, time it correctly, juice it up with some initial lies, get public outrage to do the rest.

    The proximate cause is to takedown Cummings as they destroyed the News of the World. The ultimate goal is to hinder Brexit as they thwarted the BSkyB takeover.





    When you are getting more furious at a paper for reporting on the hacking of a dead girls phone than the paper who actually hacked the dead girls phone you need to take a deep long look at your self.

    To Barnard Castle you go.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,025
    eadric said:

    I have decided you are a parody. A brilliant parody, mind.
    Thanks for the compliment
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    Carnyx said:

    Amazing how it gets to look more like 2001 A Space Odyssey every time ...
    The big difference with this mission is the quality of the live images coming back, an order of magnitude better than anything we’ve seen previously from space missions.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,674

    He's hardly going to say at the time 'this is a plank of our landslide winning manifesto, but I'm pretty ambivalent about it'. My impression *at the time* was that Blair was lukewarm but he couldn't gainsay passionate, influential Scottish members (yes children, there used to be unicorns) of the PLP such as Cook, Dewar and even Brown who actually believed in devolution.
    I am with you 100% on New Labour (and old Tories incidentally) having influential Scottish figures. My argument to a t. I hope one day they will have more of them again, but that will entail Scotland tiring of returning Ian Blackford and Mhairi Black etc. You can't have influential Scottish MPs if you don't have any Scottish MPs.

    However, you are asking us to believe that Tony Blair wanted to lose a referendum to the Tories at that stage of his career, and gamed the question to make his own party's defeat more likely. I find that supposition impossible to support. Given that New Labour was spending all over the shop via PPPs at that time, I suspect the reference to taxation was because he wanted a blank cheque. It would lend extra weight to a high tax high spend agenda in Scotland - undermining any claim from the Tories that the public only supported Labour because it promised to stick to Tory spending plans.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,674
    edited May 2020
    Carnyx said:

    Hmm, thinking about it, Mr Blair had a triple series of results - some pros and cons in each:

    1. Scots say no to devolution. |Mr Blair keeps all power.
    2. Scots say yes to devolution but no to tax powers - great, Potemkin Village erected, no real devolution, lotsa jobs for the SLAB gals and boys and their LD besties independent of any Tory victory in UK.
    3. Scots say yes to both - not much more real devolution, else ditto ...

    Mr Salmond was, as Mr Luckyguy implies, never supposed to win a majority .,..

    Labour took Scotland totally for granted (as they do Wales), on that we can agree. And in a different way, so did the Tories. I would even go so far as to say that a strong regional party (I don't say that to insult Scotland's nationhood, merely because that best describes a party that doesn't stand in all seats) fighting elections was an inevitable thing and is in many ways a good thing.

    Where we differ is on the need to break up the UK to get to a promised land. I think it's throwing the baby out with the bathwater. It is the SNP's achilles heel in delivering good Government for Scotland, because everything is done in campaign mode for indy.
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,390
    Alistair said:

    When you are getting more furious at a paper for reporting on the hacking of a dead girls phone than the paper who actually hacked the dead girls phone you need to take a deep long look at your self.

    To Barnard Castle you go.
    I noted before, the Cummings case immediately made me think of the NotW hacking Milly Dowler's phone, in that both filled me with a cold fury like nothing else. The moral failure of people who seek to exonerate or justify the actions of either is abhorrent. They are utterly out of step with decent opinion in this country.
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