politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The money goes on Scotland voting for independence and YES

SeanT said:

And still compouter bangs on, and on, and on, about "Maria Miller" even on a thread dedicated to the imminent break-up of Britain, with all that entails for Labour.

It is this Labour complacency - or psychological denial - which has led us to this position. It will be a rich irony when Labour's cackhanded "Devolution" blows up in their face as Scottish independence.

AndyJS said:

"'Cool' London is dead, and the rich kids are to blame

The cool, creative class has been priced out of London, which means the capital is becoming more bland and boring by the minute, says Alex Proud

I have seen the future – and the future is Paris and Geneva.

The future is a clean, dull city populated by clean, dull rich people and clean, dull old people. The future is joyless Michelin starred restaurants and shops selling £3,000 chandeliers."

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/men/thinking-man/10744997/Cool-London-is-dead-and-the-rich-kids-are-to-blame.html

****************************United States************************


SWIFT Index - November 2012 to February 2014                    
GDP Growth estimated                                            
Outcomes from OECD (Expenditure Approach)                       
QoQ = Quarter on Previous Quarter;                              
YoY = Quarter on Same Quarter Previous Year                     

United States                                                   
                 | Actual |      Nowcast     |    Forecast      
                 |        |   3     2     1  |   3     2     1  
Period           |        |                  |                  
2014 Q2   QoQ(%) |        |                  |        0.5   0.6 
          YoY(%) |        |                  |        2.8   3.1 
                 |        |                  |                  
2014 Q1   QoQ(%) |        |        0.6   0.6 |  0.3   0.3   0.4 
          YoY(%) |        |        2.9   3.1 |  3.1   2.1   2.2 
                 |        |                  |                  
2013 Q4   QoQ(%) |   0.7  |  0.7   0.3   0.5 |  0.6   0.5   0.4 
          YoY(%) |   2.6  |  2.7   2.0   2.1 |  1.6   2.0   1.5 
                 |        |                  |                  
2013 Q3   QoQ(%) |   0.9  |  0.4   0.6   0.4 |  0.3   0.3   0.7 
          YoY(%) |   2.0  |  1.9   1.6   1.2 |  0.0   0.0   1.6 
                 |        |                  |                  
2013 Q2   QoQ(%) |   0.6  |  0.3   0.3   0.2 |  0.1   0.2   0.5 
          YoY(%) |   1.6  | -0.1  -0.1   1.7 |  1.3   1.6   2.1 
                 |        |                  |                  
2013 Q1   QoQ(%) |   0.3  |  0.5   0.6   0.9 |  0.4             
          YoY(%) |   1.3  |  1.5   1.7   1.9 |  2.4             

AndyJS said:

Will the SNP disband following a YES vote? Obviously they won't immediately, but maybe after a few years.

****************************Europe (EU 28)***********************


SWIFT Index - November 2012 to February 2014                    
GDP Growth estimated                                            
Outcomes from OECD (Expenditure Approach)                       
QoQ = Quarter on Previous Quarter;                              
YoY = Quarter on Same Quarter Previous Year                     

Europe (EU 28)                                                  
                 | Actual |      Nowcast     |    Forecast      
                 |        |   3     2     1  |   3     2     1  
Period           |        |                  |                  
2014 Q2   QoQ(%) |        |                  |        0.4   0.3 
          YoY(%) |        |                  |        1.5   1.1 
                 |        |                  |                  
2014 Q1   QoQ(%) |        |        0.4   0.3 |  0.3   0.2   0.1 
          YoY(%) |        |        1.5   1.2 |  1.1   0.8   0.9 
                 |        |                  |                  
2013 Q4   QoQ(%) |   0.4  |  0.2   0.1   0.2 |  0.2   0.3   0.3 
          YoY(%) |   1.0  |  0.8   0.6   0.7 |  0.7   0.9   0.8 
                 |        |                  |                  
2013 Q3   QoQ(%) |   0.2  |  0.3   0.3   0.3 |  0.2   0.3   0.2 
          YoY(%) |   0.1  |  0.1   0.2   0.0 | -0.1  -0.3  -0.1 
                 |        |                  |                  
2013 Q2   QoQ(%) |   0.4  |  0.3   0.0   0.1 |  0.1   0.1   0.1 
          YoY(%) |  -0.1  | -0.3  -0.5   0.6 |  0.6   0.6   0.2 
                 |        |                  |                  
2013 Q1   QoQ(%) |  -0.1  |  0.9   0.9   0.2 |  0.3             
          YoY(%) |  -0.8  |  0.4   0.4   0.0 |  0.1             

AndyJS said:

Will the SNP disband following a YES vote? Obviously they won't immediately, but maybe after a few years.

fitalass said:

George Eaton in the New Statesman - Labour has "programme of work" ready for Arnie Graf

malcolmg said:

JosiasJessop said:

compouter2 said:

twitter.com/bbclaurak/status/453202658921562112

"More than 66k people have now signed petition for Miller to pay back 45k expenses or resign... story isn't going away for govt"

LOL!

I bet less than one percent have read any of the documents involved, and the majority are just going on what they've read in the papers, or from a social media campaign.

Still, if it makes you happy ...

I trust the independent commissioner more than her posse of fellow MP's. Guilty as sin, take her down.

After the Commissioner estimated that she had claimed £45,000 too much, Miller finally found documents showing that her actual mortgage payments were higher, and so the amount overclaimed was lower. In the end the Commissioner and Kevin Barron, the Labour chair of the Standards Committee, were both happy with the £5,800 estimate.

JosiasJessop said:

Peaches Geldof has died aged 25.

RIP.

JosiasJessop said:

Peaches Geldof has died aged 25.

RIP.

nigel4england said:

TwistedFireStopper said:

Bloody hell, Peaches Geldof found dead.

That is awful, RIP

Morris_Dancer said:

Mr. Jessop, blimey, that's a shock. My sympathies to her family and friends.

Charles said:

nigel4england said:

TwistedFireStopper said:

Bloody hell, Peaches Geldof found dead.

That is awful, RIP

Odd phrasing by the BBC:

Police say they were called to an address near Wrotham, Kent following a report of concern for the welfare of a woman on Monday afternoon. The woman, aged 25, was later pronounced dead by South East Coast Ambulance Service. "At this stage, the death is being treated as unexplained and sudden," said a statement from Kent Police.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-26931337

That sounds to me that the police were there when she died. Quite possibly suicide.

Anyway, whatever. RIP

david_herdson said:

compouter2 said:

http://blogs.channel4.com/gary-gibbon-on-politics/maria-miller-under-review/28023

"Things are not looking great for Maria Miller. One government source put her chances of surviving the week “no better than 60 per cent” and her chances of surviving a post-Euro elections reshuffle “virtually nil”. "

Oh bugger! At least we may get a few weeks out of Maria.

And that is one reason why Cameron will be particularly loathe to sack / lose her now: it buggers up the next proper, pre-election reshuffle if he has to do a mini-reshuffle six weeks earlier. I wonder if she does go soon (i.e. before the main reshuffle), whether another cabinet minister will double-up for the interim.

Socrates said:

JosiasJessop said:

malcolmg said:

JosiasJessop said:

compouter2 said:

twitter.com/bbclaurak/status/453202658921562112

"More than 66k people have now signed petition for Miller to pay back 45k expenses or resign... story isn't going away for govt"

LOL!

I bet less than one percent have read any of the documents involved, and the majority are just going on what they've read in the papers, or from a social media campaign.

Still, if it makes you happy ...

I trust the independent commissioner more than her posse of fellow MP's. Guilty as sin, take her down.

Which would be all good and well, except for the fact the commissioner changed his mind on getting new evidence:

After the Commissioner estimated that she had claimed £45,000 too much, Miller finally found documents showing that her actual mortgage payments were higher, and so the amount overclaimed was lower. In the end the Commissioner and Kevin Barron, the Labour chair of the Standards Committee, were both happy with the £5,800 estimate.

http://blogs.independent.co.uk/2014/04/06/in-partial-defence-of-maria-miller/

If this article's to be believed, then it negates that whole argument. If you trust the commissioner, then she paid the correct amount.

TwistedFireStopper said:

The Sun gossip woman on Sky News has just said that the World is in utter shock over the death of Peaches Geldof. It's definitely a tragedy for her family, but I hope it's not going to turn into a circus.

TwistedFireStopper said:

The Sun gossip woman on Sky News has just said that the World is in utter shock over the death of Peaches Geldof. It's definitely a tragedy for her family, but I hope it's not going to turn into a circus.

old_labour said:

Malwarebytes?

DavidL said:

I am sorry to report that vanilla's problems today not only screwed up my posts but also inserted some extremely annoying pop up ad on my laptop which I am still having to delete every 30 seconds or so. I am doing a norton scan at the moment but it is still not stopping it. Anyone with any ideas, I would be grateful to hear them.

perdix said:

HurstLlama said:

david_herdson said:

compouter2 said:

http://blogs.channel4.com/gary-gibbon-on-politics/maria-miller-under-review/28023

"Things are not looking great for Maria Miller. One government source put her chances of surviving the week “no better than 60 per cent” and her chances of surviving a post-Euro elections reshuffle “virtually nil”. "

Oh bugger! At least we may get a few weeks out of Maria.

And that is one reason why Cameron will be particularly loathe to sack / lose her now: it buggers up the next proper, pre-election reshuffle if he has to do a mini-reshuffle six weeks earlier. I wonder if she does go soon (i.e. before the main reshuffle), whether another cabinet minister will double-up for the interim.

If Cameron had acted in a timely manner he could have just left the post vacant for a few months, I don't think the country would grind to a halt if there was no current head of the Department for Culture, media and Sport. Actually, Cameron could have taken the opportunity and have abolished the whole Department and any quangos that feed off it.

1. Cameron didn't believe that she should be sacked.
2. Irrespective of what you think of a government department, it would not be responsible to leave a department without a SoS. Besides, it is necessary to complete the work on press regulation by nailing a few gonads to the floor!

DavidL said:

I am sorry to report that vanilla's problems today not only screwed up my posts but also inserted some extremely annoying pop up ad on my laptop which I am still having to delete every 30 seconds or so. I am doing a norton scan at the moment but it is still not stopping it. Anyone with any ideas, I would be grateful to hear them.

DavidL said:

I am sorry to report that vanilla's problems today not only screwed up my posts but also inserted some extremely annoying pop up ad on my laptop which I am still having to delete every 30 seconds or so. I am doing a norton scan at the moment but it is still not stopping it. Anyone with any ideas, I would be grateful to hear them.

Scrapheap_as_was said:

Remarkable Spurs team for tonight.... I think we're playing to finish 7th.

rcs1000 said:

I'm sorry about all the Vanilla problems. I will contact support and see if I can find out what the problem is. If they are the source of any malware, etc., you can be assured we will be leaving them for (yet another) discussion provider.