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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The next Home Secretary betting

When Boris Johnson becomes Prime Minister it is widely expected that his Chancellor will be Sajid Javid which creates a vacancy at the Home Office. So who will succeed Javid?
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Jeremy Corbyn getting muddled over what a terrorist is would add somewhat to the gaiety of the nation.
I'd want longer but it is probably worth keeping an eye on Labour (or LibDem) outsiders in all these next minister races.
C'mon England - might have to be a Hollywood ending.
The public aren't sophisticated or geeky enough to foresee Boris being leader. Look at the 2007 polls for precedent. Even when Brown becoming leader was basically guaranteed the Tories still polled a lead. Every single poll bar 1 in 2007 leading up to Brown officially becoming leader showed a Tory lead.
Every single poll after Brown became leader for the following months had a Labour lead. Without exception.
The bounce happened when Brown entered Downing Street not before. If there is to be a Boris bounce (and it's not guaranteed) it will be after his election not before.
Call the men in white coats.
And if Truss is the best she should be getting the job because she is worthy not because she is the best lady.
Diehard Remainers are clearly unwilling to respect the 2016 Leave vote, just as they are unwilling to respect the 2017 Tory manifesto commitment to take GB out of the EU which won most seats in GB and in the UK with the Leave backing DUP, so if Corbyn also wins an election but Parliament tries to block a key Labour manifesto commitment then by definition I would have to side with Corbyn on principle, however much I may dislike the policy itself
If Truss or anyone else gets appointed then it should be viewed as that she was the best person for the job not that we needed a token lady.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/2020_democratic_presidential_nomination-6730.html
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-48205289
But I would make Truss Chancellor because I think she is the best person for the job IMO. Not because I want a token woman.
I don't see what is unpleasant about that Big_G.
Wicket!
Perhaps best known for his famously acid bon mot on Valleys Labour councillors: 'they're short, they're fat and they're fundamentally corrupt.'
Oh, and for being a sadist. Literally.
https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1148312432768684032?s=20
I would rather judge people as individuals and the difference between individuals is frankly far greater than the difference between genders.
We don't need token women. The female cabinet members are just as good as the male ones and can compete on merits rather than getting in as "best woman leftover" to get a token role.
On four occasions, I swapped over from the F1 to the cricket. On three occasions, I got ads. On the fourth, I got what could have been slo-motion cruddyness of people standing around.
Cricket really isn't a sport.
2) a smooth and orderly departure from the European Union and forge a deep and special partnership with our friends and allies across Europe.
On what planet does a "No Deal" Hard Brexit, not paying our debts deliver (2)?
Without a Tory majority it is clear the current Commons will never vote for the Withdrawal Agreement anyway, that needs about 30 more Labour MPs to vote for it and that is clearly not going to happen now or else not only every Tory MP to vote for it but the DUP to vote for it too and that will not happen either
https://www.cricketworldcup.com/match/8239
BTW, why are we so sure Javid will become CoE? Having an ex-banker as the new CoE might not be the best look
Click on the statistics tab, the bottom chart has the worms.
Edit: both teams now evens, that was lucky timing.
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/cricket/market/1.160350460
England need to get a grip .
Eng 2.1
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/cricket/market/1.160350460
This is New Zealand's to lose.
Brexit by 2022 (per your manifesto) would not.
The only positive is that NZ worm remained steady, no uplift at the end. But then throughout the tournament there rarely seems to be the traditional uplift at the end.
But I don't think they are.
I would keep Javid as Home Secretary, keep Hunt as Foreign Secretary and make Truss Chancellor. Not a major reshuffle but that can come in other roles.
Who is better: Javid or Truss. That should be all that matters!
If Javid is better great give him the role. If Truss is better great give her the role. I couldn't care less about their skin colour or genitals that has nothing to do with the role!
Nobody's forgotten I tipped NZ at 8/1, have they?
Il sorpasso II is on the cards.
https://amp.businessinsider.com/first-look-new-transport-hub-in-poland-could-be-worlds-biggest-airport
England screwed.
England are panicking and really in danger of throwing this game away .
But Boult and Henry didn't let them.
https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/9503549/tory-remainers-boris-johnson-lib-dems/amp/
Year of next GE - best prices
2019 5/4
2022 or later 3/1
2020 4/1
2021 12/1
Is 2019 starting to look nailed on?
How many PPCs are in place? Could be a hectic autumn.
Why are there only two individual constituency markets up (Islington North; Uxbridge and South Ruislip)? How about an East Dunbartonshire market.