Options
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A majority LAB government no longer the preferred GE2015 ou
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A majority LAB government no longer the preferred GE2015 outcome
Today’s YouGov poll sees an MOE change with LAB is increasing its lead over the Tories by 1%.Nothing much there except that once again EdM’s party is in single figures.
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
Cool graphic!
http://www.learnwithunite.org/pluginfile.php/94/mod_forum/attachment/4184/Political fund ballot.ppt
There's no reason why anyone would be able to guess it but I am pretty much as far right a Cons supporter as it is possible to be (Cons < me < UKIP).
But what the chuffing hell are they up to appointing another Etonian (and Oxford...and...) to a high-profile position of power? Is this Lynton's work? Does BoJo have compromising pictures of Dave with Carole Thatcher?
Please someone explain to me.
If anyone wants to bet on it I'll entertain anyone wanting to be on a 'no' result
Jo J has impressed his colleagues by being thoughtful, bright, smart. He's one of a handful tipped for great things by other peers, and some talk of him as a better leadership bet than his brother. His friends are working on improving his people skills. The question for Dave, though, is one of practical politics: he may be good, but he's new and untested. He's investing a lot of hope and responsibility in Johnson J, for an uncertain return. Given the need to improve the No 10 operation, and give it some edge, it's worth a try.
When the contract was initially renegotiated in 2004, GPs had their salaries reduced by £6,000 if they stopped providing care out of hours. However, other changes to the contract meant that average pay rose by a third, with many GPs earning six-figure salaries.
Following the changes, 90 per cent of family doctors stopped providing emergency cover, leaving patients to rely on phone services, agency doctors or hospital visits. In 2004/05, 17.7 million people used England’s A&E departments. By last year, that had risen to 21.7 million.
In opposition, the Conservatives pledged to renegotiate the contracts. However, attempts to change them have proved difficult, and the Government is scrutinising other ways of improving the out-of-hours service. The official review on the issue is expected to report at the end of the May.
Senior Government figures hope that highlighting the failures will add to the pressure for change...
He is an etonian PPE-er when surely even small children in Henley can understand that the Cons have an image problem in that most people associate them with privelege, eton, you know that kind of thing.
If it wasn't for the likes of Carl and Pork on here who provide consant encouragement to remain a Tory I'm sure I'd give up.
I hate class war - its going back to the 70s in a very negative way. The only acceptable form of prejudice now is class - and its wrong.
It rather puts our own troubles in perspective.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-22290422
No matter. The idea that the PB tories are an asset to their party is even funnier. ;^)
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-22280078
A separate Scottish coronation if the Scots separate. But then, the argument will go, why not a separate Canadian coronation? Or Jamaican? Or Fijiian [the monarch is paramount chief of Fiji]?
Edited extra bit: rare moment as I think Sturgeon's speaking sense on this:
"Deputy First Minister Nicola Sturgeon, who also speaks for the Scottish government on the constitution, said: "I don't think that is necessary, if you take the Queen just now she is head of state of many different Commonwealth countries, there doesn't require to be separate coronations in each of these. "
But this is politics.
The Cons have an image problem whether we like it or not. People perceive them to be out of touch and an elite (notwithstanding that 90% of people who took that new class test ended up as being elite).
So they appoint an Etonian to a high-profile position of power.
If nothing else it is just bad politics.
Whilst the anti-Thatcher rants of John O'Farrell are a mere outbreaks of immature rage of a lefty luvvie.
Keep up the good work.
Preferably effnik and perhaps homosexual.
Office nickname could be Token.
Scoring Guide to the UK Masters
Eton, Oxford, higher degree at Insead - not places where a fool can thrive for too long and not be found out.
If only there was a budding chemist from Grantham being remade instead.
Needs to be 0.00000% or higher.
I'm sure the cry would be "what no travellers in no 10 ?"
Britain needs a new 'special relationship' with India. We should start by ending overseas aid.
http://www.spectator.co.uk/features/6157763/cameron-wants-a-new-special-relationship-but-does-india/
The interesting thing about Jo Johnson (apart from confirming the chumocracy) is that his policy work would almost certainly be financial considering his interests like previously working as an investment banker at Deutsche Bank. Those who think Osbrowne is about to give up all his master strategising power to this newcomer are as gullible as those who thought the flounce that wasn't was a triumph or that Cammie's Cast Iron referendum pledge is anything other than flimsy desperate posturing.
The site works best when people engage each other with vigour, imagination and thrust. You are unable to do this so your admittedly trivial points get lost.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-22291280
Britain has traditionally been brilliant at research. We are fairly crummy at development of the resultant ideas, with some exceptions.
I'm trying Continuum and that's proving rather hard work as well - I'm now watching Grimm again for the 3rd time, its pacey, fun, dramatic and clever. Let's hope it gets renewed. We've 4 episodes to go in S2.
Poor chap hasn't even started and you are abusing him because of your prejudices - more shame on you than Cameron.
Bearing in mind that Spanish GDP is forecast to fall by -0.5% in Q1 2013; Germany is forecast to only grow over the whole of 2013 by 0.4%; Italy's economy hasn't grown for ten years; and France contracted in 2012 and is (optimistically) forecasting growth of 0.1% in Q1 2013, then I think the range of +/- 0.1% is a fair par.
09:16: Mick in Leeds emails:
I heard a company director on 5 Live this morning talking about his business. He hit the nail on the head. He said these figures have no impact on the strategy of his business and are completely meaningless as they are not based on all the information that affects GDP. Too true. Something for the press to get their knickers in a twist over.
Declan Lyons @DeclanLyons
23% in Spain didn't trust the EU in 2007, up to 72% by November 2012:
https://twitter.com/DeclanLyons/status/327338265864716288/photo/1
BOY GENIUS!
Osborne you wonder!!!
*rewriting of daily woe scripts in progress*
"This is surprising... but sector XYZ is suffering so let's talk about that for the next 48hrs..."
The school of hard knocks! I couldn't agree with you less.
.03% sounds poor to average
As a second hand poster with zero original insight you are indeed best suited to whining about those posters on here who aren't PB tories and should stick to that 'crucial' task. Sadly for you there is no shortage of inept tory spinners doing that with even more dedication to petulant tantrums and incompetent spinning that even you are capable. But at least you will be another drone to keep them company.
Relief on the government benches.
If you haven't read his stuff - he's very good.
Remember tim that last month the OBR forecast total growth this year for the UK of 0.6%, with most backloaded to the last two quarters (OBR forecast only 0.1% for Q1). Already half the year's forecast growth has been achieved in Q1.
Sadly the main thing that makes sense to explain it is continued strength of government spending, since our exports are dire and consumption pretty flat on the back of personal debt.
Let's hope Osborne has learnt his lesson and doesn't go all triumphalist, no drivel about the "march of the makers" or "putting fuel in the tank of the economy" blah blah
long way to go before we're back to steady growth - still years IMHO.
Outperforming expectations is probably a sign that March was strong (since we had a pretty good idea of Jan + Feb coming into today) but construction and manufactoring still poor, which @tim is right to point out is a worry. The export stats should be able to show whether we're exporting more to the non-Eurozone, which would be a rebalancing in itself. IIRC there has been a small but noticable increase in that percentage in recent quarters.
It is growth we badly need, but only in the services sector, so no rebalancing.
Still, I'd say politically the chancellor has had a much better week after last week's disaster.
Economically we are no better off, but perhaps we've now hit the floor?
When the 'oh look a squirrel' May Local Election 'oh look a squirrel' results come in 'oh look a squirrel' the PB Tories 'oh look a squirrel' had better find 'oh look a squirrel' some far more 'oh look a squirrel' convincing excuses and spin.
LOL
;^)
"exports are dire"
They're up 0.6%.
Is this how you get through your dog's door Plato?
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2314257/Sara-Elizabeth-Soto-Naked-woman-crawls-doggie-door-bath.html
No need to worry, Browns record of zero growth over 5 years is safe.
BERLIN: Economists polled by Reuters expect it to grow by 0.3 percent in the first quarter, thereby avoiding recession.
MADRID: Spain's recession continued in the first three months of the year, with the economy shrinking by 0.5% its seventh quarterly contraction, the Bank of Spain said Tuesday.
Struggling to find Dublin.
It is therefore interesting to note the changes in forecasts of investment in the sector made by the OBR between 2010 and 2013 (March EFO). What is clear from these figures is that the Coalition has worked very hard with the oil companies to increase investment in the North Sea. The benefits of the additional investment are not due to be reflected in increased output until late 2013 and 2014, so this underpins the general forecasts of stronger growth in 2014-15 seen in recent forecasts.
And live coverage of the GDP figures?! WTF? Lot of gutted people and gritted teeth in the newsroom right now. Arf.
Really - voters don't care as polling has shown. Only those who are Class Warriors and wouldn't vote Tory in a million years are bothered.
'Oh dear - lefties not celebrating good growth news ? Anyone would think they'd have preferred a negative figure:)
Their day has been wrecked,whining for the rest of the day.
We export more to Ireland than we do to China.
Belgium exports more to China than we do.
Sorry but that is a dire situation. And our balance of payments is awful, something like the 3rd or 4th worst since the war.
It hasn't been mentioned at all on R5 after the ONS at 0930 - and was described as *dodged a triple dip*.
It's all very amusing.
What do we have here? Poor old incompetent fops. Stymied by the lib dems from their authoritarian stupidity.
The lib dems are going to make a huge deal of this with their supporters and on the doorstep.
It's all very amusing. ;^)
0957: Stephanie Flanders Economics editor tweets: Figures are good news but also show how far UK is from re-balancing. It was the services sector that won it. Manufacturing and exports feeble.
Wrong leaves on the line time for the left ..
Whatever the cause - we don't need as many police given that crime is falling across the board bar pick-pocketing.
See this Fact Check on Belgium-India trade:
http://fullfact.org/factchecks/does_belgium_trade_more_with_india_than_the_uk_does-28785
Then of course the Airbus jets with British wings (±half the fuselage value) and British engines (±half the aircraft value) count as a British export to France when they go to Toulouse for final assembly - and a French export to China when they go to China....
How's it doing in areas of mass immigration, up?
Dunno wtf has that got to do with the price of bread? You mean you aren't pleased with good news on crime figures?
If you believe it.
1) it wasn't a 0.5% growth in government services
2) it didn't make the difference between a triple dip or not
Once again you retweet without checking, an increasing bad habit of yours
Are you still insisting that the £2,000 NI reduction for business in the budget isn't worth £2,000? Arf.
The French figure also looks a touch optimistic too given leading indicators.
Poor tim thinks that manufacturing and construction were booming under Labour. Between the start of 2000 to the end of 2009 manufacturing/production fell by about 16% and construction by 1%.
You were certainly pointing out the image problem but then it had and has a tendency to come across as standard lefty bile rather than acute insight.
I find it more interesting to look at this recent appointment to try to determine what the strategy is behind it because to me it seems like a quadruple bluff or I am missing something. A bit like EdM's interaction with the Unions. And I'm happy to have a nuanced discussion about it (there's that word again). Even with a lefty.
Anyway - I realise that we aren't MFEO on this site so I bid you well on your journey.