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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Local By-Election Summary : February 2019

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  • oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,845

    The latter is the key. Watson is an old union man iirc. If he gets some backing from the non-Red Len unions behind the scenes then maybe he will.

    Plus, what does his old mentor Gordon reckon is the thing to do? Probably stay and fight would be his advise.
    I don't think you can fight back against the sheer numbers of the Momentum cabal. And that is the problem. Entryism has corrupted the membership to such an extent that it is almost impossible to fight them.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,901

    Even worse is if some precedent is followed and a successor is a hyper-partisan like Bercow has become on this issue, but this time on the government's side. Bear in mind much of the time the government has a controlling majority in the Commons.

    In the USA the Speaker is a purely partisan position. Nobody pretends Nancy Pelosi is neutral. Bercow's actions are pushing us in that direction.

    Imagine if May had won a majority and made someone like Grayling a partisan speaker with the powers and willingness to tear up precedent that Bercow has ...
    Fortunately, if it were Grayling, he'd find a way to inadvertently make all his rulings benefit the opposition...
    Joking aside, your point is spot on. It is easy to imagine a hyper partisan Labour speaker too.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,243
    Nigelb said:

    Was that the MkI - and would it have sufficed (didn’t the Argentines have it) ?
    Only the French had the Mk1 in 1982.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,413
    edited March 2019

    Pretty much this, he isn't one for the fight generally and he isn't going to listen to him where he doesn't want to or need to.

    Labour were in pretty much open warfare for a couple of years before the 2017 election, by this point you'd think Corbyn was used to it.
    Whether one is frustrated or inspired by it, there's no disputing he is a very resilient chap. And buoyed by the membership he can take hits that would fell most leaders. Sure it eventually did lead to the tiggers and his numbers have been better, but I wont count him out. Watson has the ultimate threat of a walkout but he can only do it once and it concedes the party to Corbyn, so even if Corbyn is limited in what he can do theres even less Watson can do.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,710

    Pretty much this, he isn't one for the fight generally and he isn't going to listen to him where he doesn't want to or need to.

    Labour were in pretty much open warfare for a couple of years before the 2017 election, by this point you'd think Corbyn was used to it.
    He can roll out his greatest hits.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IPfUd6g4fIw
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,412

    It'd be a total waste if she does. Nothing would re-unite Labour quicker than the start of an election campaign.

    Far better to get a couple of years of them pulverising each other and then go to the polls.
    Good point.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,243
    MaxPB said:

    In non-Brexit related stuff. Was very disappointed at the IAG board and their special dividend. I say that as a holder of many, many IAG shares. The board are completely lacking in any vision and BA has gone from being best in class to being worst in class. It would have been much better for the board to earmark the special dividend to investment in the fleet so they can upgrade Club seating on a much faster schedule and replace the older planes a few years earlier.

    Instead of investing in the future of the company and potentially higher returns in the next 2-4 years, we've got a bribe to mollify the institutional shareholders. Truly, British management is awful.

    Yes.

    The only reason so many business people still use BA for long haul is because they're tied in to the Executive Club. Especially given how expensive they are, there's simply no reason to chose them over Virgin*, American or Air New Zealand.

    * And I abhor Richard Branson
  • mattmatt Posts: 3,789
    edited March 2019
    rcs1000 said:

    Yes.

    The only reason so many business people still use BA for long haul is because they're tied in to the Executive Club. Especially given how expensive they are, there's simply no reason to chose them over Virgin*, American or Air New Zealand.

    * And I abhor Richard Branson
    AA gains you Tier Points with the added advantages for granny fanciers given their cabin crew (my experience of a flight on Tuesday was an extreme example of the genre). Downside is that their service is US airline standard and their lounges are extraordinarily stingy on booze.
  • TheJezziahTheJezziah Posts: 3,840
    kle4 said:

    Whether one is frustrated or inspired by it, there's no disputing he is a very resilient chap. And buoyed by the membership he can take hits that would fell most leaders. Sure it eventually did lead to the tiggers and his numbers have been better, but I wont count him out. Watson has the ultimate threat of a walkout but he can only do it once and it concedes the party to Corbyn, so even if Corbyn is limited in what he can do theres even less Watson can do.
    I'm at the point where I can see the advantages either way, Corbyn and those around him will be much less up for it but you'd assume they could still appreciate the silver lining. He can offer him things that fit in with his own agenda somewhat or don't require huge compromise so he can justify staying.

    On Corbyn I think the @williamglenn video hints at why, my impression is he sees his political cause as bigger than himself (which can be true of good or bad people)
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,243
    matt said:

    AA gains you Tier Points with the added advantages for granny fanciers given their cabin crew (my experience of a flight on Tuesday was an extreme example of the genre). Downside is that their service is US airline standard and their lounges are extraordinarily stingy on booze.
    Ah, but there's no reason to use the AA lounges. In London, you use the BA one in Terminal 3, and in the US, you can almost always find a better BA/Qantas one. (I use the Qantas one in LA, and it's excellent.)
  • mattmatt Posts: 3,789
    edited March 2019
    rcs1000 said:

    Ah, but there's no reason to use the AA lounges. In London, you use the BA one in Terminal 3, and in the US, you can almost always find a better BA/Qantas one. (I use the Qantas one in LA, and it's excellent.)
    I’m sitting in the BA lounge in [East coast city]. Coincidentally the people near me are just saying “I’ll never fly American if there’s a choice”.*

    *The granny fancier point remains although a colleague tells me they are largely legacy America West. The original hires....
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,243
    matt said:

    I’m sitting in the BA lounge in [East coast city]. Coincidentally the people near me are just saying “I’ll never fly American if there’s a choice”.
    Really? AA business class has much better seats, all with aisle access. Worse food, mind.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    rcs1000 said:

    Really? AA business class has much better seats, all with aisle access. Worse food, mind.
    Window seats have aisle access? How does that work?
  • kyf_100kyf_100 Posts: 4,953
    rcs1000 said:

    Really? AA business class has much better seats, all with aisle access. Worse food, mind.
    Indeed. Whenever I flew with a former colleague, I ended up on a BA flight. Because she didn't want to let her gold exec club membership lapse. All I knew it meant was I wasn't getting any sleep on that flight. BA seats are the worst.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,243

    Window seats have aisle access? How does that work?
    See: https://www.aa.com/i18n/travel-info/experience/seats/flagship-business-international.jsp
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,243

    Window seats have aisle access? How does that work?
    This seat map also demonstrates it: https://www.seatguru.com/airlines/American_Airlines/American_Airlines_Boeing_787-9.php
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,243
    For LA - London, I tend to find myself on AirNZ - they have a good business class product (with the Virgin seats), and I can usually get return for sub $3,000, compared to around $2,000 for a BA Premium economy seat (and $8-10,000 for BA business).

    I tell myself that spending about $800 more is a valid business expense.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,243
    kyf_100 said:

    Indeed. Whenever I flew with a former colleague, I ended up on a BA flight. Because she didn't want to let her gold exec club membership lapse. All I knew it meant was I wasn't getting any sleep on that flight. BA seats are the worst.
    Sadly, the curse of "status" gets many people.
  • rpjsrpjs Posts: 3,787

    Window seats have aisle access? How does that work?
    Four across “reverse herringbone” so every seat is at about 45% to the direction of travel, but has direct aisle access. BA’s “yin-yang” style squeezes more seats in but most window and middle pax have to step over other’s feet if they’re fully reclined.

    BA’s new business class seat set to debut on their first A350 this year is going to have direct aisle access for all apparently.
  • rpjsrpjs Posts: 3,787
    rcs1000 said:

    Sadly, the curse of "status" gets many people.
    The perks of status can help make the whole experience a bit less miserable.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,281
    For an otherwise excellent airline (in Economy & IFE) Emirates has a shocking Business product - 2-3-2 on a 777. Qatar (herringbone, or the new Business First with your own cubicle, which I don't like) or Oman (individual forward facing seats) are excellent. But when it's my money, Economy is fine......
  • asjohnstoneasjohnstone Posts: 1,276
    rcs1000 said:

    For LA - London, I tend to find myself on AirNZ - they have a good business class product (with the Virgin seats), and I can usually get return for sub $3,000, compared to around $2,000 for a BA Premium economy seat (and $8-10,000 for BA business).

    I tell myself that spending about $800 more is a valid business expense.

    It's a good business class product, made great by the staff. Nicest people in the sky.

  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited March 2019
    rcs1000 said:

    For LA - London, I tend to find myself on AirNZ - they have a good business class product (with the Virgin seats), and I can usually get return for sub $3,000, compared to around $2,000 for a BA Premium economy seat (and $8-10,000 for BA business).

    I tell myself that spending about $800 more is a valid business expense.

    Never been to LA but when I went to New Zealand I used them and economy class was probably the best I've been in so far, (along with Qatar Airways).
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    rcs1000 said:

    For LA - London, I tend to find myself on AirNZ - they have a good business class product (with the Virgin seats), and I can usually get return for sub $3,000, compared to around $2,000 for a BA Premium economy seat (and $8-10,000 for BA business).

    I tell myself that spending about $800 more is a valid business expense.

    That’s an amazing price from Air NZ. Not one to pay myself for biz class but could be tempted by that one.

    BA longhaul product is way out of date now, except for the new 787 and A380. The shorthaul only looks good because it’s mostly up against Ryanair.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,801
    Sandpit said:

    That’s an amazing price from Air NZ. Not one to pay myself for biz class but could be tempted by that one.

    BA longhaul product is way out of date now, except for the new 787 and A380. The shorthaul only looks good because it’s mostly up against Ryanair.
    As Robert said, the curse of status is what keeps me flying BA, that and direct flights to Haneda. They keep promising to update the 777 to something newer on that flight but we're still waiting.

    Honestly, BA is due a huge market share drop and the stupidity of the management to dole out cash instead of investing in their awful planes has been disappointing. They are writing their own failure right now.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,453
    Good morning, everyone.

    Thanks for this, Mr. Hayfield.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,801
    rcs1000 said:

    Yes.

    The only reason so many business people still use BA for long haul is because they're tied in to the Executive Club. Especially given how expensive they are, there's simply no reason to chose them over Virgin*, American or Air New Zealand.

    * And I abhor Richard Branson
    Yes, I'm heading to LA in June. Decided on BA, worked out to just around £3.5k on business. Curse of status. D:
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,668
    MaxPB said:

    As Robert said, the curse of status is what keeps me flying BA, that and direct flights to Haneda. They keep promising to update the 777 to something newer on that flight but we're still waiting.

    Honestly, BA is due a huge market share drop and the stupidity of the management to dole out cash instead of investing in their awful planes has been disappointing. They are writing their own failure right now.
    Sounds like you think the company is a sell why are you still a holder, waiting for a bid?
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,453
    F1: Ferrari down to 2.2 and Leclerc to 5.5 (from 2.5 or so and 6.5 respectively yesterday).
  • MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034
    MaxPB said:

    Yes, I'm heading to LA in June. Decided on BA, worked out to just around £3.5k on business. Curse of status. D:
    Very interested in this conversation, as BA is about to re-open flights to Pakistan, which on the face of it, might be far more convenient for me (DC-London-Islamabad) than current available options - Qatar/Ittihad/Emirates for DC-Doha/Dubai-Islamabad.

    Would you guys recommend I don't switch from Qatar Airways to BA?
This discussion has been closed.