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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » May sees a huge drop in her YouGov leader ratings in three mon

The chart above sets it out clearly the dramatic collapse that Mrs May has seen in her YouGov Well/Badly leader ratings since the start of April.
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But, oddly enough, no great change in voting intentions.
*(Tories + DUP)
https://twitter.com/jeremy_hunt/status/1021361171960606722?s=21
https://twitter.com/PickardJE/status/1021389572129853440
Not quite the same, but May's favourability rating dropped from +10 to -34 over the course of the 2017 General Election campaign.
Tories 35 short of a majority, losing 27 seats to Labour.
Con 291
Lab 281
LD 16
Green 1
PC 3
SNP 40
NI 18
https://twitter.com/tseofpb/status/871432155330744320?s=21
http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2017/06/04/the-polling-that-should-worry-mrs-may-and-all-tories/
"Any Other" excl Lab, Con and LD is at 27-32 i.e. 3%+ chance. What is this?
May's a political antithesis of Alexander the Great or Hannibal. Faces a seemingly insurmountable object, and manages to still make it look bad when she fails to surmount it.
Anyway, you have reminded I need to write to my pension company....
Byyyyyeeeeeeee!!!!!!!!!!!
Eventually even she had to choose. That was always going to cost such a compromise candidate dear.
"Peaceful multicultural societies don't exist, Dutch FM says"
https://nltimes.nl/2018/07/18/peaceful-multicultural-societies-dont-exist-dutch-fm-says
"The Netherlands’ foreign minister has been criticised for saying he knew of no peaceful multicultural societies and calling Suriname, a former Dutch colony, a “failed state”.
Stef Blok, a member of the ruling VVD centre-right party, made the comments about migration and multiculturalism at a closed-door meeting of international organisations in The Hague last week.
“Give me an example of a multi-ethnic or a multicultural society, in which the original population still lives and where there is a peaceful cohabitation. I don’t know one,” Mr Blok said, according to a leaked recording of his address that was broadcast on Dutch television on Thursday."
https://www.ft.com/content/2892637c-8aa5-11e8-bf9e-8771d5404543
Was speculation with the change at the top of Ferrari that Raikkonen could remain after all.
Edited extra bit: and this is interesting. I didn't realise Raikkonen still had an old spec engine.
https://twitter.com/Formula1_GP/status/1021057573741637632
1. The Tories should have got rid after the ridiculous election fiasco but didn’t
2. Resulting in two years of dithering and indecision not just on Brexit
3. Leaving us in a very difficult position from which the lamentable effort that came out of Chequers is probably the best we can currently achieve
4. Which is still (just) better than a no deal and
5. Regrettably requires May to remain in place until the deal is done.
It’s being so cheerful that keeps me going.
That's dodgy as ****.
"Theresa May refuses to back Sajid Javid's decision not to block death penalty for Isil 'Beatles'"
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/07/23/theresa-may-refuses-back-sajid-javid-decision-not-block-death/
Don’t think it’ll be both of the latter two, but it’ll be one of them.
Dogs didn’t vote for Brexit.
Of course, pace @Cyclefree, I am having to cope with no chocolate on my cappuccinos but some sacrifices must be borne manfully.
/context.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S9MSka2l51A
And Northern Italy in late March is ..... well ..... freddo.
Anyway I am glad Northern Italians (even if they are practically German) are improving your coffee drinking habits.
Is a fairly standard thing these days. it's government by inaction.
https://www.thescottishsun.co.uk/news/2966275/living-wage-ministry-of-defence-wages/
I also agree with you that the stuff about Rule 2.1.8 was hammy, especially as they had so many other great points to make. That point could have been made succinctly and with much more impact.
The second point is also normal: it is making the point that the entity starting the investigation should know and clearly set out the legal/regulatory basis on which it is doing so and that failure to do so may render the proceedings so flawed that any conclusion arrived at the end of them cannot - legally - stand and could be overturned in court. It then sets out the rule and asks the party to confirm that this is the one - if Labour say yes and don't mention any other rule, for instance, they then can't then rely on a breach of that other rule at some later stage without getting into trouble again for procedural unfairness. By setting out the rule and why they think Mrs H is not in breach they are also indicating that they think the party's substantive case is shite and that Mrs H is going to fight.
In short, they're making it clear that Mrs H is not going to make this easy for them.
Mind you I have a very good friend working there and she is a very fine litigator.
Those like you on the other hand will have to contend with the fact that you thought you were being patriotic when in fact you inadvertently betrayed the democratic West by being just another Useful Idiot in the machinations of a Russian despot.
Something they welcomed I believe.
Charles Hawtrey for JRM & Babs Windsor for Ruth Davidson just to fuck with peoples' heads.
Bernard Bresslaw for Grayling.
Was interested that Corbyn said a complaint has been made, is he saying that it wasn't him that complained? Seemed strange.
The recent convention is that we (The UK Govt) don’t hand over the evidence if there is a risk of the accused receiving the death penalty.
We only hand over the evidence once we’ve got assurances that the death penalty won’t be used.
"We've only got 3 days of fresh food supply outside of supermarkets. There'll be trollies thrown through supermarket windows at the end of the first week" is what a senior industry analyst told me. And hey presto, turns out the industry experts are, well, experts after all and not the rent-a-shit morons leading the leave campaign
"We will feel virtuous in our knowledge that we did not participate in the furtherance of the foreign policy agenda of one Vladimir Putin."
When Brexit is complete we'll invite you all to hold hands with us before we toast you in vodka, tovarisch.
The other policy change Javid seems to have instigated is support for Guantanamo trials/tribunals.
Our preference has been for trials in the normal US justice system.