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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » This is more of a Dieppe Raid than a D-Day success for DD
This is meant to be the basis of legally binding text. There is nothing judiciable about aspiration…
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Edited addition: Sam Coates seems to be quite manic about all this - maybe he should go and have a lie down somewhere. His desperate attempts to sow discord are reminiscent of Lord Adonis - and he has never recovered!
Average of the 10 most recent German opinion polls:
CDU/CSU 32.7%
SPD 17.3%
AfD 14.6%
Greens 12.0%
Left 10.7%
FDP 8.2%
Others 4.5%
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_German_federal_election#Poll_results
Our position is now to stay in the CU as long as the EU finds that convenient.
As you say, probably the best Deal that we could get.
There’s a group of Westminster Villagers that have been driven completely nuts by brexit.
It will bring long overdue austerity to the country, will be the perfect excuse to abolish working tax credits.
Says every trade secretary for the next 50 years.
The EU has tabled a serious proposal. The UK government has still not been able to agree within itself on a counter proposal. Who isn't being serious here?
"Nine people have been arrested over allegations of fraud in connection with the Grenfell Tower fire.
Eight men and one woman were detained by officers during raids at about 07:00 BST at 11 addresses, mainly in west London, the Met Police said.
In a briefing, the force said two of the people arrested are linked but that all of the alleged offences are separate.
The value of the alleged frauds range from £25,000 to £100,000."
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-london-44396514
So if we’re staying in one we might as stay in both.
the whole Brexit exercise was totally avoidable and started with Dave not knowing why he wanted to be PM when he got there
really this country has pissed the last twenty years away
https://twitter.com/JohnJHarwood/status/1004691506438070272
As I said, compared with the shitshow of today, not the worst scenario in the world, but Dave knew just what he was doing when he promised a referendum.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/may/22/brexit-vote-cost-uk-mark-carney-bank-of-england
I have seen no such news regarding this particular child co of Steinhoff.
Having said that, as a negotiating position it makes your marzipan dildo look good. Who would accept this? What on earth does it mean? It is an agreement to agree unless they don't in which case, well, we work that out later.
It started with the modernisers not knowing how to modernise. To win an election the conservatives needed a broad church that meant keeping the right of the party on board while winning centre ground votes.
The numpties running it chased centre ground votes by pissing on their core supporters, telling them to fk off to ukip and then looked surprised when they did.
Furthermore Cameron had little interest in life outside the SouthEast
Then they'll probably do the silly handshake thing and indulge in a bout of Greco-Roman wrestling
Or Trump will do what he always does and declare victory
It is a non-starter as a position.
You can have one but not both, both to the EU means full membership of the EU.
The reason HMG had to agree a backstop is that the EU was unwilling to discuss anything further without it.
I have a very good idea (short of @HYUFD's 100% certainty having interviewed every voter in the UK) why the referendum was lost - it was the classic: "what are you rebelling against? What have you got?"
It gave people an opportunity to make a difference when previously they had felt marginalised. It gave people who were suffering from any number of things, primarily GFC-related, a chance to choose something that could hardly have made their lives any worse. It gave people the power that they felt had been denied them for so long.
I am perfectly aware that a line that said: "modern, collaborative capitalism - not going to get you untrammelled riches, but the best we've got for the moment"....was not going to swing it.
If we end up in the single market and customs union, paying for the privilege of being governed by the foreign body the electorate voted to leave, the public will have nothing but contempt for the political class that has sold them down the river and denied the referendum result because the voters had the temerity to disagree with the consensus of the Westminster village.
In happier news, there's a race this weekend, so that at least should provide some welcome distraction.
"the public will have nothing but contempt for the political class"
I bet you that whatever happens in the next five years, that will continue to be the case.
They allow Trump, as you say, to declare victory. While nothing really changes.
Problem is there are more people in the electorate than there are in your party
Trump has decided to be the cat among the pigeons and some of the pigeons risk losing feathers.
Mr. rpjs, I voted to leave the EU. If we can't leave the EU because the political class decides listening to the electorate is optional, that doesn't bode well for the future.
Still very much an outside chance, but it's this kind of insanity that could see the far right rise, to match the far left capture of Labour (although that was due to the idiocy of Labour MPs).
Modern capitalist societies are problematic. They give some people Porsches and others mini-metros (or did). People who live in tiny terraced houses can be found with fuck off Range Rovers parked outside because they have got them on the never never and everyone has one. Meanwhile, China is eating everyone's lunch as they were always going to do at some point and we are now near that point.
The Conservatives used to be about balancing the competing desires of society, all within a sensible economic framework. But eventually, they couldn't fight those forces which mean that we now have 1bn competitors to manufacture goods that we used to manufacture on the one hand, and a society that is in transition to a higher value add producing one where not everyone will be able to be a winner, on the other.
I didn't mention anything about the Conservative Party's internal squabbles.
It's enough to make people socialist, which is another phenomenon that has been emerging in case you haven't noticed.
We are leaving, but we will remain de facto in a CU. That is NOT the same as being part of the EU proper.
But as you say, and as we all know, the EU have not tabled any proposals about a future treaty because of sequencing (which the UK agreed to).
https://twitter.com/CorbynHope_less/status/1004006315050635264
As I've mentioned before, when the BBC ran Question Time from Boston just before the referendum and managed to unearth an audience with a large majority of Remainers, I began to doubt myself.
I need not have bothered, they were the ones out of touch. that's why the result came like a thunderbolt to the 'great and the good'.
Mr Eagles, you'll really have to chill out. There's no point grieving for the EU, it is no more, it is pushing up the daisies etc. We voted to leave and that decision reassured me I was talking to real people.
They're quiet for now, uninterested in the political shenanigans going on. They have a life to get on with and obsessing over the EU isn't one of their priorities. However, if BINO should occur, the anger will erupt again. And many in Labour realise this.
You can tease all you like, but we won, and democracy won.
It's never the management's fault anymore or the way they run the business of course when a business retrenches or consolidates.
There was a time when we used to target a high wage high skill workforce, even the TUs don't do that much more.
FTFY
Roflcopter
Look forward to the BINO anger eruption
https://www.tutor2u.net/business/blog/problems-at-poundland
Look at that share price drop in the second link.
lie back and have a cigarette
Mr. Pulpstar, isn't it a different discount chain? Poundworld or suchlike?
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-44398352
"They have never had any interest in negotiation which is something the UK side should have realised long ago."
They may well intend to negotiate, they may even try, but a committee of 27 pulling in different directions means they won't be able to. In any event, giving deadlines to bureaucrats means no decision would be possible until the day before anyway.
Anecdata has it in any case that British people don't necessarily want to work in Starbucks (I'm none too sure but I did have a friend who opened a coffee shop near Drury Lane and received 100 applications to work there, one of which was from a Brit - anecdata as I said) but they sure as hell should aspire to working in Cambridge Science Centre.
What the EU has done and they have broken their rules here is say "we do not want a hard border so in the case of no agreed solution we offer a backstop. The backstop is that NI and NI only not any other part of the UK will remain in the CU and the SM." How they achieve this legally they have not said. But the key point is they have repeated and repeated that it is NI only.
T May and her advisers took this and translated it to "if we submit enough proposals then they will say yes to the UK staying in the SM and CU as part of the backstop."
"Look forward to the BINO anger eruption."
It won't happen because BINO won't happen, because politicians have a keen sense of their own survival. Only the media fool themselves completely. Like the Spanish Inquisition, they never expected Brexit.
The biggest issue we will face is having too many people once next generation automation gets going. Manufacturing will lose lots of jobs to robotics, professional services too. We don't need cheap labour we need skilled people able to interface with machinery and other people.
That's not what any of the political parties is offering atm