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Matt Hancock living his best life during #PMQs pic.twitter.com/hefCqW8Fua
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Oh, well. Second, then.
Oh Vanilla, you naughty little Minx. Teasing me with the promise of a first, only to sneakily reveal posts later. Wait until I get my hands on you!
Shall we add France to the list?
https://www.telesurtv.net/english/news/France-New-Bill-Will-Jail-Undocumented-Immigrants-for-1-Year-20180423-0002.html
Edit, or Sweden?
https://www.thelocal.se/20180504/swedish-social-democrats-aim-to-halve-refugee-numbers
Just spotted the PS - much more likely PS – Another Matt Hancock tip is the 20/1 Ladbrokes are offering on him to be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer.
Especially if May does not go voluntarily.....her immediate replacement may not fare too well....
The prime minister is boiling the Brexiteer frogs: the water is getting hotter and none of them has jumped out of the pan
https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/theresa-may-boris-johnson-soft-brexit-customs-a8359371.html
You say that likes it a good thing...
Shame then this electorate will see Brexit as being down to a hand played badly by the Cameron/Osborne Axis. Especially those with a post-Remain Govt. job offer in their wallet from Osborne....
Immigration is the number one concern for people across Europe, with terrorism following closely behind, according to a wide-ranging poll released Friday.
In nine European countries — Great Britain, France, Germany, Denmark, Sweden, Finland, Lithuania, Greece and Italy — people believe the biggest problem facing the European Union (EU) is immigration, a YouGov poll found. The only two countries where immigration was not the top EU concern were Poland and Spain, where terrorism and unemployment took the top spots, respectively.
http://dailycaller.com/2018/05/12/immigration-top-concern-europe/
https://yougov.co.uk/news/2018/05/11/yougov-data-reveals-what-europeans-think-are-most-/
I think Hunt is much more likely to get PM, but I've had a couple of quid on Hancock just in case.
As TSE says, he very much on the Cameron wing of the party and I seem to remember him saying some stuff about Ukip on Question Time that I thought was a bit out of order (can't remember what exactly).
Sorry for being so vague!
Just found this on youtube from 2011. Hancock does a very good job of making the case for Brexit!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lB6t7QNbRIc
(And for the record, the same is true of BOE QE - that will never be repaid. And BOJ or Federal Reserve debt. It will never be formally written off, but as no repayment will ever be demanded, and as all interest payments are returned, it is of no consequence whatsoever.)
Back to the article in hand, I suspect that the EU will allow a little bit of latitude to the government of Italy. But they - the powers that be in the EU - do have one advantage: people only buy Italian government bonds because they feel they are implicitly backed by the ECB and the EU. And if Italian government bond yields start rising, then the first order effect is that the money available to Five Star diminishes. The second order effect is that Italian banks find it harder to fund themselves, and credit dries up in Italy. Of course, this is a dangerous path for the ECB/EU to go down, but economic reality and Beppe Grillo are about to meet. It will be interesting to see what happens.
How many migrants trek to a middle income country with an indecipherable language?
Sharapova won the first set and lost the match. Boo hiss.
On-topic: hmm. Interesting idea, Mr. Eagles. I've backed an awful lot of contenders, but might put on a smidgen at long odds.
I hope the couple don't fall into the trap of believing the hype, concentrate on their marriage, family (with luck) and what they can do with the privileges they enjoy.
Enough.
Some exquisite birdsong this morning in my garden. And more glorious weather on the way.
Perhaps the concern is stimulated by seeing what goes on - or is perceived as going on - in other countries and wanting to avoid it. Germany's actions in 2015 have a lot to answer for. I can provide no proof but I do wonder whether the referendum would have been won by Remain had it not been for Germany's unilateral actions over the migrant crisis.
This has three first order effects: Firstly, it directly injects £435bn into the economy; Secondly, it lowers the cost of government funding by introducing a purchase who buys irrespective of price; and Thirdly, it allows the government to save on interest (and principle) repayments.
However, it's *real* goal is a second order effect: by making returns on government bonds less attractive (by lowering their returns via primary purpose two), it encourages spending over saving.
But Sweden is a rich country, with a generous welfare system, universal English and low unemployment.
Lithuania is a much less well off country, with a limited welfare system, patchy English and medium unemployment.
Unlike in Estonia, where there are now more people returning than leaving, Lithuania continues to suffer from significant emigration. (And emigration lowers demand for housing, which lowers house prices, which means that implicit savings falls, increasing the savings rate, and slowing domestic demand...)
If you don’t like fawning and endless coverage, you can always opt out.
If you are (say) a Somali migrant in the Netherlands, then until you get a Dutch passport, you're stuck there.
(In the case of the Somalis, albeit no other groups as far as I can tell, then the moment they got Dutch passports they headed for the UK.)
Matt Hancock seems to have suffered from being attached to Osborne and denoted a 'rising star' making little impression. If he's doing a competent job as a minister fair play but from his public appearances he doesn't strike me as convincing.
It does show that we need to address migration issues as a Continent though, and consider how best to ameliorate it. This little graphic from one of my favourite tweeters gives a clue why:
https://twitter.com/simongerman600/status/997432109647179781?s=19
Africa has the worlds youngest population, and its fastest growing. Just as you cannot buck the market economically, you cannot buck it demographically.
https://twitter.com/bbcthree/status/997791204724084736
Meanwhile from Australia to the US, the lead story in many outlets is the wedding, Singapore even picking up that their national flower had been embroidered on the veil, along with the other Commonwealth countries. Nice to have one part of the establishment which can still rise to the occasion...
So, the Netherlands is a relatively unusual starting place, with its distinguishing feature being that it gets long haul migrants on freighters arriving into Rotterdam.
Most poor migrants arrive in Greece or Italy, due to there being close geographically to Africa. (Interestingly, Spain - despite being closest of the lot to Africa - does a much better job of discouraging them.)
In Leicester we also have a small Lusophone Indian population, who seem to be mostly Mozambican, and a Francophone Maghreb population too, but they are very much the exceptions. Most migration is more direct.
Currently 33% trust the Conservatives most to handle the Brexit negotiations compared to 20% for Labour. The Conservative lead of 13 points on this issue is the largest since the general election.
Interestingly, Remainers have appear to be losing trust in Labour on Brexit. In December 2017 a third (34%) of Remainers trusted Labour most on Brexit while 22% trusted the Tories most. This month only 27% (-7%) trust Labour the most compared to 24% (+2%).for the Conservatives.
http://opinium.co.uk/political-polling-15th-may-2018/
A 12 point Labour lead among Remainers cut to 3 points.....maybe one factor in the overall poll performance....
One at least test for Hancock will be the rollout of faster broadband. There are, I understand, areas of his own constituency where people talk about having what are, effectively, dial-up speeds. And I understand the same applies in parts of Norfiolk. Mine in N Essex gets to about 17mps, which isn’t, in this day and age that good, although since I don’t watch much TV on oit, it’’s OK for me.
And welcome!
Approve / Disapprove / Neither
May: 35 / 43 / 23
Corbyn: 29 / 47 / 24
Cable: 19 / 27 / 54
In the 'Among own party' approval ratings (ie Tory voters on May, Labour on Corbyn etd.(net):
May: +66
Corbyn: +57
Cable: +71 (small base)
Sturgeon: +72 (very small base)
Neither Tory nor Labour voters particularly thrilled with their leaders - nor particularly cheesed off either...
But here's the thing: there are policies that work to discourage people from turning up, and there are policies that don't.
The ones that work best are often low key (giving visas to those who "rat" on employers who employee illegal immigrants) and are opposed by vested interests, or - for that matter - immigration hardliners ("Give visas! We're practically encouraging them to come here").
I also have to say I don't like or rate David Davis, but I'll take him over a dodgy idiot like Starmer any day of the week.
" ,,, also have to say I don't like or rate David Davis, but I'll take him over a dodgy idiot like Starmer any day of the week."
Starmer comes over to me as 'oily' and reminds me of Kenneth Baker from the spitting image days. Probably totally unfair, but he exudes the same aura.
Reactions about the wedding as expected. Republicans irritated, but from the bits I saw it was less boring than usual. And the Rev Curry definitely the star. The BBC fawning as usual, but a good boost for tourism.
Within about 2 minutes you'll have Africans trying to hawk you sunglasses and cheap watches. And they will repeat this all day long, at regular intervals, even if they know you've said "no" before.
If the Guardia Civil turn up, they scatter to the seven winds.
I was interested in the comments yesterday about Bishop Michael Curry so dug out his sermon on Youtube. I think he's great and an inspired choice (presumably also Meghan) for the event.
Minor Royals are their destiny in terms of line to the throne, but Harry and Meghan will be major celebrities, not least because of the obvious affection and common interests between William and Harry. The continuing transformation of Royalty to Celebrity has reached a new level. Fame and good works now count for more than bloodline, which does fundamentally alter what Royalty is about.
Coincidentally he is first interviewee up on Marr this morning
Welcome to PB.
I wish I could refute that.
https://twitter.com/KTHopkins/status/997841195165454337?s=19
Expect in future the global Anglican church to look rather more like Michael Curry than Justin Welby
Its fairytale, pomp, carriages and a beautiful castle with an American bride and lots of celebs includIng the Clooneys on display - a classic Hollywood movie. So not surprised the LA crowd lapped it up.
McDonnell has cottoned onto it. He'll use it to finance infrastructure spending. Sounds to me a more effective direct use than hoping for the second order effect of lowering the cost of government debt to discourage savers and encourage spenders.
https://twitter.com/donmoyn/status/997935413351387136?s=19
A key competitor is surely Raab? However, I saw him on QT this week, and I thought he came across as very effective and professional, but lacked warmth. Felt a little robotic.
I'm already on Hancock, but might top up by a couple of quid. Thanks TSE.
Dire result for the Left.
Wow.