politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Corbyn’s Ipsos MORI satisfaction ratings drop to lowest point

LDs up 4% to 10% with @IpsosMORI – their highest share in any poll since GE2017 pic.twitter.com/YysjQCFjhn
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
Though Jezza does seem to be experiencing a deserved downdraft.
Lucky for him there are a few of those out there.
The key graph may well be:
https://image.slidesharecdn.com/ipsosmoripoliticalmonitorapril2018-180430110008/95/ipsos-mori-political-monitor-april-2018-10-638.jpg?cb=1525086076
Even at his best, his absolute best, Corbyn - as befits an election loser - was not net popular, and he's starting to head back down to the levels of Ed Miliband, IDS and Kinnock.
Netanyahu has called a special meeting of his Security Cabinet before he is set to speak on a 'significant development' on the Iran nuclear deal.
His speech follows the visit by US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo yesterday, during which the pair discussed Iran and the accord.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-5674503/Israeli-PM-Netanyahu-says-reveal-dramatic-news-Iran-nuclear-deal.html
Just off to check on the nuclear bomb shelter at the end of the garden...
https://www.ipsos.com/ipsos-mori/en-uk/political-monitor-satisfaction-ratings-1997-present
tldr summary
Labour in 1997 remained popular until ca. 1999
Cameron's coalition first went unpopular in Sept. 2010, and remained that way for the rest of the parliament, getting back to ca. minus 10 (a historically good score) just before the election.
Another polling company sometimes publish Europe wide stats. Turns out all governments are unpopular. Who would have thought?
Its about as headline worthy as none of the above being seen as a better PM than Corbyn.
https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2018/04/germany-jews-muslim-migrants/558677/
With an interesting postscript -
…After the video documenting an anti-Semitic attack in Berlin went viral, it emerged that the man wearing a kippa wasn’t a Jew, but an Arab-Israeli. Initially skeptical of the claim that it was dangerous for observant Jews to walk the streets of Berlin, he undertook the experiment of walking around in a kippa. It convinced him he’d been wrong. He said he publicized the attack to document “for the police and for the German people and even the world to see how terrible it is these days as a Jew to go through Berlin streets.”
As of now both Hamilton and Vettel can both be backed to win the title at odds against.
Vettel 2.08, Hamilton 2.32.
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/motor-sport/event/28455074/market?marketId=1.136273652
I’m on Lewis, having backed Vettel at better odds earlier. Lewis was 1.6ish a month ago.
When interviewed by Adrian Chiles on Radio Daily Mirror, Chiles pretty much said well you went around asking for it and come on I get similar level of abuse when I go out and about because I am a famous fat WBA fan.
In a nutshell, how some people don't see antisemitism as real racism.
On-topic: neither of them are exactly flavour of the month.
Mr. Urquhart, wrong sort of bigotry, it seems...
https://twitter.com/WingsScotland/status/990938040553168896
Still, 20-25 SLab gains at the next GE for sure.
Talk about King Canute - retail and internet trading will force change and the CEO of Sainsbury has said there will be a 10% drop in consumer prices.
https://twitter.com/PennyMordaunt/status/990887967647584257
As an aside, Women and Equalities is in an ineffably stupid term.
He is really going to cause labour problems
Flash in the pan.
https://twitter.com/paulwaugh/status/990976313904295936
I’m struggling to get this one.
Basically.
Yes.
Here’s Lib Dem peer Lord Roberts comparing Brexit to the rise of Hitler.
https://twitter.com/_/status/990967981449637889
It should be allowed to go ahead, of course.
The trade is brutally competitive, before you even add the threat of Amazon.
I’ve gone through my own grieving process after Brexit, but if I was a hard Brexiter I’d be bricking it at the moment.
oligopolies help no-one
1. The councils up for election this time around are more Remain-y than last year
2. 2014 was a terrible year for the LDs
3. UKIP has gone away
Against that, the LDs under Tim Farron were at 10-12% in the polls last year, against 7-8% now, and that's a big deficit to make up.
My guess is that the LDs will manage a NEV share of 16-17%, and a small (20-30?) net gain of councillors, pretty much all of which will be in London.
I guess not having the separation of powers formalised in a constitution is fine, until legislators start acting like idiots by trying to usurp the proper functions of the executive.
because all those European nations are just lining up to welcome us back
#pefidiousalbion
You are convinced it would be different this time....
That's what you wanted.
You won!
Suck it up...
But not necessarily for the reasons Mr Dunt hopes.....
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/jul/01/brexit-cannot-be-cancelled-or-delayed-says-francois-hollande
nobody on the continent cares any more.
pain grille
10 most recent opinion polls this year, averages:
Con 41.4%
Lab 39.8%
LD 8.0%
UKIP 3.5%
Greens 2.2%
Others 5.1%
10 most recent opinion polls before 2014 local elections held on 22nd May, averages:
Lab 35.3%
Con 32.3%
UKIP 14.0%
LD 9.0%
Greens 4.1%
Others 5.2%
Changes:
Con +9.1%
Lab +4.5%
LD -1.0%
UKIP -10.5%
Greens -1.9%
Others -0.1%
Swing, 2.3% from Lab to Con
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_United_Kingdom_general_election,_2015
I'm not sure what the Lords are hoping to achieve.
If somehow they conspire to reverse the referendum, they destroy trust in democracy and with it themselves.
If they let parliament block any deal, then we bust out without one - which may or not be a good thing, depending on who you ask, but is pointless from the Lords point of view.
Or it gets reversed in the Commons, and all that happens is that the Lords get to feel good about how superior they are for a while....
https://twitter.com/ProfChalmers/status/990994535797927937
Maybe they and the rather different Waitrose have a business model which works but the big four don't.
If May can’t reverse this amendment she should call another election.
Obviously in the burbs is where you get the big competition with the likes of WholeFoods, Publix, etc
Travelling extensively across the states, when you get to some less fashionable states the small towns can be just Walmart and only with a tiny fresh food section.
Though, as an aside, I did mention the 6.25 (later 6, for a long while) on a second referendum before a certain date. Might try hedging that.
It guarantees that we are not able to revoke it without a total breakdown between Westminster and the country. Whether the procedure is revocable is moot;politically, the overwhelming majority of MPs voted for us to leave the EU by March next year. After that was decided, all else is just noise.
So angry were (at least) 123,821 voters in response to the Lords’ vote to keep the UK in the Customs Union (that is: “stay in the EU in an even less satisfactory manner than now”) that they signed Robert McBride’s petition to “Give the electorate a referendum on the abolition of the House of Lords”. Because the number of signatories exceeds 100,000, the Government is rules-bound to offer a debate in Parliament on the topic — and to offer a response.
https://capx.co/heal-the-nation-abolish-the-house-of-lords/