politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Theresa May now level-pegging with “Don’t know” as to who woul
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10.All site contributors are presumed to be turnips unless otherwise proven.malcolmg said:
You need a number 10 Robert to make it like the Commandmentsrcs1000 said:I realise there some can be some confusion about what is, and is not, allowed on pb.
The rules are pretty simple:
1. Don't deny the holocaust. And if you do deny the holocaust and are asked politely by the moderators to stop, then stop. Don't keep posting about how it didn't happen.
2. Don't be rude about OGH. He doesn't like it, and will ban you.
3. Avoid overtly racist or antisemitic posts.
4. Don't libel public figures. OGH has had correspondance from Carter Ruck in the past, and he didn't enjoy the experience. If you're putting OGH in danger of getting sued, you will be banned.
5. Be nice about Radiohead. rcs1000 (me) runs the technical side of the site, and I will ban you if you are caught denying they are the greatest band of the last 30 years. (If you say say that they might be second only to The National, then I might forgive you.)
6. Don't claim to have tipped certain outcomes when you didn't.
7. If you enter into a bet with another site member, then - if you lose - you need to pay up or you will be banned.
8. Don't have multiple different IDs.
9. Use a genuine email address when registering.0 -
I know rounding can make it difficult to see, but I'm struggling to see how the change in that Comres poll is a net negative 3. Where have they gone?0
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How shit are Spurs, absolutely getting mullered by Man City, a side Liverpool beat 5-1 on aggregate.0
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Jezza's Putin Puppet routine isn't doing him any harm. He like Oasis during Brit Pop, as Noel said he could record himself doing a shit and the kids would still buy a million copies.TheScreamingEagles said:ComRes
twitter.com/NCPoliticsUK/status/9852327582711316480 -
Jon Moss really is a crap referee, Ben Davies deserved three red cards for that challenge.
Still not as incompetent as his performance in the Liverpool/Spurs match when he was conned by diving Spurs players.0 -
I reckon he has dirt on Mike Riley.TheScreamingEagles said:Jon Moss really is a crap referee, Ben Davies deserved three red cards for that challenge.
Still not as incompetent as his performance in the Liverpool/Spurs match when he was conned by diving Spurs players.0 -
And now the whole wretched UK government Skripal narrative falling apart:
https://www.usnews.com/news/world/articles/2018-04-14/russia-trace-of-western-made-nerve-agent-seen-in-uk-samples
It shouldn't come as a surprise to anyone that the UK government is being caught out lying yet again. Of course the BBC propaganda won't cover this, just as they won't cover the fraud, theft and money laundering. Why? Follow the money and you will see people in the BBC linked to it all via Companies House documents. That's not lizard conspiracy theory, that's fact. Follow the money.0 -
Jeremy Corbyn or equivalent will be next our PM. The Tories are a busted flush - why would you vote for them?FrancisUrquhart said:
Jezza's Putin Puppet routine isn't doing him any harm. He like Oasis during Brit Pop, as Noel said he could record himself doing a shit and the kids would still buy a million copies.TheScreamingEagles said:ComRes
twitter.com/NCPoliticsUK/status/985232758271131648
(And stopping JC is not a strong enough reason)0 -
1/11th of former Tory supporters seeing through their disgraceful lies over Skripal and Syria I'm glad to see.TheScreamingEagles said:0 -
Indeed. It is all there, plain as day, in the Change of Company Accounting Reference Date Form of the Elders of Zion (form AA01).hunchman said:And now the whole wretched UK government Skripal narrative falling apart:
https://www.usnews.com/news/world/articles/2018-04-14/russia-trace-of-western-made-nerve-agent-seen-in-uk-samples
It shouldn't come as a surprise to anyone that the UK government is being caught out lying yet again. Of course the BBC propaganda won't cover this, just as they won't cover the fraud, theft and money laundering. Why? Follow the money and you will see people in the BBC linked to it all via Companies House documents. That's not lizard conspiracy theory, that's fact. Follow the money.0 -
The Tories polled 43.5% GB wide in the general election, which rounded up is 44%, so when they poll 40% with ComRes it is a 4% drop, is things like that.tlg86 said:I know rounding can make it difficult to see, but I'm struggling to see how the change in that Comres poll is a net negative 3. Where have they gone?
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It really, really is.murali_s said:
Jeremy Corbyn or equivalent will be next our PM. The Tories are a busted flush - why would you vote for them?FrancisUrquhart said:
Jezza's Putin Puppet routine isn't doing him any harm. He like Oasis during Brit Pop, as Noel said he could record himself doing a shit and the kids would still buy a million copies.TheScreamingEagles said:ComRes
twitter.com/NCPoliticsUK/status/985232758271131648
(And stopping JC is not a strong enough reason)0 -
Childish nonsense, entirely befitting of you.Ishmael_Z said:
Indeed. It is all there, plain as day, in the Change of Company Accounting Reference Date Form of the Elders of Zion (form AA01).hunchman said:And now the whole wretched UK government Skripal narrative falling apart:
https://www.usnews.com/news/world/articles/2018-04-14/russia-trace-of-western-made-nerve-agent-seen-in-uk-samples
It shouldn't come as a surprise to anyone that the UK government is being caught out lying yet again. Of course the BBC propaganda won't cover this, just as they won't cover the fraud, theft and money laundering. Why? Follow the money and you will see people in the BBC linked to it all via Companies House documents. That's not lizard conspiracy theory, that's fact. Follow the money.0 -
Harry Kane scores one for Spurs.0
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That article falls over with who has given the evidence: the Russian foreign minister is hardly impartial. Russia's already had many different stories about what happened and who to blame: why do you believe this one over the other sh*t he's spread about?hunchman said:And now the whole wretched UK government Skripal narrative falling apart:
https://www.usnews.com/news/world/articles/2018-04-14/russia-trace-of-western-made-nerve-agent-seen-in-uk-samples
It shouldn't come as a surprise to anyone that the UK government is being caught out lying yet again. Of course the BBC propaganda won't cover this, just as they won't cover the fraud, theft and money laundering. Why? Follow the money and you will see people in the BBC linked to it all via Companies House documents. That's not lizard conspiracy theory, that's fact. Follow the money.0 -
I thought it was the Swedes who did it. Or the Czechs. Or the Slovaks. Or it was accidental. Or it never happened. Or *insert Russian conspiracy theory #345345354*JosiasJessop said:
That article falls over with who has given the evidence: the Russian foreign minister is hardly impartial. Russia's already had many different stories about what happened and who to blame: why do you believe this one over the other sh*t he's spread about?
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Others (including Plaid) got 1.2% at the 2017 GE. This poll implies others on 3%.TheScreamingEagles said:
The Tories polled 43.5% GB wide in the general election, which rounded up is 44%, so when they poll 40% with ComRes it is a 4% drop, is things like that.tlg86 said:I know rounding can make it difficult to see, but I'm struggling to see how the change in that Comres poll is a net negative 3. Where have they gone?
Perhaps they should list "some other as yet unnamed centrist party" when they poll.
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He's right - I cut it short.Richard_Tyndall said:
Although like the Crimea it suffers from being stuck in a bottleneck at the Skagerrak.Sunil_Prasannan said:
Russia gained Konigsberg in 1945, unfortunately.Charles said:
Preventing Russia from obtaining a warm water port has been an objective of British foreign policy for over 250 years.stodge said:Afternoon all
Well, I'd say "so far, so reasonable". Plenty of chest-thumping and positive spin from Trump, May and others but I'd like some independent verification as to the effectiveness of these strikes.
I'm not a supporter of the Prime Minister or her Government but it appears a well-planned, co-ordinated and restricted attack on certain installations appears to have been carried out with the customary effectiveness by the Armed Forces involved.
It's completely right and proper to question the medium and long term consequences of what we have done. None of this will stop the slaughter of men, women and children by other, more conventional means, I fear.
I think the diplomatic aim has to be to prize Russia from Assad but that will mean a Syrian Government recognising Russian strategic interests at Tartus and elsewhere even if that Government throws Assad and his thugs under the nearest tank.
I'm convinced Putin needs a ruined client state in Damascus like he needs a hole in the head so let's start sweetening a deal which guarantees Russian strategic interests while offering them a chance to disengage from active participation in the civil war.
Our policy with Russia is 'no warm water port' and 'no free access to the Med'0 -
Fieldwork 11th and 12th. I'm sure you are right though.FrancisUrquhart said:
Jezza's Putin Puppet routine isn't doing him any harm. He like Oasis during Brit Pop, as Noel said he could record himself doing a shit and the kids would still buy a million copies.TheScreamingEagles said:ComRes
twitter.com/NCPoliticsUK/status/9852327582711316480 -
No problem , I was confused because I did not really know what had been said.Glad it has been cleared up.Cheersydoethur said:
You said I needed to play more Wagnerian voluntaries.Yorkcity said:
That implies that I play them in the first place.
I may not be English, but I never play anything more jingoistic or right wing than Parry. (Parry may have been a racist bastard but he could at least compose!)
Edit - oops, sorry, @Yorkcity it was @RoyalBlue. Your avatars are too similar.
How would you like me to grovel?0 -
Don't let him off so easily! Make him pay a penance: just as a thought, how about getting him to play some Wagner for ten minutes every morning for a week?Yorkcity said:
No problem , I was confused because I did not really know what had been said.Glad it has been cleared up.Cheersydoethur said:
You said I needed to play more Wagnerian voluntaries.Yorkcity said:
That implies that I play them in the first place.
I may not be English, but I never play anything more jingoistic or right wing than Parry. (Parry may have been a racist bastard but he could at least compose!)
Edit - oops, sorry, @Yorkcity it was @RoyalBlue. Your avatars are too similar.
How would you like me to grovel?
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It's more than enough of a reason for me. TSE's Harry Kane post deserves some accolades.murali_s said:
Jeremy Corbyn or equivalent will be next our PM. The Tories are a busted flush - why would you vote for them?FrancisUrquhart said:
Jezza's Putin Puppet routine isn't doing him any harm. He like Oasis during Brit Pop, as Noel said he could record himself doing a shit and the kids would still buy a million copies.TheScreamingEagles said:ComRes
twitter.com/NCPoliticsUK/status/985232758271131648
(And stopping JC is not a strong enough reason)0 -
Warmongering not proving popular? Who would have thought?TheScreamingEagles said:0 -
Doesn't really tie in with the fieldwork dates. More likely a reversion to the mean.Foxy said:
Warmongering not proving popular? Who would have thought?TheScreamingEagles said:0 -
That's before this action. Also 2% gone back to UKIPFoxy said:
Warmongering not proving popular? Who would have thought?TheScreamingEagles said:0 -
Broken, sleazy, warmongering Tories on the slide?TheScreamingEagles said:0 -
I would like an independent press release from the Swiss lab in an ideal world, but Lavrov wouldn't be so stupid to quote them if they wouldn't back him up. Do you not trust the results of the Swiss lab then?JosiasJessop said:
That article falls over with who has given the evidence: the Russian foreign minister is hardly impartial. Russia's already had many different stories about what happened and who to blame: why do you believe this one over the other sh*t he's spread about?hunchman said:And now the whole wretched UK government Skripal narrative falling apart:
https://www.usnews.com/news/world/articles/2018-04-14/russia-trace-of-western-made-nerve-agent-seen-in-uk-samples
It shouldn't come as a surprise to anyone that the UK government is being caught out lying yet again. Of course the BBC propaganda won't cover this, just as they won't cover the fraud, theft and money laundering. Why? Follow the money and you will see people in the BBC linked to it all via Companies House documents. That's not lizard conspiracy theory, that's fact. Follow the money.0 -
Straight out of Russia Today - they are seriously derangedAndrew said:
I thought it was the Swedes who did it. Or the Czechs. Or the Slovaks. Or it was accidental. Or it never happened. Or *insert Russian conspiracy theory #345345354*JosiasJessop said:
That article falls over with who has given the evidence: the Russian foreign minister is hardly impartial. Russia's already had many different stories about what happened and who to blame: why do you believe this one over the other sh*t he's spread about?0 -
Do the results from the Swiss lab even exist?hunchman said:
I would like an independent press release from the Swiss lab in an ideal world, but Lavrov wouldn't be so stupid to quote them if they wouldn't back him up. Do you not trust the results of the Swiss lab then?JosiasJessop said:
That article falls over with who has given the evidence: the Russian foreign minister is hardly impartial. Russia's already had many different stories about what happened and who to blame: why do you believe this one over the other sh*t he's spread about?hunchman said:And now the whole wretched UK government Skripal narrative falling apart:
https://www.usnews.com/news/world/articles/2018-04-14/russia-trace-of-western-made-nerve-agent-seen-in-uk-samples
It shouldn't come as a surprise to anyone that the UK government is being caught out lying yet again. Of course the BBC propaganda won't cover this, just as they won't cover the fraud, theft and money laundering. Why? Follow the money and you will see people in the BBC linked to it all via Companies House documents. That's not lizard conspiracy theory, that's fact. Follow the money.0 -
No, I do not trust Lavrov. The Russians have been stupid enough to say lots of other contradictory rubbish in an attempt to get gullible fools to believe them.hunchman said:
I would like an independent press release from the Swiss lab in an ideal world, but Lavrov wouldn't be so stupid to quote them if they wouldn't back him up. Do you not trust the results of the Swiss lab then?JosiasJessop said:
That article falls over with who has given the evidence: the Russian foreign minister is hardly impartial. Russia's already had many different stories about what happened and who to blame: why do you believe this one over the other sh*t he's spread about?hunchman said:And now the whole wretched UK government Skripal narrative falling apart:
https://www.usnews.com/news/world/articles/2018-04-14/russia-trace-of-western-made-nerve-agent-seen-in-uk-samples
It shouldn't come as a surprise to anyone that the UK government is being caught out lying yet again. Of course the BBC propaganda won't cover this, just as they won't cover the fraud, theft and money laundering. Why? Follow the money and you will see people in the BBC linked to it all via Companies House documents. That's not lizard conspiracy theory, that's fact. Follow the money.
Witness also Russian behaviour over MH17.0 -
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Tories on holiday.RobD said:
Doesn't really tie in with the fieldwork dates. More likely a reversion to the mean.Foxy said:
Warmongering not proving popular? Who would have thought?TheScreamingEagles said:
Shows what happens when they aren't on TV.Big_G_NorthWales said:
That's before this action. Also 2% gone back to UKIPFoxy said:
Warmongering not proving popular? Who would have thought?TheScreamingEagles said:0 -
New @ComRes poll for Sunday Express: 6 in 10 think Russian Govt 'a force for evil in the world'0
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Will Spurs still make 4th in premier league ?TheScreamingEagles said:Harry Kane scores one for Spurs.
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Very worrying for the Tories to have such a slender lead amongst their own voters.31% of Tory voters oppose military action is the story.TheScreamingEagles said:0 -
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Depends, military action is quite a broad definition.volcanopete said:
Very worrying for the Tories to have such a slender lead amongst their own voters.31% of Tory voters oppose military action is the story.TheScreamingEagles said:0 -
Yes there maybe an element that do not like BINO.However they do like the hard man Putin.Big_G_NorthWales said:
That's before this action. Also 2% gone back to UKIPFoxy said:
Warmongering not proving popular? Who would have thought?TheScreamingEagles said:0 -
You do not do policy on opinion pollsvolcanopete said:
Very worrying for the Tories to have such a slender lead amongst their own voters.31% of Tory voters oppose military action is the story.TheScreamingEagles said:0 -
Remember UKIP failed to put candidates in 40% (ish? IIRC) of constituencies in 2017, so their final result was depressed accordingly.Yorkcity said:
Yes there maybe an element that do not like BINO.However they do like the hard man Putin.Big_G_NorthWales said:
That's before this action. Also 2% gone back to UKIPFoxy said:
Warmongering not proving popular? Who would have thought?TheScreamingEagles said:0 -
Reports of explosions at a large Iranian facility near Aleppo in Syria. Stories have it that aircraft were heard overhead, which seems a little surprising.0
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Ummm: that article (from 2016) doesn't mention that Israel made a massive off-shore gas discovery (Leviathan). Which is a bit odd, because Israel becoming an energy exporter is a much bigger change to the regional balance of power (and Israel's role) than a putative Syrian gas pipeline.Barnesian said:There probably are many contributory factors. I'm basing my claim on the article by Robert F Kennedy Jnr published in Politico Magazine in 2012 which changed my views on Syria.
https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/02/rfk-jr-why-arabs-dont-trust-america-213601
Robert Kennedy says "In part because my father was murdered by an Arab, I've made an effort to understand the impact of U.S. policy in the Mideast and particularly the factors that sometimes motivate bloodthirsty responses from the Islamic world against our country."
"Assad enraged the Gulf’s Sunni monarchs by endorsing a Russian-approved “Islamic pipeline” running from Iran’s side of the gas field through Syria and to the ports of Lebanon. The Islamic pipeline would make Shiite Iran, not Sunni Qatar, the principal supplier to the European energy market and dramatically increase Tehran’s influence in the Middle East and the world. Israel also was understandably determined to derail the Islamic pipeline, which would enrich Iran and Syria and presumably strengthen their proxies, Hezbollah and Hamas.
Secret cables and reports by the U.S., Saudi and Israeli intelligence agencies indicate that the moment Assad rejected the Qatari pipeline, military and intelligence planners quickly arrived at the consensus that fomenting a Sunni uprising in Syria to overthrow the uncooperative Bashar Assad was a feasible path to achieving the shared objective of completing the Qatar/Turkey gas link"
Indeed, even without a civil war, Israel will be exporting gas to Egypt and Europe five years before the gas pipeline could be realistically constructed. (Indeed, I'd doubt whether the pipeline makes any kind of economic sense in a world where Israel is the low cost Mediterranean gas producer.)0 -
Roger said:
In that case he's been very restrained. All who watched the news last night saw Israeli soldiers shooting dead young protesters behind a wire while settlers stood and cheered. i didn't hear any comment from Corbyn when one would have been most appropriate.Sandpit said:
Or the Americans, or the Israelis.RobD said:
Bombs won't save lives or bring about peace unless used against the British?Morris_Dancer said:Leader of the Opposition: "Bombs won’t save lives or bring about peace."
Shadow Chancellor [in 2013]: "It was the bombs and bullets and sacrifice made by the likes of Bobby Sands that brought Britain to the negotiating table. "
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_McDonnell#Irish_Republican_Army
You can bet that if Israel dropped a chemical bomb over their wall, Corbyn would be first on the TV saying that action against them should be hard and immediate.
Absolutely.Big_G_NorthWales said:
You do not do policy on opinion pollsvolcanopete said:
Very worrying for the Tories to have such a slender lead amongst their own voters.31% of Tory voters oppose military action is the story.TheScreamingEagles said:0 -
The Dates were Wed and Thur last week, when war was being mongered, even if not yet delivered.RobD said:
Doesn't really tie in with the fieldwork dates. More likely a reversion to the mean.Foxy said:
Warmongering not proving popular? Who would have thought?TheScreamingEagles said:
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I like this little detail, which rings very true:rcs1000 said:
The White House press secretary, Sarah Huckabee Sanders, called any speculation that Trump had ordered Comey’s book “absurd,” adding, “The President does not order reading material.”0 -
I reckon that if one wants to experience the humours then he/she should go to----PB.Com.0
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It could be but Israel attacked a few days agoFoxy said:0 -
In fairness not against people who may be capable of firing back.Foxy said:0 -
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Evening all
Away from this geopolitical irrelevance for a moment, election fever has hit Newham this weekend (must be the kebabs). Spotted a Labour canvassing team out and about in my Ward this morning (68% Labour last time so obviously a hyper marginal).
Then, on returning from visiting my Dad at the nursing home, we find a postcard and a newspaper called "Breaking Barriers" from the Newham Conservatives. Apparently, the Tories need my help and I can join for just £6 (that presumably makes the Conservatives the Double Three Quidders Party).
So, if I cough up £6 will I get a say in deciding who takes over from Theresa ? Somehow, I suspect not. Obviously, if the Conservatives have the money to produce a four page A4 newspaper for a Borough where they have no Councillors they don't need my £6.0 -
I'd be wary. Its the aircraft overhead bit that seems odd. Its a fair distance and angle of attack. Could just be a storeman having an unfortunate incident.Yorkcity said:
Who would it be this evening Israel ?Y0kel said:Reports of explosions at a large Iranian facility near Aleppo in Syria. Stories have it that aircraft were heard overhead, which seems a little surprising.
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Someone claimed the M5 was full of holiday traffic yesterday so it must be all the Conservatives coming back from their Easter break leaving the Labour supporters to keep the economy going.Foxy said:
The Dates were Wed and Thur last week, when war was being mongered, even if not yet delivered.
Perhaps all the Conservatives were on holiday in Torbay.
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An unfortunate accident, aided and and abetted by Andy McNab and James Bond?Y0kel said:
I'd be wary. Its the aircraft overhead bit that seems odd. Its a fair distance and angle of attack. Could just be a storeman having an unfortunate incident.Yorkcity said:
Who would it be this evening Israel ?Y0kel said:Reports of explosions at a large Iranian facility near Aleppo in Syria. Stories have it that aircraft were heard overhead, which seems a little surprising.
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Y0kel said:
I'd be wary. Its the aircraft overhead bit that seems odd. Its a fair distance and angle of attack. Could just be a storeman having an unfortunate incident.Yorkcity said:
Who would it be this evening Israel ?Y0kel said:Reports of explosions at a large Iranian facility near Aleppo in Syria. Stories have it that aircraft were heard overhead, which seems a little surprising.
"Aircraft heard overhead", could just mean: heard a missile flying in.
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An unfortunate accident (assisted)?Y0kel said:
I'd be wary. Its the aircraft overhead bit that seems odd. Its a fair distance and angle of attack. Could just be a storeman having an unfortunate incident.Yorkcity said:
Who would it be this evening Israel ?Y0kel said:Reports of explosions at a large Iranian facility near Aleppo in Syria. Stories have it that aircraft were heard overhead, which seems a little surprising.
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Accidentally brutally struck himself by cruise missiles whilst shaving?Charles said:
An unfortunate accident (assisted)?Y0kel said:
I'd be wary. Its the aircraft overhead bit that seems odd. Its a fair distance and angle of attack. Could just be a storeman having an unfortunate incident.Yorkcity said:
Who would it be this evening Israel ?Y0kel said:Reports of explosions at a large Iranian facility near Aleppo in Syria. Stories have it that aircraft were heard overhead, which seems a little surprising.
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No idea , Yokel would be the man to ask on these matters.He always seems very knowledgeable to me.Ishmael_Z said:0 -
That's what I'm talking about. 14% of the UK population has gone full moonbat.TheScreamingEagles said:Most of that 14% post on PB.
@ComRes for Sunday Express - just 1 in 7 - 14% - believe #Putin NOT responsible for #Salisbury #novichok attack
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gone?glw said:
That's what I'm talking about. 14% of the UK population has gone full moonbat.TheScreamingEagles said:Most of that 14% post on PB.
@ComRes for Sunday Express - just 1 in 7 - 14% - believe #Putin NOT responsible for #Salisbury #novichok attack0 -
UKIP did get just over 13% at UK election 2015.glw said:
That's what I'm talking about. 14% of the UK population has gone full moonbat.TheScreamingEagles said:Most of that 14% post on PB.
@ComRes for Sunday Express - just 1 in 7 - 14% - believe #Putin NOT responsible for #Salisbury #novichok attack0 -
Least likely option. Accident, missile or Syrian rebel attack that hit the jackpot. The reports are there to suggest something happened but the cause unknown.Charles said:
An unfortunate accident (assisted)?Y0kel said:
I'd be wary. Its the aircraft overhead bit that seems odd. Its a fair distance and angle of attack. Could just be a storeman having an unfortunate incident.Yorkcity said:
Who would it be this evening Israel ?Y0kel said:Reports of explosions at a large Iranian facility near Aleppo in Syria. Stories have it that aircraft were heard overhead, which seems a little surprising.
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Revealed then. It really should concern everybody that so many people are willing to accept deeply improbable explanations for events. What other crackpot things do these people believe?Charles said:
gone?glw said:
That's what I'm talking about. 14% of the UK population has gone full moonbat.TheScreamingEagles said:Most of that 14% post on PB.
@ComRes for Sunday Express - just 1 in 7 - 14% - believe #Putin NOT responsible for #Salisbury #novichok attack0 -
Good spot; they say it is full membership, so you just need to wait 3 months before you can vote in elections - so need to wait for the sweet spot where TMay has another 3 months in her but not a whole year. Seems to be a local thing, not on offer from my constituency partystodge said:Evening all
Away from this geopolitical irrelevance for a moment, election fever has hit Newham this weekend (must be the kebabs). Spotted a Labour canvassing team out and about in my Ward this morning (68% Labour last time so obviously a hyper marginal).
Then, on returning from visiting my Dad at the nursing home, we find a postcard and a newspaper called "Breaking Barriers" from the Newham Conservatives. Apparently, the Tories need my help and I can join for just £6 (that presumably makes the Conservatives the Double Three Quidders Party).
So, if I cough up £6 will I get a say in deciding who takes over from Theresa ? Somehow, I suspect not. Obviously, if the Conservatives have the money to produce a four page A4 newspaper for a Borough where they have no Councillors they don't need my £6.
https://www.westhamconservatives.com/introductory-membership0 -
They did, many media sources said that.Is it correct they did not give any official confirmation ?Big_G_NorthWales said:
It could be but Israel attacked a few days agoFoxy said:0 -
Interesting to hear some of the post-strike reaction. Though I'm no supporter of the Prime Minister or the Government, it seems, thus far, the strike has been proportionate and limited.
Clearly, no one had any desire to attack Iranian or Russian interests or assets and if the avowed policy was not to go after the main Syrian Armed Forces but to concentrate on the chemical weapons production fair enough.
I'm comfortable with all of this and I suspect everyone else is too including the Russians, Iranians, Syrians, Israelis et al. It has satisfied the notion of "doing something" and gives everyone the chance to ratchet down the tension by saving face. Assad may be upset but he will do what he is told.
Some of the more hawkish commentators are now claiming the attack didn't go far enough - one I saw called it "weak". Perhaps but without running any risk of regional escalation we have basically done the minimum we can get away with and life will hopefully return to normal fairly soon with a mild positive for Trump, Merkel, Macron, May and even Putin.
It's been a politically well-judged militarily precise but limited response. Its long term effectiveness is doubtful and it will do nothing to stop the slaughter of Syrian innocents by more conventional means but that was never the aim or the intention.0 -
It doesn't sound very democratic to have different membership criteria in different parts of the country.Ishmael_Z said:
Good spot; they say it is full membership, so you just need to wait 3 months before you can vote in elections - so need to wait for the sweet spot where TMay has another 3 months in her but not a whole year. Seems to be a local thing, not on offer from my constituency partystodge said:Evening all
Away from this geopolitical irrelevance for a moment, election fever has hit Newham this weekend (must be the kebabs). Spotted a Labour canvassing team out and about in my Ward this morning (68% Labour last time so obviously a hyper marginal).
Then, on returning from visiting my Dad at the nursing home, we find a postcard and a newspaper called "Breaking Barriers" from the Newham Conservatives. Apparently, the Tories need my help and I can join for just £6 (that presumably makes the Conservatives the Double Three Quidders Party).
So, if I cough up £6 will I get a say in deciding who takes over from Theresa ? Somehow, I suspect not. Obviously, if the Conservatives have the money to produce a four page A4 newspaper for a Borough where they have no Councillors they don't need my £6.
https://www.westhamconservatives.com/introductory-membership0 -
No admission but widely accepted it was IsraelYorkcity said:
They did, many media sources said that.Is it correct they did not give any official confirmation ?Big_G_NorthWales said:
It could be but Israel attacked a few days agoFoxy said:
On the polls on approving the action or otherwise they will be influenced in due course depending on the outcome0 -
There is a remarkably consistent awkward squad response of around 4% to any question ever asked in a poll (the best example is a question accidentally asked in a US poll "Have you ever been decapitated?") so it's only 10% that needs accounting for here. And I am sure people answer polls tactically, so a lot of the 10% will be thinking "what answer will embarrass the government most?"glw said:
Revealed then. It really should concern everybody that so many people are willing to accept deeply improbable explanations for events. What other crackpot things do these people believe?Charles said:
gone?glw said:
That's what I'm talking about. 14% of the UK population has gone full moonbat.TheScreamingEagles said:Most of that 14% post on PB.
@ComRes for Sunday Express - just 1 in 7 - 14% - believe #Putin NOT responsible for #Salisbury #novichok attack0 -
I agree. I do just wonder if they have cleared the offer with HQ.Recidivist said:
It doesn't sound very democratic to have different membership criteria in different parts of the country.Ishmael_Z said:
Good spot; they say it is full membership, so you just need to wait 3 months before you can vote in elections - so need to wait for the sweet spot where TMay has another 3 months in her but not a whole year. Seems to be a local thing, not on offer from my constituency partystodge said:Evening all
Away from this geopolitical irrelevance for a moment, election fever has hit Newham this weekend (must be the kebabs). Spotted a Labour canvassing team out and about in my Ward this morning (68% Labour last time so obviously a hyper marginal).
Then, on returning from visiting my Dad at the nursing home, we find a postcard and a newspaper called "Breaking Barriers" from the Newham Conservatives. Apparently, the Tories need my help and I can join for just £6 (that presumably makes the Conservatives the Double Three Quidders Party).
So, if I cough up £6 will I get a say in deciding who takes over from Theresa ? Somehow, I suspect not. Obviously, if the Conservatives have the money to produce a four page A4 newspaper for a Borough where they have no Councillors they don't need my £6.
https://www.westhamconservatives.com/introductory-membership0 -
I think easier to assume 1 in 10 of the population are morons, the other 4% are sqwawkbox / Infowars types.Ishmael_Z said:
There is a remarkably consistent awkward squad response of around 4% to any question ever asked in a poll (the best example is a question accidentally asked in a US poll "Have you ever been decapitated?") so it's only 10% that needs accounting for here. And I am sure people answer polls tactically, so a lot of the 10% will be thinking "what answer will embarrass the government most?"glw said:
Revealed then. It really should concern everybody that so many people are willing to accept deeply improbable explanations for events. What other crackpot things do these people believe?Charles said:
gone?glw said:
That's what I'm talking about. 14% of the UK population has gone full moonbat.TheScreamingEagles said:Most of that 14% post on PB.
@ComRes for Sunday Express - just 1 in 7 - 14% - believe #Putin NOT responsible for #Salisbury #novichok attack0 -
I wonder how well this correlates with Brexit.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/health/antidepressants-england-uk-prescribed-most-north-east-rises-seven-times-prescriptions-depression-a7680836.html0 -
If it was Brexit, surely it would be the other way around...sky rocketing in London...as moderate Meeks our reporter from besieged city like to tell us, the capital hasn't taken Brexit well.FrankBooth said:I wonder how well this correlates with Brexit.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/health/antidepressants-england-uk-prescribed-most-north-east-rises-seven-times-prescriptions-depression-a7680836.html0 -
Assad rejected the Qatari pipeline in 2009 and the fomenting of the Sunni uprising began. The discovery of the Leviathan field came later.rcs1000 said:
Ummm: that article (from 2016) doesn't mention that Israel made a massive off-shore gas discovery (Leviathan). Which is a bit odd, because Israel becoming an energy exporter is a much bigger change to the regional balance of power (and Israel's role) than a putative Syrian gas pipeline.Barnesian said:There probably are many contributory factors. I'm basing my claim on the article by Robert F Kennedy Jnr published in Politico Magazine in 2012 which changed my views on Syria.
https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/02/rfk-jr-why-arabs-dont-trust-america-213601
"Assad enraged the Gulf’s Sunni monarchs by endorsing a Russian-approved “Islamic pipeline” running from Iran’s side of the gas field through Syria and to the ports of Lebanon. The Islamic pipeline would make Shiite Iran, not Sunni Qatar, the principal supplier to the European energy market and dramatically increase Tehran’s influence in the Middle East and the world. Israel also was understandably determined to derail the Islamic pipeline, which would enrich Iran and Syria and presumably strengthen their proxies, Hezbollah and Hamas.
Secret cables and reports by the U.S., Saudi and Israeli intelligence agencies indicate that the moment Assad rejected the Qatari pipeline, military and intelligence planners quickly arrived at the consensus that fomenting a Sunni uprising in Syria to overthrow the uncooperative Bashar Assad was a feasible path to achieving the shared objective of completing the Qatar/Turkey gas link"
Indeed, even without a civil war, Israel will be exporting gas to Egypt and Europe five years before the gas pipeline could be realistically constructed. (Indeed, I'd doubt whether the pipeline makes any kind of economic sense in a world where Israel is the low cost Mediterranean gas producer.)0 -
Yes I agree , I said earlier .The response thus far seems appropriate .If May influenced Trump good on her and she deserves credit for a sensible action.Big_G_NorthWales said:
No admission but widely accepted it was IsraelYorkcity said:
They did, many media sources said that.Is it correct they did not give any official confirmation ?Big_G_NorthWales said:
It could be but Israel attacked a few days agoFoxy said:
On the polls on approving the action or otherwise they will be influenced in due course depending on the outcome0 -
27% of Labour voters support airstrikes, not much different to the 31% of Tory voters who oppose themvolcanopete said:
Very worrying for the Tories to have such a slender lead amongst their own voters.31% of Tory voters oppose military action is the story.TheScreamingEagles said:
0 -
Opinium Tories 40% Labour 40% LD 7%
https://mobile.twitter.com/NCPoliticsUK/status/9852422052153098240 -
Creepy. I just finished watching Dr Strangelove!Sunil_Prasannan said:
Accidentally brutally struck himself by cruise missiles whilst shaving?Charles said:
An unfortunate accident (assisted)?Y0kel said:
I'd be wary. Its the aircraft overhead bit that seems odd. Its a fair distance and angle of attack. Could just be a storeman having an unfortunate incident.Yorkcity said:
Who would it be this evening Israel ?Y0kel said:Reports of explosions at a large Iranian facility near Aleppo in Syria. Stories have it that aircraft were heard overhead, which seems a little surprising.
0 -
It’s also a large part of why Russia is involved. They’re quite happy with a monopoly gas pipeline to Europe, and a perpetual war blocking the alternate supply way from the Gulf.Barnesian said:
Assad rejected the Qatari pipeline in 2009 and the fomenting of the Sunni uprising began. The discovery of the Leviathan field came later.rcs1000 said:
Ummm: that article (from 2016) doesn't mention that Israel made a massive off-shore gas discovery (Leviathan). Which is a bit odd, because Israel becoming an energy exporter is a much bigger change to the regional balance of power (and Israel's role) than a putative Syrian gas pipeline.Barnesian said:There probably are many contributory factors. I'm basing my claim on the article by Robert F Kennedy Jnr published in Politico Magazine in 2012 which changed my views on Syria.
https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/02/rfk-jr-why-arabs-dont-trust-america-213601
"Assad enraged the Gulf’s Sunni monarchs by endorsing a Russian-approved “Islamic pipeline” running from Iran’s side of the gas field through Syria and to the ports of Lebanon. The Islamic pipeline would make Shiite Iran, not Sunni Qatar, the principal supplier to the European energy market and dramatically increase Tehran’s influence in the Middle East and the world. Israel also was understandably determined to derail the Islamic pipeline, which would enrich Iran and Syria and presumably strengthen their proxies, Hezbollah and Hamas.
Secret cables and reports by the U.S., Saudi and Israeli intelligence agencies indicate that the moment Assad rejected the Qatari pipeline, military and intelligence planners quickly arrived at the consensus that fomenting a Sunni uprising in Syria to overthrow the uncooperative Bashar Assad was a feasible path to achieving the shared objective of completing the Qatar/Turkey gas link"
Indeed, even without a civil war, Israel will be exporting gas to Egypt and Europe five years before the gas pipeline could be realistically constructed. (Indeed, I'd doubt whether the pipeline makes any kind of economic sense in a world where Israel is the low cost Mediterranean gas producer.)0 -
That's a fabulous chart. Clearly not being able to afford a house is not affecting Londoners happiness.FrankBooth said:I wonder how well this correlates with Brexit.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/health/antidepressants-england-uk-prescribed-most-north-east-rises-seven-times-prescriptions-depression-a7680836.html0 -
Fair enough; in which case the irony is that the pipeline would never have been used.Barnesian said:
Assad rejected the Qatari pipeline in 2009 and the fomenting of the Sunni uprising began. The discovery of the Leviathan field came later.rcs1000 said:
Ummm: that article (from 2016) doesn't mention that Israel made a massive off-shore gas discovery (Leviathan). Which is a bit odd, because Israel becoming an energy exporter is a much bigger change to the regional balance of power (and Israel's role) than a putative Syrian gas pipeline.Barnesian said:There probably are many contributory factors. I'm basing my claim on the article by Robert F Kennedy Jnr published in Politico Magazine in 2012 which changed my views on Syria.
https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/02/rfk-jr-why-arabs-dont-trust-america-213601
"Assad enraged the Gulf’s Sunni monarchs by endorsing a Russian-approved “Islamic pipeline” running from Iran’s side of the gas field through Syria and to the ports of Lebanon. The Islamic pipeline would make Shiite Iran, not Sunni Qatar, the principal supplier to the European energy market and dramatically increase Tehran’s influence in the Middle East and the world. Israel also was understandably determined to derail the Islamic pipeline, which would enrich Iran and Syria and presumably strengthen their proxies, Hezbollah and Hamas.
Secret cables and reports by the U.S., Saudi and Israeli intelligence agencies indicate that the moment Assad rejected the Qatari pipeline, military and intelligence planners quickly arrived at the consensus that fomenting a Sunni uprising in Syria to overthrow the uncooperative Bashar Assad was a feasible path to achieving the shared objective of completing the Qatar/Turkey gas link"
Indeed, even without a civil war, Israel will be exporting gas to Egypt and Europe five years before the gas pipeline could be realistically constructed. (Indeed, I'd doubt whether the pipeline makes any kind of economic sense in a world where Israel is the low cost Mediterranean gas producer.)0 -
The polls are coalescing around 40/40 but Corbyn's popularity is diving and May's on the riseHYUFD said:Opinium Tories 40% Labour 40% LD 7%
https://mobile.twitter.com/NCPoliticsUK/status/9852422052153098240 -
Good for you but the Tories are still a busted flush.steve_garner said:
It's more than enough of a reason for me. TSE's Harry Kane post deserves some accolades.murali_s said:
Jeremy Corbyn or equivalent will be next our PM. The Tories are a busted flush - why would you vote for them?FrancisUrquhart said:
Jezza's Putin Puppet routine isn't doing him any harm. He like Oasis during Brit Pop, as Noel said he could record himself doing a shit and the kids would still buy a million copies.TheScreamingEagles said:ComRes
twitter.com/NCPoliticsUK/status/985232758271131648
(And stopping JC is not a strong enough reason)0 -
Oh yes it fecking ismurali_s said:
Jeremy Corbyn or equivalent will be next our PM. The Tories are a busted flush - why would you vote for them?FrancisUrquhart said:
Jezza's Putin Puppet routine isn't doing him any harm. He like Oasis during Brit Pop, as Noel said he could record himself doing a shit and the kids would still buy a million copies.TheScreamingEagles said:ComRes
twitter.com/NCPoliticsUK/status/985232758271131648
(And stopping JC is not a strong enough reason)0 -
It is back to neck and neck certainly but May has shored up her positionBig_G_NorthWales said:
The polls are coalescing around 40/40 but Corbyn's popularity is diving and May's on the riseHYUFD said:Opinium Tories 40% Labour 40% LD 7%
https://mobile.twitter.com/NCPoliticsUK/status/9852422052153098240 -
20% might be busted flush, 40% most certainly is notmurali_s said:
Good for you but the Tories are still a busted flush.steve_garner said:
It's more than enough of a reason for me. TSE's Harry Kane post deserves some accolades.murali_s said:
Jeremy Corbyn or equivalent will be next our PM. The Tories are a busted flush - why would you vote for them?FrancisUrquhart said:
Jezza's Putin Puppet routine isn't doing him any harm. He like Oasis during Brit Pop, as Noel said he could record himself doing a shit and the kids would still buy a million copies.TheScreamingEagles said:ComRes
twitter.com/NCPoliticsUK/status/985232758271131648
(And stopping JC is not a strong enough reason)0 -
0
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I woke up (old age insomnia) just as Trump delivered his address to the Nation and followed all the reporting right through the nightYorkcity said:
Yes I agree , I said earlier .The response thus far seems appropriate .If May influenced Trump good on her and she deserves credit for a sensible action.Big_G_NorthWales said:
No admission but widely accepted it was IsraelYorkcity said:
They did, many media sources said that.Is it correct they did not give any official confirmation ?Big_G_NorthWales said:
It could be but Israel attacked a few days agoFoxy said:
On the polls on approving the action or otherwise they will be influenced in due course depending on the outcome
Several sources said that May and Macron toned down his attack - he wanted to go much further0 -
The Russians have been the at the forefront of pushing "anti-fracking" laws in Eastern Europe, via various front organisations and - I suspect - direct payments to politicians.Sandpit said:It’s also a large part of why Russia is involved. They’re quite happy with a monopoly gas pipeline to Europe, and a perpetual war blocking the alternate supply way from the Gulf.
But despite all that, Russia's strangehold on energy supplies to Eastern Europe will continue to wane. Norway's gas production is rising, Israel is coming on stream next year, and everyone is building LNG import terminals to benefit from new supplies from the US and Africa. (And the rise of Australian LNG means that gas from the Gulf will be increasingly directed towards Europe.)
The moves to renewables in Europe - while they have sucked for many consumers - have had a similar effect.
The Russian noose around Eastern Europe is slowly loosening.0
