politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Local By-Election Preview: December 19th 2013
Harper Green on Bolton (Lab Defence)
Result of last election (2012): Lab 41, Con 16, Lib Dem 3 (Labour overall majority of 22)
Result in ward over last electoral cycle:
2010: Lab 2,302 (45%), Lib Dem 1,203 (23%), Con 903 (18%), Ind 625 (12%), Green 114 (2%)
2011: Lab 1,918 (67%), Con 616 (22%), Lib Dem 326 (11%)
2012:
Comments
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Black Isle on Highland is an awesome name.
Something out of a TinTin or Sherlock book.0 -
Harry, no need to apologise, I'm appreciative of the time and effort you take into your threads.0
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I really appreciate these threads as I don't have time to keep up with the detail. Thanks Harry.0
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TheScreamingEagles said:
Black Isle on Highland is an awesome name.
Something out of a TinTin or Sherlock book.
"Scotter on West Lindsey" - sounds like a 'SUN' headline...!0 -
I know people who have been arrested for "Croesyceiliog North on Torfaen"SimonStClare said:TheScreamingEagles said:Black Isle on Highland is an awesome name.
Something out of a TinTin or Sherlock book.
"Scotter on West Lindsey" - sounds like a 'SUN' headline...!0 -
FPT:
TOPPING said:
» show previous quotes
haha very funny Mikey. But you prove my point.
"The People" is straight out of Wolfie Smith.
And as for the mess the parties have made of Britain - what amazing plans do you jokers have to make it all better?
very funny Mikey.
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Oh Topping doesn't like the "People": even makes fun of the people. So what are you around for Topping? Someone to lick your arse.0 -
I know Mike; it needed to be said again on this thread.MikeK said:FPT:
TOPPING said:
» show previous quotes
haha very funny Mikey. But you prove my point.
"The People" is straight out of Wolfie Smith.
And as for the mess the parties have made of Britain - what amazing plans do you jokers have to make it all better?
very funny Mikey.
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Oh Topping doesn't like the "People": even makes fun of the people. So what are you around for Topping? Someone to lick your arse.
However:
"So what are you around for Topping? Someone to lick your arse."
doesn't actually make sense.0 -
Hands up whose having a shandy with Ed?
Harry Cole@MrHarryCole4m
Seems I am the only person in Britain to be refused a selfie with @Ed_Miliband.
Andrew Neil@afneil6m
Just left Ed Miliband Christmas party. Promised to get him an economic policy for Christmas.
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Does your mother find your circle of friends err, somewhat worrisome? ; )TheScreamingEagles said:
I know people who have been arrested for "Croesyceiliog North on Torfaen"SimonStClare said:TheScreamingEagles said:Black Isle on Highland is an awesome name.
Something out of a TinTin or Sherlock book.
"Scotter on West Lindsey" - sounds like a 'SUN' headline...!0 -
David Ornstein @bbcsport_david 6m
BREAKING: Tan tells Mackay resign or be sacked. Tan emailed explosive letter to Mackay on Mon listing grievances. Story across BBC now #ccfc
Best odds on Mackay as next manager out 2/5 with Coral and Paddy Power-1 -
Also Mackay is 66/1 with Skybet to be next Spurs boss.
I'm on.0 -
She finds me worrisome!SimonStClare said:
Does your mother find your circle of friends err, somewhat worrisome? ; )TheScreamingEagles said:
I know people who have been arrested for "Croesyceiliog North on Torfaen"SimonStClare said:TheScreamingEagles said:Black Isle on Highland is an awesome name.
Something out of a TinTin or Sherlock book.
"Scotter on West Lindsey" - sounds like a 'SUN' headline...!0 -
That is because the Black Isle is an awesome place, its where some of my ancestors come from.
On certain days when you drive up to Inverness and look across to the Black Isle you can see where it gets its name from, it can look stunning.
TheScreamingEagles said:Black Isle on Highland is an awesome name.
Something out of a TinTin or Sherlock book.0 -
Cardiff City manager Malky Mackay has been told by owner Vincent Tan to resign or he will be sacked.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/254570240 -
Cammo and me - bezzie mates... he knows his footie..... unlike that cursed OSR....
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/25448738
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Not again - leave us a-bloody-lone.TheScreamingEagles said:Also Mackay is 66/1 with Skybet to be next Spurs boss.
I'm on.
More like AVB at Cardiff ....
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Apparently it is between AVB and Martin Jol for West BromScrapheap_as_was said:
Not again - leave us a-bloody-lone.TheScreamingEagles said:Also Mackay is 66/1 with Skybet to be next Spurs boss.
I'm on.
More like AVB at Cardiff ....
http://www.mirror.co.uk/sport/football/next-west-brom-manager-avb-29422470 -
No chance of him being appointed by Spurs but 6/1 he takes over at West Brom is a decent shoutTheScreamingEagles said:Also Mackay is 66/1 with Skybet to be next Spurs boss.
I'm on.0 -
It's a great dark hogback - hence the name - formerly a moor on its crest, now much of it afforested on the higher ground with classical Scottish Lowland high farming around. Great walks along the coast either side, and if you like small burghs full of C18 and C19 vernacular architecture or just history it's paradise. Cromarty in particular was to a large extent frozen in the early 19th century, because of changing transport links (used to have direct sea links to Edinburgh till the trains ran along the other side of the Cromarty Firth ...). Rosemarkie has a lovely museum of Pictish sculpture. And so on. One of the smaller hidden gems of Scotland.fitalass said:That is because the Black Isle is an awesome place, its where some of my ancestors come from.
On certain days when you drive up to Inverness and look across to the Black Isle you can see where it gets its name from, it can look stunning. TheScreamingEagles said:Black Isle on Highland is an awesome name.
Something out of a TinTin or Sherlock book.
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Grade A constructive dismissal.TheScreamingEagles said:Cardiff City manager Malky Mackay has been told by owner Vincent Tan to resign or he will be sacked.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/25457024
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I was wondering why Brendan Rodgers gave Vincent Tan both barrels today, this explains a lot.Pulpstar said:
Grade A constructive dismissal.TheScreamingEagles said:Cardiff City manager Malky Mackay has been told by owner Vincent Tan to resign or he will be sacked.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/254570240 -
Scrapheap_as_was said:
Cammo and me - bezzie mates... he knows his footie..... unlike that cursed OSR....
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/25448738
Hang on, he's predicting Swansea to beat Everton 3-0...... so he's either not so good at this OR he's having a pop at a certain scouser's tim, sorry team.0 -
Skybet have got some interesting markets on the Liverpool v Cardiff match on Saturday
Luis Suarez Specials
Luis Suarez to score four or more goals 12/1
Luis Suarez to score more goals than Cardiff 4/5
Cardiff to score more goals than Luis Suarez 3/1
http://www.skybet.com/football/premier-league/event/15997552?aff_id=7945&dcmp=snt-bet-football-1912-SuarezSpecials-TW0 -
Indeed. I once stood at the Sutors of Cromarty and took a panorama of twelve oil rigs in the Firth. An amazing sight, and one that I have not seen before or since.Carnyx said:
It's a great dark hogback - hence the name - formerly a moor on its crest, now much of it afforested on the higher ground with classical Scottish Lowland high farming around. Great walks along the coast either side, and if you like small burghs full of C18 and C19 vernacular architecture or just history it's paradise. Cromarty in particular was to a large extent frozen in the early 19th century, because of changing transport links (used to have direct sea links to Edinburgh till the trains ran along the other side of the Cromarty Firth ...). Rosemarkie has a lovely museum of Pictish sculpture. And so on. One of the smaller hidden gems of Scotland.fitalass said:That is because the Black Isle is an awesome place, its where some of my ancestors come from.
On certain days when you drive up to Inverness and look across to the Black Isle you can see where it gets its name from, it can look stunning. TheScreamingEagles said:Black Isle on Highland is an awesome name.
Something out of a TinTin or Sherlock book.
Annoyingly, I've never seen dolphins from Chanonry Point, despite it apparently being the best place in the country to see them.
I've found the people on the Isle to be very friendly as well. It's like the last bastion of civilisation before Inverness. ;-)
http://www.northernsights.net/oil-rigs-fs.html0 -
Balcony collapse at Apollo Theatre in central London during performance traps people, eyewitnesses say BBCBreaking0
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Rory Smith @RorySmithTimes 25s
"Malky, I want you to resign." "And if I don't?" "I'll pay up your contract and sack you." Vincent Tan: world's thickest Macchiavelli.0 -
Blimey
A rescue operation is under way after part of a balcony in the Apollo theatre in central London is thought to have collapsed during a performance, trapping people inside, according to eyewitnesses.0 -
“Harriet Harman “went crazy” at Douglas Alexander, Labour’s election chief, over his running of the party’s campaign and the role given to women, Labour sources have revealed. The Labour deputy leader also attacked Mr Alexander over plans to limit the party’s efforts in the European elections next May, in the face of scant resources and the expectation of a poor performance.”
“Ms Harman clashed with Mr Alexander at a private meeting at Labour headquarters on Monday in front of about three dozen staff, who were “shell-shocked” by the exchange, during which she accused him of speaking over her and ignoring her contributions. She interrupted a presentation by Mr Alexander to raise her issues and at one point declared that she was sick of hearing from “more panels full of boys”. She argued with him for several minutes.”
http://labourlist.org/2013/12/this-row-is-out-in-the-open-and-it-isnt-going-away-any-time-soon/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed:+LabourListLatestPosts+(LabourList)
Looks like the Harman went a bit berserk. Maybe she see's the end of Lab/Lib/Con hegemony in the her future.
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In the Spirit of Christmas & our new camaraderie, I will say I have been a betting odds maker / trader for 13 years, and my speciality is goalscorer marketsTheScreamingEagles said:Skybet have got some interesting markets on the Liverpool v Cardiff match on Saturday
Luis Suarez Specials
Luis Suarez to score four or more goals 12/1
Luis Suarez to score more goals than Cardiff 4/5
Cardiff to score more goals than Luis Suarez 3/1
http://www.skybet.com/football/premier-league/event/15997552?aff_id=7945&dcmp=snt-bet-football-1912-SuarezSpecials-TW
This weekend I make Luis Suarez
39.1% to score 1st
74.4% to score anytime
39.5% to score at least 2
15.7% to score at least 3
5% to score at least 4
Suarez to score more than Cardiff 42%
Cardiff to score more than Suarez 20%
Hope it helps
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Thank you.isam said:
In the Spirit of Christmas & our new camaraderie, I will say I have been a betting odds maker / trader for 13 years, and my speciality is goalscorer marketsTheScreamingEagles said:Skybet have got some interesting markets on the Liverpool v Cardiff match on Saturday
Luis Suarez Specials
Luis Suarez to score four or more goals 12/1
Luis Suarez to score more goals than Cardiff 4/5
Cardiff to score more goals than Luis Suarez 3/1
http://www.skybet.com/football/premier-league/event/15997552?aff_id=7945&dcmp=snt-bet-football-1912-SuarezSpecials-TW
This weekend I make Luis Suarez
39.1% to score 1st
74.4% to score anytime
39.5% to score at least 2
15.7% to score at least 3
5% to score at least 4
Suarez to score more than Cardiff 42%
Cardiff to score more than Suarez 20%
Hope it helps
I suspect if Mackay survives to Saturday, the Cardiff players are going to put in a performance for their boss.0 -
Following on from my comment on Mass immigration driving down working class wages, while making employers and immigrants richer, it occurred to me in the bath that maybe Labours introduction of the minimum wage was their half arsed attempt to control the damage they knew they were about to do by allowing uncontrolled accession in 2004...
Perhaps they thought £6 an hour as a bottom line figure would at least be more than the £3 they knew the Eastern Europeans would work for, and the bosses would be only too happy to pay them?0 -
Harman is guilty of blatant anti-male sexism in her hate filled outburst. It's high time that she was put out.to grass.MikeK said:“Harriet Harman “went crazy” at Douglas Alexander, Labour’s election chief, over his running of the party’s campaign and the role given to women, Labour sources have revealed. The Labour deputy leader also attacked Mr Alexander over plans to limit the party’s efforts in the European elections next May, in the face of scant resources and the expectation of a poor performance.”
“Ms Harman clashed with Mr Alexander at a private meeting at Labour headquarters on Monday in front of about three dozen staff, who were “shell-shocked” by the exchange, during which she accused him of speaking over her and ignoring her contributions. She interrupted a presentation by Mr Alexander to raise her issues and at one point declared that she was sick of hearing from “more panels full of boys”. She argued with him for several minutes.”
http://labourlist.org/2013/12/this-row-is-out-in-the-open-and-it-isnt-going-away-any-time-soon/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed:+LabourListLatestPosts+(LabourList)
Looks like the Harman went a bit berserk. Maybe she see's the end of Lab/Lib/Con hegemony in the her future.
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My lunch options today were Kangaroo, Ostrich or Reindeer.
I chose Ostrich.0 -
Looking at oddschecker the bets seem to beTheScreamingEagles said:
Thank you.isam said:
In the Spirit of Christmas & our new camaraderie, I will say I have been a betting odds maker / trader for 13 years, and my speciality is goalscorer marketsTheScreamingEagles said:Skybet have got some interesting markets on the Liverpool v Cardiff match on Saturday
Luis Suarez Specials
Luis Suarez to score four or more goals 12/1
Luis Suarez to score more goals than Cardiff 4/5
Cardiff to score more goals than Luis Suarez 3/1
http://www.skybet.com/football/premier-league/event/15997552?aff_id=7945&dcmp=snt-bet-football-1912-SuarezSpecials-TW
This weekend I make Luis Suarez
39.1% to score 1st
74.4% to score anytime
39.5% to score at least 2
15.7% to score at least 3
5% to score at least 4
Suarez to score more than Cardiff 42%
Cardiff to score more than Suarez 20%
Hope it helps
I suspect if Mackay survives to Saturday, the Cardiff players are going to put in a performance for their boss.
1st goal at 2/1
anytime at 5/12
2 or more at 2/1
& Hat Trick at 8/1
Should ask Sky bet if you can back the Suarez vs Cardiff Draw at 2/1 or bigger!0 -
Harman is having a good week, plenty of coverage in The Mail, then winner of the ranting politician of the week. Perhaps going for another mention on Guido.0
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BBC coverage of Apollo Theatre referring to partial collapse of ceiling or roof.0
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BBC webpage refers to collapse of part of a dome.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-254580090 -
Terrible news. I was there a few years ago for a performance of Bombay Nights.0
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***CORRECTION***TheScreamingEagles said:
Thank you.isam said:
In the Spirit of Christmas & our new camaraderie, I will say I have been a betting odds maker / trader for 13 years, and my speciality is goalscorer marketsTheScreamingEagles said:Skybet have got some interesting markets on the Liverpool v Cardiff match on Saturday
Luis Suarez Specials
Luis Suarez to score four or more goals 12/1
Luis Suarez to score more goals than Cardiff 4/5
Cardiff to score more goals than Luis Suarez 3/1
http://www.skybet.com/football/premier-league/event/15997552?aff_id=7945&dcmp=snt-bet-football-1912-SuarezSpecials-TW
This weekend I make Luis Suarez
39.1% to score 1st
74.4% to score anytime
39.5% to score at least 2
15.7% to score at least 3
5% to score at least 4
Suarez to score more than Cardiff 42%
Cardiff to score more than Suarez 20%
Hope it helps
I suspect if Mackay survives to Saturday, the Cardiff players are going to put in a performance for their boss.
I make
Suarez to beat Cardiff 52%
Cardiff to beat Suarez 16%0 -
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-25458009
Looks like The Apollo Roof has collapsed, making for a greater tragedy than at first suspected.
My wife saw the Windrush show at this theatre.0 -
Think I've saw VNV there back about a decade agoMikeK said:http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-25458009
Looks like The Apollo Roof has collapsed, making for a greater tragedy than at first suspected.
My wife saw the Windrush show at this theatre.
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Reindeer is very tasty. In Sweden you can get smoked reindeer which is made rather like raw ham or bresaola - it is gorgeous. But reindeer steak is nice as well.AndyJS said:My lunch options today were Kangaroo, Ostrich or Reindeer.
I chose Ostrich.
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Paul Waugh @paulwaugh 2m
RT @LondonFire: Live from spokesman on scene: all casualties who were trapped have been freed #soho>at last some good news
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Mr Heap, Cameron has predicted Everton win 3-1 and the troops go Swansea 3-0.Scrapheap_as_was said:Scrapheap_as_was said:Cammo and me - bezzie mates... he knows his footie..... unlike that cursed OSR....
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/25448738
Hang on, he's predicting Swansea to beat Everton 3-0...... so he's either not so good at this OR he's having a pop at a certain scouser's tim, sorry team.0 -
Sky News says 65 injuries, 5 serious:
http://news.sky.com/story/1185016/apollo-theatre-collapse-causes-injuries0 -
She's just playing into the stereotype that she's trying to rubbish.MonikerDiCanio said:Harman is guilty of blatant anti-male sexism in her hate filled outburst. It's high time that she was put out.to grass.
I realise that progress is patchy, but wasn't Chile an all female affair electorally?
Feminism now, and racism perhaps too, are washed up as political mantras. That's not to say that there won't be pockets of resistance, but the mainstream has moved on. I'd even hope that 'poverty', at least in the UK has moved away from the political stage.
If this is so then it is an undoubted political achievement - politics doesn't have claim to many really. Such achievement is worth a great deal.
Labour have to get away from some of that baggage. Awards in the cupboard are far better than manifestos with still one burning issue that's not been fixed for 100 years.
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Finally managed to get a username! Ok I thought that the odds of 8/15 for Ed M leaving his post after July 2015 looked good (on this page: http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/mp-exit-dates/ed-miliband)
but when I click i get taken to this page: http://www.betfair.com/exchange/politics/market?id=1.101710557&mpch=ads&rfr=63 which says I can 'back' that outcome at 1.1 which I think is odds of 1/10.
There is only £30 available, I think, so it's not the end of the world if I can't bet but it is a bit confusing - is there something wrong with oddschecker?0 -
btw it would be my first 'political bet' - I have decided to start risking some money after being too lazy to make what I correctly assumed would be quick profits on Royal Mail & Twitter.0
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and finally, does anyone know of a market on Hornsey & Wood Green?0
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Not in the table?compouter1 said:
Mr Heap, Cameron has predicted Everton win 3-1 and the troops go Swansea 3-0.Scrapheap_as_was said:Scrapheap_as_was said:Cammo and me - bezzie mates... he knows his footie..... unlike that cursed OSR....
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/25448738
Hang on, he's predicting Swansea to beat Everton 3-0...... so he's either not so good at this OR he's having a pop at a certain scouser's tim, sorry team.0 -
Sun Politics @Sun_Politics 14s
YouGov/Sun poll tonight: Last poll of the year sees Labour with a five point lead: CON 34%, LAB 39%, LD 11%, UKIP 12%.0 -
As ever, always look below the headlines to see the truth ;-)Scrapheap_as_was said:
Not in the table?compouter1 said:
Mr Heap, Cameron has predicted Everton win 3-1 and the troops go Swansea 3-0.Scrapheap_as_was said:Scrapheap_as_was said:Cammo and me - bezzie mates... he knows his footie..... unlike that cursed OSR....
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/25448738
Hang on, he's predicting Swansea to beat Everton 3-0...... so he's either not so good at this OR he's having a pop at a certain scouser's tim, sorry team.0 -
Yougov :
Lab 39%
Con 34%
L Dem 11%
Ukip 12%
Crossover.........SHOW ME THE CROSSOVER!
One to go for Avery LP before the polling crossover goalposts go walkabout.0 -
I did so for Torbay, but they matched my assesment of the seat
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Political betting is a slow and steady game. £30 at a good price isn't too bad.Ned_H said:There is only £30 available
The EdM exit market on BF for jul2015 or later is 1.69/2.1 - that equates to a chance of between 63% and 48%.
There is no standard on political bets, so what seems like the same market can often be radically different. Betfair (for example) recently voided all bets on the next GE date.
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Clearly there is a crossover.compouter1 said:Yougov :
Lab 39%
Con 34%
L Dem 11%
Ukip 12%
Crossover.........SHOW ME THE CROSSOVER!
One to go for Avery LP before the polling crossover goalposts go walkabout.
UKIP 12%
LD 11%0 -
No crossover yet but the lead is tightening. YouGov average Lab lead for the last 9 weeks (ie each figure is average of the 5 YouGov polls for the week) - oldest week first:compouter1 said:Yougov :
Lab 39%
Con 34%
L Dem 11%
Ukip 12%
Crossover.........SHOW ME THE CROSSOVER!
6.4
7.0
6.2
7.8
6.6
7.2
7.4
5.2
4.75 = this week - first 4 polls, one poll to come
So lead was very steady at around 7% until 2 weeks ago. Then last week and this week it's tightened.0 -
General Election @UKELECTIONS2015
#COMRES
Who has the best policy on Eastern European Immigration?
#UKIP 24%
#CONSERVATIVES 15%
#LABOUR 15%
#LIBDEMS 5%
DON'T KNOW 38%0 -
Tonights takes it to 4.8 for the week, however they are all within MOE. As always the fact Labour are still between 37-40% and have been within moe for most of the last three years still makes me think that Labour will have a workable majority.MikeL said:
No crossover yet but the lead is tightening. YouGov average Lab lead for the last 9 weeks (ie each figure is average of the 5 YouGov polls for the week) - oldest week first:compouter1 said:Yougov :
Lab 39%
Con 34%
L Dem 11%
Ukip 12%
Crossover.........SHOW ME THE CROSSOVER!
6.4
7.0
6.2
7.8
6.6
7.2
7.4
5.2
4.75 = this week - first 4 polls, one poll to come
So lead was very steady at around 7% until 2 weeks ago. Then last week and this week it's tightened.0 -
So much for the Tories' cringing attempts to appease tabloid xenophobia. The only party that benefits when immigration rises up the agenda is UKIP.MikeK said:General Election @UKELECTIONS2015
#COMRES
Who has the best policy on Eastern European Immigration?
#UKIP 24%
#CONSERVATIVES 15%
#LABOUR 15%
#LIBDEMS 5%
DON'T KNOW 38%0 -
Just had an interesting experience. Went for a late lunch, (salad followed by shrimp and grits with andouille sausage today), and paid with my American Express card, as I always do.
The lady behind the bar swiped my card and handed it back to me (I was siiting in my usual seat next to the cash register at the bar), and as I took it back - 10 seconds at most after swiping - the Amex app on my Galaxy s3 popped up and asked if I'd like to use my amex points to pay for my 'current dining event', and showing the transaction details.
Kinda cool yet kind of unsettling.0 -
Mike posted the other day about the 'Tory majority' price being wrong. I'm not sure it is. An election conducted today would see Labour with a majority. In 2015 though the economic state-of-play will be different, and the odds for the next GE are all about that time.
What's interesting though is whether economic improvement such as we've seen recently actually translates into a narrowing gap. There is probably a little more to come, but for the Tories to stand a chance of a majority the recent economic good news has to start to show in the polls. Interesting times.
(A cure for wrong-headedness would help too of course, but that's just my view)0 -
My own analysis shows that on average, Lab's share of the vote has fallen by 5% since this time last year.
But the Con share of the vote has gone up 2%, UKIP have generally ended up with the rest.0 -
TimTim_B said:Just had an interesting experience. Went for a late lunch, (salad followed by shrimp and grits with andouille sausage today), and paid with my American Express card, as I always do.
The lady behind the bar swiped my card and handed it back to me (I was siiting in my usual seat next to the cash register at the bar), and as I took it back - 10 seconds at most after swiping - the Amex app on my Galaxy s3 popped up and asked if I'd like to use my amex points to pay for my 'current dining event', and showing the transaction details.
Kinda cool yet kind of unsettling.
Why do Americans have "dining events" rather than "meals" or "dinner"?
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Or when your mobile phone, unbidden, tells you how long it will take to get to the last place you searched for on Google Maps on your work PC.Tim_B said:Just had an interesting experience. Went for a late lunch, (salad followed by shrimp and grits with andouille sausage today), and paid with my American Express card, as I always do.
The lady behind the bar swiped my card and handed it back to me (I was siiting in my usual seat next to the cash register at the bar), and as I took it back - 10 seconds at most after swiping - the Amex app on my Galaxy s3 popped up and asked if I'd like to use my amex points to pay for my 'current dining event', and showing the transaction details.
Kinda cool yet kind of unsettling.
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Lol, capitalist Big Bro is watching you.Tim_B said:Just had an interesting experience. Went for a late lunch, (salad followed by shrimp and grits with andouille sausage today), and paid with my American Express card, as I always do.
The lady behind the bar swiped my card and handed it back to me (I was siiting in my usual seat next to the cash register at the bar), and as I took it back - 10 seconds at most after swiping - the Amex app on my Galaxy s3 popped up and asked if I'd like to use my amex points to pay for my 'current dining event', and showing the transaction details.
Kinda cool yet kind of unsettling.
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Does YouGov conduct polls between 20th and 31st December?0
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You are going to look pretty stupid if they don't.compouter1 said:
Tonights takes it to 4.8 for the week, however they are all within MOE. As always the fact Labour are still between 37-40% and have been within moe for most of the last three years still makes me think that Labour will have a workable majority.MikeL said:
No crossover yet but the lead is tightening. YouGov average Lab lead for the last 9 weeks (ie each figure is average of the 5 YouGov polls for the week) - oldest week first:compouter1 said:Yougov :
Lab 39%
Con 34%
L Dem 11%
Ukip 12%
Crossover.........SHOW ME THE CROSSOVER!
6.4
7.0
6.2
7.8
6.6
7.2
7.4
5.2
4.75 = this week - first 4 polls, one poll to come
So lead was very steady at around 7% until 2 weeks ago. Then last week and this week it's tightened.0 -
Our intelligence services haven't got the best headline in the Mirror.0
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I'm still going for Labour Minority. But I think JackW's ARSE may well turn out to be right !0
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Compared to the last Yougov for the Sun before last Xmas Lab are down 2% and the Tory Party is up 1%.....no?TheScreamingEagles said:My own analysis shows that on average, Lab's share of the vote has fallen by 5% since this time last year.
But the Con share of the vote has gone up 2%, UKIP have generally ended up with the rest.
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I'm talking about polling averages across all posters.compouter1 said:
Compared to the last Yougov for the Sun before last Xmas Lab are down 2% and the Tory Party is up 1%.....no?TheScreamingEagles said:My own analysis shows that on average, Lab's share of the vote has fallen by 5% since this time last year.
But the Con share of the vote has gone up 2%, UKIP have generally ended up with the rest.0 -
O/T:
Makeup genius Joseph Harwood is back with another YouTube video:
www.youtube.com/watch?v=rfmcNeWlAp00 -
Do you think I will be more upset that Labour don't make government or the fact my long standing prediction on a messageboard that I interact with people with the vast majority of posters whom I have never met or will not meet in the future, will be incorrect?nigel4england said:
You are going to look pretty stupid if they don't.compouter1 said:
Tonights takes it to 4.8 for the week, however they are all within MOE. As always the fact Labour are still between 37-40% and have been within moe for most of the last three years still makes me think that Labour will have a workable majority.MikeL said:
No crossover yet but the lead is tightening. YouGov average Lab lead for the last 9 weeks (ie each figure is average of the 5 YouGov polls for the week) - oldest week first:compouter1 said:Yougov :
Lab 39%
Con 34%
L Dem 11%
Ukip 12%
Crossover.........SHOW ME THE CROSSOVER!
6.4
7.0
6.2
7.8
6.6
7.2
7.4
5.2
4.75 = this week - first 4 polls, one poll to come
So lead was very steady at around 7% until 2 weeks ago. Then last week and this week it's tightened.
Someone will have to explain to me how it will make me LOOK stupid.
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Come join us at Dirty Dicks, Cheltenham or the TdF meet at some ptcompouter1 said:
Do you think I will be more upset that Labour don't make government or the fact my long standing prediction on a messageboard that I interact with people of whom I have never met or will not meet in the future, will be incorrect?nigel4england said:
You are going to look pretty stupid if they don't.compouter1 said:
Tonights takes it to 4.8 for the week, however they are all within MOE. As always the fact Labour are still between 37-40% and have been within moe for most of the last three years still makes me think that Labour will have a workable majority.MikeL said:
No crossover yet but the lead is tightening. YouGov average Lab lead for the last 9 weeks (ie each figure is average of the 5 YouGov polls for the week) - oldest week first:compouter1 said:Yougov :
Lab 39%
Con 34%
L Dem 11%
Ukip 12%
Crossover.........SHOW ME THE CROSSOVER!
6.4
7.0
6.2
7.8
6.6
7.2
7.4
5.2
4.75 = this week - first 4 polls, one poll to come
So lead was very steady at around 7% until 2 weeks ago. Then last week and this week it's tightened. 0 -
It matters little to us what you get cross over, Compouter.compouter1 said:
Do you think I will be more upset that Labour don't make government or the fact my long standing prediction on a messageboard that I interact with people of whom I have never met or will not meet in the future, will be incorrect?nigel4england said:
You are going to look pretty stupid if they don't.compouter1 said:
Tonights takes it to 4.8 for the week, however they are all within MOE. As always the fact Labour are still between 37-40% and have been within moe for most of the last three years still makes me think that Labour will have a workable majority.MikeL said:
No crossover yet but the lead is tightening. YouGov average Lab lead for the last 9 weeks (ie each figure is average of the 5 YouGov polls for the week) - oldest week first:compouter1 said:Yougov :
Lab 39%
Con 34%
L Dem 11%
Ukip 12%
Crossover.........SHOW ME THE CROSSOVER!
6.4
7.0
6.2
7.8
6.6
7.2
7.4
5.2
4.75 = this week - first 4 polls, one poll to come
So lead was very steady at around 7% until 2 weeks ago. Then last week and this week it's tightened.
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Hopefully there will be no fatalities at the Apollo, especially after the "Clutha".0
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Labour were on 43% Con on 33% in Dec for Sun Times in 2012.
http://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/to3chqefhc/YG-Archive-Pol-Sunday-Times-results-21-231212.pdf
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If Sunday's poll still shows a Labour lead, I will get hold of the left post and you get hold of the right post(obvioulsy) and you can tell me where you want to place them again.AveryLP said:
It matters little to us what you get cross over, Compouter.compouter1 said:
Do you think I will be more upset that Labour don't make government or the fact my long standing prediction on a messageboard that I interact with people of whom I have never met or will not meet in the future, will be incorrect?nigel4england said:
You are going to look pretty stupid if they don't.compouter1 said:
Tonights takes it to 4.8 for the week, however they are all within MOE. As always the fact Labour are still between 37-40% and have been within moe for most of the last three years still makes me think that Labour will have a workable majority.MikeL said:
No crossover yet but the lead is tightening. YouGov average Lab lead for the last 9 weeks (ie each figure is average of the 5 YouGov polls for the week) - oldest week first:compouter1 said:Yougov :
Lab 39%
Con 34%
L Dem 11%
Ukip 12%
Crossover.........SHOW ME THE CROSSOVER!
6.4
7.0
6.2
7.8
6.6
7.2
7.4
5.2
4.75 = this week - first 4 polls, one poll to come
So lead was very steady at around 7% until 2 weeks ago. Then last week and this week it's tightened.0 -
So long as lunch, dinner, tea, and supper can be ordered and what turns up can satisfy an Englishman then surely there's no concern. If you can somehow mention 'pudding' early in the conversation it throws all other nationalities onto the back-foot. Happily then you can pick and choose of their finest dishes in an arrangement that suits you. Once they have recovered from the 'pudding' word it only remains for you to graciously accept their fine sweet tasting dishes as an apologetic replacement for the dish that you never really wanted anyway.AveryLP said:Why do Americans have "dining events" rather than "meals" or "dinner"?
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We haven't had the Times poll for Sunday yet, unless you know something different?dr_spyn said:Labour were on 43% Con on 33% in Dec for Sun Times in 2012.
http://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/to3chqefhc/YG-Archive-Pol-Sunday-Times-results-21-231212.pdf0 -
Re the killers of Lee Rigby - obsolete Dutch revolver, which caused damage to one of them. Good job they didn't have access to AK47s or something modern and rapid firing.0
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Average Dec 2012 YouGov
Con 31.82, Lab 43.06, LD 10.06, UKIP 9.44, Average Lab Lead 11.25
Average Dec 2013 YouGov
Con 33.12, Lab 39.07, LD 9.36, UKIP 12, Average Lab Lead 5.86
Changes on the year
Con +1.40
Lab -3.99
LD -0.70
UKIP +2.56
Average Lab Lead -5.390 -
Not a good time to be a bluebirds, or indeed a Spurs fan!TheScreamingEagles said:David Ornstein @bbcsport_david 6m
BREAKING: Tan tells Mackay resign or be sacked. Tan emailed explosive letter to Mackay on Mon listing grievances. Story across BBC now #ccfc
Best odds on Mackay as next manager out 2/5 with Coral and Paddy Power
Utter madness. Was at match Saturday. Little did I know that it would be Mackay's last home game.
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Maybe.Pulpstar said:
Come join us at Dirty Dicks, Cheltenham or the TdF meet at some ptcompouter1 said:
Do you think I will be more upset that Labour don't make government or the fact my long standing prediction on a messageboard that I interact with people of whom I have never met or will not meet in the future, will be incorrect?nigel4england said:
You are going to look pretty stupid if they don't.compouter1 said:
Tonights takes it to 4.8 for the week, however they are all within MOE. As always the fact Labour are still between 37-40% and have been within moe for most of the last three years still makes me think that Labour will have a workable majority.MikeL said:
No crossover yet but the lead is tightening. YouGov average Lab lead for the last 9 weeks (ie each figure is average of the 5 YouGov polls for the week) - oldest week first:compouter1 said:Yougov :
Lab 39%
Con 34%
L Dem 11%
Ukip 12%
Crossover.........SHOW ME THE CROSSOVER!
6.4
7.0
6.2
7.8
6.6
7.2
7.4
5.2
4.75 = this week - first 4 polls, one poll to come
So lead was very steady at around 7% until 2 weeks ago. Then last week and this week it's tightened.0 -
@RodCrosby Reminds me of "Apart from that Mrs Lincoln, how did you enjoy the play."0
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Depressing to see most of the councils listed have no genuine opposition they are so dominated by one party. Standard, I know, but still depressing.0
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Because every meal should be a meaningful dining experience :-)AveryLP said:
TimTim_B said:Just had an interesting experience. Went for a late lunch, (salad followed by shrimp and grits with andouille sausage today), and paid with my American Express card, as I always do.
The lady behind the bar swiped my card and handed it back to me (I was siiting in my usual seat next to the cash register at the bar), and as I took it back - 10 seconds at most after swiping - the Amex app on my Galaxy s3 popped up and asked if I'd like to use my amex points to pay for my 'current dining event', and showing the transaction details.
Kinda cool yet kind of unsettling.
Why do Americans have "dining events" rather than "meals" or "dinner"?
Probably more to the point the phrase covers everything from a meal at the Waldorf Astoria to a trip to McDonalds for a McRib sandwich. It's a clumsy but all encompassing phrase.0 -
On quite a few Liverpool forums, there's been quite a few Cardiff City fans turning up and saying along the linesvalleyboy said:
Not a good time to be a bluebirds, or indeed a Spurs fan!TheScreamingEagles said:David Ornstein @bbcsport_david 6m
BREAKING: Tan tells Mackay resign or be sacked. Tan emailed explosive letter to Mackay on Mon listing grievances. Story across BBC now #ccfc
Best odds on Mackay as next manager out 2/5 with Coral and Paddy Power
Utter madness. Was at match Saturday. Little did I know that it would be Mackay's last home game.
"This is how bad Vincent Tan is, we're actually cheering and agreeing with what a former Swansea manager (Brendan Rodgers) said today"0 -
In such circumstances, an Englishman should patiently explain to Johnny Foreigner the exact meaning of "pudding", giving plentiful examples and repeating the key points as if called upon to explain the Rules of Cricket.Omnium said:
So long as lunch, dinner, tea, and supper can be ordered and what turns up can satisfy an Englishman then surely there's no concern. If you can somehow mention 'pudding' early in the conversation it throws all other nationalities onto the back-foot. Happily then you can pick and choose of their finest dishes in an arrangement that suits you. Once they have recovered from the 'pudding' word it only remains for you to graciously accept their fine sweet tasting dishes as an apologetic replacement for the dish that you never really wanted anyway.AveryLP said:Why do Americans have "dining events" rather than "meals" or "dinner"?
Once you are satisfied that all at the table now understand, you then order a Steak and Kidney pudding.
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@compouter1 No inside info re next poll, just wondered by how much Labour's lead had changed over 12 months. From c. +10 to c. +5, not a great achievement for team Ed over the year.0
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My predictions are like St George's fiscal mandates, compouter.compouter1 said:
If Sunday's poll still shows a Labour lead, I will get hold of the left post and you get hold of the right post(obvioulsy) and you can tell me where you want to place them again.AveryLP said:
It matters little to us what you get cross over, Compouter.compouter1 said:
Do you think I will be more upset that Labour don't make government or the fact my long standing prediction on a messageboard that I interact with people of whom I have never met or will not meet in the future, will be incorrect?nigel4england said:
You are going to look pretty stupid if they don't.compouter1 said:
Tonights takes it to 4.8 for the week, however they are all within MOE. As always the fact Labour are still between 37-40% and have been within moe for most of the last three years still makes me think that Labour will have a workable majority.MikeL said:
No crossover yet but the lead is tightening. YouGov average Lab lead for the last 9 weeks (ie each figure is average of the 5 YouGov polls for the week) - oldest week first:compouter1 said:Yougov :
Lab 39%
Con 34%
L Dem 11%
Ukip 12%
Crossover.........SHOW ME THE CROSSOVER!
6.4
7.0
6.2
7.8
6.6
7.2
7.4
5.2
4.75 = this week - first 4 polls, one poll to come
So lead was very steady at around 7% until 2 weeks ago. Then last week and this week it's tightened.
They are rolling forward forecasts.
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AveryLP said:
In such circumstances, an Englishman should patiently explain to Johnny Foreigner the exact meaning of "pudding", giving plentiful examples and repeating the key points as if called upon to explain the Rules of Cricket.Omnium said:
So long as lunch, dinner, tea, and supper can be ordered and what turns up can satisfy an Englishman then surely there's no concern. If you can somehow mention 'pudding' early in the conversation it throws all other nationalities onto the back-foot. Happily then you can pick and choose of their finest dishes in an arrangement that suits you. Once they have recovered from the 'pudding' word it only remains for you to graciously accept their fine sweet tasting dishes as an apologetic replacement for the dish that you never really wanted anyway.AveryLP said:Why do Americans have "dining events" rather than "meals" or "dinner"?
Once you are satisfied that all at the table now understand, you then order a Steak and Kidney pudding.
Quite!
I'm grinning from ear to ear.
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Yes it comes to something when the owner has us City fans agreeing with a former Swans manager. Total chaos. I expect a major thumping at Anfield Saturday.TheScreamingEagles said:
On quite a few Liverpool forums, there's been quite a few Cardiff City fans turning up and saying along the linesvalleyboy said:
Not a good time to be a bluebirds, or indeed a Spurs fan!TheScreamingEagles said:David Ornstein @bbcsport_david 6m
BREAKING: Tan tells Mackay resign or be sacked. Tan emailed explosive letter to Mackay on Mon listing grievances. Story across BBC now #ccfc
Best odds on Mackay as next manager out 2/5 with Coral and Paddy Power
Utter madness. Was at match Saturday. Little did I know that it would be Mackay's last home game.
"This is how bad Vincent Tan is, we're actually cheering and agreeing with what a former Swansea manager (Brendan Rodgers) said today"
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Other polling statgasm.
Every YouGov poll in December 2012, Labour polled 40+ in all 16 of them.
Labour have only polled 40+ in 4 out of the 16 YouGov polls in December 2013
0
