Mr. Bridge, not sure whether to give this weight or not, but I was speaking to my mother the other day about something or other, and she raised Corbyn's love of the customs union as going down like a lead balloon in some parts of the North (one comment she mentioned was that a northern lefty had said Corbyn should be put up against the wall).
Suspect if it does have an effect it'll be to depress Labour turnout, mostly in areas they'll win easily anyway, rather than causing straight red to blue shifts.
I don’t agree. Political anoraks on PB, mainly because they’re based in the south of the UK, dont realise how unpopular Corbyn is in the north. Labour are going to lose seats in the midlands and the north at the next GE.
Mike Smithson er al, please note this prediction.
The cross tabs in Fridays yougov on regional support for Corbyns Brexit policy showed it going down better in Wales, Midlands and North than in South ex London. Subsamples of course, but what more than anecdotes do you have to substantiate your claim?
Apart from PB, I am yet to encounter anyone bothered by CU either way.
Yup. All those leave voters in the West Midlands just dying to be part of the customs union.
It is possible to over-intellectualise these things. Not of course something that a man like Keir Starme would ever do...
More accurately - they want restrictions on free movement and don’t really care that much about the customs union.
YouGov survey, commissioned by the campaign group Best for Britain, found that 64% of voters say the government is doing a bad job of negotiating. Even 47% of Tory voters agreed.
In better news for May, 34% agree with her plan to leave the customs union while only 31% back Jeremy Corbyn’s plan to stay in it. But the polling suggests that Labour could win votes if it opposes Brexit. Voters give the Conservatives a 10-percentage-point lead at the next election if the opposition backs Brexit and a five-point lead if Labour opposes it.
Eloise Todd, chief executive of Best for Britain, said: “This should be a wake-up call for Labour. Seats are there for the taking if Labour stiffen opposition to Brexit.”
So Labour is fucked at the next election, the only question is with or without lube.
No, what this shows is that the Tories have an edge if the choice of party is specifically linked to Brexit. It's rather unlikely that it will be - unless there's an early eleciton.
Interesting to watch the far left falling out currently over the Labour GS role, isn’t it? History does have a habit of repeating itself. And shocking anti-Semitism aimed at Jon Lansman.
Anti - Semitism in Labour, shocked I tell you.
I mean that "independent" enquiry by the Labour supporter ennobled by Labour proved it not a problem, right?
Are we going to get PB Oscar’s Roger nominations this year? Or maybe it’s the other way round? Either way, if it’s going to happen, we are leaving it a bit tight.
YouGov survey, commissioned by the campaign group Best for Britain, found that 64% of voters say the government is doing a bad job of negotiating. Even 47% of Tory voters agreed.
In better news for May, 34% agree with her plan to leave the customs union while only 31% back Jeremy Corbyn’s plan to stay in it. But the polling suggests that Labour could win votes if it opposes Brexit. Voters give the Conservatives a 10-percentage-point lead at the next election if the opposition backs Brexit and a five-point lead if Labour opposes it.
Eloise Todd, chief executive of Best for Britain, said: “This should be a wake-up call for Labour. Seats are there for the taking if Labour stiffen opposition to Brexit.”
So Labour is fucked at the next election, the only question is with or without lube.
No, what this shows is that the Tories have an edge if the choice of party is specifically linked to Brexit. It's rather unlikely that it will be - unless there's an early eleciton.
Which also suggests that the Tories shouldn't actually want Brexit to be "sorted" (whether successfully or not) by the time of the next election, because it takes away the strongest rationale for voting for them - at the last election, people preferred Labour on most non-Brexit policies.
Yup, and the other incentive here is that once it is sorted, TMay is probably out of a job, so she has a reason to keep stringing it out.
Nearly one in five voters want Theresa May to call another General Election.
And that rises to nearly a third in the 25-34 age group. A quarter of voters in South East Tory heartlands also favour her going to the country again.
Alternatively...
Over four in five voters don't want Theresa May to call another General Election.
And that falls to over two thirds in the 25-34 age group. A three quarters of voters in South East Tory heartlands also don't favour her going to the country again.
The only critics are the ultra remainers and they cannot accept that we will leave the EU.
The Sunday Telegraph lists some of the red tape that will go on leaving and if the public knew Brussels has such power over our decisions, leave would walk it. It is outrageous
Whatever Brexit is and isn't, it will come with an explosion of red tape.
Er.. no it won’t.
And I voted remain.
It will probably mean an increase in paperwork for exporters (and importers), but other than that, I can't see much impact.
I don't know how seriously to take this stuff but the "no hard border" proposal seems to be that instead of tracking things crossing the border, the government would track all the things all the time. If they really did this then they'd also have to track things that didn't get exported or imported, so that you'll find out in the event that they do.
Mr. Bridge, not sure whether to give this weight or not, but I was speaking to my mother the other day about something or other, and she raised Corbyn's love of the customs union as going down like a lead balloon in some parts of the North (one comment she mentioned was that a northern lefty had said Corbyn should be put up against the wall).
Suspect if it does have an effect it'll be to depress Labour turnout, mostly in areas they'll win easily anyway, rather than causing straight red to blue shifts.
I don’t agree. Political anoraks on PB, mainly because they’re based in the south of the UK, dont realise how unpopular Corbyn is in the north. Labour are going to lose seats in the midlands and the north at the next GE.
Mike Smithson er al, please note this prediction.
The cross tabs in Fridays yougov on regional support for Corbyns Brexit policy showed it going down better in Wales, Midlands and North than in South ex London. Subsamples of course, but what more than anecdotes do you have to substantiate your claim?
Apart from PB, I am yet to encounter anyone bothered by CU either way.
Yup. All those leave voters in the West Midlands just dying to be part of the customs union.
It is possible to over-intellectualise these things. Not of course something that a man like Keir Starme would ever do...
More accurately - they want restrictions on free movement and don’t really care that much about the customs union.
The 2 leave voters in the Midlands I know didn't give a damn about the Customs Union either way.
The only critics are the ultra remainers and they cannot accept that we will leave the EU.
The Sunday Telegraph lists some of the red tape that will go on leaving and if the public knew Brussels has such power over our decisions, leave would walk it. It is outrageous
Whatever Brexit is and isn't, it will come with an explosion of red tape.
Er.. no it won’t.
And I voted remain.
It will probably mean an increase in paperwork for exporters (and importers), but other than that, I can't see much impact.
I don't know how seriously to take this stuff but the "no hard border" proposal seems to be that instead of tracking things crossing the border, the government would track all the things all the time. If they really did this then they'd also have to track things that didn't get exported or imported, so that you'll find out in the event that they do.
US tariff on imports of German SUVs - 25% German tariff on imports of US Jeeps - 10%
A trade war is going to make everyone poorer.
Trump is profoundly dangerous for UK interests.
Let alone American ones......
The real problem Trump could cause America is if he ends up frightening off the Chinese, the Japanese and the Germans from owning US Treasuries. They are already been concerned that his fiscal policy will lead to a ballooning deficit and rising inflation. If there's a trade war, then they might "go on a Treasury buying holiday". This would make it harder for the US to fund its government deficit and push up the cost of mortgages and other borrowing.
Edit to add: of course, this would depress consumer spending and therefore close the trade gap. Unfortunately it would close the trade gap the traditional way, via a recession.
Here's a Peter Hitchens rant we can all support as he attacks lawyers, railways, greens and John Major.
It was the Conservatives' introduction of conditional fee arrangements to save money on legal aid (or make justice available to all, might be the counter-spin) which meant Paddington was closed because there was ice on a platform, and pupils at the Jo Richardson (former Labour MP) school were banned from touching snow.
And so to bed. Before I go, something to blow your mind: a finite area bounded by an infinite perimeter. Welcome to the coastline paradox...
No paradox. I walked the coast of the mainland UK. I am not still walking. Therefore, the coastline is not infinite (though it blooming well felt so at times).
Comments
I mean that "independent" enquiry by the Labour supporter ennobled by Labour proved it not a problem, right?
Nearly one in five voters want Theresa May to call another General Election.
And that rises to nearly a third in the 25-34 age group. A quarter of voters in South East Tory heartlands also favour her going to the country again.
Alternatively...
Over four in five voters don't want Theresa May to call another General Election.
And that falls to over two thirds in the 25-34 age group. A three quarters of voters in South East Tory heartlands also don't favour her going to the country again.
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/first-major-poll-theresa-mays-12120700
If there was another referendum on EU membership, Brexiteers are three points ahead of Remainers, almost the same as the 2016 result.
Three in a hundred voters say they would spoil their ballot paper in protest at being asked the same question again.
The message from voters to Mrs May in our poll is: “Get on with it.”
Only seven per cent of those questioned thought an open border between Northern Ireland and the Republic should top the list.
https://twitter.com/hendopolis/status/970046043470647296
https://twitter.com/AllieRenison/status/970061485740298245
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-trade-autos/trump-threatens-to-tax-european-auto-imports-idUSKCN1GF0QJ?utm_campaign=trueAnthem:+Trending+Content&utm_content=5a9b5c8104d3014586faeaf1&utm_medium=trueAnthem&utm_source=twitter
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-03-03/someone-trolling-sht-out-oscars-hollywood
German tariff on imports of US Jeeps - 10%
A trade war is going to make everyone poorer.
Edit to add: of course, this would depress consumer spending and therefore close the trade gap. Unfortunately it would close the trade gap the traditional way, via a recession.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-5459281/Key-Boris-ally-attacks-PMs-aide-claiming-leak-Irish-border-memo.html
It was the Conservatives' introduction of conditional fee arrangements to save money on legal aid (or make justice available to all, might be the counter-spin) which meant Paddington was closed because there was ice on a platform, and pupils at the Jo Richardson (former Labour MP) school were banned from touching snow.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-5458619/PETER-HITCHENS-frozen-terror-ambulance-chasing-lawyers.html
https://tinyurl.com/yd4yp8kg
I walked the coast of the mainland UK.
I am not still walking.
Therefore, the coastline is not infinite (though it blooming well felt so at times).