politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Ladbrokes now make it evens that TMay survive the year
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Ladbrokes now make it evens that TMay survive the year
Ladbrokes report a surge in bets over recent days on TMay being replaced as PM this year and make it evens that she won’t survive. There’s 4/1 on offer that a General Election is called this year, or it’s a 9/4 chance the next one happens in 2019.
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https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/mar/01/labour-extends-ken-livingstones-suspension-over-antisemitism-claims
Shocked I tell you!
Initially the sonic screwdriver was used mainly to pick locks, but over time it acquired new and remarkable uses. Later Doctors deployed it to hack into computers, disable enemy weaponry and even to destroy a Dalek. No matter how devilish their situation seemed, the sonic screwdriver offered an all-purpose get out of jail free card for scriptwriters.
I do not know if Boris Johnson, Michael Gove and other leading Brexiters are big fans of Dr Who, but there is much evidence of sonic screwdriver strategy in their thinking. Their mystical faith is most obvious in discussions about the Irish border.
https://www.ft.com/content/2b5894ac-1d2f-11e8-aaca-4574d7dabfb6
Right wing politics has nothing positive at all to say about anything. It preys on fear and thrives on negativity. That is why something like immigration is a gift that just keeps on giving to the right.
9 positive right wing values in less than 30 seconds
"well ... quite"
Which party had a politician that set out to "scare the white man" to win re-election?
Some of the most racist people I have ever known thought themselves as "progressives" and would never have voted tory in their life.
I don't see a need to get into the anti semitism on the left and the failure of Labour to get to grips with it
My advice - go to the pub instead.
If Corbyn actually got to be PM, and actually started implementing this stuff, the brain drain would be epic.
And what bollocks. The part of the right which thrives on immigration is so fringe it's virtually invisible in the UK and I am sick to death of sneery, purse proud snobs with highly advertised presences in genuinely racist shitholes like France, Italy and Hungary sniping at this country and ignoring what goes on in their own because they are, just like the Kippers with their villas in Spain, Englishmen abroad making a really interesting lifestyle statement, insulated by their UK passports and sterling Visa cards from taking any interest in what "the locals" get up to.
No offence.
Immigration is a gift horse to right wing populists.
Silly odds.
Opportunity.......possibly I’ll give you that, Thatcher had an intuitive understanding of using the concept of opportunity to lure traditional Labour types....
Con 297
Lab 279
LD 14
SNP 37
Lab 40.7%
Con 40.5%
http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/homepage.html
Though, I suppose at least you've conceded that socialism doesn't promise any sort of opportunity.
I don't really get this. If I want a good takeaway there are plenty of options and vice versa for restaurants, but then I dont really see what is so attractive of the likes of about nandos.
But then I also don't get Snapchat, fornite or fidget spinners...
And he was 21 or 22 when he put his name to that leaflet, published on behalf of his father.
There's a good fairly short summary of the implications of a hard(ish) Itrish border for exports of farm animals and some wider implications here - interesting that the port of Dublin is already preparing:
https://uktradeforum.net/2018/03/01/brexit-and-animal-welfare-threats-and-opportunities/
- the forum is a spinoff from an animal welfare group - they're non-partisan and neutral on Brexit. We hope to end UK live exports with an exception for Irish border trade - there is a cross-party agreement that it'd be a good idea, and Gove is currently considering options. Irish live exports, however, are big busibess, so care is needed to avoid evasion.
In London, also, some wine shops are on deliveroo. Very handy when we were Air BnBing in Dulwich.
But over the current story? Nah.
I don’t mind robust debate like Floater.....you can call me a dickhead if you want, but I really do not care for people making personal assumptions about me. And if I have ever posted anything on this site that has given the impression that I am happy to engage in personal debate, I really didn’t mean that.
Interesting:
"When I first came to Japan in 1990, I was astonished that the Statute of Limitations for murder was fifteen years in this country. That meant that if the police didn’t arrest a murderer within that time, it would be impossible to charge him with the crime…even if he publicly confessed."
https://tokyo5.wordpress.com/tag/statute-of-limitations/
https://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2018/03/jeremy-corbyns-custom-union-fantasy/
I know you have ties to Italy so should be aware of what is going on over there.
It is hardly surprising that immigration is an issue in Italy - there have been high profile shocking sex attacks involving immigrants - including the Brindisi one I referenced the other day - and the ongoing crisis in the Med re economic migration.
I see you ignore my examples of left wing views on immigration.
It is hardly to the lefts credit that it tried to shut down debate on large scale immigration by screaming racist
Another thing about the left, distension from their view not acceptable and control, control, control the order of the day.
Hard to see how he can not be prosecuted for perjury, in light of Archer and Huhne. I suppose he could argue that it's a convention that as election agent he signs everything off, and the fact it's passed over his desk doesn't mean he has read, or agrees with, it.
But probably not important, this was 20+ years before Agent COB was scrupulously protecting our secrets from the Czech Peril, even, and I'm not sure who it would embarrass (other than Max, obv).
I'd be tempted to say "Stuff you" the next time BoJo or JRM or whoever starts whingeing, hand over the file and say "You sort it. Good luck. You'll need it." and then sod off for a long walking holiday in the Rockies.
"“so self-effacing is Matt, that in this centenary year of female suffrage, the year of Time’s Up and Me Too, he has demonstrated just what a stalwart ally he is, by heroically forcing the female Chairman of the Press Gallery to sit in silence and listen to him speak.”
Ouch
Some parts of Brexit have their upside
You once compared me to a murderer and a paedophile because I disagreed with you about fox hunting.
So, fuck off, old boy.
Do you often look back and wish you'd retained all the wisdom and experience you had when you were eighteen?
That may give you a clue as to why people's voting patterns as they get older.
Truth is, JRM and co have become dogmatists. Pure and simple.
http://www.bbc.com/news/business-43242057
This is the sort of thing why I argue the licence fee is totally broken. The BBC while wed to the telly tax can't compete with the shifts happening in the modern world of content creation.
Murdoch has seen the tectonic plates shifting, and the Sky under new ownership are in an even better position to adapt with the times.
He said during his trial that there was no such leaflet or he was not involved in it. Now we know that there was such a leaflet and that he was involved in it. Depending on precisely what was asked and what he answered - and what other questions he was asked about - the allegation is that he may have lied on oath about the existence of the leaflet rather than about whether he agreed with its contents.
In order to establish perjury, there will need to be a very careful analysis of his evidence in the witness box and the extent to which this new evidence casts doubt on it to the extent that the offence of perjury can be established. That is the issue for the CPS.
The other issue is one for the newspaper i.e. if he did not tell the truth about this leaflet is there a basis on which it can claim that the court's judgment would have been different in that libel trial so that the verdict can be overturned and the damages recovered. It would obviously be easier to do that if he's found guilty of perjury but even if no prosecution is brought the newspaper might still be able to argue that the libel verdict should be set aside.
Regardless of that there is the fact that his somewhat unsavoury past is now being brought to light which is probably not what he wanted or expected.
The hole still exists, waiting for the next doughnut to come along.
Having looked at the price differences on Deliveroo compared to the actual restaurant menu, I think it is the customers who pay the 30%.
I also see today that Amazon has signed a deal to distribute UFC PPV streams, and the theory is they are going to bid for the non-PPV coverage when the current deal with Fox expires shortly.
Of course they should have done this before pressing the Article 50 button. God only knows why they didn't. The timing of Article 50 was about the only leverage the UK had.
I would not quite die in a ditch to get a Norway-type deal but that is what the Remainers of varying off-putting character should be agitating for. The biggest lie that needs to be exploded is that staying in the SM/CU is "not leaving".
That should be the focus.
Of course, that doesn't make the EU's proposed judicial imperialism other than contemptible.
Not a brilliant justification, but ...
The EU conveniently took away the A50 leverage by refusing to have any talks until A50 was enacted.
Then the EU insisted on 3 issues first (including the Ireland one) before discussing trade.
So that's why we're here and there appears to not be a plan, because the EU response to any UK plan is simply "do what you're told". And that attitude is why we voted for Brexit in the first place.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-5449133/Deliveroo-man-slides-icy-hill-stomach.html