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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » None of the Above takes 44% lead in new CON leadership poll
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » None of the Above takes 44% lead in new CON leadership poll
With a new week opening and Mrs Msy still there at number 10 there is a new poll out in the Independent on who voters think should be her successor.
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But I am sceptical about these polls - it’s all about name recognition at this stage rather than a proper analysis of the candidates’ weaknesses
“Why was a government department not calling for prosecutions and taking money away from Oxfam”
“People need to go away and ask questions about why they didn’t do more at the time”
May be we should ask the former SoS?
A splendid result for none of the above.
So you don’t go public - but you ask the right questions of Oxfam
But May's levels of public approval are undeniably low, and even allowing for public apathy the biggest media whore of the lot, who has been on public manoeuvres for quite some time, provides no evidence of any significant desire for him as a replacement.
It gives every appearance of a former SoS trying to distance herself from blame.
Pritti pathetic.
Rather it seems to be that they are crap, and so are all the alternatives.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-5379231/London-City-airport-closed-police-incident.html
This is exactly the poison that the Euroscpetics have injected into the party (perhaps via an immorally overpriced EPipen - see the latest Peter Rabbit movie).
There now can only be one true thought (tm). The broad tent of the church has been collapsed and replaced with a one-man bivvy, smelling of hot breath (Johnson), incense (JRM) and ch*t (Davis). They have won, but in winning, they don't want opponents to have the same freedoms to speak out that they did when they destroyed the party.
Let's make it clear: Soubry is not a nutter. The 'bastards', however, are still bastards.
"What's driving populism? It isn't the economy, stupid"
https://www.theglobeandmail.com/opinion/what-is-driving-populism-it-isnt-the-economy-stupid/article37899813/
He’d have clearly got most of the 57%
A thought occured to me yesterday that a good way of judging the qualities of an ex leader is how many of their close colleagues dump on them after they have left office. On this scale Blair scores well and Cameron extremely badly.
The Tories have a big problem in having such a small and unrepresentative selectorate for their next leader. The MPs have some heavy lifting to do.
We have to careful with reading too much into such surges - May and Macron spring to mind - but there is clearly room for somebody who isn't boring and stale like May or mad as a box of frogs like Corbyn.
Will they swing to the left (a more Kennedy or Ashdown-like position), or more to the right (a Clegg-like position)?
I'm flabbergasted that the Great Invisible Man is making his bible-thumping predecessor look good ...
The basic message of the poll on the leadership is presumably to encourage outsiders to raise their profile (cf. Patel). People are saying they don't think much of the people they've heard of, so logically the Tories should look for someone most people haven't heard of.
A good Brexit deal would probably be seen by most leavers and remainers as a success, especially after all the doom and gloom there has been.
Probably because they won’t be able to fund their paedo jaunts on taxpayer money anymore.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-poll-new-public-dont-know-theresa-may-government-ideas-goals-brussels-negotiations-a8203291.html
Spoiler: the answer is "no".
What the LibDems need is not a new policy direction but the next chat show Charlie who can get on the panel games until the news and current affairs producers start calling again.
Could see the BBC starting a `hidden agenda` to promote Penny Mordaunt as an alternative Brexit candidate to be next Tory leader as opposed to Boris and JRM.
Penny is still 100/1.
http://dilbert.com/strip/2018-02-11
Therefore it's not a case of ensuring it never happens in your organisation: it's a case of ensuring when it does happen, an investigation (fair to all parties) is put in place to look into what happened, correct it, and to try to ensure it doesn't happen again.
It's when it's covered up that it causes real problems.
The Oxfam situation seems to be already mired in politics, and it's perfectly possible for Oxfam to have performed well and honourably in this situation - certainly the issues of references is a thorny one.
Does anyone have a good summary of what happened with the story from the pro- and anti- Oxfam side?
Mr. Metatron, that sounds like it would be in the national interest (I may have a little on Mordaunt).
On-topic: it's rather unfortunate for the blues to have a lacklustre leader and no shining knights waiting to ride in and rescue the party. And yet, they're still polling really well.
Easy to forget that about a decade ago (not even that long, in fact) a poll had the Lib Dems ahead of the others, and many polls had those three closely clustered.
Exciting week ahead. As well as Kingdom Come Deliverance, which I'm looking forward to [realistic, historical RPG set in Bohemia 1403], The Last City, a sci-fi anthology featuring a story by me, comes out on Thursday.
@Digbylj: Attention all Remoaners! Stop doing Barnier’s work for him! This undermining of our Country’s negotiating with the EU HAS to stop. We’ll end up with a lousy deal & you will be to blame. Will that make you feel better? Surely you agree we should not give in to bullies.
https://twitter.com/mrchrisaddison/status/962954394856718336
Bigger NGOs seems to recognise this and from what I have seen Oxfam as an organisation have been reasonably open about this Haiti incident. Indeed it has long been DFID policy to work via NGOs because of better internal governance arrangements.
This is a fairly risky sector for agents going off the rails, into the Heart of Darkness, but important to keep proportion and not halt the good work while investigating.
With little enthususiasm for any alternative Tory leader though and Corbyn still having a bet dissatisfaction rating it does show how May is likely to continue in office for a while yet despite ratings that are not great either
Your point about charities, power relationships and sexual predators is a serious one. Unfortunately, there is a reason why Saville-like characters are attracted to charity work. It provides ready access to power over the vulnerable.
Of course, this is not to denigrate the vast majority of charity workers, but it does show how very important it is for organisations like Oxfam to have robust procedures in place.
I've resolved never to risk voting Tory again, but that could win me over.
Or just think that the Tories are all a bunch of tosspots.
Sure, this should be looked at further, but there is a risk of chucking the baby out with the bathwater.
I'm unsure what the answer to this is. Companies have rights to sack people based on evidence well below the standards required in civil courts. Telling another organisation *why* they sacked someone based on flimsy evidence opens up all sorts of potential abuses and injustices. ("nudge-nudge, wink-wink")
(cue Major Misunderstanding).
http://www.news24.com/SouthAfrica/News/it-ends-today-nec-members-on-zuma-exit-20180212
Is that a recognized strategy?
Plus, there is any time to play for.
https://www.fnlondon.com/articles/third-goldman-banker-named-on-presidents-club-list-20180212
Or perhaps the ?Barring and Disclosure? Service could be extended, whereby any such concerns could be flagged to an external organisation - I assume that's not how it works atm.
"Therefore it's not a case of ensuring it never happens in your organisation: it's a case of ensuring when it does happen, an investigation (fair to all parties) is put in place to look into what happened, correct it, and to try to ensure it doesn't happen again.
It's when it's covered up that it causes real problems."
True, and that applies to every organisation, including the RC Church. Yes the great majority are good people, but concentrating on preventing damage to the organisation always ends up doing the opposite. It's a natural response to close ranks, but totally wrong.
People who dislike you will use it as an excuse to criticise, but if you try to cover up, you will deserve it. You can include all political parties, the BBC, and in fact, every large organisation in that. People never learn.
The sad thing is that there are probably organisations who do mostly get it right, but we never get to hear about it because it isn't newsworthy.
That’s different to charity workers spending donations on hookers in disaster zones, a fair number of whom probably only went into that line of work following the disaster.
Politics is a funny old business and as much about perceptions than reality. Why have the Conservatives regained a small poll lead when it seems we have been confronted daily with reports of internal divisions, feuds, gaffes and the resignations of barely-recognised Cabinet Ministers ?
Is it because no one is interested in politics apart from us ? Possibly.
Is it because people have figured out Jeremy Corbyn is a hapless old Marxist who will ruin the country if allowed anywhere near power and legions of pensioners are already queuing at polling stations to save us from the nightmare ? Maybe.
I'd contend it's because nothing has happened and little appears to be happening. Stodge's Fourth Law of Politics states "the most successful Governments are those which appear to be doing nothing at all". For all the wailing and gnashing of teeth that a vote to leave the EU would plunge us into eternal darkness, that hasn't happened yet.
Indeed, nothing seems to have happened at all since 23/6/16. We can May's tenure as Prime Minister from the Hubristic Era (July 2016 to June 2017) to the Realistic Era (since the GE). Yet she governs as though she won the 150 seat majority so many on here clearly wanted her to obtain. Why? One reason is the lack of internal and external Opposition. Internally, May has no serious rival - she has a number of small comedic opponents - comparable to Heseltine's threat to Thatcher.
Externally, the Labour Party is ineffective because it doesn't have the numbers in Parliament and because on the leading issue of the day (apparently), it has no clear policy.
Well, that makes two of you, then. The reason Labour has no policy is the Conservatives don't have one either. It's hard to oppose when you don't know what you are opposing. We are told by those who live to the NE of London that it's obvious - FTA with the EU . Er, yes, but the Devil is in the detail of that one and perhaps while we want an FTA that may not be what the EU wants.
The absence of policy creates a vacuum of passivity and calm. Life goes on. No one needs to think very hard - indeed, the whole message of the May period has been "Don't worry, Trust Theresa." The Conservatives are now the "don't worry, everything will be all right" Party.
Nothing lasts forever. As time and circumstances and the negotiating process force choices to be made and options to be closed down, so it will become harder to keep everyone on board and the realisation of what life outside the EU "back in control" (workers' rights ?) may be like will start to make the political waters choppier.
The Presidents Club is now so beyond the pale that all donations received must be returned whereas with Oxfam its apparently a few rogue people and taxpayers money must continue to be donated.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/1583465/Nick-Clegg-has-had-sex-with-no-more-than-30.html
If Oxfam required the people it was helping to wear black panties, you might have a point ...