politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Can we agree that “Peak Theresa” was the ComRes 25% lead in th
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Can we agree that “Peak Theresa” was the ComRes 25% lead in the S Mirror on April 23rd 2017?
Over the past day or so may have been lots of eulogies, that’s the best way to describe it, to the extraordinary resilience and staying ower of Theresa May who seems to cope with one crisis after another and still remain at Number 10.
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And with her recent (relative) recovery is anyone brace enough to call “trough Theresa”? Or will the decline continue in 2018 after a brief respite?
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DRl9bCaXUAAxKrr?format=jpg
Overall, separatist parties are on course to win an absolute majority in the new Catalan parliament, according to an exit poll quoted by Reuters.
Exit poll: 'Neck and neck'
The separatist ERC and unionist Citizens are neck and neck in race to become biggest party in new parliament
Edit - yes
Rajoy just doesn't get the Catalan independence issue, does he?
Looks like a humiliation for the governing PP however.
The results of local consultative polls in Barnsley and Doncaster have been announced with significant support for the One Yorkshire mayor version.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-south-yorkshire-42441721
1) she is the only person who can credibly claim to have a mandate to lead the government, given the deal with the DUP.
2) the high risk of a labour government if elections are called which is widely feared to be a disaster for the both the UK economy, and for Brexit.
She can basically survive anything, but not through her own skill or ability.
1. Indy-bloc gets 50%+ - gamechanger
2. Indy-bloc stays at same level as now - stalemate
3. Indy-bloc share falls - good news for Spanish unity.
It’s important to remember that the three indy parties are running on very different platforms and will struggle to work together, especially if they do not get a majority of votes; and it’s easier for indy parties to get seats because their vote is strongest in areas where it takes fewer votes to win.
Normally, the largest party has the right to have the first stab at forming a government - according to the exit poll, this would be the unionist party Citizens.
However, the separatist parties may insist they have the right to try first, if they have the largest number of seats overall.
There are immigrants who want to end freedom of movement.
Although the non-Puigdemont separatists have gained considerably at his party's expense
https://resultats.parlament2017.cat/09AU/DAU09999CM.htm?lang=ca
I don't think it should be a surprise that even many remainers were in favour of controlling immigration more, if not, on average, as fervent about it as most leavers.
On the thread topic if not the header topic, surely Rajoy is toast on these numbers. He has gambled and while he has not lost disastrously he has still not got what he needed, plus his party has been firmly rebuffed.
He'd have to have the skill of a
Theresa MayJeremy Corbynlimpet to hang on after this...Ouch.
I don't think that May's strategy is right, and agree with the criticism that she has blundered in to this unprepared, but is it really better to have no strategy at all?
Of course, that presupposes the poll is accurate. The methodology sounds odd.
But the PP barely registers in Catalonia.
Remember Sir Humphrey's famous dictum - it is needful to get behind someone before stabbing them in the back.
Barcelona is less than half the level counted of the other areas. (And is massively pro-C)
In Australia, where voting is compulsory, last year turnout was 90.9%.
I would expect that their vote share will drift lower, as Barcelona is well behind the other regions as far as counts go. Nevertheless, it looks like a repeat of last time with the pro-Independence parties still short of the magic 50% of the vote mark (say 48%), but with the majority of the seats.
Yes, that is as you say very unjust.
Just so dreadful
I just don’t see how recognising the reality of Jerusalem as Israel’s capital, which would only change in the event of the state of Israel’s destruction, will make any difference to the ultimate fate of the Palestinians. It’s like Britain only recognising Chinese ‘suzerainty’ over Tibet until 2008.
Would normally do the legwork before posting, but only had a few minutes.
http://www.parliament.uk/business/committees/committees-a-z/commons-select/exiting-the-european-union-committee/publications/
169,642 votes in Barcelona, out of a Catalonian total of 226,461.