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In news that will shock most punters, Paddy Power become the first and only bookmaker to have some Robert Mugabe related bets in light of the recent attempted coup d’état in Zimbabwe.
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Surprised neither Malaysia nor Singapore on the list as reportedly he has money property there...so 14/1 on “any other” might be worth a small flutter....
Betting on Mugabe doesn't appeal at all.
I fear an unhappy ending for the country, more of the same. But I wouldn't want to bet on it.
What odds would you give on May outlasting Merkel?
Merkel is looking at a second election, which in theory produces a similar result to last time, but we know that people don’t like being asked again just because the politicians could agree. Merkel’s head could be the price for a new coalition to be formed, but she still has high support numbers.
I’d probably say about 6/4 on May to last longer, what do you reckon?
http://nehandaradio.com/2013/03/25/mugabe-assured-of-malaysia-safe-haven/
https://twitter.com/LondonFire/status/932846763299561472
Britain is seen neither as a once great power struggling for relevance, nor as a victor entitled to special rank, nor as a heritage theme park. Of course, any picture is complex and multivariate, but by and large Britain is viewed with warm respect for its vibrancy, culture, entrepreneurialism, and openness, and as an exemplar of liberty and democracy.
This view is backed by the facts. The United Kingdom’s global influence might be thought of along three dimensions: cultural, economic, and political. I will explore each of these before examining the impact of more recent events on Britain’s global standing and whether fragmentation of the UK would weaken it
http://www.these-islands.co.uk/publications/i256/britains_standing_on_the_world_stage.aspx
Following on from the rather spectacular GT crash at Macau I posted yesterday, below is the rather spectacular ending to the main GP crash. It should perhaps be titled "How not to win."
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qhwlEkehgbk
(skip to two minutes in for the start of the real action).
Mugabe has always had a love/hate relationship with us and I can see, in extreme circumstances, him begging for refuge.
In the meeting, Brexiteers were outnumbered by six to four and will be even more of a minority when the full Cabinet meets on Tuesday.
http://m.huffingtonpost.co.uk/amp/entry/cabinet-brexiteers-agree-to-increase-uk-divorce-bill-if-eu-and-uk-jump-together-on-trade-talks_uk_5a13cb5fe4b0aa32975d74fe/
Anywhere he goes therefore has to keep him and his wife out of the reach of the ICC for his remaining years. That seems to me to rule out the UK for a start. In fact I would be looking at the red on this map: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_Criminal_Court#/media/File:ICC_member_states.svg
As a full member of the Court his presence would be an embarrassment to South Africa now. They have enough problems persuading the world that the rule of law still applies there.
The rest of the weekend though, full of action, would be a great event to attend. I know Mr Dancer disagrees, but I love watching the top drivers going around a track that’s narrow, bumpy and temporary in nature. Watching the F3 race where the leader binned it on the last corner is nothing if not exciting.
Malaysia, Singapore and China are all on the red side in your map, and he has quite close links with all of them especially Singapore.
The question is whether, having refused to resign, he will be allowed to leave the country. If he had gone quietly I doubt if there would have been a problem. Being dragged out kicking and screaming might be the excuse needed to put him on trial, although how ZANU-PF could do that without admitting they're all Mafia-style crooks and thugs I don't know.
Frankly it's hard to disagree.
Truthful, of course, but mischievous!
Brexit, anyone?
Pity there's no people's democratic Republic of Congo, so we'd know which was the communist dictatorship.
https://tradingeconomics.com/congo/gdp-per-capita
Date of independence 1960....
Miracle blood pressure pills
IF he is forced to flee with nothing and the incoming govt go about seizing his assets, then he's likely to go somewhere that will look after him in the style to which he has become accustomed. Where would that be?
With the CDU voteshare likely to fall further in any new election and a CDU and Green coalition likely to fall well short of a majority Merkel may also be replaced in the next few weeks or months by a CDU or CSU leader willing to lead a minority government with confidence and supply from the FDP and maybe even the AfD which is something Merkel will not do.
Voters all over Europe are revolting against the status quo. The UK is hardly alone in this, we've just gone about it in a different way (Brexit, the rise of Corbyn).
The media broadcasts and phone in shows considerable resistance to paying the EU and if they still play for more TM will get considerable backing to walk away and proceed to plan for WTO
And this no matter the economic cost
'Eurotunnel renamed Getlink in preparation for post-Brexit era'
http://tinyurl.com/yakqenhp
The patriotic Peruvian will be tumescent.
'The French company, which operates the Channel Tunnel, has chosen the admirably Anglo-Saxon name to “mark the group’s passage into an exciting new era for mobility infrastructures”.'
The thing that stings is the unfunded liabilities, as it shows the financial mismanagement of the EU. But if you invest in a badly run business you still have to pay debts on divestment. We should be glad that no more of these debts will be run up in our name.
The phone ins and vox pops I have heard were very much anti the EU demanding money and also demanding to know why we are not out already.
The fact TM has got the cabinet to agree to increase the offer to circa 40 billion is a plus for her but there is no way she will get an increase on that if it is demanded.
There is no rational in the arguments over Brexit
EU won't settle for it, because they will want up to pay at least 12% of the RAL (around £35 Bn) on top of the two years. We will have to face them down now, because there is no way we can go much further without having been seen to totally capitulate. This is where the nation states have to look to their own interests and press the commission to act in their economic interest rather than the Commission's Political one.They might not - so now its the moment when accidental 'No Deal' becomes most likely.
Our future is to continue following most of these rules - just as Canada and Mexico's freedom of action is heavily constrained by their powerful neighbour - whilst no longer having any influence over their determination.
I believe the extra cash May has offered represents the unfunded liabilities, less our share of assets.
'Wake me up, when there's a result' type of attitude.
But I have many happy memories of the place. Went with a not-at-all closeted gay colleague, and we happily walked about the place with never a moment of feeling for our safety. Watched young kids going down the rapids of the Congo River - saluted one for his bravery, who gave me the crispest salute back, as he whizzed down to what looked impending doom - until I watched him walk back a few moments later, to repeat the process with his laughing mates. Birding down by the Congo was spectacular - sat in a dug-out canoe paddled by a guy in just a loincloth (don't tell Health and Safety back in the office!) to watch clouds of swallows and martins, a big roost of rock pratincoles - and an Egyptian Plover glide down the side of the boat, so close I could almost touch it.
The highlight was probably sitting on a first floor balcony overlooking what I guess may have normally been a bus station. There was a crowd of many hundreds, watching a football match. Men v Women. The women had boots, the guys were barefoot. And the women were creaming the guys. Fantastic music playing, cold drink in hand, and all these people whooping in joy. Just showed that, whatever they had recently been through, the human determination to get on with normal shines through.
When are Jezza's young followers going to realise what they are following?
The government is doing the right thing in leaving the single market and thereby avoiding most of the rules (except for our EU trade).
TM as a former remainer is attempting an impossible task but is the best hope for a deal that satisfies most but not the extremes on either side
Who would have thought Corbyn would join May in the division lobby rejecting the single market and customs union.
He has come out as a Brexiteer to the utter dismay of the majority of his party
Why does hardly anyone left in the Labour movement know this or indeed seem to care?
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/nov/16/britain-got-its-way-eu-brexiteers
http://www.scotsman.com/news/why-did-kezia-dugdale-join-i-m-a-celebrity-1-4618536
Those MPs voted against closing off the option of leaving the customs union.
Basically Labour's position is we haven't decided yet so we keep all options on the table.
Hardly edifying leadership - but I think it's smart politics to keep their options open.
Somehow (events?) they will have to go and Starmer/Thornberry put in place. No idea how it will happen.