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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » When will there be the next Cabinet resignation? William Hill’

These are indeed turbulent times at Westminster with two Cabinet exits in the space of a week. Now Hill’s have opened a market on not WHO will be the next to go but WHEN. These are the options and odds:
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Unlike Boris and Priti
https://www.theguardian.com/news/2017/nov/09/revealed-scheme-gary-lineker-tax-barbados-home?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other
You have to read it really carefully to find that he didn’t do this to really avoid tax.
Nobody would go through setting up and managing a company with sole aim of avoiding 3.5% of stamp duty / transfer tax on a holiday home. The lawyers fees and management of the company etc will eat most of that. *
It is down to the fact in the future you are restricted by law there on how much of that money you could take out of the country. No idiot given the choice would potentially want to have a load of money locked in another country if you sold your house.
* In comparison, these schemes of company purchases of homes have become attractive in the UK because of the 12% rate and council tax etc.
'Here is the full quote from Boris Johnson on Fox News about President Trump. The presenter put it to Johnson that Trump was getting a lot of negative press in the US, and he asked how people outside America saw him. He replied:
I think you’ve got to realise that the American president is just one of the huge, great global brands, and he is penetrating corners of the global consciousness that I think few other presidents have ever done. So his method of tweeting earlier in the morning, no matter how rambunctious those tweets may be, they are communicating with people. And, yes, a lot of people don’t like it. But a lot of people relate to it. And in an age when people have been turned off politics, it is more direct and it’s more communicative than a lot of previous presidents have managed.’
Just because he’s a creep.
Compare & contrast Prescott’s son with Carl Sergeant.
In the first, Labour met queries with a terse "no comment while an investigation is underway”
In the second, Carwyn was trumpeting about it on Welsh TV. That is what will do for him.
I am all for exposing the tax dodgers and the second Panorama programme did spend a fair bit of time highlighting a guy responsible for a very dodgy looking scheme. But all this stuff of Justin Timberlake set up in a company in the Bahamas, to errrhh buy a golf course in the Bahamas, Gary Lineker the same for a holiday home, JRM had shares in a company he worked for is just bollocks.
Popcorn will be required.
This is a real problem for Welsh Labour, because Carwyn was very good at keeping the balls in the air.
The long-standing rumour is that he wants Ken Skates to succeed him -- the very epitome of a latte-swilling, Oxbridge vowelled, New Labour politician.
April or later would stand out but for the fact that Downing Street must be tempted to carry out a wider-ranging reshuffle (NB the bet is "Leave Post" on WH's website, not "Resign")
http://sports.williamhill.com/bet/en-gb/betting/e/11983342/When+Will+The+Next+Cabinet+Minister+Leave+Their+Post.html
A party leader who effectively pushes a colleague into a position where suicide is considered, let alone acted upon, cannot last.
My recollection that lower figures than these were being given during the GE debate on the 'dementia tax' appears to be wrong, or at least I cannot find these using a quick Google search.
https://twitter.com/George_Osborne/status/928627728798007302
Because one does not simply walk into Mordaunt.
rottenborough said:
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They could start with the Carers Allowance, which is a disgrace.
£62.70p a week and a credit for national insurance towards a state pension.My daughter had to give up work to look after her severely disabled child.
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Needs to be solid, reliable, good at detail, decent instincts and able to get to grips with things the minute they walk through the door.
Not many of them round the table at the moment.
https://twitter.com/bbclaurak/status/928631237081780224
Actually I think Hague would be the perfect fit for PM right now, the reluctant remainer that the right of the Tories respect and the rest of the country and the EU knows is competent?
The wit & wisdom of Penny.
She's a homeopathy merchant 'n' all.
PMQs with the PM in the Lords would be very different!
Leaving aside the ridiculous workload that would have left him, I think that shows the jobs he wants.
I suspect therefore he would rather take Head of Brexit than FCO.
Perhaps David Davis could be persuaded to switch to FCO?
As an aside - I did enjoy all out war a lot... gripping read in places, full of juicy gossip on Tory rivalries. Felt it was a bit patchier on the Labour stuff where I suspect the author had weaker sources.
Sheikh Saud al-Mojeb said 199 people were being held for questioning as part of a sweeping anti-corruption drive that began on Saturday night.
So Theresa May was the best Prime Minister on offer at the time.
Welcome to the club.
The presumed Mordaunt hiring suggests she feels she needs a careful balance of leavers and remainers.
And to be honest - perhaps she has taken soundings and knows Boris doesn't have the votes to challenge her.
Whereas a replacement Brexiteer might.
Not funny, I know.
http://www.bbc.com/news/av/41926140/this-is-the-largest-single-drug-seizure-in-colombia-s-history
About a weeks worth of usage in Hollywood then...
She is one of the weakest people to sit round the Cabinet table for some time.
But I can see Boris just getting frustrated and lashing out at a journalist - and that being the end of it.
Boris should go. If she wants to avoid a leadership challenge (which doesn't involve an opponent to begin with, let's remember, other than in the minds of those gaming out how the process might end), she needs to simply display strong and stable leadership.
https://twitter.com/ian_a_jones/status/928638843502383104
And they are all barking....
https://twitter.com/jimwaterson/status/750979473277943808
The only other time in recent years was the mess when Blair tried to abolish the Lord Chancellor and replace it with SoS for Constitutional Affairs - so you had Charlie Falconer.
But I am not sure that it would be seen as an appropriate step to take now - even though there is plenty of precedent that it can work.
So when the English urinate on the beaches of Benidorm or vomit on the side of Tavernas in Crete it's assumed they're the country bumpkins they didn't previously know existed.
So the only thing keeping our international credibility even vaguely intact are the Metropolitan elite.