politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Latest ConHome party members’ survey finds no clear preference
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Latest ConHome party members’ survey finds no clear preference for who should succeed Mrs. May
At some stage in the next 20 month or so the largely male and elderly membership of the Conservative party will vote on who should be the next Prime Minister – so we need to keep an eye on the regular ConHome surveys of party members.
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But I like Other, he/she is what the country needs right now.
(That said I don't think the EU vote was one, nor do I think another one is necessary)
Generally the narrative seems to have moved on from 'There's nothing crooked about using tax avoidance vehicles' to 'I am not avoiding tax by using these tax avoidance vehicles'.
In fact, given that John and JRM have values more than half the righthand column, if that column masks two candidates then then would likely score lower in the table.
That graph says that Boris and JRM are the candidates
I think Boris or JRM are more likely to take over in opposition as Tory leader than be the next PM.
@DPJHodges: Important thing people missing with Boris/Zaghari-Ratcliffe blunder. He has now put his political future in the hands of a foreign state.
I'll wait.
Tax Avoidance is legal. You are not obliged to arrange your tax affairs to maximise tax paid.
Tax Evasion is illegal. You are required to pay the tax you owe. Any Tax Avoidance you have used or not used is not relevant. Whatever your tax is calculated as you MUST pay.
Exhibit A - a man using a pickup truck to mow people down in NYC is revealed to have been admitted on a Lottery visa, and having apparently brought a further 23 people in due to chain migration. At the first conservative mention of the need to review immigration policy, the lefties immediately opine that "this is not the time to politicize a tragedy."
Exhibit B - a man carrying an assault rifle and wearing body armor enters a church and kills over 25 people and injures many others. IMMEDIATELY the lefties invoke gun control in full cry. When questioned as to whether their suggested remedies would have stopped this particular crime they admit not. Yet they still push the same ideas at every opportunity - extended background checks etc.
The 'problem' for the lefties is that most of the US shootouts used legally obtained weapons.
---- list of the things this Government has done, and not monumentally f****d up ----
---- list ends ----
Scott's number issue is brexit and how to stop it,if that means getting rid of this Tory government, so be it.
They want to make it harder to legally obtain weapons.
And also that half the things happening now are not government only issues, which is true without saying the government is doing ok.
Perhaps save the indignant response for someone who is arguing the government has done great.
I'll wait.
The Telegraph's Europe Editor backs the rather alarming take on a likelihood of a catastrophic no deal.
Clearly the Tories need to elect none of the above as their next leader. Preferably a generic Conservative...
Keep prayin'..
His only hope on that score is the LDs holding the balance of power in a hung Parliament and perhaps with SNP support forcing Corbyn to stay in the single market in return for confidence and supply even if that means leaving free movement uncontrolled.
On current polling that is of course not impossible.
Crap, that was May, wasn't it?
Never mind - where is the most generic constituency, and who is the MP there?
Etc An old 538 article listed Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale as the most nationally representative seat in the country, which is something, but not quite what I was looking for. Still, Mundell I guess.
A BBC article this year said Worcester was the most average place in the UK. So, some dude named Robin Walker. He looks generic.
When is the US going to face up to the fact that it has a massive gun problem?
This, in turn, ties the hands of the UK negotiating team.
If we go back on our assurances in Nissan, then it increases the risk of something bad happening. And I don't think you can think of this as blackmail: this would merely be Nissan protecting their shareholders against a negative outcome - something they are morally bound to do.
If we honour our assurances to Nissan, then we find ourselves in a very weak negotiating position.
There is no good outcome to this puzzle. We already have a dangerously unbalanced economy, with a current account deficit, a government deficit, and the lowest savings rates in history. The biggest threat to Brexit has always been a nasty recession between now and exit day; how do we minimise the chance of that recession in the next two years?
The economic boost would be immense
I told you he was shite that the MPs not the membership would go for him.
Now if he'd bought a "second hand" jet from a business using them commercially...
so hang on in there BoJo...
I hope he sticks to his anti EU stance that he had before the labour top job but the pressure from behind him will be immense for a very soft brexit(with freemovement )or another referendum.
For anyone who wants to protect 'Brexit', the best solution is to let it remain a dream. Ironically it's the Brexiteers who should be most keen on revoking Article 50 as soon as possible.
If a weak Corbyn minority government is forced to leave free movement in place because of LD and SNP demands the UK stays in the single market a Tory Leaver opposition leader and UKIP will be licking their lips at all those Labour Leave voters now in play.
Exhibit A: let's change the immigration system!
Exhibit B: let's not worry about guns!
George didn't scarper, the PSGB fired him thinking she knew better than Dave and George about making net gains at a general election.
70% of LD voters voted Remain, more than the voters for any other party bar the Greens so their Leave voters are less significant.
We know what fame and wealth gets you.