politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Latest ConHome party members’ survey finds no clear preference

At some stage in the next 20 month or so the largely male and elderly membership of the Conservative party will vote on who should be the next Prime Minister – so we need to keep an eye on the regular ConHome surveys of party members.
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jsCR05oKROAmurali_s said:
Politics is truly broken. A people's revolution anyone?Scott_P said:0 -
23% other - that is hiding the next Leader.....0
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+1MarqueeMark said:23% other - that is hiding the next Leader.....
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I hope our civil servants are competent, as presumably with parliament and government paralyzed they are running the show right now.
But I like Other, he/she is what the country needs right now.0 -
Revolutions are often followed by further revolution.Tykejohnno said:
(That said I don't think the EU vote was one, nor do I think another one is necessary)0 -
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Lol, Dermot Desmond being chased by the BBC about tax avoidance. The next day he fired off a letter to the reporter beginning with 'Are you a Rangers supporter?'.
Generally the narrative seems to have moved on from 'There's nothing crooked about using tax avoidance vehicles' to 'I am not avoiding tax by using these tax avoidance vehicles'.0 -
The stench of death surrounding this government is overwhelming, yet the zombie cabinet lurches on, necrotizing everything it touches0
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Maybe not. Maybe they expressed likings for 23 other candidates @ 1% each. If the candidates names were known they would be between Leadsom and Green and that right-hand column would vanish.MarqueeMark said:23% other - that is hiding the next Leader.....
In fact, given that John and JRM have values more than half the righthand column, if that column masks two candidates then then would likely score lower in the table.
That graph says that Boris and JRM are the candidates0 -
Inevitable. Most people will see it as crooked even if it is legal, so it's a losing fight to try to argue the point.Theuniondivvie said:Lol, Dermot Desmond being chased by the BBC about tax avoidance. The next day he fired off a letter to the reporter beginning with 'Are you a Rangers supporter?'.
Generally the narrative seems to have moved on from 'There's nothing crooked about using tax avoidance vehicles' to 'I am not avoiding tax by using these tax avoidance vehicles'.0 -
@DPJHodges: What does the fact Ministers can meet heads of state behind the PM's back with impunity do for her credibility in Brexit negotiations.0
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But someone within that 23% will be who they coalesce around. Basically, the messge is "skip a generation...."Beverley_C said:
Maybe not. Maybe they expressed likings for 23 other candidates @ 1% each.MarqueeMark said:23% other - that is hiding the next Leader.....
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A description like that is the only thing that makes the government look like it is doing ok, since it is so over the top, and half the things happening at present are not even only government issues.Scott_P said:The stench of death surrounding this government is overwhelming, yet the zombie cabinet lurches on, necrotizing everything it touches
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Sorry - I edited it and added some extras.....MarqueeMark said:
But someone within that 23% will be who they coalesce around. Basically, the messge is "skip a generation...."Beverley_C said:
Maybe not. Maybe they expressed likings for 23 other candidates @ 1% each.MarqueeMark said:23% other - that is hiding the next Leader.....
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It makes no difference. She has none any more...Scott_P said:@DPJHodges: What does the fact Ministers can meet heads of state behind the PM's back with impunity do for her credibility in Brexit negotiations.
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Necrotizing Brexititis is a fatal condition that would afflict any government attempting to leave the EU on a slim mandate based on a false prospectus.Scott_P said:The stench of death surrounding this government is overwhelming, yet the zombie cabinet lurches on, necrotizing everything it touches
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The demand that we must effectively pledge fealty to Iran is a poor one by Thornberry.Scott_P said:0 -
Most likely it will be Davis v Rudd Tory MPs put to the membership, certainly if May goes before Brexit is completed.
I think Boris or JRM are more likely to take over in opposition as Tory leader than be the next PM.0 -
Too latePulpstar said:The demand that we must effectively pledge fealty to Iran is a poor one by Thornberry.
@DPJHodges: Important thing people missing with Boris/Zaghari-Ratcliffe blunder. He has now put his political future in the hands of a foreign state.0 -
Terrible for the family, but if his remarks do lead to an increase in her sentence, with his remarks the official reason, that surely would be a resignation offence.Scott_P said:0 -
Is Kevin going to chuck his hat in the ringMarqueeMark said:
But someone within that 23% will be who they coalesce around. Basically, the messge is "skip a generation...."Beverley_C said:
Maybe not. Maybe they expressed likings for 23 other candidates @ 1% each.MarqueeMark said:23% other - that is hiding the next Leader.....
?
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Please give us a comprehensive list of the things this Government has done, and not monumentally fucked up, this year...kle4 said:A description like that is the only thing that makes the government look like it is doing ok, since it is so over the top, and half the things happening at present are not even only government issues.
I'll wait.0 -
A small note (since I heard a politician fail on this one on R4)
Tax Avoidance is legal. You are not obliged to arrange your tax affairs to maximise tax paid.
Tax Evasion is illegal. You are required to pay the tax you owe. Any Tax Avoidance you have used or not used is not relevant. Whatever your tax is calculated as you MUST pay.0 -
A neat enough distinction, until we made aggressive tax avoidance into evasion...Beverley_C said:A small note (since I heard a politician fail on this one on R4)
Tax Avoidance is legal. You are not obliged to arrange your tax affairs to maximise tax paid.
Tax Evasion is illegal. You are required to pay the tax you owe. Any Tax Avoidance you have used or not used is not relevant. Whatever your tax is calculated as you MUST pay.0 -
An interesting comparison in the US of left vs right in reaction to tragedies -
Exhibit A - a man using a pickup truck to mow people down in NYC is revealed to have been admitted on a Lottery visa, and having apparently brought a further 23 people in due to chain migration. At the first conservative mention of the need to review immigration policy, the lefties immediately opine that "this is not the time to politicize a tragedy."
Exhibit B - a man carrying an assault rifle and wearing body armor enters a church and kills over 25 people and injures many others. IMMEDIATELY the lefties invoke gun control in full cry. When questioned as to whether their suggested remedies would have stopped this particular crime they admit not. Yet they still push the same ideas at every opportunity - extended background checks etc.
The 'problem' for the lefties is that most of the US shootouts used legally obtained weapons.0 -
There are only 2 people in the World who think Boris shouldn't resign immediately. And Boris might be both of them.0
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Noted. But there is still 65% of the membership for somebody other than Johnson or Rees-Mogg. I still think new broom will win out. But much depends upon when the job becomes vacant on the Brexit time-line.Beverley_C said:
Sorry - I edited it and added some extras.....MarqueeMark said:
But someone within that 23% will be who they coalesce around. Basically, the messge is "skip a generation...."Beverley_C said:
Maybe not. Maybe they expressed likings for 23 other candidates @ 1% each.MarqueeMark said:23% other - that is hiding the next Leader.....
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Hi Scott, the list is belowScott_P said:
Please give us a comprehensive list of the things this Government has done, and not monumentally fucked up, this year...kle4 said:A description like that is the only thing that makes the government look like it is doing ok, since it is so over the top, and half the things happening at present are not even only government issues.
I'll wait.
---- list of the things this Government has done, and not monumentally f****d up ----
---- list ends ----0 -
Thanks for pointing out the real issue with Scott.williamglenn said:
Necrotizing Brexititis is a fatal condition that would afflict any government attempting to leave the EU on a slim mandate based on a false prospectus.Scott_P said:The stench of death surrounding this government is overwhelming, yet the zombie cabinet lurches on, necrotizing everything it touches
Scott's number issue is brexit and how to stop it,if that means getting rid of this Tory government, so be it.0 -
I didn't say they were doing well, so no thanks. I said your, albeit amusing, over the top description is the only thing that makes them look like they are doing ok. Since you can read, you can presumably see that is saying they are not doing well, merely that your overdoing is the only think making it almost seem like it is.Scott_P said:
Please give us a comprehensive list of the things this Government has done, and not monumentally fucked up, this year...kle4 said:A description like that is the only thing that makes the government look like it is doing ok, since it is so over the top, and half the things happening at present are not even only government issues.
I'll wait.
And also that half the things happening now are not government only issues, which is true without saying the government is doing ok.
Perhaps save the indignant response for someone who is arguing the government has done great.
I'll wait.0 -
So why doesn't May sack Boris now?0
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FPT:
Agreed. I don’t know how anyone could put up with such behaviour on a frequent basis.kle4 said:
I hope it is not a real life Armando Ianucci show - as entertaining as his shows are, if there was even a 10% basis in fact in how horribly people in politics, elected or not, treat each other and underlings, it would be an absolute disgrace and I could not put up with it myself.The_Apocalypse said:0 -
https://twitter.com/pmdfoster/status/927559523761504257
The Telegraph's Europe Editor backs the rather alarming take on a likelihood of a catastrophic no deal.0 -
What about the right? Did they have an entirely consistent stance on politicising tragedies, or were they just the inverse of the left?Tim_B said:An interesting comparison in the US of left vs right in reaction to tragedies -
Exhibit A - a man using a pickup truck to mow people down in NYC is revealed to have been admitted on a Lottery visa, and having apparently brought a further 23 people in due to chain migration. At the first conservative mention of the need to review immigration policy, the lefties immediately opine that "this is not the time to politicize a tragedy."
Exhibit B - a man carrying an assault rifle and wearing body armor enters a church and kills over 25 people and injures many others. IMMEDIATELY the lefties invoke gun control in full cry. When questioned as to whether their suggested remedies would have stopped this particular crime they admit not. Yet they still push the same ideas at every opportunity - extended background checks etc.
The 'problem' for the lefties is that most of the US shootouts used legally obtained weapons.0 -
A sackable offence if ever I heard one, in certain situations.tlg86 said:0 -
Hi Tim, could you please explain how the "right to bear arms" helped the victims in that church?Tim_B said:
The 'problem' for the lefties is that most of the US shootouts used legally obtained weapons.0 -
The poll reminds me of this which show that a 'generic Democrat' would sweep to victory in the next Presidential election.
Clearly the Tories need to elect none of the above as their next leader. Preferably a generic Conservative...0 -
Yeah, the big deal about mass shootings is how big a 'problem' it is for lefties.Tim_B said:An interesting comparison in the US of left vs right in reaction to tragedies -
Exhibit A - a man using a pickup truck to mow people down in NYC is revealed to have been admitted on a Lottery visa, and having apparently brought a further 23 people in due to chain migration. At the first conservative mention of the need to review immigration policy, the lefties immediately opine that "this is not the time to politicize a tragedy."
Exhibit B - a man carrying an assault rifle and wearing body armor enters a church and kills over 25 people and injures many others. IMMEDIATELY the lefties invoke gun control in full cry. When questioned as to whether their suggested remedies would have stopped this particular crime they admit not. Yet they still push the same ideas at every opportunity - extended background checks etc.
The 'problem' for the lefties is that most of the US shootouts used legally obtained weapons.
Keep prayin'..0 -
After reading that I am having flashbacks of watching six-gilled sharks fighting over a decaying whale carcass on last night's Blue Planet. I cannot think whyMarqueeMark said:
Noted. But there is still 65% of the membership for somebody other than Johnson or Rees-Mogg. I still think new broom will win out. But much depends upon when the job becomes vacant on the Brexit time-line.Beverley_C said:
Sorry - I edited it and added some extras.....MarqueeMark said:
But someone within that 23% will be who they coalesce around. Basically, the messge is "skip a generation...."Beverley_C said:
Maybe not. Maybe they expressed likings for 23 other candidates @ 1% each.MarqueeMark said:23% other - that is hiding the next Leader.....
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Except Corbyn will not stop Brexit or even commit to soft Brexit either.Tykejohnno said:
Thanks for pointing out the real issue with Scott.williamglenn said:
Necrotizing Brexititis is a fatal condition that would afflict any government attempting to leave the EU on a slim mandate based on a false prospectus.Scott_P said:The stench of death surrounding this government is overwhelming, yet the zombie cabinet lurches on, necrotizing everything it touches
Scott's number issue is brexit and how to stop it,if that means getting rid of this Tory government, so be it.
His only hope on that score is the LDs holding the balance of power in a hung Parliament and perhaps with SNP support forcing Corbyn to stay in the single market in return for confidence and supply even if that means leaving free movement uncontrolled.
On current polling that is of course not impossible.
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Gavin Williamson is perfectly placed as defence secretary to take over the FO.0
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The trick, William Glenn, is not minding that it hurts.williamglenn said:
Necrotizing Brexititis is a fatal condition that would afflict any government attempting to leave the EU on a slim mandate based on a false prospectus.Scott_P said:The stench of death surrounding this government is overwhelming, yet the zombie cabinet lurches on, necrotizing everything it touches
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Many people are proud to stand up and say they have a vision, that they are the voice of change, and so on. I want to see someone bold enough to argue they are the epitome of generic, bland, middle of the roadness.Nigelb said:The poll reminds me of this which show that a 'generic Democrat' would sweep to victory in the next Presidential election.
Clearly the Tories need to elect none of the above as their next leader. Preferably a generic Conservative...
Crap, that was May, wasn't it?
Never mind - where is the most generic constituency, and who is the MP there?
Etc An old 538 article listed Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale as the most nationally representative seat in the country, which is something, but not quite what I was looking for. Still, Mundell I guess.
A BBC article this year said Worcester was the most average place in the UK. So, some dude named Robin Walker. He looks generic.0 -
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The majority of labour MP's are in the remain camp ,so is the membership, he will do what these people tell him -free movement and all.HYUFD said:
Except Corbyn will not stop Brexit or even commit to soft Brexit either.Tykejohnno said:
Thanks for pointing out the real issue with Scott.williamglenn said:
Necrotizing Brexititis is a fatal condition that would afflict any government attempting to leave the EU on a slim mandate based on a false prospectus.Scott_P said:The stench of death surrounding this government is overwhelming, yet the zombie cabinet lurches on, necrotizing everything it touches
Scott's number issue is brexit and how to stop it,if that means getting rid of this Tory government, so be it.
His only hope on that score is the LDs holding the balance of power in a hung Parliament and perhaps with SNP support forcing Corbyn to stay in the single market in return for confidence and supply even if that means leaving free movement uncontrolled.
On current polling that is of course not impossible.0 -
If Johnson were to "reverse ferret" on Brexit (perhaps, for eg, by coming out EFTA), the sheer chutzpah could carry him to Number 10.0
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This government is incompetent and bereft of purpose. But, I would give it credit for cutting both unemployment and the public sector deficit.Scott_P said:
Please give us a comprehensive list of the things this Government has done, and not monumentally fucked up, this year...kle4 said:A description like that is the only thing that makes the government look like it is doing ok, since it is so over the top, and half the things happening at present are not even only government issues.
I'll wait.0 -
59% Brexiteers - 17% Remainders. If Brexit is still not delivered, it's not easy to see how a Remainer can win, so is winning the Brexiteer primary among MPs tantamount to election? Last time, that was Leadsom, but she only lost reputation in the subsequent 12 months while narrow third-place Gove regained reputation, so are his chances being significantly understated at 25s or am I missing something? Is it so clear that he couldn't be top in the Leave leadership (Leavership) bracket?0
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Let's hope you're rightJonathan said:0 -
What difference does that make? Dead is dead.Tim_B said:The 'problem' for the lefties is that most of the US shootouts used legally obtained weapons.
When is the US going to face up to the fact that it has a massive gun problem?0 -
FPT:
Part of the problem is that the UK government made certain assurances to Nissan (and others) to avoid adverse events like this.MarkHopkins said:rottenborough said:Maybe something big like Nissan walking would be the moment the country wakes up from this collective madness?
But that would mean that the EU has basically blackmailed us into submission. Which would imply the end of the UK as an independent country. I cannot even imagine all the consequences of that, but I don't think it will end well for any side.
This, in turn, ties the hands of the UK negotiating team.
If we go back on our assurances in Nissan, then it increases the risk of something bad happening. And I don't think you can think of this as blackmail: this would merely be Nissan protecting their shareholders against a negative outcome - something they are morally bound to do.
If we honour our assurances to Nissan, then we find ourselves in a very weak negotiating position.
There is no good outcome to this puzzle. We already have a dangerously unbalanced economy, with a current account deficit, a government deficit, and the lowest savings rates in history. The biggest threat to Brexit has always been a nasty recession between now and exit day; how do we minimise the chance of that recession in the next two years?0 -
@patrickkmaguire: Priti Patel must resign, says Shas Sheehan, the Lib Dem international development spokesperson. The final humiliation.0
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He reminds me of a bond villain ;-)Jonathan said:Gavin Williamson is perfectly placed as defence secretary to take over the FO.
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It has, and it seems to be content to continue on as they are, strange as it seems. Sure, there's outrage and those that are not content, but if the country were overwhelmingly outraged it would change direction, and no one seems to think that will happen.Beverley_C said:
What difference does that make? Dead is dead.Tim_B said:The 'problem' for the lefties is that most of the US shootouts used legally obtained weapons.
When is the US going to face up to the fact that it has a massive gun problem?0 -
He'll do what the majority of MPs tell him to do even though when they told him to go he told them to get stuffed. Not sure your logic is right there.Tykejohnno said:
The majority of labour MP's are in the remain camp ,so is the membership, he will do what these people tell him -free movement and all.HYUFD said:
Except Corbyn will not stop Brexit or even commit to soft Brexit either.Tykejohnno said:
Thanks for pointing out the real issue with Scott.williamglenn said:
Necrotizing Brexititis is a fatal condition that would afflict any government attempting to leave the EU on a slim mandate based on a false prospectus.Scott_P said:The stench of death surrounding this government is overwhelming, yet the zombie cabinet lurches on, necrotizing everything it touches
Scott's number issue is brexit and how to stop it,if that means getting rid of this Tory government, so be it.
His only hope on that score is the LDs holding the balance of power in a hung Parliament and perhaps with SNP support forcing Corbyn to stay in the single market in return for confidence and supply even if that means leaving free movement uncontrolled.
On current polling that is of course not impossible.0 -
So glad I kept on laying Boris Johnson as next Tory Leader/PM.
I told you he was shite that the MPs not the membership would go for him.0 -
It is time for us to revisit old memes and pronounce that "Theresa is cr*p" on a regular basis?0
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Have to wonder who Lewis Hamiltons accountants were. Everyone knows you can't reclaim VAT on new vehicles for private use
Now if he'd bought a "second hand" jet from a business using them commercially...0 -
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Amusing, except the question was about minimizing a recession between now and exit day, key word exit.Scott_P said:
Revoke Article 50rcs1000 said:The biggest threat to Brexit has always been a nasty recession between now and exit day; how do we minimise the chance of that recession in the next two years?
The economic boost would be immense0 -
That would require enough people to believe the opposite to rebut it to keep it funny.Beverley_C said:It is time for us to revisit old memes and pronounce that "Theresa is cr*p" on a regular basis?
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You are TSE and I claim my 5 EurosBeverley_C said:It is time for us to revisit old memes and pronounce that "Theresa is cr*p" on a regular basis?
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Theresa May is not crap, she's fecking awfulkle4 said:
That would require enough people to believe the opposite to rebut it to keep it funny.Beverley_C said:It is time for us to revisit old memes and pronounce that "Theresa is cr*p" on a regular basis?
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I think Thornberry letter is too supine to Iran for sureTheWhiteRabbit said:0 -
But we're the worst of all. We're enablers of crap.TheScreamingEagles said:
Theresa May is not crap, she's fecking awfulkle4 said:
That would require enough people to believe the opposite to rebut it to keep it funny.Beverley_C said:It is time for us to revisit old memes and pronounce that "Theresa is cr*p" on a regular basis?
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He won't rock the boat when the PM job is so close.Richard_Tyndall said:
He'll do what the majority of MPs tell him to do even though when they told him to go he told them to get stuffed. Not sure your logic is right there.Tykejohnno said:
The majority of labour MP's are in the remain camp ,so is the membership, he will do what these people tell him -free movement and all.HYUFD said:
Except Corbyn will not stop Brexit or even commit to soft Brexit either.Tykejohnno said:
Thanks for pointing out the real issue with Scott.williamglenn said:
Necrotizing Brexititis is a fatal condition that would afflict any government attempting to leave the EU on a slim mandate based on a false prospectus.Scott_P said:The stench of death surrounding this government is overwhelming, yet the zombie cabinet lurches on, necrotizing everything it touches
Scott's number issue is brexit and how to stop it,if that means getting rid of this Tory government, so be it.
His only hope on that score is the LDs holding the balance of power in a hung Parliament and perhaps with SNP support forcing Corbyn to stay in the single market in return for confidence and supply even if that means leaving free movement uncontrolled.
On current polling that is of course not impossible.
I hope he sticks to his anti EU stance that he had before the labour top job but the pressure from behind him will be immense for a very soft brexit(with freemovement )or another referendum.0 -
Brexit is a fantasy. The biggest threat to it is reality.kle4 said:
Amusing, except the question was about minimizing a recession between now and exit day, key word exit.Scott_P said:
Revoke Article 50rcs1000 said:The biggest threat to Brexit has always been a nasty recession between now and exit day; how do we minimise the chance of that recession in the next two years?
The economic boost would be immense
For anyone who wants to protect 'Brexit', the best solution is to let it remain a dream. Ironically it's the Brexiteers who should be most keen on revoking Article 50 as soon as possible.0 -
I remember all the abuse I used to get when I warned Mrs May was crap, a Pound Shop Gordon Brown.Jonathan said:
But we're the worst of all. We're enablers of crap.TheScreamingEagles said:
Theresa May is not crap, she's fecking awfulkle4 said:
That would require enough people to believe the opposite to rebut it to keep it funny.Beverley_C said:It is time for us to revisit old memes and pronounce that "Theresa is cr*p" on a regular basis?
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Sunil_Prasannan said:
You are TSE and I claim my 5 EurosBeverley_C said:It is time for us to revisit old memes and pronounce that "Theresa is cr*p" on a regular basis?
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I suspect he will have to pay VAT. The real difficulty will be Apple. However the US and EU are big market places so there is some leverage available to government's here. The ability to take on MNCs is one strong argument in favour of institutions such as the EU tbhJonathan said:
Damn it. I payed the VAT on my private jet.Pulpstar said:Have to wonder who Lewis Hamiltons accountants were. Everyone knows you can't reclaim VAT on new vehicles for private use
Now if he'd bought a "second hand" jet from a business using them commercially...0 -
He came from a different place than most leaders, but in the end, like all politicians, he will sacrifice some of what he wants, even some big parts of it, in order to get other things he wants. He will bend and compromise on his principles to secure that.Tykejohnno said:
He won't rock the boat when the PM job is so close.Richard_Tyndall said:
He'll do what the majority of MPs tell him to do even though when they told him to go he told them to get stuffed. Not sure your logic is right there.Tykejohnno said:
The majority of labour MP's are in the remain camp ,so is the membership, he will do what these people tell him -free movement and all.HYUFD said:
Except Corbyn will not stop Brexit or even commit to soft Brexit either.Tykejohnno said:
Thanks for pointing out the real issue with Scott.williamglenn said:
Necrotizing Brexititis is a fatal condition that would afflict any government attempting to leave the EU on a slim mandate based on a false prospectus.Scott_P said:The stench of death surrounding this government is overwhelming, yet the zombie cabinet lurches on, necrotizing everything it touches
Scott's number issue is brexit and how to stop it,if that means getting rid of this Tory government, so be it.
His only hope on that score is the LDs holding the balance of power in a hung Parliament and perhaps with SNP support forcing Corbyn to stay in the single market in return for confidence and supply even if that means leaving free movement uncontrolled.
On current polling that is of course not impossible.
I hope he sticks to his anti EU stance that he had before the labour top job but the pressure from behind him will be immense for a very soft brexit(with freemovement )or another referendum.0 -
37% of Labour voters voted Leave and a majority of Labour seats voted Leave.Tykejohnno said:
The majority of labour MP's are in the remain camp ,so is the membership, he will do what these people tell him -free movement and all.HYUFD said:
Except Corbyn will not stop Brexit or even commit to soft Brexit either.Tykejohnno said:
Thanks for pointing out the real issue with Scott.williamglenn said:
Necrotizing Brexititis is a fatal condition that would afflict any government attempting to leave the EU on a slim mandate based on a false prospectus.Scott_P said:The stench of death surrounding this government is overwhelming, yet the zombie cabinet lurches on, necrotizing everything it touches
Scott's number issue is brexit and how to stop it,if that means getting rid of this Tory government, so be it.
His only hope on that score is the LDs holding the balance of power in a hung Parliament and perhaps with SNP support forcing Corbyn to stay in the single market in return for confidence and supply even if that means leaving free movement uncontrolled.
On current polling that is of course not impossible.
If a weak Corbyn minority government is forced to leave free movement in place because of LD and SNP demands the UK stays in the single market a Tory Leaver opposition leader and UKIP will be licking their lips at all those Labour Leave voters now in play.0 -
I went to the Isle of man once , could I reclaim the VAT ?Jonathan said:
Damn it. I payed the VAT on my private jet.Pulpstar said:Have to wonder who Lewis Hamiltons accountants were. Everyone knows you can't reclaim VAT on new vehicles for private use
Now if he'd bought a "second hand" jet from a business using them commercially...0 -
"It's SHITE being a REMAINER! We're the lowest of the low. The scum of the fucking Earth! The most wretched, miserable, servile, pathetic trash that was ever shat into civilization. Some hate the LEAVERS. I don't. They're just wankers. We, on the other hand, were beaten in a referendum by wankers. Can't even find decent referendum opponents to be beaten BY. We're ruled by effete arseholes. It's a SHITE state of affairs to be in, Jonathan, and ALL the fresh air in the world won't make any fucking difference!"Jonathan said:
But we're the worst of all. We're enablers of crap.TheScreamingEagles said:
Theresa May is not crap, she's fecking awfulkle4 said:
That would require enough people to believe the opposite to rebut it to keep it funny.Beverley_C said:It is time for us to revisit old memes and pronounce that "Theresa is cr*p" on a regular basis?
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I have often considered that the best thing about the US is the 3,500 miles of ocean between me and it. I always had the amazing, fantastic, historical, tolerant, welcoming UK to live in.kle4 said:
It has, and it seems to be content to continue on as they are, strange as it seems. Sure, there's outrage and those that are not content, but if the country were overwhelmingly outraged it would change direction, and no one seems to think that will happen.Beverley_C said:
What difference does that make? Dead is dead.Tim_B said:The 'problem' for the lefties is that most of the US shootouts used legally obtained weapons.
When is the US going to face up to the fact that it has a massive gun problem?Now I just see that slipping away as the lunatics burn down the asylum.
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Some of them may have changed their minds, but I would think the not inconsiderable numbers of LD leavers get annoyed at being lumped in with some other leavers (technically I was a LD leaver at the time, though I was never a party member or guaranteed supporter)HYUFD said:
37% of Labour voters voted Leave and a majority of Labour seats voted Leave.Tykejohnno said:
The majority of labour MP's are in the remain camp ,so is the membership, he will do what these people tell him -free movement and all.HYUFD said:
Except Corbyn will not stop Brexit or even commit to soft Brexit either.Tykejohnno said:
Thanks for pointing out the real issue with Scott.williamglenn said:
Necrotizing Brexititis is a fatal condition that would afflict any government attempting to leave the EU on a slim mandate based on a false prospectus.Scott_P said:The stench of death surrounding this government is overwhelming, yet the zombie cabinet lurches on, necrotizing everything it touches
Scott's number issue is brexit and how to stop it,if that means getting rid of this Tory government, so be it.
His only hope on that score is the LDs holding the balance of power in a hung Parliament and perhaps with SNP support forcing Corbyn to stay in the single market in return for confidence and supply even if that means leaving free movement uncontrolled.
On current polling that is of course not impossible.
.0 -
It is thanks to Mrs May we had a PM after Cameron and Osborne scarpered following their referendum defeat who is finally making some progress on a FTA and Brexit deal with the EU, that is unlikely to have occurred with Boris and Davis at the helm.TheScreamingEagles said:
I remember all the abuse I used to get when I warned Mrs May was crap, a Pound Shop Gordon Brown.Jonathan said:
But we're the worst of all. We're enablers of crap.TheScreamingEagles said:
Theresa May is not crap, she's fecking awfulkle4 said:
That would require enough people to believe the opposite to rebut it to keep it funny.Beverley_C said:It is time for us to revisit old memes and pronounce that "Theresa is cr*p" on a regular basis?
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Well, you have Ireland I guess.Beverley_C said:
I have often considered that the best thing about the US is the 3,500 miles of ocean between me and it. I always had the amazing, fantastic, historical, tolerant, welcoming UK to live in.kle4 said:
It has, and it seems to be content to continue on as they are, strange as it seems. Sure, there's outrage and those that are not content, but if the country were overwhelmingly outraged it would change direction, and no one seems to think that will happen.Beverley_C said:
What difference does that make? Dead is dead.Tim_B said:The 'problem' for the lefties is that most of the US shootouts used legally obtained weapons.
When is the US going to face up to the fact that it has a massive gun problem?Now I just see that slipping away as the lunatics burn down the asylum.
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You over-valued her. Your financial reputation is, as a result, in tattersTheScreamingEagles said:
I remember all the abuse I used to get when I warned Mrs May was crap, a Pound Shop Gordon Brown.Jonathan said:
But we're the worst of all. We're enablers of crap.TheScreamingEagles said:
Theresa May is not crap, she's fecking awfulkle4 said:
That would require enough people to believe the opposite to rebut it to keep it funny.Beverley_C said:It is time for us to revisit old memes and pronounce that "Theresa is cr*p" on a regular basis?
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Gordon Brown at least lost his first electionTheScreamingEagles said:
I remember all the abuse I used to get when I warned Mrs May was crap, a Pound Shop Gordon Brown.Jonathan said:
But we're the worst of all. We're enablers of crap.TheScreamingEagles said:
Theresa May is not crap, she's fecking awfulkle4 said:
That would require enough people to believe the opposite to rebut it to keep it funny.Beverley_C said:It is time for us to revisit old memes and pronounce that "Theresa is cr*p" on a regular basis?
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Doesn't the Right have exactly the same issue in the US:Tim_B said:An interesting comparison in the US of left vs right in reaction to tragedies -
Exhibit A - a man using a pickup truck to mow people down in NYC is revealed to have been admitted on a Lottery visa, and having apparently brought a further 23 people in due to chain migration. At the first conservative mention of the need to review immigration policy, the lefties immediately opine that "this is not the time to politicize a tragedy."
Exhibit B - a man carrying an assault rifle and wearing body armor enters a church and kills over 25 people and injures many others. IMMEDIATELY the lefties invoke gun control in full cry. When questioned as to whether their suggested remedies would have stopped this particular crime they admit not. Yet they still push the same ideas at every opportunity - extended background checks etc.
The 'problem' for the lefties is that most of the US shootouts used legally obtained weapons.
Exhibit A: let's change the immigration system!
Exhibit B: let's not worry about guns!0 -
Brown and his party came out of the election better.Sunil_Prasannan said:
Gordon Brown at least lost his first electionTheScreamingEagles said:
I remember all the abuse I used to get when I warned Mrs May was crap, a Pound Shop Gordon Brown.Jonathan said:
But we're the worst of all. We're enablers of crap.TheScreamingEagles said:
Theresa May is not crap, she's fecking awfulkle4 said:
That would require enough people to believe the opposite to rebut it to keep it funny.Beverley_C said:It is time for us to revisit old memes and pronounce that "Theresa is cr*p" on a regular basis?
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There's been a shake out in support for Conservatives and Labour since then. Brexit supporters increasingly back the Conservatives, Remainers increasingly back Labour.HYUFD said:
37% of Labour voters voted Leave and a majority of Labour seats voted Leave.Tykejohnno said:
The majority of labour MP's are in the remain camp ,so is the membership, he will do what these people tell him -free movement and all.HYUFD said:
Except Corbyn will not stop Brexit or even commit to soft Brexit either.Tykejohnno said:
Thanks for pointing out the real issue with Scott.williamglenn said:
Necrotizing Brexititis is a fatal condition that would afflict any government attempting to leave the EU on a slim mandate based on a false prospectus.Scott_P said:The stench of death surrounding this government is overwhelming, yet the zombie cabinet lurches on, necrotizing everything it touches
Scott's number issue is brexit and how to stop it,if that means getting rid of this Tory government, so be it.
His only hope on that score is the LDs holding the balance of power in a hung Parliament and perhaps with SNP support forcing Corbyn to stay in the single market in return for confidence and supply even if that means leaving free movement uncontrolled.
On current polling that is of course not impossible.
If a weak Corbyn minority government is forced to leave free movement in place because of LD and SNP demands the UK stays in the single market a Tory Leaver opposition leader and UKIP will be licking their lips at all those Labour Leave voters now in play.0 -
Progress lol?HYUFD said:
It is thanks to Mrs May we had a PM after Cameron and Osborne scarpered following their referendum defeat who is finally making some progress on a FTA and Brexit deal with the EU, that is unlikely to have occurred with Boris and Davis at the helm.TheScreamingEagles said:
I remember all the abuse I used to get when I warned Mrs May was crap, a Pound Shop Gordon Brown.Jonathan said:
But we're the worst of all. We're enablers of crap.TheScreamingEagles said:
Theresa May is not crap, she's fecking awfulkle4 said:
That would require enough people to believe the opposite to rebut it to keep it funny.Beverley_C said:It is time for us to revisit old memes and pronounce that "Theresa is cr*p" on a regular basis?
George didn't scarper, the PSGB fired him thinking she knew better than Dave and George about making net gains at a general election.0 -
Most Labour voters who voted Leave did so because of immigration, if Labour reverse ferret on ending free movement those voters come into play, especially for UKIP even if not the Tories.kle4 said:
Some of them may have changed their minds, but I would think the not inconsiderable numbers of LD leavers get annoyed at being lumped in with some other leavers (technically I was a LD leaver at the time, though I was never a party member or guaranteed supporter)HYUFD said:
37% of Labour voters voted Leave and a majority of Labour seats voted Leave.Tykejohnno said:
The majority of labour MP's are in the remain camp ,so is the membership, he will do what these people tell him -free movement and all.HYUFD said:
Except Corbyn will not stop Brexit or even commit to soft Brexit either.Tykejohnno said:
Thanks for pointing out the real issue with Scott.williamglenn said:
Necrotizing Brexititis is a fatal condition that would afflict any government attempting to leave the EU on a slim mandate based on a false prospectus.Scott_P said:The stench of death surrounding this government is overwhelming, yet the zombie cabinet lurches on, necrotizing everything it touches
Scott's number issue is brexit and how to stop it,if that means getting rid of this Tory government, so be it.
His only hope on that score is the LDs holding the balance of power in a hung Parliament and perhaps with SNP support forcing Corbyn to stay in the single market in return for confidence and supply even if that means leaving free movement uncontrolled.
On current polling that is of course not impossible.
.
70% of LD voters voted Remain, more than the voters for any other party bar the Greens so their Leave voters are less significant.
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Bono owns a shopping centre in Lithuania. That's my main take away from today.
We know what fame and wealth gets you.0 -
A fair point. She's lost her authority, and is stumbling around with a weak government, but on that at least she seems sound.Yorkcity said:0 -
The general election did not really suggest that. In fact Labour made a net gain in Leave seats from the Tories precisely because Corbyn promised to end free movement.Sean_F said:
There's been a shake out in support for Conservatives and Labour since then. Brexit supporters increasingly back the Conservatives, Remainers increasingly back Labour.HYUFD said:
37% of Labour voters voted Leave and a majority of Labour seats voted Leave.Tykejohnno said:
The majority of labour MP's are in the remain camp ,so is the membership, he will do what these people tell him -free movement and all.HYUFD said:
Except Corbyn will not stop Brexit or even commit to soft Brexit either.Tykejohnno said:
Thanks for pointing out the real issue with Scott.williamglenn said:
Necrotizing Brexititis is a fatal condition that would afflict any government attempting to leave the EU on a slim mandate based on a false prospectus.Scott_P said:The stench of death surrounding this government is overwhelming, yet the zombie cabinet lurches on, necrotizing everything it touches
Scott's number issue is brexit and how to stop it,if that means getting rid of this Tory government, so be it.
His only hope on that score is the LDs holding the balance of power in a hung Parliament and perhaps with SNP support forcing Corbyn to stay in the single market in return for confidence and supply even if that means leaving free movement uncontrolled.
On current polling that is of course not impossible.
If a weak Corbyn minority government is forced to leave free movement in place because of LD and SNP demands the UK stays in the single market a Tory Leaver opposition leader and UKIP will be licking their lips at all those Labour Leave voters now in play.0 -
She has made more progress in her talks with the EU than Dave and George ever did in theirs.TheScreamingEagles said:
Progress lol?HYUFD said:
It is thanks to Mrs May we had a PM after Cameron and Osborne scarpered following their referendum defeat who is finally making some progress on a FTA and Brexit deal with the EU, that is unlikely to have occurred with Boris and Davis at the helm.TheScreamingEagles said:
I remember all the abuse I used to get when I warned Mrs May was crap, a Pound Shop Gordon Brown.Jonathan said:
But we're the worst of all. We're enablers of crap.TheScreamingEagles said:
Theresa May is not crap, she's fecking awfulkle4 said:
That would require enough people to believe the opposite to rebut it to keep it funny.Beverley_C said:It is time for us to revisit old memes and pronounce that "Theresa is cr*p" on a regular basis?
George didn't scarper, the PSGB fired him thinking she knew better than Dave and George about making net gains at a general election.0