politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Williamson appointment makes it even less likely that TMay

Good from @IsabelHardman on TMay's authority being undermined further by promoting Gavin Williamson https://t.co/zf1bv75Yw1
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I am concerned that TM has reverted to safety in her mind but some of the objections may be coming from factions who now see Williamson as a threat to their and their supporters ambitions to succeed TM.
I would think that the Nation would share my wife's comment last night when she said the whole of politics is 'wearisome'
I disagree with the thread header. Apart from enraging some backbenchers, exactly what difference does this make? All the same reasons for leaving TMay in place are still there. They need her to get through Brexit, take any hits from it, and pass the baton on to the next person.
Before Fallon fell on his sword, no one else was going to be Defence Sec, and afterwards no one else is going to be Defence Sec. Basically nothing has changed.
I guess that when he couldn’t deny the allegations to the PM’s face, the outcome was obvious and he was man enough to write his letter first and front the media.
Still no other instances of bad behaviour actually reported though, leaving a rather bemused J H-B wondering what just happened.
I agree that the Brexit outlook is unhealthy, but frankly it's possible that both Remainers and Leavers overestimate the difference it will make in practice. I think we'll end up more Norway than Canada.
'Everton have spent an awful lot to become awful'
Sorry DixieDean
It feels to me like an old story clean-out. If that is the case then the financial mud will be next. Traditionally Labour fall foul of such things.
The BBC have won though. Corbyn will be propelled to government, and it will be because he embraced the new orthodoxy. The BBC now shape that. They run endless programs to that effect. They all conclude with a statement - the BBC view is your view.
However, I do not subscribe to the idea Corbyn is on his way to no 10.
Everything is too unpredictable
Does not compute.
Everton badly need a decent striker, but need a manager first. Big Sam?
The only real alternatives are EEA or WTO, and there isn't time for the latter. Climb down or car-crash? May will climb down.
However, the mood at the club is rebellious, bordering on the mutinous. We desperately need someone the fans will be excited by.
At the moment, the crowd are on the players backs.
Which isn't helping them.
Williamson's promotion is a good sign that May understands that her time is short and that she needs to get younger people into the front line so that someone outside the old farts circle (Johnson, Davis, Hammond, Rudd) will succeed her when she departs. She needs to get a few more younger people in place.
As for Williamson having no ministerial experience, he is the least experienced minister since ....well , sinceTony Blair became prime minister. He, or someone like him may yet save the Tories -and Labour -from Jeremy Corbyn (for Corbyn will in the end destroy Labour).
- Winston Churchill
Losing consists of going from failure to failure without success.
Leicester will be fine. Your players may be getting on a bit, but they are plenty good enough.
Gray is a quality player.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-41853430
What next Philip May for Deputy PM
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/11/02/labour/
This is all getting out of hand.
If this is all our MPs are guilty of, they're much more innocent than I thought.
The text message is a nothing.
Interesting fact — there have been 102 homicides in Greater London so far this year, and none of them have taken place in the borough of Hackney which used to be regarded as one of the most dangerous parts of London only a few years ago.
http://www.murdermap.co.uk/investigate.asp
I shouldn't think he'll do anything other than continue to (veru) slowly remove monetary stimulus.
https://twitter.com/TimSarson1/status/926186719279550464
The likes of the alleged rape at a party event and the cover up seem like the real stories here.
It's a good place to live, and I feel safe, but two knife attacks in a few weeks is freakily unusual.
This sexual harassment "scandal" is bollocks.
And this afternoon's kerfuffle about a new Defence Sec'y was also bollocks.
We have a deeply decadent politico-media class.
A little anecdote about knee-touching: a uni friend of mine was taking her driving test. She was very nervous, and was in a small car she had only driven a couple of times. The examiner comes out, and she thinks he is a little dishy. He gets in, they do the preliminaries, and he asks her to drive off. She starts the engine, checks all the mirrors, and tries to get it into first gear.
It doesn't go. She moves the gearstick again, and it moves, but the car stlll isn't in gear. She looks over and realises she had had her hand on the examiner's knee, not the gearstick.
He didn't fail her for some reason, and as she thought she had failed, she lost her nerves and passed.
(I've seen a similar scene in a comedy since then, so I guess it isn't unheard of).
In political terms, the culture at the top of the Labour Party seems vile if they really did nothing following the report of an assault. Particularly if that is part of a pattern dating back some years.
Novel approach.
He admitted he felt “ashamed” that himself and the people he’d surrounded himself with “were out of touch with millions of people”.
Peston added: “I basically take my hat off to [Brexit voters] because they have thrown all the cards up in the air, they don’t know yet how they’re going to land - but it was the right thing to do.”
Often one or other of the children is an unwilling participant and is being threatened/coerced/bribed into sharing pictures. Often the child is being coerced/bribed by an adult, rather than another child, but is unaware of that until they disclose what is happening and it is investigated.
I see this on at least a monthly basis at work. Worst cases involve young people being encouraged to perform on camera by social media 'friends'.
The Hopkins incident probably won’t be the last we’ll hear of. These old men really need to get a reality check re the chances of young women actually wanting them.
Footage seems to show the 36-year-old ex-Manchester United defender aiming an acrobatic kick at a fan at the side of the pitch during the warm-up.
A group of female MPs also made allegations? How many? About when? Did he deny those allegations but said others might be true? Is that really evidence?
I'm happy to put 'near' in front of the words complete absence - his resigning is improbable if there is not more, but we don't even have other allegations to believe or disbelieve yet, so while I'm prepared to believe allegations once they emerge, I'll wait for them to emerge before I believe them.
If a story emerges over the weekend of him squeezing an intern's arse, his resigning over 'falling short' will make me think, 'yeah, there could be something in that', but I'm supposed to assume merely from resigning that he has done...again, I'm unclear. Am I to condemn him for more knee grabbing, or are the accusations that were made less serious? More serious? I don't know. We need to know what the allegations were, or most will assume it is in the knee grabbing range, when they might be even worse. And if there are those allegations which ones is he admitting and which are not proven?