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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Tomorrow night’s C4 Boris documentary looks set to add to Tory

Tomorrow night at 10 PM a documentary on Boris Johnson by Gary Gibbon is due to be screened on Channel 4 and judging by some of the extracts so far released it looks set to unsettle CON delegates in Manchester.
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He knows that which is why he will wait until 2019 and 2020 to challenge when a deal has been done and he has cemented himself as the only contender to ensure 'Brexit means Brexit' once any transition period is over
As HYUFD suggests if he takes over too soon he is responsible for any Brexit issues - sure many, particularly those not in the party, will blame him for the Leave vote anyway, but if things go south he takes a big hit. Wait a bit, daring May to sack him, and he may calculate he will take less.
What is my vision for the Conservative Party? Well, who cares, but anyway....
I want a party that wants us united as a country focussed on creating wealth but also focussed on sharing that wealth and caring for the less fortunate, including those abroad through the aid budget.
I want a party that is focussed on aspiration and equality of opportunity, that recognises that our current social structure does not give anything like equality of opportunity and seeks to address that with specific policies.
I want a party with a strong respect for the rule of law (yes, that includes you Home Secretary) but recognises that law is often not the answer and that the State should be careful about the unintended consequences of regulation.
I want as many people as possible to be a part of a property owning democracy with the security of owning their own homes, security in employment, the opportunities to train and to better themselves. This needs policies encouraging home ownership, in work training, private pensions, the living wage, better job security and encouragement to save.
I want a government that seeks to live within its means and not burden the next generation with excessive debt, that seeks value for the money it spends, that recognises the adverse economic effect of excessive taxation but also the importance of having all who gain from our society paying their share.
With Cameron and Osborne a lot, if not all, of those boxes were ticked. The 2017 manifesto ticked fewer and I really don't know what the current state of play is. It is the job of this Conference to tell us, loud and clear. To be honest, I am not holding my breath.
Paragraph 1 - Fail - 'March of the Makers' and the world's largest current account deficit
Paragraph 2 - Fail - Student debt and triple lock pensions plus a chumocracy
Paragraph 3 - Fail - Nanny state and surveillance state
Paragraph 4 - Fail - Falling home ownership and stagnant wages
Paragraph 5 - Fail - Half a trillion borrowed leading to a half a trillion current account deficit
You need to take a good look at who the Conservatives have pissed off.
Its the people who have £50k of student debt
Its the people who are still renting a room at 30
Its the people who were told "We're all in this together"
Its the people who thought there would be no more Middle Eastern warmongering
Its the people who were told there would be a 'March of the Makers'
Its the people who were told that net immigration would be reduced to the tens of thousands
Its the people who thought there would be sound public finances
My problem with the Conservative party is not that it supports credible economics. My problem is that it doesn't.
May should have quit after the fiasco of the GE. Boris is the only one still in the Commons who seems to have the balls to point this out.
I am not entirely sure that is my view. But May is an embarrassment for the Party and the country. We cannot go on like this.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-41452174
The F-14 conversion on my exchange tour was interesting as there were no twin sticks. I sat in the RIO seat for a couple of visual circuits, we landed back at Oceana, hot fuelled it, switched seats with my brave instructor getting in the back and off we go! What seemed like a very short time later I had to land the brute on the deck of the Shitty Kitty for my first ever arrested landing without the benefit of a T-2/T-45 course first!
A year and a bit later I was supersonic over Kabul airport flying a TARPS mission on the first (or maybe the second) night of OEF...
I may need to lay in extra popcorn.
https://twitter.com/SamCoatesTimes/status/914122151921438721
Roundhead or Cavalier?
The point is we have a zombie PM who made catastrophic errors of judgment, who is incapable of building a team and increasingly seems to have no idea what to do next. Pretending everything is somehow ok in that scenario is really not the answer.
His blatant manoeuvres suggest that he might as well make a trip to visit some British troops somewhere in the world on the day May does her big speech to conference....
I told my elderly father about it who is very proud of her.He told me he goes for a drink every Wednesday in the Conservative club and he has noticed the increase in people sleeping in doorways over the past year in York as he walked for his bus home.
The wife and I were invited to a wedding evening do , the first time in a while, I had been out in the early hours for a bit, and I could concur with their observations.Whether this increase is tied to Universal Credit I do not know but it is reminiscent of the 1980s.
In 2016 the UK had a current account deficit of over £115bn.
Does that make you think ? It should do.
https://order-order.com/2017/09/30/welcome-to-manchester
Boris is inextricably tied to Brexit. The referendum saw to that. There is no way to dodge responsibility just by not being the one in charge so he may as well be the one in charge.
View it as like Game Theory. There's only a few possible plausible possibilities.
1: May stays, Brexit is a success. May wins and recovers her reputation.
2: May stays, Brexit is a failure. May and Boris are destroyed.
3: May goes now, Boris takes over - Boris is responsible and will live or die on his own success.
4: May goes now, someone else takes over. Boris has probably missed his window of opportunity.
I don't see a path that leads from May staying to Boris.
Besides which, no party deserves such hostility, and certainly not mainstream centrist parties. What mainstream centrist party should expect that people express a wish to hang them merely for belonging to it? It's absurd to suggest it should be expected.
Easier for TSE to get to as well.
How any one could ever think that such an individual is fit to be PM is beyond me.
Boris as Percy Chapman and Cameron as Gubby Allen perhaps.
What we need though is a Douglas Jardine.
The Bolshevik or the Charlatan?
Sadly Secretary Johnson has repeatedly demonstrated that he is unable to put the national interest ahead of his own desires. Someone who is unable to do that has no place in my government - no place in any government. That is why, shortly before this speech, I asked him to resign as Foreign Secretary.
No, I got nothing...
As for the 'voters' yougov last week had 52% wanting a transition period of no more than 2 years and 26% wanted no transition period at all
"There is a tide in the affairs of men, Which taken at the flood, leads on to fortune. Omitted, all the voyage of their life is bound in shallows and in miseries."
If she pulled that one, it would be like pressing the nuclear button with the missiles aimed at herself.
No-one would.... *thinks about GE2017* ... ok it's a possibility.
Iron Lady redux.
Neither Boris nor Corbyn are fit to be PM.
We discuss American politics any time anything interesting is happening but this doesn't seem to be grabbing people's interest and its right on our doorstep.
At that point it kind of went past the discussion stage. All we can do is look on in horror.
"As of today, these considerations point to an implementation period of around two years."
Boris has stated it cannot be "a second more" than two years.
By contrast, I can't see the DUP putting Corbyn into power - not least because the maths are so tight that even if you ignore their policy differences, Corbyn couldn't be sure of delivering on any promises made to the DUP as they'd have to have SNP, Lib Dem and other backing too.
I really can't see how he is going to cope, never mind remotely enjoy, endless Cabinet sub-committee meetings and red boxes as PM.
I hope it doesn't lead to bloodshed.