politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Infamy, infamy, they’ve all got in for May

The front page of The Sunday Telegraph. Sunday Times says Gove & Boris have mended their relationship. Feels like the end game for Mrs May pic.twitter.com/R8rBnaEcYG
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ie Response will be "If you can suddenly find the money to cut fees that much then it's not that much more of a stretch to abolish them completely".
But politically probably still better for Con than doing nothing.
If I did not love my country I'd love Boris and Gove in 10 and 11 Downing Street taking absolutely all the flack for the disastrous Brexit they would undoubtedly deliver. But as a patriot I look at what is happening in total despair. What a shambolic shower of self-absorbed incompetents the Tories have assembled to rule over us. We are going to end up paying a heavy price for their vanity, pride and complete stupidity.
What they won't say is that Corbyn has holed this ship under the water line.
Additionally to require value for money and address excessive salaries and perks at the top
I find this absolutely baffling. After all, there is a substantial risk of a crash-out Brexit followed by a Corbyn-McDonnell extreme hard-left government.
Why would anyone want to risk investing in the UK in these circumstances?
And if that's not credible how would Tory members feel about a second coronation in short succession ?
Genuine questions to paid up Tory members.
£3k is about the highest defensible level.
Reducing it to £7.5k is peanuts. It won't make any difference to your debt servitude if you are a graduate earning mid £20k per annum.
The Italian MEP, echoing the thoughts of many in the European commission, added: “This appears to be yet another twist in the internal warfare within the Conservative party. It does the UK no credit and no service in the wider world. I fear the British government is heading towards the Brexit rocks.”
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/sep/16/european-union-frustration-britain-heading-for-brexit-rocks
What are Patel and Gove supporting? Boris saying Brexit means Brexit, albeit in slightly different words? Non story.
How would that play with existing Brexit negotiations? Disastrously.
However, I don't think another coronation is credible. There is no outstanding consensus candidate, and worse still it's not just a question of personalities, there is a genuine split on policy. So I can't see MPs, let alone the wider party, coalescing quickly around one candidate.
In other words, it's a disaster.
Instead we have delusion and fantasy - we can be out of the single market but create all the same conditions from the outside, can tell them they need us more than we need them, that we can walk from all EU directives and laws whilst freely trading into the EU.
We have two choices. Take the Norway route, rejoin EFTA and sign an existing deal, or be all the way out on day 1. There is no middle ground and that's abundantly clear now if it wasn't before. May has rejected both which risks ending up with latter at short notice with the catastrophic shock it would cause. So up steps Alex de Pfeffel to force the all put on day 1 option hopefully with some planning and a shit ton of cash thrown at HMRC to get them ready.
If there was a leadership campaign in the Autumn I would wait to see the two candidates before deciding but I would have to be convinced on Boris, which I am not at present.
I would like to see younger newer faces and the old guard pass over the batton to the new
I suspect the issue will Osborne rightly feels his career is in better shape than Mandelson's at the time. Peter had resigned twice from the Cabinet. George is the Editor of an agenda setting newspaper and can return to the Committee be via a safe London seat any time he chooses.
Some of these so called Universities should be turned into FE colleges
People might know there's a risk of things falling apart but they expect it will all be sorted out eventually and worrying about things now might lead to more work.
Likewise with North Korea.
Online hustings - several over the course of a week. Electronic voting the following weekend. All done and dusted in 10 days.
Oops I forgot your average Tory member is 72 and that's why we're all being dragged kicking and screaming back to the 1950s.
Yellow submarine is an outright liar.
My position has always been completely uniform. If Britain left the EU but chose to immediately join EFTA then our membership of the EEA would be maintained. The fact that May has decided not to do that obviously means that we will almost certainly leave the EEA. But that does not change the basic position nor have I changed my position at all. If we move from the EU to EFTA which is my preferred result then we will remain members of the EEA.
Yellow submarine is being deliberately dishonest in claiming my position has ever been anything other than this. He is doing so because he got called making dishonest claims and was desperately looking for something to hit back with. Like most unreconciled Remainers he is fundamentally dishonest and falls back on lies when he had lost an argument. It is a shameful position but no more than.i have come to expect from him.
I have adopted modern tech with S8+phone, two notebooks, desk top pc, and Sky Q.
My wife is 78 and has her own smartphone, apple i pad, and is active on social media
You should not stereotype us oldies
This isn't an episode of House of Cards it's the Sceptred Isle. Conservative MPs need to do what they exist for and start acting conservatively.
There is too much hysteria about students graduating thousands of pounds in debt and not enough about the direct transfer of cash from the taxpayer to Universities which are then educating students poorly.
My power was only off for about 28 hours after Monday's storm, and most of the downed trees and power lines were cleared in my neighborhood by early Friday.
We went up to Dahlonega today. It's where the phrase "There's gold in them thar hills" originated. There are people there whose power only came back on today!
The power company linemen are being treated like rock stars. There are many reports of them going into restaurants to eat and them not being charged. It's been well reported how hard and long these guys have been working all week to get power restored.
I saw this at first hand today. Coming home we passed 3 Georgia Power bucket trucks going together up the road towards Dahlonega. Every car going in the opposite direction flashed its lights, hit the horn and waved out the window to them.
Before you ask - yes, I did.
Trump is getting rave reviews for his hands on handling of the two hurricanes and the speed with which the administration is responding. He's in his element
Looking at the average salary figures, many graduates struggle to hit £30k in their careers. This is even true if you go to a top university. Most jobs just don't pay that kind of money. Particualrly in the public sector, with the pay freeze. There are some sectors that are an exception.
In short I understand a Boris coup as tactics but not as strategy. Where do Tory Brexiteers think all this would be going ? What would a replacement for May who'd still have no majority actually do ?
I'm guilty of stereotyping too, but unfortunately the elderly/tech stereotype does have some basis in truth - and some of the consequences are pretty significant (and scary);
https://www.theguardian.com/money/blog/2017/sep/16/elderly-national-wealthcare-service-help-banking
Of course, that could be just wishful thinking on my part :-)
A lot in the newspapers is hype and when you read Boris's statement and the articles he is not saying much that is not known already. He does support TM and will accept a transition period with legitimate payments.
We are all in the bubble on here but some who voters who want out will no doubt be pleased with Boris and many are labour supporters
Mind you I had an uncle who was terminal with cancer and in his last days when asked 'How are you' - he replied with the never to be forgotten words 'Why should a breathing man complain ' (bless him)
https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/4482588/chancellor-set-to-slash-tuition-fees-by-5000-amid-fury-over-uni-cash-mountain/
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/picture/2017/sep/17/chickens-coming-home-to-roost-for-theresa-may-cartoon#img-1
Armed officers stormed the property hours after arresting the 18-year-old man believed to have planted the Parsons Green bomb in Dover.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/home/index.html
Citizens of seven European countries were asked what they believe the next German government’s priorities should be. The most striking difference was on the subject of EU reform. Just 13 percent of Germans listed it among their top priorities, compared to 26 percent of the French and 27 percent of Brits – even though Britain is bound to exit the European Union (see graphic).
https://global.handelsblatt.com/politics/dont-talk-about-europe-826401
Meanwhile, looking at events this weekend, I'm more and more convinced that whenever the next GE is, it won't be won by the Tories. They are so bad that I honestly wouldn't rule out voting Corbyn in 2019/2020/2021/2022 (whenever the next GE is).
Far better is to link fees to post graduate earnings, with degrees which lead to higher earnings paying more and the reverse as suggested Hammond may do on the Sunday Politics
The Tories might not be able to win the next election -although the belief that Corbyn will might well be the self denying prophecy that predicted Labour wins often are -but neither can Labour win an outright majority. A hung parliament with a minority Labour government at the mercy of the Liberals and other parties will frustrate Corbynista dreams of a hard left Jerusalem, anger a lot of people who will be disappointed by his broken promises in office, while at the same time annoying a lot of moderate voters and paving the way for a Tory landslide.