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Both New Zealand First and One Nation are on the rise again in the polls yes but of course Australia is not in any Asian Union like the EUfoxinsoxuk said:
It has been for 30 years. Haven't you been paying attention? It is precisely that that is annoying the Pauline Hanson and Winston Peters.HYUFD said:
So Australia is going to be welded to Asia then?Scott_P said:https://twitter.com/katie_martin_fx/status/907841081819136001
@joncstone: Juncker announces the EU is opening trade negotiations with Australia and New Zealand #SOTEU
If we want a trade deal then we might want to expand our High Commission in Canberra, rather than run it down through FCO cuts. I think that it has a UK diplomatic staff in single figures.0 -
Good betEssexit said:
Which reminds me, I have £15 @ 66/1 on Sweden being the next country to leave the EU, provided it does so within the next 10 years. Druncker could make me a grand.HYUFD said:
If Sweden and Denmark are forced to choose between staying in the EU but joining the euro or leaving and rejoining EFTA they may well choose EFTA given both nations rejected the euro in referendumswilliamglenn said:http://www.politico.eu/article/juncker-to-oppose-multispeed-europe/
Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker will call for non-eurozone countries to join the EU’s common currency in his State of the European Union address in Strasbourg Wednesday, according to an EU diplomat who briefed reporters on the speech beforehand.0 -
I defer to your knowledge of Slovakia and the Czech Republic and this is certainly to be welcomed. Whether we have seen the same level of investment in Romania and Bulgaria seems to be more open to question at this time.Monksfield said:
So how do you explain the investment by big EC companies in manufacturing in Slovakia, Czech Republic etc? It could clearly be argued that there is a transitional phase during which these accession countries lose population, skills etc., but this is compensated over time by investment, and they gradually rise to the mean. I'm a very regular visitor to the two aforementioned countries and what I see is I see two countries on the up, going in a very different direction to the UK.
The woes of places like Cornwall and South Wales are largely down to domestic policy post war, not anything the EU did to us.
I do agree in time (and we are seeing this already to some degree with Poles and the Baltic States) that there is a flow back to the native lands as their economies improve and the standards of living rise in response.
My point would be if this mechanism is as well known as seems to be the case, some forward thinking and planning as to the managing of the expectations of newly-joining countries would seem to be in order.
As to Cornwall and South Wales, my point was our EU membership was beneficial in sending funding for key infrastructural projects our way - I believe the dualling of the A30 in Cornwall was funded through Objective One as an example. It's that kind of investment in improving the economies of the rural and peripheral areas with which the EU should be involved supporting national Governments.
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Haha. The desperation that the EU are double plus good is really starting to show now.williamglenn said:
The significance is that it's the day after, not the day before. No last minute escape possible for the UK.Mortimer said:
I love the smell of damage limitation in the morning.williamglenn said:
This is another 'More Europe' speech from an EU apparatchik. How novel.0 -
As an aside, interesting to note another poll in NZ overnight (UK time) put National ten points ahead of Labour 47-37. The poll showed National up four and Labour down 1.5% from the previous survey.
Colmar Brunton, one of the other two public pollsters, showed Labour four points up in its last survey and its next one is out Thursday (NZ time).
Volatile polls - whatever next ?0 -
If its a minority view then I'm in the minority as well.stodge said:Morning all
The problem for me has never been the Euro but the Single Market. It is a pernicious mechanism which has enriched a few and caused immense social damage in many areas. Opening borders and markets has simply caused labour and capital to flow to the wealthier areas of Europe and impoverished the peripheries and other places.
For all that London, Bavaria, the Rhineland and other places have gained from migrant labour and the ability to expand service-driven economies, the social damage both in terms of the impact of migration on the places where the migrants have arrived and (much more importantly) the areas they have left has been considerable.
I wanted a European Union dedicated to the economic improvement of all of Europe including and especially the poorer peripheral areas yet all they have got is depopulation and economic devastation whether it's a Greek island or a Romanian or Bulgarian village or even parts of Ireland - the young have left, the businesses have closed and only the old remain. This was foreshadowed in the depopulation of the GDR after unification but we didn't see or want to see and, incidentally, makes the claims of those who assert they didn't realise the potential flow of economic migrants from Poland and other accessor countries lamentable.
I'm sure my vision of what the EU should be is a minority one and I'm not going with the economic flow - I don't care. Parts of Cornwall and Wales benefitted in the past from projects supported by EU Objective One funding and there remains considerable poverty in the rural and peripheral areas of Europe but that no longer seems to be the EU's focus and that's why I voted to Leave (among other reasons).0 -
I think it could be similar to our election, the Nationals fail to get anywhere near the landslide they hoped for for their new PM and probably lose their majority and have to do a deal with NZ First but Labour though making gains fail to win eitherstodge said:As an aside, interesting to note another poll in NZ overnight (UK time) put National ten points ahead of Labour 47-37. The poll showed National up four and Labour down 1.5% from the previous survey.
Colmar Brunton, one of the other two public pollsters, showed Labour four points up in its last survey and its next one is out Thursday (NZ time).
Volatile polls - whatever next ?0 -
In the words of that Cabaret song, "Tomorrow belongs to him" (juncker thinks).williamglenn said:
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Not sure if Junckers speech is madness or visionary.
Clear now what way Europe is heading. Not sure its plain sailing from here on in (both UK and EU sides)0 -
And no sign now among the professional commentators of the faux-sophisticated argument advanced against Leave that Turkey accession talks were a charade from the start (so that Merkel's and Juncker's statements make no substantive difference to anything). How strange.tlg86 said:
It was definitely a mistake (from his point of view) to get the referendum done as quickly as possible.Scott_P said:@JamesTapsfield: Now Juncker follows Merkel in ruling out EU membership for Turkey. David Cameron must be kicking himself
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Anyone who doesn't live in Ludlow must be aware of the rapidly increasing numbers of rough sleepers in our towns and cities. The numbers seem to be doubling each week. It's not up to Thatcher levels yet but it's noticably on the rise. Whether it's just Tory economic policy or early onset Brexit is hard to say but one thing for certain; after Brexit it's going to get a hell of a lot worse.0
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What a waste of time.
Alex Wickham
Verified account
@WikiGuido 46m
46 minutes ago
May speech to "reset" negotiations, offer compromise, conciliatory tone. (Some clarity on transition and £?)0 -
all under the "genius" of that Osborne chap who was in charge of plotting REMAIN's victory....Mortimer said:
It was so obvious. That failure more than anything convinced me that Cameron had gone native with the civil service...Scott_P said:@JamesTapsfield: Now Juncker follows Merkel in ruling out EU membership for Turkey. David Cameron must be kicking himself
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Entirely plausible. Under MMP, it's very hard for a party to gain an overall majority unless it is over 50% (but not impossible). The overnight poll does show National getting 61 out of 120 but that is helped by the Greens just missing the 5% threshold for representation.HYUFD said:
I think it could be similar to our election, the Nationals fail to get anywhere near the landslide they hoped for for their new PM and probably lose their majority and have to do a deal with NZ First but Labour though making gains fail to win either
Peters is playing it cagey as you would expect given his track record and the possibility of a National-NZ First Government isn't as obvious as you might think for that reason. I think Peters enjoys the kingmaker role until he has to decide who he has to make king (or queen).0 -
The tories' hard won brand equity as sober stewards of economic competence has been completely destroyed in a year. Their conduct of Brexit has been the ultimate in self-indulgent feelz>realz politics.SouthamObserver said:
Brexit is going to happen, but since the referendum the Tories have done all they can to ensure it will be on the worst possible basis. For a party that is supposed to be patriotic and pro-business that is quite some achievement.0 -
Bloody good job we decided to Leave then.williamglenn said:0 -
New sick man of Europe?
"told his allies that he wants her 'chopped up in bags in my freezer'"
http://www.esquire.co.uk/culture/longform/a17158/george-osborne-revenge/0 -
Wonder how compulsory Schengen membership will go down in Dublin?williamglenn said:
I know "it's the UKs responsibility to answer the border question".....0 -
+1Casino_Royale said:FPT - I agree with all of Richard Nabavi's posts, which were excellent.
Of course he was probably singing Rule Britannia! in Union Jack underpants as he typed it, if some are to be believed....0 -
Fewer rough sleepers from Romania and Bulgaria thoughRoger said:Anyone who doesn't live in Ludlow must be aware of the rapidly increasing numbers of rough sleepers in our towns and cities. The numbers seem to be doubling each week. It's not up to Thatcher levels yet but it's noticably on the rise. Whether it's just Tory economic policy or early onset Brexit is hard to say but one thing for certain; after Brexit it's going to get a hell of a lot worse.
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Indeed though he will likely go with the largest partystodge said:
Entirely plausible. Under MMP, it's very hard for a party to gain an overall majority unless it is over 50% (but not impossible). The overnight poll does show National getting 61 out of 120 but that is helped by the Greens just missing the 5% threshold for representation.HYUFD said:
I think it could be similar to our election, the Nationals fail to get anywhere near the landslide they hoped for for their new PM and probably lose their majority and have to do a deal with NZ First but Labour though making gains fail to win either
Peters is playing it cagey as you would expect given his track record and the possibility of a National-NZ First Government isn't as obvious as you might think for that reason. I think Peters enjoys the kingmaker role until he has to decide who he has to make king (or queen).0 -
George Osborne was the Shadow Chancellor who failed to predict a recession which happened and the Chancellor who predicted a recession which didn't happen.Allan said:New sick man of Europe?
"told his allies that he wants her 'chopped up in bags in my freezer'"
http://www.esquire.co.uk/culture/longform/a17158/george-osborne-revenge/0 -
When setting out for revenge, first dig two graves....another_richard said:
George Osborne was the Shadow Chancellor who failed to predict a recession which happened and the Chancellor who predicted a recession which didn't happen.Allan said:New sick man of Europe?
"told his allies that he wants her 'chopped up in bags in my freezer'"
http://www.esquire.co.uk/culture/longform/a17158/george-osborne-revenge/0 -
And meanother_richard said:
If its a minority view then I'm in the minority as well.stodge said:Morning all
The problem for me has never been the Euro but the Single Market. It is a pernicious mechanism which has enriched a few and caused immense social damage in many areas. Opening borders and markets has simply caused labour and capital to flow to the wealthier areas of Europe and impoverished the peripheries and other places.
For all that London, Bavaria, the Rhineland and other places have gained from migrant labour and the ability to expand service-driven economies, the social damage both in terms of the impact of migration on the places where the migrants have arrived and (much more importantly) the areas they have left has been considerable.
I wanted a European Union dedicated to the economic improvement of all of Europe including and especially the poorer peripheral areas yet all they have got is depopulation and economic devastation whether it's a Greek island or a Romanian or Bulgarian village or even parts of Ireland - the young have left, the businesses have closed and only the old remain. This was foreshadowed in the depopulation of the GDR after unification but we didn't see or want to see and, incidentally, makes the claims of those who assert they didn't realise the potential flow of economic migrants from Poland and other accessor countries lamentable.
I'm sure my vision of what the EU should be is a minority one and I'm not going with the economic flow - I don't care. Parts of Cornwall and Wales benefitted in the past from projects supported by EU Objective One funding and there remains considerable poverty in the rural and peripheral areas of Europe but that no longer seems to be the EU's focus and that's why I voted to Leave (among other reasons).0 -
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/nick-clegg-miriam-gonzlez-durntez-11161009 .I just wanted to wish Nick Clegg and his family Al the best after reading the article.I know how hard it is as my family has been through similar .It really puts ones worries into perspective.0
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I found it rather wistful and paricularly from the ever optimistic Richard who gave us some of the best one liners this site has ever read. "George Osborne the near perfect Chancellor"CarlottaVance said:
+1Casino_Royale said:FPT - I agree with all of Richard Nabavi's posts, which were excellent.
Of course he was probably singing Rule Britannia! in Union Jack underpants as he typed it, if some are to be believed....
This was an altogether more sombre Nabavi. It reminded me of the scene from 'On the Waterfront'. I Could've been a contender. I could've been somebody......'
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uBiewQrpBBA
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Brexit is getting a bit dull. Isn't time for the annual NHS crisis yet?0
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He's right, of course (except for one point: planning for the possibility of no trade deal is simple commonsense).SouthamObserver said:It would be good to know why this Vote Leave staffer is wrong ...
https://twitter.com/OliverNorgrove/status/907687683128004608
However, he's not saying anything new. All this was well known and repeatedly said before the referendum. If he was a Vote Leave staffer, then he shouldn't be in the least bit surprised by the likely consequences of the victory of the campaign he worked for.0 -
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You all seem to want young people in remote parts of Europe to be stuck with poor prospects in places they don't want to be. Why anyone would wish such a fate on anyone is beyond me.Blue_rog said:
And meanother_richard said:
If its a minority view then I'm in the minority as well.stodge said:Morning all
The problem for me has never been the Euro but the Single Market. It is a pernicious mechanism which has enriched a few and caused immense social damage in many areas. Opening borders and markets has simply caused labour and capital to flow to the wealthier areas of Europe and impoverished the peripheries and other places.
For all that London, Bavaria, the Rhineland and other places have gained from migrant labour and the ability to expand service-driven economies, the social damage both in terms of the impact of migration on the places where the migrants have arrived and (much more importantly) the areas they have left has been considerable.
I wanted a European Union dedicated to the economic improvement of all of Europe including and especially the poorer peripheral areas yet all they have got is depopulation and economic devastation whether it's a Greek island or a Romanian or Bulgarian village or even parts of Ireland - the young have left, the businesses have closed and only the old remain. This was foreshadowed in the depopulation of the GDR after unification but we didn't see or want to see and, incidentally, makes the claims of those who assert they didn't realise the potential flow of economic migrants from Poland and other accessor countries lamentable.
I'm sure my vision of what the EU should be is a minority one and I'm not going with the economic flow - I don't care. Parts of Cornwall and Wales benefitted in the past from projects supported by EU Objective One funding and there remains considerable poverty in the rural and peripheral areas of Europe but that no longer seems to be the EU's focus and that's why I voted to Leave (among other reasons).0 -
I think that's supposed to be me.CarlottaVance said:
+1Casino_Royale said:FPT - I agree with all of Richard Nabavi's posts, which were excellent.
Of course he was probably singing Rule Britannia! in Union Jack underpants as he typed it, if some are to be believed....
I have both the CD and the underpants, but am yet to combine the two.0 -
Totally agree. It’s a terrible thing to have to live with; they must have had 18 or so months of absolute hell.Yorkcity said:http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/nick-clegg-miriam-gonzlez-durntez-11161009 .I just wanted to wish Nick Clegg and his family Al the best after reading the article.I know how hard it is as my family has been through similar .It really puts ones worries into perspective.
Our daughter was an adult when she developed Motor Neurone Disease and had a husband to support her, but you still think..... why my child, why not me.0 -
williamglenn said:
We're going to want to join the Euro. It's the only way we can reverse the geopolitical damage we're doing to ourselves through Brexit.
https://twitter.com/JenniferMerode/status/907872740891402240
First bit I get, last bit sounds fishy and quite political to me.Scott_P said:https://twitter.com/katie_martin_fx/status/907841081819136001
@joncstone: Juncker announces the EU is opening trade negotiations with Australia and New Zealand #SOTEU0 -
I know someone who works in Pharma (researching new drugs for people with lung complaints) who says the flu jab is a complete waste of time and money and most people might as well have a Placebo.eek said:0 -
"most" is a concerning word there. Sure "most" may as well have a placebo but what about the others? Presumably for the others the jab did something useful?GIN1138 said:
I know someone who works in Pharma (researching new drugs for people with lung complaints) who says the flu jab is a complete waste of time and money and most people might as well have a Placebo.eek said:0 -
Dunno. Just saying what I was told.Philip_Thompson said:
"most" is a concerning word there. Sure "most" may as well have a placebo but what about the others? Presumably for the others the jab did something useful?GIN1138 said:
I know someone who works in Pharma (researching new drugs for people with lung complaints) who says the flu jab is a complete waste of time and money and most people might as well have a Placebo.eek said:0 -
I am also strongly in favour of moving to qualified majority voting for decisions on the common consolidated corporate tax base, on VAT, on fair taxes for the digital industry and on the financial transaction tax. Europe has to be able to act quicker and more decisivelywilliamglenn said:
Today, the Commission is proposing new rules on the financing of political parties and foundations. We should not be filling the coffers of anti-European extremists. We should be giving European parties the means to better organise themselves..0 -
The jab confers herd immunity. Mr Gin’s friend is quite correct, but, and there’s always a but, being vaccinated stops those who might get it getting it, and consequenly spreading it.GIN1138 said:
Dunno. Just saying what I was told.Philip_Thompson said:
"most" is a concerning word there. Sure "most" may as well have a placebo but what about the others? Presumably for the others the jab did something useful?GIN1138 said:
I know someone who works in Pharma (researching new drugs for people with lung complaints) who says the flu jab is a complete waste of time and money and most people might as well have a Placebo.eek said:0 -
Those pesky Eurocrats laying mines no doubt...Jonathan said:
If May's government steered towards the iceberg to minimise the impact , it would hit it side on and then plough into a minefield that wasn't there 5 minutes before.Charles said:
If the Titanic had hit the iceberg head on it's very likely that more people would have survivedrottenborough said:
In this case the passengers voted for the captain to sale towards the iceberg.Jonathan said:
Did I see you playing violin on the Titanic?Charles said:@SouthamObserver
In life I've found that things are better than you fear and less good than you hope. You might find things less stressful if you adopt a similar philosophy0 -
In Germany the bigger Brexit developments get a little coverage in the news, but you're right that it is no issue in the general election because it not directly relevant to German life or German federal politics. Where it is indirectly relevant, at least 4 of the 6 main parties (and around 80% of the "MPs" after the election) would take exactly the same stance on BrexitNickPalmer said:
The key point which I don't think has widely sunk in among the political class is that the Continental electorate - and therefore to some extent the politicians - don't actually care very much. Brexit barely featured in the French elections, and it's not featuring at all in the German ones. Everyone sees it as the Brits going off and doing something eccentric- they feel mildly regretful but ultimately hey, it's our business. Insofar as they're paying attention, they want a good payment to cover commitments and some sort of workable trading arrangement, and that will do.0 -
Yes my thoughts exactly , our children are so called SWANs syndrome without a name.Complete DNA genetic testing at Manchester and Great Ormond Street Hospital still can not find a cause to their severe disability.OldKingCole said:
Totally agree. It’s a terrible thing to have to live with; they must have had 18 or so months of absolute hell.Yorkcity said:http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/nick-clegg-miriam-gonzlez-durntez-11161009 .I just wanted to wish Nick Clegg and his family Al the best after reading the article.I know how hard it is as my family has been through similar .It really puts ones worries into perspective.
Our daughter was an adult when she developed Motor Neurone Disease and had a husband to support her, but you still think..... why my child, why not me.0 -
We give a bunch of money to the EUstodge said:
I defer to your knowledge of Slovakia and the Czech Republic and this is certainly to be welcomed. Whether we have seen the same level of investment in Romania and Bulgaria seems to be more open to question at this time.Monksfield said:
So how do you explain the investment by big EC companies in manufacturing in Slovakia, Czech Republic etc? It could clearly be argued that there is a transitional phase during which these accession countries lose population, skills etc., but this is compensated over time by investment, and they gradually rise to the mean. I'm a very regular visitor to the two aforementioned countries and what I see is I see two countries on the up, going in a very different direction to the UK.
The woes of places like Cornwall and South Wales are largely down to domestic policy post war, not anything the EU did to us.
I do agree in time (and we are seeing this already to some degree with Poles and the Baltic States) that there is a flow back to the native lands as their economies improve and the standards of living rise in response.
My point would be if this mechanism is as well known as seems to be the case, some forward thinking and planning as to the managing of the expectations of newly-joining countries would seem to be in order.
As to Cornwall and South Wales, my point was our EU membership was beneficial in sending funding for key infrastructural projects our way - I believe the dualling of the A30 in Cornwall was funded through Objective One as an example. It's that kind of investment in improving the economies of the rural and peripheral areas with which the EU should be involved supporting national Governments.
They deduct some in administration costs and give us a small part back to widen a road in Cornwall.
Isn't there a more efficient way to do this?0 -
Very different to the panicky series of twitter posts that @williamglenn copied last night then?JonathanD said:What a waste of time.
Alex Wickham
Verified account
@WikiGuido 46m
46 minutes ago
May speech to "reset" negotiations, offer compromise, conciliatory tone. (Some clarity on transition and £?)0 -
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I wouldn't equate unpreparedness with laziness, but it suggests that the Brexit politicians never really expected to succeed.SouthamObserver said:
When push comes to shove what gets me most is the sheer laziness of people like Davis, Fox. Johnson and Gove. They had years to work all this out and to learn how the EU works and what underpins successful FTA negotiations. But it turns out they couldn't be arsed.
I criticise the LDs in 2010 in much the same way. They campaigned for years to have an influence in a coalition cabinet, and blew it straight away by not being prepared for the difficult coalition negotiations.
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As usual, you're confused. It wasn't me who posted about May's speech but GIN1138 and Scott_P.Charles said:
Very different to the panicky series of twitter posts that @williamglenn copied last night then?JonathanD said:What a waste of time.
Alex Wickham
Verified account
@WikiGuido 46m
46 minutes ago
May speech to "reset" negotiations, offer compromise, conciliatory tone. (Some clarity on transition and £?)0 -
That’s dreadful; all one can do is try to ameliorate the condition. My heartfelt sympathies.Yorkcity said:
Yes my thoughts exactly , our children are so called SWANs syndrome without a name.Complete DNA genetic testing at Manchester and Great Ormond Street Hospital still can not find a cause to their severe disability.OldKingCole said:
Totally agree. It’s a terrible thing to have to live with; they must have had 18 or so months of absolute hell.Yorkcity said:http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/nick-clegg-miriam-gonzlez-durntez-11161009 .I just wanted to wish Nick Clegg and his family Al the best after reading the article.I know how hard it is as my family has been through similar .It really puts ones worries into perspective.
Our daughter was an adult when she developed Motor Neurone Disease and had a husband to support her, but you still think..... why my child, why not me.0 -
I think that was the Leave campaign trying the presumptive close on what Theresa May ought to be saying. In their view.Charles said:
Very different to the panicky series of twitter posts that @williamglenn copied last night then?JonathanD said:What a waste of time.
Alex Wickham
Verified account
@WikiGuido 46m
46 minutes ago
May speech to "reset" negotiations, offer compromise, conciliatory tone. (Some clarity on transition and £?)0 -
Just heard on the German news "Exceptions only for the UK and Denmark"HYUFD said:
If Sweden and Denmark are forced to choose between staying in the EU but joining the euro or leaving and rejoining EFTA they may well choose EFTA given both nations rejected the euro in referendumswilliamglenn said:http://www.politico.eu/article/juncker-to-oppose-multispeed-europe/
Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker will call for non-eurozone countries to join the EU’s common currency in his State of the European Union address in Strasbourg Wednesday, according to an EU diplomat who briefed reporters on the speech beforehand.0 -
How about leveraging the European institutions to invest in the home state and improve opportunities. Then, as the home state improves, local people get worthwhile employment and each member state increases in prosperity. Sucking out the best and brightest to work as second class citizens in a wealthy core EU state doesn't do that.AlastairMeeks said:
You all seem to want young people in remote parts of Europe to be stuck with poor prospects in places they don't want to be. Why anyone would wish such a fate on anyone is beyond me.Blue_rog said:
And meanother_richard said:
If its a minority view then I'm in the minority as well.stodge said:Morning all
The problem for me has never been the Euro but the Single Market. It is a pernicious mechanism which has enriched a few and caused immense social damage in many areas. Opening borders and markets has simply caused labour and capital to flow to the wealthier areas of Europe and impoverished the peripheries and other places.
For all that London, Bavaria, the Rhineland and other places have gained from migrant labour and the ability to expand service-driven economies, the social damage both in terms of the impact of migration on the places where the migrants have arrived and (much more importantly) the areas they have left has been considerable.
I wanted a European Union dedicated to the economic improvement of all of Europe including and especially the poorer peripheral areas yet all they have got is depopulation and economic devastation whether it's a Greek island or a Romanian or Bulgarian village or even parts of Ireland - the young have left, the businesses have closed and only the old remain. This was foreshadowed in the depopulation of the GDR after unification but we didn't see or want to see and, incidentally, makes the claims of those who assert they didn't realise the potential flow of economic migrants from Poland and other accessor countries lamentable.
I'm sure my vision of what the EU should be is a minority one and I'm not going with the economic flow - I don't care. Parts of Cornwall and Wales benefitted in the past from projects supported by EU Objective One funding and there remains considerable poverty in the rural and peripheral areas of Europe but that no longer seems to be the EU's focus and that's why I voted to Leave (among other reasons).0 -
That is the formal treaty position: Denmark and the UK negotiated opt-outs. Sweden didn't, so it is supposed to be committed to moving towards Euro membership, but in practice it is working around the rules by creative sloth.eristdoof said:Just heard on the German news "Exceptions only for the UK and Denmark"
The Germans, of course, are very keen on rules being followed to the letter!0 -
Yes, me too. But there never was much doubt that the departure of the UK from the EU would result in an acceleration of the project. We have been a brake on that project since at least 1992, constantly looking to limit and opt out of the various developments. Given the decision to proceed with the Euro without any regard to the underlying economic reality such an acceleration is both necessary and welcome. Those EU countries who are not in the Euro have some difficult choices to face.CarlottaVance said:Agree with Mr Forsyth:
https://twitter.com/JGForsyth/status/907902866953838592
The real question is whether the EU would have proceeded down this road anyway had we remained members. I think it is clear that it would, just more slowly and in more complicated ways. Building a consensus for such a future for the UK is something those committed to the EU never even attempted. Instead they lied about what the effect of treaties was, what the extent of EU influence was (now painfully exposed by the Repeal Bill) and when we would ever get a say. The accusations of lies directed towards the leave campaign are really quite funny. If those in favour of the EU had not lied and lied leave would never have had a chance.
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What you're describing is exactly what happens, and there are no second class citizens in the EU, despite the fervent desire of the Brexiteers to make it so.Blue_rog said:How about leveraging the European institutions to invest in the home state and improve opportunities. Then, as the home state improves, local people get worthwhile employment and each member state increases in prosperity. Sucking out the best and brightest to work as second class citizens in a wealthy core EU state doesn't do that.
As @rcs1000 has pointed out, every new EU member since 1973 with the exception of Greece has closed the economic gap with Germany.0 -
It's ignorance ultimately that comes from a lack of interest. It's understandable that the man and woman in the street aren't interested in the EU and so take a decision with considerable ignorance of the topic they are asked to decide on.eristdoof said:
I wouldn't equate unpreparedness with laziness, but it suggests that the Brexit politicians never really expected to succeed.SouthamObserver said:
When push comes to shove what gets me most is the sheer laziness of people like Davis, Fox. Johnson and Gove. They had years to work all this out and to learn how the EU works and what underpins successful FTA negotiations. But it turns out they couldn't be arsed.
I criticise the LDs in 2010 in much the same way. They campaigned for years to have an influence in a coalition cabinet, and blew it straight away by not being prepared for the difficult coalition negotiations.
It's less acceptable that ministers tasked with effecting the required change should be so ignorant and unwilling to get up to speed on a topic they don't understand.0 -
Meanwhile the jobs machine that is the UK marches on: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-41252976
But yesterday's uptick in inflation means wages are falling even further behind.0 -
Though while I was in Sweden this year, it was nearly a cashless society. Everything from buses to bars to street stalls took cards, and many wouldn't take cash. As the SEK is very stable to the Euro it may actually make very little difference.Richard_Nabavi said:
That is the formal treaty position: Denmark and the UK negotiated opt-outs. Sweden didn't, so it is supposed to be committed to moving towards Euro membership, but in practice it is working around the rules by creative sloth.eristdoof said:Just heard on the German news "Exceptions only for the UK and Denmark"
The Germans, of course, are very keen on rules being followed to the letter!
When it is cashless, and the currency rates are stable, it matters very little in what nominal currency the transaction is conducted in.0 -
Not that stable: https://www.bing.com/search?q=1 SEK to EUR&FORM=S00037&filter=ufn:%22SEK%22 aid:%22de79675229366a3bf9c00cb0b4f461a4%22 sid:%22EUR1%22 cpair:%22EUR1%22 dstr:%22%22 currency:%221%22foxinsoxuk said:
Though while I was in Sweden this year, it was nearly a cashless society. Everything from buses to bars to street stalls took cards, and many wouldn't take cash. As the SEK is very stable to the Euro it may actually make very little difference.Richard_Nabavi said:
That is the formal treaty position: Denmark and the UK negotiated opt-outs. Sweden didn't, so it is supposed to be committed to moving towards Euro membership, but in practice it is working around the rules by creative sloth.eristdoof said:Just heard on the German news "Exceptions only for the UK and Denmark"
The Germans, of course, are very keen on rules being followed to the letter!
When it is cashless, and the currency rates are stable, it matters very little in what nominal currency the transaction is conducted in.
I don't see the connection between a society being cashless and an indifference to what the exchange rate of that currency is.0 -
OTOH the flip side of that is that if you have to keep your currency stable with someone else's bigger one, and it's cashless, there's basically zero benefit to having your own currency.foxinsoxuk said:When it is cashless, and the currency rates are stable, it matters very little in what nominal currency the transaction is conducted in.
0 -
Indeed why should we have redistribution Charles? Maybe committees of volunteers could be exhorted to widen the road for free, parish by parish.Charles said:
We give a bunch of money to the EUstodge said:
I defer to your knowledge of Slovakia and the Czech Republic and this is certainly to be welcomed. Whether we have seen the same level of investment in Romania and Bulgaria seems to be more open to question at this time.Monksfield said:
So how do you explain the investment by big EC companies in manufacturing in Slovakia, Czech Republic etc? It could clearly be argued that there is a transitional phase during which these accession countries lose population, skills etc., but this is compensated over time by investment, and they gradually rise to the mean. I'm a very regular visitor to the two aforementioned countries and what I see is I see two countries on the up, going in a very different direction to the UK.
The woes of places like Cornwall and South Wales are largely down to domestic policy post war, not anything the EU did to us.
I do agree in time (and we are seeing this already to some degree with Poles and the Baltic States) that there is a flow back to the native lands as their economies improve and the standards of living rise in response.
My point would be if this mechanism is as well known as seems to be the case, some forward thinking and planning as to the managing of the expectations of newly-joining countries would seem to be in order.
As to Cornwall and South Wales, my point was our EU membership was beneficial in sending funding for key infrastructural projects our way - I believe the dualling of the A30 in Cornwall was funded through Objective One as an example. It's that kind of investment in improving the economies of the rural and peripheral areas with which the EU should be involved supporting national Governments.
They deduct some in administration costs and give us a small part back to widen a road in Cornwall.
Isn't there a more efficient way to do this?
Isn't that the Big Society? Or are those days unmentionable now?0 -
There will be no second class citizens in the UK. There will be British citizens, (and British citizenship is freely available for those who want it) and foreign nationals with varying residence rights.williamglenn said:
What you're describing is exactly what happens, and there are no second class citizens in the EU, despite the fervent desire of the Brexiteers to make it so.Blue_rog said:How about leveraging the European institutions to invest in the home state and improve opportunities. Then, as the home state improves, local people get worthwhile employment and each member state increases in prosperity. Sucking out the best and brightest to work as second class citizens in a wealthy core EU state doesn't do that.
As @rcs1000 has pointed out, every new EU member since 1973 with the exception of Greece has closed the economic gap with Germany.0 -
Like most stereotypes, this reputation is highly exaggerated.Richard_Nabavi said:
The Germans, of course, are very keen on rules being followed to the letter!0 -
That's the situation the Danish kroner is in. It's so closely and deliberately tied to the Euro, it might as well not exist, except for the sentimental attachment of Danes to their historic currency, and I suppose an escape route in extremis. Otherwise it just adds costs.edmundintokyo said:
OTOH the flip side of that is that if you have to keep your currency stable with someone else's bigger one, and it's cashless, there's basically zero benefit to having your own currency.foxinsoxuk said:When it is cashless, and the currency rates are stable, it matters very little in what nominal currency the transaction is conducted in.
0 -
More that the indifference is to the nominal currency rather than the exchange rate.DavidL said:
Not that stable: https://www.bing.com/search?q=1 SEK to EUR&FORM=S00037&filter=ufn:%22SEK%22 aid:%22de79675229366a3bf9c00cb0b4f461a4%22 sid:%22EUR1%22 cpair:%22EUR1%22 dstr:%22%22 currency:%221%22foxinsoxuk said:
Though while I was in Sweden this year, it was nearly a cashless society. Everything from buses to bars to street stalls took cards, and many wouldn't take cash. As the SEK is very stable to the Euro it may actually make very little difference.Richard_Nabavi said:
That is the formal treaty position: Denmark and the UK negotiated opt-outs. Sweden didn't, so it is supposed to be committed to moving towards Euro membership, but in practice it is working around the rules by creative sloth.eristdoof said:Just heard on the German news "Exceptions only for the UK and Denmark"
The Germans, of course, are very keen on rules being followed to the letter!
When it is cashless, and the currency rates are stable, it matters very little in what nominal currency the transaction is conducted in.
I don't see the connection between a society being cashless and an indifference to what the exchange rate of that currency is.
The Danish Krona is very tightly managed to mirror the Euro. The Swedisk Krona may be deliberately moving more, so as to justify non convergence.
My point is that national currencies are more likely to be abolished by technology than governments.0 -
Mr Observer,
Blaming current politicians for not being prepared is missing the point. The blame lies fairly with Cameron D. He was in charge of the Civil Service, and their people would normally have had position papers ready for the possible eventualities. Unless stopped from doing so.
Dave promised to implement the will of the people .... but he didn't expect to lose, so he f*cked off.
I think there was a window of opportunity for the UK to stay in the EU, but only a slight one. Acceptance of the democratic will of the UK by the EU and the Remainers.
But that was never going to happen. It take have taken flexibility on the EU's part plus a lack of rancour from the losers. The former reacted with spite and anger "You will bend the knee (as they say in G.O.T) or we will make you pay" and with anger and spite from the latter "You're all stupid and racist Neanderthals" .0 -
Not quite Germany is very keen on others following the rules to the letter but will ignore both the letters and the rules if they have to implement it but don't agree with it...Richard_Nabavi said:
That is the formal treaty position: Denmark and the UK negotiated opt-outs. Sweden didn't, so it is supposed to be committed to moving towards Euro membership, but in practice it is working around the rules by creative sloth.eristdoof said:Just heard on the German news "Exceptions only for the UK and Denmark"
The Germans, of course, are very keen on rules being followed to the letter!
0 -
Because cashless payment uses a computer, so when you pay you can be given the price in both currencies and you just look at the one that interests youDavidL said:
Not that stable: https://www.bing.com/search?q=1 SEK to EUR&FORM=S00037&filter=ufn:%22SEK%22 aid:%22de79675229366a3bf9c00cb0b4f461a4%22 sid:%22EUR1%22 cpair:%22EUR1%22 dstr:%22%22 currency:%221%22foxinsoxuk said:
Though while I was in Sweden this year, it was nearly a cashless society. Everything from buses to bars to street stalls took cards, and many wouldn't take cash. As the SEK is very stable to the Euro it may actually make very little difference.Richard_Nabavi said:
That is the formal treaty position: Denmark and the UK negotiated opt-outs. Sweden didn't, so it is supposed to be committed to moving towards Euro membership, but in practice it is working around the rules by creative sloth.eristdoof said:Just heard on the German news "Exceptions only for the UK and Denmark"
The Germans, of course, are very keen on rules being followed to the letter!
When it is cashless, and the currency rates are stable, it matters very little in what nominal currency the transaction is conducted in.
I don't see the connection between a society being cashless and an indifference to what the exchange rate of that currency is.0 -
Why would Dave need to do any preparation?CD13 said:Mr Observer,
Blaming current politicians for not being prepared is missing the point. The blame lies fairly with Cameron D. He was in charge of the Civil Service, and their people would normally have had position papers ready for the possible eventualities. Unless stopped from doing so.
Dave promised to implement the will of the people .... but he didn't expect to lose, so he f*cked off.
I think there was a window of opportunity for the UK to stay in the EU, but only a slight one. Acceptance of the democratic will of the UK by the EU and the Remainers.
But that was never going to happen. It take have taken flexibility on the EU's part plus a lack of rancour from the losers. The former reacted with spite and anger "You will bend the knee (as they say in G.O.T) or we will make you pay" and with anger and spite from the latter "You're all stupid and racist Neanderthals" .
1) You Leavers said the Brexit deal would be the easiest in human history, as Deutsche car makers would force Frau Merkel to give us a good deal.
2) You Leavers said no one was threatening our place in the single market.
3) So you Brexit, you fix it.0 -
There was certainly a window of opportunity not to get into the mess we're in now. It needed to recognise in the first instance that 52/48 was actually a close result with the country utterly divided, not a decisive victory for leave, and then a period of proper reflection on the potential ways forward with DCameron leading it, not going to ground.CD13 said:Mr Observer,
Blaming current politicians for not being prepared is missing the point. The blame lies fairly with Cameron D. He was in charge of the Civil Service, and their people would normally have had position papers ready for the possible eventualities. Unless stopped from doing so.
Dave promised to implement the will of the people .... but he didn't expect to lose, so he f*cked off.
I think there was a window of opportunity for the UK to stay in the EU, but only a slight one. Acceptance of the democratic will of the UK by the EU and the Remainers.
But that was never going to happen. It take have taken flexibility on the EU's part plus a lack of rancour from the losers. The former reacted with spite and anger "You will bend the knee (as they say in G.O.T) or we will make you pay" and with anger and spite from the latter "You're all stupid and racist Neanderthals" .0 -
I agree that the Danish Krona is more tightly managed. I also agree that the Swedes are making sure that the conditions for membership of the Euro are not quite met.foxinsoxuk said:
More that the indifference is to the nominal currency rather than the exchange rate.DavidL said:
Not that stable: https://www.bing.com/search?q=1 SEK to EUR&FORM=S00037&filter=ufn:%22SEK%22 aid:%22de79675229366a3bf9c00cb0b4f461a4%22 sid:%22EUR1%22 cpair:%22EUR1%22 dstr:%22%22 currency:%221%22foxinsoxuk said:
Though while I was in Sweden this year, it was nearly a cashless society. Everything from buses to bars to street stalls took cards, and many wouldn't take cash. As the SEK is very stable to the Euro it may actually make very little difference.Richard_Nabavi said:
That is the formal treaty position: Denmark and the UK negotiated opt-outs. Sweden didn't, so it is supposed to be committed to moving towards Euro membership, but in practice it is working around the rules by creative sloth.eristdoof said:Just heard on the German news "Exceptions only for the UK and Denmark"
The Germans, of course, are very keen on rules being followed to the letter!
When it is cashless, and the currency rates are stable, it matters very little in what nominal currency the transaction is conducted in.
I don't see the connection between a society being cashless and an indifference to what the exchange rate of that currency is.
The Danish Krona is very tightly managed to mirror the Euro. The Swedisk Krona may be deliberately moving more, so as to justify non convergence.
My point is that national currencies are more likely to be abolished by technology than governments.
I don't see how technology abolishes currencies unless it facilitates dollarization type dominance. If the people of Denmark, for example, choose to price and accept items in euros to an overwhelming extent then their currency could become redundant. But I don't think there is much evidence of that happening.0 -
Mr Eagles,
You are missing my point.
I strongly suspect that Dave not only did no preparation, he expressly prevented the Civil Service from, as he thought, wasting their time preparing. That is what the Civil Service would do routinely unless stopped.0 -
Quite, it was indeed close. The will of the people - no not really.Monksfield said:
There was certainly a window of opportunity not to get into the mess we're in now. It needed to recognise in the first instance that 52/48 was actually a close result with the country utterly divided, not a decisive victory for leave, and then a period of proper reflection on the potential ways forward with DCameron leading it, not going to ground.CD13 said:Mr Observer,
Blaming current politicians for not being prepared is missing the point. The blame lies fairly with Cameron D. He was in charge of the Civil Service, and their people would normally have had position papers ready for the possible eventualities. Unless stopped from doing so.
Dave promised to implement the will of the people .... but he didn't expect to lose, so he f*cked off.
I think there was a window of opportunity for the UK to stay in the EU, but only a slight one. Acceptance of the democratic will of the UK by the EU and the Remainers.
But that was never going to happen. It take have taken flexibility on the EU's part plus a lack of rancour from the losers. The former reacted with spite and anger "You will bend the knee (as they say in G.O.T) or we will make you pay" and with anger and spite from the latter "You're all stupid and racist Neanderthals" .0 -
Well you're wrong.CD13 said:Mr Eagles,
You are missing my point.
I strongly suspect that Dave not only did no preparation, he expressly prevented the Civil Service from, as he thought, wasting their time preparing. That is what the Civil Service would do routinely unless stopped.
Preparation was begun but since Leave had no manifesto, nor any white paper (like the Scottish Government in the Indyref) it was hard for the civil service to wargame the precise Brexit route that would be delivered as the Vote Leave campaign contained so many contradictions and blatantly unrealistic hopes.0 -
Concievably in a cashless society all bills could reasily be paid in any currency, and recieved in any currency, and with the exchange rate electronic, very little commission.DavidL said:
I agree that the Danish Krona is more tightly managed. I also agree that the Swedes are making sure that the conditions for membership of the Euro are not quite met.foxinsoxuk said:
More that the indifference is to the nominal currency rather than the exchange rate.DavidL said:
Not that stable: https://www.bing.com/search?q=1 SEK to EUR&FORM=S00037&filter=ufn:%22SEK%22 aid:%22de79675229366a3bf9c00cb0b4f461a4%22 sid:%22EUR1%22 cpair:%22EUR1%22 dstr:%22%22 currency:%221%22foxinsoxuk said:
Though while I was in Sweden this year, it was nearly a cashless society. Everything from buses to bars to street stalls took cards, and many wouldn't take cash. As the SEK is very stable to the Euro it may actually make very little difference.Richard_Nabavi said:
That is the formal treaty position: Denmark and the UK negotiated opt-outs. Sweden didn't, so it is supposed to be committed to moving towards Euro membership, but in practice it is working around the rules by creative sloth.eristdoof said:Just heard on the German news "Exceptions only for the UK and Denmark"
The Germans, of course, are very keen on rules being followed to the letter!
When it is cashless, and the currency rates are stable, it matters very little in what nominal currency the transaction is conducted in.
I don't see the connection between a society being cashless and an indifference to what the exchange rate of that currency is.
The Danish Krona is very tightly managed to mirror the Euro. The Swedisk Krona may be deliberately moving more, so as to justify non convergence.
My point is that national currencies are more likely to be abolished by technology than governments.
I don't see how technology abolishes currencies unless it facilitates dollarization type dominance. If the people of Denmark, for example, choose to price and accept items in euros to an overwhelming extent then their currency could become redundant. But I don't think there is much evidence of that happening.
The pub owner gets paid in SEK, but I paid in Sterling for the same transaction. I genuinely struggled to find a use for the SEK that I took.0 -
With all the criticism again on here of the Government, I can't believe that people are now just taking for granted the extraordinary unemployment figures that this government has achieved. They are truly remarkable and they should be congratulated.0
-
diesel engines are an exceptionRichard_Nabavi said:
That is the formal treaty position: Denmark and the UK negotiated opt-outs. Sweden didn't, so it is supposed to be committed to moving towards Euro membership, but in practice it is working around the rules by creative sloth.eristdoof said:Just heard on the German news "Exceptions only for the UK and Denmark"
The Germans, of course, are very keen on rules being followed to the letter!0 -
A testament to George Osborne's magnificent stewardship of the economy and golden economic legacy he bequeathed Mrs May's government.currystar said:With all the criticism again on here of the Government, I can't believe that people are now just taking for granted the extraordinary unemployment figures that this government has achieved. They are truly remarkable and they should be congratulated.
0 -
And lord knows the Civil Service had their hearts set on it. I mean, they really dislike the EU and the status quo, right?TheScreamingEagles said:
Well you're wrong.CD13 said:Mr Eagles,
You are missing my point.
I strongly suspect that Dave not only did no preparation, he expressly prevented the Civil Service from, as he thought, wasting their time preparing. That is what the Civil Service would do routinely unless stopped.
Preparation was begun but since Leave had no manifesto, nor any white paper (like the Scottish Government in the Indyref) it was hard for the civil service to wargame the precise Brexit route that would be delivered as the Vote Leave campaign contained so many contradictions and blatantly unrealistic hopes.0 -
Mr Eagles,
I suspect we'll not agree so we'll leave it at that.
Dave was a stereotype Toff.
Affable when getting his own way, but incandescent with rage when thwarted. As a horny-handed son of the soil from Yorkshire, I thought you might understand that.
0 -
Despite free movement, and being in the EUcurrystar said:With all the criticism again on here of the Government, I can't believe that people are now just taking for granted the extraordinary unemployment figures that this government has achieved. They are truly remarkable and they should be congratulated.
0 -
One that still has a structural deficit of approximately £1bn a week from working tax credits and housing benefitTheScreamingEagles said:
A testament to George Osborne's magnificent stewardship of the economy and golden economic legacy he bequeathed Mrs May's government.currystar said:With all the criticism again on here of the Government, I can't believe that people are now just taking for granted the extraordinary unemployment figures that this government has achieved. They are truly remarkable and they should be congratulated.
0 -
I think you refer to the golden years of Danny Alexander at the Treasury.TheScreamingEagles said:
A testament to George Osborne's magnificent stewardship of the economy and golden economic legacy he bequeathed Mrs May's government.currystar said:With all the criticism again on here of the Government, I can't believe that people are now just taking for granted the extraordinary unemployment figures that this government has achieved. They are truly remarkable and they should be congratulated.
0 -
The "wrong sort of snow" argument in its purest form.TheScreamingEagles said:
Well you're wrong.CD13 said:Mr Eagles,
You are missing my point.
I strongly suspect that Dave not only did no preparation, he expressly prevented the Civil Service from, as he thought, wasting their time preparing. That is what the Civil Service would do routinely unless stopped.
Preparation was begun but since Leave had no manifesto, nor any white paper (like the Scottish Government in the Indyref) it was hard for the civil service to wargame the precise Brexit route that would be delivered as the Vote Leave campaign contained so many contradictions and blatantly unrealistic hopes.
Mind you, in retrospect the best (and valid, sadly) Remain argument was this: you are shackled hand and foot in an otherwise comfortable dungeon where you get three good meals a day, and fast internet access. The dungeon is in the heart of Siberia, it is midwinter and packs of starving wolves surround the compound round the whole set up. Do you stay put, or do you gnaw through each one of your four limbs, roll out through the razorwire and get eaten by the wolves?0 -
You should really meet and speak to the people who worked for David Cameron, they'd laugh at your characterisation of him.CD13 said:Mr Eagles,
I suspect we'll not agree so we'll leave it at that.
Dave was a stereotype Toff.
Affable when getting his own way, but incandescent with rage when thwarted. As a horny-handed son of the soil from Yorkshire, I thought you might understand that.0 -
The employment figures are indeed remarkable and a very strong contrast to the mass unemployment that was tolerated in the 1980s as the economy was reformed. But there are a number of problems.currystar said:With all the criticism again on here of the Government, I can't believe that people are now just taking for granted the extraordinary unemployment figures that this government has achieved. They are truly remarkable and they should be congratulated.
Firstly, why is this strong growth in employment not being reflected in growth in GDP? The implication is that productivity is flat to falling backwards. This tends to suggest that much of the employment growth is at the bottom end of the skills and wages arc. This in turn is driving down average pay since the proportion of our workforce on low skills at or just above minimum wage is increasing.
Much of this employment is subsidised by in work benefits. There are good social reasons for this but this is also why significant falls in unemployment have not really helped with deficit reduction. The subsidy means demand is expanded beyond the value of the output. This is a major cause of our trade deficit.
Ultimately there has to be a concern that this is not sustainable. We need to produce enough value to pay our bills individually, in the public finances and as a country. And we aren't. We need to focus enough of our efforts on higher value jobs with higher pay. At the moment we are excessively focussing on the low skill, low paid.
0 -
That was the Osborne gambit. Very unattractive.Ishmael_Z said:
The "wrong sort of snow" argument in its purest form.TheScreamingEagles said:
Well you're wrong.CD13 said:Mr Eagles,
You are missing my point.
I strongly suspect that Dave not only did no preparation, he expressly prevented the Civil Service from, as he thought, wasting their time preparing. That is what the Civil Service would do routinely unless stopped.
Preparation was begun but since Leave had no manifesto, nor any white paper (like the Scottish Government in the Indyref) it was hard for the civil service to wargame the precise Brexit route that would be delivered as the Vote Leave campaign contained so many contradictions and blatantly unrealistic hopes.
Mind you, in retrospect the best (and valid, sadly) Remain argument was this: you are shackled hand and foot in an otherwise comfortable dungeon where you get three good meals a day, and fast internet access. The dungeon is in the heart of Siberia, it is midwinter and packs of starving wolves surround the compound round the whole set up. Do you stay put, or do you gnaw through each one of your four limbs, roll out through the razorwire and get eaten by the wolves?0 -
I just wish they would move publication day from Wednesday, it gives the PM a rather lame free hit once a month ("I am surprised he doesn't welcome his morning's employment figures rather than asking questions about..")currystar said:With all the criticism again on here of the Government, I can't believe that people are now just taking for granted the extraordinary unemployment figures that this government has achieved. They are truly remarkable and they should be congratulated.
0 -
Mr. Currystar/Mr. CD13, indeed.
Mr. Eagles, I'm confused by your position. You did say, pre-vote, that you believed we should leave, but 10 years down the line after another referendum. Why would that be easier?
Depending on what May says in about a week (21st, I think) that *may* [ahem] open the door to another vote. I think it unlikely, but a plausible possibility.
There's still a total failure to look at matters of integration and defending British cultural values (such as not raping people because they're white working class children or not looking the other way because the rapists are Pakistani Muslims) which is more critical, I would argue, to the migration debate than the actual numbers involved.
We're certainly in the middle of interesting times. And they won't be ending for a while yet.0 -
UK companies have become hooked on cheap labourDavidL said:
The employment figures are indeed remarkable and a very strong contrast to the mass unemployment that was tolerated in the 1980s as the economy was reformed. But there are a number of problems.currystar said:With all the criticism again on here of the Government, I can't believe that people are now just taking for granted the extraordinary unemployment figures that this government has achieved. They are truly remarkable and they should be congratulated.
Firstly, why is this strong growth in employment not being reflected in growth in GDP? The implication is that productivity is flat to falling backwards. This tends to suggest that much of the employment growth is at the bottom end of the skills and wages arc. This in turn is driving down average pay since the proportion of our workforce on low skills at or just above minimum wage is increasing.
Much of this employment is subsidised by in work benefits. There are good social reasons for this but this is also why significant falls in unemployment have not really helped with deficit reduction. The subsidy means demand is expanded beyond the value of the output. This is a major cause of our trade deficit.
Ultimately there has to be a concern that this is not sustainable. We need to produce enough value to pay our bills individually, in the public finances and as a country. And we aren't. We need to focus enough of our efforts on higher value jobs with higher pay. At the moment we are excessively focussing on the low skill, low paid.0 -
As usual you are far more succinct!Alanbrooke said:
UK companies have become hooked on cheap labourDavidL said:
The employment figures are indeed remarkable and a very strong contrast to the mass unemployment that was tolerated in the 1980s as the economy was reformed. But there are a number of problems.currystar said:With all the criticism again on here of the Government, I can't believe that people are now just taking for granted the extraordinary unemployment figures that this government has achieved. They are truly remarkable and they should be congratulated.
Firstly, why is this strong growth in employment not being reflected in growth in GDP? The implication is that productivity is flat to falling backwards. This tends to suggest that much of the employment growth is at the bottom end of the skills and wages arc. This in turn is driving down average pay since the proportion of our workforce on low skills at or just above minimum wage is increasing.
Much of this employment is subsidised by in work benefits. There are good social reasons for this but this is also why significant falls in unemployment have not really helped with deficit reduction. The subsidy means demand is expanded beyond the value of the output. This is a major cause of our trade deficit.
Ultimately there has to be a concern that this is not sustainable. We need to produce enough value to pay our bills individually, in the public finances and as a country. And we aren't. We need to focus enough of our efforts on higher value jobs with higher pay. At the moment we are excessively focussing on the low skill, low paid.0 -
Because Brexit is a process that cannot be squeezed into a two year time frame.Morris_Dancer said:Mr. Currystar/Mr. CD13, indeed.
Mr. Eagles, I'm confused by your position. You did say, pre-vote, that you believed we should leave, but 10 years down the line after another referendum. Why would that be easier?
Depending on what May says in about a week (21st, I think) that *may* [ahem] open the door to another vote. I think it unlikely, but a plausible possibility.
There's still a total failure to look at matters of integration and defending British cultural values (such as not raping people because they're white working class children or not looking the other way because the rapists are Pakistani Muslims) which is more critical, I would argue, to the migration debate than the actual numbers involved.
We're certainly in the middle of interesting times. And they won't be ending for a while yet.
Brexit should be a process and not an event.0 -
one can compare Cameron's free and easy style post PM with Osborne's bitter and twisted ravingsTheScreamingEagles said:
You should really meet and speak to the people who worked for David Cameron, they'd laugh at your characterisation of him.CD13 said:Mr Eagles,
I suspect we'll not agree so we'll leave it at that.
Dave was a stereotype Toff.
Affable when getting his own way, but incandescent with rage when thwarted. As a horny-handed son of the soil from Yorkshire, I thought you might understand that.
0 -
Mr. Eagles, I have quite a lot of sympathy with your time scale point. However, voting to Remain would mean remaining. The process would not even begin.0
-
I'm all in favour of redistribution - both on an individual level and on a regional level. One of the main aims of my cultural programme is promoting regional development.Monksfield said:
Indeed why should we have redistribution Charles? Maybe committees of volunteers could be exhorted to widen the road for free, parish by parish.Charles said:
We give a bunch of money to the EUstodge said:
I defer to your knowledge of Slovakia and the Czech Republic and this is certainly to be welcomed. Whether we have seen the same level of investment in Romania and Bulgaria seems to be more open to question at this time.Monksfield said:
So how do you explain the investment by big EC companies in manufacturing in Slovakia, Czech Republic etc? It could clearly be argued that there is a transitional phase during which these accession countries lose population, skills etc., but this is compensated over time by investment, and they gradually rise to the mean. I'm a very regular visitor to the two aforementioned countries and what I see is I see two countries on the up, going in a very different direction to the UK.
The woes of places like Cornwall and South Wales are largely down to domestic policy post war, not anything the EU did to us.
I do agree in time (and we are seeing this already to some degree with Poles and the Baltic States) that there is a flow back to the native lands as their economies improve and the standards of living rise in response.
My point would be if this mechanism is as well known as seems to be the case, some forward thinking and planning as to the managing of the expectations of newly-joining countries would seem to be in order.
As to Cornwall and South Wales, my point was our EU membership was beneficial in sending funding for key infrastructural projects our way - I believe the dualling of the A30 in Cornwall was funded through Objective One as an example. It's that kind of investment in improving the economies of the rural and peripheral areas with which the EU should be involved supporting national Governments.
They deduct some in administration costs and give us a small part back to widen a road in Cornwall.
Isn't there a more efficient way to do this?
Isn't that the Big Society? Or are those days unmentionable now?
But I'd rather London helps Cornwall directly than we send a bunch of money to Brussels who then send some of it back to Cornwall. (And I'd rather spend more in Cornwall or other parts of the UK than Bulgaria or Romania).0 -
And cheap money.Alanbrooke said:
UK companies have become hooked on cheap labourDavidL said:
The employment figures are indeed remarkable and a very strong contrast to the mass unemployment that was tolerated in the 1980s as the economy was reformed. But there are a number of problems.currystar said:With all the criticism again on here of the Government, I can't believe that people are now just taking for granted the extraordinary unemployment figures that this government has achieved. They are truly remarkable and they should be congratulated.
Firstly, why is this strong growth in employment not being reflected in growth in GDP? The implication is that productivity is flat to falling backwards. This tends to suggest that much of the employment growth is at the bottom end of the skills and wages arc. This in turn is driving down average pay since the proportion of our workforce on low skills at or just above minimum wage is increasing.
Much of this employment is subsidised by in work benefits. There are good social reasons for this but this is also why significant falls in unemployment have not really helped with deficit reduction. The subsidy means demand is expanded beyond the value of the output. This is a major cause of our trade deficit.
Ultimately there has to be a concern that this is not sustainable. We need to produce enough value to pay our bills individually, in the public finances and as a country. And we aren't. We need to focus enough of our efforts on higher value jobs with higher pay. At the moment we are excessively focussing on the low skill, low paid.0 -
Article dated 17 Jan 2016TheScreamingEagles said:
Well you're wrong.CD13 said:Mr Eagles,
You are missing my point.
I strongly suspect that Dave not only did no preparation, he expressly prevented the Civil Service from, as he thought, wasting their time preparing. That is what the Civil Service would do routinely unless stopped.
Preparation was begun but since Leave had no manifesto, nor any white paper (like the Scottish Government in the Indyref) it was hard for the civil service to wargame the precise Brexit route that would be delivered as the Vote Leave campaign contained so many contradictions and blatantly unrealistic hopes.
Mr Cameron and his Chancellor George Osborne, who are leading Britain's renegotiation with the European Union ahead of a referendum within the next two years, have insisted that civil servants are not working on planning what will happen if Britons vote to leave in the European Union referendum.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/newstopics/eureferendum/12104609/Civil-servants-are-mentally-working-on-Brexit-plans-to-avoid-FOI-says-Gus-ODonnell.html
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This has convinced me to run as the Governor/Prime Minister/Grand Poobah of Yorkshire
https://twitter.com/JamesReedYP/status/9078621733885911050