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  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,631

    stevef said:

    I still believe that Corbyn is a liability to Labour getting elected.

    I doubt very much he'll still be around by the next GE. I doubt he'd have made it to 2020 had it not been for the snap election (possibly a factor in calling it, get the stonking majority before he's gone).

    However even now that his stock has improved due to the better than expected election loss, I doubt he'll make it to 2022. Nor are the Tories likely to go for another snap election any time soon.
    Unless health issues intervene, or some other as yet unknown black swan, he's bound to lead Labour in 2022. Why would he resign having put up with all the shit he has to date from the PLP? And who would seriously be able to challenge him?

    No, he'll be leading Labour and the Tories better hope they have salvaged something credible from Brexit and have a more than half decent campaigner.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,631
    RobD said:

    So May is now only twice as unpopular as Corbyn? And less popular here than Trump is in the US? Strike up the band!

    A twenty point improvement is not to be sniffed at ;)
    Even a dead cat bounces! :lol:
  • stevef said:

    I still believe that Corbyn is a liability to Labour getting elected.

    I doubt very much he'll still be around by the next GE. I doubt he'd have made it to 2020 had it not been for the snap election (possibly a factor in calling it, get the stonking majority before he's gone).

    However even now that his stock has improved due to the better than expected election loss, I doubt he'll make it to 2022. Nor are the Tories likely to go for another snap election any time soon.
    Unless health issues intervene, or some other as yet unknown black swan, he's bound to lead Labour in 2022. Why would he resign having put up with all the shit he has to date from the PLP? And who would seriously be able to challenge him?

    No, he'll be leading Labour and the Tories better hope they have salvaged something credible from Brexit and have a more than half decent campaigner.
    Five years is a very long time for events or challenges to intervene.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,631
    nichomar said:

    I have to say i'm increasingly sick of "old people" and I'm 63 with thier sense of entitlement, rigid views and yearning for a past that is long gone. They claim they act in the interests of thier children and grand children but they don't really because they know best. Thier will be much grieving for the passing of Brucie but FGS it was bland shit thoughtless TV. Where are our young super heroes coming from? (rant over will go back in my cave)

    It's a nice rant, Victor Meldrew would be proud! :smile:
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    RobD said:

    So May is now only twice as unpopular as Corbyn? And less popular here than Trump is in the US? Strike up the band!

    A twenty point improvement is not to be sniffed at ;)
    Yeah I bet Cameron's rating never improved by that wide a margin, so even TSE must surely now concede she is the better PM.

    But it is correct that she is more unpopular with the UK - almost twice as unpopular - as Trump is with the US. Remarkable.
  • nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483

    nichomar said:

    I have to say i'm increasingly sick of "old people" and I'm 63 with thier sense of entitlement, rigid views and yearning for a past that is long gone. They claim they act in the interests of thier children and grand children but they don't really because they know best. Thier will be much grieving for the passing of Brucie but FGS it was bland shit thoughtless TV. Where are our young super heroes coming from? (rant over will go back in my cave)

    It's a nice rant, Victor Meldrew would be proud! :smile:
    But i feel better!
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    nichomar said:

    I have to say i'm increasingly sick of "old people" and I'm 63 with thier sense of entitlement, rigid views and yearning for a past that is long gone. They claim they act in the interests of thier children and grand children but they don't really because they know best. Thier will be much grieving for the passing of Brucie but FGS it was bland shit thoughtless TV. Where are our young super heroes coming from? (rant over will go back in my cave)

    Do you encounter these oldies, or hear about them second-hand, or hypothesize their existence? The over 80s I know are all busy on their ipads when they aren't watching Game of Thrones on their hdtvs.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,631
    edited August 2017
    Ishmael_Z said:

    RobD said:

    So May is now only twice as unpopular as Corbyn? And less popular here than Trump is in the US? Strike up the band!

    A twenty point improvement is not to be sniffed at ;)
    Yeah I bet Cameron's rating never improved by that wide a margin, so even TSE must surely now concede she is the better PM.

    But it is correct that she is more unpopular with the UK - almost twice as unpopular - as Trump is with the US. Remarkable.
    According to FiveThirtyEight.com, in the US 55.4% disapprove Trump and 37.8% approve... so I make that a net -17.6%, so no, she's no longer twice as unpopular as Trump!

    (Edit: got my approve disapprove round the wrong way :blush:, now corrected, but the net result was right!)
  • Ishmael_Z said:

    RobD said:

    So May is now only twice as unpopular as Corbyn? And less popular here than Trump is in the US? Strike up the band!

    A twenty point improvement is not to be sniffed at ;)
    Yeah I bet Cameron's rating never improved by that wide a margin, so even TSE must surely now concede she is the better PM.

    But it is correct that she is more unpopular with the UK - almost twice as unpopular - as Trump is with the US. Remarkable.
    Not that remarkable. Partisans tend to stick with their own and the US is more two-party partisan than we are.

    The UK is split into red and blue and yellow and orange and purple and green ...

    What proportion of the UK identifies as Tory versus Americans identify as Republican?
  • Ishmael_Z said:

    RobD said:

    So May is now only twice as unpopular as Corbyn? And less popular here than Trump is in the US? Strike up the band!

    A twenty point improvement is not to be sniffed at ;)
    Yeah I bet Cameron's rating never improved by that wide a margin, so even TSE must surely now concede she is the better PM.

    But it is correct that she is more unpopular with the UK - almost twice as unpopular - as Trump is with the US. Remarkable.
    Wrong.

    IIRC Dave saw a 40% improvement in a month back in the Autumn of 2007.

    And I think he saw a 20% swing in a month the Autumn of 2011, which was a correction following the hit he took after the phone hacking revelations involving Millie Dowler.
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981

    Ishmael_Z said:

    RobD said:

    So May is now only twice as unpopular as Corbyn? And less popular here than Trump is in the US? Strike up the band!

    A twenty point improvement is not to be sniffed at ;)
    Yeah I bet Cameron's rating never improved by that wide a margin, so even TSE must surely now concede she is the better PM.

    But it is correct that she is more unpopular with the UK - almost twice as unpopular - as Trump is with the US. Remarkable.
    According to FiveThirtyEight.com, in the US 55.4% disapprove Trump and 37.8% approve... so I make that a net -17.6%, so no, she's no longer twice as unpopular as Trump!

    (Edit: got my approve disapprove round the wrong way :blush:, now corrected, but the net result was right!)
    Yes sorry: was, not is.
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 14,816

    Ishmael_Z said:

    RobD said:

    So May is now only twice as unpopular as Corbyn? And less popular here than Trump is in the US? Strike up the band!

    A twenty point improvement is not to be sniffed at ;)
    Yeah I bet Cameron's rating never improved by that wide a margin, so even TSE must surely now concede she is the better PM.

    But it is correct that she is more unpopular with the UK - almost twice as unpopular - as Trump is with the US. Remarkable.
    Not that remarkable. Partisans tend to stick with their own and the US is more two-party partisan than we are.

    The UK is split into red and blue and yellow and orange and purple and green ...

    What proportion of the UK identifies as Tory versus Americans identify as Republican?
    Being a Republican in the US has nowhere near the (well deserved) social stigma that being a Tory has in the UK not it's not really comparable.
  • nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483
    Ishmael_Z said:

    nichomar said:

    I have to say i'm increasingly sick of "old people" and I'm 63 with thier sense of entitlement, rigid views and yearning for a past that is long gone. They claim they act in the interests of thier children and grand children but they don't really because they know best. Thier will be much grieving for the passing of Brucie but FGS it was bland shit thoughtless TV. Where are our young super heroes coming from? (rant over will go back in my cave)

    Do you encounter these oldies, or hear about them second-hand, or hypothesize their existence? The over 80s I know are all busy on their ipads when they aren't watching Game of Thrones on their hdtvs.
    I meet them every evening, but it was only a rant. The ones I know use their ipads to read the Daily Mail every day. It is only a small sub sample of well off pensioners but just occasionaly they get on my tits.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,631

    Ishmael_Z said:

    RobD said:

    So May is now only twice as unpopular as Corbyn? And less popular here than Trump is in the US? Strike up the band!

    A twenty point improvement is not to be sniffed at ;)
    Yeah I bet Cameron's rating never improved by that wide a margin, so even TSE must surely now concede she is the better PM.

    But it is correct that she is more unpopular with the UK - almost twice as unpopular - as Trump is with the US. Remarkable.
    Wrong.

    IIRC Dave saw a 40% improvement in a month back in the Autumn of 2007.

    And I think he saw a 20% swing in a month the Autumn of 2011, which was a correction following the hit he took after the phone hacking revelations involving Millie Dowler.
    It's all fluff and noise anyway at this stage and I think Mike is over-egging it somewhat to claim the GE2017 gloss has started to come off Corbyn...

    He avoided what virtually every one of us (and all the pundits) expected to be a Labour decimation and that keep him going until the next GE (which he will then enter in a markedly better position than GE2017!)
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,631
    Ishmael_Z said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    RobD said:

    So May is now only twice as unpopular as Corbyn? And less popular here than Trump is in the US? Strike up the band!

    A twenty point improvement is not to be sniffed at ;)
    Yeah I bet Cameron's rating never improved by that wide a margin, so even TSE must surely now concede she is the better PM.

    But it is correct that she is more unpopular with the UK - almost twice as unpopular - as Trump is with the US. Remarkable.
    According to FiveThirtyEight.com, in the US 55.4% disapprove Trump and 37.8% approve... so I make that a net -17.6%, so no, she's no longer twice as unpopular as Trump!

    (Edit: got my approve disapprove round the wrong way :blush:, now corrected, but the net result was right!)
    Yes sorry: was, not is.
    Was and is... as right as any polls can be!
  • nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483
    nichomar said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    nichomar said:

    I have to say i'm increasingly sick of "old people" and I'm 63 with thier sense of entitlement, rigid views and yearning for a past that is long gone. They claim they act in the interests of thier children and grand children but they don't really because they know best. Thier will be much grieving for the passing of Brucie but FGS it was bland shit thoughtless TV. Where are our young super heroes coming from? (rant over will go back in my cave)

    Do you encounter these oldies, or hear about them second-hand, or hypothesize their existence? The over 80s I know are all busy on their ipads when they aren't watching Game of Thrones on their hdtvs.
    I meet them every evening, but it was only a rant. The ones I know use their ipads to read the Daily Mail every day. It is only a small sub sample of well off pensioners but just occasionaly they get on my tits.
    Hopefully none of them know about pb.com otherwise I'm in the shit!
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 123,772
    edited August 2017
    Just checking, with Ipsos MORI

    September 2007, Gordon Brown had a 40% lead over David Cameron in the satisfaction ratings.

    October 2007, Brown had a 1% lead over Cameron in the satisfaction ratings. So a 39% shift in a month.

    By November 2007 Cameron had a 29% lead over Brown, so that was a 30% swing in a month and a 69% shift in two months.

    https://www.ipsos.com/ipsos-mori/en-uk/political-monitor-satisfaction-ratings-1997-present

    In the space of a few weeks this year Mrs May turned a 69% lead over Corbyn into a 3% deficit, so that's a 72% movement.

    As I said, Mrs May's a pound shop Gordon Brown.

    http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2017/06/04/the-polling-that-should-worry-mrs-may-and-all-tories/
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,631

    Just checking, with Ipsos MORI

    September 2007, Gordon Brown had a 40% lead over David Cameron in the satisfaction ratings.

    October 2007, Brown had a 1% lead over Cameron in the satisfaction ratings. So a 39% shift in a month.

    By November 2007 Cameron had a 29% lead over Brown, so that was a 30% swing in a month and a 69% swing in two months.

    https://www.ipsos.com/ipsos-mori/en-uk/political-monitor-satisfaction-ratings-1997-present

    In the space of a few weeks this year Mrs May turned a 69% lead over Corbyn into a 3% deficit, so that's a 72% movement.

    As I said, Mrs May's a pound shop Gordon Brown.

    http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2017/06/04/the-polling-that-should-worry-mrs-may-and-all-tories/

    Absolutely right, as I said, it's all just noise - not sure why Mike felt it warranted a thread header tbh?

    (Although tbf, most of the posts are arguing about it rather than brexit, statues, terrorists or whether effin' SeanT will ever reappear, so maybe it's a great thread header!
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,631
    nichomar said:

    nichomar said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    nichomar said:

    I have to say i'm increasingly sick of "old people" and I'm 63 with thier sense of entitlement, rigid views and yearning for a past that is long gone. They claim they act in the interests of thier children and grand children but they don't really because they know best. Thier will be much grieving for the passing of Brucie but FGS it was bland shit thoughtless TV. Where are our young super heroes coming from? (rant over will go back in my cave)

    Do you encounter these oldies, or hear about them second-hand, or hypothesize their existence? The over 80s I know are all busy on their ipads when they aren't watching Game of Thrones on their hdtvs.
    I meet them every evening, but it was only a rant. The ones I know use their ipads to read the Daily Mail every day. It is only a small sub sample of well off pensioners but just occasionaly they get on my tits.
    Hopefully none of them know about pb.com otherwise I'm in the shit!
    You're safe - how will they know which one of them is you?!
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 81,153
    Dura_Ace said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    RobD said:

    So May is now only twice as unpopular as Corbyn? And less popular here than Trump is in the US? Strike up the band!

    A twenty point improvement is not to be sniffed at ;)
    Yeah I bet Cameron's rating never improved by that wide a margin, so even TSE must surely now concede she is the better PM.

    But it is correct that she is more unpopular with the UK - almost twice as unpopular - as Trump is with the US. Remarkable.
    Not that remarkable. Partisans tend to stick with their own and the US is more two-party partisan than we are.

    The UK is split into red and blue and yellow and orange and purple and green ...

    What proportion of the UK identifies as Tory versus Americans identify as Republican?
    Being a Republican in the US has nowhere near the (well deserved) social stigma that being a Tory has in the UK not it's not really comparable.
    Even if that were true, which I doubt, Donny no-mates is working in it.
  • nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483

    nichomar said:

    nichomar said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    nichomar said:

    I have to say i'm increasingly sick of "old people" and I'm 63 with thier sense of entitlement, rigid views and yearning for a past that is long gone. They claim they act in the interests of thier children and grand children but they don't really because they know best. Thier will be much grieving for the passing of Brucie but FGS it was bland shit thoughtless TV. Where are our young super heroes coming from? (rant over will go back in my cave)

    Do you encounter these oldies, or hear about them second-hand, or hypothesize their existence? The over 80s I know are all busy on their ipads when they aren't watching Game of Thrones on their hdtvs.
    I meet them every evening, but it was only a rant. The ones I know use their ipads to read the Daily Mail every day. It is only a small sub sample of well off pensioners but just occasionaly they get on my tits.
    Hopefully none of them know about pb.com otherwise I'm in the shit!
    You're safe - how will they know which one of them is you?!
    I'm afraid it's obvious but have now got the venom out of my system so can relax.
  • ‪I'm assuming Steve Bannon is now going to spend more time sucking his own phallus?‬
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,910
    edited August 2017

    ‪I'm assuming Steve Bannon is now going to spend more time sucking his own phallus?‬

    Obligatory Bill Hicks Sketch (very NSFW)

    "Ladies, if we could s*** our own d***, you'd all be here on you own. Watching an empty stage."
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,631

    ‪I'm assuming Steve Bannon is now going to spend more time sucking his own phallus?‬

    Regarding Bannon's dismissal, who is effectively POTUS now - Trump or John Kelly?
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    This is a top quality statue based thread

    https://twitter.com/libshipwreck/status/898214705403236355
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 39,543
    Dura_Ace said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    RobD said:

    So May is now only twice as unpopular as Corbyn? And less popular here than Trump is in the US? Strike up the band!

    A twenty point improvement is not to be sniffed at ;)
    Yeah I bet Cameron's rating never improved by that wide a margin, so even TSE must surely now concede she is the better PM.

    But it is correct that she is more unpopular with the UK - almost twice as unpopular - as Trump is with the US. Remarkable.
    Not that remarkable. Partisans tend to stick with their own and the US is more two-party partisan than we are.

    The UK is split into red and blue and yellow and orange and purple and green ...

    What proportion of the UK identifies as Tory versus Americans identify as Republican?
    Being a Republican in the US has nowhere near the (well deserved) social stigma that being a Tory has in the UK not it's not really comparable.
    44% of the UK population are Tories, similar to the proportion of the US who are Republicans.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,631
    Sean_F said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    RobD said:

    So May is now only twice as unpopular as Corbyn? And less popular here than Trump is in the US? Strike up the band!

    A twenty point improvement is not to be sniffed at ;)
    Yeah I bet Cameron's rating never improved by that wide a margin, so even TSE must surely now concede she is the better PM.

    But it is correct that she is more unpopular with the UK - almost twice as unpopular - as Trump is with the US. Remarkable.
    Not that remarkable. Partisans tend to stick with their own and the US is more two-party partisan than we are.

    The UK is split into red and blue and yellow and orange and purple and green ...

    What proportion of the UK identifies as Tory versus Americans identify as Republican?
    Being a Republican in the US has nowhere near the (well deserved) social stigma that being a Tory has in the UK not it's not really comparable.
    44% of the UK population are Tories, similar to the proportion of the US who are Republicans.
    Er... how did you work that out?
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,707
    edited August 2017

    Sean_F said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    RobD said:

    So May is now only twice as unpopular as Corbyn? And less popular here than Trump is in the US? Strike up the band!

    A twenty point improvement is not to be sniffed at ;)
    Yeah I bet Cameron's rating never improved by that wide a margin, so even TSE must surely now concede she is the better PM.

    But it is correct that she is more unpopular with the UK - almost twice as unpopular - as Trump is with the US. Remarkable.
    Not that remarkable. Partisans tend to stick with their own and the US is more two-party partisan than we are.

    The UK is split into red and blue and yellow and orange and purple and green ...

    What proportion of the UK identifies as Tory versus Americans identify as Republican?
    Being a Republican in the US has nowhere near the (well deserved) social stigma that being a Tory has in the UK not it's not really comparable.
    44% of the UK population are Tories, similar to the proportion of the US who are Republicans.
    Er... how did you work that out?
    Perhaps they are counting Blairites as Tories. :p
  • logical_songlogical_song Posts: 10,086
    So, they're going to replace his brain? Sounds like a good idea.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,631
    RobD said:

    Sean_F said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    RobD said:

    So May is now only twice as unpopular as Corbyn? And less popular here than Trump is in the US? Strike up the band!

    A twenty point improvement is not to be sniffed at ;)
    Yeah I bet Cameron's rating never improved by that wide a margin, so even TSE must surely now concede she is the better PM.

    But it is correct that she is more unpopular with the UK - almost twice as unpopular - as Trump is with the US. Remarkable.
    Not that remarkable. Partisans tend to stick with their own and the US is more two-party partisan than we are.

    The UK is split into red and blue and yellow and orange and purple and green ...

    What proportion of the UK identifies as Tory versus Americans identify as Republican?
    Being a Republican in the US has nowhere near the (well deserved) social stigma that being a Tory has in the UK not it's not really comparable.
    44% of the UK population are Tories, similar to the proportion of the US who are Republicans.
    Er... how did you work that out?
    Perhaps they are counting Blairites as Tories. :p
    Mmmm... so SeanF is a Cobynista after all!
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,631

    So, they're going to replace his brain? Sounds like a good idea.
    They're struggling to find one white enough.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,631
    Sean_F said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    RobD said:

    So May is now only twice as unpopular as Corbyn? And less popular here than Trump is in the US? Strike up the band!

    A twenty point improvement is not to be sniffed at ;)
    Yeah I bet Cameron's rating never improved by that wide a margin, so even TSE must surely now concede she is the better PM.

    But it is correct that she is more unpopular with the UK - almost twice as unpopular - as Trump is with the US. Remarkable.
    Not that remarkable. Partisans tend to stick with their own and the US is more two-party partisan than we are.

    The UK is split into red and blue and yellow and orange and purple and green ...

    What proportion of the UK identifies as Tory versus Americans identify as Republican?
    Being a Republican in the US has nowhere near the (well deserved) social stigma that being a Tory has in the UK not it's not really comparable.
    44% of the UK population are Tories, similar to the proportion of the US who are Republicans.
    Let me see now: circa 150k Tory party members, UK population 65.6 million; 150k/65.5m = oh... 0.23% Mmmm
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,631
    Scott_P said:
    Well to be fair you can see they are all waving goodbye :smile:
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,631
    Scott_P said:
    It would be funny if the context weren't so depressing.
  • MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584
    Scott_P said:

    It may be bong-kers. But it's British.

  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 56,314
    Scott_P said:
    I think Michel Barnier should play the Countdown music at the end of every meeting with David Davis.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 87,543
    edited August 2017
    F##king hell it is a good job these Islamic terrorists are f##king idiots...if they had rigged that lot properly, we wouldn't be talking about 13 killed.

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4801834/Barcelona-terrorists-wanted-kill-big-trucks.html
  • logical_songlogical_song Posts: 10,086
    Scott_P said:
    They cannot be serious!
    That's the problem.
  • logical_songlogical_song Posts: 10,086
    Scott_P said:
    I suppose he can't fire Pence
    - until he's dictator anyway.
  • Scott_P said:

    twitter.com/omnivoreblog/status/898596642437431296

    I have to say this season of American Apprentice really is a cracker....
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    You should be throwing pounds at a guy called Pence.

    1. Trump cannot sack him.

    2. The right wing of the Republicans will back him [ not the alt-right ].

    Pence and his friends have to strike before 2020,because:

    1. Trump could lose the election in 2020, and / or

    2. Trump may not pick Pence as his running mate.

    It is in Pence's interest that Congress moves against Trump in this term.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 39,543

    Sean_F said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    RobD said:

    So May is now only twice as unpopular as Corbyn? And less popular here than Trump is in the US? Strike up the band!

    A twenty point improvement is not to be sniffed at ;)
    Yeah I bet Cameron's rating never improved by that wide a margin, so even TSE must surely now concede she is the better PM.

    But it is correct that she is more unpopular with the UK - almost twice as unpopular - as Trump is with the US. Remarkable.
    Not that remarkable. Partisans tend to stick with their own and the US is more two-party partisan than we are.

    The UK is split into red and blue and yellow and orange and purple and green ...

    What proportion of the UK identifies as Tory versus Americans identify as Republican?
    Being a Republican in the US has nowhere near the (well deserved) social stigma that being a Tory has in the UK not it's not really comparable.
    44% of the UK population are Tories, similar to the proportion of the US who are Republicans.
    Er... how did you work that out?
    The vote share in the election.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @maggieNYT: Third time this has happened this week https://twitter.com/sopandeb/status/898640246065295360
  • Scott_P said:

    @maggieNYT: Third time this has happened this week twitter.com/sopandeb/status/898640246065295360

    Well he did say he was going to drain the swamp ;-)
  • Scott_P said:

    @maggieNYT: Third time this has happened this week twitter.com/sopandeb/status/898640246065295360

    Well he did say he was going to drain the swamp ;-)
  • The key suspect in Thursday's Barcelona attack, Moussa Oukabir, has been named as one of five men killed by police in the other attack site, Cambrils.
  • Y0kelY0kel Posts: 2,307
    Trumpton

    Members of Congressional GOP are in the process of counting the heads with a view to ousting Trump. My understanding is that numbers not quite critical mass but, be clear, its being talked about.

    It might be wise if they can get the numbers, the investigations into him will not only finish him but will do his party considerable blast damage.

    Pence might sound an idea but he is the firing line on investigations too and is a person of interest with the Feds if not the NY state investigations.

    I think I posted a while back about Trump and his love of the generals that now have key posts in his administration. Its his reflected glory idea. The military men represent something he admires and wishes he could be, but isn't and in a way he is slightly in awe of them.

    He gives then a long leash which could well be to his detriment as they are really the guys making the purges of the idealogues. They may well play a role in his removal if the investigations don't get to him first.

    Bear in mind, impeachment is just one route. There are others available.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 39,543
    Charities have immense goodwill, but they can destroy it.
  • Scott_P said:
    Not a priority for right now besides Big Ben being in the news and it is Silly Season. However I'd expect Big Ben to bong us out. Big Ben's bongs are used for all major events with a time on it like New Year's Eve or the election ending and exit poll coming out. It would be only appropriate to consider our moment of leaving the EU to be a major event.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @RupertMyers: It's a bell. It doesn't even produce light. Describing it as a lamp is weird. "Democracy lamp" is off the charts nu… https://twitter.com/i/web/status/898650497694941184
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 39,543

    (ctd)

    Thirdly, if he really does want the USA to remain Numero Uno Del Mondo economically and otherwise, why not go for the obvious route of increasing the US population? The US has both the space, and the migration demand, to continue growing when other developed (and even many developing) countries have stalling or even rapidly falling populations. US population growth presently is about 0.7% annually and slowing (if maintained, takes about 100 years for population to double, but the slowing means this wouldn't happen) but if you could double the rate up to 1.4% and keep it there, doubling time would be under 50 years.

    If the world population stabilises in the middle of this century in a state that

    If his central premise was "less low-skilled migration, uncontrolled migration, and migration from volatile parts of the world, but we are selectively turning the taps to full-blast for professional, educated, wealth-creating individuals - particularly from Europe and Asia who we believe will more easily be assimilated [and parenthetically, less likely to vote Democrat]" then I might recoil at the implicit racism or demographic gerrymandering, but those are nothing new to US politics, and I'd certainly see the logic and how it slotted into his grand plan for American supremacy over China. Instead it seems closer to "no Mexicans, no Muslims, no-one much else if we can help it". It's "Americans first", where "Americans" are the ones there already, not potential future Americans. That's no different to a lot of countries, and it suggests a mindset in which modern America is "mature" and no longer needs that historical growth... but the acceptance of that in parts of Europe and Japan has generally been coupled with the acceptance of relative demographic and economic decline and a withering away of relative power. Yet Bannon doesn't want to play the game of managed decline. He wants the USA to be the biggest guy at the Big Table, forever. He's not an idiot. How does he reconcile this apparent contradiction?

    Not interested in Bannon-bashing answers (though if it pleases ye, then go right ahead), genuinely trying to understand the man and his philosophy. Reminds me a lot of Steve Hilton - possibly a complete crank, but one with brains, and a distinctive world-view that has come to actually bear influence the world around us, hence worth attempting to comprehend a little on that score alone.

    His difficulty is that Europe no longer has a naturally increasing population that can emigrate to the USA. Probably, he thinks White Europeans should circle the wagons, and migrate to an economically successful place where they can remain the majority.
  • RoyalBlueRoyalBlue Posts: 3,223
    edited August 2017
    @MyBurningEars Excellent posts! It reminds me very much of the Brexit dilemma; what is the right balance between going for economic growth at all costs to maintain relative position vs other states and prioritising social, cultural and demographic stability and cohesion for the current population?
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,631
    It's laughable how you Tories love bashing great British institutions like the NT, BBC, NHS etc. Why can't you be a bit more patriotic!
  • 11 minutes of the news for Sir Bruce
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,983

    Scott_P said:
    Not a priority for right now besides Big Ben being in the news and it is Silly Season. However I'd expect Big Ben to bong us out. Big Ben's bongs are used for all major events with a time on it like New Year's Eve or the election ending and exit poll coming out. It would be only appropriate to consider our moment of leaving the EU to be a major event.
    Are we leaving?
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 56,314
    Carl Icahn steps down from advisory role - https://www.cnbc.com/2017/08/18/carl-icahn-drops-out-of-presidential-advisory-role.html

    Given the number of times Trump invoked Icahn's name during the campaign this will be more damaging than most of the other departures.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 30,657

    11 minutes of the news for Sir Bruce

    Indeed. Was just about to remark on that. No doubt Brucie was a big star, but, he was 89. Can not see this a bigger story than Barcelona or Bannon.
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,180

    Sean_F said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    RobD said:

    So May is now only twice as unpopular as Corbyn? And less popular here than Trump is in the US? Strike up the band!

    A twenty point improvement is not to be sniffed at ;)
    Yeah I bet Cameron's rating never improved by that wide a margin, so even TSE must surely now concede she is the better PM.

    But it is correct that she is more unpopular with the UK - almost twice as unpopular - as Trump is with the US. Remarkable.
    Not that remarkable. Partisans tend to stick with their own and the US is more two-party partisan than we are.

    The UK is split into red and blue and yellow and orange and purple and green ...

    What proportion of the UK identifies as Tory versus Americans identify as Republican?
    Being a Republican in the US has nowhere near the (well deserved) social stigma that being a Tory has in the UK not it's not really comparable.
    44% of the UK population are Tories, similar to the proportion of the US who are Republicans.
    Let me see now: circa 150k Tory party members, UK population 65.6 million; 150k/65.5m = oh... 0.23% Mmmm
    Yup - thickest comment of the night.
  • RoyalBlueRoyalBlue Posts: 3,223
    To add to what I said up-thread, I think it's very difficult for democracies to be run purely for GDP growth to maintain relative hierarchical position, because of the societal disruption involved and the way rapid growth undermines attempts at redistribution. Look at Brexit, and further back how the US slammed on the brakes for immigration in the early 1920s.

    The interesting question is when the Chinese population reaches breaking point in terms of widening inequality and demands less guns and more butter. Regardless of the timing, it seems crazy to me for the USA to attempt to maintain hegemony, particularly in Asia. The USA can only do so through war and/or total transformation of its own society through massive immigration, which Americans will never vote for!

  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    Scott_P said:
    Sounds as though a bong was involved in the production of that idea.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    Sounds as though a bong was involved in the production of that idea.

    Like
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 87,543
    edited August 2017

    It's laughable how you Tories love bashing great British institutions like the NT, BBC, NHS etc. Why can't you be a bit more patriotic!
    Erhhh you realize I am not a Tory...until 2017 I had never voted for them at a GE. It was only the prospect of Jahadi Jez that meant I had to tactically vote for Kim Jong May.

    The story makes the NT appear to be total twats. Sacking some bloke who has done the same job at that property for donkeys years because he hasn't got his NVQ in lawn mowing.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,631
    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    RobD said:

    So May is now only twice as unpopular as Corbyn? And less popular here than Trump is in the US? Strike up the band!

    A twenty point improvement is not to be sniffed at ;)
    Yeah I bet Cameron's rating never improved by that wide a margin, so even TSE must surely now concede she is the better PM.

    But it is correct that she is more unpopular with the UK - almost twice as unpopular - as Trump is with the US. Remarkable.
    Not that remarkable. Partisans tend to stick with their own and the US is more two-party partisan than we are.

    The UK is split into red and blue and yellow and orange and purple and green ...

    What proportion of the UK identifies as Tory versus Americans identify as Republican?
    Being a Republican in the US has nowhere near the (well deserved) social stigma that being a Tory has in the UK not it's not really comparable.
    44% of the UK population are Tories, similar to the proportion of the US who are Republicans.
    Er... how did you work that out?
    The vote share in the election.
    Right, so 42.3% on a 69% turnout.

    The thing is, none of us really know whether the non-voters are Tories, Labour or what. I'm inclined to think that most non-voters are 'none of the above' (aka 'can't be arsed'). Which makes me think that, based on the last election, NOTA has most support (31%), the Tories only have 29% support and Labour just 28% (round numbers). Something both Labour and Tories should bear in mind when fulfilling their 'mandate'.

    Suspect it's similar in the US in many ways although there the two main parties mop up much more than 80% of the votes.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 56,314

    Scott_P said:
    Sounds as though a bong was involved in the production of that idea.
    "If you can remember anything about Brexit, you weren't really there."
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    edited August 2017

    Mortimer said:

    Not surprised. Both Corbyn and May are pretty terrible.

    Both Arnold Schwarzenegger and Romney's statements are fantastic. Loved Schwarzenegger's statement in particular, I thought it was very eloquent. I also see that James Murdoch isn't too happy with Trump's reaction to Charlottesville either. It'll be very interesting to see where this goes from here. I agreed with some Conservative commentators on Twitter that the Democrats need to focus more on Trump's Charlottesville statements than the Confederate statues issue (as much as I agree with many Democrats on that).

    Re Rees-Mogg @Big_G_NorthWales I haven't read anything that indicates he's winning over significant numbers of Tory MPs, or indeed that those who weren't already right leaning/anti-Corbyn support him. For the most part it seems he generating ethnuaism mostly among those who already voted Conservative. Surely they need to err, convince some of those who didn't vote for them in June that they should switch their vote? Perhaps the next Tory leader is someone not even on the radar right now.

    Understand the logic, but actually disagree that we need more Tory voters.

    We need more of the left to vote Lib Dem :-)
    Given the brief bits of information I've read on Labour's Brexit position in recent weeks, I'd say that it's unlikely the LDs are going to take many votes from Labour. It looks like they are veering towards less of a hard Brexit position, which means that even discontented Remainers are likely to remain with them. Besides, although many who voted Labour are Remainers, they voted for Corbyn for reasons that were more than just disliking TMay's position on Brexit. The LDs right now, are still positioning themselves as the anti-Brexit party. While I agree with much of what Cable says, the LDs are going to need to be more than that if they want to take votes from Labour. Which right now, I see little signs of them doing, or at least doing it successfully.
    I think that true. I prefer a Corbyn Brexit to the Tory Brexit. It is less xenophobic, and more interested in ppreserving and enhancing workers rights and protections.
  • RoyalBlueRoyalBlue Posts: 3,223
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    felix said:

    Sean_F said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    RobD said:

    So May is now only twice as unpopular as Corbyn? And less popular here than Trump is in the US? Strike up the band!

    A twenty point improvement is not to be sniffed at ;)
    Yeah I bet Cameron's rating never improved by that wide a margin, so even TSE must surely now concede she is the better PM.

    But it is correct that she is more unpopular with the UK - almost twice as unpopular - as Trump is with the US. Remarkable.
    Not that remarkable. Partisans tend to stick with their own and the US is more two-party partisan than we are.

    The UK is split into red and blue and yellow and orange and purple and green ...

    What proportion of the UK identifies as Tory versus Americans identify as Republican?
    Being a Republican in the US has nowhere near the (well deserved) social stigma that being a Tory has in the UK not it's not really comparable.
    44% of the UK population are Tories, similar to the proportion of the US who are Republicans.
    Let me see now: circa 150k Tory party members, UK population 65.6 million; 150k/65.5m = oh... 0.23% Mmmm
    Yup - thickest comment of the night.
    Bollocks, the thickness is in conflating "Tory" with "member of conservative party", an error so gross that if someone made it in one of those bonkers citizenship tests that would be an automatic fail.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 64,196
    GIN1138 said:
    I was looking forward to that.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,949
    edited August 2017
    RoyalBlue said:
    Someone's stirring up trouble...
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 56,314
    RoyalBlue said:
    That's what he thought when he wrote the anti-Brexit version of his infamous Telegraph article. Turns out it wasn't rubbish at all.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,631

    It's laughable how you Tories love bashing great British institutions like the NT, BBC, NHS etc. Why can't you be a bit more patriotic!
    Erhhh you realize I am not a Tory...until 2017 I had never voted for them at a GE. It was only the prospect of Jahadi Jez that meant I had to tactically vote for Kim Jong May.

    The story makes the NT appear to be total twats. Sacking some bloke who has done the same job at that property for donkeys years because he hasn't got his NVQ in lawn mowing.
    I apologise for misrepresenting you Mr U, although you've fooled me with a few of your posts (and if you voted Tory last time you are counted in Sean_F's 44%, just saying).

    As a relative newbie it'd be really helpful if everyone could just indicate on a scale 1 to 10 (leftwing to rightwing) where they fit on the political scale (Id be about 3.5 I reckon)

    But back to the topic: the Torygraph, Mail, Sun etc. and many r/w Tories love nothing better than to bash institutiomn that we should be really proud of. Of course they cock things up from time to time - every big organisation does (especially private companies btw and no doubt the r/w press cock things up occasionally too!). But overall generally don't get the credit they deserve and I wonder how much is because they don't fit the tory free enterprise ideal. The BBC and NT in particular are envied in many arts of the world.

    Once again - apologies for call ing you a Tory - a terrible slur, can't think of a worse one :smile:


  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    RoyalBlue said:

    To add to what I said up-thread, I think it's very difficult for democracies to be run purely for GDP growth to maintain relative hierarchical position, because of the societal disruption involved and the way rapid growth undermines attempts at redistribution. Look at Brexit, and further back how the US slammed on the brakes for immigration in the early 1920s.

    To get back to the important issue of century old statues: The slamming closed of the immigration door to the USA in the Twenties, the revival of the KKK and the rise of economic and diplomatic isolationism were all related in time, and the raising of Confederate statues fits in the cultural meme.

    Immigration was perceived as changing the WASP character of America, particularly racially via Catholic and Jewish immigration from Eastern and Southern Europe as well as foreign influences such as Communism and Anarchism. These were the roots of nostalgia for the Old South as much as the films "Birth of a Nation" and "Gone With the Wind" or Minstrel songs. The Confederate statues are part of quite a marked cultural shift.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,631
    Ishmael_Z said:

    felix said:

    Sean_F said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    RobD said:

    So May is now only twice as unpopular as Corbyn? And less popular here than Trump is in the US? Strike up the band!

    A twenty point improvement is not to be sniffed at ;)
    Yeah I bet Cameron's rating never improved by that wide a margin, so even TSE must surely now concede she is the better PM.

    But it is correct that she is more unpopular with the UK - almost twice as unpopular - as Trump is with the US. Remarkable.
    Not that remarkable. Partisans tend to stick with their own and the US is more two-party partisan than we are.

    The UK is split into red and blue and yellow and orange and purple and green ...

    What proportion of the UK identifies as Tory versus Americans identify as Republican?
    Being a Republican in the US has nowhere near the (well deserved) social stigma that being a Tory has in the UK not it's not really comparable.
    44% of the UK population are Tories, similar to the proportion of the US who are Republicans.
    Let me see now: circa 150k Tory party members, UK population 65.6 million; 150k/65.5m = oh... 0.23% Mmmm
    Yup - thickest comment of the night.
    Bollocks, the thickness is in conflating "Tory" with "member of conservative party", an error so gross that if someone made it in one of those bonkers citizenship tests that would be an automatic fail.
    It was a wind-up Ish mate... just while I was waiting for a reply from Sean. Thanks for biting tho!
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 64,196
    That's quite funny.
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548

    rcs1000 said:
    Not sure we've had many terrorist acts based on a misplaced belief in the superiority of White Muslims.

    Its generally been one or the other.....
    I think we did in Darfur, and to an extent racism is part of the Saudi war on Yemen.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    This is quite funny:

    https://www.theguardian.com/culture/2017/aug/18/tunbridge-wells-residents-complain-about-sex-festival-in-the-woods

    One thing puzzled me, though:

    “Our outdoor dungeon is discreetly secluded, furnished with fetish play equipment and monitored by our friendly assistants. "

    Of course I've led a sheltered life, but surely the whole point about a fetish play dungeon is that the assistants are far from friendly?

    Puzzled from near Tunbridge Wells.
  • It's laughable how you Tories love bashing great British institutions like the NT, BBC, NHS etc. Why can't you be a bit more patriotic!
    Erhhh you realize I am not a Tory...until 2017 I had never voted for them at a GE. It was only the prospect of Jahadi Jez that meant I had to tactically vote for Kim Jong May.

    The story makes the NT appear to be total twats. Sacking some bloke who has done the same job at that property for donkeys years because he hasn't got his NVQ in lawn mowing.
    I apologise for misrepresenting you Mr U, although you've fooled me with a few of your posts (and if you voted Tory last time you are counted in Sean_F's 44%, just saying).

    As a relative newbie it'd be really helpful if everyone could just indicate on a scale 1 to 10 (leftwing to rightwing) where they fit on the political scale (Id be about 3.5 I reckon)

    But back to the topic: the Torygraph, Mail, Sun etc. and many r/w Tories love nothing better than to bash institutiomn that we should be really proud of. Of course they cock things up from time to time - every big organisation does (especially private companies btw and no doubt the r/w press cock things up occasionally too!). But overall generally don't get the credit they deserve and I wonder how much is because they don't fit the tory free enterprise ideal. The BBC and NT in particular are envied in many arts of the world.

    Once again - apologies for call ing you a Tory - a terrible slur, can't think of a worse one :smile:


    Anti-Corbyn != Tory....

    You would be hard pressed to find many positive posts I have made about the current government.
  • ReggieCideReggieCide Posts: 4,312
    isam said:
    Has he twitted yet to complain about the "shoot to kill" policy of the Spanish Police?
  • isam said:
    Has he twitted yet to complain about the "shoot to kill" policy of the Spanish Police?
    Or that you know them whites also do plenty of crime...
  • ReggieCideReggieCide Posts: 4,312

    isam said:
    Has he twitted yet to complain about the "shoot to kill" policy of the Spanish Police?
    Or that you know them whites also do plenty of crime...
    did you consider that "honkies" wouldn't pass muster?
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548

    That's quite funny.
    This Nazi snowflake is pretty funny too. Who thought being an asshole had consequences?

    https://twitter.com/OwenJones84/status/898315234842206208
This discussion has been closed.