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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Some numbers that could help TMay’s survival. Another poll, Yo
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Some numbers that could help TMay’s survival. Another poll, YouGov, has her & the Tories edging back a touch
Given how close it is to the last election it is hardly surprsisng that there are so few voting intention polls coming out. Today’s from YouGov is only the second since Mrs. May lost her majority on June 8th and has the gap down just a touch.
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Anyone noticing UKIP gradually going up in the polls ?
The Tory party nowadays don't have the ba**s to do it.
Mr Grayling told the BBC's Today programme that the high-speed rail network will be "on time, on budget" and the government has "a clear idea of what it will cost".
Then I checked his Wikipedia entry and realised Chris Grayling was only 55, and not in his mid sixties, as his appearance and demeanour suggest...
https://twitter.com/odysseanproject/status/886929423861207040
https://twitter.com/davidallengreen/status/886929198954184704
Westminster voting intention: LAB: 43% (-2) CON: 41% (+2) LDEM: 5% (-) UKIP: 5% (-) GRN: 2% (-) (via @OpiniumResearch, 11 - 14 Jul
Britain Elects @britainelects Jul 15
On who would make best Prime Minister: T. May: 43% J. Corbyn: 35% (via @Survation, 14 - 15 Jul)
Britain Elects @britainelects Jul 15
Westminster voting intention: LAB: 41% (-4) CON: 39% (-) LDEM: 8% (+1) UKIP: 6% (+2) (via @Survation, 14 - 15 Jul)
So YG is the third poll showing Labour falling since the election.
http://survation.com/the-eu-referendum-where-the-uk-stands-today-should-the-united-kingdom-remain-a-member-of-the-european-union/
NOT.
"The BBC will offer protection to stars who receive online abuse and threats when their salaries are published this week.
The corporation’s bosses are braced for attacks on presenters and other high paid ‘talent’ when the list of stars earning £150,000 or more is made public.
A BBC source said: “People are extremely worried about safety, not only for themselves but also their families. There is a worry they will receive a torrent of abuse online.”
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/07/16/bbc-offers-protect-stars-abuse-gears-publish-150k-plus-salaries/
Perhaps if there was more objectivity and focus on believable stories rather than making MAJOR HEADLINES from thin gruel such as made-up leaks or someone on our negotiating team not tweeting enough then perhaps voters would be more likely to accept any shortcomings from the situation we find ourselves in.
Either way I doubt the position of voters will change too much, views are largely entrenched which is why the June 23rd vote is irreversible from the point Article 50 was enacted.
They could always choose to take a lower salary...
Fragile business sentiment linked to Brexit-related anxiety, domestic political uncertainty and squeezed consumer budgets have caused UK business confidence to drop to its lowest point for almost six years, the economic consultancy IHS Markit reports.
Meanwhile, Britain’s economic growth will continue to weaken this year due to a Brexit-related consumer-spending squeeze and muted earnings growth, the EY Item Club said in the latest downgrading of its forecasts.
https://twitter.com/odysseanproject/status/886932445353869312
He's not a fan:
https://twitter.com/odysseanproject/status/886933116371251200
If there were another referendum on the UK’s membership of the EU, how would you vote?
Leave 48%
Remain 47%
Undecided 5%
(With undecided removed)
Leave 50% (+1)
Remain 50% (-1)
https://www.ft.com/content/4278146d-67e9-3430-8711-0d3e6d74c25e
Google "how brexit should be done" to see it outside the paywall.
https://twitter.com/europeelects/status/886938129663483905
I think the EU are doing as a good as job as they can on their immediate objectives (orderly exit and the inevitable damage of Brexit to fall on the UK rather than them). The UK hasn't articulated its objective, but the main one should be continuity. We want things to carry on in the same way out of membership as we obtained through membership. Out of membership arrangements for the UK are a hard sell to make to the EU, given they need to shore up their operation and so boost the value of membership. However it is something the EU need to address given we are not going back into the EU and they will want us on their side. It's coming up with carefully calibrated offer to the UK that is sufficiently costly and poor value that membership is always the better option, but not such bad value no-one would take it.
Technically that's true but then that's like saying that the consumer pays VAT or duties etc. While that may again technically be true, the reality is that companies have spent a fortune on lawyers and lobbyists to get their products either VAT-free or having a lower duty etc
Because VAT/duty/tariffs hurt the supplier. Even if technically the consumer pays.
David Davis has returned from Brussels after two or three hours there
Google "David Davis returns from Brexit talks after lightning Brussels trip" or this link MIGHT work
https://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:dqrs3qxaAPIJ:https://www.ft.com/content/a11de5ea-6ae5-11e7-b9c7-15af748b60d0?mhq5j=e2+&cd=2&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=uk
There have only been two previous occasions with similar circumstances; 1). 1923 Stanley Baldwin needlessly lost his majority but survived to win the following election. 2). 1974. Heath did even worse -lost his majority and made Tories second biggest party but was allowed to lose again and still survive for a year. There is no precedent at all for a PM being forced to resign after having stayed in office after a general election. Indeed, May's replacement after having been voted back as PM could be seen as deeply undemocratic.
I'd also add one other point: we should make clear that there is no demand that the EU27 could make that would lead to us to quit the negotiating table. We reserve the right to reject proposals, but we are absolutely committed to finding solutions to all impasses at every stage. If the EU27 wish to walk away that is a matter for them and something that each member state government will then have to justify to its voters.
She won the election.
Labour voters didnt vote twice then?
No. the victims of the cheating on the part of the Conservatives are firstly the electorate, and secondly the fairness of the electoral system. And thirdly, of course, the legitimacy of the Conservative government.
https://www.ft.com/content/b3630088-6ac6-11e7-b9c7-15af748b60d0
"The democratic case for stopping Brexit"
Labour 40%
Tories 42%
Labour 262 seats
Tories 317 seats.
SURVIVAL IS VICTORY!
Yes, drug free.... I don`t know just what negative conclusion you would wish to draw from that....
Q: Who is Prime Minister right now?
A:
Rather, I believe that unless there is a sea-change in government policy (unlikely), rising inequality will make it difficult for the Tories to win next time.
Today's Guardian opinion provides a very clear summary of how the very richest in our country have protected and ehanced their position at the expense of the rest since the crash.
"While the rest of society have shared in an equality of misery following the crash, the top 1% – households with incomes of £275,000 – have now recovered all the ground they lost during the world’s worst post-second world war slump. The share of income going to the very richest is now 8.5%. That’s double their share in 1985. The question has to be asked: has the value of the 1% in society doubled in the last 20 years? "
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/jul/16/the-guardian-view-on-the-1-all-gain-no-pain
Well worth a quick read imo.
trump won due to fake news, now get caught with a PR nightmare and cry potential for being abused.
Only when he heard the voice at the other end of the line did Davis realize he was in fact speaking to Michel Barnier, the EU’s chief negotiator. It was the second time the two men had spoken since Davis was given the job.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-07-14/britain-s-brexit-chaos-leaves-eu-friends-and-foes-bemused
Clearly she has a confidence problem, but she needs to clear that up over the Summer. Electoral disaster or not she still has a chance of going down in the history books if she works hard over the next 2 years to get it right.
How about:
Q: Who increased their number of seats?
A:
Rumours I am to be regenerated into Doris Dancer are grossly inaccurate.
Mr. Observer, that sounds less like a blunder and more like a set up.