politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Reminder: Next PB gathering – Friday April 19th – Dirty Dic

As posted a couple of weeks ago the next PB gathering has been arranged for this coming Friday starting at 6.30pm at the historic Dirty Dicks pub in Bishopsgate – just across the road from the main entrance to Liverpool Street station.
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I rather have this piece with voiceover in mind.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kx3W4F80L04&list=PLA7BB4D62DE1EA90B&index=30
"BBC should've given the Libyan School of Economics(LSE) a big donation and it might've received a degree instead of griping"
http://www.pavilionendpub.co.uk
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/danielhannan/100212016/funeral/
Stupid, stupid decision. Not playing 'Ding Dong' might be justifiable, but they needed to be seen to be even-handed. As Eddie Mair pointed out, they've opened up a can of worms.
Newcastle lost to Sunderland.
It's as simple as that.
Perhaps though time to pause and ponder the wisdom of a parachuted in MP to Tyneside who thought joining the board of Sunderland smart...
And now you tell me it is ironic!
I guess the only solution is to send all the copies to Roger.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nNfLQAJ_Yug
Have fun everyone.
Bev.
It deserves our respect and their reward.
When the rest of the BBC is privatised in Cameron's second term, I predict Radio 1 will be retained as a state-owned national treasure.
Good old Auntie!
@Carlotta I've been out this aftie - what's the latest on Chuks?
Can't make Dirty Dkick's - I've taken two weeks' leave to work full time on the Notts elections. They're not as easy as they look - lots of dug-in LibDems who will be an interesting challenge (because many centre-left people got in the habit of voting for LDs in County elections and Labour in Parliamentary ones). But we shouldn't lose ground in Broxtowe constituency, since our current score of county councillors is, ahem, zero.
Thanks to Mike for adding my blog to the link list!
I think that makes you the major shareholder. A little known fact about the Notsensibles is that they originate from Burnley and were founded by someone called Roger.
Meanwhile just to put it in a historical political context around the time when it exploded on the punk scene to sales approaching 100 I was doing my first and (so far) only PPB for the Lib Dems appropriately titled 'Maggie's Broken Britain'.
If only we'd known of the song when we made the broadcast we'd have had the perfect background track for the film.
Surely the irony means you should screen in Venice rather than Cannes.
What an imbecilic assumption.
The LDs will do well in seats where they are in contention. They'll do appallingly where they are not.
Getting good third places is a waste of effort.
It's called first pas the post.
Just as they did throughout the 1980s. It's good to see traditions continue...
Remember, it is the Tories who financed the FPTP campaign.
Shades of Lenin's saying, "The Capitalist will sell the rope with which he will be hung"
By the way, enough Labour supporters stayed with the LD's - the supreme sacrifice - to give the Tories a good drubbing.
May 2nd should be fun to watch !
The LDs lost votes to Labour in Eastleigh.
DiCanio really let the football do the talking yesterday. Wins like that will soon stop any criticism! As a Leicester City fan I can only look on with envy, our playoff hopes died on Friday night.
A fitting way to unite the country after the divisiveness of the last week would be to make "Hungry Like the Wolf" number one in the charts next week.
This is my favourite piece of his wisdom:
Behind the epistemological scholasticism of empirio-criticism one must not fail to see the struggle of parties in philosophy, a struggle which in the last analysis reflects the tendencies and ideology of the antagonistic classes in modern society.
Right on the marx as always.
I'm in Love 8,768
#1 was at 58,321
What he needs is a Moscow Mockney Makeover and to listen to a few focus groups. Perhaps even to appear on Mumsnet to discuss his favourite biscuit.
4G sale to be investigated by the Audit Office. Not the Fraud Squad.
http://lordashcroftpolls.com/2013/03/we-know-how-eastleigh-voted-heres-why/
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N4d7Wp9kKjA
First results indicate 32.something% for centre-right opposition parties (6 seats), 31.something% for centre-left government coalition (5 seats). Final seat goes to Labour Party (6%)
That is of course just a Lib Dem spin way of saying their party are going to do badly (i.e. lose) in more than 90% of the country.
Exclusive in this week's Sunil on Sunday:
Op Ed: Maggie - The Sunil on Sunday marks the death of our greatest PM since Churchill
Mike Smithson refuses to confirm if he's still a member of the LibDem-ocracy!
PB's tim denies he's really anti-Thatcherite Derek Hatton in disguise!
Jack W laughs off claims he received Baronetcy when Maggie resigned!
North Korea: Is Kim Jong-Un a bad advert for the hereditary principle?
All the latest film reviews with our very own Mark Commode!
Sean T's latest travel rantings writings also reviewed!
And don't forget our steamy Page 3 model... train - full page spread!
A key feature of any tory recovery is going to be a Lib Dem recovery taking back some of their lefty support from Labour. Not sure how likely that is with the current leadership but if Labour pick up the best part of 10% from the Lib Dems plus their Brown core support of 30% it really is all over. The tories need more than half of those to return to the yellows to be in with a chance.
https://twitter.com/janestheone
It topped the chart there
My guess is there will be a decline in seats for both coalition partners with Ukip and LAB picking up a fair number.
What is difficult is factoring in the impact of Ukip syphoning off part of the CON vote in seats where the bues are under pressure from both Labour and the LDs.
All parties will be judged on seats won/lost and council won/lost. The national vote share will hardly figure
I forecast a few Labour gains here, but for there to be little change in the LD/Con seats, and Con to retain control. What will be interesting will be whether the UKIP defectors hold their seats. As always local issues and loyalties may mean that local trends do not correspond to national ones.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/2013/apr/14/ed-miliband-surgery-broken-wrist
Cameron is unpopular on the whole because he is dodging the painful decisions while offending his core vote. There's no bounce back from such a position.
But there were revolutionaries committed to popular interaction.
Alexandra Kollontai, Lenin's Commissar for Social Welfare is my favourite. A leading light in the feminist movement she was a famous believer in "free love" and is accredited with stating that "sexual satisfaction should be as easy to get as a glass of water" .
She inspired both Greta Garbo and Glenda Jackson to play her in movies, the former famously in the 1939 film "Ninotchka". One of my all time favourites, it features a famous Parisian hat which I imagine Roger wearing when breakfasting at the Café Valerie in Soho.
Here is the original:
" What those making this "killer" point seem to forget is that when the mines closed in the 50s and 60s, and even in the 70s, there were other jobs to go to. The difference in the 80s was that there were no jobs to go to when heavy industry closed down. It's not the closing of the pits - or, more accurately, the withdrawal of their subsidies - that was the huge problem, so much as the complete indifference to the fate of those thrown on the dole. "
My grandad could have told you about the opportunities available to redundant miners in the 1960s. In his case the opportunity to get on his bike and cycle ten miles to the next pit, spend eight hours underground digging coal and then cycle ten miles back home. A couple of years later he died. Perhaps he would have prefered the 1980s alternatives of a £50,000 redundancy package and an opportunity to have a happy retirement.
As to the 'complete indifference' to those on the dole I'd take a look at the outside investment brought in during the 1980s. It could be argued that more could have been done or some things differently but to claim 'complete indifference' is pavlovian hostility.
Rather amusingly in today's Sunday Times there's a mention of a 33 year old in Sunderland, described as being 'on the sick', blaming Thatcher for everything. I wonder if that individual ever thought who was responsible for the Nissan car plant down the road?
The concept of 'Thatcher' really has been a boon to many people - something to blame for anything and everything.
And while we all know that Blair and Brown didn't attract any Japanese car factories did they manage to attract any new inward industrial investment at all?
at St. Paul's Cathedral starts at 11.00 am. "
@anotherdave
Thanks.
Procession, arrival of dignitaries etc will start from 10:00 am.
News Stations will start broadcasting from 9:00 am.
The proposals, from members of Germany’s council of economic experts, raise the prospect of taxes being imposed on property in a country like Spain if its government was forced to seek a bail-out.
The council, known as the “Five Wise Men”, is often used to test new policies that are later adopted officially.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/financialcrisis/9993790/Wealth-tax-to-pay-for-EU-bail-outs.html
Dan Hodges @DPJHodges
I think the Shawshank Redemption is actually overrated. There. I said it. Do your worst...
There are also around 50 seats fewer being fought because of boundary changes in a number of councils