Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

Options

politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If there was a spread-betting market on how many months Toxic

135

Comments

  • Options
    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    JackW said:

    tpfkar said:

    Think there might be about to be a Lib Dem leadership announcement of some form

    Scottish Viscount to stand ?!? .... :smiley:
    Are distinguished Jacobite aristocrats eligible?

    Or do silk stockings not go with sandals?
  • Options
    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,856
    edited June 2017
    Danny565 said:

    Sean_F said:

    If the best the Tories can do is to win 330 seats, then perhaps their problems run deeper than finding the right leader.

    Regular reminder that the Tories haven't won a healthy majority since the fall of the Berlin Wall.
    But, we've also had three elections in a row where Labour haven't come close to winning. Distrust for both main parties seems to run deep among much of the population.
  • Options
    ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133
    Danny565 said:

    Sean_F said:

    If the best the Tories can do is to win 330 seats, then perhaps their problems run deeper than finding the right leader.

    Regular reminder that the Tories haven't won a healthy majority since the fall of the Berlin Wall.
    Nor has the Labour Party, since the New Labour (War Criminal) Party was an entirely separate entity!
  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,450
    Scott_P said:
    What they were really asking for is More Scotland.
  • Options
    ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133
    Will we now get endless headers bemoaning how Cable wasn't tested in a leadership election? I won't hold my breath.
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Alistair said:

    Cold we make up our mind on if Sturgeon as done an embarrassing U-Turn or has made no change in IndyRef plans.

    It's hard to keep up with the quantum waveform that currently exists.

    She has done both, clearly...
  • Options
    RogerRoger Posts: 18,892
    edited June 2017
    Sean_F said:

    Toxic Theresa . Sad to see OGH descend into the gutter. This nasty witch hunt has long since become tedious and disgusting.

    OGH's name-calling has more than a dash of truth to it, though. When she was a big net benefit to her party in the months after her elevation, he acknowledged that. But you need to be blind not to see that she ran a terrible campaign, has trashed her "strong and stable" reputation, and has become toxic.

    You might think the widespread public impression of May, and the fact it has fallen so far and so fast is unfair, and she's actually jolly nice. Perhaps you're right. But you can't seriously demand that people pretend it isn't happening on a betting website.
    PB should be ahead of the pack rather than lamely following it.
    If only someone on PB had been warning since last summer Theresa May was a pound shop Gordon Brown and such like.
    I think it would be difficult to express the contempt to which your hero Osborne is held within genuine conservative circles. The man's a cad.
    I had him down as more of a bounder.
    The difference was recently explained to me.

    A bounder would fight like a lion on the battlefield, and then seduce his Colonel's wife, when home on leave.

    A cad would avoid the fighting, steal other mens' credit, and then seduce his Colonel's wife.
    A friend of mine was slightly surprised that her daughter's school accepted without discussion a thirteen year old male student who decided to dress as a girl.

    Her daughter accused her of heteronormativity!
  • Options
    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787

    JackW said:

    tpfkar said:

    Think there might be about to be a Lib Dem leadership announcement of some form

    Scottish Viscount to stand ?!? .... :smiley:
    Are distinguished Jacobite aristocrats eligible?

    Or do silk stockings not go with sandals?
    Distinguished Jacobite aristocrats are eligible to remove silk stockings ....

    Woof woof ....
  • Options
    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    tpfkar said:

    tpfkar said:

    Think there might be about to be a Lib Dem leadership announcement of some form

    Was a PB exclusive for 5 mins. Ed Davey is NOT running.

    Looks like Vince Cable uncontested unless a new MP goes for it. Layla Moran is the only one I could possibly imagine (she's said she wants a contest) but looks like that's it and no membership ballot needed.
    Wera Hobhouse or Tom Brake are further possibilities. I think there will be a contest. Nominations do not close until 20 July.
  • Options
    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,783
    Scott_P said:

    Alistair said:

    Cold we make up our mind on if Sturgeon as done an embarrassing U-Turn or has made no change in IndyRef plans.

    It's hard to keep up with the quantum waveform that currently exists.

    She has done both, clearly...
    https://twitter.com/BBCPhilipSim/status/879732668300177408
  • Options
    tpfkartpfkar Posts: 1,548
    JackW said:

    tpfkar said:

    Think there might be about to be a Lib Dem leadership announcement of some form

    Scottish Viscount to stand ?!? .... :smiley:
    Cometh the hour Jack, cometh the hour...
  • Options
    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787

    tpfkar said:

    tpfkar said:

    Think there might be about to be a Lib Dem leadership announcement of some form

    Was a PB exclusive for 5 mins. Ed Davey is NOT running.

    Looks like Vince Cable uncontested unless a new MP goes for it. Layla Moran is the only one I could possibly imagine (she's said she wants a contest) but looks like that's it and no membership ballot needed.
    Wera Hobhouse or Tom Brake are further possibilities. I think there will be a contest. Nominations do not close until 20 July.
    LibDems need a contest not least to get noticed.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,985

    Danny565 said:

    Sean_F said:

    If the best the Tories can do is to win 330 seats, then perhaps their problems run deeper than finding the right leader.

    Regular reminder that the Tories haven't won a healthy majority since the fall of the Berlin Wall.
    Nor has the Labour Party, since the New Labour (War Criminal) Party was an entirely separate entity!
    Paging TSE...
  • Options
    sarissasarissa Posts: 1,796

    Not a totally pointless GE then.

    It's emasculated Sturgeon and punted IndyRef2 into the long grass. One threat gone to HMG flank.

    Late Autumn 2018 is now "in the long grass"? Says a lot for the current political outlook.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,985
    sarissa said:

    Not a totally pointless GE then.

    It's emasculated Sturgeon and punted IndyRef2 into the long grass. One threat gone to HMG flank.

    Late Autumn 2018 is now "in the long grass"? Says a lot for the current political outlook.
    Indyref2 won't be in Autumn 2018.
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,994
    Damn. Missed the Davey news. Ah well. If it is Cable, that's still green for me.
  • Options
    JennyFreemanJennyFreeman Posts: 488
    edited June 2017
    Nigelb said:

    Nigelb said:

    IanB2 said:

    Toxic Theresa . Sad to see OGH descend into the gutter. This nasty witch hunt has long since become tedious and disgusting.

    Toxic doesn't feel like the right word, though. She is just hopeless, and damaged, not poisonous.

    And it alliterates.
    So does turd but that doesn't mean it's appropriate.
    You'd prefer Miserable May ?
    Manacle May?

    Teflon has been overused and rather lost its lustre with Tony, so how about:

    Magnet May?

    She hasn't come unstuck just yet.
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,101
    sarissa said:

    Not a totally pointless GE then.

    It's emasculated Sturgeon and punted IndyRef2 into the long grass. One threat gone to HMG flank.

    Late Autumn 2018 is now "in the long grass"? Says a lot for the current political outlook.
    +1

    With the UK going into Brexit negotiations with a woefully unprepared population and political class and a government propped up by a party that thinks Brexit is an opportunity to screw the Irish republic, Sturgeon can just sit back and wait for it to fall into her lap.
  • Options
    RogerRoger Posts: 18,892

    Danny565 said:

    Sean_F said:

    If the best the Tories can do is to win 330 seats, then perhaps their problems run deeper than finding the right leader.

    Regular reminder that the Tories haven't won a healthy majority since the fall of the Berlin Wall.
    Nor has the Labour Party, since the New Labour (War Criminal) Party was an entirely separate entity!
    Why 'War Criminal'?
  • Options
    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,856
    Roger said:

    Sean_F said:

    Toxic Theresa . Sad to see OGH descend into the gutter. This nasty witch hunt has long since become tedious and disgusting.

    OGH's name-calling has more than a dash of truth to it, though. When she was a big net benefit to her party in the months after her elevation, he acknowledged that. But you need to be blind not to see that she ran a terrible campaign, has trashed her "strong and stable" reputation, and has become toxic.

    You might think the widespread public impression of May, and the fact it has fallen so far and so fast is unfair, and she's actually jolly nice. Perhaps you're right. But you can't seriously demand that people pretend it isn't happening on a betting website.
    PB should be ahead of the pack rather than lamely following it.
    If only someone on PB had been warning since last summer Theresa May was a pound shop Gordon Brown and such like.
    I think it would be difficult to express the contempt to which your hero Osborne is held within genuine conservative circles. The man's a cad.
    I had him down as more of a bounder.
    The difference was recently explained to me.

    A bounder would fight like a lion on the battlefield, and then seduce his Colonel's wife, when home on leave.

    A cad would avoid the fighting, steal other mens' credit, and then seduce his Colonel's wife.
    A friend of mine was slightly surprised that her daughter's school accepted without discussion a thirteen year old male student who decided to dress as a girl.

    Her daughter accused her of heteronormativity!
    Is heteronormativity meant to be a bad thing?
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @gorbalsgoebbels: Sturgeon looks a broken woman.

    Today she looked tired & ineffective.
    https://twitter.com/ali_harper/status/879700680260411393
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,985
    Roger said:

    Danny565 said:

    Sean_F said:

    If the best the Tories can do is to win 330 seats, then perhaps their problems run deeper than finding the right leader.

    Regular reminder that the Tories haven't won a healthy majority since the fall of the Berlin Wall.
    Nor has the Labour Party, since the New Labour (War Criminal) Party was an entirely separate entity!
    Why 'War Criminal'?
    Simples. Labour have only won a majority in recent years when their leader was a war criminal. :D
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,985
    Scott_P said:

    @gorbalsgoebbels: Sturgeon looks a broken woman.

    Today she looked tired & ineffective.
    https://twitter.com/ali_harper/status/879700680260411393

    A certain someone needs to add to his collection of pensions.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,942

    tpfkar said:

    tpfkar said:

    Think there might be about to be a Lib Dem leadership announcement of some form

    Was a PB exclusive for 5 mins. Ed Davey is NOT running.

    Looks like Vince Cable uncontested unless a new MP goes for it. Layla Moran is the only one I could possibly imagine (she's said she wants a contest) but looks like that's it and no membership ballot needed.
    Wera Hobhouse or Tom Brake are further possibilities. I think there will be a contest. Nominations do not close until 20 July.
    Has Jamie Stone ruled himself in or out yet ?
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    edited June 2017
    Scott_P said:

    @gorbalsgoebbels: Sturgeon looks a broken woman.

    Today she looked tired & ineffective.
    https://twitter.com/ali_harper/status/879700680260411393

    Alex Salmond has a lot more time on his hands these days...
  • Options
    JonathanJonathan Posts: 20,901
    Does it matter who winds up the LDs in favour of the new centre party?

    I imagine that Cable is best placed.
  • Options
    RogerRoger Posts: 18,892
    Sean_F said:

    Roger said:

    Sean_F said:

    Toxic Theresa . Sad to see OGH descend into the gutter. This nasty witch hunt has long since become tedious and disgusting.

    OGH's name-calling has more than a dash of truth to it, though. When she was a big net benefit to her party in the months after her elevation, he acknowledged that. But you need to be blind not to see that she ran a terrible campaign, has trashed her "strong and stable" reputation, and has become toxic.

    You might think the widespread public impression of May, and the fact it has fallen so far and so fast is unfair, and she's actually jolly nice. Perhaps you're right. But you can't seriously demand that people pretend it isn't happening on a betting website.
    PB should be ahead of the pack rather than lamely following it.
    If only someone on PB had been warning since last summer Theresa May was a pound shop Gordon Brown and such like.
    I think it would be difficult to express the contempt to which your hero Osborne is held within genuine conservative circles. The man's a cad.
    I had him down as more of a bounder.
    The difference was recently explained to me.

    A bounder would fight like a lion on the battlefield, and then seduce his Colonel's wife, when home on leave.

    A cad would avoid the fighting, steal other mens' credit, and then seduce his Colonel's wife.
    A friend of mine was slightly surprised that her daughter's school accepted without discussion a thirteen year old male student who decided to dress as a girl.

    Her daughter accused her of heteronormativity!
    Is heteronormativity meant to be a bad thing?
    I found it difficult to know when I looked it up in the dictionary. There doesn't seem to be any value judgement in the definition. But the school was in Edinburgh!
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,031

    tpfkar said:

    tpfkar said:

    Think there might be about to be a Lib Dem leadership announcement of some form

    Was a PB exclusive for 5 mins. Ed Davey is NOT running.

    Looks like Vince Cable uncontested unless a new MP goes for it. Layla Moran is the only one I could possibly imagine (she's said she wants a contest) but looks like that's it and no membership ballot needed.
    Wera Hobhouse or Tom Brake are further possibilities. I think there will be a contest. Nominations do not close until 20 July.
    I'd like Wera to stand because she has an awesome name.
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,101
    Davis compares Brexit to landing on the moon.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/amp/40420670
  • Options
    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,340
    Scott_P said:

    @gorbalsgoebbels: Sturgeon looks a broken woman.

    Today she looked tired & ineffective.
    https://twitter.com/ali_harper/status/879700680260411393

    They were laughing at her in the Scots Parliament
  • Options
    paulyork64paulyork64 Posts: 2,461
    I managed to pull over on drive home from work to cash out my Ed Davey bets. Good job I had R4 on :)
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,031
    Sean_F said:

    Roger said:

    Sean_F said:

    Toxic Theresa . Sad to see OGH descend into the gutter. This nasty witch hunt has long since become tedious and disgusting.

    OGH's name-calling has more than a dash of truth to it, though. When she was a big net benefit to her party in the months after her elevation, he acknowledged that. But you need to be blind not to see that she ran a terrible campaign, has trashed her "strong and stable" reputation, and has become toxic.

    You might think the widespread public impression of May, and the fact it has fallen so far and so fast is unfair, and she's actually jolly nice. Perhaps you're right. But you can't seriously demand that people pretend it isn't happening on a betting website.
    PB should be ahead of the pack rather than lamely following it.
    If only someone on PB had been warning since last summer Theresa May was a pound shop Gordon Brown and such like.
    I think it would be difficult to express the contempt to which your hero Osborne is held within genuine conservative circles. The man's a cad.
    I had him down as more of a bounder.
    The difference was recently explained to me.

    A bounder would fight like a lion on the battlefield, and then seduce his Colonel's wife, when home on leave.

    A cad would avoid the fighting, steal other mens' credit, and then seduce his Colonel's wife.
    A friend of mine was slightly surprised that her daughter's school accepted without discussion a thirteen year old male student who decided to dress as a girl.

    Her daughter accused her of heteronormativity!
    Is heteronormativity meant to be a bad thing?
    I went to an excellent Hetronormativy Play, you know about cross dresser who was born in a stable somewhere in East Wanstead.
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Quantum announcement...

    https://twitter.com/thetimes/status/879738480368246784

    https://twitter.com/telepolitics/status/879738374092750848

    Credit, where credit is due. She has managed to select the option designed to maximise displeasure with both her supporters and her opponents. It's almost sublime.
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,994
    Mr. P, Sturgeon's stance reminds me of Machiavelli's approach to taking sides. He said it was tempting to stand aloof, but doing so would be the most stupid course of action as it would antagonise both sides, who would later seek vengeance for the lack of assistance, whilst refusing the potential to gain a steadfast rely.

    Her compromise has annoyed everyone and satisfied no-one.
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,526
    Someone asks am I Stephen Bush?

    How Theresa May abandoned David Cameron's playbook - and paid a terrible price

    Theresa May lost because she rejected Cameroonism, but now his approach to party management is keeping her alive.

    When hen she first became prime minister in 2016, Theresa May took an almost indecent glee in rolling back the era of David Cameron. His chancellor and closest ally, George Osborne, was sacked and the manner of his departure was briefed to the press. The Cameroon chumminess with the media was replaced by a layer of frost.

    Cameron’s strategy of delivering austerity to the young while channelling every possible benefit to the old was abandoned, as was the conscious attempt to reach out to affluent ethnic minorities and social liberals.

    Then on 8 June, it emerged that May had rolled back another Cameron project: the first Conservative parliamentary majority in two decades, squandered with three years of the parliament left to run.

    http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/elections/2017/06/how-theresa-may-abandoned-david-camerons-playbook-and-paid-terrible-price
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,526
    Similarly, with just three words in her 2016 party conference speech – “citizens of nowhere” – May undid 11 years of good work among affluent ethnic minorities by David Cameron, who worked to reassure Britain’s ethnic middle classes that their interests were better served by voting with their economic interests, rather than against a Conservative Party still defined in the minds of many by Enoch Powell.
  • Options
    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    Pulpstar said:

    tpfkar said:

    tpfkar said:

    Think there might be about to be a Lib Dem leadership announcement of some form

    Was a PB exclusive for 5 mins. Ed Davey is NOT running.

    Looks like Vince Cable uncontested unless a new MP goes for it. Layla Moran is the only one I could possibly imagine (she's said she wants a contest) but looks like that's it and no membership ballot needed.
    Wera Hobhouse or Tom Brake are further possibilities. I think there will be a contest. Nominations do not close until 20 July.
    Has Jamie Stone ruled himself in or out yet ?
    There are a few others too...
  • Options
    Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981

    Davis compares Brexit to landing on the moon.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/amp/40420670

    So it won't actually happen but NASA will cook up some studio footage to make people think it has.

    Best possible result, actually.
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,277
    Ishmael_Z said:

    Davis compares Brexit to landing on the moon.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/amp/40420670

    So it won't actually happen but NASA will cook up some studio footage to make people think it has.

    Best possible result, actually.
    :lol:
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Ishmael_Z said:

    So it won't actually happen but NASA will cook up some studio footage to make people think it has.

    Best possible result, actually.

    Someone suggested we print "Brexit is done!" on the side of a bus and get Boris to tour the country with it while revoking article 50...
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,526
    Ishmael_Z said:

    Davis compares Brexit to landing on the moon.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/amp/40420670

    So it won't actually happen but NASA will cook up some studio footage to make people think it has.

    Best possible result, actually.
    You win the internet today.
  • Options
    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,783
    edited June 2017
    https://twitter.com/election_data/status/879738699168321536
    @election_data:
    You'll see the Conservatives have now broken through the 50% barrier in rural Britain....You'll also see they have 'broken through' a little in Major and Large urban areas after stagnating between 2010 and 2015.
    https://twitter.com/election_data/status/879732136034664448
  • Options
    OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 32,027
    rcs1000 said:

    Sean_F said:

    Roger said:

    Sean_F said:

    Toxic Theresa . Sad to see OGH descend into the gutter. This nasty witch hunt has long since become tedious and disgusting.

    OGH's name-calling has more than a dash of truth to it, though. When she was a big net benefit to her party in the months after her elevation, he acknowledged that. But you need to be blind not to see that she ran a terrible campaign, has trashed her "strong and stable" reputation, and has become toxic.

    You might think the widespread public impression of May, and the fact it has fallen so far and so fast is unfair, and she's actually jolly nice. Perhaps you're right. But you can't seriously demand that people pretend it isn't happening on a betting website.
    PB should be ahead of the pack rather than lamely following it.
    If only someone on PB had been warning since last summer Theresa May was a pound shop Gordon Brown and such like.
    I think it would be difficult to express the contempt to which your hero Osborne is held within genuine conservative circles. The man's a cad.
    I had him down as more of a bounder.
    The difference was recently explained to me.

    A bounder would fight like a lion on the battlefield, and then seduce his Colonel's wife, when home on leave.

    A cad would avoid the fighting, steal other mens' credit, and then seduce his Colonel's wife.
    A friend of mine was slightly surprised that her daughter's school accepted without discussion a thirteen year old male student who decided to dress as a girl.

    Her daughter accused her of heteronormativity!
    Is heteronormativity meant to be a bad thing?
    I went to an excellent Hetronormativy Play, you know about cross dresser who was born in a stable somewhere in East Wanstead.
    You found a stable in Wanstead?
  • Options
    isamisam Posts: 40,952
    edited June 2017
    Caroline knows

    Diane looks as if she's going to puke

    https://twitter.com/brexitcentral/status/879367837810380800
  • Options
    CornishBlueCornishBlue Posts: 840

    Similarly, with just three words in her 2016 party conference speech – “citizens of nowhere” – May undid 11 years of good work among affluent ethnic minorities by David Cameron, who worked to reassure Britain’s ethnic middle classes that their interests were better served by voting with their economic interests, rather than against a Conservative Party still defined in the minds of many by Enoch Powell.

    Why can't 'ethnic minorities' be citizens of somewhere (eg Britain) and indeed welcomed and encouraged to become so?
  • Options
    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,856

    Someone asks am I Stephen Bush?

    How Theresa May abandoned David Cameron's playbook - and paid a terrible price

    Theresa May lost because she rejected Cameroonism, but now his approach to party management is keeping her alive.

    When hen she first became prime minister in 2016, Theresa May took an almost indecent glee in rolling back the era of David Cameron. His chancellor and closest ally, George Osborne, was sacked and the manner of his departure was briefed to the press. The Cameroon chumminess with the media was replaced by a layer of frost.

    Cameron’s strategy of delivering austerity to the young while channelling every possible benefit to the old was abandoned, as was the conscious attempt to reach out to affluent ethnic minorities and social liberals.

    Then on 8 June, it emerged that May had rolled back another Cameron project: the first Conservative parliamentary majority in two decades, squandered with three years of the parliament left to run.

    http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/elections/2017/06/how-theresa-may-abandoned-david-camerons-playbook-and-paid-terrible-price

    That strategy would certainly have won the Conservatives a working majority this time, but I doubt if it's viable long term.

    The mistake this time was taking benefits from the old, while offering nothing to the young.
  • Options
    The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
  • Options
    David_EvershedDavid_Evershed Posts: 6,506
    Scott_P said:

    St Vince to the rescue.

    Could he lead a national coalition of Con and Lab with the odd Lib Dem?
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,526

    Similarly, with just three words in her 2016 party conference speech – “citizens of nowhere” – May undid 11 years of good work among affluent ethnic minorities by David Cameron, who worked to reassure Britain’s ethnic middle classes that their interests were better served by voting with their economic interests, rather than against a Conservative Party still defined in the minds of many by Enoch Powell.

    Why can't 'ethnic minorities' be citizens of somewhere (eg Britain) and indeed welcomed and encouraged to become so?
    We are citizens of the UK/Britain/England/Wales/Scotland/Northern Ireland, both on paper and in state of mind.
  • Options
    CornishBlueCornishBlue Posts: 840

    Someone asks am I Stephen Bush?

    How Theresa May abandoned David Cameron's playbook - and paid a terrible price

    Theresa May lost because she rejected Cameroonism, but now his approach to party management is keeping her alive.

    When hen she first became prime minister in 2016, Theresa May took an almost indecent glee in rolling back the era of David Cameron. His chancellor and closest ally, George Osborne, was sacked and the manner of his departure was briefed to the press. The Cameroon chumminess with the media was replaced by a layer of frost.

    Cameron’s strategy of delivering austerity to the young while channelling every possible benefit to the old was abandoned, as was the conscious attempt to reach out to affluent ethnic minorities and social liberals.

    Then on 8 June, it emerged that May had rolled back another Cameron project: the first Conservative parliamentary majority in two decades, squandered with three years of the parliament left to run.

    http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/elections/2017/06/how-theresa-may-abandoned-david-camerons-playbook-and-paid-terrible-price

    No, first she didn't lose and second the poor performance (if getting more votes and share than Cameron ever did is 'poor') is down to the robotic charisma and pisspoor manifesto.
  • Options
    isamisam Posts: 40,952
    edited June 2017

    Similarly, with just three words in her 2016 party conference speech – “citizens of nowhere” – May undid 11 years of good work among affluent ethnic minorities by David Cameron, who worked to reassure Britain’s ethnic middle classes that their interests were better served by voting with their economic interests, rather than against a Conservative Party still defined in the minds of many by Enoch Powell.

    Why can't 'ethnic minorities' be citizens of somewhere (eg Britain) and indeed welcomed and encouraged to become so?
    The people May called 'Citizens of nowhere' were corporates who didn't pay tax weren't they?
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,526
    Sean_F said:

    Someone asks am I Stephen Bush?

    How Theresa May abandoned David Cameron's playbook - and paid a terrible price

    Theresa May lost because she rejected Cameroonism, but now his approach to party management is keeping her alive.

    When hen she first became prime minister in 2016, Theresa May took an almost indecent glee in rolling back the era of David Cameron. His chancellor and closest ally, George Osborne, was sacked and the manner of his departure was briefed to the press. The Cameroon chumminess with the media was replaced by a layer of frost.

    Cameron’s strategy of delivering austerity to the young while channelling every possible benefit to the old was abandoned, as was the conscious attempt to reach out to affluent ethnic minorities and social liberals.

    Then on 8 June, it emerged that May had rolled back another Cameron project: the first Conservative parliamentary majority in two decades, squandered with three years of the parliament left to run.

    http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/elections/2017/06/how-theresa-may-abandoned-david-camerons-playbook-and-paid-terrible-price

    That strategy would certainly have won the Conservatives a working majority this time, but I doubt if it's viable long term.

    The mistake this time was taking benefits from the old, while offering nothing to the young.
    I was chatting to a colleague the other day, and he said if you didn't follow politics closely, looking purely at the campaigns, you'd never realise it was the Tories who called a surprise election and not Labour, who should have been on the hop.
  • Options
    CornishJohnCornishJohn Posts: 304

    Similarly, with just three words in her 2016 party conference speech – “citizens of nowhere” – May undid 11 years of good work among affluent ethnic minorities by David Cameron, who worked to reassure Britain’s ethnic middle classes that their interests were better served by voting with their economic interests, rather than against a Conservative Party still defined in the minds of many by Enoch Powell.

    Why can't 'ethnic minorities' be citizens of somewhere (eg Britain) and indeed welcomed and encouraged to become so?
    It certainly struck me as rather prejudiced against ethnic minorities that they can't ever favour loyalty to this country over a generic global citizen mindset. I guess people like Priti Patel and Kwasi Kwarteng aren't supposed to exist.

    You can tell by the rather visceral dislike of Theresa May that there are few things that upset the left more than a conservative woman. I suppose a conservative ethnic minority is one of those things.
  • Options
    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    No CDU/DUP coalition then !!
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,277

    Sean_F said:

    Someone asks am I Stephen Bush?

    How Theresa May abandoned David Cameron's playbook - and paid a terrible price

    Theresa May lost because she rejected Cameroonism, but now his approach to party management is keeping her alive.

    When hen she first became prime minister in 2016, Theresa May took an almost indecent glee in rolling back the era of David Cameron. His chancellor and closest ally, George Osborne, was sacked and the manner of his departure was briefed to the press. The Cameroon chumminess with the media was replaced by a layer of frost.

    Cameron’s strategy of delivering austerity to the young while channelling every possible benefit to the old was abandoned, as was the conscious attempt to reach out to affluent ethnic minorities and social liberals.

    Then on 8 June, it emerged that May had rolled back another Cameron project: the first Conservative parliamentary majority in two decades, squandered with three years of the parliament left to run.

    http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/elections/2017/06/how-theresa-may-abandoned-david-camerons-playbook-and-paid-terrible-price

    That strategy would certainly have won the Conservatives a working majority this time, but I doubt if it's viable long term.

    The mistake this time was taking benefits from the old, while offering nothing to the young.
    I was chatting to a colleague the other day, and he said if you didn't follow politics closely, looking purely at the campaigns, you'd never realise it was the Tories who called a surprise election and not Labour, who should have been on the hop.
    The other thing the Tories must not do next time is fail to turn up to the debates.

    I have anecdotal evidence that that was a key factor with some swing voters.
  • Options
    CornishBlueCornishBlue Posts: 840

    Similarly, with just three words in her 2016 party conference speech – “citizens of nowhere” – May undid 11 years of good work among affluent ethnic minorities by David Cameron, who worked to reassure Britain’s ethnic middle classes that their interests were better served by voting with their economic interests, rather than against a Conservative Party still defined in the minds of many by Enoch Powell.

    Why can't 'ethnic minorities' be citizens of somewhere (eg Britain) and indeed welcomed and encouraged to become so?
    We are citizens of the UK/Britain/England/Wales/Scotland/Northern Ireland, both on paper and in state of mind.
    Yes.. so.. why is it a bad thing to support the notion of citizenship? Especially amongst those who come to settle here?
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,277
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,526

    Similarly, with just three words in her 2016 party conference speech – “citizens of nowhere” – May undid 11 years of good work among affluent ethnic minorities by David Cameron, who worked to reassure Britain’s ethnic middle classes that their interests were better served by voting with their economic interests, rather than against a Conservative Party still defined in the minds of many by Enoch Powell.

    Why can't 'ethnic minorities' be citizens of somewhere (eg Britain) and indeed welcomed and encouraged to become so?
    We are citizens of the UK/Britain/England/Wales/Scotland/Northern Ireland, both on paper and in state of mind.
    Yes.. so.. why is it a bad thing to support the notion of citizenship? Especially amongst those who come to settle here?
    I plan to cover that in a thread in the next few weeks.
  • Options
    CornishJohnCornishJohn Posts: 304
    Stephen Bush's analysis, like so many pro-Europeans, also ignores the inconvenient fact Theresa May set out her "citizen of nowhere" speech in October 2016, while her polling decline began in late May 2017. People are telling a yarn they want to believe, and they want others to believe, rather than one that reflects the facts.
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,526

    Sean_F said:

    Someone asks am I Stephen Bush?

    How Theresa May abandoned David Cameron's playbook - and paid a terrible price

    Theresa May lost because she rejected Cameroonism, but now his approach to party management is keeping her alive.

    When hen she first became prime minister in 2016, Theresa May took an almost indecent glee in rolling back the era of David Cameron. His chancellor and closest ally, George Osborne, was sacked and the manner of his departure was briefed to the press. The Cameroon chumminess with the media was replaced by a layer of frost.

    Cameron’s strategy of delivering austerity to the young while channelling every possible benefit to the old was abandoned, as was the conscious attempt to reach out to affluent ethnic minorities and social liberals.

    Then on 8 June, it emerged that May had rolled back another Cameron project: the first Conservative parliamentary majority in two decades, squandered with three years of the parliament left to run.

    http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/elections/2017/06/how-theresa-may-abandoned-david-camerons-playbook-and-paid-terrible-price

    That strategy would certainly have won the Conservatives a working majority this time, but I doubt if it's viable long term.

    The mistake this time was taking benefits from the old, while offering nothing to the young.
    I was chatting to a colleague the other day, and he said if you didn't follow politics closely, looking purely at the campaigns, you'd never realise it was the Tories who called a surprise election and not Labour, who should have been on the hop.
    The other thing the Tories must not do next time is fail to turn up to the debates.

    I have anecdotal evidence that that was a key factor with some swing voters.
    It was, coupled with things like police numbers, it made Mrs May look shifty and evasive.
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    Er, Corbyn replaced Ed Miliband.

    I am guessing it's leaders who won elections...
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,031
    And Cable would replace Farron.

    But yes, I agree, it should have had Ed Milliband there rather than Tony Blair. Unless the point was that younger leaders were more successful. (Ignoring Clegg 2015.)
  • Options
    CornishBlueCornishBlue Posts: 840
    Sean_F said:

    Someone asks am I Stephen Bush?

    How Theresa May abandoned David Cameron's playbook - and paid a terrible price

    Theresa May lost because she rejected Cameroonism, but now his approach to party management is keeping her alive.

    When hen she first became prime minister in 2016, Theresa May took an almost indecent glee in rolling back the era of David Cameron. His chancellor and closest ally, George Osborne, was sacked and the manner of his departure was briefed to the press. The Cameroon chumminess with the media was replaced by a layer of frost.

    Cameron’s strategy of delivering austerity to the young while channelling every possible benefit to the old was abandoned, as was the conscious attempt to reach out to affluent ethnic minorities and social liberals.

    Then on 8 June, it emerged that May had rolled back another Cameron project: the first Conservative parliamentary majority in two decades, squandered with three years of the parliament left to run.

    http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/elections/2017/06/how-theresa-may-abandoned-david-camerons-playbook-and-paid-terrible-price

    That strategy would certainly have won the Conservatives a working majority this time, but I doubt if it's viable long term.

    The mistake this time was taking benefits from the old, while offering nothing to the young.
    Yup and now we will have a socialist post-Brexit government.
  • Options
    isamisam Posts: 40,952
    edited June 2017
    The context of 'Citizens of nowhere'

    "But if you believe you’re a citizen of the world, you’re a citizen of nowhere. You don’t understand what the very word ‘citizenship’ means.

    So if you’re a boss who earns a fortune but doesn’t look after your staff…

    An international company that treats tax laws as an optional extra…

    A household name that refuses to work with the authorities even to fight terrorism…

    A director who takes out massive dividends while knowing that the company pension is about to go bust…

    I’m putting you on warning. This can’t go on anymore."

    https://www.google.co.uk/amp/www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/10/05/theresa-mays-conference-speech-in-full/amp/

    How stupid would someone have to be to think that meant ethnic minorities?
  • Options
    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,856

    Sean_F said:

    Someone asks am I Stephen Bush?

    How Theresa May abandoned David Cameron's playbook - and paid a terrible price

    Theresa May lost because she rejected Cameroonism, but now his approach to party management is keeping her alive.

    When hen she first became prime minister in 2016, Theresa May took an almost indecent glee in rolling back the era of David Cameron. His chancellor and closest ally, George Osborne, was sacked and the manner of his departure was briefed to the press. The Cameroon chumminess with the media was replaced by a layer of frost.

    Cameron’s strategy of delivering austerity to the young while channelling every possible benefit to the old was abandoned, as was the conscious attempt to reach out to affluent ethnic minorities and social liberals.

    Then on 8 June, it emerged that May had rolled back another Cameron project: the first Conservative parliamentary majority in two decades, squandered with three years of the parliament left to run.

    http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/elections/2017/06/how-theresa-may-abandoned-david-camerons-playbook-and-paid-terrible-price

    That strategy would certainly have won the Conservatives a working majority this time, but I doubt if it's viable long term.

    The mistake this time was taking benefits from the old, while offering nothing to the young.
    I was chatting to a colleague the other day, and he said if you didn't follow politics closely, looking purely at the campaigns, you'd never realise it was the Tories who called a surprise election and not Labour, who should have been on the hop.
    The other thing the Tories must not do next time is fail to turn up to the debates.

    I have anecdotal evidence that that was a key factor with some swing voters.
    It seemed disrespectful to the voters, and you can only run a Presidential campaign if your candidate behaves like a President.
  • Options
    isamisam Posts: 40,952
    Scott_P said:

    Er, Corbyn replaced Ed Miliband.

    I am guessing it's leaders who won elections...
    Clegg?
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    isam said:


    Clegg?

    He was in Government. Unlike Farron, who would have been in the picture otherwise
  • Options
    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,758

    Someone asks am I Stephen Bush?

    How Theresa May abandoned David Cameron's playbook - and paid a terrible price

    Theresa May lost because she rejected Cameroonism, but now his approach to party management is keeping her alive.

    When hen she first became prime minister in 2016, Theresa May took an almost indecent glee in rolling back the era of David Cameron. His chancellor and closest ally, George Osborne, was sacked and the manner of his departure was briefed to the press. The Cameroon chumminess with the media was replaced by a layer of frost.

    Cameron’s strategy of delivering austerity to the young while channelling every possible benefit to the old was abandoned, as was the conscious attempt to reach out to affluent ethnic minorities and social liberals.

    Then on 8 June, it emerged that May had rolled back another Cameron project: the first Conservative parliamentary majority in two decades, squandered with three years of the parliament left to run.

    http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/elections/2017/06/how-theresa-may-abandoned-david-camerons-playbook-and-paid-terrible-price

    total nonsense
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,277

    Sean_F said:

    Someone asks am I Stephen Bush?

    How Theresa May abandoned David Cameron's playbook - and paid a terrible price

    Theresa May lost because she rejected Cameroonism, but now his approach to party management is keeping her alive.

    When hen she first became prime minister in 2016, Theresa May took an almost indecent glee in rolling back the era of David Cameron. His chancellor and closest ally, George Osborne, was sacked and the manner of his departure was briefed to the press. The Cameroon chumminess with the media was replaced by a layer of frost.

    Cameron’s strategy of delivering austerity to the young while channelling every possible benefit to the old was abandoned, as was the conscious attempt to reach out to affluent ethnic minorities and social liberals.

    Then on 8 June, it emerged that May had rolled back another Cameron project: the first Conservative parliamentary majority in two decades, squandered with three years of the parliament left to run.

    http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/elections/2017/06/how-theresa-may-abandoned-david-camerons-playbook-and-paid-terrible-price

    That strategy would certainly have won the Conservatives a working majority this time, but I doubt if it's viable long term.

    The mistake this time was taking benefits from the old, while offering nothing to the young.
    I was chatting to a colleague the other day, and he said if you didn't follow politics closely, looking purely at the campaigns, you'd never realise it was the Tories who called a surprise election and not Labour, who should have been on the hop.
    The other thing the Tories must not do next time is fail to turn up to the debates.

    I have anecdotal evidence that that was a key factor with some swing voters.
    It was, coupled with things like police numbers, it made Mrs May look shifty and evasive.
    It was Farron's one and only good line of the campaign: "How dare you Theresa May, call a snap election and then fail to turn up for its debates."
  • Options
    MattWMattW Posts: 18,645
    edited June 2017

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    Pong said:

    Scott_P said:

    It's going to be everywhere. This is a huge huge scandal erupting in front of us. And the inevitable inquiry will have to go into all the rest of the construction industry. What else is combustible? What else is going to need to be removed and replaced?
    Utter chaos incoming.

    https://twitter.com/bbcscotlandnews/status/878284670093344768
    What cladding was, and will it pass checks. That's more to the point.
    It will still be everywhere though, if not on every building ever constructed. As the 100% failure rate in 32 authorities demonstrates.
    This could easily go the way of the leaky homes scandal in New Zealand:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leaky_homes_crisis

    The cost is so great that it could effect NZ's credit rating. Essentially the Government won't be able to pay for all the repairs.

    Building codes are now very strict in NZ but, of course, it has been a case of shutting the gate after the horse has bolted
    Messy. Flammable shit pit living is de rigeur
    At least we didn't do something as stupid as privatising building contr...... ooooohhh, shit.

    :flushed:
    Privatising what?
    Building Control.

    Hopefully the plans to do the same with Planning Control are now shelved.
    Oh, the planning system? Sorry, was unfamiliar with that term.
    Building Control and Planning Control are separate regimes. The latter remains entirely public.
    I have yet to see any evidence that the Grenfell fire was anything to do with private Building Control services being available.

    The best information I have is that the Building Control was by the Council, but that they possibly switched to working under a Building Notice (*) during the project. This is from reading the detailed planning documents and records.

    Suspect that the stuff about "privatisation of bulding control" is as relevant as the attempted (and fake) narrative about a fire in a Council owned, essentially Council / tenant run, building saying something about private landlords.

    Nor do I think that there is much comparison with the NZ leaky house history - airtightness and watertightness are far more fundamental that External Wall Insulation or cladding.

    * - look this up. Life is too short to describe a Building Notice here.
  • Options
    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,783
    isam said:

    How stupid would someone have to be to think that meant ethnic minorities?

    Looking for suggestions?
  • Options
    isamisam Posts: 40,952
    Scott_P said:

    isam said:


    Clegg?

    He was in Government. Unlike Farron, who would have been in the picture otherwise
    He didn't win an election though.
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,101
    isam said:

    How stupid would someone have to be to think that meant ethnic minorities?

    What you mean is, "How stupid would you need to be to include the statement 'if you believe you’re a citizen of the world, you’re a citizen of nowhere' in an attack on big business?"
  • Options
    The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    edited June 2017

    Similarly, with just three words in her 2016 party conference speech – “citizens of nowhere” – May undid 11 years of good work among affluent ethnic minorities by David Cameron, who worked to reassure Britain’s ethnic middle classes that their interests were better served by voting with their economic interests, rather than against a Conservative Party still defined in the minds of many by Enoch Powell.

    Why can't 'ethnic minorities' be citizens of somewhere (eg Britain) and indeed welcomed and encouraged to become so?
    It certainly struck me as rather prejudiced against ethnic minorities that they can't ever favour loyalty to this country over a generic global citizen mindset. I guess people like Priti Patel and Kwasi Kwarteng aren't supposed to exist.

    You can tell by the rather visceral dislike of Theresa May that there are few things that upset the left more than a conservative woman. I suppose a conservative ethnic minority is one of those things.
    It's wrong to assume that May is disliked because she is a conservative woman. I actually liked TMay when she became leader of the Conservative Party last year.

    Also, I don't think Stephen Bush was saying anything about what ethnic minorities 'should' think, nor did he imply that ethnic minorities shouldn't/can't be conservative.
  • Options
    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,758
    The LibDeads go for the zombie option
  • Options
    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    On topic, I asked last year for Sporting Index to institute a Theresa May days market, but they declined.
  • Options
    isamisam Posts: 40,952

    isam said:

    How stupid would someone have to be to think that meant ethnic minorities?

    What you mean is, "How stupid would you need to be to include the statement 'if you believe you’re a citizen of the world, you’re a citizen of nowhere' in an attack on big business?"
    No it's not!
  • Options
    CornishJohnCornishJohn Posts: 304

    Similarly, with just three words in her 2016 party conference speech – “citizens of nowhere” – May undid 11 years of good work among affluent ethnic minorities by David Cameron, who worked to reassure Britain’s ethnic middle classes that their interests were better served by voting with their economic interests, rather than against a Conservative Party still defined in the minds of many by Enoch Powell.

    Why can't 'ethnic minorities' be citizens of somewhere (eg Britain) and indeed welcomed and encouraged to become so?
    It certainly struck me as rather prejudiced against ethnic minorities that they can't ever favour loyalty to this country over a generic global citizen mindset. I guess people like Priti Patel and Kwasi Kwarteng aren't supposed to exist.

    You can tell by the rather visceral dislike of Theresa May that there are few things that upset the left more than a conservative woman. I suppose a conservative ethnic minority is one of those things.
    It's wrong to assume that May is disliked because she is a conservative woman. I actually liked TMay when she became leader of the Conservative Party last year.

    Also, I don't think Stephen Bush was saying anything about what ethnic minorities 'should' think, nor did he imply that ethnic minorities shouldn't/can't be conservative.
    She is disliked because she is conservative and doesn't want to overturn the electorate's decision on Brexit. She is viscerally disliked because she is a woman.
  • Options
    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,856
    I don't know what the best strategy is for the Conservatives. Try to win back europhile liberals, in places like Battersea, Southgate, and Kensington? Or have such seats just gone the same way as Glasgow Hillhead, Manchester Withington, and Leeds NE and NW did, a generation ago? In which case, do they double down trying to win blue collar voters in places like Ashfield, Dudley North, Grimsby, in the same way Trump did?
  • Options
    isamisam Posts: 40,952
    edited June 2017

    On topic, I asked last year for Sporting Index to institute a Theresa May days market, but they declined.

    If they start offering markets like that, it's time to sell their shares

    I might ask them to institute a similar market for all premiership managers.
  • Options
    FF43FF43 Posts: 15,758

    Sean_F said:

    Someone asks am I Stephen Bush?

    How Theresa May abandoned David Cameron's playbook - and paid a terrible price

    Theresa May lost because she rejected Cameroonism, but now his approach to party management is keeping her alive.

    When hen she first became prime minister in 2016, Theresa May took an almost indecent glee in rolling back the era of David Cameron. His chancellor and closest ally, George Osborne, was sacked and the manner of his departure was briefed to the press. The Cameroon chumminess with the media was replaced by a layer of frost.

    Cameron’s strategy of delivering austerity to the young while channelling every possible benefit to the old was abandoned, as was the conscious attempt to reach out to affluent ethnic minorities and social liberals.

    Then on 8 June, it emerged that May had rolled back another Cameron project: the first Conservative parliamentary majority in two decades, squandered with three years of the parliament left to run.

    http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/elections/2017/06/how-theresa-may-abandoned-david-camerons-playbook-and-paid-terrible-price

    That strategy would certainly have won the Conservatives a working majority this time, but I doubt if it's viable long term.

    The mistake this time was taking benefits from the old, while offering nothing to the young.
    I was chatting to a colleague the other day, and he said if you didn't follow politics closely, looking purely at the campaigns, you'd never realise it was the Tories who called a surprise election and not Labour, who should have been on the hop.
    The other thing the Tories must not do next time is fail to turn up to the debates.

    I have anecdotal evidence that that was a key factor with some swing voters.
    The public aren't necessarily interested in policy but they can smell a rat from fifty paces. If you don't turn up to the debates you either have something to hide or you are so entitled you don't think you need bother make your case. For Mrs May probably a bit of both.
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,101

    She is disliked because she is conservative and doesn't want to overturn the electorate's decision on Brexit.

    How do you know? Assume you were a PM who wanted to overturn the decision on Brexit. What would you do differently to what May has done so far?
  • Options
    sladeslade Posts: 1,932
    rcs1000 said:

    tpfkar said:

    tpfkar said:

    Think there might be about to be a Lib Dem leadership announcement of some form

    Was a PB exclusive for 5 mins. Ed Davey is NOT running.

    Looks like Vince Cable uncontested unless a new MP goes for it. Layla Moran is the only one I could possibly imagine (she's said she wants a contest) but looks like that's it and no membership ballot needed.
    Wera Hobhouse or Tom Brake are further possibilities. I think there will be a contest. Nominations do not close until 20 July.
    I'd like Wera to stand because she has an awesome name.
    She was born in Hanover but married a Brit and is thus I think the second German-born MP ( unless anyone knows any other?)
  • Options
    dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    Sean_F said:

    I don't know what the best strategy is for the Conservatives. Try to win back europhile liberals, in places like Battersea, Southgate, and Kensington? Or have such seats just gone the same way as Glasgow Hillhead, Manchester Withington, and Leeds NE and NW did, a generation ago? In which case, do they double down trying to win blue collar voters in places like Ashfield, Dudley North, Grimsby, in the same way Trump did?

    Movement in 2015 and 2017 suggests the latter. There is a WWC, kipper, socially neutral, work focused JAM vote to Hoover up. They are lost imo to liberal London.
  • Options
    FF43FF43 Posts: 15,758
    The point still stands. It's the revenge of the old.
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,526
    So all those times I criticised Iain Duncan Smith was all down to him being a Tory woman, and not an awful Tory leader.
  • Options
    CornishJohnCornishJohn Posts: 304
    Sean_F said:

    I don't know what the best strategy is for the Conservatives. Try to win back europhile liberals, in places like Battersea, Southgate, and Kensington? Or have such seats just gone the same way as Glasgow Hillhead, Manchester Withington, and Leeds NE and NW did, a generation ago? In which case, do they double down trying to win blue collar voters in places like Ashfield, Dudley North, Grimsby, in the same way Trump did?

    The second in the short term. Both in the long term.

    Europhile liberals are and will remain angry at the British public for voting for Brexit for a decade. But they can not take their anger out on the British public, so they will instead take it out on the Conservatives for implementing the result.

    What we can do is to remain internationalist in every way except for EU membership and most immigration. We should be pro-trade, pro-development, pro-international military alliances, pro-business and pro-high skilled immigration. Once the Brexit anger subsides, they will compare that to the protectionism and violence on the left.
  • Options
    The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830

    Similarly, with just three words in her 2016 party conference speech – “citizens of nowhere” – May undid 11 years of good work among affluent ethnic minorities by David Cameron, who worked to reassure Britain’s ethnic middle classes that their interests were better served by voting with their economic interests, rather than against a Conservative Party still defined in the minds of many by Enoch Powell.

    Why can't 'ethnic minorities' be citizens of somewhere (eg Britain) and indeed welcomed and encouraged to become so?
    It certainly struck me as rather prejudiced against ethnic minorities that they can't ever favour loyalty to this country over a generic global citizen mindset. I guess people like Priti Patel and Kwasi Kwarteng aren't supposed to exist.

    You can tell by the rather visceral dislike of Theresa May that there are few things that upset the left more than a conservative woman. I suppose a conservative ethnic minority is one of those things.
    It's wrong to assume that May is disliked because she is a conservative woman. I actually liked TMay when she became leader of the Conservative Party last year.

    Also, I don't think Stephen Bush was saying anything about what ethnic minorities 'should' think, nor did he imply that ethnic minorities shouldn't/can't be conservative.
    She is disliked because she is conservative and doesn't want to overturn the electorate's decision on Brexit. She is viscerally disliked because she is a woman.
    She had very good personal ratings as recently as April so I don't see how her unpopularity could suddenly be down to her gender and her being conservative. She even had decent ratings with Labour supporters, too.

    Most don't expect TMay to 'overturn the electorate's decision on Brexit'. There are many though, who have long had concerns over a Hard Brexit and didn't appreciate being ignored by TMay when Brexit will affect all of us, not just those who voted to Leave.
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,101
    slade said:

    rcs1000 said:

    tpfkar said:

    tpfkar said:

    Think there might be about to be a Lib Dem leadership announcement of some form

    Was a PB exclusive for 5 mins. Ed Davey is NOT running.

    Looks like Vince Cable uncontested unless a new MP goes for it. Layla Moran is the only one I could possibly imagine (she's said she wants a contest) but looks like that's it and no membership ballot needed.
    Wera Hobhouse or Tom Brake are further possibilities. I think there will be a contest. Nominations do not close until 20 July.
    I'd like Wera to stand because she has an awesome name.
    She was born in Hanover but married a Brit and is thus I think the second German-born MP ( unless anyone knows any other?)
    Natascha Engel was born in Berlin.
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,526
    slade said:

    rcs1000 said:

    tpfkar said:

    tpfkar said:

    Think there might be about to be a Lib Dem leadership announcement of some form

    Was a PB exclusive for 5 mins. Ed Davey is NOT running.

    Looks like Vince Cable uncontested unless a new MP goes for it. Layla Moran is the only one I could possibly imagine (she's said she wants a contest) but looks like that's it and no membership ballot needed.
    Wera Hobhouse or Tom Brake are further possibilities. I think there will be a contest. Nominations do not close until 20 July.
    I'd like Wera to stand because she has an awesome name.
    She was born in Hanover but married a Brit and is thus I think the second German-born MP ( unless anyone knows any other?)
    Well the UK has a good history of when it was led by Hanoverians.
  • Options
    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,758
    Lefties look away

    Poster boy Macron invites the Donald to Paris for 14 July celebrations

    http://www.lefigaro.fr/elections/legislatives/2017/06/27/38001-20170627LIVWWW00008-en-direct-assemblee-nationale-emmanuel-macron-edouard-philippe-francois-de-rugy.php

    Arlene Foster to head parade
  • Options
    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787

    Similarly, with just three words in her 2016 party conference speech – “citizens of nowhere” – May undid 11 years of good work among affluent ethnic minorities by David Cameron, who worked to reassure Britain’s ethnic middle classes that their interests were better served by voting with their economic interests, rather than against a Conservative Party still defined in the minds of many by Enoch Powell.

    Why can't 'ethnic minorities' be citizens of somewhere (eg Britain) and indeed welcomed and encouraged to become so?
    It certainly struck me as rather prejudiced against ethnic minorities that they can't ever favour loyalty to this country over a generic global citizen mindset. I guess people like Priti Patel and Kwasi Kwarteng aren't supposed to exist.

    You can tell by the rather visceral dislike of Theresa May that there are few things that upset the left more than a conservative woman. I suppose a conservative ethnic minority is one of those things.
    It's wrong to assume that May is disliked because she is a conservative woman. I actually liked TMay when she became leader of the Conservative Party last year.

    Also, I don't think Stephen Bush was saying anything about what ethnic minorities 'should' think, nor did he imply that ethnic minorities shouldn't/can't be conservative.
    She is disliked because she is conservative and doesn't want to overturn the electorate's decision on Brexit. She is viscerally disliked because she is a woman.
    If that was true her approval ratings 3 months ago would have been dire.

    Try again.
  • Options
    Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091

    Sean_F said:

    I don't know what the best strategy is for the Conservatives. Try to win back europhile liberals, in places like Battersea, Southgate, and Kensington? Or have such seats just gone the same way as Glasgow Hillhead, Manchester Withington, and Leeds NE and NW did, a generation ago? In which case, do they double down trying to win blue collar voters in places like Ashfield, Dudley North, Grimsby, in the same way Trump did?

    Movement in 2015 and 2017 suggests the latter. There is a WWC, kipper, socially neutral, work focused JAM vote to Hoover up. They are lost imo to liberal London.
    But for all that much of the white working-class might have Kipperish tendencies on social issues, they still often have a traditional Labour view on economics and public services - especially the more North you go.
  • Options
    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,856

    She is disliked because she is conservative and doesn't want to overturn the electorate's decision on Brexit.

    How do you know? Assume you were a PM who wanted to overturn the decision on Brexit. What would you do differently to what May has done so far?
    I'd find reasons not to implement Article 50.
This discussion has been closed.