politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Just to confirm: Friday’s Pre-GE2017 gathering WILL be taking

Presumably May and Corbyn will visit Manchester? For all his manifold faults, Corbyn can rally the troops, and might be able to bring some cheer in what is a Corbynista heartland.

https://twitter.com/hendopolis/status/867128050345005057

YBarddCwsc said:

justin124 said:

RobD said:

justin124 said:

ThomasNashe said:

nielh said:

ThomasNashe said:

I've voted Labour at every GE since 1983, but the prospect of Diane Abbot being in charge of the security services is in itself reason enough to vote Tory this time round - and I suspect after last night I won't be the only one who thinks that way.

You can still vote labour safely in the knowledge that they have no chance whatsoever of winning, the issue is how big (and undeserved) the tory majority is.
Its a toss up between wanting to make sure that there is an opposition, and wanting not to prolong the misery of having Corbyn and Abbot etc and the naive hard left controlling the main opposition party.
Quite a difficult decision. I don't know if I can bring myself to endorse Corbyn for the reasons you describe.

Yes, took me a lot of agonising, but I finally decided this weekend I will have to vote Tory - and that is my settled decision. I've been posting here off and on since 2005, and I never thought I'd live to become a PB Tory! But there we are.

You have decided to throw in your lot with the 'lower form of life' .

He couldn't resist the power of the dark side.

Well I have a niece in her mid-20s who works for the NHS and lives in Gower the most marginal seat in the country. Three weeks back she was talking in terms of voting for May -over Brexit in essence. I have no idea as to her present intentions but if I subsequently discover that she has voted Tory , she will cease to be a beneficiary of my estate. It would effectively cost her circa £75,000 - though she will never know that because I am saying nothing.

Is there some insane pb competition to construct the looniest post?

Mark Senior's was good, but this is better.

Not even close to Mark's. It's a harsh view many might not take, but it is merely a personal matter at least.

TheWhiteRabbit said:

justin124 said:

RobD said:

justin124 said:

ThomasNashe said:

nielh said:

ThomasNashe said:

I've voted Labour at every GE since 1983, but the prospect of Diane Abbot being in charge of the security services is in itself reason enough to vote Tory this time round - and I suspect after last night I won't be the only one who thinks that way.

You can still vote labour safely in the knowledge that they have no chance whatsoever of winning, the issue is how big (and undeserved) the tory majority is.
Its a toss up between wanting to make sure that there is an opposition, and wanting not to prolong the misery of having Corbyn and Abbot etc and the naive hard left controlling the main opposition party.
Quite a difficult decision. I don't know if I can bring myself to endorse Corbyn for the reasons you describe.

Yes, took me a lot of agonising, but I finally decided this weekend I will have to vote Tory - and that is my settled decision. I've been posting here off and on since 2005, and I never thought I'd live to become a PB Tory! But there we are.

You have decided to throw in your lot with the 'lower form of life' .

He couldn't resist the power of the dark side.

Well I have a niece in her mid-20s who works for the NHS and lives in Gower the most marginal seat in the country. Three weeks back she was talking in terms of voting for May -over Brexit in essence. I have no idea as to her present intentions but if I subsequently discover that she has voted Tory , she will cease to be a beneficiary of my estate. It would effectively cost her circa £75,000 - though she will never know that because I am saying nothing.

I honestly can't get into the head of someone who places politics above family.</

Gower is very winnable for Labour and we need every vote. Why anyone in the NHS in Wales votes Tory I just do not understand. I think you should have a word in her ear Justin.

Scott_P said:

@RupertMyers: This is important: this escalation of the threat level is not a political decision

I think the logic is pretty simple. The bomber almost certainly had some support, even if it was only transport, and if they can make one bomb they can make more. So until the bomber's associates are all accounted for you have to assume another attack could be imminent. We saw that back in 2005, so it's not an unreasonable assumption.

CommanderShepard said:

Nigelb said:

TheScreamingEagles said:

Chameleon said:

Without wishing to be unduly cynical, are we in a state of emergency because of credible intelligence, or because TMay wants to be seen to be doing something?

On a similarly related note, in the next week I'm going to two playoff finals, a theme park and a music performance. I do really have a knack for timing, don't I?

I'm at Headingley tomorrow for the England v Saffers match.

I think the biggest thing I have to worry about is the weather.

I'm not sure about that.


Joe Root's form has been a bit patchy.

The best Yorkshire one day batsman probably wont be in the team.

Gary Ballance


(I know Bairstow)

SeanT said:

TheWhiteRabbit said:

justin124 said:

RobD said:

justin124 said:

ThomasNashe said:

nielh said:

ThomasNashe said:

I've voted Labour at every GE since 1983, but the prospect of Diane Abbot being in charge of the security services is in itself reason enough to vote Tory this time round - and I suspect after last night I won't be the only one who thinks that way.

You can still vote labour safely in the knowledge that they have no chance whatsoever of winning, the issue is how big (and undeserved) the tory majority is.
Its a toss up between wanting to make sure that there is an opposition, and wanting not to prolong the misery of having Corbyn and Abbot etc and the naive hard left controlling the main opposition party.
Quite a difficult decision. I don't know if I can bring myself to endorse Corbyn for the reasons you describe.

Yes, took me a lot of agonising, but I finally decided this weekend I will have to vote Tory - and that is my settled decision. I've been posting here off and on since 2005, and I never thought I'd live to become a PB Tory! But there we are.

You have decided to throw in your lot with the 'lower form of life' .

He couldn't resist the power of the dark side.

Well I have a niece in her mid-20s who works for the NHS and lives in Gower the most marginal seat in the country. Three weeks back she was talking in terms of voting for May -over Brexit in essence. I have no idea as to her present intentions but if I subsequently discover that she has voted Tory , she will cease to be a beneficiary of my estate. It would effectively cost her circa £75,000 - though she will never know that because I am saying nothing.

I honestly can't get into the head of someone who places politics above family.

If my daughters or nieces or anyone entitled to my humble estate becomes a Marxist or a LibDem or a Flat Earther, I will love them as humans, and as my blood, and they will inherit.

Unless of course you're a dribbling wreck who has spunked all the inheritance first on nubile hookers and latterly on an aged German matron you have employed to wipe your arse.

Scott_P said:

https://twitter.com/hendopolis/status/867125135387615233

The IRA killed kids too. Didn't they, Jeremy?

TheScreamingEagles said:

Just when you thought Milo couldn't be an even bigger dick

Sadly, Ariana Grande is too stupid to wise up and warn her European fans about the real threats to their freedom and their lives. She will remain ferociously pro-immigrant, pro-Islam and anti-America. Makes you wonder whether they bombed to attack her or in solidarity.

https://www.facebook.com/myiannopoulos/posts/919697851501444

That could easily have just said'

"Me me me me me, me me me me me. Me me me, me me me me me: me" Over and over again.

TheWhiteRabbit said:

justin124 said:

RobD said:

justin124 said:

ThomasNashe said:

nielh said:

ThomasNashe said:

I've voted Labour at every GE since 1983, but the prospect of Diane Abbot being in charge of the security services is in itself reason enough to vote Tory this time round - and I suspect after last night I won't be the only one who thinks that way.

You can still vote labour safely in the knowledge that they have no chance whatsoever of winning, the issue is how big (and undeserved) the tory majority is.
Its a toss up between wanting to make sure that there is an opposition, and wanting not to prolong the misery of having Corbyn and Abbot etc and the naive hard left controlling the main opposition party.
Quite a difficult decision. I don't know if I can bring myself to endorse Corbyn for the reasons you describe.

Yes, took me a lot of agonising, but I finally decided this weekend I will have to vote Tory - and that is my settled decision. I've been posting here off and on since 2005, and I never thought I'd live to become a PB Tory! But there we are.

You have decided to throw in your lot with the 'lower form of life' .

He couldn't resist the power of the dark side.

Well I have a niece in her mid-20s who works for the NHS and lives in Gower the most marginal seat in the country. Three weeks back she was talking in terms of voting for May -over Brexit in essence. I have no idea as to her present intentions but if I subsequently discover that she has voted Tory , she will cease to be a beneficiary of my estate. It would effectively cost her circa £75,000 - though she will never know that because I am saying nothing.

I honestly can't get into the head of someone who places politics above family.</

Gower is very winnable for Labour and we need every vote. Why anyone in the NHS in Wales votes Tory I just do not understand. I think you should have a word in her ear Justin.</p>

Isn't the Welsh Government in charge of the NHS in wales?
And isn't the Welsh Government a Labour Majority Government ...

HYUFD said:

CommanderShepard said:

HYUFD said:

CommanderShepard said:

Sean_F said:

MarkSenior said:

What May should really have said today .
A few weeks ago I called an unnecessary GE for purely partisan reasons on the pretext of needing a strong and stable government . My weak and wobbly campaign has distracted and weakened the resources of our security services and contributed to the deaths of many young people in Manchester . As PM the buck stops at my desk and I will be seeing the Queen to tender my resignation later today .

That's pretty unhinged.

In fact, after reading Marks post again its not just unhinged, its down right disgusting. I would of expected better of him. I guess Tim Farron disastrous leadership of the Libdems has effected his critical faculties.

I suggest he sticks to Parish council by elections, like most LDs he is clearly not ready for the big time

To be fair, Marks quality of post has been going down hill. They have been interesting previously, but have become more divorced from reality.

Yes, the partisan has overtaken the objective

NickP can be partisan, heck most Tories on here are partisan, but at its best this site is font of knowledge on everything from dodgy music taste (yes you TSE), unhealthy obsession with all things Roman (you know who you are Mr D) and funny vitriol that occasionally goes to far( our own namesless lothario). Its worth posting and interacting with those of different opinions to expand our on knowledge and understanding.

I hope Mark has the sense to reflect and realise what he posted was bollocks.

OUT said:

Scott_P said:

twitter.com/hendopolis/status/867128050345005057

Dicks at the sun putting these two side by side.
Who cares what he looks like.

Agreed

justin124 said:

YBarddCwsc said:

justin124 said:

RobD said:

justin124 said:

ThomasNashe said:

nielh said:

ThomasNashe said:

I've voted Labour at every GE since 1983, but the prospect of Diane Abbot being in charge of the security services is in itself reason enough to vote Tory this time round - and I suspect after last night I won't be the only one who thinks that way.

You can still vote labour safely in the knowledge that they have no chance whatsoever of winning, the issue is how big (and undeserved) the tory majority is.
Its a toss up between wanting to make sure that there is an opposition, and wanting not to prolong the misery of having Corbyn and Abbot etc and the naive hard left controlling the main opposition party.
Quite a difficult decision. I don't know if I can bring myself to endorse Corbyn for the reasons you describe.

Yes, took me a lot of agonising, but I finally decided this weekend I will have to vote Tory - and that is my settled decision. I've been posting here off and on since 2005, and I never thought I'd live to become a PB Tory! But there we are.

You have decided to throw in your lot with the 'lower form of life' .

He couldn't resist the power of the dark side.

Well I have a niece in her mid-20s who works for the NHS and lives in Gower the most marginal seat in the country. Three weeks back she was talking in terms of voting for May -over Brexit in essence. I have no idea as to her present intentions but if I subsequently discover that she has voted Tory , she will cease to be a beneficiary of my estate. It would effectively cost her circa £75,000 - though she will never know that because I am saying nothing.

Is there some insane pb competition to construct the looniest post?

Mark Senior's was good, but this is better.

It is just a clear statement of my intentions!

If she reads PB, does that constitute an electoral offense ?

FrancisUrquhart said:

glw said:

Scott_P said:

@RupertMyers: This is important: this escalation of the threat level is not a political decision >

I think the logic is pretty simple. The bomber almost certainly had some support, even if it was only transport, and if they can make one bomb they can make more. So until the bomber's associates are all accounted for you have to assume another attack could be imminent. We saw that back in 2005, so it's not an unreasonable assumption.

May in her statement mentioned possibility of functioning terrorist network. I don't remember on previous occasions there has been any mention of such a thing (albeit I think most people suspect there has to be of some sort of ISIS supporters network).

Didn't she just say that they cannot at this stage rule out he was not working with a wider group of individuals, which given the type of attack is imminently sensible one day after the event?

RobD said:

eek said:

Isn't the Welsh Government in charge of the NHS in wales?
And isn't the Welsh Government a Labour Majority Government ...

You and your facts.

Justin is entitled to argue the point with her. Except apparently instead of discussing it, like adults, and maybe realising that two sensible people can come to different conclusions about what's best for Britain, he's just throwing an expensive hissy fit.

Nigelb said:

justin124 said:

YBarddCwsc said:

justin124 said:

RobD said:

justin124 said:

ThomasNashe said:

nielh said:

ThomasNashe said:

I've voted Labour at every GE since 1983, but the prospect of Diane Abbot being in charge of the security services is in itself reason enough to vote Tory this time round - and I suspect after last night I won't be the only one who thinks that way.

You can still vote labour safely in the knowledge that they have no chance whatsoever of winning, the issue is how big (and undeserved) the tory majority is.
Its a toss up between wanting to make sure that there is an opposition, and wanting not to prolong the misery of having Corbyn and Abbot etc and the naive hard left controlling the main opposition party.
Quite a difficult decision. I don't know if I can bring myself to endorse Corbyn for the reasons you describe.

Yes, took me a lot of agonising, but I finally decided this weekend I will have to vote Tory - and that is my settled decision. I've been posting here off and on since 2005, and I never thought I'd live to become a PB Tory! But there we are.

You have decided to throw in your lot with the 'lower form of life' .

He couldn't resist the power of the dark side.

Well I have a niece in her mid-20s who works for the NHS and lives in Gower the most marginal seat in the country. Three weeks back she was talking in terms of voting for May -over Brexit in essence. I have no idea as to her present intentions but if I subsequently discover that she has voted Tory , she will cease to be a beneficiary of my estate. It would effectively cost her circa £75,000 - though she will never know that because I am saying nothing.

Is there some insane pb competition to construct the looniest post?

Mark Senior's was good, but this is better.

It is just a clear statement of my intentions!

If she reads PB, does that constitute an electoral offense ?

It does

Yorkcity said:

I think if there is a possibility this election could be cancelled .If normal political activity can not be continued and campaigns suspended for over a week and the PM and government having to do it's best to control the situation .

It will go ahead, just with heightened security, she gets her 100+ majority and we move on

Richard_Tyndall said:

Floater said:

CommanderShepard said:

HYUFD said:

CommanderShepard said:

Sean_F said:

MarkSenior said:

What May should really have said today .
A few weeks ago I called an unnecessary GE for purely partisan reasons on the pretext of needing a strong and stable government . My weak and wobbly campaign has distracted and weakened the resources of our security services and contributed to the deaths of many young people in Manchester . As PM the buck stops at my desk and I will be seeing the Queen to tender my resignation later today .

That's pretty unhinged.

In fact, after reading Marks post again its not just unhinged, its down right disgusting. I would of expected better of him. I guess Tim Farron disastrous leadership of the Libdems has effected his critical faculties.

I suggest he sticks to Parish council by elections, like most LDs he is clearly not ready for the big time

To be fair, Marks quality of post has been going down hill. They have been interesting previously, but have become more divorced from reality.

Mark is consumed by hatred, it really is not pretty.

Yep, the fact that he is willing to try and make political capital out of this when everyone else from all sides of the debate is doing their very best to stand above politics really shows what a twisted character he truly is.

Well not everyone, and the politicisation to a certain degree has been defended, but it was a particularly horrible comment, and baseless to boot, mere assumption yet making horrendous accusations.

Yorkcity said:

I think if there is a possibility this election could be cancelled .If normal political activity can not be continued and campaigns suspended for over a week and the PM and government having to do it's best to control the situation .

The writs have been moved, an election has to take place.

bobajobPB said:

Presumably May and Corbyn will visit Manchester? For all his manifold faults, Corbyn can rally the troops, and might be able to bring some cheer in what is a Corbynista heartland.

What are you on?

HYUFD said:

Yorkcity said:

I think if there is a possibility this election could be cancelled .If normal political activity can not be continued and campaigns suspended for over a week and the PM and government having to do it's best to control the situation .

It will go ahead, just with heightened security, she gets her 100+ majority and we move on

I don't think it will be, but what is the process for such a move. There is no Parliament. So cancelling the election will just mean there is no new Parliament.

SeanT said:

TOPPING said:

SeanT said:

TheWhiteRabbit said:

justin124 said:

RobD said:

justin124 said:

ThomasNashe said:

nielh said:

ThomasNashe said:

I've voted Labour at every GE since 1983, but the prospect of Diane Abbot being in charge of the security services is in itself reason enough to vote Tory this time round - and I suspect after last night I won't be the only one who thinks that way.

You can still voif I can bring myself to endorse Corbyn for the reasons you describe.

Yes, took me a lot of agonising, but I finally decided this weekend I will have to vote Tory - and that is my settled decision. I've been posting here off and on since 2005, and I never thought I'd live to become a PB Tory! But there we are.

You have decided to throw in your lot with the 'lower form of life' .

He couldn't resist the power of the dark side.

Well I have a niece in her mid-20s who works for the NHS and lives in Gower the most marginal seat in the country. Three weeks back she was talking in terms of voting for May -over Brexit in essence. I have no idea as to her present intentions but if I subsequently discover that she has voted Tory , she will cease to be a beneficiary of my estate. It would effectively cost her circa £75,000 - though she will never know that because I am saying nothing.

I honestly can't get into the head of someone who places politics above family.

If my daughters or nieces or anyone entitled to my humble estate becomes a Marxist or a LibDem or a Flat Earther, I will love them as humans, and as my blood, and they will inherit.

Unless of course you're a dribbling wreck who has spunked all the inheritance first on nubile hookers and latterly on an aged German matron you have employed to wipe your arse.

I hope to die of a cerebral hemmorhage, during fantastically satisfying, very animalistic coition, while still in my late middle aged prime.

And there we were, thinking you had another couple of books in you...

MarkSenior said:

What May should really have said today .
A few weeks ago I called an unnecessary GE for purely partisan reasons on the pretext of needing a strong and stable government . My weak and wobbly campaign has distracted and weakened the resources of our security services and contributed to the deaths of many young people in Manchester . As PM the buck stops at my desk and I will be seeing the Queen to tender my resignation later today .

That's unusually unpleasant, even by your standards you contemptible shred of a man

kle4 said:

RobD said:

HYUFD said:

Yorkcity said:

I think if there is a possibility this election could be cancelled .If normal political activity can not be continued and campaigns suspended for over a week and the PM and government having to do it's best to control the situation .

It will go ahead, just with heightened security, she gets her 100+ majority and we move on

I don't think it will be, but what is the process for such a move. There is no Parliament. So cancelling the election will just mean there is no new Parliament.

HM takes over and all legislation henceforth by Order-in-Council.

(Note - I am not a constitutional lawyer).

She may have to appoint regional governors.. to keep things running smoothly

Nigelb said:

SeanT said:

TOPPING said:

SeanT said:

TheWhiteRabbit said:

justin124 said:

RobD said:

justin124 said:

ThomasNashe said:

nielh said:

ThomasNashe said:

I've voted Labour at every GE since 1983, but the prospect of Diane Abbot being in charge of the security services is in itself reason enough to vote Tory this time round - and I suspect after last night I won't be the only one who thinks that way.

You can still voif I can bring myself to endorse Corbyn for the reasons you describe.

Yes, took me a lot of agonising, but I finally decided this weekend I will have to vote Tory - and that is my settled decision. I've been posting here off and on since 2005, and I never thought I'd live to become a PB Tory! But there we are.

You have decided to throw in your lot with the 'lower form of life' .

He couldn't resist the power of the dark side.

Well I have a niece in her mid-20s who works for the NHS and lives in Gower the most marginal seat in the country. Three weeks back she was talking in terms of voting for May -over Brexit in essence. I have no idea as to her present intentions but if I subsequently discover that she has voted Tory , she will cease to be a beneficiary of my estate. It would effectively cost her circa £75,000 - though she will never know that because I am saying nothing.

I honestly can't get into the head of someone who places politics above family.

If my daughters or nieces or anyone entitled to my humble estate becomes a Marxist or a LibDem or a Flat Earther, I will love them as humans, and as my blood, and they will inherit.

Unless of course you're a dribbling wreck who has spunked all the inheritance first on nubile hookers and latterly on an aged German matron you have employed to wipe your arse.

I hope to die of a cerebral hemmorhage, during fantastically satisfying, very animalistic coition, while still in my late middle aged prime.

And there we were, thinking you had another couple of books in you...

It'll be his unfinished work. A best seller!

Time to take the gloves off...it is often stated that MI5 have hundreds if not 1000s on their watch list, but do not have sufficient resources to track them all. So send every one of them an email to pop down to the local police station for a friendly and voluntary chat. Inform them that they are are on a watch list and with immediate effect they are banned from attending certain events, mixing with certain individuals, and have to submit a weekly log of their movements to MI5. Then tag them with a RFID chip like they have on dogs. RfID scanners to be used at all airports, train stations , events etc to look for chipped suspects. Providing they have logged their movements in advance and expect to be regularly and 'randomly' searched then no problem.

Meanwhile everyone who does not cooperate to be rounded up and given the same treatnent but also given a gps tracker that must be carried with them at all times to allow active tracking. Tracker can be removed for activities like swimming etc...providing notified in advance. Unauthorised removal of tracker to result in arrest and fixing of unremoveable bracelet.

That should hopefully balance security with liberty....

glw said:

Danny565 said:

She also stressed that it was being raised "for the time being", which to me suggests she doesn't think it likely to last that long. Though, of course, even if privately the police think it's more serious, she may be deliberately trying to play it down to prevent a public panic.

I would take "for the time being" quite literally, it almost certainly means "until the police have rounded up his associates". Once the police are confident they have them all I would expect the threat level to go back down.

Will we ever see the threat level at "low"? A depressing thought.

RobD said:

HYUFD said:

Yorkcity said:

I think if there is a possibility this election could be cancelled .If normal political activity can not be continued and campaigns suspended for over a week and the PM and government having to do it's best to control the situation .

It will go ahead, just with heightened security, she gets her 100+ majority and we move on

I don't think it will be, but what is the process for such a move. There is no Parliament. So cancelling the election will just mean there is no new Parliament.

Indeed but May has not gone this far to go back to what she had before it will go ahead, we 'don't cower in the face of terror' etc even if there have to be armed police outside polling stations

I reckon that's it for the week personally.

Campaigns always resume more slowly than we'd like here. Will it be allowed by the weekend ?

Pulpstar said:

I reckon that's it for the week personally.

Campaigns always resume more slowly than we'd like here. Will it be allowed by the weekend ?

Won't the local campaigning ramp up much faster than the national campaign?

kle4 said:

Didn't the americans hold a presidential election during the american civil war?

I've often wondered how free and fair a process it was.

They did.

We held a general election during the second world war.

IanB2 said:

glw said:

Danny565 said:

She also stressed that it was being raised "for the time being", which to me suggests she doesn't think it likely to last that long. Though, of course, even if privately the police think it's more serious, she may be deliberately trying to play it down to prevent a public panic.

I would take "for the time being" quite literally, it almost certainly means "until the police have rounded up his associates". Once the police are confident they have them all I would expect the threat level to go back down.

The only person on the open electoral register in the UK with the same name as the alleged attacker lives in Manchester with two other people at the same address. Assuming it is him, I would the Police will have them already, or soon.

Given you know this, I bloody well hope the police already know it!

RobD said:

FrancisUrquhart said:

Scott_P said:

@bbclaurak: Labour confirms no national campaigning tmrw

Does that mean local is still on?

https://twitter.com/GuardianHeather/status/867121741247770624?ref_src=twsrc^tfw&amp;ref_url=http://politicalbetting.vanillaforums.com/discussion/4960/politicalbetting-com-blog-archive-just-to-confirm-friday-s-pre-ge2017-gathering-will-be-taking/p1

They should everybody else has to carry on and go to work .If it is that bad call the election off.

Yorkcity said:

RobD said:

FrancisUrquhart said:

Scott_P said:

@bbclaurak: Labour confirms no national campaigning tmrw

Does that mean local is still on?

https://twitter.com/GuardianHeather/status/867121741247770624?ref_src=twsrc^tfw&amp;ref_url=http://politicalbetting.vanillaforums.com/discussion/4960/politicalbetting-com-blog-archive-just-to-confirm-friday-s-pre-ge2017-gathering-will-be-taking/p1

They should everybody else has to carry on and go to work .If it is that bad call the election off.

How? What is the mechanism to cancel an election? there would simply be no Parliament if there wasn't an election. The deed is done, as it were.

FrancisUrquhart said:

kle4 said:

FrancisUrquhart said:

glw said:

Scott_P said:

@RupertMyers: This is important: this escalation of the threat level is not a political decision >

I think the logic is pretty simple. The bomber almost certainly had some support, even if it was only transport, and if they can make one bomb they can make more. So until the bomber's associates are all accounted for you have to assume another attack could be imminent. We saw that back in 2005, so it's not an unreasonable assumption.

May in her statement mentioned possibility of functioning terrorist network. I don't remember on previous occasions there has been any mention of such a thing (albeit I think most people suspect there has to be of some sort of ISIS supporters network).

Didn't she just say that they cannot at this stage rule out he was not working with a wider group of individuals, which given the type of attack is imminently sensible one day after the event?

Maybe I misheard...but given the deployment of the army as well...we have to think intel suggests there is more going on than previous lone wolf nutters.

Previous attacks it has all been about this is one extremist, we will carry on, no need to change your daily routine or be alarmed. This was different.

Sky news earlier was all about loan individual blah blah blah.

I would be amazed if there was not (at least) a cell providing support.

Someone will typically be around to offer moral support as doubt may creep in.

Where did he form his world view and who did the planning and reconnaissance - how did he get there on the night.....

Lots of questions

Yorkcity said:

RobD said:

FrancisUrquhart said:

Scott_P said:

@bbclaurak: Labour confirms no national campaigning tmrw

Does that mean local is still on?

https://twitter.com/GuardianHeather/status/867121741247770624?ref_src=twsrc^tfw&amp;ref_url=http://politicalbetting.vanillaforums.com/discussion/4960/politicalbetting-com-blog-archive-just-to-confirm-friday-s-pre-ge2017-gathering-will-be-taking/p1

They should everybody else has to carry on and go to work .If it is that bad call the election off.

Maybe it'll be wrapped up in a day or two - bit early to be calling things off, never mind the hows of that occurring.

Floater said:

It typically will not be the bomb maker who makes the attack

Yep, that's certainly the worry.

They'll have analysed the remnants of the device by now, and be able to tell from components/design/construction whether it was built by an experienced bomb-maker, or a relative novice.

RobD said:

IanB2 said:

glw said:

Danny565 said:

She also stressed that it was being raised "for the time being", which to me suggests she doesn't think it likely to last that long. Though, of course, even if privately the police think it's more serious, she may be deliberately trying to play it down to prevent a public panic.

I would take "for the time being" quite literally, it almost certainly means "until the police have rounded up his associates". Once the police are confident they have them all I would expect the threat level to go back down.

The only person on the open electoral register in the UK with the same name as the alleged attacker lives in Manchester with two other people at the same address. Assuming it is him, I would the Police will have them already, or soon.

Given you know this, I bloody well hope the police already know it!

When CBS released the name I googled it this morning, and it was about the third or fourth item on the search. I would expect our security services to be rather more skilled at such things than me. Particularly as the News report said MI5 already had him on their list of people to watch!

kle4 said:

Yorkcity said:

RobD said:

FrancisUrquhart said:

Scott_P said:

@bbclaurak: Labour confirms no national campaigning tmrw

Does that mean local is still on?

https://twitter.com/GuardianHeather/status/867121741247770624?ref_src=twsrc^tfw&amp;ref_url=http://politicalbetting.vanillaforums.com/discussion/4960/politicalbetting-com-blog-archive-just-to-confirm-friday-s-pre-ge2017-gathering-will-be-taking/p1

They should everybody else has to carry on and go to work .If it is that bad call the election off.

Maybe it'll be wrapped up in a day or two - bit early to be calling things off, never mind the hows of that occurring.

It won't be, campaigning will resume at the weekend under heightened security, though I doubt even ISIS can be bothered to assassinate Corbyn, Farron and Nuttall

SeanT said:

glw said:

FrancisUrquhart said:

May in her statement mentioned possibility of functioning terrorist network. I don't remember on previous occasions there has been any mention of such a thing (albeit I think most people suspect there has to be of some sort of ISIS supporters network).

I suspect there are already some forensics about the bomb that point to it not being something improvised by one guy in his shed, like fireworks, black powder, or the like.

All indications I've read say that this was a sophisticated bomb, cleverly designed for maximum lethality, and ISIS would not waste a talented bomb-maker in a suicide bid.

So, presumably, the ISIS bomb-maker is still out there, and MI5 don't know who or where he is, and he is expected to attack again, soon, before the security forces solve the puzzle.

This explains the Critical rating. TMay had, literally, no choice.

As others have said, TMay is just the messenger viz. the threat level.

IanB2 said:

RobD said:

IanB2 said:

glw said:

Danny565 said:

She also stressed that it was being raised "for the time being", which to me suggests she doesn't think it likely to last that long. Though, of course, even if privately the police think it's more serious, she may be deliberately trying to play it down to prevent a public panic.

I would take "for the time being" quite literally, it almost certainly means "until the police have rounded up his associates". Once the police are confident they have them all I would expect the threat level to go back down.

The only person on the open electoral register in the UK with the same name as the alleged attacker lives in Manchester with two other people at the same address. Assuming it is him, I would the Police will have them already, or soon.

Given you know this, I bloody well hope the police already know it!

When CBS released the name I googled it this morning, and it was about the third or fourth item on the search. I would expect our security services to be rather more skilled at such things than me. Particularly as the News report said MI5 already had him on their list of people to watch!

Apparently the name was leaked by our helpful friends in US intelligence.

bobajobPB said:

SandyRentool said:

bobajobPB said:

Sandy

Bizarre. I did the same. As you imply, act in haste, repent at leisure. Five long years in that particular case!

There is more that unites us than divides us!

Indeed. I don't know if you saw my post the other evening but the hatchet was buried from my point of view many months ago. I probably went a bit far with the knuckle dragging stuff. Sorry.

Thanks. I did see you earlier post. And I'm sorry for snapping at you in the past. It's the risk we all run as a result of debating politics.

GIN1138 said:

Richard_Nabavi said:

Blimey.Just blimey.

Let's get this sttaight:Mrs May is being criticised because the security level has been increaed 24 hours aftern a deadly and sophisticated terrorist attack?

Really?

I'm surprised that people are surprised.

This was clearly a VERY sophisticated attack - The first one since 2005 - The security services would be showing a crass dereliction of their duty if they didn't raise the security threat to it's highest level in light of this.

Well exactly. No matter if there emerge any serious or difficult questions for anybody, of any station, in all this, that decision seems pretty inevitable and unquestionable.

SandyRentool said:

bobajobPB said:

SandyRentool said:

bobajobPB said:

Sandy

Bizarre. I did the same. As you imply, act in haste, repent at leisure. Five long years in that particular case!

There is more that unites us than divides us!

Indeed. I don't know if you saw my post the other evening but the hatchet was buried from my point of view many months ago. I probably went a bit far with the knuckle dragging stuff. Sorry.

Thanks. I did see you earlier post. And I'm sorry for snapping at you in the past. It's the risk we all run as a result of debating politics.

The prospect of an AV debate is enough to get anyone's hackles up.

kle4 said:

Didn't the americans hold a presidential election during the american civil war?

I've often wondered how free and fair a process it was.

same as it is now?

Floater said:

It typically will not be the bomb maker who makes the attack

Historically with the sorts of IRA, PLO, Red Brigade type of terrorist who often had nation state support that was true. With suicide bombers it ranges from total idiots, like in Glasgow, who appear to know nothing about explosives and die in their attack, to people who are carrying more sophisticated bombs made by others. That's why the forensics are so important to get ASAP, as the explosives and sophistication are a good clue as to whether it's Dave in his shed and he's now dead, or Mohammed carrying a bomb made by others.

Penddu said:

Time to take the gloves off...it is often stated that MI5 have hundreds if not 1000s on their watch list, but do not have sufficient resources to track them all. So send every one of them an email to pop down to the local police station for a friendly and voluntary chat. Inform them that they are are on a watch list and with immediate effect they are banned from attending certain events, mixing with certain individuals, and have to submit a weekly log of their movements to MI5. Then tag them with a RFID chip like they have on dogs. RfID scanners to be used at all airports, train stations , events etc to look for chipped suspects. Providing they have logged their movements in advance and expect to be regularly and 'randomly' searched then no problem.

Meanwhile everyone who does not cooperate to be rounded up and given the same treatnent but also given a gps tracker that must be carried with them at all times to allow active tracking. Tracker can be removed for activities like swimming etc...providing notified in advance. Unauthorised removal of tracker to result in arrest and fixing of unremoveable bracelet.

That should hopefully balance security with liberty....

Most already have these tracking devices. They are called mobile phones.