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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Next month’s Super Mayoral elections – the starting points for
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Next month’s Super Mayoral elections – the starting points for the parties
In a month’s time we see the first elections for the Mayors of the 6 new combined authorities in England.
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That King Edward I was a Zionist.
Talking about his abuse opera loving father, whose politics he vehemently disagrees with, but develops progressive supranuclear palsy and dementia. It doesn't sound like it should contain any laughs at all, but it is IMO his best show.
http://politicalbetting.vanillaforums.com/discussion/4715/politicalbetting-com-blog-archive-next-month-s-super-mayoral-elections-the-starting-points-for#latest
Could there be a c.10% swing from Labour to Tory there?
Possible. But it would be a sea change.
I have stopped asking myself would Corbyn survive such a disaster. He is too thick and dishonourable to resign, and those MPs formerly known as the Labour Party are too spineless to challenge him yet again and too incompetent to succeed even if they did.
RobDRobD Posts: 22,872
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Knock one up :>
Blimey, that word cloud! Let me third the idea that these tweets would make an excellent thread.
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Look at the polling on immigration for the last 50 years. The public never wanted it, but both Labour and Tory govts ignored them and there was no one else to vote for. Then UKIP get 13% from nowhere w less than half a dozen non maniac politicians? Then the voters get to vote on an issue that can be framed as a referendum on immigration? Quelle surprise, the majority vote for control
Liverpool City region looks good at 1-10 Labour for my money too.
Tees Valley more vulnerable than I'd assumed. If W Mids goes blue I'd be extremely surprised if Labour hold Tees.
An undercover video captured girls at a private Islamic school in Stockholm being directed to the back door of a school bus while boys used the front door.
The country's leader Stefan Lofven said Tuesday 'it does not belong in Sweden' to have primary schools dividing children, aged between 6 and 10, by gender.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4382158/Swedish-PM-brands-segregating-Islamic-school-disgusting.html
The head of the school...
'It is important to point out that the staff is not driven by religion but a passion to work with cultural and integration issues.
Does this guy also moonlight working in PR department of Cadbury's or National Trust?
Kenilworth, Leamington, Stratford, Worcester, Shropshire and all the other charming blue surrounds aren't in this contest.
Remember: the biggest single election the Lib Dems / Liberals have won in the last 100 years is Devon County Council. Winning a big metro-mayorality would be a step change in a good year, never mind when still at only 10-12% in the polls.
With the trajectory of the Labour Party, maybe they will all be Tess' Valleys soon.
One of my cats is called Tess.
Oh, my coat?
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/04/05/wife-beater-spared-jail-would-losecricket-contract-faces-sentence/
He needs to be thoroughly investigated, at the very least.
https://www.theguardian.com/sport/2017/apr/05/athletics-nationality-debate-migeul-francis-antigua-gb-usain-bolt
Out of interest, I presume such athletes become eligible for lottery funding? If that is true, I wonder if that is a factor in wanting to switch?
Lab over Con
Liverpool
Manchester
Birmingham
Even Money perhaps
Tees Valley
Con likely above Lab
West of England (Possible Lib Dem gain)
Peterborough (Lib Dems 2nd)
https://thesecretbarrister.com/2017/03/27/was-the-cricketer-who-forced-his-wife-to-drink-bleach-spared-prison-because-his-wife-was-too-intelligent/
West of England, Peterborough & Cambs 2015
Tees Valley 2013
I think.
Tories Most Seats 1.30 i.e. about 78%
Tory Majority 1.79 i.e. about 56%
Just catching up on the last thread. Huge kudos for leaving the current excuse for the Labour party. I suspect it was a really, really difficult step. But someone with your intelligence, patriotism, good humour and genuine humanity has so much to offer. For the good of us all, I hope you find a new political home soon.
I suspect the uninformed (and especially one who called me a neo-fascist) will find this surprising, but I'm from very working class Welsh roots. The betrayal of the Labour movement by the Labour leaderships since the 80s is sad indeed. I'd almost certainly have been a Labour activist under Wilson, and definitely under Clem. Like Casino_Royale, the Brexit vote had a profound impact on me; it made me re-engage philosophically with parts of the country that have been forgotten, and even talk politics with my wider family again. They were baffled why this posh-boy loving antiquarian bookseller was in the Tory party when we agreed about the problems of capital vs provinces, global vs local and the pressure on salaries and public services. On the eve of the referendum I wrote, but did not send, a resignation letter. All I can say is that politics can turn on a sixpence, and the new Tory government is far closer to my beliefs and principles than Cameron and Osborne's ever could be. Have hope, old bean!
If I took such an approach to business I would be living in a cardboard box.
Wasn't here a case of a city banker avoiding jail recently after glassing someone as he plead loss of employment?
https://twitter.com/undefined/status/849604047694958592
But to answer your question, yes, because very often the most outrageous claims by defendants in mitigation go unchallenged. The prosecution have already said what they have to say which is usually nothing more than disclosure of any previous convictions and in many cases they consider their job's done as long they have secured a conviction. There may be victim impact statements but they were only ever a sop to victims' charities and support groups and are usually ignored. So the defendant will tell his lawyers a pack of lies, which they have no choice but to present to the court, and the bench takes it at face value because it is given no reason not to.
Or does he get off the perjury charge as his brief told untruths to the court on his behalf ?
Would he be guilty of perjury if he was a LIP ?!
It's the equivalent of lifting the carpet and hiding the dirt under it rather than sweeping it away.
Good luck with that.
*Ed: Livingstone, even.
https://twitter.com/davidmartinmep/status/849566860614008833
Possibly because she knows that he is not sorry at all. Still, that begs the question of why they were so lenient.
UKIP have disappeared. It's eerie. There are entire districts where they're not putting up a single candidate.
This is going to significantly inflate the Conservative vote, I think, and blunt the challenge from the Lib Dems in a lot of previous-marginals. Certainly the two nearest marginals to me are looking more solid Conservative holds given that UKIP aren't putting up a candidate this time.
1. that he has not apologized
2. that he is digging himself deeper into the hole.
While she may not have outright asked him to apologize, I think that was implicit in the criticism of not apologizing.
As a youth, I played high level UK amateur cricket in the UK and every team had an overseas pro, all of which either had proven track records at county / international level or they were on the way up and had played things like U19 international cricket.
Several of the overseas players I played against got county contracts, but none were 34 year old you nobodies. Also, being Pakistani, it is much harder to get a county contract offer than say somebody from South Africa, for several reasons relating to work permit, Kolpak etc.
If there were claims that a 70 year old reality tv star with no political experience was going to run for president of the USA...oh wait, shit thats ruined my argument.
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Guido has just broken the news of Corbyn’s statement over the phone to Ken. His response to the news that Jez has referred him to the NEC:
“That’ll be interesting. It doesn’t matter at the end of the day because we are subject to British law. You’re not going to get a British judge to rule against me for telling the truth. It may be that they have been following all the tweets accusing me of being anti-Semitic, I’ll find out when I speak to Jeremy.”
https://order-order.com/2017/04/05/shami-throws-ken-bus/
What a clusterf##k...no that isn't a strong enough word.
Perhaps this is why life expectancy in the UK is falling...Stress... ;-)
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/entertainment-arts-39500773
The Labour party too .... just ....
Barry Manilow has revealed he is gay and has been with his partner for 39 years.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/music/news/barry-manilow-comes-73-reveals-boyfriend-39-years/
Him being gay is not news (on a number of fronts), being with the same person for 39 years in the entertainment biz on the other hand is...given the average relationship seems more like 39 minutes.