politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » I’d feel a lot more comfortable about the Brexit negotiations

The swift way in which Angela Merkel has undermined Theresa May’s Article 50 invocation plan underlines how critical it is that Team GB needs the very best team in the coming two years.
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First0
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I thought Davis had received some praise for his handling of his post?
I feel like we are being trolled by OGH0 -
Not a chance and Merkel has not undermined Theresa May today.
I think you should quote all the transcript from Merkel today as shown on the previous thread0 -
Why would we want newspaper editor negotiating our departure from the EU?0
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Oooh - Theresa May felt the need to confirm that she voted remain.0
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Andrew Neil doing a good job.0
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He's only got 6 jobs, I'm sure he can fit another one in.0
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FPT
I'd imagine that this interview will reach a much wider audience than usually pay attention to politics, Mrs May isnt saying much that we've not heard before, but a lot of people will be hearing this for the first time today. She's much better than someone like Osborne at dealing with a more combative interview technique.tlg86 said:
It's a bit dull really as a lot of this has been done to death and she's quite good at talking a lot without saying much at all. His interview with George Osborne was a lot more interesting as Osborne couldn't resist fighting back!Sandpit said:
She's doing pretty well so far, as you say fair play to her for sitting down with Neil on a day like today.Yorkcity said:
Yes all credit to May been interviewed by Andrew Neil never remember Cameron doing the same.Big_G_NorthWales said:Listening to Sky, BBC and ITV throughout the day to my surprise the BBC have been fair and balanced.
Adam Boulton, Faisal Islam of Sky and Robert Peston of ITV both misquoting Merkel and both broadcasters having great difficulty in being balanced
Hope the BBC continue in this vein. Andrew Neil up in 10 minutes of BBC with his interview with TM.
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Even if May bit the bullet & offered to hire him, I doubt we could pay him enough.0
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And now the main event......0
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Corbyn on now with Andrew Neil BBC10
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The same man who managed to halve a EU bill by using a rebate that was going to be applied anyway?0
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I'll say it again.
Theresa May = Neville Chamberlain
George Osborne = Sir Winston Churchill
We just have to wait for Mrs May's Norway debate moment.0 -
Now I know youre just trying to wind me up0
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Corbyn up with Neil now, hope he's better than the shouty ranter from the HoC earlier.0
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I thought May handled that pretty well. Not easy to handle Andrew Neill. She can speak forever without giving an answer or anything specific but she set out her position clearly and held the line without any obvious distress.0
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I have always seen Osborne as a poundstore Mandelson. And there's no doubt which knows his way round Brussels better.0
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Osborne was a political pygmy (as you put it) prior to becoming chancellor. He did ok in that job, but it was hardly a compelling performance. May shouldn't seek Osborne's help - she should though be talking to Cameron and Hague - but only as background - she's doing very well as it is.0
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Wow, JC almost sounding normal and sensible.0
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Oh dear. What's that saying about remaining silent and being thought a fool?0
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On topic I agree. This government would be considerably stronger with Osborne and indeed Gove in it. It is not a time for petty personality nonsense. We need our brightest and best on this. Personally I would like Mandelson involved as well (I appreciate this is a minority view).0
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Back to that Nick Robinson quote about him refusing to do interviews her when she was HS - he came out of the meeting knowing no more than he did when he walked in.DavidL said:I thought May handled that pretty well. Not easy to handle Andrew Neill. She can speak forever without giving an answer or anything specific but she set out her position clearly and held the line without any obvious distress.
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Not in Scotland. We have some prat called Russell talking about, surprise, surprise, a referendum.Big_G_NorthWales said:Corbyn on now with Andrew Neil BBC1
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Has someone let the air out of the right side of Jezza's chair cushion?0
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Channel 960 on SkyDavidL said:
Not in Scotland. We have some prat called Russell talking about, surprise, surprise, a referendum.Big_G_NorthWales said:Corbyn on now with Andrew Neil BBC1
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Yes. Its undoubtedly a political skill. But not an endearing one.TOPPING said:
Back to that Nick Robinson quote about him refusing to do interviews her when she was HS - he came out of the meeting knowing no more than he did when he walked in.DavidL said:I thought May handled that pretty well. Not easy to handle Andrew Neill. She can speak forever without giving an answer or anything specific but she set out her position clearly and held the line without any obvious distress.
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ISTM that Jezza is thinking deep down, maybe not so deep: "Yippee we've finally left that imperialist military-industrial complex! Yesss!"0
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No, you wouldn't.0
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Corbyn cannot answer free movement question
Neil turning the screw on labours lack of control on free movement0 -
Corbyn back on form now0
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Who will deliver the Leo Amery line?TheScreamingEagles said:I'll say it again.
Theresa May = Neville Chamberlain
George Osborne = Sir Winston Churchill
We just have to wait for Mrs May's Norway debate moment.0 -
hmm - those "skills" were somewhat lacking on occasion weren't they0
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Thanks but enough. I am brexited out.Big_G_NorthWales said:
Channel 960 on SkyDavidL said:
Not in Scotland. We have some prat called Russell talking about, surprise, surprise, a referendum.Big_G_NorthWales said:Corbyn on now with Andrew Neil BBC1
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Michael Gove or Ken Clarke.williamglenn said:
Who will deliver the Leo Amery line?TheScreamingEagles said:I'll say it again.
Theresa May = Neville Chamberlain
George Osborne = Sir Winston Churchill
We just have to wait for Mrs May's Norway debate moment.0 -
Corbyn says Scot referendum if it takes place should happen after the Brexit negotiations have been completed0
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May is always going to be more comfortable with a 'serious' interview like this one than she would be on the This Morning sofa. At this stage, all she had to do was sound reasonable, serious and competent; she did that. The Andrew Neil interview on 28th March 2019 could be a belter.0
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Oops... (Yes, I know that Twitter isn't Britain.)
https://twitter.com/whitesweed/status/8471361205802639360 -
Tim Farron Nuttall and Greens now up on Neil0
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I think this thread has been posted three days early.0
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He's a prick.Big_G_NorthWales said:Corbyn says Scot referendum if it takes place should happen after the Brexit negotiations have been completed
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So May should enlist the Prince of Darkness for our negotiations?Ishmael_Z said:I have always seen Osborne as a poundstore Mandelson. And there's no doubt which knows his way round Brussels better.
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We probably wouldn't be leaving if it wasn't for George Osborne's REMAIN campaign.
He and Cameron decided to play Russian Roulette with the electorate. And lost.0 -
An arch Remainer would feel more comfortable with an arch Remainer involved... wow!
Is this the same George Osborne who was enraged by the £1.7bn EU bill in 2014, said he'd never ever EVER pay it... then paid it?
What a negotiator!
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He is but on this it seems that only the SNP backed by the Greens are in favour of indy2 by 2019 and it simply will not pass the HOC or HOL before the end of BrexitOUT said:
He's a prick.Big_G_NorthWales said:Corbyn says Scot referendum if it takes place should happen after the Brexit negotiations have been completed
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Lloyd's of London is reportedly poised to name Brussels as its new base in Europe.
The announcement by the world's largest insurance market will come less than 24 hours after Theresa May triggered Article 50 with the timing first reported by Sky News.
Lloyd's is shifting some operations to the continent in order to protect revenues generated within the European Union as the UK heads for the exit.
http://news.sky.com/story/lloyds-set-to-choose-brussels-as-eu-base-reports-108178620 -
That was rather my point, yes.logical_song said:
So May should enlist the Prince of Darkness for our negotiations?Ishmael_Z said:I have always seen Osborne as a poundstore Mandelson. And there's no doubt which knows his way round Brussels better.
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chortleTheScreamingEagles said:Lloyd's of London is reportedly poised to name Brussels as its new base in Europe.
The announcement by the world's largest insurance market will come less than 24 hours after Theresa May triggered Article 50 with the timing first reported by Sky News.
Lloyd's is shifting some operations to the continent in order to protect revenues generated within the European Union as the UK heads for the exit.
http://news.sky.com/story/lloyds-set-to-choose-brussels-as-eu-base-reports-10817862
that's yesterdays news. The paddies were wailing they didnt get it. Theyre shifting a few jobs but Lloyds stays in London0 -
Tis but a flesh wound.TheScreamingEagles said:Lloyd's of London is reportedly poised to name Brussels as its new base in Europe.
The announcement by the world's largest insurance market will come less than 24 hours after Theresa May triggered Article 50 with the timing first reported by Sky News.
Lloyd's is shifting some operations to the continent in order to protect revenues generated within the European Union as the UK heads for the exit.
http://news.sky.com/story/lloyds-set-to-choose-brussels-as-eu-base-reports-108178620 -
Pretty astute political antennae.Ishmael_Z said:
That was rather my point, yes.logical_song said:
So May should enlist the Prince of Darkness for our negotiations?Ishmael_Z said:I have always seen Osborne as a poundstore Mandelson. And there's no doubt which knows his way round Brussels better.
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Yay, 2 for Mandelson. Any more?Ishmael_Z said:
That was rather my point, yes.logical_song said:
So May should enlist the Prince of Darkness for our negotiations?Ishmael_Z said:I have always seen Osborne as a poundstore Mandelson. And there's no doubt which knows his way round Brussels better.
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"Lloyd's of London is reportedly poised to name Brussels as its new base in Europe."TheScreamingEagles said:Lloyd's of London is reportedly poised to name Brussels as its new base in Europe.
The announcement by the world's largest insurance market will come less than 24 hours after Theresa May triggered Article 50 with the timing first reported by Sky News.
Lloyd's is shifting some operations to the continent in order to protect revenues generated within the European Union as the UK heads for the exit.
http://news.sky.com/story/lloyds-set-to-choose-brussels-as-eu-base-reports-10817862
You might equally phrase that as
"Lloyd's of London opens outpost in cut off Europe"
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So agrees with Sturgeon then?Big_G_NorthWales said:Corbyn says Scot referendum if it takes place should happen after the Brexit negotiations have been completed
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Farron on making a good case for Indyref2 !Big_G_NorthWales said:
He is but on this it seems that only the SNP backed by the Greens are in favour of indy2 by 2019 and it simply will not pass the HOC or HOL before the end of BrexitOUT said:
He's a prick.Big_G_NorthWales said:Corbyn says Scot referendum if it takes place should happen after the Brexit negotiations have been completed
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No, the risk of him succeeding is too great.DavidL said:
Yay, 2 for Mandelson. Any more?Ishmael_Z said:
That was rather my point, yes.logical_song said:
So May should enlist the Prince of Darkness for our negotiations?Ishmael_Z said:I have always seen Osborne as a poundstore Mandelson. And there's no doubt which knows his way round Brussels better.
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If anyone wants to REALLY depress themselves switch on CH4. Theyre doing a studio programme with a cross section of the residents of Hull discussing Brexit.
You could divide the audience by IQ and nothing else.
Not age nor class.
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Tim Farron says A50 is revocable - is this the case?0
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Lloyds Of London becomes Lloyd's Of... Brussels?TheScreamingEagles said:Lloyd's of London is reportedly poised to name Brussels as its new base in Europe.
The announcement by the world's largest insurance market will come less than 24 hours after Theresa May triggered Article 50 with the timing first reported by Sky News.
Lloyd's is shifting some operations to the continent in order to protect revenues generated within the European Union as the UK heads for the exit.
http://news.sky.com/story/lloyds-set-to-choose-brussels-as-eu-base-reports-10817862
Doesn't have quite the same ring but I guess they know best!0 -
Oh the humiliation. I remember the days when we would have had wall to wall Uncle Vince from the BBC on something like this. Now they get put with the Greens.Big_G_NorthWales said:Tim Farron Nuttall and Greens now up on Neil
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Success here is a win win deal for the UK and the EU. And I agree he might well succeed.williamglenn said:
No, the risk of him succeeding is too great.DavidL said:
Yay, 2 for Mandelson. Any more?Ishmael_Z said:
That was rather my point, yes.logical_song said:
So May should enlist the Prince of Darkness for our negotiations?Ishmael_Z said:I have always seen Osborne as a poundstore Mandelson. And there's no doubt which knows his way round Brussels better.
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Not sure what the Greens have done to get promoted to the second tier?DavidL said:
Oh the humiliation. I remember the days when we would have had wall to wall Uncle Vince from the BBC on something like this. Now they get put with the Greens.Big_G_NorthWales said:Tim Farron Nuttall and Greens now up on Neil
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They only have 10% of their business in EuropeAlanbrooke said:
chortleTheScreamingEagles said:Lloyd's of London is reportedly poised to name Brussels as its new base in Europe.
The announcement by the world's largest insurance market will come less than 24 hours after Theresa May triggered Article 50 with the timing first reported by Sky News.
Lloyd's is shifting some operations to the continent in order to protect revenues generated within the European Union as the UK heads for the exit.
http://news.sky.com/story/lloyds-set-to-choose-brussels-as-eu-base-reports-10817862
that's yesterdays news. The paddies were wailing they didnt get it. Theyre shifting a few jobs but Lloyds stays in London0 -
You think the Lib Dems are still second tier? Labour barely manage that these days.ThreeQuidder said:
Not sure what the Greens have done to get promoted to the second tier?DavidL said:
Oh the humiliation. I remember the days when we would have had wall to wall Uncle Vince from the BBC on something like this. Now they get put with the Greens.Big_G_NorthWales said:Tim Farron Nuttall and Greens now up on Neil
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We need a court case to find out the followingtlg86 said:Tim Farron says A50 is revocable - is this the case?
1) Is it revocable
2) If so, Is it revocable by the UK alone or does it require unanimity as well from EU27?0 -
Sneering at Labour's working class voters again Roger? - And then you wonder why Labour is unelectable.Roger said:If anyone wants to REALLY depress themselves switch on CH4. Theyre doing a studio programme with a cross section of the residents of Hull discussing Brexit.
You could divide the audience by IQ and nothing else.
Not age nor class.0 -
No - consideration will not take place until after Brexit. So no indy2 before 2020 GEAlistair said:
So agrees with Sturgeon then?Big_G_NorthWales said:Corbyn says Scot referendum if it takes place should happen after the Brexit negotiations have been completed
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Sounds like it needs the 27 to agree:TheScreamingEagles said:
We need a court case to find out the followingtlg86 said:Tim Farron says A50 is revocable - is this the case?
1) Is it revocable
2) If so, Is it revocable by the UK alone or does it require unanimity as well from EU27?
http://tinyurl.com/loug3mr
A very odd state of affairs.0 -
Has Corbyn just managed to piss off The Scots and The Ulster Unionists at the same time?0
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Are they "broken down by age and sex"?Roger said:If anyone wants to REALLY depress themselves switch on CH4. Theyre doing a studio programme with a cross section of the residents of Hull discussing Brexit.
You could divide the audience by IQ and nothing else.
Not age nor class.0 -
In reality we will have an Indy2 if the SNP get a majority or pretty damn close to it in 2021. If they don't we won't.Big_G_NorthWales said:
No - consideration will not take place until after Brexit. So no indy2 before 2020 GEAlistair said:
So agrees with Sturgeon then?Big_G_NorthWales said:Corbyn says Scot referendum if it takes place should happen after the Brexit negotiations have been completed
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What programme were the Andrew Neil interviews with May and Corbyn on?
Is there a link to them?0 -
Apparently there is one in progress in DublinTheScreamingEagles said:
We need a court case to find out the followingtlg86 said:Tim Farron says A50 is revocable - is this the case?
1) Is it revocable
2) If so, Is it revocable by the UK alone or does it require unanimity as well from EU27?0 -
That should be the SNP not Scotland as a whole on present pollingdr_spyn said:Has Corbyn just managed to piss off The Scots and The Ulster Unionists at the same time?
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IPlayer is your friendMikeL said:What programme were the Andrew Neil interviews with May and Corbyn on?
Is there a link to them?
http://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/b08mhh5c/britain-the-eu-the-brexit-interviews-brexit-what-next-the-andrew-neil-interviews
I'm going to catch up in a hour.0 -
Many thanks to you all!0
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Oh, any sightings of the anticipated Four Horsemen?0
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Faisal Islam still being economical with Merkels statement.
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What has she actually said?Big_G_NorthWales said:Faisal Islam still being economical with Merkels statement.
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I think that is where the indy2 debate is headingDavidL said:
In reality we will have an Indy2 if the SNP get a majority or pretty damn close to it in 2021. If they don't we won't.Big_G_NorthWales said:
No - consideration will not take place until after Brexit. So no indy2 before 2020 GEAlistair said:
So agrees with Sturgeon then?Big_G_NorthWales said:Corbyn says Scot referendum if it takes place should happen after the Brexit negotiations have been completed
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He said that Merkel said Nein to trade deal until after agreement on divorce when she said that a broad agreement would need to take place and then to move on, hopefully soon, to the trade discussions. Islam only said she had said Nein to trade discussionstlg86 said:
What has she actually said?Big_G_NorthWales said:Faisal Islam still being economical with Merkels statement.
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The Council voting rules are interesting
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Voting_in_the_Council_of_the_European_Union0 -
There will be a lot of cross border transferring as individual businesses adapt.
Alsico - army clothing manufacturer - have shifted work back from Italy to Northern England: http://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/news/article-4349030/Brexit-boost-uniforms-return-UK.html
A little more of the food production moves to the UK according to Rabobank: http://www.foodmanufacture.co.uk/Manufacturing/UK-food-manufacturers-could-benefit-from-Brexit?utm_source=RSS_text_news&utm_medium=RSS_feed&utm_campaign=RSS_Text_News
Specific mention of us adopting the New Zealand model - essentially zero tariff rating products for the entire world.
It's going to be a fluid situation with businesses making individual judgements.0 -
I think everything relating to Brexit will be done under unanimity.calum said:The Council voting rules are interesting
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Voting_in_the_Council_of_the_European_Union0 -
So earlier in the evening we have Mike telling the Tories that they've gone wrong. We've now had a performance by Farron. It's gone strangely quiet.0
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quite, what is it with the champagne socialists sneering at the working classes from their tuscan villas. no wonder labour is screwed .GIN1138 said:
Sneering at Labour's working class voters again Roger? - And then you wonder why Labour is unelectable.Roger said:If anyone wants to REALLY depress themselves switch on CH4. Theyre doing a studio programme with a cross section of the residents of Hull discussing Brexit.
You could divide the audience by IQ and nothing else.
Not age nor class.0 -
QM for someRobD said:
I think everything relating to Brexit will be done under unanimity.calum said:The Council voting rules are interesting
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Voting_in_the_Council_of_the_European_Union
http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_MEMO-17-648_en.htm0 -
Which is all by the by. The real thing is that there will be no deal until there is a whole deal. That is how complex negotiations work.Big_G_NorthWales said:
He said that Merkel said Nein to trade deal until after agreement on divorce when she said that a broad agreement would need to take place and then to move on, hopefully soon, to the trade discussions. Islam only said she had said Nein to trade discussionstlg86 said:
What has she actually said?Big_G_NorthWales said:Faisal Islam still being economical with Merkels statement.
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Unilateral revocability is irrelevant after May's speech today.TheScreamingEagles said:
We need a court case to find out the followingtlg86 said:Tim Farron says A50 is revocable - is this the case?
1) Is it revocable
2) If so, Is it revocable by the UK alone or does it require unanimity as well from EU27?0 -
Gove blabs. He leaks. He plays games. And that is exactly what is not required for the next two years.DavidL said:On topic I agree. This government would be considerably stronger with Osborne and indeed Gove in it. It is not a time for petty personality nonsense. We need our brightest and best on this. Personally I would like Mandelson involved as well (I appreciate this is a minority view).
We need silent types with a good poker face.0 -
Thanks, not surprised it's being reported in sensationalist terms.Big_G_NorthWales said:
He said that Merkel said Nein to trade deal until after agreement on divorce when she said that a broad agreement would need to take place and then to move on, hopefully soon, to the trade discussions. Islam only said she had said Nein to trade discussionstlg86 said:
What has she actually said?Big_G_NorthWales said:Faisal Islam still being economical with Merkels statement.
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Sounds as if he has upset the Nats and SLab at the same time. Smart guy, is Jeremy, could go far.Big_G_NorthWales said:
That should be the SNP not Scotland as a whole on present pollingdr_spyn said:Has Corbyn just managed to piss off The Scots and The Ulster Unionists at the same time?
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Even for the final deal! I thought that would have required unanimity as it is relating to membership.calum said:
QM for someRobD said:
I think everything relating to Brexit will be done under unanimity.calum said:The Council voting rules are interesting
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Voting_in_the_Council_of_the_European_Union
http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_MEMO-17-648_en.htm0 -
Has SeanT been broken down by too many years and too much sex?Restharrow said:
Are they "broken down by age and sex"?Roger said:If anyone wants to REALLY depress themselves switch on CH4. Theyre doing a studio programme with a cross section of the residents of Hull discussing Brexit.
You could divide the audience by IQ and nothing else.
Not age nor class.0 -
By the way, Valls (the losing candidate in the Socialist election) has endorsed Macron. Meanwhile, Melanchon (far left) has inched up again, to 15%. He has a shot at coming 3rd above Fillon (who is in the 17-20 range) but Macron or Le Pen (on 25-26) would need to melt down spectacularly to get him into 2nd.0