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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » LAB moves to 11 percent lead in first of tonight’s polls
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » LAB moves to 11 percent lead in first of tonight’s polls
This post will be updated as other polling news comes in
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Opinium = 44%
Ipsos-Mori = 45%
ICM = 46%
YouGov = 45%
TNS BMRB = 47%
Populus =42%
Britannia Rools.
Scots Cower.
But as I've had a good chortle at this poll ....
Yes 39.5% .. No 60.5%
You will doubtless be mauled by Mark Walter the Softie Senior.
Number of respondents to Jack's McARSE: 1
Members of the Market Research Society: Opinium
Not a Member of the Market Research Society: Jack
Member of the BPC: Opinium
Not a member of the BPC: Jack
It is quite obvious which finding is worth a chortle, and it is not the Opinium survey.
Which poll is OGH comparing this against? The previous Observer one? The Opinium site is nowhere near as easy to navigate as YouGov....
Should probably wait for all 3 polls to see the trend.
This poll Baxter'd
Con 213
Lab 381
LD 30
Kippers 0 (Zero)
Pity really, as I would quite like to see Independent Scotland, though it seems most Scots are Unionists.
Perhaps if Alex got the Franchise for the Election extended to England he would reach his goal.
Those who tought that UKIP would falter or fade away after the conference season are totally wrong.
Why you pay so much heed to my ARSE is thus quite a mystery.
However It's clear you simply can't resist to temptation to sniff around it and have a good feel. But I bear you no ill will as like other past critics you will simply come to admire and adore it.
Energy bills even the subject of gags on Strictly Come Dancing.
It's a revolution, daaarling.
Getting your excuses in early?
You say tomayto. I say tomahto.
You deduce. I induce.
Time to call the whole thing off?
What are you going on about?
Be bold, name the seats you think UKIP will win if they poll 17% in a general election.
If Baxter says that UKIP need approx x percent to get x numbers of seats, then Baxter is probably right.
Takes a trip to China for #Osborne to realise Britain has "defeatist" attitude - but Lib/Lab/Con caused it http://dailym.ai/15R2QuW
Ever since 1945 Britain has been ruled by parties with a defeatist agenda. Time for a change.
Privatisation of the Royal Mail being only the latest in a very long list of examples.
@TheScreamingEagles
Now lads, no frothing at the mouth, no apoplexy on PB, please.
I think that UKIP will gain even more of a share than 17%. Now I told you no frothing............
However I don't believe that opinion polls accurately represent the number of people who would vote UKIP tomorrow and certainly not 2015. You can tell this from the wide variety of UKIP figures currently being recorded for the different pollsters. I would posit, for the reasons I've mentioned before, that UKIP's nowcast support is no more than 10%.
Why, did someone mention Muslims to you again?
Tell us more about that yougov babysitter poll again?
Con 32% (+4)
Lab 35% (-1)
UKIP 16% (-1)
LD 9% (-1)
Others 8% (-1)
However I still think that all votes for UKIP will count. To me Labour and Tory are two sides of the same coin.
Cutting immigration is BAD
Get that into your head
I believe in the four freedoms of the European Union.
It's the others you need to convince.
Tim wanted to set up Thatcher as a blue to peg the idea to because it made for a better attack line. I get the idea behind that but it's not wholly accurate.
Clever puntahs will be looking to arb movements from Labour trolls to Tory diehards. Sadly I do not have a functional market to play with (nor a sober brain-cell).
:relax-and-larf:
http://www.standard.co.uk/news/crime/boys-quizzed-over-500-rapes-a-year-by-gangs-8335165.html
More slaves in London than at any time since the Romans
http://www.lbc.co.uk/hundreds-forced-to-slavery-every-day-in-london-79833
If the BBC told the truth there'd be no debate about this at all.
"Thatcher believed in free movement of labour, sad little Englanders don't"
Are you are suggesting Thatcher wasn't a 'sad little Englander"?
Best LAB price is now Ladbrokes with 2/7.
William Hill suspended their prices 3 hours ago, but their SNP price was 4/1. (The Coral price is still available: 3/1.)
The Lib Dems, who held this seat until the 2011 general election, are at 89/1 with Betfair.
Were this constituency different I might consider voting UKIP, but I fear the party's electoral approach (broad but shallow support, rather than a focused approach to win some seats) makes this unlikely in the foreseeable future.
But neither of your sources back up either of your statements and I'm not inclined to believe the hyperbole neither in respect of the present nor seeing the past through rose-tinted spectacles either. Sexual offences and underground trafficking of all sorts have always been under the radar and not reported to the police.
This time the winning margin for Balls would be more than 10000.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/energy/9490712/Energy-companies-overcharge-customers-by-600m.html
http://politicalbetting.vanillaforums.com/discussion/comment/147132/#Comment_147132 What ever happened to your "Cameron next out of the Cabinet: 150-1" bet OG...?
I made money on the first two Ashes Tests ( as positied on here for grown-ups) but - sensibly - decided that the rest of the series was as predictable as a Yorkshire-lawyer's music taste! *
Betting is an art and your "brushstrokes" are better then most. And then we have our Swedish folk and their predictions...! **
* Apart from "sad" that is.
** Better than the Bermondsey Bog-trotter's (but that is a low bar, innit)!
In 2009, Ofgem dropped the investigation into Scottish Power and SSE, the owner of Southern Electric, after concluding that the chances of a successful prosecution were “low”. The companies strongly deny breaking any rules.
Now remind me, who was in power in 2009?
Specifically, who was Energy Secretary in 2009?
I'll give you a clue, his name rhymes with Ed Miliband.
"Not another vulgarian, Roger?"
'Fraid so Avery. Now don't pretend you can't spot them at least as quickly as me
I thought the Gold Standard was that obscure three man band based in the Shetlands so favoured by the SNP that showed Nationalists neck and neck with Unionists. Something like joegoebbelsresearch.com
David Cameron in the line of fire over pay rise for MPs
Tory heavyweights call on PM to risk public anger and agree 11% salary hike for members
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2013/oct/20/david-cameron-mps-pay-rise
Please do not gargle when posting. It has no Listermint © mint-fresh breathe....
:try-using-some-punctuation-or-summinck:
Opinium = good!
The No. 10 spokesman is absolutely right.
MPs blew their chances of a corrective salary rise when they rejected the culling of MP numbers.
But I still think an outright dismissal of the IPSA recommendations is unlikely. A deferral of the decision to the next parliament is Cameron's most likely response.
I think they should take it. At least they'd start looking professional and motivated by the need to make a living like everyone else.Not just seduced by the perks and glamour as it appears now.
Opinium = Deluded.
Opinion on PB = Right!
Somewhere in Clemson is a Top Gear fan, as I saw a large sign saying "Sammy Watkins is The Stig."