politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Losses for the LDs and Tories in latest local elections plus p

Bollington on Cheshire East (Con defence, resignation of sitting member) Result: Bollington First 939 (51% +14%), Conservative 319 (17% -14%), Labour 239 (13% -8%), Liberal Democrat 198 (11% unchanged), Green 162 (9%, no candidate at last election) Bollington First GAIN from Conservative with a majority of 620 (33%) on a swing of 14% from Conservative to Bolington First
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+1Ishmael_Z said:1
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Cheers, Mr. Hayfield.0
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Fourth rate like Paul Nuttall.
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The instigator of the Iraq war being used to troll Leavers... "my enemy's enemy" never felt more applicable
RIP Collateral Damage Iraqi's0 -
Sixth like Blair in his chosen seat in 2020.0
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I see that pb's Leavers are having a night off from arguing that the decision whether to leave the EU shouldn't be influenced by the people making the argument.0
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Though it seems the PB Remainers are not having a night off from making sweeping comments.AlastairMeeks said:I see that pb's Leavers are having a night off from arguing that the decision whether to leave the EU shouldn't be influenced by the people making the argument.
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Collateral damage of Brexiteer Atlanticism too, lest we forget.isam said:The instigator of the Iraq war being used to troll Leavers... "my enemy's enemy" never felt more applicable
RIP Collateral Damage Iraqi's
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2001/nov/29/uk.september1110 -
I'm very relaxed about Blair's interventions.0
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PB Remainers? The Desperadoes seems more apt.
Blair and Sturgeon lighting their fires.0 -
I'm delighted about them. I only wish BSE had given him more airtime before June the 23rd.Casino_Royale said:I'm very relaxed about Blair's interventions.
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Id forgotten quite what a twat he isCasino_Royale said:I'm very relaxed about Blair's interventions.
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Now that Tony is back on the scene perhaps some enterprising journalist could ask him how his CAP reforms have gone0
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The most interesting aspect of Blair's intervention today was his full frontal attack on Corbyn.
Seems like he agrees with John McDonnell that Corbyn is crap and on his way out.0 -
You should remember one lesson of Trump's success: hugely unpopular or divisive people can still win elections. Plenty of ordinary voters will have reactions to Blair that you wouldn't expect.Casino_Royale said:I'm very relaxed about Blair's interventions.
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F1: as suspected, Wehrlein will miss the first test:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/formula1/39005063
So, he'll only have four days in the Sauber prior to the season's first race weekend.0 -
I think there's an R missing from that.Alanbrooke said:Now that Tony is back on the scene perhaps some enterprising journalist could ask him how his CAP reforms have gone
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What I find remarkable is how it took so long for the country to see through him.Alanbrooke said:
Id forgotten quite what a twat he isCasino_Royale said:I'm very relaxed about Blair's interventions.
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He was hardly restrained about attacking Corbyn back in 2014 though. Which is not to say Corbyn isn't on the way out, of course.TheScreamingEagles said:The most interesting aspect of Blair's intervention today was his full frontal attack on Corbyn.
Seems like he agrees with John McDonnell that Corbyn is crap and on his way out.0 -
Memories of Iraq may mean today’s impressive performance was just too brittle, too late.
As the Remainer audience slowly departed from the windowless room in the bowels of Bloomberg, it was worth remembering that this was an impressively glitzy City bunker. But a bunker nevertheless.
http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/tony-blair-brexit-warning-bloomberg-analysis-of-comeback-tour-guitar-solo_uk_58a71c21e4b045cd34c0fbba?0 -
You are right to be. He did not say anything at remarkable, merely that those who believe in the Remain case should continue to fight their corner because if what they believe is right it is likely that voters will change their minds about leaving the EU and, if that is the case, a second referendum should be on the table. It's hardly earth-shattering stuff. And, of course, because it was Blair making the argument it is unlikely to gain much traction in and of itself. I really don't get the hysterical reaction from some.Casino_Royale said:I'm very relaxed about Blair's interventions.
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#neverforget.Alanbrooke said:
Id forgotten quite what a twat he isCasino_Royale said:I'm very relaxed about Blair's interventions.
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the shameTheScreamingEagles said:
I think there's an R missing from that.Alanbrooke said:Now that Tony is back on the scene perhaps some enterprising journalist could ask him how his CAP reforms have gone
hustled by that old fraud Chirac0 -
Every single demographic dislikes Blair.williamglenn said:
You should remember one lesson of Trump's success: hugely unpopular or divisive people can still win elections. Plenty of ordinary voters will have reactions to Blair that you wouldn't expect.Casino_Royale said:I'm very relaxed about Blair's interventions.
He would probably poll worse than Corbyn.
Straw poll at my Cambridge trade fair today: not a single person in 40 spoke up for Blair. Generally centre-left or centre right, Observer or STimes reeaders. Middle class, well educated.
The only people seduced by him now are those too stubborn to admit they were wrong the first time.0 -
One of the lesser heard lines in Baghdad!Casino_Royale said:I'm very relaxed about Blair's interventions.
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LOL.isam said:
One of the lesser heard lines in Baghdad!Casino_Royale said:I'm very relaxed about Blair's interventions.
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I have watched IDS today deride Tony Blair and seen comments like yours.isam said:The instigator of the Iraq war being used to troll Leavers... "my enemy's enemy" never felt more applicable
RIP Collateral Damage Iraqi's
I think the Iraq war was one of the big mistakes in post second world war Britain. HOWEVER, IDS LETS REMEMBER UNDER PRIVY COUNCIL ACCESS CONDITIONS ENDOURSED THE IRAQ WAR. He saw the same information/ intelligence that Blair did and advocated publically and voted in the House of Commons accordingly.
IDS was ousted some time later becoming the first Tory leader ever to not have fought a General Election. For some reason Tony Blair should be ignored whilst people like IDS should be listened too. Both are as bad as each other but Tony Blair can never be described as an extremist whereas IDS has always been clearly right wing.
Another interesting thing is the Tories are proposing a Brexit which is a complete break with government policy since the 1970s. Why is this anymore extreme than the alternative economic policy the Labour party currently advocates? One could argue if Tory Brexit is a virtue of being optimistic about the UKs future then why not optimism in Labour's policy?
I think the Tories are skating on thin ice and people will eventually wake up to the kamikaze ideas that have taken hold in the government. It could well be the case Brexit opens up the way to a very left wing government and everything the Tories oppose.0 -
My favourite Take That track.Casino_Royale said:
#neverforget.Alanbrooke said:
Id forgotten quite what a twat he isCasino_Royale said:I'm very relaxed about Blair's interventions.
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I find your language offensive.chestnut said:PB Remainers? The Desperadoes seems more apt.
Blair and Sturgeon lighting their fires.
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What do I care what IDS or anyone else says? I was against it all along and didn't know which politician was for or against it at the timeThe_Taxman said:
I have watched IDS today deride Tony Blair and seen comments like yours.isam said:The instigator of the Iraq war being used to troll Leavers... "my enemy's enemy" never felt more applicable
RIP Collateral Damage Iraqi's
I think the Iraq war was one of the big mistakes in post second world war Britain. HOWEVER, IDS LETS REMEMBER UNDER PRIVY COUNCIL ACCESS CONDITIONS ENDOURSED THE IRAQ WAR. He saw the same information/ intelligence that Blair did and advocated publically and voted in the House of Commons accordingly.
IDS was ousted some time later becoming the first Tory leader ever to not have fought a General Election. For some reason Tony Blair should be ignored whilst people like IDS should be listened too. Both are as bad as each other but Tony Blair can never be described as an extremist whereas IDS has always been clearly right wing.
Another interesting thing is the Tories are proposing a Brexit which is a complete break with government policy since the 1970s. Why is this anymore extreme than the alternative economic policy the Labour party currently advocates? One could argue if Tory Brexit is a virtue of being optimistic about the UKs future then why not optimism in Labour's policy?
I think the Tories are skating on thin ice and people will eventually wake up to the kamikaze ideas that have taken hold in the government. it could well be the case Brexit opens up the way to a very left wing government and everything the Tories oppose.
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Blair is damaged goods. There is no getting around that. It means any message he delivers can be immediately discredited - as we see from reactions on both the left and right to today's speech. Very few critics have engaged with the arguments Blair made. Iraq is all they need to say.williamglenn said:
You should remember one lesson of Trump's success: hugely unpopular or divisive people can still win elections. Plenty of ordinary voters will have reactions to Blair that you wouldn't expect.Casino_Royale said:I'm very relaxed about Blair's interventions.
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'Why is this anymore extreme than the alternative economic policy the Labour party currently advocates?'The_Taxman said:
I have watched IDS today deride Tony Blair and seen comments like yours.isam said:The instigator of the Iraq war being used to troll Leavers... "my enemy's enemy" never felt more applicable
RIP Collateral Damage Iraqi's
I think the Iraq war was one of the big mistakes in post second world war Britain. HOWEVER, IDS LETS REMEMBER UNDER PRIVY COUNCIL ACCESS CONDITIONS ENDOURSED THE IRAQ WAR. He saw the same information/ intelligence that Blair did and advocated publically and voted in the House of Commons accordingly.
IDS was ousted some time later becoming the first Tory leader ever to not have fought a General Election. For some reason Tony Blair should be ignored whilst people like IDS should be listened too. Both are as bad as each other but Tony Blair can never be described as an extremist whereas IDS has always been clearly right wing.
Another interesting thing is the Tories are proposing a Brexit which is a complete break with government policy since the 1970s. Why is this anymore extreme than the alternative economic policy the Labour party currently advocates? One could argue if Tory Brexit is a virtue of being optimistic about the UKs future then why not optimism in Labour's policy?
I think the Tories are skating on thin ice and people will eventually wake up to the kamikaze ideas that have taken hold in the government. it could well be the case Brexit opens up the way to a very left wing government and everything the Tories oppose.
Because more people voted for Brexit than have ever voted for anything in this country.
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Not sure if the lack of any discernible change to CAP was down to EU intransigence, or Blair’s inept negotiation skills. - Who in their right mind would hand over the money, before getting the promised changes down in writing?Alanbrooke said:Now that Tony is back on the scene perhaps some enterprising journalist could ask him how his CAP reforms have gone
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If Blair founds a new party and joins forces with the Lib Dems they'd be down to 0 seats at the next election.0
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One thing that hasn't been discussed is why he's doing this, and why he's doing it now after the Commons has already voted for A50 and weeks before it is enacted.SouthamObserver said:
You are right to be. He did not say anything at remarkable, merely that those who believe in the Remain case should continue to fight their corner because if what they believe is right it is likely that voters will change their minds about leaving the EU and, if that is the case, a second referendum should be on the table. It's hardly earth-shattering stuff. And, of course, because it was Blair making the argument it is unlikely to gain much traction in and of itself. I really don't get the hysterical reaction from some.Casino_Royale said:I'm very relaxed about Blair's interventions.
Personally, I think the timing is no accident. Blair knows full well how unpopular he is and how his interventions can hinder, rather than help.
Which leads me to think that this intervention is for his benefit, not ours: he wants to clear his conscience by getting his views on the record before the whole thing kicks off, without taking the risk of it being counterproductive.
He has nothing to lose now.0 -
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Mr. StClare, someone who was giving away another man's money for a reward he thought would belong to himself.
Blair's language on Scottish independence is indicative he'd rather the UK fail outside the EU than he be proved wrong.0 -
Did Tony Blair ever try to benefit anyone but himself?Casino_Royale said:
One thing that hasn't been discussed is why he's doing this, and why he's doing it now after the Commons has already voted for A50 and weeks before it is enacted.SouthamObserver said:
You are right to be. He did not say anything at remarkable, merely that those who believe in the Remain case should continue to fight their corner because if what they believe is right it is likely that voters will change their minds about leaving the EU and, if that is the case, a second referendum should be on the table. It's hardly earth-shattering stuff. And, of course, because it was Blair making the argument it is unlikely to gain much traction in and of itself. I really don't get the hysterical reaction from some.Casino_Royale said:I'm very relaxed about Blair's interventions.
Personally, I think the timing is no accident. Blair knows full well how unpopular he is and how his interventions can hinder, rather than help.
Which leads me to think that this intervention is for his benefit, not ours: he wants to clear his conscience by getting his views on the record before the whole thing kicks off, without taking the risk of it being counterproductive.
He has nothing to lose now.0 -
Ishmael_Z said:
FPT. "Obviously you are capable of being very relaxed about the murder of six figure numbers of brown people. Many of us are not, and it rather colours our response to anything Blair says about anything"
He only did what the Tories were egging him on to do and what they would have done were they in office. People on here are very happy to say Theresa May has no choice but to do whatever Trump or the US administration demands to maintain our special relationship yet when Blair did just that he became a pariah.0 -
I agree with this 100%.Casino_Royale said:
One thing that hasn't been discussed is why he's doing this, and why he's doing it now after the Commons has already voted for A50 and weeks before it is enacted.SouthamObserver said:
You are right to be. He did not say anything at remarkable, merely that those who believe in the Remain case should continue to fight their corner because if what they believe is right it is likely that voters will change their minds about leaving the EU and, if that is the case, a second referendum should be on the table. It's hardly earth-shattering stuff. And, of course, because it was Blair making the argument it is unlikely to gain much traction in and of itself. I really don't get the hysterical reaction from some.Casino_Royale said:I'm very relaxed about Blair's interventions.
Personally, I think the timing is no accident. Blair knows full well how unpopular he is and how his interventions can hinder, rather than help.
Which leads me to think that this intervention is for his benefit, not ours: he wants to clear his conscience by getting his views on the record before the whole thing kicks off, without taking the risk of it being counterproductive.
He has nothing to lose now.
This is all about the TB Vanity Project now - I suppose if people hate him for talking tripe about Brexit that might be more conscionable to him than hating him for taking us into an awful and unjustified war.0 -
That's true, but it's the kind of people that voted for Brexit that the liberal Left cannot stomach. I agree with what Paul Joseph Watson said about the Left and democracy. They cannot and will not accept it if it doesn't coincide with their ideology.Mortimer said:
'Why is this anymore extreme than the alternative economic policy the Labour party currently advocates?'The_Taxman said:
I have watched IDS today deride Tony Blair and seen comments like yours.isam said:The instigator of the Iraq war being used to troll Leavers... "my enemy's enemy" never felt more applicable
RIP Collateral Damage Iraqi's
I think the Iraq war was one of the big mistakes in post second world war Britain. HOWEVER, IDS LETS REMEMBER UNDER PRIVY COUNCIL ACCESS CONDITIONS ENDOURSED THE IRAQ WAR. He saw the same information/ intelligence that Blair did and advocated publically and voted in the House of Commons accordingly.
IDS was ousted some time later becoming the first Tory leader ever to not have fought a General Election. For some reason Tony Blair should be ignored whilst people like IDS should be listened too. Both are as bad as each other but Tony Blair can never be described as an extremist whereas IDS has always been clearly right wing.
Another interesting thing is the Tories are proposing a Brexit which is a complete break with government policy since the 1970s. Why is this anymore extreme than the alternative economic policy the Labour party currently advocates? One could argue if Tory Brexit is a virtue of being optimistic about the UKs future then why not optimism in Labour's policy?
I think the Tories are skating on thin ice and people will eventually wake up to the kamikaze ideas that have taken hold in the government. it could well be the case Brexit opens up the way to a very left wing government and everything the Tories oppose.
Because more people voted for Brexit than have ever voted for anything in this country.0 -
from what we can see all the arguments Blair has made went tits upSouthamObserver said:
Blair is damaged goods. There is no getting around that. It means any message he delivers can be immediately discredited - as we see from reactions on both the left and right to today's speech. Very few critics have engaged with the arguments Blair made. Iraq is all they need to say.williamglenn said:
You should remember one lesson of Trump's success: hugely unpopular or divisive people can still win elections. Plenty of ordinary voters will have reactions to Blair that you wouldn't expect.Casino_Royale said:I'm very relaxed about Blair's interventions.
Europe obviously, Constitutional reform was a disaster, his economic policy gave us the biggest bust in our lives, infrastructure decayed, education went backwards and then there was the Dome
He was fortunate in reaping the headlines and then walking off to create the next disaster while his colleagues picked up the pieces.0 -
Hahaha. You've excelled yourself now Roge.Roger said:
He only did what the Tories were egging him on to do and what they would have done were they in office. People on here are very happy to say Theresa May has no choice but to do whatever Trump or the US administration demands to maintain our special relationship yet when Blair did just that he became a pariah.
He became a pariah because he took us into a war that killed hundreds of thousands of people, if not more.
Mrs May held Trump's hand down a banister.
You can't see the difference?
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Well said.SouthamObserver said:
Blair is damaged goods. There is no getting around that. It means any message he delivers can be immediately discredited - as we see from reactions on both the left and right to today's speech. Very few critics have engaged with the arguments Blair made. Iraq is all they need to say.williamglenn said:
You should remember one lesson of Trump's success: hugely unpopular or divisive people can still win elections. Plenty of ordinary voters will have reactions to Blair that you wouldn't expect.Casino_Royale said:I'm very relaxed about Blair's interventions.
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Precisely no-one has said we need to do whatever the US demands; they have merely suggested a state visit isn't a terrible idea. To even suggest comparability is cretinous.Roger said:Ishmael_Z said:
FPT. "Obviously you are capable of being very relaxed about the murder of six figure numbers of brown people. Many of us are not, and it rather colours our response to anything Blair says about anything"
He only did what the Tories were egging him on to do and what they would have done were they in office. People on here are very happy to say Theresa May has no choice but to do whatever Trump or the US administration demands to maintain our special relationship yet when Blair did just that he became a pariah.0 -
This is a silly argument made by people on both sides who have a catch-all definition of 'the Left' or 'the Right' which simply means 'people who disagree with me'.Jason said:
That's true, but it's the kind of people that voted for Brexit that the liberal Left cannot stomach. I agree with what Paul Joseph Watson said about the Left and democracy. They cannot and will not accept it if it doesn't coincide with their ideology.Mortimer said:
'Why is this anymore extreme than the alternative economic policy the Labour party currently advocates?'The_Taxman said:
I have watched IDS today deride Tony Blair and seen comments like yours.isam said:The instigator of the Iraq war being used to troll Leavers... "my enemy's enemy" never felt more applicable
RIP Collateral Damage Iraqi's
I think the Iraq war was one of the big mistakes in post second world war Britain. HOWEVER, IDS LETS REMEMBER UNDER PRIVY COUNCIL ACCESS CONDITIONS ENDOURSED THE IRAQ WAR. He saw the same information/ intelligence that Blair did and advocated publically and voted in the House of Commons accordingly.
IDS was ousted some time later becoming the first Tory leader ever to not have fought a General Election. For some reason Tony Blair should be ignored whilst people like IDS should be listened too. Both are as bad as each other but Tony Blair can never be described as an extremist whereas IDS has always been clearly right wing.
Another interesting thing is the Tories are proposing a Brexit which is a complete break with government policy since the 1970s. Why is this anymore extreme than the alternative economic policy the Labour party currently advocates? One could argue if Tory Brexit is a virtue of being optimistic about the UKs future then why not optimism in Labour's policy?
I think the Tories are skating on thin ice and people will eventually wake up to the kamikaze ideas that have taken hold in the government. it could well be the case Brexit opens up the way to a very left wing government and everything the Tories oppose.
Because more people voted for Brexit than have ever voted for anything in this country.0 -
Blair and Labour own the Iraq blood bath, forever and ever. It's on your hands, Roger.Roger said:Ishmael_Z said:
FPT. "Obviously you are capable of being very relaxed about the murder of six figure numbers of brown people. Many of us are not, and it rather colours our response to anything Blair says about anything"
He only did what the Tories were egging him on to do and what they would have done were they in office. People on here are very happy to say Theresa May has no choice but to do whatever Trump or the US administration demands to maintain our special relationship yet when Blair did just that he became a pariah.0 -
@Roger (fpt): "He only did what the Tories were egging him on to do and what they would have done were they in office. People are very happy to say Theresa May has no choice but to do whatever Trump or the US administration demands to maintain our special relationship yet when Blair did just that he became a pariah"
There is some truth in what you say in your first two sentences and it is also the case that some of what Blair said today in his speech has merit, even if some people are unlikely to listen to him precisely because he has in their eyes so comprehensively trashed his brand.
But I think that he became a pariah not just because he got involved in Bush's intervention in Iraq but because of the way that he did so - the dishonesty in what he told Parliament and the country, the way that he suborned and bullied those agencies which should have been a break on his wishes e.g. the intelligence agencies and the Government's legal advisor and because he broke the trust which we are entitled to have in a PM when he or she tells us that war is necessary.
It's not just what he did. It's the way that he did it. There was a fundamental dishonesty at the heart of him - for all his political skills - that in the end has trashed his legacy and which has trashed to some extent New Labour's legacy. That and a lack of political courage. There might well have been a case to be made for intervention in Iraq. But he wasn't prepared to make it. So he came up with the WMD garbage. It was wrong; it did damage to the reputation of the intelligence services; the whole war damaged the British Army's reputation; and it damaged our trust in politicians on a matter as important as life and death. Even if you think that politicians are natural liars I think most of us would expect them not to lie on something as important as this.
He was and is a narcissistic weasel. He may be intelligent and he may be right on some aspects of Brexit. But he has proved himself to be untrustworthy. And that colours how people view him. Sometimes - if you have a difficult but necessary argument to make - you also need to find the right person to make it, someone who will be listened to by those you are seeking to persuade. Not those who agree with you already.
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The Iraqis murdered in Iraq were not murdered by British troops, but by Islamic terrorists. It is offensive to suggest otherwise.Roger said:Ishmael_Z said:
FPT. "Obviously you are capable of being very relaxed about the murder of six figure numbers of brown people. Many of us are not, and it rather colours our response to anything Blair says about anything"
He only did what the Tories were egging him on to do and what they would have done were they in office. People on here are very happy to say Theresa May has no choice but to do whatever Trump or the US administration demands to maintain our special relationship yet when Blair did just that he became a pariah.
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Nope. Do you seriously think Blair would allow himself to be "egged on" by an absolute arsehat like IDS?MonikerDiCanio said:
Blair and Labour own the Iraq blood bath, forever and ever. It's on your hands, Roger.Roger said:Ishmael_Z said:
FPT. "Obviously you are capable of being very relaxed about the murder of six figure numbers of brown people. Many of us are not, and it rather colours our response to anything Blair says about anything"
He only did what the Tories were egging him on to do and what they would have done were they in office. People on here are very happy to say Theresa May has no choice but to do whatever Trump or the US administration demands to maintain our special relationship yet when Blair did just that he became a pariah.0 -
How well or badly do you think the government are doing at negotiating Britain’s exit from the EU? (Ex DK)
Well/Badly
4/1/17: 26 : 74
10/1/17: 28 : 72
18/1/17: 42 : 58
31/1/17: 42 : 58
13/2/17: 46 : 55
http://whatukthinks.org/eu/questions/how-well-or-badly-do-you-the-government-are-doing-at-negotiating-britains-exit-from-the-eu/?removed=removed&groups[0][0]=Very+well&groups[0][1]=Fairly+well&groups[1][2]=Fairly+badly&groups[1][3]=Very+badly0 -
The way that Remainers are scrambling around looking for any ray of light really does give off a whiff of desperation.MikeSmithson said:
I find your language offensive.chestnut said:PB Remainers? The Desperadoes seems more apt.
Blair and Sturgeon lighting their fires.
We have had people who have spent an eternity claiming that they wanted a 'fair voting system' spending months on end trying to subvert the outcome of a fair vote.
One person, one vote. Each vote counts equally.0 -
A trick question, negotiations haven't started yetCarlottaVance said:How well or badly do you think the government are doing at negotiating Britain’s exit from the EU? (Ex DK)
Well/Badly
4/1/17: 26 : 74
10/1/17: 28 : 72
18/1/17: 42 : 58
31/1/17: 42 : 58
13/2/17: 46 : 55
http://whatukthinks.org/eu/questions/how-well-or-badly-do-you-the-government-are-doing-at-negotiating-britains-exit-from-the-eu/?removed=removed&groups[0][0]=Very+well&groups[0][1]=Fairly+well&groups[1][2]=Fairly+badly&groups[1][3]=Very+badly0 -
His rating is -60%williamglenn said:
You should remember one lesson of Trump's success: hugely unpopular or divisive people can still win elections. Plenty of ordinary voters will have reactions to Blair that you wouldn't expect.Casino_Royale said:I'm very relaxed about Blair's interventions.
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Does he rate below Trump?Sean_F said:
His rating is -60%williamglenn said:
You should remember one lesson of Trump's success: hugely unpopular or divisive people can still win elections. Plenty of ordinary voters will have reactions to Blair that you wouldn't expect.Casino_Royale said:I'm very relaxed about Blair's interventions.
That would be a serious achievement...0 -
Blair is 7 years younger than the US President. Plenty of time left for a second act.0
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Out, damned spot.SouthamObserver said:
The Iraqis murdered in Iraq were not murdered by British troops, but by Islamic terrorists. It is offensive to suggest otherwise.Roger said:Ishmael_Z said:
FPT. "Obviously you are capable of being very relaxed about the murder of six figure numbers of brown people. Many of us are not, and it rather colours our response to anything Blair says about anything"
He only did what the Tories were egging him on to do and what they would have done were they in office. People on here are very happy to say Theresa May has no choice but to do whatever Trump or the US administration demands to maintain our special relationship yet when Blair did just that he became a pariah.0 -
So that makes it all right then? Some people are going to look very foolish when Brexit takes place. Maybe economic theory and results of hundreds of years of study on how trade affects a countries economic activity is all wrong. Maybe we should be optimistic and it will be alright! Yeah right. Labours economic plan is barking mad but the Tories potentially taking the UK out on WTO terms is sound economic policy (Not that WTO policy was ever explained to the masses in the referendum campaign and I suspect most people would not understand the implications of this).Mortimer said:
'Why is this anymore extreme than the alternative economic policy the Labour party currently advocates?'The_Taxman said:
I have watched IDS today deride Tony Blair and seen comments like yours.isam said:The instigator of the Iraq war being used to troll Leavers... "my enemy's enemy" never felt more applicable
RIP Collateral Damage Iraqi's
I think the Iraq war was one of the big mistakes in post second world war Britain. HOWEVER, IDS LETS REMEMBER UNDER PRIVY COUNCIL ACCESS CONDITIONS ENDOURSED THE IRAQ WAR. He saw the same information/ intelligence that Blair did and advocated publically and voted in the House of Commons accordingly.
IDS was ousted some time later becoming the first Tory leader ever to not have fought a General Election. For some reason Tony Blair should be ignored whilst people like IDS should be listened too. Both are as bad as each other but Tony Blair can never be described as an extremist whereas IDS has always been clearly right wing.
Another interesting thing is the Tories are proposing a Brexit which is a complete break with government policy since the 1970s. Why is this anymore extreme than the alternative economic policy the Labour party currently advocates? One could argue if Tory Brexit is a virtue of being optimistic about the UKs future then why not optimism in Labour's policy?
I think the Tories are skating on thin ice and people will eventually wake up to the kamikaze ideas that have taken hold in the government. it could well be the case Brexit opens up the way to a very left wing government and everything the Tories oppose.
Because more people voted for Brexit than have ever voted for anything in this country.
The only thing that was possibly attractive about Brexit was an end to mass immigration. Yet the immigrants are still going to be given the red carpet, the best thing being the European immigrants of Christian origin will be replaced by people who may not integrate at all and may well have completely different ideas of how society should be governed. Brexit is a Con trick and just like the £350 million a week for the heath service the end of mass immigration will never materialise either.0 -
Perhaps in the year 2024 you can hate him for taking us into the Euro.Mortimer said:This is all about the TB Vanity Project now - I suppose if people hate him for talking tripe about Brexit that might be more conscionable to him than hating him for taking us into an awful and unjustified war.
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To rain on the Remainer's parade:
We heard recently Tony Blair pledge to "do whatever it takes to help Ed Miliband win". But what would be help most, visible support or keeping out of the way? For Red Box, YouGov asked the nation: "Thinking about retired politicians playing a role in the current election, do you think getting support from the following politicians would be an asset or a liability for today's politicians?"
The overall greatest asset is considered to be John Major, who scores net zero among the general public, although he is +21 among Conservatives supporters. The second greatest asset, only a whisker behind Major, is Paddy Ashdown on net -1, and net +45 among Liberal Democrats. Bottom of the league is Tony Blair, at net -47, and even among Labour supporters he scores net -22.
https://yougov.co.uk/news/2015/02/18/blair-election-liability-and-major-asset-say-voter/0 -
We do not want any more illegal wars thank youwilliamglenn said:Blair is 7 years younger than the US President. Plenty of time left for a second act.
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The usual suspects get really virulent about Blair because he played them for the biggest suckers. They spent 2002-03 jeering at assorted lefties, Libdems and Nats for being naive, sandal wearing, yoghurt knitters, and have then had to spend subsequent years accepting they were the credulous numpties. Some modest contrition might be more appropriate than their over compensating bellicosity.Roger said:Ishmael_Z said:
FPT. "Obviously you are capable of being very relaxed about the murder of six figure numbers of brown people. Many of us are not, and it rather colours our response to anything Blair says about anything"
He only did what the Tories were egging him on to do and what they would have done were they in office. People on here are very happy to say Theresa May has no choice but to do whatever Trump or the US administration demands to maintain our special relationship yet when Blair did just that he became a pariah.0 -
There would be civil war. No doubt.williamglenn said:
Perhaps in the year 2024 you can hate him for taking us into the Euro.Mortimer said:This is all about the TB Vanity Project now - I suppose if people hate him for talking tripe about Brexit that might be more conscionable to him than hating him for taking us into an awful and unjustified war.
But you wouldn't mind that if your hobby horse federal dream was kept alive, eh?0 -
Just listened to Trump on CNN addressing Boeing workers and they cheered and really demonstrated their support for him. Even CNN expressed surprise0
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Blair is such an impressive speaker. He'd probably still be PM if he hadn't stood down in 2007.0
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A good point well made.Theuniondivvie said:
The usual suspects get really virulent about Blair because he played them for the biggest suckers. They spent 2002-03 jeering at assorted lefties, Libdems and Nats for being naive, sandal wearing, yoghurt knitters, and have then had to spend subsequent years accepting they were the credulous numpties. Some modest contrition might be more appropriate than their over compensating bellicosity.Roger said:Ishmael_Z said:
FPT. "Obviously you are capable of being very relaxed about the murder of six figure numbers of brown people. Many of us are not, and it rather colours our response to anything Blair says about anything"
He only did what the Tories were egging him on to do and what they would have done were they in office. People on here are very happy to say Theresa May has no choice but to do whatever Trump or the US administration demands to maintain our special relationship yet when Blair did just that he became a pariah.
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Vox pop in Sedgefield.....as Blair observed 'he doesn't spend a lot of time on the doorstep these days'
https://twitter.com/itvnews/status/8326634819503349760 -
I don't think Blair's past matters at the moment. We are surrounded by conmen liars and chancers to a level politics has never seen before. Certainly not in my lifetime. Trump Johnson Farage Nuttall Gove IDS etc. Anyone who saw the two mating slugs Netanyahu and Trump will know where we're heading.
Blair certainly isn't short of skeletons but for those of us who care about the way things are going any lifeline will do.0 -
https://order-order.com/2017/02/17/68-want-government-get-brexit/
A new ICM poll for Change Britain confirms Tony Blair’s delusion. 68% of voters want the government to “get on with implementing the result of the referendum”, compared to just 15% who disagree. Even more Remain voters (42%) agree with the statement than disagree (33%). When this question was last polled in December, 26% of Remainers wanted the government to get on with the job compared to 40% who disagreed.0 -
The blue collar billionaire. Alone but with the people.Big_G_NorthWales said:Just listened to Trump on CNN addressing Boeing workers and they cheered and really demonstrated their support for him. Even CNN expressed surprise
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What? If that means me, I didn't. I was opposed to the war from the get go because it was so patently an act of misdirected spite. And if you think that is impossible nbecause there is nothing in the tory mindset which is in any way opposed to war of any kind, consider this: tories do believe very strongly in due process - in this instance, in letting Blix finish his job and present his findings. And not murdering experts, and not lying to the House of Commons. Of course IDS looked almost as keen to fellate Blair as Blair was to fellate Bush, but with a proper tory with an IQ above double figures in charge things would possibly have turned out differently.Theuniondivvie said:
The usual suspects get really virulent about Blair because he played them for the biggest suckers. They spent 2002-03 jeering at assorted lefties, Libdems and Nats for being naive, sandal wearing, yoghurt knitters, and have then had to spend subsequent years accepting they were the credulous numpties. Some modest contrition might be more appropriate than their over compensating bellicosity.Roger said:Ishmael_Z said:
FPT. "Obviously you are capable of being very relaxed about the murder of six figure numbers of brown people. Many of us are not, and it rather colours our response to anything Blair says about anything"
He only did what the Tories were egging him on to do and what they would have done were they in office. People on here are very happy to say Theresa May has no choice but to do whatever Trump or the US administration demands to maintain our special relationship yet when Blair did just that he became a pariah.0 -
Should have listened to his Uncle Harold!Yorkcity said:
Agreed . I still think he would have beat Cameron in 2020.,,After 9 ,11 I think he felt that as a Labour PM he had to stand with the USA .AndyJS said:Blair is such an impressive speaker. He'd probably still be PM if he hadn't stood down in 2007.
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More people voted for Cameron in 2010 and 2015 than Blair in 2001 and 2005.
If Cameron, who remained reasonably credible and popular, could not persuade the UK public last June, then it's hard to imagine that Blair would do better.
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Who are you using to say it was illegal ? Our sovereign parliament voted for military action.Big_G_NorthWales said:
We do not want any more illegal wars thank youwilliamglenn said:Blair is 7 years younger than the US President. Plenty of time left for a second act.
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I think Blair would have got a more persuasive new deal offer out of the EU than Cameron did.chestnut said:More people voted for Cameron in 2010 than Blair in 2001 and 2005.
If Cameron, who remained reasonably credible and popular, could not persuade the UK public last June, then it's hard to imagine that Blair would do better.0 -
On a lieYorkcity said:
Who are you using to say it was illegal ? Our sovereign parliament voted for military action.Big_G_NorthWales said:
We do not want any more illegal wars thank youwilliamglenn said:Blair is 7 years younger than the US President. Plenty of time left for a second act.
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Agree 100% It's Boris, rather than Blair, that makes we want to rise up and switch off the TV. Go Tony, Go!Roger said:I don't think Blair's past matters at the moment. We are surrounded by conmen liars and chancers to a level politics has never seen before. Certainly not in my lifetime. Trump Johnson Farage Nuttall Gove IDS etc. Anyone who saw the two mating slugs Netanyahu and Trump will know where we're heading.
Blair certainly isn't short of skeletons but for those of us who care about the way things are going any lifeline will do.0 -
Special marks, by the way, are awarded to the foreign secretary who, despite being an enthusiastic supporter of the Iraq War, responded to Blair’s speech by suggesting it could and should be ignored because Blair took the UK to war in Iraq.ThomasNashe said:Agree 100% It's Boris, rather than Blair, that makes we want to rise up and switch off the TV. Go Tony, Go!
http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2017/02/tony-blair-right-brexit/0 -
The current MP for Sedgefield is so unimpressive they'd probably welcome back Blair with open arms.0
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He just promised them a big order for the upgraded F18... why the surprise ?Big_G_NorthWales said:Just listened to Trump on CNN addressing Boeing workers and they cheered and really demonstrated their support for him. Even CNN expressed surprise
Might not have got the same reception at a Lockheed plant, of course.
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Cameron's deal was a poor one, certainly. It did more to damage his credibility than anything else.Ishmael_Z said:
I think Blair would have got a more persuasive new deal offer out of the EU than Cameron did.chestnut said:More people voted for Cameron in 2010 than Blair in 2001 and 2005.
If Cameron, who remained reasonably credible and popular, could not persuade the UK public last June, then it's hard to imagine that Blair would do better.
However, I'm not sure that the public would have believed Blair, irrespective of any claimed deal.0 -
It wasn't about you as it happens.Ishmael_Z said:
What? If that means me, I didn't. I was opposed to the war from the get go because it was so patently an act of misdirected spite. And if you think that is impossible nbecause there is nothing in the tory mindset which is in any way opposed to war of any kind, consider this: tories do believe very strongly in due process - in this instance, in letting Blix finish his job and present his findings. And not murdering experts, and not lying to the House of Commons. Of course IDS looked almost as keen to fellate Blair as Blair was to fellate Bush, but with a proper tory with an IQ above double figures in charge things would possibly have turned out differently.Theuniondivvie said:
The usual suspects get really virulent about Blair because he played them for the biggest suckers. They spent 2002-03 jeering at assorted lefties, Libdems and Nats for being naive, sandal wearing, yoghurt knitters, and have then had to spend subsequent years accepting they were the credulous numpties. Some modest contrition might be more appropriate than their over compensating bellicosity.Roger said:Ishmael_Z said:
FPT. "Obviously you are capable of being very relaxed about the murder of six figure numbers of brown people. Many of us are not, and it rather colours our response to anything Blair says about anything"
He only did what the Tories were egging him on to do and what they would have done were they in office. People on here are very happy to say Theresa May has no choice but to do whatever Trump or the US administration demands to maintain our special relationship yet when Blair did just that he became a pariah.0 -
Agreed but he knew the reaction from most of our media and a mainly conservative country if he had not stood with the USa .He wanted new labour not to be type cast as anti American.OldKingCole said:
Should have listened to his Uncle Harold!Yorkcity said:
Agreed . I still think he would have beat Cameron in 2020.,,After 9 ,11 I think he felt that as a Labour PM he had to stand with the USA .AndyJS said:Blair is such an impressive speaker. He'd probably still be PM if he hadn't stood down in 2007.
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Really? I thought it was merely a resolution of the House of Commons. A resolution of the House of Commons does not change the law, it is simply an expression of opinion.Yorkcity said:
Who are you using to say it was illegal ? Our sovereign parliament voted for military action.Big_G_NorthWales said:
We do not want any more illegal wars thank youwilliamglenn said:Blair is 7 years younger than the US President. Plenty of time left for a second act.
Responsibility for going to war remains with the Crown.
What Blair did was to poison the body politic such that we now expect governments to ask for "permission" from the House of Commons to go to war, and therefore to forewarn the enemy and forego any element of surprise.0 -
Like the CAP reform he got in return for a chunk of our rebate?Ishmael_Z said:
I think Blair would have got a more persuasive new deal offer out of the EU than Cameron did.chestnut said:More people voted for Cameron in 2010 than Blair in 2001 and 2005.
If Cameron, who remained reasonably credible and popular, could not persuade the UK public last June, then it's hard to imagine that Blair would do better.0 -
Why has no subsequent British government made that point and apologised? Surely it is to the UK's shame that they haven't, as well as being contrary to our interests.Big_G_NorthWales said:
On a lieYorkcity said:
Who are you using to say it was illegal ? Our sovereign parliament voted for military action.Big_G_NorthWales said:
We do not want any more illegal wars thank youwilliamglenn said:Blair is 7 years younger than the US President. Plenty of time left for a second act.
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Not listed to the Sedgefield voxpop?AndyJS said:The current MP for Sedgefield is so unimpressive they'd probably welcome back Blair with open arms.
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Johnson wasn't an enthusiastic supporter of Blair's Iraq War. Fake news is contaminating even upper journalism.Scott_P said:
Special marks, by the way, are awarded to the foreign secretary who, despite being an enthusiastic supporter of the Iraq War, responded to Blair’s speech by suggesting it could and should be ignored because Blair took the UK to war in Iraq.ThomasNashe said:Agree 100% It's Boris, rather than Blair, that makes we want to rise up and switch off the TV. Go Tony, Go!
http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2017/02/tony-blair-right-brexit/0 -
The people you mention may not be great, to put it mildly.Roger said:I don't think Blair's past matters at the moment. We are surrounded by conmen liars and chancers to a level politics has never seen before. Certainly not in my lifetime. Trump Johnson Farage Nuttall Gove IDS etc. Anyone who saw the two mating slugs Netanyahu and Trump will know where we're heading.
Blair certainly isn't short of skeletons but for those of us who care about the way things are going any lifeline will do.
But I think that Blair did great damage to our system of government and to our trust in politicians. Pretty much everything he touched turned, in the end, to ashes. His failure to understand what the EU was about and his failure to carve out a sensible immigration policy ultimately led to Brexit.
People might well have been far more relaxed about FoM from the EU had it not come on top of a pretty much open borders policy to the rest of the world with a lamentable failure on the part of Blair to control it or to deal effectively with asylum claims, whether bogus or not, or to deport those with no right to be here.
And Blair - like many another pro-EU politician before him - never made the case for the EU. He assumed that it was a good and assumed that everyone else would agree with him. If you think something is worthwhile then you need to make the case for it continually not simply assume it.
What was the saying in The Leopard? "Everything must change so that nothing changes."
The pro-EU side have been complacent for years. In the end their complacency cost them.
Incidentally, if the people do change their mind about Brexit and a different decision is taken, fine. And it's also fine for politicians to respond to such a change and even to campaign for it. But what they can't really do is say that they should ignore a decision when there is no evidence of just such a change of mind just because they don't like it. They need to answer the question: "Why are you proposing to do this?" The answer: "I disagree with the answer given" is not, I think, good enough.
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The history of his negotiations with the EU hardly demonstrates that... and the likelihood of his having offered a referendum is approximately 0%.Ishmael_Z said:
I think Blair would have got a more persuasive new deal offer out of the EU than Cameron did.chestnut said:More people voted for Cameron in 2010 than Blair in 2001 and 2005.
If Cameron, who remained reasonably credible and popular, could not persuade the UK public last June, then it's hard to imagine that Blair would do better.
And post Iraq, no one believes a word he says anyway.0 -
What lie ? Many intelligence agencies believed Sadam had WMd he had already gassed his own people.Big_G_NorthWales said:
On a lieYorkcity said:
Who are you using to say it was illegal ? Our sovereign parliament voted for military action.Big_G_NorthWales said:
We do not want any more illegal wars thank youwilliamglenn said:Blair is 7 years younger than the US President. Plenty of time left for a second act.
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Sovereign parliaments can still engage in illegal activity.Yorkcity said:
Who are you using to say it was illegal ? Our sovereign parliament voted for military action.Big_G_NorthWales said:
We do not want any more illegal wars thank youwilliamglenn said:Blair is 7 years younger than the US President. Plenty of time left for a second act.
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Agree with pretty well all that (& I voted remain).Cyclefree said:
The people you mention may not be great, to put it mildly.Roger said:I don't think Blair's past matters at the moment. We are surrounded by conmen liars and chancers to a level politics has never seen before. Certainly not in my lifetime. Trump Johnson Farage Nuttall Gove IDS etc. Anyone who saw the two mating slugs Netanyahu and Trump will know where we're heading.
Blair certainly isn't short of skeletons but for those of us who care about the way things are going any lifeline will do.
But I think that Blair did great damage to our system of government and to our trust in politicians. Pretty much everything he touched turned, in the end, to ashes. His failure to understand what the EU was about and his failure to carve out a sensible immigration policy ultimately led to Brexit.
People might well have been far more relaxed about FoM from the EU had it not come on top of a pretty much open borders policy to the rest of the world with a lamentable failure on the part of Blair to control it or to deal effectively with asylum claims, whether bogus or not, or to deport those with no right to be here.
And Blair - like many another pro-EU politician before him - never made the case for the EU. He assumed that it was a good and assumed that everyone else would agree with him. If you think something is worthwhile then you need to make the case for it continually not simply assume it.
What was the saying in The Leopard? "Everything must change so that nothing changes."
The pro-EU side have been complacent for years. In the end their complacency cost them.
Incidentally, if the people do change their mind about Brexit and a different decision is taken, fine. And it's also fine for politicians to respond to such a change and even to campaign for it. But what they can't really do is say that they should ignore a decision when there is no evidence of just such a change of mind just because they don't like it. They need to answer the question: "Why are you proposing to do this?" The answer: "I disagree with the answer given" is not, I think, good enough.
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@glenoglaza1: Interesting that Johnson, Farage, even Caroline Lucas are attacking Blair the man as they have no coherent reply to his argument #Brexit0
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Blair's speech in full:Cyclefree said:
The people you mention may not be great, to put it mildly.Roger said:I don't think Blair's past matters at the moment. We are surrounded by conmen liars and chancers to a level politics has never seen before. Certainly not in my lifetime. Trump Johnson Farage Nuttall Gove IDS etc. Anyone who saw the two mating slugs Netanyahu and Trump will know where we're heading.
Blair certainly isn't short of skeletons but for those of us who care about the way things are going any lifeline will do.
But I think that Blair did great damage to our system of government and to our trust in politicians. Pretty much everything he touched turned, in the end, to ashes. His failure to understand what the EU was about and his failure to carve out a sensible immigration policy ultimately led to Brexit.
People might well have been far more relaxed about FoM from the EU had it not come on top of a pretty much open borders policy to the rest of the world with a lamentable failure on the part of Blair to control it or to deal effectively with asylum claims, whether bogus or not, or to deport those with no right to be here.
And Blair - like many another pro-EU politician before him - never made the case for the EU. He assumed that it was a good and assumed that everyone else would agree with him. If you think something is worthwhile then you need to make the case for it continually not simply assume it.
What was the saying in The Leopard? "Everything must change so that nothing changes."
The pro-EU side have been complacent for years. In the end their complacency cost them.
Incidentally, if the people do change their mind about Brexit and a different decision is taken, fine. And it's also fine for politicians to respond to such a change and even to campaign for it. But what they can't really do is say that they should ignore a decision when there is no evidence of just such a change of mind just because they don't like it. They need to answer the question: "Why are you proposing to do this?" The answer: "I disagree with the answer given" is not, I think, good enough.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/02/17/will-say-leaving-inevitable-isnt-tony-blairs-brexit-speech-full/
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It's like being on CiF here with all the Blair bile.
His article was excellent but of no use now that we've voted to Leave.
He still believes that he did the right thing in Iraq but sadly history, the grim reality of the death toll, and indeed I think otherwise.0