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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Cyclefree on invitations to address Parliament and the latest

SystemSystem Posts: 11,683
edited February 2017 in General

imagepoliticalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Cyclefree on invitations to address Parliament and the latest PB cartoon

Cartoons by Helen Cochrane and Nicholas Leonard.

Read the full story here


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Comments

  • Options
    BromptonautBromptonaut Posts: 1,113
    American exceptionalism. We expect better of the soi-disent leader of the free world. Different standards apply.
  • Options
    BromptonautBromptonaut Posts: 1,113
    Oh and first. And second.
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    Has David Cameron got a job at the palace now?
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    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    edited February 2017
    :lol:

    "Sometime Tory Cabinet minister Fowler, not always a fan of the free Press, ahem, has been Lord Speaker only five months.

    Already he has greater composure and gravitas than Mr Bercow after eight years. How deftly Lord Fowler put down his Commons counterpart. Making a statement to peers, he said he had been telephoned by Mr Bercow that morning.

    The little chap had grovelled – had been ‘genuinely sorry’. Lord Fowler spoke of the incident as Downton Abbey’s Lord Grantham might have reported the hand-wringing of an errant under-gardener.

    Speaking slowly enough to give us a flavour of his magnanimity, Lord Fowler said he had decided to accept young Bercow’s apology. This was heard in goolie-shrivelling silence... http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4201592/Smack-Bercow-given-delicious-spanking.html
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    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,282
    Fifth. Like UKIP. And a very good lead.
  • Options
    Whatever else Trump may or may not achieve as President, he has already joined the ranks of those few politicians who induce a sort of mental derangement in their opponents.

    Astutely observed.

    As today is Mr Letts:

    One of these two men is an unstable egomaniac with smallish hands and a trophy wife. The other is Donald Trump.

    One is vain, scornful of convention and reacts to criticism with an intolerance so wild you (wrongly) think he must have had one shandy too many. The other is teetotal Donald Trump.

    Given how much they have in common, it may seem odd that the House of Commons Speaker John Bercow thinks so little of the American President.

    But in his basic character, Mr Bercow is a mini-Donald.


    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-4202112/Special-relationship-Forget-writes-QUENTIN-LETTS.html#ixzz4Y4PbOo5k
  • Options
    PlatoSaid said:

    :lol:

    "Sometime Tory Cabinet minister Fowler, not always a fan of the free Press, ahem, has been Lord Speaker only five months.

    Already he has greater composure and gravitas than Mr Bercow after eight years. How deftly Lord Fowler put down his Commons counterpart. Making a statement to peers, he said he had been telephoned by Mr Bercow that morning.

    The little chap had grovelled – had been ‘genuinely sorry’. Lord Fowler spoke of the incident as Downton Abbey’s Lord Grantham might have reported the hand-wringing of an errant under-gardener.

    Speaking slowly enough to give us a flavour of his magnanimity, Lord Fowler said he had decided to accept young Bercow’s apology. This was heard in goolie-shrivelling silence... http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4201592/Smack-Bercow-given-delicious-spanking.html

    Hansard:
    https://hansard.parliament.uk/Lords/2017-02-07/debates/91FEFF5B-B3CF-4AC2-A88C-41DF84764453/LordSpeaker’SStatement
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,897
    Morning all. Very thoughtful as always from Ms @Cyclefree. Genuine laugh out loud at "Principles: your flexible friend" - sums up far too many modern politicians.
  • Options
    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    edited February 2017
    Interesting perspective from friend of Daniel Perl re Left getting in bed with Muslim Right

    https://youtu.be/T7vdRcdBUTU
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    Morning, PB Socialist Justice Warriors!

    Do you think:

    a) Trump is more sexist than Islam?
    b) Islam is more sexist than Trump?
    c) Trump and Islam are equally sexist?
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    SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    edited February 2017
    Morning all.

    Cheers Ms Cyclefree, thoughtful, eloquent and well presented – the threads no bad either.

    https://twitter.com/harryph/status/829091392827904000
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    ***** BETTING POST *****

    By conceding a parliamentary vote on her deal with Brussels six months before Britain leaves the EU, forced on the Gov't by a score of Tory MPs, there can be little doubt that Theresa May has as a result hugely increased the prospect of a General Election being held prior to the scheduled date in 2020, especially having regard to her tiny HoC majority.
    This brings us to the interesting bit where Corals are offering stand out odds of there being such a GE in either 2018 or 2019. For the former they go 11.0, compared with SkyBet's 8 and BetfairEx's 6.7 (net) and for the latter they go 13.0, compared with Skybet's 8.0 and BetfairEx's 5.1 (net).
    Taking into account Coral's generosity, PBers might feel tempted to back both these years in combination, staking 54.17% on 2018 and the remaining 45.83% of their stake on 2019 to produce an equalised return of 5.95 decimal (or almost 5/1) in old money should either element prove successful. I've wagered a nifty Fifty on this basis, but DYOR.
  • Options

    PlatoSaid said:

    :lol:

    "Sometime Tory Cabinet minister Fowler, not always a fan of the free Press, ahem, has been Lord Speaker only five months.

    Already he has greater composure and gravitas than Mr Bercow after eight years. How deftly Lord Fowler put down his Commons counterpart. Making a statement to peers, he said he had been telephoned by Mr Bercow that morning.

    The little chap had grovelled – had been ‘genuinely sorry’. Lord Fowler spoke of the incident as Downton Abbey’s Lord Grantham might have reported the hand-wringing of an errant under-gardener.

    Speaking slowly enough to give us a flavour of his magnanimity, Lord Fowler said he had decided to accept young Bercow’s apology. This was heard in goolie-shrivelling silence... http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4201592/Smack-Bercow-given-delicious-spanking.html

    Hansard:
    https://hansard.parliament.uk/Lords/2017-02-07/debates/91FEFF5B-B3CF-4AC2-A88C-41DF84764453/LordSpeaker’SStatement
    He's inviting Parliament to strip the Speakers of that power (as well as aiming another one for Bercow's tender parts...)

    The procedure as it stands means that either Mr Speaker or myself can effectively veto any proposal for a visiting leader to address Parliament, at least as far as Westminster Hall is concerned. It is for Parliament to consider whether there is a better way in which such decisions can be made. Secondly, for the time being, there may be a situation where one of the Speakers decides that he cannot agree. Before we reach that point, there should be, at the very least, some effort to reach consensus and a serious discussion on what the decision should be. I hope that we can now return to that previous practice.
  • Options

    Morning, PB Socialist Justice Warriors!

    Do you think:

    a) Trump is more sexist than Islam?
    b) Islam is more sexist than Trump?
    c) Trump and Islam are equally sexist?

    it was a bit strange of bercow to cite that as the reason, rather than the many others available.

    d) Trump is currently more dangerous than Islam
  • Options
    SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    edited February 2017
    Brexit Amendment round-up.

    Last night MPs voted on an SNP amendment demanding the Prime Minister seek "an undertaking from the European Council that failure by the Parliament of the United Kingdom to approve the terms of exit for the UK will result in the maintenance of UK membership on existing terms". - In short, the SNP want the Government to be able to make a U-turn once Article 50 is lodged. Amendment rejected by 336 votes to 88. Majority of 248.

    Amendment 110 tabled by Labour MP Chris Leslie calling for MPs and peers to have the final say on any deal to leave the EU.
    MPs voted 326 to 293 to reject. Majority of 33.
  • Options
    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383

    Morning, PB Socialist Justice Warriors!

    Do you think:

    a) Trump is more sexist than Islam?
    b) Islam is more sexist than Trump?
    c) Trump and Islam are equally sexist?

    I detest identity politics of all varieties - but since others love rolling in its swamp, I was just thinking of appts I've noticed where Trump chose ladies. Kelly-Anne was the woman who steered his winning campaign/now his personal counsel, DeVos will be Sec Educ, Haley is UN Ambassador, Chao is running Transport, another is now Deputy Dir CIA, his lead for African-American Outreach, Omarosa is incredibly impressive. Watch her here.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hr5WD5-ZqIw

  • Options
    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,190

    American exceptionalism. We expect better of the soi-disent leader of the free world. Different standards apply.

    You might, I don't. Whilst I wouldn't want us to be enthralled to Trump, we should remember that one day he won't be President and someone else will be. It would be foolish not to continue to foster good relations with an important ally, whether they're led by a numpty or not.
  • Options
    Lord Fowler invented compulsory seatbelts. It seems strange now watching classic series like The Sweeney to see car chases with no-one strapped in. I expect TSE will be along shortly to tell us which university Fowler attended.
  • Options
    BromptonautBromptonaut Posts: 1,113
    tlg86 said:

    American exceptionalism. We expect better of the soi-disent leader of the free world. Different standards apply.

    You might, I don't. Whilst I wouldn't want us to be enthralled to Trump, we should remember that one day he won't be President and someone else will be. It would be foolish not to continue to foster good relations with an important ally, whether they're led by a numpty or not.
    Appeasement. Worked out so well last time, didn't it?
  • Options
    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    edited February 2017

    Lord Fowler invented compulsory seatbelts. It seems strange now watching classic series like The Sweeney to see car chases with no-one strapped in. I expect TSE will be along shortly to tell us which university Fowler attended.

    He was Health Sec during AIDS and sanctioned the scary/effective campaign - it was quite a thing when he went on TV and said 'condom'

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9SqRNUUOk7s

    this was Australia's version

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U219eUIZ7Qo
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,967
    Wow, imagine seeing that second ad for the first time on the telly at the time :o
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    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    Ewwwww

    There's a lot of rumours circulating about who's involved

    http://mobile.reuters.com/article/idUSKBN15M272

    "He said a group of American and Canadian tourists checked into the hotel and booked 22 rooms and paid for day passes for the children to use.

    "The children came in dribs and drabs under a day pass," Paret said.

    According to the U.S. State Department's 2016 Trafficking in Persons Report, Haiti is a source, transit, and destination country for men, women, and children sold into forced labor, domestic servitude and prostitution.

    Traffickers are known to sell children into the sex trade in Haiti and across the porous border into the Dominican Republic
  • Options
    John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    @Cyclefree for Queen. That is all.
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    alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    Wondering if Trump will go on to emulate Nixon's achievements/"achievements" seems to be hedgebetting to some extent...
  • Options

    ***** BETTING POST *****

    By conceding a parliamentary vote on her deal with Brussels six months before Britain leaves the EU, forced on the Gov't by a score of Tory MPs, there can be little doubt that Theresa May has as a result hugely increased the prospect of a General Election being held prior to the scheduled date in 2020, especially having regard to her tiny HoC majority.
    This brings us to the interesting bit where Corals are offering stand out odds of there being such a GE in either 2018 or 2019. For the former they go 11.0, compared with SkyBet's 8 and BetfairEx's 6.7 (net) and for the latter they go 13.0, compared with Skybet's 8.0 and BetfairEx's 5.1 (net).
    Taking into account Coral's generosity, PBers might feel tempted to back both these years in combination, staking 54.17% on 2018 and the remaining 45.83% of their stake on 2019 to produce an equalised return of 5.95 decimal (or almost 5/1) in old money should either element prove successful. I've wagered a nifty Fifty on this basis, but DYOR.

    Good tip, provided you can get on at Coral's that is!
  • Options
    PlatoSaid said:

    Lord Fowler invented compulsory seatbelts. It seems strange now watching classic series like The Sweeney to see car chases with no-one strapped in. I expect TSE will be along shortly to tell us which university Fowler attended.

    He was Health Sec during AIDS and sanctioned the scary/effective campaign - it was quite a thing when he went on TV and said 'condom'

    h

    this was Australia's version

    h
    I remember being scared to death of AIDS in the late 80s/early 90s, to the point I actually thought sex was dangerous.
  • Options
    Excellent post, Cyclefree. I agree entirely, particularly on the innate childishness of present day politics. We need far more grown-ups to encourage and welcome challenge of shibboleths, assumptions, and prejudices (and I mean that quite literally as pre-judgements prior to taking the time to understand) and seeing things from another's point of view.

    And Happy Birthday for yesterday!
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    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548

    PlatoSaid said:

    Lord Fowler invented compulsory seatbelts. It seems strange now watching classic series like The Sweeney to see car chases with no-one strapped in. I expect TSE will be along shortly to tell us which university Fowler attended.

    He was Health Sec during AIDS and sanctioned the scary/effective campaign - it was quite a thing when he went on TV and said 'condom'

    h

    this was Australia's version

    h
    I remember being scared to death of AIDS in the late 80s/early 90s, to the point I actually thought sex was dangerous.
    I was doing an AIDS follow up clinic at the time. It was pretty grim. Not many lasted the year.
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    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    RobD said:

    Wow, imagine seeing that second ad for the first time on the telly at the time :o

    I know!!
  • Options
    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383

    PlatoSaid said:

    Lord Fowler invented compulsory seatbelts. It seems strange now watching classic series like The Sweeney to see car chases with no-one strapped in. I expect TSE will be along shortly to tell us which university Fowler attended.

    He was Health Sec during AIDS and sanctioned the scary/effective campaign - it was quite a thing when he went on TV and said 'condom'

    h

    this was Australia's version

    h
    I remember being scared to death of AIDS in the late 80s/early 90s, to the point I actually thought sex was dangerous.
    My husband's Uncle Brian was the first person to be national frontpage news as a victim. The Daily Star splashed the whole thing with lurid details. His boyfriend Jack had died of a mystery illness a few yrs earlier.

    AIDS scared the crap out of me and totally altered my view of casual hook-ups.
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    MattWMattW Posts: 18,548
    edited February 2017
    Morning all.

    FPT:

    Scott_P said:

    Which gives the lie to the oft repeated claim that England is full.

    Daily Politics yesterday quoted the figure that 2% of UK land is golf courses, 1% is housing
    Which is of course rubbish

    http://blogs.ft.com/ftdata/2016/10/24/ft-factcheck-do-we-use-more-land-for-golf-courses-than-we-do-for-homes/
    The stat was 'political data' from the charity Shelter to grab headlines.

    The root of the misleading comparison is that they are comparing "golf courses" and all their ancillaries with the physical footprint of actual house buildings themselves, combined with some dodgy estimates even for those numbers.

    Land allocated to housing in normal perception includes drives, gardens, roads etc.

    Original piece:
    http://blog.shelter.org.uk/2013/11/a-fair-way-do-we-prioritise-golf-or-homes/

    Doubling down by quibbling about side issues when they had been debunked on the main point:
    http://blog.shelter.org.uk/2014/06/hit-a-bunker-how-more-or-less-got-it-wrong-on-the-golf-stat/

    Anybody who trusts Shelter data without a fact check is a little eccentric. They are a self-confessed political campaign.
  • Options

    tlg86 said:

    American exceptionalism. We expect better of the soi-disent leader of the free world. Different standards apply.

    You might, I don't. Whilst I wouldn't want us to be enthralled to Trump, we should remember that one day he won't be President and someone else will be. It would be foolish not to continue to foster good relations with an important ally, whether they're led by a numpty or not.
    Appeasement. Worked out so well last time, didn't it?
    Appeasement of legitimate grievances is a perfectly fair policy. in as far as it sometimes doesn't (or didn't) work to the extent of resolving the problem, it even then helps to draw a clear moral dividing line by ensuring that such tension or conflict is begun without a legitimate grievance and as such the truth behind the power-play is laid bare.
  • Options
    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    edited February 2017
    A couple of reasons why Donald Trump's proposed visit and address to Parliament is different to the others mentioned:

    1) The others could be relied upon to respect the dignity of the occasion.

    2) Trump is second only to Putin in his negative ratings amongst the British public (Would we ever invite Putin to address parliament?)

    Personally I am looking forward to the visit. It is going to be a festival of protest. It is going to be Hyuuuge.
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,125
    alex. said:

    Wondering if Trump will go on to emulate Nixon's achievements/"achievements" seems to be hedgebetting to some extent...

    I just watched the complete series of "Nixon's the One", with Harry Shearer as Nixon, where they re-enact verbatim extracts from the Nixon Tapes. Given these tapes are nearly half a century old it was remarkable how Nixon's fixations could have come straight from Trump's tweets. Trump is still trying to recapture a golden age that was being mourned fifty years ago. At some point, America, you have to acknowledge - she's never coming back to you...

    The series is well worth catching up with (despite Shearer's prosthetics never ceasing to look quite alarmingly weird).
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,897

    PlatoSaid said:

    Lord Fowler invented compulsory seatbelts. It seems strange now watching classic series like The Sweeney to see car chases with no-one strapped in. I expect TSE will be along shortly to tell us which university Fowler attended.

    He was Health Sec during AIDS and sanctioned the scary/effective campaign - it was quite a thing when he went on TV and said 'condom'

    h

    this was Australia's version

    h
    I remember being scared to death of AIDS in the late 80s/early 90s, to the point I actually thought sex was dangerous.
    I was doing an AIDS follow up clinic at the time. It was pretty grim. Not many lasted the year.
    That must have been terrible, seeing mainly young people with their appointment with the Reaper already in the diary - yet knowing that there was almost nothing that could be done about it.
  • Options
    On topic, it's a good piece but there are two important points missed.

    Firstly, there was no reason to offer a state visit in the first place and, one having been made, no reason for that visit to include an address to parliament (has this offer ever been made or are people tilting at shadows / pre-empting such an offer?). It is right that we treat our allies with respect but that's not the same as offering them everything, immediately.

    And secondly, the problem with Trump is not the absolute level of his values and actions regarding free speech, human rights, respect for others and so on. Clearly, they are considerably better than, say, Kuwait's. What is equally important is the direction of travel. We should encourage those who are improving in such areas, even if from a low level and as such, even where serious failings remain. Part of the messes that were made in the Bush adventures was down to a desire to impose liberal democracy on countries that were unfit and unready for such a society. America already has a liberal democracy; its president shouldn't be lauded for testing the limits.
  • Options
    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    MattW said:

    Morning all.

    FPT:

    Scott_P said:

    Which gives the lie to the oft repeated claim that England is full.

    Daily Politics yesterday quoted the figure that 2% of UK land is golf courses, 1% is housing
    Which is of course rubbish

    http://blogs.ft.com/ftdata/2016/10/24/ft-factcheck-do-we-use-more-land-for-golf-courses-than-we-do-for-homes/
    The stat was 'political data' from the charity Shelter to grab headlines.

    The root of the misleading comparison is that they are comparing "golf courses" and all their ancillaries with the physical footprint of actual house buildings themselves, combined with some dodgy estimates even for those numbers.

    Land allocated to housing in normal perception includes drives, gardens, roads etc.

    Original piece:
    http://blog.shelter.org.uk/2013/11/a-fair-way-do-we-prioritise-golf-or-homes/

    Doubling down by quibbling about side issues when they had been debunked on the main point:
    http://blog.shelter.org.uk/2014/06/hit-a-bunker-how-more-or-less-got-it-wrong-on-the-golf-stat/

    Anybody who trusts Shelter data without a fact check is a little eccentric. They are a self-confessed political campaign.
    Several yrs ago - we'd a very amusing thread about how many of us were homeless and never knew according to Shelter definitions.

    IIRC both myself and @Morris_Dancer were.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,897
    MattW said:

    Morning all.

    FPT:

    Scott_P said:

    Which gives the lie to the oft repeated claim that England is full.

    Daily Politics yesterday quoted the figure that 2% of UK land is golf courses, 1% is housing
    Which is of course rubbish

    http://blogs.ft.com/ftdata/2016/10/24/ft-factcheck-do-we-use-more-land-for-golf-courses-than-we-do-for-homes/
    Anybody who trusts Shelter data without a fact check is a little eccentric. They are a self-confessed political campaign.
    One of the worst 'charities' of the lot, that's saying something. They provided shelter to precisely zero people last Christmas, how many of their donors think differently?
  • Options
    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548

    On topic, it's a good piece but there are two important points missed.

    Firstly, there was no reason to offer a state visit in the first place and, one having been made, no reason for that visit to include an address to parliament (has this offer ever been made or are people tilting at shadows / pre-empting such an offer?). It is right that we treat our allies with respect but that's not the same as offering them everything, immediately.

    And secondly, the problem with Trump is not the absolute level of his values and actions regarding free speech, human rights, respect for others and so on. Clearly, they are considerably better than, say, Kuwait's. What is equally important is the direction of travel. We should encourage those who are improving in such areas, even if from a low level and as such, even where serious failings remain. Part of the messes that were made in the Bush adventures was down to a desire to impose liberal democracy on countries that were unfit and unready for such a society. America already has a liberal democracy; its president shouldn't be lauded for testing the limits.

    I agree. Add direction of travel to the list of legitimate objections.


    Worth noting that Daw Aung Suu Kyi was a visitor well before the recent expulsions of Rohingya, and that she is not is sole control in Burma, with the Military often acting against her.
  • Options
    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    And finally

    Betsy DeVos confirmed as Donald Trump's education secretary https://t.co/egvZq1a0zU https://t.co/Ho8VaIH1Ei
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,942
    @Sandpit - it is a shame that the numerous SJW are not more concerned with charities, who could almost certainly be shamed into changing positions, rather than public opinions on issues like supranational memberships and public views.
  • Options
    PlatoSaid said:

    MattW said:

    Morning all.

    FPT:

    Scott_P said:

    Which gives the lie to the oft repeated claim that England is full.

    Daily Politics yesterday quoted the figure that 2% of UK land is golf courses, 1% is housing
    Which is of course rubbish

    http://blogs.ft.com/ftdata/2016/10/24/ft-factcheck-do-we-use-more-land-for-golf-courses-than-we-do-for-homes/
    The stat was 'political data' from the charity Shelter to grab headlines.

    The root of the misleading comparison is that they are comparing "golf courses" and all their ancillaries with the physical footprint of actual house buildings themselves, combined with some dodgy estimates even for those numbers.

    Land allocated to housing in normal perception includes drives, gardens, roads etc.

    Original piece:
    http://blog.shelter.org.uk/2013/11/a-fair-way-do-we-prioritise-golf-or-homes/

    Doubling down by quibbling about side issues when they had been debunked on the main point:
    http://blog.shelter.org.uk/2014/06/hit-a-bunker-how-more-or-less-got-it-wrong-on-the-golf-stat/

    Anybody who trusts Shelter data without a fact check is a little eccentric. They are a self-confessed political campaign.
    Several yrs ago - we'd a very amusing thread about how many of us were homeless and never knew according to Shelter definitions.

    IIRC both myself and @Morris_Dancer were.
    I remember the discussion well, it centred on Shelter’s idea of what homelessness was, IIRC one aspect was a bedroom deemed too small, or shared with a sibling after a certain age.

    Totally barking
  • Options
    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    edited February 2017

    PlatoSaid said:

    MattW said:

    Morning all.

    FPT:

    Scott_P said:

    Which gives the lie to the oft repeated claim that England is full.

    Daily Politics yesterday quoted the figure that 2% of UK land is golf courses, 1% is housing
    Which is of course rubbish

    http://blogs.ft.com/ftdata/2016/10/24/ft-factcheck-do-we-use-more-land-for-golf-courses-than-we-do-for-homes/
    The stat was 'political data' from the charity Shelter to grab headlines.

    The root of the misleading comparison is that they are comparing "golf courses" and all their ancillaries with the physical footprint of actual house buildings themselves, combined with some dodgy estimates even for those numbers.

    Land allocated to housing in normal perception includes drives, gardens, roads etc.

    Original piece:
    http://blog.shelter.org.uk/2013/11/a-fair-way-do-we-prioritise-golf-or-homes/

    Doubling down by quibbling about side issues when they had been debunked on the main point:
    http://blog.shelter.org.uk/2014/06/hit-a-bunker-how-more-or-less-got-it-wrong-on-the-golf-stat/

    Anybody who trusts Shelter data without a fact check is a little eccentric. They are a self-confessed political campaign.
    Several yrs ago - we'd a very amusing thread about how many of us were homeless and never knew according to Shelter definitions.

    IIRC both myself and @Morris_Dancer were.
    I remember the discussion well, it centred on Shelter’s idea of what homelessness was, IIRC one aspect was a bedroom deemed too small, or shared with a sibling after a certain age.

    Totally barking
    It was highly amusing. My bedroom for years until I was about 11 was the upstairs landing - with net curtains for privacy. They were very frilly. And I'd a camp bed with three legs and a black vinyl pouffe propping it up. I wasn't homeless - just eccentrically living. I even chose the wallpaper in that bit of wall.
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,306

    PlatoSaid said:

    :lol:

    "Sometime Tory Cabinet minister Fowler, not always a fan of the free Press, ahem, has been Lord Speaker only five months.

    Already he has greater composure and gravitas than Mr Bercow after eight years. How deftly Lord Fowler put down his Commons counterpart. Making a statement to peers, he said he had been telephoned by Mr Bercow that morning.

    The little chap had grovelled – had been ‘genuinely sorry’. Lord Fowler spoke of the incident as Downton Abbey’s Lord Grantham might have reported the hand-wringing of an errant under-gardener.

    Speaking slowly enough to give us a flavour of his magnanimity, Lord Fowler said he had decided to accept young Bercow’s apology. This was heard in goolie-shrivelling silence... http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4201592/Smack-Bercow-given-delicious-spanking.html

    Hansard:
    https://hansard.parliament.uk/Lords/2017-02-07/debates/91FEFF5B-B3CF-4AC2-A88C-41DF84764453/LordSpeaker’SStatement
    He's inviting Parliament to strip the Speakers of that power (as well as aiming another one for Bercow's tender parts...)

    The procedure as it stands means that either Mr Speaker or myself can effectively veto any proposal for a visiting leader to address Parliament, at least as far as Westminster Hall is concerned. It is for Parliament to consider whether there is a better way in which such decisions can be made. Secondly, for the time being, there may be a situation where one of the Speakers decides that he cannot agree. Before we reach that point, there should be, at the very least, some effort to reach consensus and a serious discussion on what the decision should be. I hope that we can now return to that previous practice.
    Bercow is a prat and it is always delicious to see someone putting him in his proper place but is the Lord Speaker not a very recent development, since 2006 I think? We love conventions in this country and can invent them at the drop of a hat but I find it slightly strange that all of what Lord Fowler describes has come into being since then. The Lord Chancellor, who acted as Speaker before that was a very different beast being a member of the Cabinet and a government appointee.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929

    American exceptionalism. We expect better of the soi-disent leader of the free world. Different standards apply.

    No. Absolutely not.

    We make standards for all, or for none.

    Take a look at ghe word "standard"
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    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,205

    On topic, it's a good piece but there are two important points missed.

    Firstly, there was no reason to offer a state visit in the first place and, one having been made, no reason for that visit to include an address to parliament (has this offer ever been made or are people tilting at shadows / pre-empting such an offer?). It is right that we treat our allies with respect but that's not the same as offering them everything, immediately.

    And secondly, the problem with Trump is not the absolute level of his values and actions regarding free speech, human rights, respect for others and so on. Clearly, they are considerably better than, say, Kuwait's. What is equally important is the direction of travel. We should encourage those who are improving in such areas, even if from a low level and as such, even where serious failings remain. Part of the messes that were made in the Bush adventures was down to a desire to impose liberal democracy on countries that were unfit and unready for such a society. America already has a liberal democracy; its president shouldn't be lauded for testing the limits.

    Agree on the first. Point 5 covers your second point, albeit briefly. We should expect more of a US President. It worries me greatly that Trump's reaction to the courts putting his EO on hold is to attack the judge rather than consulting with lawyers to see how proposed actions could be made to comply with US law and the US Constitution. That is the mark of a spoilt baby lashing out rather than a serious grown up.

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    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    I'm very wary of all political commentary nowadays given the high degree of partisanship everywhere - this is interesting from Politico if you bear in mind it's centre left bias

    "Bannon, described by one associate as “the most well-read person in Washington,” is known for recommending books to colleagues and friends, according to multiple people who have worked alongside him. He is a voracious reader who devours works of history and political theory “in like an hour,” said a former associate whom Bannon urged to read Sun Tzu’s The Art of War. “He’s like the Rain Man of nationalism.”

    But, said the source, who requested anonymity to speak candidly about Bannon, “There are some things he’s only going to share with people who he’s tight with and who he trusts.”

    Bannon’s readings tend to have one thing in common: the view that technocrats have put Western civilization on a downward trajectory and that only a shock to the system can reverse its decline. And they tend to have a dark, apocalyptic tone that at times echoes Bannon’s own public remarks over the years—a sense that humanity is at a hinge point in history. His ascendant presence in the West Wing is giving once-obscure intellectuals unexpected influence over the highest echelons of government.

    Bannon’s 2015 documentary, “Generation Zero,” drew heavily on one of his favorite books, “The Fourth Turning” by William Strauss and Neil Howe. The book explains a theory of history unfolding in 80- to 100-year cycles, or “turnings,” the fourth and final stage of which is marked by periods of cataclysmic change in which the old order is destroyed and replaced—a current period that, in Bannon’s view, was sparked by the 2008 financial crisis and has now been manifested in part by the rise of Trump.

    http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2017/02/steve-bannon-books-reading-list-214745
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    Cyclefree said:

    On topic, it's a good piece but there are two important points missed.

    Firstly, there was no reason to offer a state visit in the first place and, one having been made, no reason for that visit to include an address to parliament (has this offer ever been made or are people tilting at shadows / pre-empting such an offer?). It is right that we treat our allies with respect but that's not the same as offering them everything, immediately.

    And secondly, the problem with Trump is not the absolute level of his values and actions regarding free speech, human rights, respect for others and so on. Clearly, they are considerably better than, say, Kuwait's. What is equally important is the direction of travel. We should encourage those who are improving in such areas, even if from a low level and as such, even where serious failings remain. Part of the messes that were made in the Bush adventures was down to a desire to impose liberal democracy on countries that were unfit and unready for such a society. America already has a liberal democracy; its president shouldn't be lauded for testing the limits.

    Agree on the first. Point 5 covers your second point, albeit briefly. We should expect more of a US President. It worries me greatly that Trump's reaction to the courts putting his EO on hold is to attack the judge rather than consulting with lawyers to see how proposed actions could be made to comply with US law and the US Constitution. That is the mark of a spoilt baby lashing out rather than a serious grown up.

    Of course, all those who voted for Trump were emotionally mature...

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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,850

    American exceptionalism. We expect better of the soi-disent leader of the free world. Different standards apply.

    As a thought experiment, I wonder what our relationship with the US would be like if they still had Jim Crow laws.
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    CD13CD13 Posts: 6,351
    Dr Fox,

    I'm not exactly sure what these 'huge' 8anti-Trump demonstrations are meant to achieve. He's sexist, and racist and misogynist, according to these people who know everything. For the record, I suspect he is, but that's only my personal opinion. If they protest enough, will he become a Guardian-reading Liberal?

    i went down to Grosvenor Square London in 1067 or 1968, and what did I achieve. I had a good day out. I saw a few middle class Trots assault the police and thought ... they'll get their heads kicked in if they're not careful, and they succeeded in that. At least, they had an issue they cared about (although much of it was anti-Americanism). Even the large anti-Iraq invasion protests had a cause they believed in (as did I). So I was glad when they didn't smash glass or burn cars

    These recent protests seem to be against a President that is democratically elected. They may not like it, and they may think they can change it by causing enough trouble. Is that not anti-democratic? To be fair to them, I think it makes them feel better and burnishes their right-on credentials with their peer-group. So I'm happy for them to go ahead.

    I voted Labour in 1983. If the Americans had protested against us electing a 'commie', I would have thought ... "What a set of dickheads!"
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    There is precious little evidence that the Speaker has misread the mood of the House of Commons. Much of the squawking about him, coming as it does from the usual noisy minority of Bercow-haters, ignores that.

    As to the substance of the decision, the matter seems to have been handled ineptly by all concerned from start to date. I'm agog at how badly a relatively simple thing has been dealt with by the government.
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    AlsoIndigoAlsoIndigo Posts: 1,852

    A couple of reasons why Donald Trump's proposed visit and address to Parliament is different to the others mentioned:

    1) The others could be relied upon to respect the dignity of the occasion.

    2) Trump is second only to Putin in his negative ratings amongst the British public (Would we ever invite Putin to address parliament?)

    Personally I am looking forward to the visit. It is going to be a festival of protest. It is going to be Hyuuuge.

    Putin came to shake hands with Tony in 2003 and rode down the mall with the Queen in a horsedrawn carriage for a state banquet in Buck House.

    image
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,306
    Cyclefree said:

    On topic, it's a good piece but there are two important points missed.

    Firstly, there was no reason to offer a state visit in the first place and, one having been made, no reason for that visit to include an address to parliament (has this offer ever been made or are people tilting at shadows / pre-empting such an offer?). It is right that we treat our allies with respect but that's not the same as offering them everything, immediately.

    And secondly, the problem with Trump is not the absolute level of his values and actions regarding free speech, human rights, respect for others and so on. Clearly, they are considerably better than, say, Kuwait's. What is equally important is the direction of travel. We should encourage those who are improving in such areas, even if from a low level and as such, even where serious failings remain. Part of the messes that were made in the Bush adventures was down to a desire to impose liberal democracy on countries that were unfit and unready for such a society. America already has a liberal democracy; its president shouldn't be lauded for testing the limits.

    Agree on the first. Point 5 covers your second point, albeit briefly. We should expect more of a US President. It worries me greatly that Trump's reaction to the courts putting his EO on hold is to attack the judge rather than consulting with lawyers to see how proposed actions could be made to comply with US law and the US Constitution. That is the mark of a spoilt baby lashing out rather than a serious grown up.

    Trump is alarming in many respects but the point made in your piece is well made.

    The USA is our biggest single export market, closest political ally and essential to our security. Inviting the new President follows naturally from all of that even without the twist of Brexit. Insulting him by making it clear that he is not getting to speak to Parliament, when it might not have even been sought, is egocentric grandstanding by a prat who has used his position to reflect his own personal and highly inconsistent views in a manner damaging to the policy of the elected government. It is the opposite of realpolitik, it is just plain stupid and an abuse of his position.
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    dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,288
    I see that the Manchester Evening News is buy fielding tweets from the Corbynites.

    https://twitter.com/JenWilliamsMEN/status/829117403225260032
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    rkrkrkrkrkrk Posts: 7,908
    Sean_F said:

    American exceptionalism. We expect better of the soi-disent leader of the free world. Different standards apply.

    As a thought experiment, I wonder what our relationship with the US would be like if they still had Jim Crow laws.
    Give it a couple of years and we might find out.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,750
    edited February 2017
    John_M said:

    @Cyclefree for Queen. That is all.

    I'm a loyal subject of her majesty so no. Also cyclefree needs real power. So cyclefree for pm.

    I cannot but think bercow has behaved very poorly. There are valid points that though we have for realpolitik reasons dealt with the abominable, others can be held to a higher moral standard, but the overreach in his position and most critically, that he failed to even attempt to reach consensus and discussed with the Lord speaker is most troubling. I take davidl's point that the role itself is new, however bercow himself felt it important to state the lord speaker was one of the deciders, and he didn't even try to discuss it. His apology, though accepted of course, was the very definition of a hollow, insincere obligation. His statement was obviously prepared with some care and deliberately referenced consulting with the Lord speaker, so it's not like in his moral outrage he forgot.

    I don't even want trump to address parliament, and hoped he wouldn't address parliament, but bercow has done his office no good.
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    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    Pulpstar said:

    American exceptionalism. We expect better of the soi-disent leader of the free world. Different standards apply.

    No. Absolutely not.

    We make standards for all, or for none.

    Take a look at ghe word "standard"
    I thought Trump saying the USA wasn't perfect was a really interesting move. It took the wind out of the sails of liberals who spend all their time moaning about wars they don't like/torture/Gitmo et al.

    I've seen a teeny bit of complaining from Trumpers - but it's the odd tweet - not !!!!!!!!!

    Psychologically, he said the unsayable - again.
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    SquareRootSquareRoot Posts: 7,095
    edited February 2017

    There is precious little evidence that the Speaker has misread the mood of the House of Commons. Much of the squawking about him, coming as it does from the usual noisy minority of Bercow-haters, ignores that.

    As to the substance of the decision, the matter seems to have been handled ineptly by all concerned from start to date. I'm agog at how badly a relatively simple thing has been dealt with by the government.

    May invited him , no problem. It was the idiot Bercow who put a spanner in the works not the Govt. Lord Fowler has put the idiot back in his box hopefully. The sooner this man who has an overblown view of his own importance is silenced, the better. He is a complete hypocrite.
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    There is precious little evidence that the Speaker has misread the mood of the House of Commons. Much of the squawking about him, coming as it does from the usual noisy minority of Bercow-haters, ignores that.

    As to the substance of the decision, the matter seems to have been handled ineptly by all concerned from start to date. I'm agog at how badly a relatively simple thing has been dealt with by the government.

    May invited him , no problem. It was the idiot Bercow who put a spanner in the works not the Govt. Lord Fowler has put the idiot back in his box hopefully. The sooner this man who has an overblown view of his own importance is silenced, the better. He is a complete hypocrite.
    The executive has no right to issue invitations on behalf of the legislature.
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    AlsoIndigoAlsoIndigo Posts: 1,852
    Sean_F said:

    American exceptionalism. We expect better of the soi-disent leader of the free world. Different standards apply.

    As a thought experiment, I wonder what our relationship with the US would be like if they still had Jim Crow laws.
    We seem to have a perfectly good relationship with Saudi...
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    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,205

    There is precious little evidence that the Speaker has misread the mood of the House of Commons. Much of the squawking about him, coming as it does from the usual noisy minority of Bercow-haters, ignores that.

    As to the substance of the decision, the matter seems to have been handled ineptly by all concerned from start to date. I'm agog at how badly a relatively simple thing has been dealt with by the government.


    I met Bercow a couple of years ago at a dinner for women in business. He was - contrary to his public appearances - rather charming and spent time talking to me and others. He seemed genuinely interested in the cause of womens' advancement, insofar as one can tell these things from one conversation. I was struck by the contrast between how he appeared then and how he appears when in the Commons.

    I think that if he was representing the views of MPs - and he may well have been - he might have done better to use the "I" pronoun less. There are valid objections to this visit but they do not primarily relate to the objectors' strength of feeling.

    Narcissism is never attractive, even when the narcissist may be right on the substance.
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,850
    PlatoSaid said:

    Pulpstar said:

    American exceptionalism. We expect better of the soi-disent leader of the free world. Different standards apply.

    No. Absolutely not.

    We make standards for all, or for none.

    Take a look at ghe word "standard"
    I thought Trump saying the USA wasn't perfect was a really interesting move. It took the wind out of the sails of liberals who spend all their time moaning about wars they don't like/torture/Gitmo et al.

    I've seen a teeny bit of complaining from Trumpers - but it's the odd tweet - not !!!!!!!!!

    Psychologically, he said the unsayable - again.
    The US has a lot of good points, but it's not the City on the Hill.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,750

    PlatoSaid said:

    MattW said:

    Morning all.

    FPT:

    Scott_P said:

    Which gives the lie to the oft repeated claim that England is full.

    Daily Politics yesterday quoted the figure that 2% of UK land is golf courses, 1% is housing
    Which is of course rubbish

    http://blogs.ft.com/ftdata/2016/10/24/ft-factcheck-do-we-use-more-land-for-golf-courses-than-we-do-for-homes/
    The stat was 'political data' from the charity Shelter to grab headlines.

    The root of the misleading comparison is that they are comparing "golf courses" and all their ancillaries with the physical footprint of actual house buildings themselves, combined with some dodgy estimates even for those numbers.

    Land allocated to housing in normal perception includes drives, gardens, roads etc.

    Original piece:
    http://blog.shelter.org.uk/2013/11/a-fair-way-do-we-prioritise-golf-or-homes/

    Doubling down by quibbling about side issues when they had been debunked on the main point:
    http://blog.shelter.org.uk/2014/06/hit-a-bunker-how-more-or-less-got-it-wrong-on-the-golf-stat/

    Anybody who trusts Shelter data without a fact check is a little eccentric. They are a self-confessed political campaign.
    Several yrs ago - we'd a very amusing thread about how many of us were homeless and never knew according to Shelter definitions.

    IIRC both myself and @Morris_Dancer were.
    I remember the discussion well, it centred on Shelter’s idea of what homelessness was, IIRC one aspect was a bedroom deemed too small, or shared with a sibling after a certain age.

    Totally barking
    Is that right?! Christ!

    At a stretch you could include that on a list of people not adequately homed, as it were, but that sort of definitional trickery, using a definition far removed from the general understanding, is downright underhanded if true, and makes addressing the real problem harder. I know relative poverty can be a tricky one too, but not to that level.

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    "Whatever else Trump may or may not achieve as President, he has already joined the ranks of those few politicians who induce a sort of mental derangement in their opponents. Mrs Thatcher was one, Nixon another and in earlier times, FDR, seen by some – certainly at the start of his Presidency – as a traitor to his class."

    Barack Obama and both Clintons should also be added to that list.
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    dugarbandierdugarbandier Posts: 2,596
    edited February 2017
    spreading fake news, so i deleted it!
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    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,205
    CD13 said:

    Dr Fox,

    I'm not exactly sure what these 'huge' 8anti-Trump demonstrations are meant to achieve. He's sexist, and racist and misogynist, according to these people who know everything. For the record, I suspect he is, but that's only my personal opinion. If they protest enough, will he become a Guardian-reading Liberal?

    i went down to Grosvenor Square London in 1067 or 1968, and what did I achieve. I had a good day out. I saw a few middle class Trots assault the police and thought ... they'll get their heads kicked in if they're not careful, and they succeeded in that. At least, they had an issue they cared about (although much of it was anti-Americanism). Even the large anti-Iraq invasion protests had a cause they believed in (as did I). So I was glad when they didn't smash glass or burn cars

    These recent protests seem to be against a President that is democratically elected. They may not like it, and they may think they can change it by causing enough trouble. Is that not anti-democratic? To be fair to them, I think it makes them feel better and burnishes their right-on credentials with their peer-group. So I'm happy for them to go ahead.

    I voted Labour in 1983. If the Americans had protested against us electing a 'commie', I would have thought ... "What a set of dickheads!"

    What on earth is the point of protesting to make yourself feel better? Political protest as therapy? Give me strength. If you need a walk go to the country.

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    AlsoIndigoAlsoIndigo Posts: 1,852

    There is precious little evidence that the Speaker has misread the mood of the House of Commons. Much of the squawking about him, coming as it does from the usual noisy minority of Bercow-haters, ignores that.

    As to the substance of the decision, the matter seems to have been handled ineptly by all concerned from start to date. I'm agog at how badly a relatively simple thing has been dealt with by the government.

    There is precious little evidence that Trump was going to speak in Parliament, which means the speaker was polishing his virtue rather than responding to a request. Had the government asked, and had the speaker taken soundings and responded in kind that would be entirely reasonable, that is not what happened. The speaker exceeded his powers and caused embarrassment to HMG in relation to our most important ally. Considering your detestation of Trump and your delight at discomfort for the government I am not holding my breath for you to see it this way ;)
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    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    CD13 said:

    Dr Fox,

    I'm not exactly sure what these 'huge' 8anti-Trump demonstrations are meant to achieve. He's sexist, and racist and misogynist, according to these people who know everything. For the record, I suspect he is, but that's only my personal opinion. If they protest enough, will he become a Guardian-reading Liberal?

    i went down to Grosvenor Square London in 1067 or 1968, and what did I achieve. I had a good day out. I saw a few middle class Trots assault the police and thought ... they'll get their heads kicked in if they're not careful, and they succeeded in that. At least, they had an issue they cared about (although much of it was anti-Americanism). Even the large anti-Iraq invasion protests had a cause they believed in (as did I). So I was glad when they didn't smash glass or burn cars

    These recent protests seem to be against a President that is democratically elected. They may not like it, and they may think they can change it by causing enough trouble. Is that not anti-democratic? To be fair to them, I think it makes them feel better and burnishes their right-on credentials with their peer-group. So I'm happy for them to go ahead.

    I voted Labour in 1983. If the Americans had protested against us electing a 'commie', I would have thought ... "What a set of dickheads!"

    IIRC the protests back in 68 shifted public opinion to the Right.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9aeNJljuZcI
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    Good morning, everyone.

    Another good piece, Miss Cyclefree.

    Mr. kle4, that is correct. If not enough people are disadvantaged, just broaden the definition of disadvantage. Hence 'relative poverty'. A perpetual cause for outrage among charities, totally divorced from actual poverty.

    I think that the diminished moral standing of charitable works as they professionalise and focus on gouging money with chuggers and churglars is not an especially good turn of events.
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,306

    There is precious little evidence that the Speaker has misread the mood of the House of Commons. Much of the squawking about him, coming as it does from the usual noisy minority of Bercow-haters, ignores that.

    As to the substance of the decision, the matter seems to have been handled ineptly by all concerned from start to date. I'm agog at how badly a relatively simple thing has been dealt with by the government.

    You don't think that the stony silence on the government benches in response to his outburst, where an absolute majority of the HoC sits, is good evidence?
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,750
    edited February 2017

    On topic, it's a good piece but there are two important points missed.

    Firstly, there was no reason to offer a state visit in the first place and, one having been made, no reason for that visit to include an address to parliament (has this offer ever been made or are people tilting at shadows / pre-empting such an offer?). It is right that we treat our allies with respect but that's not the same as offering them everything, immediately.

    And secondly, the problem with Trump is not the absolute level of his values and actions regarding free speech, human rights, respect for others and so on. Clearly, they are considerably better than, say, Kuwait's. What is equally important is the direction of travel. We should encourage those who are improving in such areas, even if from a low level and as such, even where serious failings remain. Part of the messes that were made in the Bush adventures was down to a desire to impose liberal democracy on countries that were unfit and unready for such a society. America already has a liberal democracy; its president shouldn't be lauded for testing the limits.

    Your first point captures my view on the trump visit. Nothing wrong with buttering him up in his first week, but we could have at least waited on that, he has at least 4 years.

    The second I take the point about encouraging Or discouraging direction of travel, it seems like how we should operate either these things, and I don't really want trump feted more than necessary, but clearly it's never been how we operate. Plenty of places are bad and getting worse and we still deal with them and laud them if we have to.

    Either way, even if bercow's heart is in the right place, and my first reaction to the news was initial approval, that it was grandstanding, seems to have been exceeding his role and deliberately and drew attention to ignoring his comrade ad in the lords, means even if in principle one could appplaud. Him, he was still a massive prat. Which of course we knew - and do etimes we app,and that too. Not this time.
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    AlsoIndigoAlsoIndigo Posts: 1,852
    kle4 said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    MattW said:

    Morning all.

    FPT:

    Scott_P said:

    Which gives the lie to the oft repeated claim that England is full.

    Daily Politics yesterday quoted the figure that 2% of UK land is golf courses, 1% is housing
    Which is of course rubbish

    http://blogs.ft.com/ftdata/2016/10/24/ft-factcheck-do-we-use-more-land-for-golf-courses-than-we-do-for-homes/
    The stat was 'political data' from the charity Shelter to grab headlines.

    The root of the misleading comparison is that they are comparing "golf courses" and all their ancillaries with the physical footprint of actual house buildings themselves, combined with some dodgy estimates even for those numbers.

    Land allocated to housing in normal perception includes drives, gardens, roads etc.

    Original piece:
    http://blog.shelter.org.uk/2013/11/a-fair-way-do-we-prioritise-golf-or-homes/

    Doubling down by quibbling about side issues when they had been debunked on the main point:
    http://blog.shelter.org.uk/2014/06/hit-a-bunker-how-more-or-less-got-it-wrong-on-the-golf-stat/

    Anybody who trusts Shelter data without a fact check is a little eccentric. They are a self-confessed political campaign.
    Several yrs ago - we'd a very amusing thread about how many of us were homeless and never knew according to Shelter definitions.

    IIRC both myself and @Morris_Dancer were.
    I remember the discussion well, it centred on Shelter’s idea of what homelessness was, IIRC one aspect was a bedroom deemed too small, or shared with a sibling after a certain age.

    Totally barking
    Is that right?! Christ!

    At a stretch you could include that on a list of people not adequately homed, as it were, but that sort of definitional trickery, using a definition far removed from the general understanding, is downright underhanded if true, and makes addressing the real problem harder. I know relative poverty can be a tricky one too, but not to that level.

    Its also culturally insensitive, a lot of African and Asian cultures the family sleeps together in one room even if there are extra rooms available.
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,306

    Good morning, everyone.

    I think that the diminished moral standing of charitable works as they professionalise and focus on gouging money with chuggers and churglars is not an especially good turn of events.

    Masterful understatement.
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,850

    Good morning, everyone.

    Another good piece, Miss Cyclefree.

    Mr. kle4, that is correct. If not enough people are disadvantaged, just broaden the definition of disadvantage. Hence 'relative poverty'. A perpetual cause for outrage among charities, totally divorced from actual poverty.

    I think that the diminished moral standing of charitable works as they professionalise and focus on gouging money with chuggers and churglars is not an especially good turn of events.

    To take one example, the behaviour of RSPCA has done a lot to damage its standing in recent years.
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    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,674
    edited February 2017

    There is precious little evidence that the Speaker has misread the mood of the House of Commons. Much of the squawking about him, coming as it does from the usual noisy minority of Bercow-haters, ignores that.

    As to the substance of the decision, the matter seems to have been handled ineptly by all concerned from start to date. I'm agog at how badly a relatively simple thing has been dealt with by the government.

    May invited him , no problem. It was the idiot Bercow who put a spanner in the works not the Govt. Lord Fowler has put the idiot back in his box hopefully. The sooner this man who has an overblown view of his own importance is silenced, the better. He is a complete hypocrite.
    The executive has no right to issue invitations on behalf of the legislature.
    Who said they did?

    Bercow has pre-empted any possible invitation, embarrassing HMG and HMQ in the process.

    Had such an invitation been considered, both speakers would have been sounded out, both would have discussed with members, reached a consensus together and informed HMG - who then would have issued the invitation, or not, depending on the outcome.

    Unfortunately the pompous prick has inserted himself into international relations to the detriment of all concerned...
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    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,937
    edited February 2017
    DavidL said:

    There is precious little evidence that the Speaker has misread the mood of the House of Commons. Much of the squawking about him, coming as it does from the usual noisy minority of Bercow-haters, ignores that.

    As to the substance of the decision, the matter seems to have been handled ineptly by all concerned from start to date. I'm agog at how badly a relatively simple thing has been dealt with by the government.

    You don't think that the stony silence on the government benches in response to his outburst, where an absolute majority of the HoC sits, is good evidence?

    There are any number of (t)reasons why Tory MPs who support Bercow's move might want to stay silent about it.

    That said, I think what Bercow did was wrong; as was the original invite, of course.

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    Mr. F, precisely.

    On a personal note, the second hound was from an RSPCA place. She was signed off as in good health but the very first night we had her it was obvious (they were visible) she had a huge number of fleas.

    Not impressed with that.

    Mr. L, one aims to please :)

    Mr. Indigo, quite: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C16L3Z8oI_E
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,750

    There is precious little evidence that the Speaker has misread the mood of the House of Commons. Much of the squawking about him, coming as it does from the usual noisy minority of Bercow-haters, ignores that.

    As to the substance of the decision, the matter seems to have been handled ineptly by all concerned from start to date. I'm agog at how badly a relatively simple thing has been dealt with by the government.

    It has been handled badly, and it may well be the house as a whole likes that bercow says he will prevent trump speaking to parliament, shoukd a request come. The government does not micromanage the operations of the house.

    However, the right or popular thing can still be done in the wrong way, ignoring convention unnecessarily, for glory, and can be badly handled. That the whole thing has been badly handled makes his, in my view, own messes not stand out so much, but still unnecessary to do so in the manner he did.
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    alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    edited February 2017
    To be fair, contrary to some of the suggestions on this thread, I don't think Bercow was the first to raise the prospect of Trump speaking to Parliament, was he? Didn't Harriet Harman on her book tour state that she would be leading a "boycott of women MPs" when he came to speak? So it was obviously already in the air (even if it was based on a false assumption).
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    There is precious little evidence that the Speaker has misread the mood of the House of Commons. Much of the squawking about him, coming as it does from the usual noisy minority of Bercow-haters, ignores that.

    As to the substance of the decision, the matter seems to have been handled ineptly by all concerned from start to date. I'm agog at how badly a relatively simple thing has been dealt with by the government.

    May invited him , no problem. It was the idiot Bercow who put a spanner in the works not the Govt. Lord Fowler has put the idiot back in his box hopefully. The sooner this man who has an overblown view of his own importance is silenced, the better. He is a complete hypocrite.
    Can we all agree that people who SR dislikes should be sacked & have their fingernails pulled out?

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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,750
    Cyclefree said:

    On topic, it's a good piece but there are two important points missed.

    Firstly, there was no reason to offer a state visit in the first place and, one having been made, no reason for that visit to include an address to parliament (has this offer ever been made or are people tilting at shadows / pre-empting such an offer?). It is right that we treat our allies with respect but that's not the same as offering them everything, immediately.

    And secondly, the problem with Trump is not the absolute level of his values and actions regarding free speech, human rights, respect for others and so on. Clearly, they are considerably better than, say, Kuwait's. What is equally important is the direction of travel. We should encourage those who are improving in such areas, even if from a low level and as such, even where serious failings remain. Part of the messes that were made in the Bush adventures was down to a desire to impose liberal democracy on countries that were unfit and unready for such a society. America already has a liberal democracy; its president shouldn't be lauded for testing the limits.

    Agree on the first. Point 5 covers your second point, albeit briefly. We should expect more of a US President. It worries me greatly that Trump's reaction to the courts putting his EO on hold is to attack the judge rather than consulting with lawyers to see how proposed actions could be made to comply with US law and the US Constitution. That is the mark of a spoilt baby lashing out rather than a serious grown up.

    Well, sadly it's not as though our lot are immune to that reaction at times.
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    There is precious little evidence that the Speaker has misread the mood of the House of Commons. Much of the squawking about him, coming as it does from the usual noisy minority of Bercow-haters, ignores that.

    As to the substance of the decision, the matter seems to have been handled ineptly by all concerned from start to date. I'm agog at how badly a relatively simple thing has been dealt with by the government.

    There is precious little evidence that Trump was going to speak in Parliament, which means the speaker was polishing his virtue rather than responding to a request.
    Agree - it's far from trump's comfort zone and the chances of student theatrics too high - its clear from Lord Fowler that no such approach from the government had been made - but Bercow couldn't pass up on the chance of leaping on a passing bandwagon.
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    kle4 said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    MattW said:

    Morning all.

    FPT:

    Scott_P said:

    Which gives the lie to the oft repeated claim that England is full.

    Daily Politics yesterday quoted the figure that 2% of UK land is golf courses, 1% is housing
    Which is of course rubbish

    http://blogs.ft.com/ftdata/2016/10/24/ft-factcheck-do-we-use-more-land-for-golf-courses-than-we-do-for-homes/
    The stat was 'political data' from the charity Shelter to grab headlines.

    The root of the misleading comparison is that they are comparing "golf courses" and all their ancillaries with the physical footprint of actual house buildings themselves, combined with some dodgy estimates even for those numbers.

    Land allocated to housing in normal perception includes drives, gardens, roads etc.

    Original piece:
    http://blog.shelter.org.uk/2013/11/a-fair-way-do-we-prioritise-golf-or-homes/

    Doubling down by quibbling about side issues when they had been debunked on the main point:
    http://blog.shelter.org.uk/2014/06/hit-a-bunker-how-more-or-less-got-it-wrong-on-the-golf-stat/

    Anybody who trusts Shelter data without a fact check is a little eccentric. They are a self-confessed political campaign.
    Several yrs ago - we'd a very amusing thread about how many of us were homeless and never knew according to Shelter definitions.

    IIRC both myself and @Morris_Dancer were.
    I remember the discussion well, it centred on Shelter’s idea of what homelessness was, IIRC one aspect was a bedroom deemed too small, or shared with a sibling after a certain age.

    Totally barking
    Is that right?! Christ!

    At a stretch you could include that on a list of people not adequately homed, as it were, but that sort of definitional trickery, using a definition far removed from the general understanding, is downright underhanded if true, and makes addressing the real problem harder. I know relative poverty can be a tricky one too, but not to that level.

    Its also culturally insensitive, a lot of African and Asian cultures the family sleeps together in one room even if there are extra rooms available.
    Evidence, please.
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Morning all

    @britainelects: Scottish independence voting intention:

    Yes: 49% (+3)
    No: 51% (-3)

    (via BMG / 26 - 31 Jan)

    Excluding DKs.
    Changes with December.
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    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,205
    Sean_F said:

    Good morning, everyone.

    Another good piece, Miss Cyclefree.

    Mr. kle4, that is correct. If not enough people are disadvantaged, just broaden the definition of disadvantage. Hence 'relative poverty'. A perpetual cause for outrage among charities, totally divorced from actual poverty.

    I think that the diminished moral standing of charitable works as they professionalise and focus on gouging money with chuggers and churglars is not an especially good turn of events.

    To take one example, the behaviour of RSPCA has done a lot to damage its standing in recent years.
    Not just in recent years. In my very first proper job, I had to deal with them. I was an expert then on the Wildlife and Countryside Act 1981, CITES and how they impacted on the trade in wild raptors. The RSPCA had scarce regard for the law, thought themselves above it and behaved in ways which would (or should) have led to sackings and disciplinary offences had it been done by anyone else.

    They seemed to be an example of an organisation which thinks that because its cause is noble or their motives pure this permits them to do whatever they want in pursuit of their noble objective/pure motives. A very dangerous belief. Not least because others will be misled into not challenging them precisely because they risk being accused of stopping the person/body from doing their noble thing. But the power mad are no less dangerous because they believe they are good.

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    felixfelix Posts: 15,124

    There is precious little evidence that the Speaker has misread the mood of the House of Commons. Much of the squawking about him, coming as it does from the usual noisy minority of Bercow-haters, ignores that.

    As to the substance of the decision, the matter seems to have been handled ineptly by all concerned from start to date. I'm agog at how badly a relatively simple thing has been dealt with by the government.

    May invited him , no problem. It was the idiot Bercow who put a spanner in the works not the Govt. Lord Fowler has put the idiot back in his box hopefully. The sooner this man who has an overblown view of his own importance is silenced, the better. He is a complete hypocrite.
    Indeed - are there any causes that would be really enhanced by the the bleatings of the erstwhile member of the Monday club John Bercow - I guess any port in a storm is good enough for Meeks.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,750
    Scott_P said:

    Morning all

    @britainelects: Scottish independence voting intention:

    Yes: 49% (+3)
    No: 51% (-3)

    (via BMG / 26 - 31 Jan)

    Excluding DKs.
    Changes with December.

    Ugh. Speaking if direction of travel. Sometimes it's up a bit, sometimes it's down a bit, but the trend is clear. Inevitable.
  • Options
    SquareRootSquareRoot Posts: 7,095

    There is precious little evidence that the Speaker has misread the mood of the House of Commons. Much of the squawking about him, coming as it does from the usual noisy minority of Bercow-haters, ignores that.

    As to the substance of the decision, the matter seems to have been handled ineptly by all concerned from start to date. I'm agog at how badly a relatively simple thing has been dealt with by the government.

    There is precious little evidence that Trump was going to speak in Parliament, which means the speaker was polishing his virtue rather than responding to a request. Had the government asked, and had the speaker taken soundings and responded in kind that would be entirely reasonable, that is not what happened. The speaker exceeded his powers and caused embarrassment to HMG in relation to our most important ally. Considering your detestation of Trump and your delight at discomfort for the government I am not holding my breath for you to see it this way ;)
    . I never heard May inviting Trump to speak to Parliament. Perhaps I missed it.
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    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,205
    rkrkrk said:

    Sean_F said:

    American exceptionalism. We expect better of the soi-disent leader of the free world. Different standards apply.

    As a thought experiment, I wonder what our relationship with the US would be like if they still had Jim Crow laws.
    Give it a couple of years and we might find out.
    We don't need that though experiment. We just need to look back at what it was when they did have such laws.
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    felix said:

    There is precious little evidence that the Speaker has misread the mood of the House of Commons. Much of the squawking about him, coming as it does from the usual noisy minority of Bercow-haters, ignores that.

    As to the substance of the decision, the matter seems to have been handled ineptly by all concerned from start to date. I'm agog at how badly a relatively simple thing has been dealt with by the government.

    May invited him , no problem. It was the idiot Bercow who put a spanner in the works not the Govt. Lord Fowler has put the idiot back in his box hopefully. The sooner this man who has an overblown view of his own importance is silenced, the better. He is a complete hypocrite.
    Indeed - are there any causes that would be really enhanced by the the bleatings of the erstwhile member of the Monday club John Bercow - I guess any port in a storm is good enough for Meeks.
    Alastair Meeks 'anti fan club' agree with each other shock.
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    DavidL said:

    There is precious little evidence that the Speaker has misread the mood of the House of Commons. Much of the squawking about him, coming as it does from the usual noisy minority of Bercow-haters, ignores that.

    As to the substance of the decision, the matter seems to have been handled ineptly by all concerned from start to date. I'm agog at how badly a relatively simple thing has been dealt with by the government.

    You don't think that the stony silence on the government benches in response to his outburst, where an absolute majority of the HoC sits, is good evidence?
    Or that his comments were mainly directed at the Opposition benches, from which he sought and gained approval?

    Sounded out the House?

    “I am grateful…I will say this…I must say…I would myself…I am even more strongly opposed…I operate on advice…I perhaps do not have…I would not wish to…I conclude by saying…I feel very strongly.”
  • Options
    SquareRootSquareRoot Posts: 7,095

    There is precious little evidence that the Speaker has misread the mood of the House of Commons. Much of the squawking about him, coming as it does from the usual noisy minority of Bercow-haters, ignores that.

    As to the substance of the decision, the matter seems to have been handled ineptly by all concerned from start to date. I'm agog at how badly a relatively simple thing has been dealt with by the government.

    May invited him , no problem. It was the idiot Bercow who put a spanner in the works not the Govt. Lord Fowler has put the idiot back in his box hopefully. The sooner this man who has an overblown view of his own importance is silenced, the better. He is a complete hypocrite.
    Can we all agree that people who SR dislikes should be sacked & have their fingernails pulled out?

    Look as his backhistory, He never said a word about severa\l previous invitees whose history was much dodgier than Trump's
  • Options

    kle4 said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    MattW said:

    Morning all.

    FPT:

    Scott_P said:

    Which gives the lie to the oft repeated claim that England is full.

    Daily Politics yesterday quoted the figure that 2% of UK land is golf courses, 1% is housing
    Which is of course rubbish

    http://blogs.ft.com/ftdata/2016/10/24/ft-factcheck-do-we-use-more-land-for-golf-courses-than-we-do-for-homes/
    The stat was 'political data' from the charity Shelter to grab headlines.

    The root of the misleading comparison is that they are comparing "golf courses" and all their ancillaries with the physical footprint of actual house buildings themselves, combined with some dodgy estimates even for those numbers.

    Land allocated to housing in normal perception includes drives, gardens, roads etc.

    Original piece:
    http://blog.shelter.org.uk/2013/11/a-fair-way-do-we-prioritise-golf-or-homes/

    Doubling down by quibbling about side issues when they had been debunked on the main point:
    http://blog.shelter.org.uk/2014/06/hit-a-bunker-how-more-or-less-got-it-wrong-on-the-golf-stat/

    Anybody who trusts Shelter data without a fact check is a little eccentric. They are a self-confessed political campaign.
    Several yrs ago - we'd a very amusing thread about how many of us were homeless and never knew according to Shelter definitions.

    IIRC both myself and @Morris_Dancer were.
    I remember the discussion well, it centred on Shelter’s idea of what homelessness was, IIRC one aspect was a bedroom deemed too small, or shared with a sibling after a certain age.

    Totally barking
    Is that right?! Christ!

    At a stretch you could include that on a list of people not adequately homed, as it were, but that sort of definitional trickery, using a definition far removed from the general understanding, is downright underhanded if true, and makes addressing the real problem harder. I know relative poverty can be a tricky one too, but not to that level.

    Its also culturally insensitive, a lot of African and Asian cultures the family sleeps together in one room even if there are extra rooms available.
    Evidence, please.
    certainly happens in Japan (anecdata).
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    Scott_P said:

    Morning all

    @britainelects: Scottish independence voting intention:

    Yes: 49% (+3)
    No: 51% (-3)

    (via BMG / 26 - 31 Jan)

    Excluding DKs.
    Changes with December.

    That is a very good place from which to start for the independence side.

    It's hard to see how the UK stays together now given that Scotland and England are drifting so far apart. No doubt May will do exactly what Sturgeon wants and deny the opportunity for a second referendum.

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    PlatoSaid said:

    Lord Fowler invented compulsory seatbelts. It seems strange now watching classic series like The Sweeney to see car chases with no-one strapped in. I expect TSE will be along shortly to tell us which university Fowler attended.

    He was Health Sec during AIDS and sanctioned the scary/effective campaign - it was quite a thing when he went on TV and said 'condom'

    h

    this was Australia's version

    h
    I remember being scared to death of AIDS in the late 80s/early 90s, to the point I actually thought sex was dangerous.
    It is if you do it right.
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,850
    Cyclefree said:

    Sean_F said:

    Good morning, everyone.

    Another good piece, Miss Cyclefree.

    Mr. kle4, that is correct. If not enough people are disadvantaged, just broaden the definition of disadvantage. Hence 'relative poverty'. A perpetual cause for outrage among charities, totally divorced from actual poverty.

    I think that the diminished moral standing of charitable works as they professionalise and focus on gouging money with chuggers and churglars is not an especially good turn of events.

    To take one example, the behaviour of RSPCA has done a lot to damage its standing in recent years.
    Not just in recent years. In my very first proper job, I had to deal with them. I was an expert then on the Wildlife and Countryside Act 1981, CITES and how they impacted on the trade in wild raptors. The RSPCA had scarce regard for the law, thought themselves above it and behaved in ways which would (or should) have led to sackings and disciplinary offences had it been done by anyone else.

    They seemed to be an example of an organisation which thinks that because its cause is noble or their motives pure this permits them to do whatever they want in pursuit of their noble objective/pure motives. A very dangerous belief. Not least because others will be misled into not challenging them precisely because they risk being accused of stopping the person/body from doing their noble thing. But the power mad are no less dangerous because they believe they are good.

    More dangerous, actually, hence CS Lewis' comment that the worst kind of tyranny is one that is sincerely exercised for the good of its victims.

    It's a pity, because trying to prevent the abuse of animals is a good thing.
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    Cyclefree said:

    rkrkrk said:

    Sean_F said:

    American exceptionalism. We expect better of the soi-disent leader of the free world. Different standards apply.

    As a thought experiment, I wonder what our relationship with the US would be like if they still had Jim Crow laws.
    Give it a couple of years and we might find out.
    We don't need that though experiment. We just need to look back at what it was when they did have such laws.

    Not really - we had different laws back then and the UK was a very different place.

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    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    Cyclefree said:

    CD13 said:

    Dr Fox,

    I'm not exactly sure what these 'huge' 8anti-Trump demonstrations are meant to achieve. He's sexist, and racist and misogynist, according to these people who know everything. For the record, I suspect he is, but that's only my personal opinion. If they protest enough, will he become a Guardian-reading Liberal?

    i went down to Grosvenor Square London in 1067 or 1968, and what did I achieve. I had a good day out. I saw a few middle class Trots assault the police and thought ... they'll get their heads kicked in if they're not careful, and they succeeded in that. At least, they had an issue they cared about (although much of it was anti-Americanism). Even the large anti-Iraq invasion protests had a cause they believed in (as did I). So I was glad when they didn't smash glass or burn cars

    These recent protests seem to be against a President that is democratically elected. They may not like it, and they may think they can change it by causing enough trouble. Is that not anti-democratic? To be fair to them, I think it makes them feel better and burnishes their right-on credentials with their peer-group. So I'm happy for them to go ahead.

    I voted Labour in 1983. If the Americans had protested against us electing a 'commie', I would have thought ... "What a set of dickheads!"

    What on earth is the point of protesting to make yourself feel better? Political protest as therapy? Give me strength. If you need a walk go to the country.

    Not protesting to make me feeel better, though it should be a good day out.

    Demonstrations often shift opinion. The '68 Grosvenor Square demonstrations put some backbone into Wilson resisting US pressure to get involved in Vietnam. The anti war Iraq demonstrations should have been listened to.

    The right of peaceful protest is a hallmark of democracy, enshrined in Ammendment 1 of the US Constitution. Would that we had such protection here!

    I shall be protesting against a trade deal that reduces Britains consumer protections and protects British interests, May would sell us down the river if she could.
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    That is a very good place from which to start for the independence side.

    It's hard to see how the UK stays together now given that Scotland and England are drifting so far apart. No doubt May will do exactly what Sturgeon wants and deny the opportunity for a second referendum.

    The spin line from the Zoomers this morning is that this polling comes after "no campaigning for Indy since 2014"
This discussion has been closed.