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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » LAB might get a Stoke Central boost by NOT having Tristram Hun

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  • Scott_P said:

    The dissenting judgement linked to this morning throws up another interesting question that some are discussing elsewhere

    277. As the foregoing judgments show, this case is capable of stimulating discussion on a number of legally interesting topics. There are also supplementary questions arising out of the legal positions of Scotland, Northern Ireland and Wales. But, at some risk of over-simplifying, the main question centres on two very well understood constitutional rules, which in this case apparently point in opposite directions. They are these:

    Rule 1
    the executive (government) cannot change law made by Act of Parliament, nor the common law;

    and Rule 2
    the making and unmaking of treaties is a matter of foreign relations within the competence of the government.

    278. Nobody questions either of these two rules. Mrs Miller relies on the first. The government relies on the second. The government contends that Rule 2 operates to recognise its power, as the handler of foreign relations, to unmake the European Treaties. Mrs Miller contends that Rule 1 shows that the power to handle foreign relations stops short at the point where UK statute law is changed.


    We know now that in the case of leaving the EU, the majority opinion is that Rule 1 takes precedence over Rule 2, but what about future Parliaments and rejoining?

    This would seem to suggest that a future executive could sign a treaty rejoining the EU with neither a plebiscite or a vote in Parliament...

    I believe that is indeed still the case. My understanding is that no one has challenged the Royal Prerogative where it relates to the making of Treaties. This ruling was very specifically about the role of Parliament regarding the revoking of the 1972 Act.

    That said of course any executive who tried it would probably find itself out of power very very quickly.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,654
    Been at a gay wedding today, 2 women, one of them my wife's best friend since school. Moving and delightful, I find it completely mysterious that anyone would want to stand in the way of such an affirmation of love and commitment.

    On Brexit I am mildly irritated that there is a risk that the period of uncertainty endured since 24th June will continue somewhat longer but I find it hard not to be pretty mellow about it at the moment.
  • YorkcityYorkcity Posts: 4,382
    Jonathan said:

    Brexit still a monumental waste of time and effort that solves precisely none of the problems we face.

    Apart from that, all good.

    Very true .Be nice to know by the leave converts on here what problems it will resolve.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    That said of course any executive who tried it would probably find itself out of power very very quickly.

    FTPA...
  • Scott_P said:

    SeanT said:

    "Hi, I'm Hugo Rifkind and I've got some opinions which you should know. And you'll have to pay for them."

    Writes in the same paper as Sean Thomas...
    Unlike Hugo, Sean Thomas also writes for free on PB....
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    Unlike Hugo, Sean Thomas also writes for free on PB....

    How do we know Hugo doesn't also?
  • nunu said:

    nunu said:

    nunu said:

    nunu said:

    Serious question: If I as a religous person didn't belive in sex outside marriage ( and therefore against gay sex)

    You could easily reconcile those positions by supporting gay marriage?
    Not if my religion says marriage is only between a man and woman.
    No one's forcing you to be part of that religion... are they?
    So your saying give up my beliefs to make others comfortable? No, thanx.
    No one's forcing you to hate gay people? Are they?
    Hate ? I don't hate gay

    nunu said:

    nunu said:

    nunu said:

    Serious question: If I as a religous person didn't belive in sex outside marriage ( and therefore against gay sex)

    You could easily reconcile those positions by supporting gay marriage?
    Not if my religion says marriage is only between a man and woman.
    No one's forcing you to be part of that religion... are they?
    So your saying give up my beliefs to make others comfortable? No, thanx.
    No one's forcing you to hate gay people? Are they?
    Hate? I don't hate gay people.

    You don't have the same beliefs as me and that's fine.
    But why do you have these beliefs?
  • Scott_P said:

    Unlike Hugo, Sean Thomas also writes for free on PB....

    How do we know Hugo doesn't also?
    OK, then - which PBer moonlights as Hugo?
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    nunu said:

    SeanT said:

    nunu said:

    nunu said:

    Serious question: If I as a religous person didn't belive in sex outside marriage ( and therefore against gay sex)

    You could easily reconcile those positions by supporting gay marriage?
    Not if my religion says marriage is only between a man and woman.
    I think your viewpoint is entirely acceptable. It's what you believe. You are free to believe what you like. You may lose friends or be slightly ostracised by liberal metrosexuals, but then we all do this social arithmetic every day: I long ago realised my pretty wild and bohemian life excluded me from certain jobs or careers (like politics!) , and would offend many others, but that was my choice.

    Again, what is not right is seeking to impose your views on others, especially via the non democratic diktat of religion, and religious law, and even more if that religious law is inherently bigoted and hateful, which - sorry - I believe sharia law is, towards women.

    You start banging on about sharia, then you cross the line. That's when you should leave the country, and go back to Saudi, as the Dutch prime minister put it today.

    We are enlightened western nations. We do freedom and equality.
    I agree there can only be one law of the land, all must abide by it. End of, no discussion.

    We do have the right to peacefully and democratically change the law, including laws anathema to historic British views, including laws on homosexuality, female emancipification and blood sports. All these have changed in my lifetime, and I am sure that further changes to accepted norms will occur over time. It is how societies evolve.

    I am completely relaxed about gay marriage. My only grievance about my friends gay marriages is that they seem to be too smug! but Facebook is a great deciever in these things...
  • I have done my share of travelling the world over the last ten years but Theresa May's schedule this week is jaw dropping.

    Wednesday - PMQ's

    Thursday - meeting congress in Philadelphia

    Friday - meeting Trump at the White House

    Saturday - meeting with Erdogan in Turkey

    Says a lot about how she has her diabetes under control
  • Scott_P said:

    That said of course any executive who tried it would probably find itself out of power very very quickly.

    FTPA...
    Would not stop a Government being brought down by a vote of no confidence in Parliament. Besides I suspect that particular act will be history almost as quickly as British membership of the EU. You are clutching at straws.
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503

    Scott_P said:

    Unlike Hugo, Sean Thomas also writes for free on PB....

    How do we know Hugo doesn't also?
    OK, then - which PBer moonlights as Hugo?
    Who would dare own to it, having been issued the PB Black Spot by young @SeanT?
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,654
    edited January 2017

    I have done my share of travelling the world over the last ten years but Theresa May's schedule this week is jaw dropping.

    Wednesday - PMQ's

    Thursday - meeting congress in Philadelphia

    Friday - meeting Trump at the White House

    Saturday - meeting with Erdogan in Turkey

    Says a lot about how she has her diabetes under control

    And now the small matter of getting an article 50 bill through Parliament too. She probably didn't need that.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,471
    SeanT said:

    Yorkcity said:

    Jonathan said:

    Brexit still a monumental waste of time and effort that solves precisely none of the problems we face.

    Apart from that, all good.

    Very true .Be nice to know by the leave converts on here what problems it will resolve.
    THE PROBLEM OF BEING IN A HIDEOUSLY NON-DEMOCRATIC, FRAUDULENT, FLATULENT, ELITIST, EURO-CREATING, COUNTRY-IMPOVERISHING, REFERENDUM-IGNORING MEGA-BUREAUCRATIC NIGHTMARE OF SHITE IN A BUCKET.

    That's the problem Brexit will resolve. That's the glitch we seek to mend.
    Ah. Westminster being the answer? Give me a break. No change. Especially on the flatulence.

    Might need to try again. By resorting to caps do early on you've really left yourself nowhere to go.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    edited January 2017
    John_M said:

    Scott_P said:

    Unlike Hugo, Sean Thomas also writes for free on PB....

    How do we know Hugo doesn't also?
    OK, then - which PBer moonlights as Hugo?
    Who would dare own to it, having been issued the PB Black Spot by young @SeanT?
    A pompous Europhile who can't accept the result and constantly tries to spin a gloomy picture of the future post Brexit?

    Must be 10/1 the field, it's like picking the winner of the Grand National!
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549

    Toms said:

    A belated hurrah for Gina Miller and the Supreme court.
    It does seem that logic has a place in our governance.

    Certainly hurrah for the Supreme Court.

    Miller is just a sad Remainer desperate to stop Brexit (it made her sick remember) by any means possible and too thick to realise that in the long run she has probably made it more straightforward.

    This result is great as it reduces the power of the executive, neuters the threats from the Scots Parliament and puts no specific restrictions on Brexit beyond quite rightly saying it must be started by Parliament. All round a very good day for democracy.
    The sovereignty of Parliament is supreme.

    What if Parliament through an amendment to the A50 bill says the final deal must be put to a referendum ?
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    Scott_P said:
    We do have a hapless Prime Minister who just talks rubbish even when she does not need to do it like Trident missile going awry.

    She is literally having to eat her words.
  • alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    surbiton said:

    Toms said:

    A belated hurrah for Gina Miller and the Supreme court.
    It does seem that logic has a place in our governance.

    Certainly hurrah for the Supreme Court.

    Miller is just a sad Remainer desperate to stop Brexit (it made her sick remember) by any means possible and too thick to realise that in the long run she has probably made it more straightforward.

    This result is great as it reduces the power of the executive, neuters the threats from the Scots Parliament and puts no specific restrictions on Brexit beyond quite rightly saying it must be started by Parliament. All round a very good day for democracy.
    The sovereignty of Parliament is supreme.

    What if Parliament through an amendment to the A50 bill says the final deal must be put to a referendum ?
    And what would be the alternative option in the referendum?
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    SeanT said:

    Scott_P said:

    SeanT said:

    "Hi, I'm Hugo Rifkind and I've got some opinions which you should know. And you'll have to pay for them."

    Writes in the same paper as Sean Thomas...
    Indeed. Which is what makes it a great paper.

    Here's a test: try saying "Hi, I'm Hugo Rifkind", or "Hello, I'm Hugo Rifkind", or any variation thereof, and see if you can avoid sounding like a Total C*nt.

    I reckon it's impossible. The absolute c*ntishness of the name will always shine through.

    Yes but the zenith and acme of his c*ntishness is not in his name but in the eye-popping fact that he thinks that "doesn't know what post-modern means" is an insult, and a barrier to having the right to a vote.
  • Fat_SteveFat_Steve Posts: 361


    FUCK ME!

    What exactly are you saying here?

    What exactly are you failing to acknowledge here?

    Well to go all Confucian on yo 'ass, a people who are scared are easily governable. We have seen that of course with how New Lab pushed through any number of anti-freedom type laws.

    Who benefits from minimising the Islamic angle vs who would benefit from a population who is happy for the government to increase its own powers in the name of anti-terrorism?

    Good question. Who benefited in Rotherham? Labour. They got a client Pakistani vote and avoided hideous controversy

    Who benefits across Europe? I'd say the entire postwar Liberal establishment, which is responsible for mass immigration and multiculturalism, and is fearful of the backlash if these policies are seen to be disastrous (which I think they are)

    Indeed they already see a backlash in Wilders and Le Pen, so they close ranks even more

    I KNOW all this from my lefty liberal friend who now works for the German BBC. He says they simply suppress stories that might be seen as anti-migrant. They don't run them

    And he's a classic Guardian type. Still hates Tories.

    This shit is real.

    Ironically, the whole doctrine of multiculturalism that has been implicit policy for many years is based on a prejudice - literally a pre judgement - That people who move to a liberal society will themselves turn liberal. If that doesn't work, multiculturalism fails. And it doesn't work. And the establishment in the broadest sense - like the leaders of our main political parties - don't know what the hell to do and don't want us to discuss it.

    It's probably a general truth that in modern society , "liberal" prejudice messes up as many lives as the old-fashioned right wing sort.
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    Ishmael_Z said:

    SeanT said:

    Scott_P said:

    SeanT said:

    "Hi, I'm Hugo Rifkind and I've got some opinions which you should know. And you'll have to pay for them."

    Writes in the same paper as Sean Thomas...
    Indeed. Which is what makes it a great paper.

    Here's a test: try saying "Hi, I'm Hugo Rifkind", or "Hello, I'm Hugo Rifkind", or any variation thereof, and see if you can avoid sounding like a Total C*nt.

    I reckon it's impossible. The absolute c*ntishness of the name will always shine through.

    Yes but the zenith and acme of his c*ntishness is not in his name but in the eye-popping fact that he thinks that "doesn't know what post-modern means" is an insult, and a barrier to having the right to a vote.
    All of these bloviating feckers are edging their way towards advocating an epistocracy.
  • surbiton said:

    Toms said:

    A belated hurrah for Gina Miller and the Supreme court.
    It does seem that logic has a place in our governance.

    Certainly hurrah for the Supreme Court.

    Miller is just a sad Remainer desperate to stop Brexit (it made her sick remember) by any means possible and too thick to realise that in the long run she has probably made it more straightforward.

    This result is great as it reduces the power of the executive, neuters the threats from the Scots Parliament and puts no specific restrictions on Brexit beyond quite rightly saying it must be started by Parliament. All round a very good day for democracy.
    The sovereignty of Parliament is supreme.

    What if Parliament through an amendment to the A50 bill says the final deal must be put to a referendum ?
    No chance
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,471
    Sean is Irish for John.

  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    DavidL said:


    I have done my share of travelling the world over the last ten years but Theresa May's schedule this week is jaw dropping.

    Wednesday - PMQ's

    Thursday - meeting congress in Philadelphia

    Friday - meeting Trump at the White House

    Saturday - meeting with Erdogan in Turkey

    Says a lot about how she has her diabetes under control

    And now the small matter of getting an article 50 bill through Parliament too. She probably didn't need that.


    The AG must have told her she had no chance. She has just wasted some time.

    On travel: flying west is easy. It's the flying east which is the problem. However, as she is sleeping only one night in USA, her sleep pattern would not have changed much.
  • Fat_SteveFat_Steve Posts: 361
    Fat_Steve said:



    FUCK ME!

    What exactly are you saying here?

    What exactly are you failing to acknowledge here?

    Well to go all Confucian on yo 'ass, a people who are scared are easily governable. We have seen that of course with how New Lab pushed through any number of anti-freedom type laws.

    Who benefits from minimising the Islamic angle vs who would benefit from a population who is happy for the government to increase its own powers in the name of anti-terrorism?

    Good question. Who benefited in Rotherham? Labour. They got a client Pakistani vote and avoided hideous controversy

    Who benefits across Europe? I'd say the entire postwar Liberal establishment, which is responsible for mass immigration and multiculturalism, and is fearful of the backlash if these policies are seen to be disastrous (which I think they are)

    Indeed they already see a backlash in Wilders and Le Pen, so they close ranks even more

    I KNOW all this from my lefty liberal friend who now works for the German BBC. He says they simply suppress stories that might be seen as anti-migrant. They don't run them

    And he's a classic Guardian type. Still hates Tories.

    This shit is real.


    Messed up formatting. Quoting seant

    Ironically, the whole doctrine of multiculturalism that has been implicit policy for many years is based on a prejudice - literally a pre judgement - That people who move to a liberal society will themselves turn liberal. If that doesn't work, multiculturalism fails. And it doesn't work. And the establishment in the broadest sense - like the leaders of our main political parties - don't know what the hell to do and don't want us to discuss it.

    It's probably a general truth that in modern society , "liberal" prejudice messes up as many lives as the old-fashioned right wing sort.

  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    DavidL said:

    Been at a gay wedding today, 2 women, one of them my wife's best friend since school. Moving and delightful, I find it completely mysterious that anyone would want to stand in the way of such an affirmation of love and commitment.

    On Brexit I am mildly irritated that there is a risk that the period of uncertainty endured since 24th June will continue somewhat longer but I find it hard not to be pretty mellow about it at the moment.

    Yes fine, as long as you are happy with the irrefutable truth that the price of gay marriage is brexit. And brexit is forever, whereas in my experience marriages are fairly transient things.
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    surbiton said:

    DavidL said:


    I have done my share of travelling the world over the last ten years but Theresa May's schedule this week is jaw dropping.

    Wednesday - PMQ's

    Thursday - meeting congress in Philadelphia

    Friday - meeting Trump at the White House

    Saturday - meeting with Erdogan in Turkey

    Says a lot about how she has her diabetes under control

    And now the small matter of getting an article 50 bill through Parliament too. She probably didn't need that.
    The AG must have told her she had no chance. She has just wasted some time.

    On travel: flying west is easy. It's the flying east which is the problem. However, as she is sleeping only one night in USA, her sleep pattern would not have changed much.

    I think she bought herself some time. I don't think it was some cunning plan, but it's panned out extremely well for her.
  • surbiton said:

    Toms said:

    A belated hurrah for Gina Miller and the Supreme court.
    It does seem that logic has a place in our governance.

    Certainly hurrah for the Supreme Court.

    Miller is just a sad Remainer desperate to stop Brexit (it made her sick remember) by any means possible and too thick to realise that in the long run she has probably made it more straightforward.

    This result is great as it reduces the power of the executive, neuters the threats from the Scots Parliament and puts no specific restrictions on Brexit beyond quite rightly saying it must be started by Parliament. All round a very good day for democracy.
    The sovereignty of Parliament is supreme.

    And remind me who elects/employs Parliament?

  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
  • surbiton said:

    Scott_P said:
    We do have a hapless Prime Minister who just talks rubbish even when she does not need to do it like Trident missile going awry.

    She is literally having to eat her words.
    It was Obama's missile that faulted and he told Cameron not to disclose it because some of his missiles are the same and they needed to resolve the issue themselves.

    So Cameron and May were treating US classified information accordingly

    So it was the wonderful Obama who has questions to answer
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549

    surbiton said:

    Toms said:

    A belated hurrah for Gina Miller and the Supreme court.
    It does seem that logic has a place in our governance.

    Certainly hurrah for the Supreme Court.

    Miller is just a sad Remainer desperate to stop Brexit (it made her sick remember) by any means possible and too thick to realise that in the long run she has probably made it more straightforward.

    This result is great as it reduces the power of the executive, neuters the threats from the Scots Parliament and puts no specific restrictions on Brexit beyond quite rightly saying it must be started by Parliament. All round a very good day for democracy.
    The sovereignty of Parliament is supreme.

    What if Parliament through an amendment to the A50 bill says the final deal must be put to a referendum ?
    No chance
    But not impossible.
  • Jonathan said:

    Sean is Irish for John.

    So your name would be Seanathan?

    Mine would be Súníl O'Prásánnán
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 121,972
    SeanT said:

    Sean_F said:

    Scott_P said:

    Someone should do Brexit: The Musical.

    Elaine Tusk and Barbara Juncker with the big duet:

    They need their fantasy and freedom
    I know them so well

    You should read Hugo Rifkind in The Times today...

    Populism is inherently post-modern, even if its most ardent practitioners don’t know what “post-modern” means. It holds that if enough people believe a thing, it becomes true. Thus, Brexit must be a good idea because 17 million people voted for it, and Trump must be a safe pair of hands because 63 million voted for him. For the rationalist these things are nonsequiturs, but enough people no longer care. For the populist, there can always be alternative facts, because there are no facts. Not any more. There are only reviews.

    http://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/comment/truth-has-gone-the-way-of-the-toaster-review-tkcmwf6sx
    For the Hugo Rifkinds of the world, their opinions are facts. It is a fact that mass migration is good. It is a fact that European integration is good. It is a fact multiculturalism is good.
    Yeah. Fuck *Hugo Rifkind*. His name alone makes me want to punch him in the face.

    HUGO RIFKIND

    Is that actually the most instantly-face-punchable name in British journalism?

    "Hi, I'm Hugo Rifkind and I've got some opinions which you should know. And you'll have to pay for them."
    Son of Sir Malcolm I believe
  • surbiton said:

    DavidL said:


    I have done my share of travelling the world over the last ten years but Theresa May's schedule this week is jaw dropping.

    Wednesday - PMQ's

    Thursday - meeting congress in Philadelphia

    Friday - meeting Trump at the White House

    Saturday - meeting with Erdogan in Turkey

    Says a lot about how she has her diabetes under control

    And now the small matter of getting an article 50 bill through Parliament too. She probably didn't need that.
    The AG must have told her she had no chance. She has just wasted some time.

    On travel: flying west is easy. It's the flying east which is the problem. However, as she is sleeping only one night in USA, her sleep pattern would not have changed much.

    I have travelled round the world both east and west bound on many occassions so you do not need to lecture me on jetlag
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,269
    Yorkcity said:

    Jonathan said:

    Brexit still a monumental waste of time and effort that solves precisely none of the problems we face.

    Apart from that, all good.

    Very true .Be nice to know by the leave converts on here what problems it will resolve.
    I've not revealed my vote and don't intend to. But I will try and give an answer that is somewhat less exciting than @SeanT's.

    The future trajectory of the other 27 states and their views on how and into what the EU (and its constituent parts) should develop were a long way away from what Britain thought the EU should be that continuing to be part of the same union was, in the long-term, untenable. It was causing strains within Britain and within the EU itself. I think the way the EU behaved and how British politicians behaved in relation to it introduced a new layer of deceitfulness and undemocratic decision-making into British politics. A better arrangement was needed.

    Brexit is the result of the fact that such a better arrangement - a relationship which accommodated Britain's views about nationhood and co-operation with other states and the EU's views about how the nations of Continental Europe should develop - could not be put in place. In truth the attempt was never really made.

    This will now have to be done from the outside. The result will be different and the path to it more painful than if it had been done from the inside - if Britain had been honest about what it wanted and did not want and if the EU had bothered to listen to Britain's concerns and been more pragmatic/flexible. The EU's determination to go in only one direction and in only one way, no matter what the cost, has cost some of the nations of Europe and, particularly, its young dearly.

    Bluntly, we did not fit, we didn't like their long-term aim and, increasingly, we did not want to pay the price of the only bit of it that we were really interested in and profited from - the Single Market.

    Brexit is the final working out in British politics of Maastricht. All those fights over the euro and we managed to ignore what FoM and the concept of EU citizenship would mean for the concept of a nation state and what it indicated about the EU's direction of travel.

    It would be a rich irony if another Tory government ended up having similar Parliamentary battles as assailed the Major government. But then Major faced Smith. May faces Corbyn so I guess not.

  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    surbiton said:

    Scott_P said:
    We do have a hapless Prime Minister who just talks rubbish even when she does not need to do it like Trident missile going awry.

    She is literally having to eat her words.
    Literally? Really?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 121,972

    Toms said:

    A belated hurrah for Gina Miller and the Supreme court.
    It does seem that logic has a place in our governance.

    Certainly hurrah for the Supreme Court.

    Miller is just a sad Remainer desperate to stop Brexit (it made her sick remember) by any means possible and too thick to realise that in the long run she has probably made it more straightforward.

    This result is great as it reduces the power of the executive, neuters the threats from the Scots Parliament and puts no specific restrictions on Brexit beyond quite rightly saying it must be started by Parliament. All round a very good day for democracy.
    It also increases the chance of a Tory gain in Copeland; which would be a huge boost to May
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549

    surbiton said:

    Scott_P said:
    We do have a hapless Prime Minister who just talks rubbish even when she does not need to do it like Trident missile going awry.

    She is literally having to eat her words.
    It was Obama's missile that faulted and he told Cameron not to disclose it because some of his missiles are the same and they needed to resolve the issue themselves.

    So Cameron and May were treating US classified information accordingly

    So it was the wonderful Obama who has questions to answer
    It was so classified that a Freedom of Information query revealed the truth. Who spread the misinformation taht Obama told Cameron not to disclose. Were you there ?

    This fake news has been deliberately spread to protect a hapless PM.
  • surbiton said:

    surbiton said:

    Toms said:

    A belated hurrah for Gina Miller and the Supreme court.
    It does seem that logic has a place in our governance.

    Certainly hurrah for the Supreme Court.

    Miller is just a sad Remainer desperate to stop Brexit (it made her sick remember) by any means possible and too thick to realise that in the long run she has probably made it more straightforward.

    This result is great as it reduces the power of the executive, neuters the threats from the Scots Parliament and puts no specific restrictions on Brexit beyond quite rightly saying it must be started by Parliament. All round a very good day for democracy.
    The sovereignty of Parliament is supreme.

    What if Parliament through an amendment to the A50 bill says the final deal must be put to a referendum ?
    No chance
    But not impossible.
    Yes impossible
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,068
    Ishmael_Z said:

    DavidL said:

    Been at a gay wedding today, 2 women, one of them my wife's best friend since school. Moving and delightful, I find it completely mysterious that anyone would want to stand in the way of such an affirmation of love and commitment.

    On Brexit I am mildly irritated that there is a risk that the period of uncertainty endured since 24th June will continue somewhat longer but I find it hard not to be pretty mellow about it at the moment.

    Yes fine, as long as you are happy with the irrefutable truth that the price of gay marriage is brexit. And brexit is forever, whereas in my experience marriages are fairly transient things.
    I think David L is happy with both gay marriage and Brexit.

    However, it's an interesting point. The row over gay marriage in 2012 prompted some Tories to go over to UKIP, and prompted Cameron to offer the EU referendum, to stem the flow of detectors.
  • surbiton said:

    surbiton said:

    Scott_P said:
    We do have a hapless Prime Minister who just talks rubbish even when she does not need to do it like Trident missile going awry.

    She is literally having to eat her words.
    It was Obama's missile that faulted and he told Cameron not to disclose it because some of his missiles are the same and they needed to resolve the issue themselves.

    So Cameron and May were treating US classified information accordingly

    So it was the wonderful Obama who has questions to answer
    It was so classified that a Freedom of Information query revealed the truth. Who spread the misinformation taht Obama told Cameron not to disclose. Were you there ?

    This fake news has been deliberately spread to protect a hapless PM.
    This is not fake news - just accept that sometimes news does not fit in with your wishes
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549

    surbiton said:

    DavidL said:


    I have done my share of travelling the world over the last ten years but Theresa May's schedule this week is jaw dropping.

    Wednesday - PMQ's

    Thursday - meeting congress in Philadelphia

    Friday - meeting Trump at the White House

    Saturday - meeting with Erdogan in Turkey

    Says a lot about how she has her diabetes under control

    And now the small matter of getting an article 50 bill through Parliament too. She probably didn't need that.
    The AG must have told her she had no chance. She has just wasted some time.

    On travel: flying west is easy. It's the flying east which is the problem. However, as she is sleeping only one night in USA, her sleep pattern would not have changed much.
    I have travelled round the world both east and west bound on many occassions so you do not need to lecture me on jetlag

    Good. Now piss off.
  • surbiton said:

    surbiton said:

    DavidL said:


    I have done my share of travelling the world over the last ten years but Theresa May's schedule this week is jaw dropping.

    Wednesday - PMQ's

    Thursday - meeting congress in Philadelphia

    Friday - meeting Trump at the White House

    Saturday - meeting with Erdogan in Turkey

    Says a lot about how she has her diabetes under control

    And now the small matter of getting an article 50 bill through Parliament too. She probably didn't need that.
    The AG must have told her she had no chance. She has just wasted some time.

    On travel: flying west is easy. It's the flying east which is the problem. However, as she is sleeping only one night in USA, her sleep pattern would not have changed much.
    I have travelled round the world both east and west bound on many occassions so you do not need to lecture me on jetlag
    Good. Now piss off.

    You really have no class have you
  • chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    edited January 2017
    surbiton said:

    What if Parliament through an amendment to the A50 bill says the final deal must be put to a referendum ?

    74% of the public oppose this notion. Our parliamentary 'representatives' should listen and do as they are told.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,179
    Fat_Steve said:

    Ironically, the whole doctrine of multiculturalism that has been implicit policy for many years is based on a prejudice - literally a pre judgement - That people who move to a liberal society will themselves turn liberal. If that doesn't work, multiculturalism fails. And it doesn't work. And the establishment in the broadest sense - like the leaders of our main political parties - don't know what the hell to do and don't want us to discuss it.

    It's probably a general truth that in modern society , "liberal" prejudice messes up as many lives as the old-fashioned right wing sort.

    It doesn't help when the level of propaganda is turned up to 11 and everything is back to front in people's minds.

    The number one hate figure of the Breitbart lot, Angela Merkel, was probably the first Western leader to say that multiculturalism has been a failure. On the other hand, their beacon of purity and common sense, Russia, is a multi-ethnic, multi-religious empire with a lower percentage of white Europeans than we have here.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,471
    Cyclefree said:

    Yorkcity said:

    Jonathan said:

    Brexit still a monumental waste of time and effort that solves precisely none of the problems we face.

    Apart from that, all good.

    Very true .Be nice to know by the leave converts on here what problems it will resolve.
    I've not revealed my vote and don't intend to. But I will try and give an answer that is somewhat less exciting than @SeanT's.

    The future trajectory of the other 27 states and their views on how and into what the EU (and its constituent parts) should develop were a long way away from what Britain thought the EU should be that continuing to be part of the same union was, in the long-term, untenable. It was causing strains within Britain and within the EU itself. I think the way the EU behaved and how British politicians behaved in relation to it introduced a new layer of deceitfulness and undemocratic decision-making into British politics. A better arrangement was needed.

    Brexit is the result of the fact that such a better arrangement - a relationship which accommodated Britain's views about nationhood and co-operation with other states and the EU's views about how the nations of Continental Europe should develop - could not be put in place. In truth the attempt was never really made.

    This will now have to be done from the outside. The result will be different and the path to it more painful than if it had been done from the inside - if Britain had been honest about what it wanted and did not want and if the EU had bothered to listen to Britain's concerns and been more pragmatic/flexible. The EU's determination to go in only one direction and in only one way, no matter what the cost, has cost some of the nations of Europe and, particularly, its young dearly.

    Bluntly, we did not fit, we didn't like their long-term aim and, increasingly, we did not want to pay the price of the only bit of it that we were really interested in and profited from - the Single Market.

    Brexit is the final working out in British politics of Maastricht. All those fights over the euro and we managed to ignore what FoM and the concept of EU citizenship would mean for the concept of a nation state and what it indicated about the EU's direction of travel.

    It would be a rich irony if another Tory government ended up having similar Parliamentary battles as assailed the Major government. But then Major faced Smith. May faces Corbyn so I guess not.

    Your points don't really add up.

    The EU gave Britain virtually everything it acked for. Opt outs. Eastern expansion. Rebates.

    The idea that nationalism isn't a potent force in other EU states is just not true.
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549

    surbiton said:

    Toms said:

    A belated hurrah for Gina Miller and the Supreme court.
    It does seem that logic has a place in our governance.

    Certainly hurrah for the Supreme Court.

    Miller is just a sad Remainer desperate to stop Brexit (it made her sick remember) by any means possible and too thick to realise that in the long run she has probably made it more straightforward.

    This result is great as it reduces the power of the executive, neuters the threats from the Scots Parliament and puts no specific restrictions on Brexit beyond quite rightly saying it must be started by Parliament. All round a very good day for democracy.
    The sovereignty of Parliament is supreme.

    And remind me who elects/employs Parliament?

    The people delegate powers to Parliament. If referendums were final, then we would have legislation enshrining that - just like the Swiss, for example. Or, a referendum Act which specifically mentions that.
  • YorkcityYorkcity Posts: 4,382
    SeanT said:

    Yorkcity said:

    Jonathan said:

    Brexit still a monumental waste of time and effort that solves precisely none of the problems we face.

    Apart from that, all good.

    Very true .Be nice to know by the leave converts on here what problems it will resolve.
    THE PROBLEM OF BEING IN A HIDEOUSLY NON-DEMOCRATIC, FRAUDULENT, FLATULENT, ELITIST, EURO-CREATING, COUNTRY-IMPOVERISHING, REFERENDUM-IGNORING MEGA-BUREAUCRATIC NIGHTMARE OF SHITE IN A BUCKET.

    That's the problem Brexit will resolve. That's the glitch we seek to mend.
    Thanks Seant did not know.you were a leave convert.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,179
    Sean_F said:

    However, it's an interesting point. The row over gay marriage in 2012 prompted some Tories to go over to UKIP, and prompted Cameron to offer the EU referendum, to stem the flow of detectors.

    Are you suggesting Carswell was a plant?
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,471
    Britain and England in particular has always been multicultural. Brexit won't change that.
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    chestnut said:

    surbiton said:

    What if Parliament through an amendment to the A50 bill says the final deal must be put to a referendum ?

    74% of the public oppose this notion. Our parliamentary 'representatives' should listen and do as they are told.
    But, still not impossible.

    Interestingly, you are scared of asking the people. Why ?
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    SeanT said:

    Scott_P said:

    SeanT said:

    "Hi, I'm Hugo Rifkind and I've got some opinions which you should know. And you'll have to pay for them."

    Writes in the same paper as Sean Thomas...
    Indeed. Which is what makes it a great paper.

    Here's a test: try saying "Hi, I'm Hugo Rifkind", or "Hello, I'm Hugo Rifkind", or any variation thereof, and see if you can avoid sounding like a Total C*nt.

    I reckon it's impossible. The absolute c*ntishness of the name will always shine through.

    it's the "Hugo" really though. Insufferably emerging middle class.
  • DixieDixie Posts: 1,221
    Stupid fuss over article 50. I love Trump because he would just sign an executive order. EU countries have lot more to lose than UK. Fuck 'em, let's leave now, let the bankers leave London for Frankfurt - no one wants them - let the liberal elite cry into their soup.Control the borders, stop accepting narrow minded shite from backward religions and let's believe in ourselves.
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    isam said:

    John_M said:

    Scott_P said:

    Unlike Hugo, Sean Thomas also writes for free on PB....

    How do we know Hugo doesn't also?
    OK, then - which PBer moonlights as Hugo?
    Who would dare own to it, having been issued the PB Black Spot by young @SeanT?
    A pompous Europhile who can't accept the result and constantly tries to spin a gloomy picture of the future post Brexit?

    Must be 10/1 the field, it's like picking the winner of the Grand National!
    I am Spartacus.
  • chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    surbiton said:

    chestnut said:

    surbiton said:

    What if Parliament through an amendment to the A50 bill says the final deal must be put to a referendum ?

    74% of the public oppose this notion. Our parliamentary 'representatives' should listen and do as they are told.
    But, still not impossible.

    Interestingly, you are scared of asking the people. Why ?
    The public have been asked whether they want a say - 74% said no. It's not even close.

    Why do you want to carry on wasting people's time and money with neverendums?

  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,471
    Charles said:

    SeanT said:

    Scott_P said:

    SeanT said:

    "Hi, I'm Hugo Rifkind and I've got some opinions which you should know. And you'll have to pay for them."

    Writes in the same paper as Sean Thomas...
    Indeed. Which is what makes it a great paper.

    Here's a test: try saying "Hi, I'm Hugo Rifkind", or "Hello, I'm Hugo Rifkind", or any variation thereof, and see if you can avoid sounding like a Total C*nt.

    I reckon it's impossible. The absolute c*ntishness of the name will always shine through.

    it's the "Hugo" really though. Insufferably emerging middle class.
    Said Charles.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,068
    surbiton said:

    chestnut said:

    surbiton said:

    What if Parliament through an amendment to the A50 bill says the final deal must be put to a referendum ?

    74% of the public oppose this notion. Our parliamentary 'representatives' should listen and do as they are told.
    But, still not impossible.

    Interestingly, you are scared of asking the people. Why ?
    How many times should we ask them?
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/jan/24/panama-papers-media-investigation-next-donald-trump-hold-accountable


    ‘We are faced with a story that is too big and too important to handle on our own.’

    Frederik Obermaier and Bastian Obermayer
    The authors are investigative journalists at the Süddeutsche Zeitung in Germany
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,300
    Someone trying to take down Fillon?

    https://twitter.com/AFP/status/823977856518811656

    Another case of creative political accounting...
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 10,661

    Jonathan said:

    Sean is Irish for John.

    So your name would be Seanathan?

    Mine would be Súníl O'Prásánnán
    What do you call the á character Sunil? Is there any significance? Or could you lose the 'accents' and be the same? I wouldn't suggest for a moment of course that you should. I'm enormously fussy about my surname being spelled in the way I want.

    Perhaps they're little puffs of steam from the train :)
  • YorkcityYorkcity Posts: 4,382
    surbiton said:

    Scott_P said:
    We do have a hapless Prime Minister who just talks rubbish even when she does not need to do it like Trident missile going awry.

    She is literally having to eat her words.
    True I think how it will effect Ireland will be a major problem. Can not see how you can not have a hard border between the north and south when we leave the EU.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Question for PBers: which seat do you think Labour is most likely to lose, Copeland or Stoke Central?
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,269
    Jonathan said:

    SeanT said:

    Yorkcity said:

    Jonathan said:

    Brexit still a monumental waste of time and effort that solves precisely none of the problems we face.

    Apart from that, all good.

    Very true .Be nice to know by the leave converts on here what problems it will resolve.
    THE PROBLEM OF BEING IN A HIDEOUSLY NON-DEMOCRATIC, FRAUDULENT, FLATULENT, ELITIST, EURO-CREATING, COUNTRY-IMPOVERISHING, REFERENDUM-IGNORING MEGA-BUREAUCRATIC NIGHTMARE OF SHITE IN A BUCKET.

    That's the problem Brexit will resolve. That's the glitch we seek to mend.
    Ah. Westminster being the answer? Give me a break. No change. Especially on the flatulence.

    Might need to try again. By resorting to caps do early on you've really left yourself nowhere to go.
    Westminster may be full of flatulent fools. But we elect them and can throw them out. We do not elect and cannot throw out any flatulent fools in Brussels who seek to impose laws on us without even the consent of our own politicians (see QMV).

    That is a very important distinction. Democracy matters. It is the EU's tragedy - and I think that the desire to create a better future for Europe following the bloody 20th century was and is a noble endeavor - that it has created a polity which is often at odds with democracy.

    The EU which has developed does not have democratic default instincts. It does not see itself as deriving power from the people but as imposing its will on the people. It sees government as something which is imposed on a people rather than as an expression of how a people want to arrange their affairs. It seeks to iron out inconsistencies rather than celebrate serendipity. It seeks to eliminate nations because it fears them. It does not understand that it is not the concept of a nation (a people who have a shared history, culture, language, a shared story) which is dangerous but the type of nation it is. And the type of nation a country is is not something which can be mandated by command from the centre.

    If there is a choice between democracy and, well pretty much anything, I choose democracy every time. The EU should not have developed in such a way as to make me - and others - think that this was the choice.

  • Dixie said:

    Stupid fuss over article 50. I love Trump because he would just sign an executive order. EU countries have lot more to lose than UK. Fuck 'em, let's leave now, let the bankers leave London for Frankfurt - no one wants them - let the liberal elite cry into their soup.Control the borders, stop accepting narrow minded shite from backward religions and let's believe in ourselves.

    Bankers are going nowhere. - higher taxes and Financial Transaction Tax
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    AndyJS said:

    Question for PBers: which seat do you think Labour is most likely to lose, Copeland or Stoke Central?

    Copeland.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,471
    dr_spyn said:

    Someone trying to take down Fillon?

    https://twitter.com/AFP/status/823977856518811656

    Another case of creative political accounting...

    Clearly this will cause outrage in France. How can you spend so much on your wife, not you mistress.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @bbclaurak: Hear Brexit debates may run til midnight-lots of time being scheduled -cynic cd suggest govt wants Brexit rebels to talk themselves hoarse
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    Sean_F said:

    surbiton said:

    chestnut said:

    surbiton said:

    What if Parliament through an amendment to the A50 bill says the final deal must be put to a referendum ?

    74% of the public oppose this notion. Our parliamentary 'representatives' should listen and do as they are told.
    But, still not impossible.

    Interestingly, you are scared of asking the people. Why ?
    How many times should we ask them?
    First, they said we want to leave but there was no prospectus.

    Then, we show them what they are getting into.

    If they say YES again, then that's it !

    But I think Brexiters are fearful that when the pain starts from the end of this year onward into the next years , they will lose and lose badly.

    "You can fool all the people some of the time and some of the people all the time, but you cannot fool all the people all the time."
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,471
    Cyclefree said:

    Jonathan said:

    SeanT said:

    Yorkcity said:

    Jonathan said:

    Brexit still a monumental waste of time and effort that solves precisely none of the problems we face.

    Apart from that, all good.

    Very true .Be nice to know by the leave converts on here what problems it will resolve.
    THE PROBLEM OF BEING IN A HIDEOUSLY NON-DEMOCRATIC, FRAUDULENT, FLATULENT, ELITIST, EURO-CREATING, COUNTRY-IMPOVERISHING, REFERENDUM-IGNORING MEGA-BUREAUCRATIC NIGHTMARE OF SHITE IN A BUCKET.

    That's the problem Brexit will resolve. That's the glitch we seek to mend.
    Ah. Westminster being the answer? Give me a break. No change. Especially on the flatulence.

    Might need to try again. By resorting to caps do early on you've really left yourself nowhere to go.
    Westminster may be full of flatulent fools. But we elect them and can throw them out. We do not elect and cannot throw out any flatulent fools in Brussels who seek to impose laws on us without even the consent of our own politicians (see QMV).

    That is a very important distinction. Democracy matters. It is the EU's tragedy - and I think that the desire to create a better future for Europe following the bloody 20th century was and is a noble endeavor - that it has created a polity which is often at odds with democracy.

    The EU which has developed does not have democratic default instincts. It does not see itself as deriving power from the people but as imposing its will on the people. It sees government as something which is imposed on a people rather than as an expression of how a people want to arrange their affairs. It seeks to iron out inconsistencies rather than celebrate serendipity. It seeks to eliminate nations because it fears them. It does not understand that it is not the concept of a nation (a people who have a shared history, culture, language, a shared story) which is dangerous but the type of nation it is. And the type of nation a country is is not something which can be mandated by command from the centre.

    If there is a choice between democracy and, well pretty much anything, I choose democracy every time. The EU should not have developed in such a way as to make me - and others - think that this was the choice.

    Lords. Cough.
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 10,661
    AndyJS said:

    Question for PBers: which seat do you think Labour is most likely to lose, Copeland or Stoke Central?

    Copeland by a mile

    They'll lose Copeland and retain Stoke, and I think Mike is spot on with the reasoning in the header with regards to Stoke.

    Depends on the candidates that actually run of course.

  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    edited January 2017
    AndyJS said:

    Question for PBers: which seat do you think Labour is most likely to lose, Copeland or Stoke Central?

    Copeland. The Labour vote trend for Stoke was posted earlier. Hunt was, at best, a neutral influence on their share. A good local candidate will do better, and Nuttall is clearly just a carpetbagger. The Tories have intimated that they're concentrating on Copeland and think they have a chance, though Labour has at least chosen a credible candidate there.

    That said, I expect both seats to be held by Labour.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 59,872
    Scott_P said:

    @bbclaurak: Hear Brexit debates may run til midnight-lots of time being scheduled -cynic cd suggest govt wants Brexit rebels to talk themselves hoarse

    By my calcs May has 315 votes she can rely on in almost all divisons.

    Given abstentions, unless she has major Tory rebellions by the New Bastards the Government should get their way on the Bill, unless the whips and May are very clumsy and overplay their hand.
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/jan/24/quarter-of-labour-mps-prepared-to-defy-a-party-whip-on-article-50-vote

    Front bench spokespersons could resign. They should if Labour is daft enough to put through a three line whip.
  • DixieDixie Posts: 1,221

    Dixie said:

    Stupid fuss over article 50. I love Trump because he would just sign an executive order. EU countries have lot more to lose than UK. Fuck 'em, let's leave now, let the bankers leave London for Frankfurt - no one wants them - let the liberal elite cry into their soup.Control the borders, stop accepting narrow minded shite from backward religions and let's believe in ourselves.

    Bankers are going nowhere. - higher taxes and Financial Transaction Tax
    I know. I work amongst the "bankers" and they are going nowhere. We will keep the chinless wonders, putting up house prices, gumming up our roads with 4 x 4s. Let' em go. Fuck the lot of them. Independence Day, can't come soon enough.
  • glwglw Posts: 9,855
    dr_spyn said:

    Someone trying to take down Fillon?

    In France dodgy financial dealings are par for the course, along with having a mistress. I wonder if the French electorate will even care.
  • surbiton said:

    Toms said:

    A belated hurrah for Gina Miller and the Supreme court.
    It does seem that logic has a place in our governance.

    Certainly hurrah for the Supreme Court.

    Miller is just a sad Remainer desperate to stop Brexit (it made her sick remember) by any means possible and too thick to realise that in the long run she has probably made it more straightforward.

    This result is great as it reduces the power of the executive, neuters the threats from the Scots Parliament and puts no specific restrictions on Brexit beyond quite rightly saying it must be started by Parliament. All round a very good day for democracy.
    The sovereignty of Parliament is supreme.

    What if Parliament through an amendment to the A50 bill says the final deal must be put to a referendum ?
    It would rather self defeating given that such a referendum would not prevent Brexit. It would simply mean we left without a deal.
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    edited January 2017
    Yorkcity said:

    surbiton said:

    Scott_P said:
    We do have a hapless Prime Minister who just talks rubbish even when she does not need to do it like Trident missile going awry.

    She is literally having to eat her words.
    True I think how it will effect Ireland will be a major problem. Can not see how you can not have a hard border between the north and south when we leave the EU.
    There will have to be a hard border. Otherwise, all this "independence" is a mirage.

    Another solution: Northern Ireland joins the Republic.

    Has anybody calculated how many extra Border force personnel we will need ?
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 21,939
    AndyJS said:

    Question for PBers: which seat do you think Labour is most likely to lose, Copeland or Stoke Central?

    Everyone seems to think Copeland so I am going to say Stoke. It is also the seat I would prefer us to lose.
  • DixieDixie Posts: 1,221

    AndyJS said:

    Question for PBers: which seat do you think Labour is most likely to lose, Copeland or Stoke Central?

    Everyone seems to think Copeland so I am going to say Stoke. It is also the seat I would prefer us to lose.
    neither
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,269
    Jonathan said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Jonathan said:

    SeanT said:

    Yorkcity said:

    Jonathan said:

    THE PROBLEM OF BEING IN A HIDEOUSLY NON-DEMOCRATIC, FRAUDULENT, FLATULENT, ELITIST, EURO-CREATING, COUNTRY-IMPOVERISHING, REFERENDUM-IGNORING MEGA-BUREAUCRATIC NIGHTMARE OF SHITE IN A BUCKET.

    That's the problem Brexit will resolve. That's the glitch we seek to mend.
    Ah. Westminster being the answer? Give me a break. No change. Especially on the flatulence.

    Might need to try again. By resorting to caps do early on you've really left yourself nowhere to go.
    Westminster may be full of flatulent fools. But we elect them and can throw them out. We do not elect and cannot throw out any flatulent fools in Brussels who seek to impose laws on us without even the consent of our own politicians (see QMV).

    That is a very important distinction. Democracy matters. It is the EU's tragedy - and I think that the desire to create a better future for Europe following the bloody 20th century was and is a noble endeavor - that it has created a polity which is often at odds with democracy.

    The EU which has developed does not have democratic default instincts. It does not see itself as deriving power from the people but as imposing its will on the people. It sees government as something which is imposed on a people rather than as an expression of how a people want to arrange their affairs. It seeks to iron out inconsistencies rather than celebrate serendipity. It seeks to eliminate nations because it fears them. It does not understand that it is not the concept of a nation (a people who have a shared history, culture, language, a shared story) which is dangerous but the type of nation it is. And the type of nation a country is is not something which can be mandated by command from the centre.

    If there is a choice between democracy and, well pretty much anything, I choose democracy every time. The EU should not have developed in such a way as to make me - and others - think that this was the choice.

    Lords. Cough.
    The HoL should go not be added to. But it is ours - its existence is a result of our history - and its future is in our hands. The same cannot be said of Commissioners elected by no-one on this country who purport to pass laws affecting me through QMV and think that agreement in some remote Council is a worthwhile substitute for a vote by me for a Parliament answerable to voters here.

    I think that the government has been making mistake after mistake ever since the referendum result. But at least I can vote it out. That matters to me.

  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549

    AndyJS said:

    Question for PBers: which seat do you think Labour is most likely to lose, Copeland or Stoke Central?

    Everyone seems to think Copeland so I am going to say Stoke. It is also the seat I would prefer us to lose.
    I cannot see Labout losing Copeland. I am not sure about Stoke but I have a feeling the Tories and UKIP will split the opposition vote.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    Scott_P said:

    @jessicaelgot: Lab Stoke shortlist:A&E doctor @stephen_hitchin, former Lab candidate @trudiemc, Chesterton cllr @clickbiology & ex NuL leader @gareth_snell

    @jessicaelgot: Hustings tomorrow to decide who will take on Ukip's Paul Nuttall in what's looking increasingly like a straight fight

    Have you clocked how much Stephen Hitchin looks like a Nutall mini me?

    https://twitter.com/stephen_hitchin/status/818908987399741440
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216
    Dixie said:

    AndyJS said:

    Question for PBers: which seat do you think Labour is most likely to lose, Copeland or Stoke Central?

    Everyone seems to think Copeland so I am going to say Stoke. It is also the seat I would prefer us to lose.
    neither
    Good chance of it being neither. Labour have already chosen a local candidate in Copeland and look like doing the same in Stoke - just like Oldham West.....
  • surbiton said:

    Yorkcity said:

    surbiton said:

    Scott_P said:
    We do have a hapless Prime Minister who just talks rubbish even when she does not need to do it like Trident missile going awry.

    She is literally having to eat her words.
    True I think how it will effect Ireland will be a major problem. Can not see how you can not have a hard border between the north and south when we leave the EU.
    There will have to be a hard border. Otherwise, all this "independence" is a mirage.

    Another solution: Northern Ireland joins the Republic.

    Has anybody calculated how many extra Border force personnel we will need ?
    Not at all. There was a common travel area with Eire long before the EEC. There is no reason why heat should not continue.
  • The only solution is to stop even more Democrats voting:
    https://twitter.com/aravosis/status/823979136481984513
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549

    surbiton said:

    Toms said:

    A belated hurrah for Gina Miller and the Supreme court.
    It does seem that logic has a place in our governance.

    Certainly hurrah for the Supreme Court.

    Miller is just a sad Remainer desperate to stop Brexit (it made her sick remember) by any means possible and too thick to realise that in the long run she has probably made it more straightforward.

    This result is great as it reduces the power of the executive, neuters the threats from the Scots Parliament and puts no specific restrictions on Brexit beyond quite rightly saying it must be started by Parliament. All round a very good day for democracy.
    The sovereignty of Parliament is supreme.

    What if Parliament through an amendment to the A50 bill says the final deal must be put to a referendum ?
    It would rather self defeating given that such a referendum would not prevent Brexit. It would simply mean we left without a deal.
    That is where you are wrong. There is no provision in the EU referendum act which says that the result is binding.

    Another court case!
  • YorkcityYorkcity Posts: 4,382
    Cyclefree said:

    Yorkcity said:

    Jonathan said:

    Brexit still a monumental waste of time and effort that solves precisely none of the problems we face.

    Apart from that, all good.

    Very true .Be nice to know by the leave converts on here what problems it will resolve.
    I've not revealed my vote and don't intend to. But I will try and give an answer that is somewhat less exciting than @SeanT's.

    The future trajectory of the other 27 states and their views on how and into what the EU (and its constituent parts) should develop were a long way away from what Britain thought the EU should be that continuing to be part of the same union was, in the long-term, untenable. It was causing strains within Britain and within the EU itself. I think the way the EU behaved and how British politicians behaved in relation to it introduced a new layer of deceitfulness and undemocratic decision-making into British politics. A better arrangement was needed.

    Brexit is the result of the fact that such a better arrangement - a relationship which accommodated Britain's views about nationhood and co-operation with other states and the EU's views about how the nations of Continental Europe should develop - could not be put in place. In truth the attempt was never really made.

    This will now have to be done from the outside. The result will be different and the path to it more painful than if it had been done from the inside - if Britain had been honest about what it wanted and did not want and if the EU had bothered to listen to Britain's concerns and been more pragmatic/flexible. The EU's determination to go in only one direction and in only one way, no matter what the cost, has cost some of the nations of Europe and, particularly, its young dearly.

    Bluntly, we did not fit, we didn't like their long-term aim and, increasingly, we did not want to pay the price of the only bit of it that we were really interested in and profited from - the Single Market.

    Brexit is the final working out in British politics of Maastricht. All those fights over the euro and we managed to ignore what FoM and the concept of EU citizenship would mean for the concept of a nation state and what it indicated about the EU's direction of travel.

    It would be a rich irony if another Tory government ended up having similar Parliamentary battles as assailed the Major government. But then Major faced Smith. May faces Corbyn so I guess not.

    Much appreciated still not from a confirmed leave convert.However I think Major did get a good deal.Also Britain had a good deal with not been a part of the Euro and Schengen to name but two. Cameron was a bad poker player going all in with a queen high.
  • dr_spyn said:

    Someone trying to take down Fillon?

    https://twitter.com/AFP/status/823977856518811656

    Another case of creative political accounting...

    I thought that was a prerequisite of standing for public office in France?
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    edited January 2017
  • TomsToms Posts: 2,478
    edited January 2017
    I'm not interested in Gina Miller's motives.

    To pass judgement on them is a bit like discussing the motives of a catalyst in a chemical reaction.

    Whether she is a remoaner or, like me a remaunderer, is irrelevant. She did something that needed doing. *Parliament defined the classification of referendums. Parliament must be involved.
    * and she'll take a lot of s**t for it, maybe from a PBer or two.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,732

    The only solution is to stop even more Democrats voting:
    https://twitter.com/aravosis/status/823979136481984513

    They should just make getting ID free. That'd nullify a lot of the criticism surrounding it.
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549

    surbiton said:

    Yorkcity said:

    surbiton said:

    Scott_P said:
    We do have a hapless Prime Minister who just talks rubbish even when she does not need to do it like Trident missile going awry.

    She is literally having to eat her words.
    True I think how it will effect Ireland will be a major problem. Can not see how you can not have a hard border between the north and south when we leave the EU.
    There will have to be a hard border. Otherwise, all this "independence" is a mirage.

    Another solution: Northern Ireland joins the Republic.

    Has anybody calculated how many extra Border force personnel we will need ?
    Not at all. There was a common travel area with Eire long before the EEC. There is no reason why heat should not continue.
    The hard border is not about people as such. It is more about goods. How will duties be collected ? I should have said Border force and Customs personnel.
  • chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    isam said:

    Scott_P said:

    @jessicaelgot: Lab Stoke shortlist:A&E doctor @stephen_hitchin, former Lab candidate @trudiemc, Chesterton cllr @clickbiology & ex NuL leader @gareth_snell

    @jessicaelgot: Hustings tomorrow to decide who will take on Ukip's Paul Nuttall in what's looking increasingly like a straight fight

    Have you clocked how much Stephen Hitchin looks like a Nutall mini me?

    https://twitter.com/stephen_hitchin/status/818908987399741440
    William Hague, surely?
  • surbiton said:

    surbiton said:

    Toms said:

    A belated hurrah for Gina Miller and the Supreme court.
    It does seem that logic has a place in our governance.

    Certainly hurrah for the Supreme Court.

    Miller is just a sad Remainer desperate to stop Brexit (it made her sick remember) by any means possible and too thick to realise that in the long run she has probably made it more straightforward.

    This result is great as it reduces the power of the executive, neuters the threats from the Scots Parliament and puts no specific restrictions on Brexit beyond quite rightly saying it must be started by Parliament. All round a very good day for democracy.
    The sovereignty of Parliament is supreme.

    What if Parliament through an amendment to the A50 bill says the final deal must be put to a referendum ?
    It would rather self defeating given that such a referendum would not prevent Brexit. It would simply mean we left without a deal.
    That is where you are wrong. There is no provision in the EU referendum act which says that the result is binding.

    Another court case!
    We would be bound by the rules of Article 50. After 2 years we are out unless all 27 other countries agree individually that we can continue negotiations. You are grasping at straws.
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    On topic, my approach to Copeland has been mainly to back Labour but to keep the Conservatives onside (I am very red on UKIP especially).

    Similarly, I'm backing Labour in Stoke Central and have the Conservatives covered. UKIP might win but they'd be breaking with all precedent to do so and I'm prepared to pay for education on that front.
  • isam said:

    Scott_P said:

    @jessicaelgot: Lab Stoke shortlist:A&E doctor @stephen_hitchin, former Lab candidate @trudiemc, Chesterton cllr @clickbiology & ex NuL leader @gareth_snell

    @jessicaelgot: Hustings tomorrow to decide who will take on Ukip's Paul Nuttall in what's looking increasingly like a straight fight

    Have you clocked how much Stephen Hitchin looks like a Nutall mini me?

    https://twitter.com/stephen_hitchin/status/818908987399741440

    Benjamin Button I'd say.

  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    Jonathan said:

    dr_spyn said:

    Someone trying to take down Fillon?

    https://twitter.com/AFP/status/823977856518811656

    Another case of creative political accounting...

    Clearly this will cause outrage in France. How can you spend so much on your wife, not you mistress.
    His downfall will be when the French find out he does not have a mistress.
  • welshowlwelshowl Posts: 4,464

    Scott_P said:

    @bbclaurak: Hear Brexit debates may run til midnight-lots of time being scheduled -cynic cd suggest govt wants Brexit rebels to talk themselves hoarse

    By my calcs May has 315 votes she can rely on in almost all divisons.

    Given abstentions, unless she has major Tory rebellions by the New Bastards the Government should get their way on the Bill, unless the whips and May are very clumsy and overplay their hand.
    DUP/UUP and Carswell in yr 315?
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,676
    Jonathan said:

    Charles said:

    SeanT said:

    Scott_P said:

    SeanT said:

    "Hi, I'm Hugo Rifkind and I've got some opinions which you should know. And you'll have to pay for them."

    Writes in the same paper as Sean Thomas...
    Indeed. Which is what makes it a great paper.

    Here's a test: try saying "Hi, I'm Hugo Rifkind", or "Hello, I'm Hugo Rifkind", or any variation thereof, and see if you can avoid sounding like a Total C*nt.

    I reckon it's impossible. The absolute c*ntishness of the name will always shine through.

    it's the "Hugo" really though. Insufferably emerging middle class.
    Said Charles.
    I think Charles sees himself more as John Cleese than Ronnie Barker.
This discussion has been closed.