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Via @williamjordann Happy US families ahead of WH2016YouGov US: 33% of men say spouse supports Clinton compared with 45% who say they are pic.twitter.com/3XoNjKLW86
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Good morning, everyone.
EDIT: second mug in three threads. Has OGH got an interest to declare?
There is no viable route for Trump without all elements of FOP ..
But this stuff about Comey is more downright absurd than factually inaccurate.Is it likely that the director of the FBI would testify to Congress that no prosecution should be brought against someone, but "declare" that they were guilty?
Good morning, Miss JGP.
Anyway,
FPT I didn't say he testified that, he wouldn't say that because he claimed he could not prove intent. I said the things he admitted Clinton had done would be illegal if he could prove intent. Clinton rampers are trying to make out she did nothing wrong just because Comey wouldn't go for an indictment, but the reason not to go for an indictment has nothing to do with what she actually did.
Clinton was 'Madam Secretary of State' - she doesn't turn French by becoming President....
And good morning to you too!
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mr._President_(title)
"Comey admitted to the congressional committee that Clinton had committed acts that broke the law, but concluded he could not prove intent."
The point is that the acts would not have broken the law in the absence of intent or gross negligence.
Right...
http://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/madame
It isn't - just shows there are misinformed both sides of the pond.....
http://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/madam
http://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/madame
[Unlikely, but if any are lurking here, ARCs are available].
Less so in places like California, New York, Boston, and the rest of New England
P.S. Check out Carlotta's early post this morning about Trump failing to pay his pollster – he owes this guy about $700k or something. Doesn't like the results he has been getting, won't pay. Required reading.
The man truly is a national treasure.
Partisan split alive and kicking in the US of A.
Anyone fancy a safety first combination bet, hopefully to return a 64% profit in 8 days time?
Back the Democrats to win:
330 - 359 ECVs staking 38.74% at 4.40 (4.23 net) with BetfairEx
300 - 329 ECVs staking 37.85% at 4.33 with SkyBet
270 - 299 ECVs staking 23.41% at 7.0 with SyBet
Do your own research.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-what-if-clinton-wins-north-carolina-and-loses-pennsylvania/?ex_cid=2016-forecast
Clinton 293 .. Trump 185 .. Toss-Up 60
http://cookpolitical.com/presidential/charts/scorecard
He still needs a swing of at least 3-4% to be in the game. Looks unlikely.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Kingdom_general_election,_1997#/media/File:UK_General_Election,_1997.svg
In 1997, Labour had a massive block of seats stretching all the way across the country from Conwy to Cleethorpes and down to Corby. Another block stretched from Fishguard to Stroud. there was also a big Thames Estuary cluster and another around Northampton and Milton Keynes. Of course Scotland was still strongly Lab and there were some surprise seats like NW Norfolk
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Kingdom_general_election,_2005#/media/File:2005UKElectionMap.svg
By 2005 the Northants block has mostly disappeared and Lab has lost ground in the Thames Estuary. Most of the surprise seats like NW Norfolk and Inverness have gone but Lab still looks very strong in the Northern block
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Kingdom_general_election,_2015#/media/File:2015UKElectionMap.svg
By 2015, the biggest change is the disappearance of all but one seat in Scotland. The Tories have broken up the big Northern block by gaining Calder and Colne Valleys. The Thames Estuary cluster has disappeared and Lab are reduced to a few red spots in Southern England outside London.
On current polling and current boundaries Lab could be wiped out in N Wales (losing 4 to Con and 1 to Plaid) and lose 2 each in Coventry and the Potteries. With a small further swing the Cons could become the largest party in Wales and the largest party in the former West Midlands county. The only good news for Lab is that Merseyside, Greater Manchester and S Yorkshire still look rock solid, while Lab would still be largest party in London.
i.e. Trump won't win unless he picks off the toss-ups and at least two (probably 3) of the lean D states.
Colorado and Nevada are being closed down. Clinton's early scores are encouraging. She's swinging through there in the next few days and has a visit to Arizona being planned too.
Clinton 45 .. Trump 44
http://www.investors.com/politics/ibd-tipp-presidential-election-poll/
IBD ridiculous reweight: Party identification breakdown:(Unweighted) 323 Democrats/354 Republicans/327 Independents; (Weighted) 400/329/273
Shouldn't be difficult to get the national numbers of party ID?
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/01/us/politics/fbi-russia-election-donald-trump.html?_r=0
Yes, that's the highest Trump score since, um, 3 October. It really is shit or bust for the LA Times tracker...
Ben
Micheal Heseltine choked his Mum's dog to death.
https://t.co/iesOmerMQA https://t.co/yK5muUmuWw
http://www.formsofaddress.info/FOA_president_US.html
Clinton 45 .. Trump 46
http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/trump-leads-clinton-point-poll-enthusiasm-declines/story?id=43199459
I have a feeling that a lot might happen between November and January, and the next president isn't who we think it will be.
https://voterunlead.org/go-vote/womens-vote/