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  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,346
    IanB2 said:

    Except that the figure given certainly isn't the all-ages female mortality rate, which is close to 1% as I estimated below. Of course old people comprise a large proportion of deaths in any year, so the figure given may be for an age-range subset. It isn't clear.

    Since age and mortality rate are so closely related, to make a fair comparison you would need to take the age distribution of female prisoners and then model the expected mortality rate using the same distribution of ages and the ONS female UK mortality data.
    But the prison population may not be representative. Many will have had preexisting drug and mental issues (this applies to male prisoners as well).
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,346
    Mortimer said:

    I've had similar experiences with 'tabs'.

    Actually, once was with a GP mate!!
    No tabs! Two spaces or you're out the door! :)
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    tyson said:

    Sadly, you are right.....But at least it was discussed and the genie is out the bottle. It is as far out of the bottle than it has ever been.

    And maybe in a year or so we may well have a Clive Lewis leading the Labour party who is the proposals biggest advocate....
    In practice a tacit alliance between Labour and LD was a large part of the '97 victory. Over recent decades when one of this pairing has made gains (or losses) the other one has too. Their fates are coupled. I don't think it needs to be explicit, but a rapproachement between LD and Labour will be a big enough hint.

    BTW: thought you might enjoy this about the worlds fastest growing language. English will be obsolete soon :-)


    https://www.theguardian.com/artanddesign/2016/sep/06/emojis-shigetaka-kurita-mark-davis-coding-language
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,099
    edited October 2016

    But the prison population may not be representative. Many will have had preexisting drug and mental issues (this applies to male prisoners as well).
    Of course, but isn't that the point? Stage one is to compare the inmate rate with the general population. Stage two would be to consider what factors would account for any difference.

    To do this properly, you must first remove any bias from different age distributions.
  • MonksfieldMonksfield Posts: 2,863
    Jobabob said:

    The left right divide is obsolete - the new division is between open and closed. (Hat tip The Economist).

    I would much rather have a drink with TSE, Felix and ScottP than the likes of SandyRentool, Speedy and RochdalePioneers - who are seemingly willing to tolerate any amount of nasty anti-immigrant bigotry to wallow in their fantasies of a nativist 1960s socialist utopia.
    Agree that current political parties are not fit for purpose. Both Tories and Labour have the full range from fruitcakes to pragmatists and as a liberal lefty I'd happily vote for a Soubry, Green or Clarke but never for either extreme of an Abbott or a Cash. It's not clear what parties really stand for any more, or indeed what the PM actually stands for. And yet tribal tories like Nabavi and Carlotta rapidly assume the new leaderships position, wherever it leads them. These are strange times.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,188

    :)

    I knew a software project manager who was an Excel High Priest. Instead of using MS Project, he would use Excel. He would manage projects brilliantly, perhaps because no-one except him could understand the plan ...
    To be honest, I'd choose excel over MS project anyday...
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,546
    edited October 2016
    Jobabob said:



    The left right divide is obsolete

    True words indeed, though it is depressing as hell that people pretend coherent 'left' and 'right' ideologies to defend tribal positioning, when there should be far less shame in acknowledging leaping all over the traditional spectrum, which has a rich old tradition. I'll say this for UKIP, often they do at least admit to trying to select from the best of both, which recognises reality more.

  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    Barnesian said:

    I have the "Gazette" in front of me now.

    The banner is actually a sort of UKIP purple but not quite. It's definitely not a Tory blue.

    It's very similar, - in fact identical, to the actual Gazette purple, which is a sort of Quink Royal Blue.
    So passing off then?
  • tysontyson Posts: 6,121
    philiph said:

    I never think it is wise to encourage and train your voters to support an alternative party. Once the lemming instinct of voting for the party regardless of all other facts the emotional bond between the party and voter is fractured and they will not return as such a loyal and frequent voter. The thrill of cheating on the political party of their past will be too much to resist.

    Do you think if Labour or LibDems had politicians of stature, charisma and appeal who articulated well thought out popular progressive policies that they would win without PR?

    It is the product on offer that is at fault more than the voting system. i think you are treating secondary symptoms and having blindness as to the causes.
    At the next election I will be just as worried for our country by a Labour led by Corbyn majority or a Tory one led by May. Both appear to play more to the sectional prejudices of their voting memberships which are becoming more ideological and polarised by the day.
    Both the Tory and Labour membership have little regard for the interests of the country. They place ideology first.

    So, in the absence of a Blair, or Cameron or Brown, or Major...PM's who on the whole acted against their membership wishes or desires, what hope is there with politicians like May or Corbyn who play to the lowest common denominator?
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,099
    tyson said:

    Sadly, you are right.....But at least it was discussed and the genie is out the bottle. It is as far out of the bottle than it has ever been.

    And maybe in a year or so we may well have a Clive Lewis leading the Labour party who is the proposals biggest advocate....
    In Richmond the case is, however, particularly strong since the Conservative Party isn't (planning to) field a candidate, specifically to give the Independent a leg up to defeat the LibDems. So they can hardly make a fuss if other parties chose to do similarly in order to defeat Zak.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,346

    It may well be that your nurse was checking that you were still breathing when dropping by regularly to adjust the syringe pump dosage. Sometimes requiring a human operator is a feature not a bug.

    A litre of saline in an hour is rather a lot. It needs a big cannula and a wide open tap.

    It was a lot. I don;t even drink that much when backpacking over mountains in summer, which was one reason I was so alarmed. I was sweating so much that the need to pee was somewhat reduced, and what came out was golden (cue too much information) :)

    Generally I agree with your first sentence. But with modern tech, there is no reason why a *person* needs to check you're still breathing. Creating fail-safe (*) tech isn't too out of this world.

    In addition: if they're there to check you're still breathing, how come they're not checking up on you every four minutes?

    In fact, there's no reason why a IoT (**) plaster cannot be slapped on a patient on admittance, which wirelessly records their metrics, even as they are wheeled between departments.

    (*) Fail-safe is vastly important.
    (**) A phrase I hate.
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    The health economics of expensive biological drugs are quite complex. So for example the monoclonal antibodies used as disease modifying agents for rheumatoid have (expensively) transformed a crippling deforming disease into one that allows someone to keep working. I just do not see the wrecked bodies that were all too common 25 years ago.

    The cost of the drug (including the logistics and human cost of regular infusions and monitoring) vs the cost to the individual, family and society (particularly the impact on carers and social care) relies on a lot of assumptions and hidden costs, as well as hidden benefits.

    My money saving wheeze for the NHS : compulsory sterilisation of all cousanguinous marriages who wish UK residence. A little totalitarian perhaps, but would save a lot of misery as well as money.
  • TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    Things that have happened since the referendum.

    I love how the site has gone from a right wing meeting place to a lefty remain moaning house.

    Loving it.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,099

    In practice a tacit alliance between Labour and LD was a large part of the '97 victory. Over recent decades when one of this pairing has made gains (or losses) the other one has too. Their fates are coupled. I don't think it needs to be explicit, but a rapproachement between LD and Labour will be a big enough hint.

    BTW: thought you might enjoy this about the worlds fastest growing language. English will be obsolete soon :-)


    https://www.theguardian.com/artanddesign/2016/sep/06/emojis-shigetaka-kurita-mark-davis-coding-language
    Tactical voting is of course what you are talking about, but, nevertheless, it has been true for a long time that liberals (/alliance/LDs) do better when the Tories are unpopular than when Labour is, because of the way the third party vote is distributed with more good second places in Tory held seats than Labour ones.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,346

    The health economics of expensive biological drugs are quite complex. So for example the monoclonal antibodies used as disease modifying agents for rheumatoid have (expensively) transformed a crippling deforming disease into one that allows someone to keep working. I just do not see the wrecked bodies that were all too common 25 years ago.

    The cost of the drug (including the logistics and human cost of regular infusions and monitoring) vs the cost to the individual, family and society (particularly the impact on carers and social care) relies on a lot of assumptions and hidden costs, as well as hidden benefits.

    My money saving wheeze for the NHS : compulsory sterilisation of all cousanguinous marriages who wish UK residence. A little totalitarian perhaps, but would save a lot of misery as well as money.

    "compulsory sterilisation of all cousanguinous marriages"

    That's why I married a foreigner. :)

    Though that may not have worked for the Saxe-Coburgs ...
  • rpjsrpjs Posts: 3,787

    I heard that Belgium has six parliaments, and that three of them - the Walloon regional parliament, the Brussels regional parliament, and the community parliament for French speakers - had all objected to CETA. But perhaps I got the wrong end of the stick?

    (Six parliaments?! If the UK had the same number of parliaments per head as Belgium, we would have about 35...)
    As I said in a recent previous thread, the Belgians have six regional / communitarian authorities (Flanders, Wallonia, Brussels / Flemish, French, German, but two of those (Flanders and the Flemish community) are merged, making five subsidiary assemblies. They all get a veto though, I believe.
  • NEW THREAD

  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    edited October 2016
    rpjs said:

    As I said in a recent previous thread, the Belgians have six regional / communitarian authorities (Flanders, Wallonia, Brussels / Flemish, French, German, but two of those (Flanders and the Flemish community) are merged, making five subsidiary assemblies. They all get a veto though, I believe.
    Though from what I can see, our own parliament in Westminster has not debated CETA, let alone voted on its approval. What is it about parliamentary scrutiny that the government doesn't like?

    There doesn't even seem to be a response to EDM 165 on the issue:

    https://www.parliament.uk/edm/2016-17/165

    Oh to have a democracy like Belgium rather than our own pisspoor excuse!
  • MarkSeniorMarkSenior Posts: 4,699
    Amusing how some Conservatives on here think the Lib Dems delivering a newspaper style leaflet is outrageous . There are plenty of Conservative imitations about usually called Out Of Touch or similar .
  • tysontyson Posts: 6,121

    The health economics of expensive biological drugs are quite complex. So for example the monoclonal antibodies used as disease modifying agents for rheumatoid have (expensively) transformed a crippling deforming disease into one that allows someone to keep working. I just do not see the wrecked bodies that were all too common 25 years ago.

    The cost of the drug (including the logistics and human cost of regular infusions and monitoring) vs the cost to the individual, family and society (particularly the impact on carers and social care) relies on a lot of assumptions and hidden costs, as well as hidden benefits.

    My money saving wheeze for the NHS : compulsory sterilisation of all cousanguinous marriages who wish UK residence. A little totalitarian perhaps, but would save a lot of misery as well as money.

    We have a beautiful little family home (my wife's side) in the remote Appenines. I mean remote...wolves, full on night sky, and lots of very, very, very closely related Italians living in the next village. And virtually every single family is blighted by congenital diseases.... not many of the children are left unscathed.

    But you could add to your list extreme premature live births....not much gain for a considerable amount of pain.....
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    tyson said:

    We have a beautiful little family home (my wife's side) in the remote Appenines. I mean remote...wolves, full on night sky, and lots of very, very, very closely related Italians living in the next village. And virtually every single family is blighted by congenital diseases.... not many of the children are left unscathed.

    But you could add to your list extreme premature live births....not much gain for a considerable amount of pain.....
    Prems born before 25 weeks have all too often a pretty miserable fate.
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807

    Agree that current political parties are not fit for purpose. Both Tories and Labour have the full range from fruitcakes to pragmatists and as a liberal lefty I'd happily vote for a Soubry, Green or Clarke but never for either extreme of an Abbott or a Cash. It's not clear what parties really stand for any more, or indeed what the PM actually stands for. And yet tribal tories like Nabavi and Carlotta rapidly assume the new leaderships position, wherever it leads them. These are strange times.
    Carlotta yes, that has been pretty miserable to watch. Richard less so - has been deeply critical of May re: grammar schools.

    Agree about Soubry, Green, Clarke, Abbott and Cash - great examples sir!
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    The health economics of expensive biological drugs are quite complex. So for example the monoclonal antibodies used as disease modifying agents for rheumatoid have (expensively) transformed a crippling deforming disease into one that allows someone to keep working. I just do not see the wrecked bodies that were all too common 25 years ago.

    The cost of the drug (including the logistics and human cost of regular infusions and monitoring) vs the cost to the individual, family and society (particularly the impact on carers and social care) relies on a lot of assumptions and hidden costs, as well as hidden benefits.

    My money saving wheeze for the NHS : compulsory sterilisation of all cousanguinous marriages who wish UK residence. A little totalitarian perhaps, but would save a lot of misery as well as money.

    One of my companies is developing a product tovrepkace biologicals in pouchitis
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807
    tyson said:

    At the next election I will be just as worried for our country by a Labour led by Corbyn majority or a Tory one led by May. Both appear to play more to the sectional prejudices of their voting memberships which are becoming more ideological and polarised by the day.
    Both the Tory and Labour membership have little regard for the interests of the country. They place ideology first.

    So, in the absence of a Blair, or Cameron or Brown, or Major...PM's who on the whole acted against their membership wishes or desires, what hope is there with politicians like May or Corbyn who play to the lowest common denominator?
    Superb post. Exactly right.
  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 9,078
    Charles said:

    So passing off then?
    No - it's our Gazette. That's the actual Gazette. With its own purple banner.
  • ParistondaParistonda Posts: 1,844
    kle4 said:

    I don't like when they call such ideas 'Progressive Alliances'. It suggests to me they are all really on the same side, and cooperation of such a direct nature should be second nature, and is usually invoked on the assumption everyone is either a Tory or an anti-Tory, and as someone who has never voted Tory but leans more that way than Labour, that tells me they don't want my vote because I don't hate the Tories enough.

    Can it not just be the PR Alliance? I know it is not as snappy, but it is much clearer this is just about securing one aim, a more democratic electoral system,
    Yes frankly if you could get UKIP on board, they are big on PR, it might have a bit more sway as well as the public wouldn't just see it as a lefty rainbow coalition.
  • Chris_AChris_A Posts: 1,237

    Charles makes pharmaceuticals so has both knowledge and bias.

    :)

    It was more the typos I was worried about.
  • Chris_AChris_A Posts: 1,237
    Charles said:

    I've spent the last 20 years in the healthcare sector, just so you are aware.
    Then you'll know the 8.7% was something like 4% 20 years ago.
  • justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527
    HYUFD said:

    Indeed, Major was PM for 7 years so the 200,000 his memoirs sold may be a more realistic target than, for example, the 500,000 Thatcher's sold and both Blair and Thatcher had higher name recognition in the US which helped them with sales there
    6 years and 5 months to be precise!
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