politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » TMay needs a sizeable CON majority in Witney to deal with t
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It's called working a fault tree. You start off by not ignoring any possible theory, the rule out whole branches of the tree.FF43 said:
Presumably there is nothing stopping ULA (the Lockheed/Boeing consortium) keeping a lookout on their competitor's launch from the roof of their OWN building. I am not an expert, but the explosion looks like others that happen as a result of a leaking fuel tank.Speedy said:
SpaceX is accusing a rival of shooting it's rocket with a rifle from a rooftop a mile away ?rcs1000 said:This is extraordinary
http://www.popularmechanics.com/space/rockets/a23183/spacex-sniped-rocket/
If Elon Musk is going down the conspiracy theory root to blame for failures, he should try at least to immitate Trump and claim that Ted Cruz's father shot his rocket.
There was a video image that was open to interpretation regarding the roof of the ULA building. So they investigated that.
Then the story has got Daily Mailed....0 -
Clinton: "What kind of genius loses a billion dollars in a single year?!"
Operation Bait Trump Into Lashing Out continues unabated.0 -
What was quite cool was Psion, who just threw up their hands on the appearance of smartphones and completely stopped making the Organiser, rather than flailing around like Blackberry trying and failing to keep up.0
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Which is promising to be quite profitable for companies that produce Bluetooth chips.Malmesbury said:
The headphone jack thing is actually about the next generation of heaphones of all types moving massively to Bluetooth.glw said:
It's ridiculous to expect Apple to automatically repeat the success of the iPod, iPhone, and iPad. Just creating one of those would be an amazing success by most standards. So yes Apple might well decline, but the idea that Apple might end up in serious trouble is over done. Apple are spending a colossal amount on R&D, and it's likely being spent on developing new classes of products we currently know nothing, or next to nothing, about. Apple can afford a lot of failures before they need a next big thing.Speedy said:They have tons of cash hidden in Ireland, but their products no longer sell as they used to.
I've seen the same story before with Microsoft.
They won't collapse overnight, but once the decline of the flagship product starts you need to find other products to sell, and Apple doesn't have anything as succesful to replace the iphone.
So Apple won't collapse but will decline in value.0 -
As the tax returns were sent to the NYT on the 23rd of September that is amazingly psycic by Trump to know he was going to have a terrible week.Speedy said:
What tax stuff ?619 said:
Have your figures factored in the tax stuff? That seems to be blowing up quite a bit.Speedy said:Time for the weekly update of my average daily tracking poll:
Hillary 46.5 nc
Trump 43.5 +0.5
Every week since the first update.
Hillary 46.5 46.5 45.5 44.5 45 46 46.5 47 47 45
Trump 43.5 43 44 43.5 42 42 41 40.5 41 43
Hillary seeems to have a ceiling at 47% and Trump a ceiling at 44%, since Sept. 26th neither candidates have seen much movement.
Trump has been trading in a range between 43-44% since Sept 10th.
Hillary was recovering everyday from Sept. 15th till the 26th.
Hillary has never gone bellow 44.5 and Trump never above 44.5, that sums it up.
The taxes Trump leaked to the New York Times on purpose ?
(The envelope containing those tax documents had Trump Tower as the address of the person who posted them)
Trump had 3 aims for leaking it to the N.Y.T. :
1. To prick the myth of his tax returns, by leaking non-damaging tax returns.
2. To deflect attention from more damaging stuff.
3. To make the N.Y.T to break the law by publishing them, so he can play the victim.
It's not the first time Trump leaked stuff about himself to deflect attention and play the victim, he did the same thing with the Washington Post and those John Miller tapes.
Next time a journalist receives an envelope from Trump Tower he should think twise before opening it.
Signs point to t being Trump's ex wife given it was a joint filling and there was an arrow saying sign here pointing to where she would have had to sign.
And if it was her then I think the NYT is in the clear.0 -
I suspect it is more about licensing for accessories. Apple bought Beats, but they want to make sure they make money from the alternatives too.Malmesbury said:The headphone jack thing is actually about the next generation of heaphones of all types moving massively to Bluetooth.
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RIM had a lot of problems, notable Founders Syndrome which inter alia has been doing a good job of infuriating some of key researchers and executives over the last few years that have moved to new pastures, which doesn't help if you are struggling to stay on the cutting edge.Ishmael_X said:What was quite cool was Psion, who just threw up their hands on the appearance of smartphones and completely stopped making the Organiser, rather than flailing around like Blackberry trying and failing to keep up.
http://www.theverge.com/2012/2/21/2789676/rim-blackberry-mike-lazaridis-jim-balsillie-lost-empire0 -
With 538, Trump is favourite to gain Ohio and Iowa, but Clinton is forecast to pick up North Carolina compared to Obama in 2012.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo0 -
SInce they are giving away a converter to 3.5mm with the phone, it's hard to see that being the plan.glw said:
I suspect it is more about licensing for accessories. Apple bought Beats, but they want to make sure they make money from the alternatives too.Malmesbury said:The headphone jack thing is actually about the next generation of heaphones of all types moving massively to Bluetooth.
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Trigga
"It's a massive problem, the amount of people I know .. could be tomorrow, today. THE GROUNDWORK IS ALREADY THERE"
A few words wont fix this
Quilliam https://t.co/5sg1ZCz9p50 -
That is the key skill for a top manager.williamglenn said:
When you put it like that it reminds me of the old joke about the Americans spending millions to design a pen that worked in zero gravity while the Russians used a pencil.Speedy said:
It's like replacing the light switch with a dongle.Scott_P said:
There is no "jack issue" unless you think a connector designed 50 years ago was the pinnacle of achievementSeanT said:AND fixes the jack issue
Oh, wait, you're a Brexiteer. 50 years ago was your apogee. It all makes sense now...
There must be a parody of someone using the most complex faulty equipment imaginable to do a simple task.
The one thing Steve Jobs generally had going for him was good judgement about which ideas to kill.
A top manager doesn't need to generate ideas. There are always lots of people with their pet ideas, some of them good, most of them bad. The skill of the CEO is killing the bad ideas.
Cameron lacked that skill. Evidence - Lansley's NHS reforms, Osborne's budget tactics, having a referendum.
Does Theresa May have that skill? It's not promising. Hinkley Point C. Publicising deadline for Article 50 before ducks in a row. Third runway will be a test.0 -
And what is this about ?PlatoSaid said:Crypt
tired: 2d4d digit ratios
wired: democrat-republican faculty ratios https://t.co/nBOdEsz4Mt0 -
Look at the moaning about the adapter, I think the idea is that people will cave in and buy new headphones with that lovely proprietary Lighting connector that Apple licenses.Malmesbury said:SInce they are giving away a converter to 3.5mm with the phone, it's hard to see that being the plan.
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Hohoho
Liberty Rebel
Ha ha.
Corbyn's hard-Left spinner's wife works as private tutor coaching kids for selective school entrance exams.
https://t.co/PQpWwmRGJw0 -
That sounds very credible, and being an ex would explain why it is such an old tax return.Alistair said:
As the tax returns were sent to the NYT on the 23rd of September that is amazingly psycic by Trump to know he was going to have a terrible week.Speedy said:
What tax stuff ?619 said:
Have your figures factored in the tax stuff? That seems to be blowing up quite a bit.Speedy said:Time for the weekly update of my average daily tracking poll:
Hillary 46.5 nc
Trump 43.5 +0.5
Every week since the first update.
Hillary 46.5 46.5 45.5 44.5 45 46 46.5 47 47 45
Trump 43.5 43 44 43.5 42 42 41 40.5 41 43
Hillary seeems to have a ceiling at 47% and Trump a ceiling at 44%, since Sept. 26th neither candidates have seen much movement.
Trump has been trading in a range between 43-44% since Sept 10th.
Hillary was recovering everyday from Sept. 15th till the 26th.
Hillary has never gone bellow 44.5 and Trump never above 44.5, that sums it up.
The taxes Trump leaked to the New York Times on purpose ?
(The envelope containing those tax documents had Trump Tower as the address of the person who posted them)
Trump had 3 aims for leaking it to the N.Y.T. :
1. To prick the myth of his tax returns, by leaking non-damaging tax returns.
2. To deflect attention from more damaging stuff.
3. To make the N.Y.T to break the law by publishing them, so he can play the victim.
It's not the first time Trump leaked stuff about himself to deflect attention and play the victim, he did the same thing with the Washington Post and those John Miller tapes.
Next time a journalist receives an envelope from Trump Tower he should think twise before opening it.
Signs point to t being Trump's ex wife given it was a joint filling and there was an arrow saying sign here pointing to where she would have had to sign.
And if it was her then I think the NYT is in the clear.0 -
Won't the 10th anniversary model be the 7S?TGOHF said:The iphone 8 is the 10 year anniversary edition.
Some talk that the good stuff is being held back for that one.
This fan boy is sitting the 7 out.0 -
Well it doesn't actually matter since Trump has to win Colorado for the presidency.AndyJS said:With 538, Trump is favourite to gain Ohio and Iowa, but Clinton is forecast to pick up North Carolina compared to Obama in 2012.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo
New Colorado poll from Monmouth, changes from the last one in July.
Hillary 49 +1
Trump 37 +2
Johnson 7 +2
Stein 3 nc
Favourables .
Hillary not liked 37/51.
Trump hated 29/63
So I guess Colorado is back to D+6, for Trump to win it he has to be leading by 6 points nationally.
Game Over I suspect.
Why is Trump that high on Betfair is a mystery.0 -
The true story about the space pen is interesting in this context. The guy who developed it, did so on his own dime. Then he sold the pens to NASA at the standard, over the counter price. And sold millions of them (to the world at large) as "the pen that can write in space, as used by NASA".Barnesian said:
That is the key skill for a top manager.williamglenn said:
When you put it like that it reminds me of the old joke about the Americans spending millions to design a pen that worked in zero gravity while the Russians used a pencil.Speedy said:
It's like replacing the light switch with a dongle.Scott_P said:
There is no "jack issue" unless you think a connector designed 50 years ago was the pinnacle of achievementSeanT said:AND fixes the jack issue
Oh, wait, you're a Brexiteer. 50 years ago was your apogee. It all makes sense now...
There must be a parody of someone using the most complex faulty equipment imaginable to do a simple task.
The one thing Steve Jobs generally had going for him was good judgement about which ideas to kill.
A top manager doesn't need to generate ideas. There are always lots of people with their pet ideas, some of them good, most of them bad. The skill of the CEO is killing the bad ideas.
Cameron lacked that skill. Evidence - Lansley's NHS reforms, Osborne's budget tactics, having a referendum.
Does Theresa May have that skill? It's not promising. Hinkley Point C. Publicising deadline for Article 50 before ducks in a row. Third runway will be a test.
The Russians just took a rick on bits of pencil lead floating around causing short circuits...0 -
Fox jr reckons that the best thing about the iphone 7 is that the 6S has come down in price.Philip_Thompson said:
Won't the 10th anniversary model be the 7S?TGOHF said:The iphone 8 is the 10 year anniversary edition.
Some talk that the good stuff is being held back for that one.
This fan boy is sitting the 7 out.
Personally, I am hanging on for the Sony XZ. I might have a look at the Google pixel too.0 -
Wow - that is a result. Only 400 sample in the poll (MOE 4.9) but Trump was up 1 in the last Colorado poll.Speedy said:
Well it doesn't actually matter since Trump has to win Colorado for the presidency.AndyJS said:With 538, Trump is favourite to gain Ohio and Iowa, but Clinton is forecast to pick up North Carolina compared to Obama in 2012.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo
New Colorado poll from Monmouth, changes from the last one in July.
Hillary 49 +1
Trump 37 +2
Johnson 7 +2
Stein 3 nc
Favourables .
Hillary not liked 37/51.
Trump hated 29/63
So I guess Colorado is back to D+6, for Trump to win it he has to be leading by 6 points nationally.
Game Over I suspect.
Why is Trump that high on Betfair is a mystery.0 -
As long as there are dicks like this in the world, Apple will be fine.glw said:
Look at the moaning about the adapter, I think the idea is that people will cave in and buy new headphones with that lovely proprietary Lighting connector that Apple licenses.Malmesbury said:SInce they are giving away a converter to 3.5mm with the phone, it's hard to see that being the plan.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=tMirx_bwmWk0 -
Mr. Malmesbury, I heard that, but also that it might be an urban myth.0
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Brilliant!saddened said:
As long as there are dicks like this in the world, Apple will be fine.glw said:
Look at the moaning about the adapter, I think the idea is that people will cave in and buy new headphones with that lovely proprietary Lighting connector that Apple licenses.Malmesbury said:SInce they are giving away a converter to 3.5mm with the phone, it's hard to see that being the plan.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=tMirx_bwmWk0 -
Papermate? The pen with a heart beat IIRC the marketing, everyone had oneMalmesbury said:
The true story about the space pen is interesting in this context. The guy who developed it, did so on his own dime. Then he sold the pens to NASA at the standard, over the counter price. And sold millions of them (to the world at large) as "the pen that can write in space, as used by NASA".Barnesian said:
That is the key skill for a top manager.williamglenn said:
When you put it like that it reminds me of the old joke about the Americans spending millions to design a pen that worked in zero gravity while the Russians used a pencil.Speedy said:
It's like replacing the light switch with a dongle.Scott_P said:
There is no "jack issue" unless you think a connector designed 50 years ago was the pinnacle of achievementSeanT said:AND fixes the jack issue
Oh, wait, you're a Brexiteer. 50 years ago was your apogee. It all makes sense now...
There must be a parody of someone using the most complex faulty equipment imaginable to do a simple task.
The one thing Steve Jobs generally had going for him was good judgement about which ideas to kill.
A top manager doesn't need to generate ideas. There are always lots of people with their pet ideas, some of them good, most of them bad. The skill of the CEO is killing the bad ideas.
Cameron lacked that skill. Evidence - Lansley's NHS reforms, Osborne's budget tactics, having a referendum.
Does Theresa May have that skill? It's not promising. Hinkley Point C. Publicising deadline for Article 50 before ducks in a row. Third runway will be a test.
The Russians just took a rick on bits of pencil lead floating around causing short circuits...0 -
For trump backers, GOP in ohio seems like a reasonable bet @ 5/6;
http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/us-politics/us-presidential-election-2016/ohio
Amid the crap state polls for trump from quinnipac, ohio is looking quite solid;
https://www.qu.edu/images/polling/ps/soh10032016_trends_S27kmrd.pdf0 -
New thread.0
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Appears to be a lot of Lib Dem activity at Witney. Will it transfer into lots of votes, probably.0
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The OnePlus 3 is also excellentfoxinsoxuk said:
Fox jr reckons that the best thing about the iphone 7 is that the 6S has come down in price.Philip_Thompson said:
Won't the 10th anniversary model be the 7S?TGOHF said:The iphone 8 is the 10 year anniversary edition.
Some talk that the good stuff is being held back for that one.
This fan boy is sitting the 7 out.
Personally, I am hanging on for the Sony XZ. I might have a look at the Google pixel too.0