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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Ex-top Trump aide says expect a big anti-Clinton Wikileaks revelation on Wednesday
This is the latest in this extraordinary White House battle. Only problem with trailing like this is that it could blunt the impact if its not quite as sensational as being suggested.
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Apple will be fine as long as there are dicks like this in the world.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=tMirx_bwmWk
Trump cant win without florida
http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/fact-or-fiction-nasa-spen/
https://twitter.com/rogerjstonejr/status/782994854964031489
MInd you, when it came selling peerages, a certain prime minister was only saved by the interesting idea that it wasn't in the public interest to prosecute. Since it would be unfair, given that his predecessors had sold peerages...
No it won't have an impact.
People are voting against Trump not in favour of Hillary, for Trump to win he has to stop giving reasons for people to hate him.
Trump is the only person who has made Cruella de Vil (Hillary)l look good in comparison.
For trump backers, GOP in ohio seems like a reasonable bet @ 5/6;
http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/us-politics/us-presidential-election-2016/ohio
Amid the crap state polls for trump from quinnipiac, ohio is looking quite solid;
https://www.qu.edu/images/polling/ps/soh10032016_trends_S27kmrd.pdf
Is reposting his tweets here deemed more acceptable than citing voodoo polls?
Creulla De Vil wins 322-216
Seems reasonable given that the result on my tracking poll is stabilising on Romney levels of defeat.
Remain was 'crap' and the 'naughty question' -Ashcroft's back... https://t.co/NWBTiAEzQp
Russia's suspends deal to reduce stocks of weapons-grade plutonium. Their excuse is that the US is cheating.
It would therefore be sensible if Russia's demand for the resumption would be for the US to stop cheating (or clarify what they are doing). But no.
Also on Monday, President Putin submitted a bill (in Russian) to parliament setting a series of pre-conditions for the US for the agreement to be resumed, including:
reduction of US military infrastructure and troops in countries that joined Nato after 1 September 2000
lifting of all US sanctions against Russia and compensation for the damage they have caused
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-37539616
http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/doj-side-agreements-let-agents-destroy-laptops-in-clinton-email-case/article/2603450#.V_KQBFJhqf0.twitter
House Republicans are demanding to know why Justice Department officials entered into a pair of "side agreement" with Cheryl Mills and Heather Samuelson — two of Hillary Clinton's top former aides who went on to become her personal attorneys during the FBI's email investigation — that allowed law enforcement agents to destroy their laptops after searching their hard drives for evidence.
On one operation, Tom was nearly kidnapped by the terrorists he was tracking.
"(This) was something we'd never, ever seen before on UK soil, and it came very, very close to them putting me into a van and taking me to an address that we later searched with Special Branch, where they found plastic sheeting on the ground and a video camera and the flag and the butcher's knife. It was really down to the wire."
On another occasion, Tom was part of an MI5 team tracking a suspected Islamist terrorist. He sat outside a London mosque during evening prayers.
He said: "It was chucking it down and I was dressed as a tramp, pretending to ask for change, my own clothes soaked in my own urine to compliment that cover.
They've been talking about the wall for at least two decades. But it's really a cushioned rather than a solid wall; progress is slowing (Intel has moved away from it's tick-tock system to a three-phase Process-Architecture-Optimise one).
One thing always blows my mind: three are companies that will take a chip, remove the top surface (packaging), and alter the circuitry within. At a very high cost, but cheaper (in time and money) than going through another chip prototype phase. In fact, it's good to think about this during the design process.
http://www.nanoscopeservices.co.uk/fib-circuit-edit/
I am the only PBer to own a chip wafer?
Btw he is leading in this Florida poll with non college educated whites by THIRTY FOUR POINTS! and in North Carolina by 53! wtf and still behind, he should be putting all his efforts from now to election day on the 47 million unregistered white voters, thats all.
It doesn't mean anything.
It's not going to be anything.
Whatever it is, will be completely insignificant.
Whatever it is.
Everytime Trump is about to take the lead he does something to demolish himself.
Trump may not want to be painted as the worst loser in History, but he is not doing what it takes to win: sticking to a script, preparing for debates and selfcensorship on Twitter.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-37547094
"The only hint she gave of future immigration policy came when she was asked about Vote Leave campaign promises that curbs on EU migration could lead to increases in migration from Australia, India and other parts of the Commonwealth. She made quite clear that increasing Commonwealth immigration was not being considered: “There are no plans to increase immigration from Australia. Did somebody promise to increase migration from Australia? Who was that?” she asked.
“Oh Mr Johnson again,” she said when she was told it was the foreign secretary."
Tories ditch budget surplus pledge and announce £3bn housebuilding plan - Politics live
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/live/2016/oct/03/conservative-conference-philip-hammond-confirms-osbornes-austerity-timetable-has-been-dropped-politics-live?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Copy_to_clipboard
(Apologies to PBers for the off-topicness of this).
It's like a race between John Kerry (got 48%) and John McCain (got 45%).
They need to sort out this issue after November or cease as a national party. The thing is they had an inquiry into this in 2012 which said they needed to reach out to HIspanics and what did they do ? Double down. Morons.
1. The government has good reason to believe Brexit will have little practical effect on the City.
2. It will have a bad effect, but the government in promoting a Brexit that's not universally popular pushes a case that ignores possible downsides and ends up believing its own rhetoric. The Tony Blair Iraq War syndrome.
3. They know it will be bad. There's nothing they can do about it short of cancelling the referendum result, so they'll pretend it's fine.
I see some signs of the Iraq War syndrome in the May government.
Trump could have won without hispanics if he had a brain cell.
Trump will probably lose the election because of his personal character, not his policies.
Everytime Trump collapsed was because he attacked someone who wasn't Hillary and of course behaving stupid, he lost because educated people don't like idiots.
And he will find that americans don't like losers.
Hilarious.
I agree, especially the part where Trump(Baldwin) accuses Hillary for all the things that Trump is.
Here it is, the Abominable Trump vs Cruella De Vil:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-nQGBZQrtT0
Your patriotic bluster about sovereignty and self-governance will mean nothing in depressed economic times. Where I work I've been told tough decisions will be made in context with Brexit - job losses are expected. Time will tell as ever but the future is far from rosy...
A new hospital every week, you said.
They just need to choose the right candidate for President.
I never did, please find evidence for that claim. In fact I regularly rubbished the £350m claim and hoped they would use the £200m figure as it was more honest and still large enough to hold people's attention.
http://scotgoespop.blogspot.co.uk/
They just need to choose the right candidate for President.
Well in 2020 if they don't win this time the Republicans will definitely try a similar strategy to Trump but hopefully a non-crazy candidate. But could a mainstream Republican convince those energized by Trump that they're the real deal?
The million dollar wafer stepper was not working that day. The rubber band had snapped...
I was more intrigued by the notion that HMG thinks "only a few hundred City jobs" will quit London post Brexit.
I try to be optimistic on the economic effects of Brexit, but I still believe the City will lose thousands of workers. Maybe tens of thousands. It's painfully inevitable.
Hundreds is probably a bit low, but low thousand is my personal feeling, and even then I think new markets might mean jobs growth over the long term. One thing I have learned is that uncertainty nearly always means hiring, at least in the short term, after that who really know. Someone said that there is no long term, just a whole bunch if short terms put together.
If it's just a few thousand, and if we can get free trade in goods (surely do-able, benefits all) then I will think that's a nice, clean Brexit, in the circs.
and if it is 10s of thousands and no free trade in goods you will still manage to justify to yourself that it is a price worth paying by others for your Brexit reasons .
Well, yes, dumbkopf. I've already told you, I believe short-term economic pain is worth it for the political benefit of self-governance, and a return to democracy. I accept we will take a hit.
I hope that, independent, we will grow FASTER in the long term. And, as a patriotic Brit, I clearly hope that the initial pain will be minimal.
Well we can all patriotically fly the Union Jacks in our huts knowing that we'll be significantly poorer for the rest of our lives. A price worth paying? Maybe for fools like you...
Your patriotic bluster about sovereignty and self-governance will mean nothing in depressed economic times. Where I work I've been told tough decisions will be made in context with Brexit - job losses are expected. Time will tell as ever but the future is far from rosy...
I don't know why you feel the need to exaggerate. The UK is a prosperous country and will remain a prosperous country. No one's going to be living in mud huts.
The remoaners assured us that should it be a vote for leave we would immediately be visited by the four horsemen of the apocalypse. Now that has happened it'll be long term. Iam sure when that doesnt happen either they'll claim it'll be in the afterlife.
There's no point going around the houses each night on PB about what we personally think about Brexit. The decision has been made and it's going ahead. Some of us voted Leave because we thought it was time to take back sovereignty and Brexit would have a beneficial to neutral effect on the economy etc. Others voted Remain because we think it's good to work with other countries for a common purpose and Brexit would damage those prospects.
The only interesting point is that it demonstrates a divide that carries over to society at large. There is no consensus.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/10/03/parts-of-university-challenge-are-edited-when-students-cant-answ/
Clinton 1.385
Sanders 125
Biden 180
Kaine 585
Trump 4.05
Ryan 265
Pence 730
Implied probability of a winner who is neither Clinton nor Trump: 3.1%. I wonder what this will be after tomorrow's Wikipedia event and then the vice-presidential debate. Sanders may well reappear on Michael Dent's graph here.
* If he has a vote. I think he's originally Canadian.
https://t.co/JH0zt5skJN
I never gave Trump more than a 10% chance since the conventions, which is about the same I gave Owen Smith, yet he is still at 24% on Betfair even in the face of certain doom.
Of course it's purely anecdotal, but those people to represent a real (dare I say Brexit-like?) movement.
Le Pen
Sarkozy
Bayrou
Melechon
and
Macron
Could this be a new record?
Personal view: if Juppe is the Les Republicains candidate (and the polls give him a big second round lead over Sarkozy in the primary), then neither Macron nor Bayrou will run. Juppe will end up leading Le Pen by 4-5% in the first round and will walk the second. If Sarkozy edges out Juppe, then there could be three or four candidates in the mid to high teens duking it out for second place. Sarkozy has the edge... but only just.
Sadly Mr Hunt has said no more money for the NHS. That was just Leaver spin by Johnson. Just as well such a scoundrel has nothing to do with negotiating Brexit...
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-3817748/Jeremy-Hunt-Let-s-replace-foreign-doctors-homegrown-talent-Post-Brexit-Britain.html
Your patriotic bluster about sovereignty and self-governance will mean nothing in depressed economic times. Where I work I've been told tough decisions will be made in context with Brexit - job losses are expected. '
According to Nick Clegg 3 million job losses are expected ,but could be EU patriotic bluster.