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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Meet the new boss – what TMay’s first 60 days tell us abou

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    nunu said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    Oh my

    Jeremy Corbyn MP
    My thoughts are with those whose lives were shattered on 9/11/2001 - and in the wars and terror unleashed across the globe in its aftermath

    So?
    Seriously?
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    kle4 said:

    I notice that the Remoaners plan to flood Last Night of the Proms with thousands of EU flags was a resounding failure.

    Was that a real plan, or somebody online suggesting it?
    M

    Not sure 60 backers raising less than £20 is much of a story.


    Well 60 out of 16 million seems small to me!

    There were a few EU flags in the Hall on camera, it looked to be a ratio of more than 10 UK flags to every 1 EU. No EU flags noticed on camera at Hyde Park and Belfast.
    Thing is that there have always been EU flags there - and US, Canadian, Japanese and almost every other country under the sun. It is an International music festival and the flags were always encouraged to reflect that. I think the anti-Brexit crowd were deeply dumb to try and propose such a trick as it was meaningless against the background of the history of the Proms which have been both international and patriotic as long as I have been watching them.
    The BBC *hates* the Last Night of the Proms. They've been trying to scrap the tub-thumbing patriotic anthems for decades.

    Thankfully, last night's show was rather good. Particularly Rule Britannia, which brought the house down, and a proper conductor's speech which was about the music rather than left-wing identity politics.

    If some sore losers want to impotently wave a few blue-and-yellow flags in the crowd, and look like real tossers in so doing, then let them.

    They lost. We won.

    The BBC hates it so much it funds the whole thing, runs it on primetime TV on a Saturday night, organises events around it across the UK and delays Match of the Day util it ends.

    The BBC are happy to stage and show the event, providing it is used to promote their values: internationalism, diversity and modernity.

    It's its patriotic, jingoistic Britishness they despise.

    Anyway, you absolutely know this, but just feel a reflexive need to defend the BBC from attacks from the Right, so let's move on.

    I know what I watched on primetime BBC1 last night. I saw the BBC orchestra play patriotic songs, I heard the BBC choir sing them, I watched as BBC cameras showed union jacks being waved in various locations across the country. I am not sure why you are pretending this did not happen.

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    And we imported " Consent " via Sewell Motions in our devolution settlement. Devolved administrations have to offer or deny " legislative consent " if Westminster seeks to legislate in an area of their competence. When Carwyn Jones said they other day he wouldn't " consent " to a deal taking the UK out of the Single Market this is what he was hinting at. It was an implied threat to refuse " legislative consent " to repeal the European Communities Act 1972. Now Westminster is Soveriegn and can just amend the devolution settlements as well. Or it could fight a Supreme Court case arguing a devolved administration was acting ultra vires.
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    nunununu Posts: 6,024
    Don't all Sikh men carry a small blade as part of their religion? Over reaction I suspect.
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    And the Sennedd has been happy to test the waters on this. It recently denied Legislative Consent to some of the Tories Trade Union reforms despite not being asked to provide Legislative Consent. They tabled a LC motion then voted it down themselves. Westminster argued they didn't need LC and it was all heading for the Supreme Court. I don't know where the issue is at at the moment.
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    Clinton also using the anniversary to score cheap political points.

    http://edition.cnn.com/2016/09/11/politics/hillary-clinton-september-11/index.html
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    SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    edited September 2016
    Looks like the wedding guard of honour had a few too many before the ceremony....
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    kle4 said:

    I notice that the Remoaners plan to flood Last Night of the Proms with thousands of EU flags was a resounding failure.

    Was that a real plan, or somebody online suggesting it?
    M

    Not sure 60 backers raising less than £20 is much of a story.


    Well 60 out of 16 million seems small to me!

    There were a few EU flags in the Hall on camera, it looked to be a ratio of more than 10 UK flags to every 1 EU. No EU flags noticed on camera at Hyde Park and Belfast.


    Thankfully, last night's show was rather good. Particularly Rule Britannia, which brought the house down, and a proper conductor's speech which was about the music rather than left-wing identity politics.

    If some sore losers want to impotently wave a few blue-and-yellow flags in the crowd, and look like real tossers in so doing, then let them.

    They lost. We won.

    The BBC hates it so much it funds the whole thing, runs it on primetime TV on a Saturday night, organises events around it across the UK and delays Match of the Day util it ends.

    The BBC are happy to stage and show the event, providing it is used to promote their values: internationalism, diversity and modernity.

    It's its patriotic, jingoistic Britishness they despise.

    Anyway, you absolutely know this, but just feel a reflexive need to defend the BBC from attacks from the Right, so let's move on.

    I know what I watched on primetime BBC1 last night. I saw the BBC orchestra play patriotic songs, I heard the BBC choir sing them, I watched as BBC cameras showed union jacks being waved in various locations across the country. I am not sure why you are pretending this did not happen.

    It was fantastic last night wasn't it. I enjoyed the BBC's Demos building by including ' National ' songs from the parks events in Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland. The Welsh vocals were angelic.

    The number of European flags visible was just right as well. Enough to be noticable, not enough to have had highjacked it. I hope we see it seek into counter culture more now.
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,850
    nunu said:

    weejonnie said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    Jake Tapper
    New NBC/WSJ/Marist numbers
    likely voters
    AZ: Trump 42, Clinton 41
    GA: Trump 46, Clinton 43
    NV: Clinton 45, Trump 44
    NH: Clinton 42, Trump 41

    @jaketapper
    Among registered voters:
    AZ: HRC 41, Trump 40
    GA: Trump 44, HRC 44
    NV: HRC 46, Trump 41
    NH: HRC 40, Trump 40

    Can't we just say that at the moment it's pretty close in vote share BUT that Clinton has far more winning combinations of swing-state results than Trump due to her holding the North East and California so comfortably?
    Yes I say let's all stop posting about it until the first debate.
    Polls for Septmber show Clinton ahead by 2% on average. 2% is enough for quite a big win in the Electoral College.
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    And we imported " Consent " via Sewell Motions in our devolution settlement. Devolved administrations have to offer or deny " legislative consent " if Westminster seeks to legislate in an area of their competence. When Carwyn Jones said they other day he wouldn't " consent " to a deal taking the UK out of the Single Market this is what he was hinting at. It was an implied threat to refuse " legislative consent " to repeal the European Communities Act 1972. Now Westminster is Soveriegn and can just amend the devolution settlements as well. Or it could fight a Supreme Court case arguing a devolved administration was acting ultra vires.

    Or they could just state that the UK leaving the Single Market is entirely a Westminster area of competence and not a devolved one. Which it is.
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    Christopher Booker, of all people, gets the Single Market and why membership - not just full access - is so vital:
    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/09/10/the-three-brexiteers-are-overlooking-a-crucial-detail-on-trade/
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    Looks like the wedding guard of honour had a few too many before the ceremony....
    It could be worse - there was a graveside brawl at a funeral in my hometown between the widow and her mother in law....
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,897

    Clinton also using the anniversary to score cheap political points.

    http://edition.cnn.com/2016/09/11/politics/hillary-clinton-september-11/index.html

    These two give the impression that they couldn't read the eulogy at someone's funeral without finding an angle to attack their political opponent. Only 53 days of it left.
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    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    Glen O'Hara
    Funnily enough, this @SMFthinktank and @OpiniumResearch poll puts potential #Labour vote at c24%. Suggestive. https://t.co/WyrbARW6OA
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    That Booker article also shows why May is going to need to throw plenty of red meat to the Tory right before A50 is invoked.
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    Christopher Booker, of all people, gets the Single Market and why membership - not just full access - is so vital:
    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/09/10/the-three-brexiteers-are-overlooking-a-crucial-detail-on-trade/

    Because signing up to international agreements in our own right during the period between A50 and Leaving is clearly impossible isn't it. One wonders how new nations can ever exist if orderly transitions are impossible...
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    Christopher Booker, of all people, gets the Single Market and why membership - not just full access - is so vital:
    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/09/10/the-three-brexiteers-are-overlooking-a-crucial-detail-on-trade/

    Because signing up to international agreements in our own right during the period between A50 and Leaving is clearly impossible isn't it. One wonders how new nations can ever exist if orderly transitions are impossible...

    Yes, it is impossible. New nations are, by definition, not EU member states.

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    I can't remember who but someone once observed we could leave the EU in 13.5hrs. This being the length of time it took the Abdication Act to go through all it's stages. All are EU commitments are enacted by Westminster legislation so we can just do a single repeal bill. What ( nearly all ) Brexiteers confuse is the legal ability to do some and the likely disastrous consequences of speed. Saying something is incredibly complex isn't the same as saying it can't be done.
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    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    This looks like a hoot

    LBC
    One year into the reign of Jeremy Corbyn, @StigAbell takes a look back. Tune in from 3pm: https://t.co/4zu41YcSJD https://t.co/McNpPvAtYE
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    John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    edited September 2016

    That Booker article also shows why May is going to need to throw plenty of red meat to the Tory right before A50 is invoked.

    The WCO's strategic plan highlights that its key goal is to facilitate the ratification and implementation of the WTO Trade Facilitation Agreement (TFA, adopted in November 2014), which is a superset of the measures currently supported by the WCO. That TFA will come into complete effect once two-thirds of members ratify the agreement.

    https://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/tradfa_e/tradfa_e.htm#tradfac

    WCO strategic plan (TFA is strategic goal 1.2 on p11):

    http://bit.ly/2cNEY3K

    At this point, I just don't believe what journalists write on the topic, no matter whether they're Remain or Leave. Almost any treatment of newspaper column length is going to be grossly simplistic or inaccurate or both.

    We need to address our membership of the WTO. Pretty much everything hinges on that.
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,125
    Sandpit said:

    Clinton also using the anniversary to score cheap political points.

    http://edition.cnn.com/2016/09/11/politics/hillary-clinton-september-11/index.html

    These two give the impression that they couldn't read the eulogy at someone's funeral without finding an angle to attack their political opponent. Only 53 days of it left.
    Then four years of whoever is the winner, which is the more eye-rolling issue....
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,897

    Christopher Booker, of all people, gets the Single Market and why membership - not just full access - is so vital:
    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/09/10/the-three-brexiteers-are-overlooking-a-crucial-detail-on-trade/

    Definitely the most unlikely candidate, of all the journalists writing about how leaving the EU is going to be a disaster!
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    I can't remember who but someone once observed we could leave the EU in 13.5hrs. This being the length of time it took the Abdication Act to go through all it's stages. All are EU commitments are enacted by Westminster legislation so we can just do a single repeal bill. What ( nearly all ) Brexiteers confuse is the legal ability to do some and the likely disastrous consequences of speed. Saying something is incredibly complex isn't the same as saying it can't be done.

    True, but with us Leaving the EU there's significant overlap between people claiming it's incredibly complex and believing, despite the vote, that we shouldn't do it.
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    kle4 said:

    I notice that the Remoaners plan to flood Last Night of the Proms with thousands of EU flags was a resounding failure.

    Was that a real plan, or somebody online suggesting it?
    M

    Not sure 60 backers raising less than £20 is much of a story.


    Well 60 out of 16 million seems small to me!

    There were a few EU flags in the Hall on camera, it looked to be a ratio of more than 10 UK flags to every 1 EU. No EU flags noticed on camera at Hyde Park and Belfast.
    They lost. We won.

    The BBC hates it so much it funds the whole thing, runs it on primetime TV on a Saturday night, organises events around it across the UK and delays Match of the Day util it ends.

    The BBC are happy to stage and show the event, providing it is used to promote their values: internationalism, diversity and modernity.

    It's its patriotic, jingoistic Britishness they despise.

    Anyway, you absolutely know this, but just feel a reflexive need to defend the BBC from attacks from the Right, so let's move on.

    I know what I watched on primetime BBC1 last night. I saw the BBC orchestra play patriotic songs, I heard the BBC choir sing them, I watched as BBC cameras showed union jacks being waved in various locations across the country. I am not sure why you are pretending this did not happen.

    I am not sure why you are pretending my posts earlier today did not happen, when I said last night was one of the best in years. But that doesn't negate what I said. The BBC has been trying to scrap the patriotic hymns on-and-off since 1969 and would dearly love to do so:

    https://www.theguardian.com/music/2016/sep/07/from-the-classical-archive-1969-proms-ban-land-of-hope-and-glory-rule-britannia

    And this prat:

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3778782/Don-t-let-Brexit-rowdies-wreck-Proms-spirit-Ex-BBC-boss-warns-Little-Englanders-celebrating-poll-win.html

    The BBC continues to offer this (against its will) because it has to.

    But discussing the BBC with you is useless, as you are so blinkered.

    You are wrong.
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    Ishmael_XIshmael_X Posts: 3,664

    Christopher Booker, of all people, gets the Single Market and why membership - not just full access - is so vital:
    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/09/10/the-three-brexiteers-are-overlooking-a-crucial-detail-on-trade/

    A bit of instant expertise powered by Google suggests that the UK has been a member in its own right of the world customs organisation since 1952, and I cannot see what else is required to give us "separate aeo status". All we have to do is unilaterally state an intention to adopt the WCO SAFE framework, and that is all there is to it.
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,304

    I can't remember who but someone once observed we could leave the EU in 13.5hrs. This being the length of time it took the Abdication Act to go through all it's stages. All are EU commitments are enacted by Westminster legislation so we can just do a single repeal bill. What ( nearly all ) Brexiteers confuse is the legal ability to do some and the likely disastrous consequences of speed. Saying something is incredibly complex isn't the same as saying it can't be done.

    There was pre-vote, the "sticking plaster" option. ie add a line to every treaty to which we are a signatory saying words to the effect of: this treaty remains unaltered in its entirety subject to future UK legislation and negotiation.

    The theory being it would then give us the time and space to work out what we wanted and what we didn't want. Can't see the EU27, nor the UK electorate being 100% happy with it although it would allow us to leave, while kicking the can down the road of what leaving would ultimately look like.

    Sounds facile, but it came from quite a senior lawyer, albeit pre-vote, when ideas were more theoretical than necessarily practical.
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    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    Since it's barely getting a mention...

    GB Paralympics
    It's FOUR FROM FOUR.

    #gold for the mixed cox four! #Supercharge https://t.co/wpzNPGp90L
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    The treaty reads like they vote first, then the member states do the QMV vote.

    Really? How have you deduced that?
    "That agreement shall be negotiated in accordance with Article 218(3) of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union. It shall be concluded on behalf of the Union by the Council, acting by a qualified majority, after obtaining the consent of the European Parliament."

    OK, could that also not be a vote by the European Parliament to grant consent to negotiating an agreement, following which the European Council QMVs on it?

    On for the lawyers to argue over, perhaps.
    It could be but that would be exceedingly weird. Firstly if you meant you needed them to consent to conducting the negotiation rather than concluding it then why wouldn't you say so, and secondly, why would you give them the option of saying no, you can't negotiate an agreement, and what would happen if they used it?

    No need for lawyers here, it's obvious what it means.
    I don't think so. Bear in mind the drafting of the article was largely symbolic and never seriously thought through.

    I think it's extremely unlikely that the European Parliament would get first dibs on approving the deal, over and above the European Council that actually runs the show.
    British right-wingers have this weird denial about the European Parliament. They didn't believe the leader of the largest party would get to be Commission President either. The paragraph I quoted is perfectly clear, you really have to twist your brain into a weird shape to find any ambiguity in it.

    I think a challenge, if that happens, is all-but-inevitable, or the European Council will find some way round it where they sew up the substantial negotiations first.

    No, what'll happen is that the European Parliament will send their guy along to the negotiations, and he'll be in close contact with the main groups there, and they'll work out what they can all agree on. So it's unlikely to matter in what order they vote.
    Whereas Europhiles like you are wrong, about everything, and also insufferably pompous arrogant whilst you are being wrong.

    There is plenty of ambiguity in Article 50. We are about to find out just how it plays out and neither you, nor me, has any clue as to how it will.
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,125
    Freggles said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    tlg86 said:

    Charles said:

    Dr. Spyn, outrageous to expect the Shadow Foreign Secretary to know who the French Foreign Secretary is, They'll be expecting her to be able to point to France on a map next.

    [I'm assuming she's shadow foreign secretary. Can't remember, to be honest. But then, it's not my job].

    It's a silly game of gotcha.

    Her views on policy matter (to an extent). where she knows who the vice president if tajikistan is doesn't. In a situation where she needed to know (assuming she was in power) she would be briefed on the facts.
    Being Foreign Secretary is about building and maintaining good working relationships with your international colleagues. That involves knowing who they are!

    She should be engaged in conversations with her political friends in France - but she clearly isn't.

    Yes, it might feel like a silly game to some - but to me it is about being fully up to speed with your brief. Knowing who they key players are - even when you are in opposition.

    She clearly doesn't. She has been over-promoted and is clearly not up to the task.
    To be fair, she has had a number of different briefs in the past year!
    Yes - but she was going on to do a major interview with a big broadcaster. She should have been on top of the key issues. She wasn't and played the victim card. Pathetic.
    Mrs Bucket was hilariously bad - I had the TV on quietly whilst reading the papers. Caught my attention the moment she kicked off. I was glued. Everything about her tone is awful - that whole Don't You Know Who I Am manner when she doesn't know who anyone is... :lol:
    That's surprising because you're normally so impressed and convinced by Labour politicians
    So we should take it from your snide tone that you were impressed and convinced by Thornberry?

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    I find myself on the side of Colonel Bucket today (no relation). I'm sick and tired of these "pub quiz" questions by some of these smug interviewers, who have the answer in front of them. She probably could have handled it better but at least the question was only marginally better than "do you know the price of a bottle of milk?" I barely watch the news these days, everything is so dumbed-down.
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    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    Stig on LBC is very funny right now

    Massive piss taking and he's a Labour man
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    @Yellow Submarine:

    On further research, it seems to be a single vote of MEPs looking for a majority accept/reject verdict:

    "Consent procedure

    The procedure requires the European Parliament's consent to a proposed act, required under the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union, before certain decisions can be taken. It is based on a single vote on consent with the majority of votes cast. The European Parliament may accept or reject a proposed act and cannot amend it. Where the European Parliament does not give its consent, the act cannot be adopted.

    As a non-legislative procedure, it usually applies to the ratification of certain agreements negotiated by the EU, or is applicable most notably in the cases of serious breach of fundamental rights under Article 7 of the Treaty on European Union (TEU) or for the accession of new EU members or arrangements for the withdrawal from the EU.

    As a legislative procedure, it is to be used also when new legislation on combating discrimination is being adopted and it gives the European Parliament a veto when the subsidiary general legal basis is applied in line with Article 352 of the Treaty on the Functioning of the EU (TFEU)."

    Article 218 (to which Article 50 refers) implies it then goes to the European Council for a decision by QMV after.
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,897
    edited September 2016


    The treaty reads like they vote first, then the member states do the QMV vote.

    Really? How have you deduced that?
    OK, could that also not be a vote by the European Parliament to grant consent to negotiating an agreement, following which the European Council QMVs on it?

    On for the lawyers to argue over, perhaps.
    It could be but that would be exceedingly weird. Firstly if you meant you needed them to consent to conducting the negotiation rather than concluding it then why wouldn't you say so, and secondly, why would you give them the option of saying no, you can't negotiate an agreement, and what would happen if they used it?

    No need for lawyers here, it's obvious what it means.
    I don't think so. Bear in mind the drafting of the article was largely symbolic and never seriously thought through.

    I think it's extremely unlikely that the European Parliament would get first dibs on approving the deal, over and above the European Council that actually runs the show.
    British right-wingers have this weird denial about the European Parliament. They didn't believe the leader of the largest party would get to be Commission President either. The paragraph I quoted is perfectly clear, you really have to twist your brain into a weird shape to find any ambiguity in it.

    I think a challenge, if that happens, is all-but-inevitable, or the European Council will find some way round it where they sew up the substantial negotiations first.

    No, what'll happen is that the European Parliament will send their guy along to the negotiations, and he'll be in close contact with the main groups there, and they'll work out what they can all agree on. So it's unlikely to matter in what order they vote.
    Whereas Europhiles like you are wrong, about everything, and also insufferably pompous arrogant whilst you are being wrong.

    There is plenty of ambiguity in Article 50. We are about to find out just how it plays out and neither you, nor me, has any clue as to how it will.
    I'm still not sure I understand the role of the Parliament in the exit process, other than to formally note the request of the British government to leave and for the negotiations to start - the negotiations themselves then taking place at heads of government level.
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    kle4 said:

    I notice that the Remoaners plan to flood Last Night of the Proms with thousands of EU flags was a resounding failure.

    Was that a real plan, or somebody online suggesting it?
    M

    Not sure 60 backers raising less than £20 is much of a story.


    Well 60 out of 16 million seems small to me!

    There were a few EU flags in the Hall on camera, it looked to be a ratio of more than 10 UK flags to every 1 EU. No EU flags noticed on camera at Hyde Park and Belfast.
    They lost. We won.

    The BBC hates it so much it funds the whole thing, runs it on primetime TV on a Saturday night, organises events around it across the UK and delays Match of the Day util it ends.

    The BBC are happy to stage and show the event, providing it is used to promote their values: internationalism, diversity and modernity.

    It's its patriotic, jingoistic Britishness they despise.

    Anyway, you absolutely know this, but just feel a reflexive need to defend the BBC from attacks from the Right, so let's move on.

    I know what I watched onetending this did not happen.

    I am not sure why you are pretending my posts earlier today did not happen, when I said last night was one of the best in years. But that doesn't negate what I said. The BBC has been trying to scrap the patriotic hymns on-and-off since 1969 and would dearly love to do so:

    https://www.theguardian.com/music/2016/sep/07/from-the-classical-archive-1969-proms-ban-land-of-hope-and-glory-rule-britannia

    And this prat:

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3778782/Don-t-let-Brexit-rowdies-wreck-Proms-spirit-Ex-BBC-boss-warns-Little-Englanders-celebrating-poll-win.html

    The BBC continues to offer this (against its will) because it has to.

    But discussing the BBC with you is useless, as you are so blinkered.

    You are wrong.

    I wish I could be as unblinkered as you :-D

    We both saw the same thing last night on primetime BBC1. I am not sure why that upsets you so much.

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    The BEEB has the Colonel Bucket story:

    http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-37332287

    Not sure Pete Wishart will enjoy being called a Labour MP.....it's not like there too many of them to keep track of in Scotland...
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    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    Law enforcement source on Fox reporting Hillary faint and now left 911 memorial ceremony.
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    Ishmael_X said:

    Christopher Booker, of all people, gets the Single Market and why membership - not just full access - is so vital:
    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/09/10/the-three-brexiteers-are-overlooking-a-crucial-detail-on-trade/

    A bit of instant expertise powered by Google suggests that the UK has been a member in its own right of the world customs organisation since 1952, and I cannot see what else is required to give us "separate aeo status". All we have to do is unilaterally state an intention to adopt the WCO SAFE framework, and that is all there is to it.

    Instant expertise. That may be the problem.

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    Christopher Booker, of all people, gets the Single Market and why membership - not just full access - is so vital:
    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/09/10/the-three-brexiteers-are-overlooking-a-crucial-detail-on-trade/

    Because signing up to international agreements in our own right during the period between A50 and Leaving is clearly impossible isn't it. One wonders how new nations can ever exist if orderly transitions are impossible...

    Yes, it is impossible. New nations are, by definition, not EU member states.

    They also by definition are not a party to any other trade Treaties either.

    We can have an orderly transitions by signing Treaties to be formally deposited on the day we become Independent. Which is a more organised situation than some newly independent nations find themselves in.
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    I find myself on the side of Colonel Bucket today (no relation). I'm sick and tired of these "pub quiz" questions by some of these smug interviewers, who have the answer in front of them. She probably could have handled it better but at least the question was only marginally better than "do you know the price of a bottle of milk?" I barely watch the news these days, everything is so dumbed-down.

    I agree "Pub Quiz" interviews are tiresome - but the name of the French Foreign Minister is a pretty basic bit of knowledge someone on top of their brief should have. Then using "sexism" as a universal "get out of jail free I haven't done my homework" trivializes genuine sexism....
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    Ishmael_XIshmael_X Posts: 3,664

    Ishmael_X said:

    Christopher Booker, of all people, gets the Single Market and why membership - not just full access - is so vital:
    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/09/10/the-three-brexiteers-are-overlooking-a-crucial-detail-on-trade/

    A bit of instant expertise powered by Google suggests that the UK has been a member in its own right of the world customs organisation since 1952, and I cannot see what else is required to give us "separate aeo status". All we have to do is unilaterally state an intention to adopt the WCO SAFE framework, and that is all there is to it.

    Instant expertise. That may be the problem.

    Not good enough, answer the point please. What negotiations with whom in your view are required to give us "separate aeo status"?

    Booker also just plain wrong about the eea having WCO membership in its own right; the EU has a mutual recognition agreement with Norway, implying that Norway's eea membership dues not of itself imply such an agreement.
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    Good afternoon, everyone.

    Miss Plato, the Democrats appear to have chosen the decrepit over the socialist. And may end up losing to Trump.

    I am still entirely undecided over May, excepting that I think she's a better bet than Clinton, Trump or Corbyn by a clear distance.
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    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383

    Good afternoon, everyone.

    Miss Plato, the Democrats appear to have chosen the decrepit over the socialist. And may end up losing to Trump.

    I am still entirely undecided over May, excepting that I think she's a better bet than Clinton, Trump or Corbyn by a clear distance.

    Hillary apparently stumbled, lost a shoe at the curb and helped into minivan by aides. Leaving the 911 memorial ceremony for anything other than a dire family issue seems very odd.
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    Ishmael_XIshmael_X Posts: 3,664

    Good afternoon, everyone.

    Miss Plato, the Democrats appear to have chosen the decrepit over the socialist. And may end up losing to Trump.

    I am still entirely undecided over May, excepting that I think she's a better bet than Clinton, Trump or Corbyn by a clear distance.

    I really think it is too early to tell about May after 60 days 31 of which were in august. Things will be much clearer after the next 60.
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    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383

    I find myself on the side of Colonel Bucket today (no relation). I'm sick and tired of these "pub quiz" questions by some of these smug interviewers, who have the answer in front of them. She probably could have handled it better but at least the question was only marginally better than "do you know the price of a bottle of milk?" I barely watch the news these days, everything is so dumbed-down.

    I agree "Pub Quiz" interviews are tiresome - but the name of the French Foreign Minister is a pretty basic bit of knowledge someone on top of their brief should have. Then using "sexism" as a universal "get out of jail free I haven't done my homework" trivializes genuine sexism....
    Quite. It's her day job. 30mins on Wikipedia before the intv would have covered it and the other obvious questions likely to turn up from Dermot.
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    Miss Plato, I misread that as "Hitler apparently stumbled..." at first. It made your post considerably more ominous.
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    Oh, and for those who missed it before, another free Sir Edric story, by me:
    http://thaddeuswhite.weebly.com/writing-blog/sir-edric-and-the-wig

    If you like it, do give The Adventures of Sir Edric (a novel-sized book of two large stories) a look. May Zeno's pumpkin slippers be ever succulent.
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    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383

    Miss Plato, I misread that as "Hitler apparently stumbled..." at first. It made your post considerably more ominous.

    :lol:

    I still can't get over her Deplorables thing - it's beyond stupid. What an inept campaign and splurging money is getting her nowhere lead wise. I wonder what she'd be polling without it and the media support?
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    To be honest, Tim Kaine stepping into Hilary's shoes at this point would seal the election for the Dems.

    So, ideally, for the Republicans, she has to be "sickly" but not actually sick.
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    Miss Plato, the Establishment seems to be having a hard time addressing the fact a lot of people are unhappy with the status quo, have lost out under globalisation and are tired of being patronised or accused of bigotry when they express concerns about drastic levels of migration.

    We saw it here. 'Little Englanders', which most here called out as ridiculous but a few Remainers thought was very clever, is the most obvious example, but there was a lot more during the campaign. The absence of a positive case for the EU was stark.

    I wonder how the Italian referendum (which I think has been pushed back) and the Austrian election will go.
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    MrsBMrsB Posts: 574
    Taffys
    The EU are NOT about to grant visa free travel for Turkey. http://www.reuters.com/article/us-eu-turkey-visa-idUSKCN11F192
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    glwglw Posts: 9,549
    edited September 2016

    To be honest, Tim Kaine stepping into Hilary's shoes at this point would seal the election for the Dems.

    So, ideally, for the Republicans, she has to be "sickly" but not actually sick.

    I was listening to Dan Carlin's podcast, and he made the point that Clinton would be beaten by almost any normal Republican candidate, I think he used the phrase "standard operating procedure" to describe their normality. Similarly I think almost any other Democrat candidate bar Clinton and her baggage would thrash Trump.

    It's quite remarkable how poor and polarising the two candidates are. Mitt Romney doesn't look too bad now eh?
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    glwglw Posts: 9,549

    The absence of a positive case for the EU was stark.

    Trying to make a positive case for the EU is like listing the good things about spiders, at the end of the day they are still bleeding spiders.
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    Dove tails nicely with May's implied strategy http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-37332282
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    SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    edited September 2016
    New thread
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    NEW THREAD

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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited September 2016
    New CBS/Yougov polls, changes from last week.

    Ohio

    Hillary 46 nc
    Trump 39 -1
    Johnson 7
    Stein 2

    Florida

    Hillary 44 -1
    Trump 42 +2
    Johnson 5
    Stein 2

    Battleground states.

    Hillary 43 nc
    Trump 42 +1

    Pretty bad poll for Trump in Ohio, yougov always shows the largest Hillary leads in Ohio, at 7 points it's a new record.
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    And we imported " Consent " via Sewell Motions in our devolution settlement. Devolved administrations have to offer or deny " legislative consent " if Westminster seeks to legislate in an area of their competence. When Carwyn Jones said they other day he wouldn't " consent " to a deal taking the UK out of the Single Market this is what he was hinting at. It was an implied threat to refuse " legislative consent " to repeal the European Communities Act 1972. Now Westminster is Soveriegn and can just amend the devolution settlements as well. Or it could fight a Supreme Court case arguing a devolved administration was acting ultra vires.

    Whether Britain is or is not part of the European Union is not a devolved matter, it is a reserved matter ("reserved" being the Scottish settlement terminology, I think it is known differently in the Welsh legislation).
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    There's an interesting piece in today's Mail from Remain's Ad agency on this including an Ad they didn't run. The Guy lists the lack of a positive case as one reason for failure. Ditto James McGillroy of Remain and now of Open Britain writing in this week's New European.
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,850
    PlatoSaid said:

    Miss Plato, I misread that as "Hitler apparently stumbled..." at first. It made your post considerably more ominous.

    :lol:

    I still can't get over her Deplorables thing - it's beyond stupid. What an inept campaign and splurging money is getting her nowhere lead wise. I wonder what she'd be polling without it and the media support?

    Miss Plato, the Establishment seems to be having a hard time addressing the fact a lot of people are unhappy with the status quo, have lost out under globalisation and are tired of being patronised or accused of bigotry when they express concerns about drastic levels of migration.

    We saw it here. 'Little Englanders', which most here called out as ridiculous but a few Remainers thought was very clever, is the most obvious example, but there was a lot more during the campaign. The absence of a positive case for the EU was stark.

    I wonder how the Italian referendum (which I think has been pushed back) and the Austrian election will go.

    It's politics 101. Be rude about your opponents, by all means, but being rude about the voters does you no good. You win no prizes for getting high fives from those who are already committed to your cause.
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    And a new national Morning Consult poll:

    Hillary 44
    Trump 43

    Hillary 41
    Trump 39
    Johnson 10
    Stein 3

    https://morningconsult.com/2016/09/11/presidential-race-near-toss-among-likely-voters/
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    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    Does Kaine take over if Hillary is too ill to run?
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    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    Jennifer Epstein
    Clinton campaign says HRC felt "overheated" and went to Chelsea's apartment near Madison Square Park
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    kle4 said:

    I notice that the Remoaners plan to flood Last Night of the Proms with thousands of EU flags was a resounding failure.

    Was that a real plan, or somebody online suggesting it?
    ' Anti-Brexit campaigners are planning to flood the Last Night Of The Proms with thousands of EU flags following a controversial fundraising campaign.

    Some 60 backers have donated £1,175 on a Crowdfunder page to buy 5,000 blue EU flags which will be handed out at the annual event at the Royal Albert Hall on Saturday night. '

    http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/last-night-of-the-proms-anti-brexit-fundraising-campaign-launched-to-flood-event-with-5000-eu-flags_uk_57d26c64e4b0ac5a02ddda89

    Not sure 60 backers raising less than £20 is much of a story.

    You might not think so but the Guardian and Independent were getting excited beforehand:

    ' Pro-EU music lovers have been out in force since the early hours of Saturday at the Royal Albert Hall to hand out thousands of EU flags to concertgoers before the Last Night of the Proms. '

    https://www.theguardian.com/music/2016/sep/10/european-union-flags-handed-out-last-night-of-the-proms-brexit

    ' Campaigners are planning to fill the Royal Albert Hall with a sea of blue EU flags on the Last Night of the Proms as part of an anti-Brexit protest.

    Audience members at the BBC concert traditionally wave Union Jack flags in a display of patriotic revelry to well-known anthems such as Rule Britannia, Jerusalem and Land of Hope and Glory.

    But at this year’s event, which takes place on Saturday, volunteers will hand out 5,000 EU flags so concert-goers can “show UK solidarity with the EU”. '

    http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/last-night-of-the-proms-brexit-protest-eu-flags-bbc-albert-hall-crowdfunded-a7231546.html

    Well 60 out of 16 million seems small to me!

    There were a few EU flags in the Hall on camera, it looked to be a ratio of more than 10 UK flags to every 1 EU. No EU flags noticed on camera at Hyde Park and Belfast.
    Thing is that there have always been EU flags there - and US, Canadian, Japanese and almost every other country under the sun. It is an International music festival and the flags were always encouraged to reflect that. I think the anti-Brexit crowd were deeply dumb to try and propose such a trick as it was meaningless against the background of the history of the Proms which have been both international and patriotic as long as I have been watching them.
    Exactly.
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    theakestheakes Posts: 842
    Jo Biden for President with Elizabeth Warren the Vice candidate. Probably be announced this week. You heard it here!
This discussion has been closed.