politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The summer of political turmoil continues: A look back and

Keiran is joined by two specialist political pollsters: Katy Owen, formerly a Senior Project Manager at Survation and now Programme Manager at Common Vision and Adam Drummond, Head of Political Polling at Opinium.
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https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/758453324588908544
Goodnight.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/labour-leadership-election-owen-smith-jeremy-corbyn-theresa-may-smash-back-on-hells-a7158131.html
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/jul/27/corbyn-campaign-criticises-owen-smith-for-smashing-theresa-may-remark
http://www.politics.co.uk/blogs/2016/07/27/owen-smith-s-smash-back-on-her-heels-gaffe-shows-why-he-is-l
http://www.270towin.com
http://www.270towin.com
https://nevertrump.com
Only 53,000 have pledged Never Trump, whereas Never Hillary has 131,000 pledges.
http://fortune.com/2016/07/27/donald-trump-not-releasing-taxes/
On a roll!
Walker did well there to win two elections and a recall, but if you recall, it was an ABT state. I think it is highly likely to go Hillary, but would not be outrageously shocked if it went to Trump.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Secret_Service_codename
Farronism sweeping the nation!
Also replacing dwp with a Work ministry. That implies that you will be working until you are dead as the only word removed from the department name isn't what he thinks it is but pensions.
And this is the best the PLPs only hope can come up with after 3 weeks
Almost put me off going.
I live in a ward that votes 80%+ Con/UKIP.
Where are all these unwashed soap-Dodgers/ champagne socialists coming from?
It's quite strong on Christian themes, hardly oozes political correctness and is ultimately about restoring the rightful monarchy to the throne.
What a choice.
I'm not saying it will have a major affect or is a good policy but there is plenty of research on the massive psychological and practical differences of going from nothing to something when it comes to costs.
Wow. Cutting, but brilliant.
Britain Elects @britainelects 7h7 hours ago
Totnes (South Hams) result:
LDEM: 44.2% (+22.6)
GRN: 27.1% (-14.4)
IND: 21.3% (+21.3)
CON: 7.4% (-9.9)
Labour didn't stand.
The DNC voicemail leaks
https://wikileaks.org/dnc-emails/?file=mp3&count=50#searchresult
What we should be worried about is why there is a shortage of middle income jobs outside of large cities. Or perhaps why we're not teaching young 'uns a trade.
Bring back secondary moderns!
Delaware - News Journal/Publc Mind - Clinton 42 .. Trump 32
Vermont - Vermont Public Radio - Clinton 39 .. Trump 17
Oregon - Clout Research - Clinton 43 .. Trump 40
Because Burnham was going to win the Labojr leadership....
So as I said a 1 hour contract doesn't fix anything. Something that allows people to not be regularly restricted to 14-16 hour weeks (as many are due to a combination of benefit rules and the flexibility 3-4 part-time staff offer companies compared to 1 full time employee) would be far better for those trapped in such scenarios...
Where a commuting town exists, isn't it the case that local wages are usually close to the appropriate city wage less commuting costs....
Sad .. very sad ...
On the question of zero hours and, for that matter, rising self-employment, surely the Brexit vote should give pause to those who assured us these were as good as proper jobs (and make Labour wonder why its support is in decline).
Given the growth of the Internet that allows provincial upstarts like me to compete with dealers in Mayfair premises, you'd think this trend would start to go into reverse...
And would those households be better off if the job didn't exist. ZHCs are not replaced by 40 hour per week jobs. They're replaced by zero jobs.
Momentum are paying people online to write positive comments about Corbyn on Twitter and Facebook.
Miss Politics @Pooolitics 15m15 minutes ago
Many people earning £100 to £200 per month posting about Corbyn on social media.
Also while next door is a competitor, it's likely you have friends with similar interests there so its where you prefer to be...
Great A'Tuin is a turtle. So what if it has four World Elephants and a disc-shaped world on top of it? It's still a turtle, of the species Chelys galactica. Nobody knows where it goes, or why, except probably Great A'Tuin itself. Its gender is unknown too, even though a space ship has been built to go and have a look. It has been known to alter its course to avoid meteorite hits, and even to snap at them with its beak or send them away with its flippers; whereas on less sensibly-designed worlds people have to rely on Bruce Willis.
http://wiki.lspace.org/mediawiki/Great_A'Tuin
Trump might take Pennsylvania, Ohio and Michigan and still lose 278-260.
Trump would need to flip Iowa+New Hampshire or one of the following - New Jersey, Wisconsin or Virginia. Colorado would tie the race at 269 each.
Florida is key. A Trump win there opens up multiple paths whereas a "Rust Belt Strategy" is not enough.
http://www.270towin.com/
http://www.taxresearch.org.uk/Blog/2016/07/28/is-clive-lewis-really-saying-labour-is-looking-at-a-revolutionary-future/
#boycottbyron
Nah, it'd be easy. Hell, people here even have implicitly been nicer to him by suggesting Owen is actually worse.
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2016/jul/27/immigration-raid-on-byron-hamburgers-rounds-up-30-workers
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Turtle
For that matter, the world of Game of Thrones/A Song of Ice and Fire is, I think, concave.
Mr. kle4, I really like it too [although it does hold the record for the longest gap between me buying books in a series. About 16 years between Dragonwing and Elven Star]. A character in my WIP got the name Hugh after Hugh the Hand.
This is a profound change.