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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A year after his unlikely candidature Trump looks set to fi
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A year after his unlikely candidature Trump looks set to finalise the nomination
Because so much has happened in British politics over the past couple of months we have hardly looked at the White House which looks set to be bwtween Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton.
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I am told #labour NEC can't overturn decisions for three months so the £25 Supporters fee and six month membership freeze applies
Incidentally, I'm in Chicago right now, meeting a fair few mostly college-educated friends, and I've yet to meet a single Trump supporter, or even someone who is relatively indifferent. And of all of them, those who have British friends say I'm the only person who voted Leave that they know. What OGH says about the affinities between Trump and Leave are borne out amongst my American friends. (Not that I'd vote Trump were I American as it happens).
Greens might do ok in some states if the young Berners move across.
https://twitter.com/hermannhauser/status/755008815553273858
Pence is about as disagreeable a mainstream politician as I've ever known.
I have just read your article on the discontented. A very good analysis on the world economic demographics and skills base.
The key point that struck me is that the skills base of the U.K. is going to be fundamental going forwards, assuming an internationalist agenda. To my mind that is a generational challenge and not solvable within one parliamentary term (see current status of the Gove reforms).
This challenge requires a change of approach, a change of culture and a change in mindset across the whole population. Is Justine up to the job?
(PS I would check the UK CGT rate; the highest CGT rate has not been 18% since Gordon.)
Non apology of the year then...
https://twitter.com/bbcnews/status/755020761966997505
https://twitter.com/GideonSkinner/status/754999064350093312
half of that statement is right
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=fgRZmHXEIZo
Amazing how easy it is to commit £200bn on multi-year infrastructure projects.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hermann_Hauser
(Also, it's Robin Saxby, not Hermann Hauser, who deserves the credit for making ARM a world leader).
“ I know you think you understand what you thought I
saidtweeted but I'm not sure you realize that what youheardread is not what I meant”Hat tip and with apologies to Mr. A. Greenspan
Trump is doing the Farage piece of LEAVE. He's not doing the Boris/Gove/Gisela/Leadsom/Corbyn piece of Leave.
Which is probably why we won't win.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1jOJl8gRPyQ
https://xkcd.com/1122/
(I was working for Acorn at the time. Therefore I was some of the 'dead weight'. Ahem)
Incidentally, this is amusing, especially (in the light of current events) the last paragraph on page 3:
https://community.arm.com/servlet/JiveServlet/previewBody/10926-102-1-22184/ARM_1st_Press_Release.pdf
How do other people have their betting books shaped right now:
My POTUS book consists of the following makeup at fair value:
21.4% Clinton
0% G Johnson
81.4% Trump
0.3% Stein
-1.8% Other
-1.4% Sanders
1996 'No Democrat incumbent without combat experience has beaten someone who's first name is worth more in Scrabble'
Finally got round to donating a small sum. I'd give more, but that would require an explanation with an accompanying violin solo.
http://www.liliangreenwood.co.uk/lilian_s_speech_to_nottingham_south_labour_party_members
"On 4 January – a cold dark Monday morning – I was at Kings Cross at 7am doing Radio 5 and BBC TV. Standing with Jeremy and the Rail Union General Secretaries for the media photocall. It was a crucial day in the Party’s media grid. And all across the country local party activists were outside railway stations in the cold and the dark, leafleting commuters with the materials we’d prepared. Armed with the briefings and statistics.
Incredibly, Jeremy launched a Shadow Cabinet reshuffle on the same day... The reshuffle that meant all our staff spent Christmas not knowing whether they'd have a job by the New Year."
"I’ve been one of HS2’s strongest supporters so I when I took up the job in Jeremy’s Shadow Cabinet I wanted to be absolutely sure we were on the same page. I met his Director of Policy to talk it through. ... It had been very difficult. I'd been to visit several times, meeting residents and businesses and dealing with some hostile media. But we secured real concessions – changes that will make a difference to local residents. It didn’t matter that it was in a nominally safe seat. It was the right thing to do.
Despite our agreed policy, despite Jeremy's Director of Policy and I agreeing our position, without saying anything to me, Jeremy gave a press interview in which he suggested he could drop Labour’s support for HS2 altogether. He told a journalist on a local Camden newspaper that perhaps the HS2 line shouldn’t go to Euston at all but stop at Old Oak Common in West London – but he never discussed any of this with the Shadow Cabinet, or me, beforehand."
"Breaking the principles of collective responsibility and discipline without which effective Parliamentary opposition is not possible. When I raised my concerns it was simply shrugged off. It undermined me in front of colleagues and made me look weak.It made me feel like I was wasting my time. That my opinion didn't matter. And it made me miserable.
I'd discuss it with my political adviser, a Labour Party member of staff and activist from Nottingham who has also lost his job in all this, and we'd agree to go on because the policy mattered. Because we wanted to keep holding the Government to account. Because we love the Labour Party.
This didn't happen once or twice. It happened time and time again."
Russia took part in 'widespread state-sponsored doping'
Posted at
14:11
Evidence of widespread state-sponsored doping by Russian athletes at the Sochi Olympics has been confirmed by the McLaren Report.
The independent report was commissioned by the World Anti-Doping Agency.
It's mostly about x86 microprocessors, but it still staggeringly informative and interesting.
White Working Class voters are more numerous as a proportion of the whole in the UK than the US, but Trump will likely win a higher proportion of them than Leave did.
This was right before the huge explosion in novel CPU core designs triggered by the smartphone era.
There are alot of votes out there for grabs.
It'll be interesting to see how the knowledge I've sucked up over the years matches what's in it. Although having a wife who works in chip design helps.
Incidentally, I learnt lots of stuff from the old Byte magazines. I had access to every copy, and the early copies explained concepts such as pipelining and branch prediction really well. Probably because they were basic back then.
https://www.jerrypournelle.com/chaosmanor/
To make a connection with another off-topic post, Pournelle was heavily involved with the DC-X Clipper, the first vertical take-off and landing rocket from the 1990s that could be said to have inspired SpaceX.
And it was written by Jon Stokes.
Sonia Kruger Verified account
@SoniaKruger
"Following the atrocities of last week in Nice where 10 children lost their lives, as a mother, I believe it's vital in a democratic society to be able to discuss these issues without automatically being labelled a racist."
Take pipelining: the concept of doing several things at once to avoid bottlenecks. Whilst the basic fetch-decode-execute three-stage pipeline has been replaced with pipelines of tens or twenties of stages, the concept of pipelines their advantages and disadvantages remains the same.
Likewise branch speculation/prediction and execution.
They're more complex, but the fundamentals are the same. As far as I know; Mrs J works in the analogue world.
It was however a badly structured apology.
The ARmv8 ISA has > 100 instructions.
Both ARM and x86-64 CPUs have microcode engines, with micro- and macro-op fusion. The terms ceased to have any meaning a long time ago.
When Hannibal wrote the book, CPU design was all about optimising single threaded performance. Now CPU designs are all about power efficiency.
In the last five years Intel have dedicated almost none of the transistor budget afforded by Moore's Law to improving single threaded performance. On the contrary, it's all been about first moving the chipset on board. (IOMMU, GPU, South Bridge, PCH, cache).
That should be a very sobering fact for the party, but isn't.
Is there any significance to the 3 way split in the labour party over the Trident vote? I don't understand why Corbyn is voting against but Thornberry and Lewis (both close allies) are saying to Abstain instead.
Is Corbyn really so incompotent that amongst his own Politburo there is a division over this? Corbynistas vs Thornberries
If they could find a candidate to reach out to right wing Hispanics that wouldn't be a problem, but Trump is not that candidate.
Christopher Miles3 years ago
Anyone interested in this VTVL tech should google Space X's Grasshopper program. Space X is coming on fast with the goal that all stages might one day be reusable.
That woman may be railing wrongly against Schengen but she is right to rail against governments who have failed in their most elementary duty: to determine who is let into the country, in what numbers and that those who are let in are an asset to the country they are joining.
Sure many terrorists are French citizens but they are so because their parents were let in. So the question still arises: if this is what happens to the next generation of those coming from certain areas of the world, should we continue to let such people in? It's not as if terrorism was unknown in 2005, even in France.
That woman's cry is a cry of pain and rage against authorities who have allowed a country's hospitality and openness to be abused and the price is paid in the crushed bodies of children on a sea front in summer.
Wells Fargo makes big long term commitment to London...