politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » As the polls close Nigel Farage says Remain will edge it bu

Comments

• david_herdson Posts: 18,229

  June 2016

  That'll shift the markets. Back leave.

  0
• david_herdson Posts: 18,229

  June 2016

  oldpolitics said:

  david_herdson said:

  weejonnie said:

  david_herdson said:

  Worth remembering when Sunderland declares that UKIP won about 20% across the three seats last year.

  And Labour got 50% - pro remain. Your point?

  The point is that UKIP's share there was half as high again as their national share. Yes, Labour's was too but I'd regard the UKIP share as more indicative of an areas innate Euroscepticism than Labour's.

  Isn't UKIP share in very Labour areas at least partly indicative of people's unwillingness to entertain voting Conservative?

  To an extent yes, but only to an extent - I'd take some of it at face value. I'd suggest Leave at 57-58 might be about par there.

  0
• NickPalmer Posts: 21,687

  June 2016

  The Betfair 3ish for Leave winning England looks potentially interesting.

  0