politicalbetting
Home› General

Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

Sign In Register

Categories

politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » As the polls close Nigel Farage says Remain will edge it bu

SystemSystem Posts: 12,358
edited June 2016 in General

imagepoliticalbetting.com » Blog Archive » As the polls close Nigel Farage says Remain will edge it but turnout is expected to be high

UKIP leader Nigel Farage says it "looks like 'Remain' will edge it" #EUref

Read the full story here


«1345678

Comments

  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,282
    First :)
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    NeilVW said:

    FrankBooth said:

    John Curtice lying!

    Claims that the exit poll was correct last year.

    Prediction: Hung parliament
    Result: Conservative majority.

    Incorrect - the projection was Conservatives: Largest Party. Neither a hung parliament nor a majority was predicted.
    Yes -- John Curtice said at the time that the "upper range" of the exit poll projections pointed to a small Tory majority. 316 seats was just the midpoint of their projections.
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    BBC says Newcastle turnout is about 68-70%.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    FPT:

    Private UKIP exit poll shows Leave victory apparently.
  • alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    Who are Leave.Eu claiming carried out their poll?
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,897
    Does the fact that a lot of students would have been registered to vote in Newcastle and are no longer in the city make a difference to the turnout?
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,282
    BF into 8.4
  • WandererWanderer Posts: 3,838
    I guess the point about the Save Dave letter is that if he has the support of 84 Leavers then there's no point trying to 22 him as he'd win the vote of confidence easily (and then you've shot your bolt).
  • LowlanderLowlander Posts: 941
    My head is already getting sore from BBC on the TV, Sky News in a window, while flicking between here, oddschecker and twitter.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,173
    Danny565 said:

    BBC says Newcastle turnout is about 68-70%.

    No wonder Robert's opening the Amarone....
  • ArtistArtist Posts: 1,893
    Sandwell council:

    Jan Britton ‏@janbritton 30s31 seconds ago
    Ballot boxes are arriving. Counting process has begun. Turnout looks like it's healthy but not as high as the 75% I predicted this morning.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,148
    alex. said:

    Who are Leave.Eu claiming carried out their poll?

    Aaron Banks himself. He went round and asked 10,000 people.

    Okay Sarcasm off but he just really annoys me.
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    Lowlander said:

    My head is already getting sore from BBC on the TV, Sky News in a window, while flicking between here, oddschecker and twitter.

    I'm just watching the Open qualifiers for the DOTA 2 International, iplayer and here.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,282
    edited June 2016
    Richard_Tyndall said:

    alex. said:

    Who are Leave.Eu claiming carried out their poll?

    Aaron Banks himself. He went round and asked 10,000 people.

    Okay Sarcasm off but he just really annoys me.
    Only ten thousand? Labour managed a couple of mil.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,998
    I made it. Got into the station at 9.47. Ran to the car, broke every speed limit and got there as they were preparing to close down. I was the second last in; the last person was also a late train casualty and also Remain.

    Very pleased to have taken part!
  • WandererWanderer Posts: 3,838
    Richard_Tyndall said:

    alex. said:

    Who are Leave.Eu claiming carried out their poll?

    Aaron Banks himself. He went round and asked 10,000 people.

    Okay Sarcasm off but he just really annoys me.
    With the small exception of EU membership I agree with you on many points :)
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,188
    alex. said:

    Who are Leave.Eu claiming carried out their poll?

    In the past they've used Survation
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,282
    SouthamObserver said:

    I made it. Got into the station at 9.47. Ran to the car, broke every speed limit and got there as they were preparing to close down. I was the second last in; the last person was also a late train casualty and also Remain.

    Very pleased to have taken part!

    Yeaaaaahhhhhhh!!!!!
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    SouthamObserver said:

    I made it. Got into the station at 9.47. Ran to the car, broke every speed limit and got there as they were preparing to close down. I was the second last in; the last person was also a late train casualty and also Remain.

    Very pleased to have taken part!

    Good for you, democracy in action :).
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,173
    SouthamObserver said:

    I made it. Got into the station at 9.47. Ran to the car, broke every speed limit and got there as they were preparing to close down. I was the second last in; the last person was also a late train casualty and also Remain.

    Very pleased to have taken part!

    Well done SO
  • glwglw Posts: 10,254
    edited June 2016
    Wanderer said:

    I guess the point about the Save Dave letter is that if he has the support of 84 Leavers then there's no point trying to 22 him as he'd win the vote of confidence easily (and then you've shot your bolt).

    Call me cynical but I wouldn't be surprised if there is some quid pro quo for that letter.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,188
    SouthamObserver said:

    I made it. Got into the station at 9.47. Ran to the car, broke every speed limit and got there as they were preparing to close down. I was the second last in; the last person was also a late train casualty and also Remain.

    Very pleased to have taken part!

    That has cheered me up no end.
  • alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    edited June 2016
    SouthamObserver said:

    I made it. Got into the station at 9.47. Ran to the car, broke every speed limit and got there as they were preparing to close down. I was the second last in; the last person was also a late train casualty and also Remain.

    Very pleased to have taken part!

    Let's hope you've just saved SeanT's flat! :)
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,022
    Danny565 said:

    NeilVW said:

    FrankBooth said:

    John Curtice lying!

    Claims that the exit poll was correct last year.

    Prediction: Hung parliament
    Result: Conservative majority.

    Incorrect - the projection was Conservatives: Largest Party. Neither a hung parliament nor a majority was predicted.
    Yes -- John Curtice said at the time that the "upper range" of the exit poll projections pointed to a small Tory majority. 316 seats was just the midpoint of their projections.
    Come off it, we can all make projections! Presumably if you go far enough - standard deviations or whatever - they would have been projecting a Labour win! I'm not being facetious, they did a decent job, but they were 13 seats short for the Tories. 2010 was more accurate I think.
  • WandererWanderer Posts: 3,838
    SouthamObserver said:

    I made it. Got into the station at 9.47. Ran to the car, broke every speed limit and got there as they were preparing to close down. I was the second last in; the last person was also a late train casualty and also Remain.

    Very pleased to have taken part!

    Well done sir!
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,148
    SouthamObserver said:

    I made it. Got into the station at 9.47. Ran to the car, broke every speed limit and got there as they were preparing to close down. I was the second last in; the last person was also a late train casualty and also Remain.

    Very pleased to have taken part!

    Brilliant mate. I know you voted for the other side and if you win by one vote I will never talk to you again. :-)

    But still glad you got to take part given how much it means to us all.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,188
    https://twitter.com/benatipsosmori/status/746092253228183552
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,143
    Pleased to hear that SouthamObserver's vote will count!
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,173
    glw said:

    Wanderer said:

    I guess the point about the Save Dave letter is that if he has the support of 84 Leavers then there's no point trying to 22 him as he'd win the vote of confidence easily (and then you've shot your bolt).

    Call me cynical but I wouldn't be surprised if there is some quid pro quo for that letter.
    Osborne gone?

    Heres hoping
  • JennyFreemanJennyFreeman Posts: 488
    Richard_Tyndall said:

    SouthamObserver said:

    I made it. Got into the station at 9.47. Ran to the car, broke every speed limit and got there as they were preparing to close down. I was the second last in; the last person was also a late train casualty and also Remain.

    Very pleased to have taken part!

    Brilliant mate. I know you voted for the other side and if you win by one vote I will never talk to you again. :-)

    But still glad you got to take part given how much it means to us all.
    hear hear

    lovely to see democracy matter like that. well done southam
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    edited June 2016
    @DPJHodges: ITV reporting Nigel Farage has un-conceded.
  • saddenedsaddened Posts: 2,245
    Richard_Tyndall said:

    alex. said:

    Who are Leave.Eu claiming carried out their poll?

    Aaron Banks himself. He went round and asked 10,000 people.

    Okay Sarcasm off but he just really annoys me.
    I know it's incredibly shallow, but the personalities involved, on both sides, have really affected my decision making on this vote.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,282
    Scott_P said:

    @DPJHodges: ITV reporting Nigel Farage has un-coneded.

    titter
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    SouthamObserver said:

    I made it. Got into the station at 9.47. Ran to the car, broke every speed limit and got there as they were preparing to close down. I was the second last in; the last person was also a late train casualty and also Remain.

    Very pleased to have taken part!

    Great news!
  • glwglw Posts: 10,254
    Scott_P said:

    @DPJHodges: ITV reporting Nigel Farage has un-coneded.

    FFS Nigel!
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,742
    Richard_Tyndall said:

    alex. said:

    Who are Leave.Eu claiming carried out their poll?

    Aaron Banks himself. He went round and asked 10,000 people.

    Okay Sarcasm off but he just really annoys me.
    Yes if we never hear from him again it will be too soon. A split leave campaign was unnecessary and unhelpful. Prat.
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    glw said:

    Wanderer said:

    I guess the point about the Save Dave letter is that if he has the support of 84 Leavers then there's no point trying to 22 him as he'd win the vote of confidence easily (and then you've shot your bolt).

    Call me cynical but I wouldn't be surprised if there is some quid pro quo for that letter.
    The conservatives have somehow to contrive to run this country for the next four years. There has to be olive branches all round. Mind you, they can slap each other's backs all they like. The North remembers.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,556
    fpt
    SeanT said:

    TOPPING said:

    SeanT said:

    I wonder if we may see an indyref result, where exceptional turnout surprisingly favoured NO, as quiet loyalists showed up and voted.

    I think quiet middle classes and lower middle classes have come out and surprisingly favoured IN, because Project Fear.

    Why do you think that the middle classes and lower middle classes succumbed to Project Fear, while you were able to see through it all?

    You should be writing in The Guardian with sentiments like that.
    Because I am richer than them and I can withstand the financial loss. .
    So it wasn't Project Fear. It was a perfectly feasible outcome.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,047
    Gibs may be massive Remainers (shame) but I did enjoy Fabian Picardo slagging off the Spanish as "crackpots".
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @jimwaterson: YouGov crosstabs seem to confirm we're set for a victory of higher educated and young over less educated and old. https://t.co/8kKythbeR1
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,756
    SouthamObserver said:

    I made it. Got into the station at 9.47. Ran to the car, broke every speed limit and got there as they were preparing to close down. I was the second last in; the last person was also a late train casualty and also Remain.

    Very pleased to have taken part!

    Irresponsible rich criminal votes Remain :-)
  • welshowlwelshowl Posts: 4,464
    Got to get up at 5.00.

    To sleep perchance to dream or once more unto the breach? Ay there's the rub.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,959
    If remain wins by 1, first time you will hear people complaining about not enough leaves on the line ;-)
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,003
    glw said:

    Scott_P said:

    @DPJHodges: ITV reporting Nigel Farage has un-coneded.

    FFS Nigel!
    Its a good job he managed to stay in his box for a while.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 42,961
    Fpt

    My partner was manning a polling station in west end of Glasgow, turnout 66%, which is considerably higher than at the Holyrood election.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,047
    SouthamObserver said:

    I made it. Got into the station at 9.47. Ran to the car, broke every speed limit and got there as they were preparing to close down. I was the second last in; the last person was also a late train casualty and also Remain.

    Very pleased to have taken part!

    Well done, SO.
  • tysontyson Posts: 6,120
    AndyJS said:

    SouthamObserver said:

    I made it. Got into the station at 9.47. Ran to the car, broke every speed limit and got there as they were preparing to close down. I was the second last in; the last person was also a late train casualty and also Remain.

    Very pleased to have taken part!

    Great news!
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    SouthamObserver said:

    I made it. Got into the station at 9.47. Ran to the car, broke every speed limit and got there as they were preparing to close down. I was the second last in; the last person was also a late train casualty and also Remain.

    Very pleased to have taken part!

    That has cheered me up no end.
    I see Hugh Grant playing the role.......

  • MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584

    SouthamObserverParticipant.
  • ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133
    Danny565 said:

    NeilVW said:

    FrankBooth said:

    John Curtice lying!

    Claims that the exit poll was correct last year.

    Prediction: Hung parliament
    Result: Conservative majority.

    Incorrect - the projection was Conservatives: Largest Party. Neither a hung parliament nor a majority was predicted.
    Yes -- John Curtice said at the time that the "upper range" of the exit poll projections pointed to a small Tory majority. 316 seats was just the midpoint of their projections.
    Five Live said before the numbers were given that the margin of error was 20 seats.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,998
    Richard_Tyndall said:

    SouthamObserver said:

    I made it. Got into the station at 9.47. Ran to the car, broke every speed limit and got there as they were preparing to close down. I was the second last in; the last person was also a late train casualty and also Remain.

    Very pleased to have taken part!

    Brilliant mate. I know you voted for the other side and if you win by one vote I will never talk to you again. :-)

    But still glad you got to take part given how much it means to us all.

    You are a gentleman, Mr Tyndall.

  • WandererWanderer Posts: 3,838
    This is what I have been trying to say

    https://twitter.com/philipjcowley/status/746092700915613697
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,148
    glw said:

    Scott_P said:

    @DPJHodges: ITV reporting Nigel Farage has un-coneded.

    FFS Nigel!
    F#cking awesome!!!!

    Just when you thought he couldn't get any more ludicrous.
  • JennyFreemanJennyFreeman Posts: 488
    if it's true that 'working class' areas voted in droves anyone else nervous now for remain's position?
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,742
    glw said:

    Scott_P said:

    @DPJHodges: ITV reporting Nigel Farage has un-coneded.

    FFS Nigel!
    Has he stood down and been reselected as leader again yet?
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @BBCVickiYoung: Dozens of Tory MPs sign letter supporting Cameron. Talking to many in last week they were backing PM but gunning for Osborne. #euref
  • glwglw Posts: 10,254
    John_M said:

    The conservatives have somehow to contrive to run this country for the next four years. There has to be olive branches all round. Mind you, they can slap each other's backs all they like. The North remembers.

    Yeah I won't be voting for them unless there are some big changes.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,959
    Hasn't nigel got a dinner with a family member to go to?
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,556
    SouthamObserver said:

    I made it. Got into the station at 9.47. Ran to the car, broke every speed limit and got there as they were preparing to close down. I was the second last in; the last person was also a late train casualty and also Remain.

    Very pleased to have taken part!

    fpt

    Well done! You have IMO made a fantastic contribution to the debate on here.
  • AramintaMoonbeamQCAramintaMoonbeamQC Posts: 3,872
    Parochial Scottish Coverage Alert: STV suggesting Moray and D & G may vote Leave.

    (sparsely populated, though).
  • LowlanderLowlander Posts: 941
    Scott_P said:

    @jimwaterson: YouGov crosstabs seem to confirm we're set for a victory of higher educated and young over less educated and old. https://t.co/8kKythbeR1

    That does not tally with the turnout reports we're getting from WWC areas.
  • welshowlwelshowl Posts: 4,464
    SouthamObserver said:

    I made it. Got into the station at 9.47. Ran to the car, broke every speed limit and got there as they were preparing to close down. I was the second last in; the last person was also a late train casualty and also Remain.

    Very pleased to have taken part!

    Good man. Democracy rules.
  • nunununu Posts: 6,024
    Theuniondivvie said:

    Fpt

    My partner was manning a polling station in west end of Glasgow, turnout 66%, which is considerably higher than at the Holyrood election.

    And considerably lower the Indy ref.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 53,990
    glw said:

    Scott_P said:

    @DPJHodges: ITV reporting Nigel Farage has un-coneded.

    FFS Nigel!
    He has form.....
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @DPJHodges: Watch what happens to Twitter/betting markets/£ when first NE results declare. Will be strongly for Leave.

    Kerching!!
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,420
    Richard_Tyndall said:

    glw said:

    Scott_P said:

    @DPJHodges: ITV reporting Nigel Farage has un-coneded.

    FFS Nigel!
    F#cking awesome!!!!

    Just when you thought he couldn't get any more ludicrous.
    Don't worry, the voting is over, he can do no more damage!
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    JennyFreeman said:

    if it's true that 'working class' areas voted in droves anyone else nervous now for remain's position?

    Sadly, already too tipsy to care one way or another.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,672
    Scott_P said:

    @BBCVickiYoung: Dozens of Tory MPs sign letter supporting Cameron. Talking to many in last week they were backing PM but gunning for Osborne. #euref

    #OsborneOut
  • nunununu Posts: 6,024
    SouthamObserver said:

    Richard_Tyndall said:

    SouthamObserver said:

    I made it. Got into the station at 9.47. Ran to the car, broke every speed limit and got there as they were preparing to close down. I was the second last in; the last person was also a late train casualty and also Remain.

    Very pleased to have taken part!

    Brilliant mate. I know you voted for the other side and if you win by one vote I will never talk to you again. :-)

    But still glad you got to take part given how much it means to us all.

    You are a gentleman, Mr Tyndall.

    Great news even though u voted the wrong way! Well done.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,742
    SouthamObserver said:

    I made it. Got into the station at 9.47. Ran to the car, broke every speed limit and got there as they were preparing to close down. I was the second last in; the last person was also a late train casualty and also Remain.

    Very pleased to have taken part!

    Delighted for you SO.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    Don't be misled by the 'Save Dave' letter. Dave is toast, the only question being the timing before the slice pops up. He has, after all, already said he's going. If his side wins the referendum, he'll go out on a high, but he's still going, in the not-too-distant future.

    Instead, this is about unifying the party for the next leader, and also about manoeuvring to be the unifying figure, amongst the would-be successors. Boris, for example, absolutely needs to get the support of Remainers and Cameroons, if he's to have any chance. Of course he's making a big show of being loyal. He would, wouldn't he? There's nothing to lose by protesting your loyalty at this stage, and everything to lose by appearing to be disloyal.
  • saddenedsaddened Posts: 2,245
    MarkHopkins said:


    SouthamObserverParticipant.

    Imaginary like button pressed.
  • glwglw Posts: 10,254
    Pulpstar said:

    glw said:

    Scott_P said:

    @DPJHodges: ITV reporting Nigel Farage has un-coneded.

    FFS Nigel!
    Its a good job he managed to stay in his box for a while.
    I do in a way quite like him, but I don't share his many of his views and find his political antics incomprehensible.
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    Scott_P said:

    @jimwaterson: YouGov crosstabs seem to confirm we're set for a victory of higher educated and young over less educated and old. https://t.co/8kKythbeR1

    We should disenfranchise the old & the thickos, then it will all be kittens and rainbows.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,047
    GIN1138 said:

    Scott_P said:

    @BBCVickiYoung: Dozens of Tory MPs sign letter supporting Cameron. Talking to many in last week they were backing PM but gunning for Osborne. #euref

    #OsborneOut
    Osborne's head on a plate.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,003
    Tom Watson doesn't know xD
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,742
    Has no one told Sky that the polls are shut and there is no need for the EU propaganda now?
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,672
    SouthamObserver said:

    I made it. Got into the station at 9.47. Ran to the car, broke every speed limit and got there as they were preparing to close down. I was the second last in; the last person was also a late train casualty and also Remain.

    Very pleased to have taken part!

    Well done. :)
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,556
    GIN1138 said:

    Scott_P said:

    @BBCVickiYoung: Dozens of Tory MPs sign letter supporting Cameron. Talking to many in last week they were backing PM but gunning for Osborne. #euref

    #OsborneOut
    He would be made a scapegoat by bitter losers. What has he done that no one else has done in the Cons party who has been for Remain? What has he alone done that hasn't been sanctioned by Cons' Leavers?

    Slightly pathetic tbh.
  • brokenwheelbrokenwheel Posts: 3,352
    DavidL said:

    Has no one told Sky that the polls are shut and there is no need for the EU propaganda now?

    Was just gonna say the same thing...
  • tysontyson Posts: 6,120
    saddened said:

    MarkHopkins said:


    SouthamObserverParticipant.

    Imaginary like button pressed.
    My apology previously was sincere

  • EPGEPG Posts: 6,729
    The Keep Cam letter might have saved more hides if they had sent it a week ago, when it looked like LEAVE was more likely to win.
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,022
    Scott_P said:

    @DPJHodges: Watch what happens to Twitter/betting markets/£ when first NE results declare. Will be strongly for Leave.

    Kerching!!

    ????????
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    Conversely, Osborne is a rival. Some discrete disloyalty is appropriate, if you don't want him to get the big job.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,173
    Pulpstar said:

    Tom Watson doesn't know xD

    Refreshingly honest.
  • OllyTOllyT Posts: 5,020
    SouthamObserver said:

    I made it. Got into the station at 9.47. Ran to the car, broke every speed limit and got there as they were preparing to close down. I was the second last in; the last person was also a late train casualty and also Remain.

    Very pleased to have taken part!

    Delighted you got there!
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 53,990
    SouthamObserver said:

    I made it. Got into the station at 9.47. Ran to the car, broke every speed limit and got there as they were preparing to close down. I was the second last in; the last person was also a late train casualty and also Remain.

    Very pleased to have taken part!

    Democracy salutes your strength, your indefatigability.....
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,173
    TOPPING said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Scott_P said:

    @BBCVickiYoung: Dozens of Tory MPs sign letter supporting Cameron. Talking to many in last week they were backing PM but gunning for Osborne. #euref

    #OsborneOut
    He would be made a scapegoat by bitter losers. What has he done that no one else has done in the Cons party who has been for Remain? What has he alone done that hasn't been sanctioned by Cons' Leavers?

    Slightly pathetic tbh.
    Been shown up by IDS?

    Come out with a preposterous budget that the HoC promised not to pass?

  • LowlanderLowlander Posts: 941
    Just plonked another £40 on Leave at 8s. Leaves price is genuinely ridiculous at this point, especially the possibility of differential turnout in WWC areas swinging things massively away from the polling.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,298
    Good evening, everyone.

    Not sure how long I'll stay up for, though.

    What've Sky been doing?
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,003
    Lowlander said:

    Just plonked another £40 on Leave at 8s. Leaves price is genuinely ridiculous at this point, especially the possibility of differential turnout in WWC areas swinging things massively away from the polling.

    OTOH a rising tide floated all boats in Sindy...
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 42,961
    nunu said:

    Theuniondivvie said:

    Fpt

    My partner was manning a polling station in west end of Glasgow, turnout 66%, which is considerably higher than at the Holyrood election.

    And considerably lower the Indy ref.
    Glasgow Kelvin was 68.8% turnout for Indy, so if 66% is replicated across the constituency, not by very much.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,173
    Lowlander said:

    Just plonked another £40 on Leave at 8s. Leaves price is genuinely ridiculous at this point, especially the possibility of differential turnout in WWC areas swinging things massively away from the polling.

    Was even more ridic at 16s
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,148
    Okay Sky is really pissing me off talking about EU funding for all these different parts of the UK. Its not EU funding. Its UK taxpayers money laundered back to us via the EU.
  • nunununu Posts: 6,024
    DavidL said:

    Richard_Tyndall said:

    alex. said:

    Who are Leave.Eu claiming carried out their poll?

    Aaron Banks himself. He went round and asked 10,000 people.

    Okay Sarcasm off but he just really annoys me.
    Yes if we never hear from him again it will be too soon. A split leave campaign was unnecessary and unhelpful. Prat.
    Vote leave basically had no data because of Aaron banks, if it close it will be because of his ego.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,556
    edited June 2016
    Mortimer said:

    TOPPING said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Scott_P said:

    @BBCVickiYoung: Dozens of Tory MPs sign letter supporting Cameron. Talking to many in last week they were backing PM but gunning for Osborne. #euref

    #OsborneOut
    He would be made a scapegoat by bitter losers. What has he done that no one else has done in the Cons party who has been for Remain? What has he alone done that hasn't been sanctioned by Cons' Leavers?

    Slightly pathetic tbh.
    Been shown up by IDS?

    Come out with a preposterous budget that the HoC promised not to pass?

    IDS has never shown anyone up since Pirbright, if ever.

    The budget may or may not have been preposterous but do you suppose it was GO acting alone, as a rogue, or as part of the overall campaign?
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,756
    BBC chart using yellow for remain

    sums it up really
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,420
    Richard_Tyndall said:

    Okay Sky is really pissing me off talking about EU funding for all these different parts of the UK. Its not EU funding. Its UK taxpayers money laundered back to us via the EU.

    Yes, they never tell you how much that means us in the South East are having to contribute to make up the difference.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,282
    Alanbrooke said:

    BBC chart using yellow for remain

    sums it up really

    I commented on the lovely Tory blue yesterday ;)
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,556
    Richard_Tyndall said:

    Okay Sky is really pissing me off talking about EU funding for all these different parts of the UK. Its not EU funding. Its UK taxpayers money laundered back to us via the EU.

    Richard. Come over to BBC. The water is lovely. Really. Come over.....
  • LowlanderLowlander Posts: 941
    Pulpstar said:

    Lowlander said:

    Just plonked another £40 on Leave at 8s. Leaves price is genuinely ridiculous at this point, especially the possibility of differential turnout in WWC areas swinging things massively away from the polling.

    OTOH a rising tide floated all boats in Sindy...
    IndyRef mirrored the voting patterns of a general election. Everything that seems to be known about this says its not going to work that way in this vote. As you said earlier, polling using the GE voting as a basis for weighting is going to be wrong.
This discussion has been closed.