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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » As the polls close Nigel Farage says Remain will edge it bu

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  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 18,229
    That'll shift the markets. Back leave.
  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 18,229

    weejonnie said:

    Worth remembering when Sunderland declares that UKIP won about 20% across the three seats last year.

    And Labour got 50% - pro remain. Your point?
    The point is that UKIP's share there was half as high again as their national share. Yes, Labour's was too but I'd regard the UKIP share as more indicative of an areas innate Euroscepticism than Labour's.
    Isn't UKIP share in very Labour areas at least partly indicative of people's unwillingness to entertain voting Conservative?
    To an extent yes, but only to an extent - I'd take some of it at face value. I'd suggest Leave at 57-58 might be about par there.
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,687
    The Betfair 3ish for Leave winning England looks potentially interesting.
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