politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Great Online versus Phone debate – this week’s PB Polli
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Great Online versus Phone debate – this week’s PB Polling Matters TV Show
We’re back. After a gap of three weeks while our hosts, Tip TV, moved into new premises the PB/Polling Matters TV show is on the air and inevitability it was dominated by the referendum.
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http://observer.com/2016/05/game-over-emailgate-just-crippled-the-clinton-express/
Apparently the TV feed in Turkey was interrupted
https://twitter.com/ErdenB/status/735116205468581888
200 minutes
Research by the Sutton Trust found the most disadvantaged Scots were four times less likely to go to university than those from the wealthiest backgrounds - the worst rates in the UK.
http://www.heraldscotland.com/news/14519829.Poorest_pupils_face__quot_shocking_quot__barriers_to_university/
Meanwhile:
AN SNP MSP who sends her children to private school has been accused of hypocrisy after using her maiden speech at Holyrood to proclaim that "education is not a commodity to be bought or sold.
http://www.heraldscotland.com/news/14519833.MSP_who_sends_children_to_private_school_declares___39_education_not_a_commodity_to_be_bought_or_sold__39_/
A good education is not a commodity at all - it's not readily available from multiple sources and with a clear market price. It's a specialty product, highly valued and priced accordingly.
TSE said :
"Sir John Major didn't go to University, and he's a top egg"
I think you meant ....
Sir John Major didn't go to University, and he was atop Eggwina ....
Clinton 43 .. Trump 31
http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/WIPollSlides.pdf
"What were you hiding from the American people, Hillary?"
Violets are White
Clophills on Fire
And been burning all night
- horrible haze and smell of smoke here. Is this a taste of what is to befall us if we vote for Brexit?
Pulls chain ....
I've been sceptical about how far this would lead, but it's starting to look bad for her. One point that I have just seen raised but doesn't seem to have been addressed is that on leaving office she should have signed a form declaring that any personal records relating to her time in office had been turned over. This is so they could be (a) preserved and (b) so that she would not still have access to them once her security clearance had been revoked.
Clearly, if she signed such a form she lied (this would be equivalent to perjury given the status of the form) and if she didn't it raises very serious questions about both her and the State Department who appear not to have been following the spirit of the then version of the Federal Records Act. (It should be noted that email was not explicitly included until 2014.)
There's an awful mess here entirely of Clinton's making. If it stops her from becoming President, she will only have herself to blame.
Her argument that education is not a commodity to be bought and sold is just plainly wrong but that is a different matter.
Thought it was yesterday.
Edit - it won't get this off the headlines http://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/eu-army-plans-kept-secret-from-voters-3j3kg3zwj
http://i.dailymail.co.uk/i/pix/2016/05/26/21/349B039100000578-0-image-m-34_1464295941588.jpg
I can't believe people are talking seriously about Andrea Leadsom for leader. If the Referendum goes as predicted I'd expect Cameron to cull nearly all the Brexiteers. Certainly those who have called him a liar which is just about all of them except for Gove.
But even if Cameron turns out to be more magnanamous than we believe him to be and he kept her on in some capacity Osborne would eat her alive.
Advertisers clearly don't even have a rudimentary knowledge of physics.
a Sutton Trust report was published showing Scottish young people from the fifth most advantaged areas are four times more likely to go to university than those born into the poorest 20 per cent of areas. The equivalent figure in England is 2.4 times.
The MSP later added: "Educational opportunity and social mobility must be protected. Universal benefits are a principle worth fighting for."
Is at best unfortunate, especially given the 'universal' benefit is disadvantaging the poorest.
Why didn't she tell the Holyrood chamber about the virtues of independent schools, seeing as she clearly values them so much.?
This was an understandable response to someone dragged through Whitewater, Vince Foster and many other "scandals" which went round and around for years without any apparent evidence of wrongdoing but it is an approach that completely undermines democratic supervision of government in a modern state. It is like imagining Nixon managing to conceal his Oval Office tapes. It is not just a question of a public record (in the way Blair is going to be criticised for his sofa government) it is a question of accountability. And as Secretary of State Clinton was accountable, just as she would be if elected President.
Someone who can make such decisions has a major job on her hands persuading the American people that she has learned her lesson. So far that has not been the response. The article is correct that Trump is going to eviscerate her for this. My Trump bet is looking better all the time.
http://order-order.com/2016/05/25/eu-plots-europe-wide-tax-id-numbers/
No expansion here oh no...no sireee....
To paraphrase Oscar Wilde, there's only one thing worse than having your advertising talked about....and thats not having it talked about.....
Funny how LEAVErs seem to have jumped to the conclusion that the obnoxious thug is a LEAVEr......
Part of this has been driven by the concept of "free" which underlies her argument. "Free" education, prescriptions and bridges has been a consistent theme of the SNP government as it was of the Indyref. It is of course nonsense. These things are not free, they are paid for by the taxpayers of the country. Once that elementary fact is acknowledged the question is properly focussed on whether the taxpayer is getting value for money.
And the answer in many cases is no. Funding "free" University places restricts access by Scottish kids to Universities and is damaging those Universities. Dundee University, which has an outstanding medical school, is in the process of making significant redundancies there because the number of places that the Scottish Government can afford to pay and the rate which they can afford to pay is not sufficient. It is also not achieving its social objective of increasing participation from all segments of society. The policy desperately needs revisited but the mantra of free makes this all but impossible.
Have you seen the film Florence Foster Jenkins? We went last night, and a very interesting subject for a film. I cannot get her singing voice out of my head !
I can just imagine someone getting increasingly outraged as they run through the litany of disasters that awaits the UK before pausing and then climaxing with the "end of cheap holidays!"
The Prime Minister and Chancellor have, in recent months, claimed Brexit could lead to war, genocide, recession, migrant camps in Kent, 800,000 job losses, a collapse in house prices, stratospheric rises in clothing and food prices and the end of cheap holidays.
Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3611775/Now-Osborne-says-Brexit-cost-pensioners-32-000.html#ixzz49ptPQMBG
http://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/scotland/shocking-class-divide-in-access-to-universities-is-worst-in-the-uk-bqwgqsgnf
http://www.conservativehome.com/thetorydiary/2016/05/why-americas-next-president-may-be-neither-clinton-nor-trump-but-instead.html
However, by his standards it's actually quite a minor problem. The man who arranged matters so that the specifications for the new GCSE syllabuses were only approved nearly a year after 40% of schools, including mine, had had to begin teaching them was probably not really suitable as PM anyway. Or the man who asked advice from universities on new history and geography courses, before doing the exact opposite of all they said. Or the man who appointed Niall Ferguson to revamp the history curriculum, before publishing without proof-reading it so it was full of spelling mistakes...
Similarly there is a certain delicious irony if HRC survives Whitewater, healthcare and Benghazi only to be brought down because of her lazy reluctance to use a proper email system!
F1: reminder it's weird Monaco, so no practice today. Third practice and qualifying are on Saturday, as usual.
http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/may/26/immigration-england-ons-migration-london-eu-referendum
A commodity is a basic good used in commerce that is interchangeable with other commodities of the same type. Commodities are most often used as inputs in the production of other goods or services. The quality of a given commodity may differ slightly, but it is essentially uniform across producers.
It refers to low value, basic goods - usually inputs - such as oil, coal, commodity chemicals, etc.
Anything which is a differentiated product is not, by definition, interchangeable. For example, an education at Eton is very different to one at Muggleton Comprehensive and you would not expect them to be priced the same.
Plus of course now several films have something that happens after the credits.
1.3m Boris V Dave
1.9m Lose Weight For Love
2.1m Chelsea Flower Show
7.6m Britain's Got Talent
The morning news on ITV was dominated by the French oil blockade disrupting people's holidays.
commodity
/kəˈmɒdɪti/
noun
noun: commodity; plural noun: commodities
a raw material or primary agricultural product that can be bought and sold, such as copper or coffee.
"commodities such as copper and coffee"
synonyms: item, material, type of produce, product, article, object, thing, artefact, piece of merchandise; More
import, export
"improving productivity will lower the cost of a commodity"
•a useful or valuable thing.
"water is a precious commodity"
Don't say you haven't been warned, and will it be a voluntary army or a conscript army; aye there's the rub.
https://twitter.com/RedHotSquirrel/status/736086947148357632
http://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/commodity.asp?layout=infini&v=5A&adtest=5A&ato=3000
The key question is whether you are a price taker (commodity) or a price setter (specialty)
Possibly Trump is being damaged by his ongoing spat with local Senator Paul Ryan.
As for Rasmussen, they are often behind the news and slow to keep up these days.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/formula1/36393472
Also, didn't know Massa might be tossed overboard next year.
Immigration has now undoubtedly become the hot referendum topic. Remain have no answer. It is very hard to believe that the online polls are not far closer to the truth than the phone ones. How can it be otherwise with immigration being such a key subject for voters? If Leave could find a credible, middle of the road spokesman they would be home and dry. Their problem is being far too closely identified with the Tory right and UKIP. Should they somehow crack that I am pretty confident that this time in four weeks they will be celebrating. And then, of course, the real fun will begin. .
Being both aged warriors we might escape conscription unless you fancy the role of Corporal Jones .... "The EU .. They don't like it up em ...."
I'd be interested to know the views of the Remain voters on that, though.
But if they get the 'Leavers' as irritated as they've been getting us Labour supporters for the last 30 years they won't have done a bad job
- a flag
- a national anthem
- embassies around the world
- their own passport
- their own currency
- a president
- an executive law making body
- a civil service
- a parliament
- free travel within its borders
- ability to veto or punish local legislatures
- nascent armed forces
There is no evidence that GOP pollsters are leaning to favour Clinton. Look at the pollster ratings at 538.
Immigration is tangible, non-theoretical, and a worry for many people. Understandably so.
I am very relaxed about immigration. But. These are huge numbers.
Cable's just an old socialist, the lingering wisps of his reputation hanging on a good one-liner he delivered a decade ago.