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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Great Online versus Phone debate – this week’s PB Polli

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  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,433
    Alastair Meeks needs to skip over this post,

    Ros Altman: Brexit would hit pensioners hard

    http://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/comment/brexit-would-hit-pensioners-hard-mdx509wqg
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    TGOHF said:

    Scott loves socialism

    TGOHF says Vote leave to end all subsidies for farming...
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    Hands up all those who want agri-conglomerates getting huge subsidies.

    Sandy says Vote Leave to end UK farming...
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Sean_F said:

    Some of us might think that spending £2.5bn a year, paying subsidies to 55,000 people, is a less than optimal use of taxpayers' money.

    Sean says Vote Leave to put all UK farmers on the dole
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,433
    And Ozzy is amping it up, if Leave haven't prepared a rebuttal for this, then they really are numpties

    From Osborne's twitter feed

    What pensioners need above all is certainty - leaving the EU offers nothing but uncertainty

    Higher inflation & a weaker economy means the state pension will be worth less & pensioners with homes and shares will lose money

    Future pensioners will have less money when they retire if we leave EU.It is not a price worth paying. We're stronger, safer & better off In

    12m people who get basic state pension would see higher inflation erode real value of increases they can expect: at least £137 a year less

    For someone aged over 65 with typical housing and non-pension assets loss in wealth estimated at between £18,000 and £32,000
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,735

    rcs1000 said:

    If there is to be an EU army, I suspect the cause of it will be President Trump reducing the US commitment to NATO.

    The likely increasing unreliability of the US is one of the stronger factors that pushes me in a Europhile direction. What does the US get of of NATO? Sure, Russia is being a pain but is that a sufficiently large challenge to merit the US revolving its foreign policy around, particularly with a larger growing geopolitical threat in China?
    S Korea and Japan could also join NATO; Turkey is already a member
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,387
    Scott_P said:

    Hands up all those who want agri-conglomerates getting huge subsidies.

    Sandy says Vote Leave to end UK farming...
    No, Sandy says Vote Leave so that the UK government can decide who and how much of the farming sector receives subsidies, and for what sorts of activity.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    I can't wait for the next advert.

    Hate farmers? Vote Leave.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,756
    Scott_P said:

    Sean_F said:

    Some of us might think that spending £2.5bn a year, paying subsidies to 55,000 people, is a less than optimal use of taxpayers' money.

    Sean says Vote Leave to put all UK farmers on the dole
    Silly
  • kjohnwkjohnw Posts: 1,456

    And Ozzy is amping it up, if Leave haven't prepared a rebuttal for this, then they really are numpties

    From Osborne's twitter feed

    What pensioners need above all is certainty - leaving the EU offers nothing but uncertainty

    Higher inflation & a weaker economy means the state pension will be worth less & pensioners with homes and shares will lose money

    Future pensioners will have less money when they retire if we leave EU.It is not a price worth paying. We're stronger, safer & better off In

    12m people who get basic state pension would see higher inflation erode real value of increases they can expect: at least £137 a year less

    For someone aged over 65 with typical housing and non-pension assets loss in wealth estimated at between £18,000 and £32,000

    about as reliable as his £4300 claim

    http://news.sky.com/story/1702853/brexit-warnings-wrong-on-trade-think-tank
  • WandererWanderer Posts: 3,838

    Dave's Pro-EU stance is killing the Tories.

    Conservative HOLD Northallerton (North Yorkshire), swing from UKIP TO Con

    Northallerton (North Yorkshire) result:
    CON: 48.3% (-4.1)
    UKIP: 20.5% (-10.6)
    LAB: 17.2% (+0.7)
    YFIR: 9.7% (+9.7)
    GRN: 4.3% (+4.3)

    Likewise, N Yorks council's pro-fracking decision.
    Northallerton is a hell of a long way from Kirby Misperton.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,735
    SeanT said:

    Many of us LEAVERS have been pointing out for ages that after we vote REMAIN, the EU will start doing all the horrible stuff it has in store for us, from EU taxes to EU migrant quotas. The stuff they're holding back now.

    Nonetheless I'm surprised they are waiting just one day - one single day - after our vote, before announcing the EU Army.

    One day. Lol. Imagine how popular Dave "REMAIN" Cameron is going to be, in the months following our referendum, as all this crapola unravels in front of us. He will be driven from office by howling dogs.

    CNN is reporting ISIS are now bribing smugglers to take them to Europe alongside other migrants, if that leads to attacks expect a revolution if the EU attempts to impose more migrant quotas and President Le Pen
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Scott_P said:

    TGOHF said:

    Scott loves socialism

    TGOHF says Vote leave to end all subsidies for farming...
    Vote remain to have Brussels spending your tax money for you - Socialist Scott says the Uk istoo wee, too poor and too stupid to decide whether to pay subsidies or not.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,756

    And Ozzy is amping it up, if Leave haven't prepared a rebuttal for this, then they really are numpties

    From Osborne's twitter feed

    What pensioners need above all is certainty - leaving the EU offers nothing but uncertainty

    Higher inflation & a weaker economy means the state pension will be worth less & pensioners with homes and shares will lose money

    Future pensioners will have less money when they retire if we leave EU.It is not a price worth paying. We're stronger, safer & better off In

    12m people who get basic state pension would see higher inflation erode real value of increases they can expect: at least £137 a year less

    For someone aged over 65 with typical housing and non-pension assets loss in wealth estimated at between £18,000 and £32,000

    Osborne's making a lot of wild assumptions.
  • chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    edited May 2016
    Does an EU Army mean the end of NATO? If so, are we stronger and safer with or without the Americans?
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    I am glad we have reached consensus on the line from the PB Brexiteers. It now reads

    "We spend £350m a week on the EU and subsidies for British farmers, which we will continue to pay if we Vote Leave"
  • weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    When we get the EU army - I wonder where the ordinance will be manufactured.

    Goodbye the Royal Ordinance Factory. And the following

    UAE
    Accuracy International Ltd (AI) UK
    Armalon Ltd UK
    Babcock International Group plc UK
    BAE Systems UK
    Birmingham Small Arms Company UK
    Blyth Workcats Ltd (Blyth Workcats) UK
    BMT Limited UK
    Britten-Norman (widely known simply as "BN",trading name as B-N Group Limited or BNG) UK
    Chemring Group PLC UK
    Cobham plc UK
    ELEY group Limited UK
    Cougar Powerboats UK
    Griffon Hoverwork UK
    Holland & Holland UK
    Holyhead Marine Services Ltd (Holyhead Marine) UK
    Insys UK
    ISTEC Services Ltd UK
    James Purdey and Sons Ltd. UK
    Lochin Marine International Limited (LOCHIN or Lochin Marine International) UK
    Manroy Engineering Ltd. UK
    Morgan Advanced Materials Composites and Defence Systems UK
    MSI Defence Systems Ltd (MSI-DS) UK
    OVIK Special Vehicles UK
    Penman Group UK
    Rangemaster Precision Arms UK
    Royal Ordnance UK
    Sterling Armaments Company UK
    Supacat UK
    Webley & Scott UK
    W. W. Greener UK
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,262
    Sean_F said:

    Scott_P said:

    Sean_F said:

    The figure of £350m is entirely correct

    It's officially misleading
    There's nothing "official" about Sir Andrew Dilnott's opinion.

    His opinion carries no more weight than yours or mine.
    I'm fairly comfortable with the Remain campaign constantly talking about and drawing attention to it.
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Sean_F said:

    And Ozzy is amping it up, if Leave haven't prepared a rebuttal for this, then they really are numpties

    From Osborne's twitter feed

    What pensioners need above all is certainty - leaving the EU offers nothing but uncertainty

    Higher inflation & a weaker economy means the state pension will be worth less & pensioners with homes and shares will lose money

    Future pensioners will have less money when they retire if we leave EU.It is not a price worth paying. We're stronger, safer & better off In

    12m people who get basic state pension would see higher inflation erode real value of increases they can expect: at least £137 a year less

    For someone aged over 65 with typical housing and non-pension assets loss in wealth estimated at between £18,000 and £32,000

    Osborne's making a lot of wild assumptions.
    He's talking Britain down - apparently we aren't entrepreneurial enough to have growth without Brussels taking decisions for us.

    Startling from GO.
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,001
    Sean_F said:

    Scott_P said:

    Sean_F said:

    Some of us might think that spending £2.5bn a year, paying subsidies to 55,000 people, is a less than optimal use of taxpayers' money.

    Sean says Vote Leave to put all UK farmers on the dole
    Silly
    Yeah but what sort of farming industry would you envisage after Brexit? None of us know what a future UK government might do and there are plenty of people benefiting from the status quo. Can't blame them not wanting to risk it.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,312
    Scott_P said:

    tlg86 said:

    I think Leave are justified in using the gross figure

    It's officially misleading

    I paid £20 for a pint last week

    (apart from the change)
    What's officially misleading is telling people they'll be £4,300 a year worse off if we leave without explaining that it's the difference between two estimates for GDP in 2030! But the national statistics authority only cares about what gets said about the here and now. They, and people like Full Fact, don't care how much rubbish is spouted about the future.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Surprised it took this long...

    @David_Cameron: Leave Campaign say "we just don't know" what the UK's future outside Europe looks like. That's why leaving is a leap in the dark #StrongerIN
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Scott_P said:

    I am glad we have reached consensus on the line from the PB Brexiteers. It now reads

    "We spend £350m a week on the EU and subsidies for British farmers, which we will continue to pay if we Vote Leave"

    The Remain argument from Socialist Scott is the Uk government can't be trusted to make decisions on agriculture.

    Startling reveal.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,387
    Scott_P said:

    I am glad we have reached consensus on the line from the PB Brexiteers. It now reads

    "We spend £350m a week on the EU and subsidies for British farmers, which we will continue to pay if we Vote Leave"

    "...which we can spend on whatever we choose if we Vote Leave".

    That is the point.
  • MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584
    Sean_F said:

    And Ozzy is amping it up, if Leave haven't prepared a rebuttal for this, then they really are numpties

    From Osborne's twitter feed

    What pensioners need above all is certainty - leaving the EU offers nothing but uncertainty

    Higher inflation & a weaker economy means the state pension will be worth less & pensioners with homes and shares will lose money

    Future pensioners will have less money when they retire if we leave EU.It is not a price worth paying. We're stronger, safer & better off In

    12m people who get basic state pension would see higher inflation erode real value of increases they can expect: at least £137 a year less

    For someone aged over 65 with typical housing and non-pension assets loss in wealth estimated at between £18,000 and £32,000

    Osborne's making a lot of wild assumptions.
    FUDD.

    Fear, Uncertainty, Doubt and Doom.

    It's classic. And pathetic.

  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,756

    Sean_F said:

    Scott_P said:

    Sean_F said:

    Some of us might think that spending £2.5bn a year, paying subsidies to 55,000 people, is a less than optimal use of taxpayers' money.

    Sean says Vote Leave to put all UK farmers on the dole
    Silly
    Yeah but what sort of farming industry would you envisage after Brexit? None of us know what a future UK government might do and there are plenty of people benefiting from the status quo. Can't blame them not wanting to risk it.
    If I was given a subsidy of £50,000 per annum to practise law, thanks to the EU, then I'd probably think long and hard before deciding whether or not to risk it.

    It doesn't follow that that would be a good use of public money, or that a British government shouldn't be entitled to decide on the issue.
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Scott has gone full Corbyn.

    Never go full Corbyn....

  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 18,003
    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    If there is to be an EU army, I suspect the cause of it will be President Trump reducing the US commitment to NATO.

    The likely increasing unreliability of the US is one of the stronger factors that pushes me in a Europhile direction. What does the US get of of NATO? Sure, Russia is being a pain but is that a sufficiently large challenge to merit the US revolving its foreign policy around, particularly with a larger growing geopolitical threat in China?
    S Korea and Japan could also join NATO; Turkey is already a member
    Why would South Korea and Japan sign up to protecting Europe with no reciprocity?
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    TGOHF said:

    Scott has gone full Corbyn.

    Never go full Corbyn....

    Like
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,387
    Scott_P said:

    Surprised it took this long...

    @David_Cameron: Leave Campaign say "we just don't know" what the UK's future outside Europe looks like. That's why leaving is a leap in the dark #StrongerIN

    If Mr Cameron revealed what his government's contingency plans are, then we would know. They are, after all, the ones who will be negotiating the terms of Brexit.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Wow, didn't see this coming...

    @George_Osborne: The leave campaign admit they 'just don't know' what the consequences of leaving would be. That's just not good enough.
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Scott_P said:

    Wow, didn't see this coming...

    @George_Osborne: The leave campaign admit they 'just don't know' what the consequences of leaving would be. That's just not good enough.

    The replies to that tweet are indicative ..
  • chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    Perhaps they should abolish all elections, after all, who wants to risk changing anything?
  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 18,003
    Wanderer said:

    Dave's Pro-EU stance is killing the Tories.

    Conservative HOLD Northallerton (North Yorkshire), swing from UKIP TO Con

    Northallerton (North Yorkshire) result:
    CON: 48.3% (-4.1)
    UKIP: 20.5% (-10.6)
    LAB: 17.2% (+0.7)
    YFIR: 9.7% (+9.7)
    GRN: 4.3% (+4.3)

    Likewise, N Yorks council's pro-fracking decision.
    Northallerton is a hell of a long way from Kirby Misperton.
    True, but KM is not the only potential site. 4.3% for the Greens is still a no-kind-of-solidarity score when they had that kind off issue to run off (as well as all the usual anti-austerity guff).
  • MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584
    Scott_P said:

    Wow, didn't see this coming...

    @George_Osborne: The leave campaign admit they 'just don't know' what the consequences of leaving would be. That's just not good enough.


    Osborne admits he just doesn't know what to do, without Merkel telling him. That's just not good enough.

  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670


    How do Aldi/Lidl make a profit? I know they don’t sell brand-leaders but the differences are stark.

    Different supply chain management and no fear in changing prices. The big UK supermarkets have locked themselves into hugely complex logistics systems that have huge benefits but reduces their agility greatly. The brand of, say, the chopped tomatoes in Lidl can change on a week by week basis as they constantly switch their supplier as hey chase the most cost effective source. Especially as things go in and out if season the prices in Lidl/Also change hugely one month I was buying great quality chopped tomatoes for 6p a can, once tomato season was over the prices went up and up to 50p a can and the brand changed. In the supermarket a can of chopped tomatoes is the same price all year round.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,723
    TGOHF said:

    Sean_F said:

    And Ozzy is amping it up, if Leave haven't prepared a rebuttal for this, then they really are numpties

    From Osborne's twitter feed

    What pensioners need above all is certainty - leaving the EU offers nothing but uncertainty

    Higher inflation & a weaker economy means the state pension will be worth less & pensioners with homes and shares will lose money

    Future pensioners will have less money when they retire if we leave EU.It is not a price worth paying. We're stronger, safer & better off In

    12m people who get basic state pension would see higher inflation erode real value of increases they can expect: at least £137 a year less

    For someone aged over 65 with typical housing and non-pension assets loss in wealth estimated at between £18,000 and £32,000

    Osborne's making a lot of wild assumptions.
    He's talking Britain down - apparently we aren't entrepreneurial enough to have growth without Brussels taking decisions for us.

    Startling from GO.
    Nothing startling about it , the man is an imbecile.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,735

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    If there is to be an EU army, I suspect the cause of it will be President Trump reducing the US commitment to NATO.

    The likely increasing unreliability of the US is one of the stronger factors that pushes me in a Europhile direction. What does the US get of of NATO? Sure, Russia is being a pain but is that a sufficiently large challenge to merit the US revolving its foreign policy around, particularly with a larger growing geopolitical threat in China?
    S Korea and Japan could also join NATO; Turkey is already a member
    Why would South Korea and Japan sign up to protecting Europe with no reciprocity?
    There would be reciprocity I presume protecting them against China even if not explicitly said
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,723
    I see Scott struggling on his own today , his sidekick Carlotta gets the bank holiday weekend and he is left by CCHQ to get a pummeling, hope he is on double time for it.
  • MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584

    new thread

  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    malcolmg said:

    TGOHF said:

    Sean_F said:

    And Ozzy is amping it up, if Leave haven't prepared a rebuttal for this, then they really are numpties

    From Osborne's twitter feed

    What pensioners need above all is certainty - leaving the EU offers nothing but uncertainty

    Higher inflation & a weaker economy means the state pension will be worth less & pensioners with homes and shares will lose money

    Future pensioners will have less money when they retire if we leave EU.It is not a price worth paying. We're stronger, safer & better off In

    12m people who get basic state pension would see higher inflation erode real value of increases they can expect: at least £137 a year less

    For someone aged over 65 with typical housing and non-pension assets loss in wealth estimated at between £18,000 and £32,000

    Osborne's making a lot of wild assumptions.
    He's talking Britain down - apparently we aren't entrepreneurial enough to have growth without Brussels taking decisions for us.

    Startling from GO.
    Nothing startling about it , the man is an imbecile.
    I agree with malcolmg.

    Regardless of the result , GO has spent all his credibility tokens - and Cameron's too.

  • kjohnwkjohnw Posts: 1,456
    edited May 2016
    Scott_P said:

    Wow, didn't see this coming...

    @George_Osborne: The leave campaign admit they 'just don't know' what the consequences of leaving would be. That's just not good enough.

    Surely the future outside the EU depends upon what the current government chooses to negotiate and what path to take, so not a stab in the dark, more what the government decides. If anything it is Remain that offers the uncertain future in an EU with 350,000 net migration coming here each year, costing the health service millions, and strainng the social fabric of society to breaking point, not to mention the EU Superstate with more powers going to Brussels and an undemocratic elite ruling over us. The uncertainty of having to bail out failing EU states like Greece, and the inability to strike our own trade deals, getting swallowed into an EU wide recession, that is the uncertainty. At least with Leave we are masters of our own destiny
  • PAWPAW Posts: 1,074
    What is the correct figure - I hand the EU £20, the EU says I can have £3 in CAP back, and another £6 which must be given to a Scotsman, and only provided I give the Scotsman another £6 too? Because I think the EU projects are mostly in Scotland and Wales? Or have I got it wrong?
  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 18,003
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    If there is to be an EU army, I suspect the cause of it will be President Trump reducing the US commitment to NATO.

    The likely increasing unreliability of the US is one of the stronger factors that pushes me in a Europhile direction. What does the US get of of NATO? Sure, Russia is being a pain but is that a sufficiently large challenge to merit the US revolving its foreign policy around, particularly with a larger growing geopolitical threat in China?
    S Korea and Japan could also join NATO; Turkey is already a member
    Why would South Korea and Japan sign up to protecting Europe with no reciprocity?
    There would be reciprocity I presume protecting them against China even if not explicitly said
    If it's not in the treaty then it's not a commitment. NATO requires a common defence against an attack on North America or Europe. That's it - Asia is quite clearly excluded. I think there was a SEATO early on in the Cold War to cover that gap.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,735

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    If there is to be an EU army, I suspect the cause of it will be President Trump reducing the US commitment to NATO.

    The likely increasing unreliability of the US is one of the stronger factors that pushes me in a Europhile direction. What does the US get of of NATO? Sure, Russia is being a pain but is that a sufficiently large challenge to merit the US revolving its foreign policy around, particularly with a larger growing geopolitical threat in China?
    S Korea and Japan could also join NATO; Turkey is already a member
    Why would South Korea and Japan sign up to protecting Europe with no reciprocity?
    There would be reciprocity I presume protecting them against China even if not explicitly said
    If it's not in the treaty then it's not a commitment. NATO requires a common defence against an attack on North America or Europe. That's it - Asia is quite clearly excluded. I think there was a SEATO early on in the Cold War to cover that gap.
    It could easily be rewritten to include a common defence against an attack on Asian members, with North Korea more belligerent than ever and China a rising superpower S Korea and Japan would certainly sign up if offered
  • Got a guy repairing my roof this morning. He's got a white van and is quite a regular at the Bournville Social Club. Tells me that he voted Con in the 2015 election (he was a last minute waverer from UKIP) and he tells me also that he's voting Leave and that ALL his mates are voting LEAVE.
This discussion has been closed.