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Boris Johnson’s destruction of the key shibboleth of the Conservative Party – politicalbetting.com

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    Scott_xP said:

    J K Rowling is trending on twitter....i presume its the now monthly pile on due to her saying something vaguely controversial at some point some where.

    No

    An awful lot of people QTing this apology determined to find out if there is indeed safety in numbers. Well, chaps, there might be for most of you. But the weak ones at the back of the flock are going to be picked off one by one...
    https://twitter.com/no1guncle/status/1435952913638215684
    It has started the pile on ....latest tweet . .

    "On the 10th September 2021 I will call JK Rowling a fucking transphobic howler monkey with the talent of a syphilitic horse and the decency of Savile on a hospital ward. I reserve any apology in advance of this statement."

    https://twitter.com/Easy_As_He_Him/status/1436057973328171009?s=19

    Absolutely disgraceful the abuse she gets on social media.
    Just wonder why you're adding to it by spreading it on here then?
  • Options
    eek said:

    Carnyx said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    ydoethur said:

    Carnyx said:

    Don't know why anyone's getting upset about the NI "increase".

    If you round it up to the nearest 10%, it's basically a zero percent rise.

    And that's as good as a tax decrease.

    You mean, round down ...
    I think he was using mathematical roundings as practised by Mr Hyufd.
    It's hard, though. Rounding up, you go up; rounding down, you go down. Counterintuitive.
    Not to mention rounding to the nearest integer. Divisive. Or perhaps not.
    Reminds me of how 2+2 = 5.

    2.49 + 2.49 = 5 (well 4.98, but that's rounded up to 5.)

    But rounded down that's 2+2 = 5.
    You can equally use

    2.26 + 2.25 = 4.51 which rounds up to 5.

    Yes it's not that different but I just spent 2 months training an AI system to ignore the impact of weird rounding on payslips
    One of my most stressful days at work was ironically on holiday.

    Get a phone call from saying 'We've got a problem, there's x millions missing from one account.'

    So I'm working out how to get back into the country wondering if I've got my own Nick Leeson whilst getting glares from the other half.

    About 40 minutes later 'Never mind, someone added comma separators when doing the reconciliation and it threw everything out. all sorted.'

    Make sure your AI isn't befuddled by comma separators.
  • Options
    Biden administration announces new rule which requires all companies with at least 100 employees to ensure their workforce is either fully vaccinated or gets tested once a week https://t.co/uHL2YkjgMV
  • Options
    Detailed thread on the covid numbers and modelling and in particular booster vax by Mr Ward.


    James Ward
    @JamesWard73
    ·
    1h
    9. But even if we did get a large wave that needed “flattening” to protect NHS capacity, I don’t see a case for a full-on lockdown; moving back one step along the roadmap (i.e. to the position in England before July 19th) should be sufficient to bring R<1 for a period. 15/25

    https://twitter.com/JamesWard73/status/1436043734181896202
  • Options
    CookieCookie Posts: 11,448

    isam said:



    Tories have shifted the political landscape from left v right to retirees vs workers. Retirees know the Tories are on their side. Workers dont think either party is on their side. Labour need to change that and can do, but they need to demonstrate it. Taxes on wealth and reducing taxes on income should be their key policy imo.

    I agree. But it's important to put the horse before the cart. You don't start by saying "We want a wealth tax". You start by saying "We want to reduce the tax burden on people at work." How? Then you talk about wealth taxes. The mistake we often make on the left is to talk about a wealth tax as virtuous in itself, which reinforces the idea that Labour loves to tax you.
    I agree, but think Labour can afford to be a bit braver as we enter post-Covid times. Back in the 1980s. the "greed is good" mantra was largely unchallenged.

    But now, the level of corporate, and individual, greed is so vast that I think challenging it could be popular. The grotesque differences in income between the average and the top 1-5% are stupendously large, with people (including PL footballers) earning salaries that are just ridiculous. Similarly, the greed that some of the most wealthy corporations exhibit - paying their workers a pittance while directors and shareholders are lining their pockets - should be challenged. Of course we'll get the "you'll just drive investment abroad" mantra. But if Britain really wants to be great for business, Labour should he arguing for less grotesque differentials of income and wealth. For a more equitable and happy form of capitalism, if you like.
    I think I completely agree - I find it hard to see how someone can think all that and also think FOM was a good thing though. It was a magnificent enabler of the basic principle you are criticising
    Well, we'll have to disagree on that - but pleased you agree with the general argument. From my point of view, FOM could have been managed much better, and we didn't use the constraints available to us to limit the numbers. But more importantly, my point about greed extends to FOM as well: it's greed that led employers to use FOM to undercut wages for workers from Europe, nothing else. That culture of greed and exploitation is the problem, not the workers from Eastern Europe. If those jobs had been well paid, they'd have been filled within this country regardless of FOM, and the numbers coming here would have been much smaller. All about corporate profit, not FOM.
    What? So if the wage differential had been greater, the flows would have been less? That's not how it normally works.
  • Options
    MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 25,192
    Cyclefree said:

    kle4 said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Required reading by the excellent Jennifer Williams for those who think that it's only the Met which has problems.

    https://twitter.com/jenwilliamsmen/status/1436029384390029320?s=21

    This time it's Greater Manchester Police, which seems to be in just as big a mess.

    Note in particular the reference to the useless new IT system and to the fact that safeguarding reports logged in it are lost. That means that future Oldhams, future grooming scandals, future child abuse scandals, future ill-treatment of the vulnerable scandals are happening right now and not being properly noticed - let alone investigated - right now,

    To me this feels like a much more serious issue than what has occupied this forum endlessly for days now.

    No political upside in police failings. It causes a stink, people get angry, then they worry its wrong to get too angry at the police, someone says more money will fix everything, then it goes quiet again until next time.
    And that's why useless incompetents like Cressida Dick get their contracts renewed.

    Law and order is the most important and basic function of the state. If it can't or won't get that right, why trust it with anything else?

    If you read the article, it is not money which is the issue but poor leadership and a defensive culture which considers its own reputation as the most important thing. In that respect, little has changed since the 1970's - as this documentary on iPlayer makes clear: Bent Coppers - https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m000v4h6.
    Tonight on BBC1 Wales we have the Lynette White scandal. When the bent coppers were eventually busted, their chums at Butetown nick lost all the evidence against them so they walked. On I player shortly.

    My biggest shock over Dick, is how, as Operational Commander on the day when DeMenezes was blown away, she became Chief Constable rather than being escorted out of New Scotland Yard with just a cardboard box of personal items.
  • Options

    eek said:

    Carnyx said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    ydoethur said:

    Carnyx said:

    Don't know why anyone's getting upset about the NI "increase".

    If you round it up to the nearest 10%, it's basically a zero percent rise.

    And that's as good as a tax decrease.

    You mean, round down ...
    I think he was using mathematical roundings as practised by Mr Hyufd.
    It's hard, though. Rounding up, you go up; rounding down, you go down. Counterintuitive.
    Not to mention rounding to the nearest integer. Divisive. Or perhaps not.
    Reminds me of how 2+2 = 5.

    2.49 + 2.49 = 5 (well 4.98, but that's rounded up to 5.)

    But rounded down that's 2+2 = 5.
    You can equally use

    2.26 + 2.25 = 4.51 which rounds up to 5.

    Yes it's not that different but I just spent 2 months training an AI system to ignore the impact of weird rounding on payslips
    One of my most stressful days at work was ironically on holiday.

    Get a phone call from saying 'We've got a problem, there's x millions missing from one account.'

    So I'm working out how to get back into the country wondering if I've got my own Nick Leeson whilst getting glares from the other half.

    About 40 minutes later 'Never mind, someone added comma separators when doing the reconciliation and it threw everything out. all sorted.'

    Make sure your AI isn't befuddled by comma separators.
    Never mind AI, this human's meagre intelligence is thrown when our continental chums use commas to mean decimal points and vice versa.
  • Options
    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,297
    edited September 2021
    dixiedean said:

    Thoughts and prayers for the antiwoke monarchists.

    The Queen and the royal family are supporters of the Black Lives Matter (BLM) movement, one of Her Majesty’s representatives has said.

    https://www.standard.co.uk/news/uk/queen-black-lives-matter-london-buckingham-palace-archie-b954590.html

    She's long insisted folk take a knee in her presence.
    Nobody should take the knee to anyone

    It is demeaning
  • Options

    Cyclefree said:

    kle4 said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Required reading by the excellent Jennifer Williams for those who think that it's only the Met which has problems.

    https://twitter.com/jenwilliamsmen/status/1436029384390029320?s=21

    This time it's Greater Manchester Police, which seems to be in just as big a mess.

    Note in particular the reference to the useless new IT system and to the fact that safeguarding reports logged in it are lost. That means that future Oldhams, future grooming scandals, future child abuse scandals, future ill-treatment of the vulnerable scandals are happening right now and not being properly noticed - let alone investigated - right now,

    To me this feels like a much more serious issue than what has occupied this forum endlessly for days now.

    No political upside in police failings. It causes a stink, people get angry, then they worry its wrong to get too angry at the police, someone says more money will fix everything, then it goes quiet again until next time.
    And that's why useless incompetents like Cressida Dick get their contracts renewed.

    Law and order is the most important and basic function of the state. If it can't or won't get that right, why trust it with anything else?

    If you read the article, it is not money which is the issue but poor leadership and a defensive culture which considers its own reputation as the most important thing. In that respect, little has changed since the 1970's - as this documentary on iPlayer makes clear: Bent Coppers - https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m000v4h6.
    Tonight on BBC1 Wales we have the Lynette White scandal. When the bent coppers were eventually busted, their chums at Butetown nick lost all the evidence against them so they walked. On I player shortly.

    My biggest shock over Dick, is how, as Operational Commander on the day when DeMenezes was blown away, she became Chief Constable rather than being escorted out of New Scotland Yard with just a cardboard box of personal items.
    The worst bit of Welsh policing is all the times they missed to investigate Ian Watkins.

    Apparently to my friend in Wales apparently no one really wants to discuss it given what he did.
  • Options

    eek said:

    Carnyx said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    ydoethur said:

    Carnyx said:

    Don't know why anyone's getting upset about the NI "increase".

    If you round it up to the nearest 10%, it's basically a zero percent rise.

    And that's as good as a tax decrease.

    You mean, round down ...
    I think he was using mathematical roundings as practised by Mr Hyufd.
    It's hard, though. Rounding up, you go up; rounding down, you go down. Counterintuitive.
    Not to mention rounding to the nearest integer. Divisive. Or perhaps not.
    Reminds me of how 2+2 = 5.

    2.49 + 2.49 = 5 (well 4.98, but that's rounded up to 5.)

    But rounded down that's 2+2 = 5.
    You can equally use

    2.26 + 2.25 = 4.51 which rounds up to 5.

    Yes it's not that different but I just spent 2 months training an AI system to ignore the impact of weird rounding on payslips
    One of my most stressful days at work was ironically on holiday.

    Get a phone call from saying 'We've got a problem, there's x millions missing from one account.'

    So I'm working out how to get back into the country wondering if I've got my own Nick Leeson whilst getting glares from the other half.

    About 40 minutes later 'Never mind, someone added comma separators when doing the reconciliation and it threw everything out. all sorted.'

    Make sure your AI isn't befuddled by comma separators.
    Never mind AI, this human's meagre intelligence is thrown when our continental chums use commas to mean decimal points and vice versa.
    Same.
  • Options

    eek said:

    Carnyx said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    ydoethur said:

    Carnyx said:

    Don't know why anyone's getting upset about the NI "increase".

    If you round it up to the nearest 10%, it's basically a zero percent rise.

    And that's as good as a tax decrease.

    You mean, round down ...
    I think he was using mathematical roundings as practised by Mr Hyufd.
    It's hard, though. Rounding up, you go up; rounding down, you go down. Counterintuitive.
    Not to mention rounding to the nearest integer. Divisive. Or perhaps not.
    Reminds me of how 2+2 = 5.

    2.49 + 2.49 = 5 (well 4.98, but that's rounded up to 5.)

    But rounded down that's 2+2 = 5.
    You can equally use

    2.26 + 2.25 = 4.51 which rounds up to 5.

    Yes it's not that different but I just spent 2 months training an AI system to ignore the impact of weird rounding on payslips
    One of my most stressful days at work was ironically on holiday.

    Get a phone call from saying 'We've got a problem, there's x millions missing from one account.'

    So I'm working out how to get back into the country wondering if I've got my own Nick Leeson whilst getting glares from the other half.

    About 40 minutes later 'Never mind, someone added comma separators when doing the reconciliation and it threw everything out. all sorted.'

    Make sure your AI isn't befuddled by comma separators.
    CSV files have always been a bad idea. It's a shame that no one ever invented an ASCII character whose sole purpose was to act as a delimiter. That's would have avoided millions of IT headaches over the years.
  • Options
    eek said:

    Carnyx said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    ydoethur said:

    Carnyx said:

    Don't know why anyone's getting upset about the NI "increase".

    If you round it up to the nearest 10%, it's basically a zero percent rise.

    And that's as good as a tax decrease.

    You mean, round down ...
    I think he was using mathematical roundings as practised by Mr Hyufd.
    It's hard, though. Rounding up, you go up; rounding down, you go down. Counterintuitive.
    Not to mention rounding to the nearest integer. Divisive. Or perhaps not.
    Reminds me of how 2+2 = 5.

    2.49 + 2.49 = 5 (well 4.98, but that's rounded up to 5.)

    But rounded down that's 2+2 = 5.
    You can equally use

    2.26 + 2.25 = 4.51 which rounds up to 5.

    Yes it's not that different but I just spent 2 months training an AI system to ignore the impact of weird rounding on payslips
    Would @HYUFD benefit from that training
  • Options
    turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 15,197

    Cyclefree said:

    kle4 said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Required reading by the excellent Jennifer Williams for those who think that it's only the Met which has problems.

    https://twitter.com/jenwilliamsmen/status/1436029384390029320?s=21

    This time it's Greater Manchester Police, which seems to be in just as big a mess.

    Note in particular the reference to the useless new IT system and to the fact that safeguarding reports logged in it are lost. That means that future Oldhams, future grooming scandals, future child abuse scandals, future ill-treatment of the vulnerable scandals are happening right now and not being properly noticed - let alone investigated - right now,

    To me this feels like a much more serious issue than what has occupied this forum endlessly for days now.

    No political upside in police failings. It causes a stink, people get angry, then they worry its wrong to get too angry at the police, someone says more money will fix everything, then it goes quiet again until next time.
    And that's why useless incompetents like Cressida Dick get their contracts renewed.

    Law and order is the most important and basic function of the state. If it can't or won't get that right, why trust it with anything else?

    If you read the article, it is not money which is the issue but poor leadership and a defensive culture which considers its own reputation as the most important thing. In that respect, little has changed since the 1970's - as this documentary on iPlayer makes clear: Bent Coppers - https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m000v4h6.
    Tonight on BBC1 Wales we have the Lynette White scandal. When the bent coppers were eventually busted, their chums at Butetown nick lost all the evidence against them so they walked. On I player shortly.

    My biggest shock over Dick, is how, as Operational Commander on the day when DeMenezes was blown away, she became Chief Constable rather than being escorted out of New Scotland Yard with just a cardboard box of personal items.
    At the risk of being called sexist, is part of it because she is female? Would a man have got the same favour?
  • Options

    Cyclefree said:

    kle4 said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Required reading by the excellent Jennifer Williams for those who think that it's only the Met which has problems.

    https://twitter.com/jenwilliamsmen/status/1436029384390029320?s=21

    This time it's Greater Manchester Police, which seems to be in just as big a mess.

    Note in particular the reference to the useless new IT system and to the fact that safeguarding reports logged in it are lost. That means that future Oldhams, future grooming scandals, future child abuse scandals, future ill-treatment of the vulnerable scandals are happening right now and not being properly noticed - let alone investigated - right now,

    To me this feels like a much more serious issue than what has occupied this forum endlessly for days now.

    No political upside in police failings. It causes a stink, people get angry, then they worry its wrong to get too angry at the police, someone says more money will fix everything, then it goes quiet again until next time.
    And that's why useless incompetents like Cressida Dick get their contracts renewed.

    Law and order is the most important and basic function of the state. If it can't or won't get that right, why trust it with anything else?

    If you read the article, it is not money which is the issue but poor leadership and a defensive culture which considers its own reputation as the most important thing. In that respect, little has changed since the 1970's - as this documentary on iPlayer makes clear: Bent Coppers - https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m000v4h6.
    Tonight on BBC1 Wales we have the Lynette White scandal. When the bent coppers were eventually busted, their chums at Butetown nick lost all the evidence against them so they walked. On I player shortly.

    My biggest shock over Dick, is how, as Operational Commander on the day when DeMenezes was blown away, she became Chief Constable rather than being escorted out of New Scotland Yard with just a cardboard box of personal items.
    At the risk of being called sexist, is part of it because she is female? Would a man have got the same favour?
    She should have been fired for multiple acts of incompetence, nothing to do with gender
  • Options
    DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 24,385
    edited September 2021
    Culture war wars – the Churchill years

    Part 1. The Winston Churchill Memorial Trust changes its name to the Churchill Fellowship
    Part 2. Churchill biographer Boris condemns it as "absurd, misguided and wrong"
    Part 3. Churchill grandson Nicholas Soames says the family supports the CF

    In a separate statement online, The Churchill Fellowship said: “Last month we simplified our name. We did so not because we are disowning Sir Winston, but because over many years we have found that, in a simple practical sense, the name was confusing to people and did not explain what we do.”

    It is understood the charity, under its previous name, found itself having to field inquiries from members of the public who assumed it was a historical archive, or a heritage organisation.

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2021/09/09/boris-johnson-criticises-charitys-airbrushing-winston-churchill/ (£££)
  • Options
    turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 15,197

    Cyclefree said:

    kle4 said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Required reading by the excellent Jennifer Williams for those who think that it's only the Met which has problems.

    https://twitter.com/jenwilliamsmen/status/1436029384390029320?s=21

    This time it's Greater Manchester Police, which seems to be in just as big a mess.

    Note in particular the reference to the useless new IT system and to the fact that safeguarding reports logged in it are lost. That means that future Oldhams, future grooming scandals, future child abuse scandals, future ill-treatment of the vulnerable scandals are happening right now and not being properly noticed - let alone investigated - right now,

    To me this feels like a much more serious issue than what has occupied this forum endlessly for days now.

    No political upside in police failings. It causes a stink, people get angry, then they worry its wrong to get too angry at the police, someone says more money will fix everything, then it goes quiet again until next time.
    And that's why useless incompetents like Cressida Dick get their contracts renewed.

    Law and order is the most important and basic function of the state. If it can't or won't get that right, why trust it with anything else?

    If you read the article, it is not money which is the issue but poor leadership and a defensive culture which considers its own reputation as the most important thing. In that respect, little has changed since the 1970's - as this documentary on iPlayer makes clear: Bent Coppers - https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m000v4h6.
    Tonight on BBC1 Wales we have the Lynette White scandal. When the bent coppers were eventually busted, their chums at Butetown nick lost all the evidence against them so they walked. On I player shortly.

    My biggest shock over Dick, is how, as Operational Commander on the day when DeMenezes was blown away, she became Chief Constable rather than being escorted out of New Scotland Yard with just a cardboard box of personal items.
    At the risk of being called sexist, is part of it because she is female? Would a man have got the same favour?
    She should have been fired for multiple acts of incompetence, nothing to do with gender
    Yes but my point is why wasn’t she?
  • Options
    dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 27,966
    edited September 2021
    Meanwhile in Canada. The average of the last 11 polls taken over the past 3 days.
    Con 33.5% (-0.9)
    Lib 31.6 (-1.5)
    NDP 19.9 (+3.9)
    BQ 5.6 ( -2.0)
    GP 2.9 (-3.7)
    PPC 5.6 (+4.0) Changes with last election.

    Some thoughts.
    1) The Liberals bleeding of votes has stopped. Behind, but not by much. A 1.9% deficit probably means most seats.
    2) No great enthusiasm for the Conservatives. Down on last time.
    3) The left vote is coalescing into the NDP, rather than being split. They ought to gain seats.
    4) Trudeau has prospered before by late eating into the left vote. Not happening thus far.
    5) Tories never had that luxury before. There was no Party to their right to squeeze. There is now. The PPC are getting wild polling scores. Ranging from 2-7.6%. If they exist to the higher end of that range, and can be squeezed, then that could be the ball game for O'Toole.

    Still too close to call mind.
  • Options
    isamisam Posts: 40,927

    isam said:

    On taxation. Of course Labour thinks that wealth/the wealthy will need to be taxed more, much more, to achieve their aims in government. The tax burden on the low and average paid is enough, if not too much, as it is - where else will it come from but those with the "broadest shoulders"?

    But Starmer knows full well that as soon as he says this openly, the Tories and their mates in the printed press will be joyful. Those of us who've been around a while could wheel out the headlines: Labour tax bombshell; your home at risk (as if); entrepreneurs, the brightest and the best, all relocating to wherever; Labour kills aspiration; Premier League football at risk from Labour's tax plans; and so on. You get the drift.

    So, politically, he needs to keep it under wraps. In fact, some of the tax plans should not be revealed until/unless Labour wins power. Just like the Tories. Their tax hikes, their detailed Brexit plan, their cuts to overseas aid, weren't in their manifesto. All Starmer needs to do for now is what he's doing: say that in principle, those with the broadest shoulders should contribute more. Those looking for a detailed plan can whistle. He doesn't need one. He's smarter than some think - one step ahead. Why give the Tories and the tabloids what they want?

    The problem is that he has a wishy washy, indecisive image - people frequently say they don’t know what he stands for. To combat that, he has proposed to outline his vision ‘in primary colours’, which doesn’t really fit with someone refusing to answer what he would do differently
    I don't disagree. But I would argue that he could set out a vision in 'primary colours' without going into precise detail. Blair, Clinton and Obama set out 'visions' that generally included little detail, for example (I'm not arguing Starmer is charismatic like them). In fact, the 'vision' thing - what the future of the country should be - can get completely lost if there's too much (lawyerly) detail.
    Yes, I agree that primary colours doesn’t mean fine detail
  • Options
    Cookie said:

    isam said:



    Tories have shifted the political landscape from left v right to retirees vs workers. Retirees know the Tories are on their side. Workers dont think either party is on their side. Labour need to change that and can do, but they need to demonstrate it. Taxes on wealth and reducing taxes on income should be their key policy imo.

    I agree. But it's important to put the horse before the cart. You don't start by saying "We want a wealth tax". You start by saying "We want to reduce the tax burden on people at work." How? Then you talk about wealth taxes. The mistake we often make on the left is to talk about a wealth tax as virtuous in itself, which reinforces the idea that Labour loves to tax you.
    I agree, but think Labour can afford to be a bit braver as we enter post-Covid times. Back in the 1980s. the "greed is good" mantra was largely unchallenged.

    But now, the level of corporate, and individual, greed is so vast that I think challenging it could be popular. The grotesque differences in income between the average and the top 1-5% are stupendously large, with people (including PL footballers) earning salaries that are just ridiculous. Similarly, the greed that some of the most wealthy corporations exhibit - paying their workers a pittance while directors and shareholders are lining their pockets - should be challenged. Of course we'll get the "you'll just drive investment abroad" mantra. But if Britain really wants to be great for business, Labour should he arguing for less grotesque differentials of income and wealth. For a more equitable and happy form of capitalism, if you like.
    I think I completely agree - I find it hard to see how someone can think all that and also think FOM was a good thing though. It was a magnificent enabler of the basic principle you are criticising
    Well, we'll have to disagree on that - but pleased you agree with the general argument. From my point of view, FOM could have been managed much better, and we didn't use the constraints available to us to limit the numbers. But more importantly, my point about greed extends to FOM as well: it's greed that led employers to use FOM to undercut wages for workers from Europe, nothing else. That culture of greed and exploitation is the problem, not the workers from Eastern Europe. If those jobs had been well paid, they'd have been filled within this country regardless of FOM, and the numbers coming here would have been much smaller. All about corporate profit, not FOM.
    What? So if the wage differential had been greater, the flows would have been less? That's not how it normally works.
    Yes, if wages had been much higher for fruit pickers, baristas warehouse workers, lorry drivers and so on then more of the jobs would have been filled by people already living here, because they would have been more attractive. Employers would have been less able to use the "we had to recruit from Romania - nobody here wanted the jobs".
  • Options

    Cyclefree said:

    kle4 said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Required reading by the excellent Jennifer Williams for those who think that it's only the Met which has problems.

    https://twitter.com/jenwilliamsmen/status/1436029384390029320?s=21

    This time it's Greater Manchester Police, which seems to be in just as big a mess.

    Note in particular the reference to the useless new IT system and to the fact that safeguarding reports logged in it are lost. That means that future Oldhams, future grooming scandals, future child abuse scandals, future ill-treatment of the vulnerable scandals are happening right now and not being properly noticed - let alone investigated - right now,

    To me this feels like a much more serious issue than what has occupied this forum endlessly for days now.

    No political upside in police failings. It causes a stink, people get angry, then they worry its wrong to get too angry at the police, someone says more money will fix everything, then it goes quiet again until next time.
    And that's why useless incompetents like Cressida Dick get their contracts renewed.

    Law and order is the most important and basic function of the state. If it can't or won't get that right, why trust it with anything else?

    If you read the article, it is not money which is the issue but poor leadership and a defensive culture which considers its own reputation as the most important thing. In that respect, little has changed since the 1970's - as this documentary on iPlayer makes clear: Bent Coppers - https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m000v4h6.
    Tonight on BBC1 Wales we have the Lynette White scandal. When the bent coppers were eventually busted, their chums at Butetown nick lost all the evidence against them so they walked. On I player shortly.

    My biggest shock over Dick, is how, as Operational Commander on the day when DeMenezes was blown away, she became Chief Constable rather than being escorted out of New Scotland Yard with just a cardboard box of personal items.
    At the risk of being called sexist, is part of it because she is female? Would a man have got the same favour?
    She should have been fired for multiple acts of incompetence, nothing to do with gender
    Yes but my point is why wasn’t she?
    It really is incomprehensible but then so is Williamson and he is male
  • Options
    isamisam Posts: 40,927

    isam said:



    Tories have shifted the political landscape from left v right to retirees vs workers. Retirees know the Tories are on their side. Workers dont think either party is on their side. Labour need to change that and can do, but they need to demonstrate it. Taxes on wealth and reducing taxes on income should be their key policy imo.

    I agree. But it's important to put the horse before the cart. You don't start by saying "We want a wealth tax". You start by saying "We want to reduce the tax burden on people at work." How? Then you talk about wealth taxes. The mistake we often make on the left is to talk about a wealth tax as virtuous in itself, which reinforces the idea that Labour loves to tax you.
    I agree, but think Labour can afford to be a bit braver as we enter post-Covid times. Back in the 1980s. the "greed is good" mantra was largely unchallenged.

    But now, the level of corporate, and individual, greed is so vast that I think challenging it could be popular. The grotesque differences in income between the average and the top 1-5% are stupendously large, with people (including PL footballers) earning salaries that are just ridiculous. Similarly, the greed that some of the most wealthy corporations exhibit - paying their workers a pittance while directors and shareholders are lining their pockets - should be challenged. Of course we'll get the "you'll just drive investment abroad" mantra. But if Britain really wants to be great for business, Labour should he arguing for less grotesque differentials of income and wealth. For a more equitable and happy form of capitalism, if you like.
    I think I completely agree - I find it hard to see how someone can think all that and also think FOM was a good thing though. It was a magnificent enabler of the basic principle you are criticising
    Well, we'll have to disagree on that - but pleased you agree with the general argument. From my point of view, FOM could have been managed much better, and we didn't use the constraints available to us to limit the numbers. But more importantly, my point about greed extends to FOM as well: it's greed that led employers to use FOM to undercut wages for workers from Europe, nothing else. That culture of greed and exploitation is the problem, not the workers from Eastern Europe. If those jobs had been well paid, they'd have been filled within this country regardless of FOM, and the numbers coming here would have been much smaller. All about corporate profit, not FOM.
    Yes “it's greed that led employers to use FOM to undercut wages for workers from Europe, nothing else”, and when the people it affected most complained, the state called them racist. As Lord Glasman more or less says, FOM was the greatest con trick capitalism could have invented
  • Options
    MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 25,192

    Cyclefree said:

    kle4 said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Required reading by the excellent Jennifer Williams for those who think that it's only the Met which has problems.

    https://twitter.com/jenwilliamsmen/status/1436029384390029320?s=21

    This time it's Greater Manchester Police, which seems to be in just as big a mess.

    Note in particular the reference to the useless new IT system and to the fact that safeguarding reports logged in it are lost. That means that future Oldhams, future grooming scandals, future child abuse scandals, future ill-treatment of the vulnerable scandals are happening right now and not being properly noticed - let alone investigated - right now,

    To me this feels like a much more serious issue than what has occupied this forum endlessly for days now.

    No political upside in police failings. It causes a stink, people get angry, then they worry its wrong to get too angry at the police, someone says more money will fix everything, then it goes quiet again until next time.
    And that's why useless incompetents like Cressida Dick get their contracts renewed.

    Law and order is the most important and basic function of the state. If it can't or won't get that right, why trust it with anything else?

    If you read the article, it is not money which is the issue but poor leadership and a defensive culture which considers its own reputation as the most important thing. In that respect, little has changed since the 1970's - as this documentary on iPlayer makes clear: Bent Coppers - https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m000v4h6.
    Tonight on BBC1 Wales we have the Lynette White scandal. When the bent coppers were eventually busted, their chums at Butetown nick lost all the evidence against them so they walked. On I player shortly.

    My biggest shock over Dick, is how, as Operational Commander on the day when DeMenezes was blown away, she became Chief Constable rather than being escorted out of New Scotland Yard with just a cardboard box of personal items.
    The worst bit of Welsh policing is all the times they missed to investigate Ian Watkins.

    Apparently to my friend in Wales apparently no one really wants to discuss it given what he did.
    True enough. For a moment I mistakenly thought "Steps", huh? Then I remembered the case. Simply vile. I don't know much about the police investigation. It is very much a case of brushing the scandal under the carpet.

    The Lynette White case was about detectives framing 5 black guys when all the evidence pointed to one white guy. When the murderer was eventually caught on DNA evidence, the (allegedly corrupt) detectives were to be put on trial. The evidence was then lost, the case collapsed, and then the evidence was found.
  • Options

    isam said:



    Tories have shifted the political landscape from left v right to retirees vs workers. Retirees know the Tories are on their side. Workers dont think either party is on their side. Labour need to change that and can do, but they need to demonstrate it. Taxes on wealth and reducing taxes on income should be their key policy imo.

    I agree. But it's important to put the horse before the cart. You don't start by saying "We want a wealth tax". You start by saying "We want to reduce the tax burden on people at work." How? Then you talk about wealth taxes. The mistake we often make on the left is to talk about a wealth tax as virtuous in itself, which reinforces the idea that Labour loves to tax you.
    I agree, but think Labour can afford to be a bit braver as we enter post-Covid times. Back in the 1980s. the "greed is good" mantra was largely unchallenged.

    But now, the level of corporate, and individual, greed is so vast that I think challenging it could be popular. The grotesque differences in income between the average and the top 1-5% are stupendously large, with people (including PL footballers) earning salaries that are just ridiculous. Similarly, the greed that some of the most wealthy corporations exhibit - paying their workers a pittance while directors and shareholders are lining their pockets - should be challenged. Of course we'll get the "you'll just drive investment abroad" mantra. But if Britain really wants to be great for business, Labour should he arguing for less grotesque differentials of income and wealth. For a more equitable and happy form of capitalism, if you like.
    I think I completely agree - I find it hard to see how someone can think all that and also think FOM was a good thing though. It was a magnificent enabler of the basic principle you are criticising
    Well, we'll have to disagree on that - but pleased you agree with the general argument. From my point of view, FOM could have been managed much better, and we didn't use the constraints available to us to limit the numbers. But more importantly, my point about greed extends to FOM as well: it's greed that led employers to use FOM to undercut wages for workers from Europe, nothing else. That culture of greed and exploitation is the problem, not the workers from Eastern Europe. If those jobs had been well paid, they'd have been filled within this country regardless of FOM, and the numbers coming here would have been much smaller. All about corporate profit, not FOM.
    But also about the choices we have made as consumers.

    The UK is famous for the efficiency of its supermarkets- Aldi and Lidl are cheaper, but they run a model with smaller product ranges and basic store fittings; the customer sees where the cheap is.

    Sainsbury's, Tesco's et al squeeze all the behind the scenes stuff, like the suppliers and distributors, and they're blooming good at it. We moan when prices go up (as they are now), but we never question where the cheapness is coming from. I should pay way more than I do for home delivery, but I don't.

    And that comes back to house prices. If you weren't already on the ladder by, say, 2005 you're stuffed. So much of your money each month is going on rent or a mortgage that you have to squeeze every penny, including the pennies the supermarket squeezes on your behalf. Same for the public sector, except for health and pensions. There is no money at all for anything else.

    The artificially high cost for buying accommodation today basically distorts anything else, including our politics. Consider this graph from the New Statesman;

    https://twitter.com/Lucywwatson/status/1435006036805566468?s=19

    I don't know how you solve this without badly hurting people- a bit of wage inflation won't do it.

    But it needs solving.
  • Options

    Thoughts and prayers for the antiwoke monarchists.

    The Queen and the royal family are supporters of the Black Lives Matter (BLM) movement, one of Her Majesty’s representatives has said.

    https://www.standard.co.uk/news/uk/queen-black-lives-matter-london-buckingham-palace-archie-b954590.html

    What some woke skivvy says isnt worth a row of beans.
  • Options
    Northern_AlNorthern_Al Posts: 7,540
    edited September 2021
    isam said:

    isam said:



    Tories have shifted the political landscape from left v right to retirees vs workers. Retirees know the Tories are on their side. Workers dont think either party is on their side. Labour need to change that and can do, but they need to demonstrate it. Taxes on wealth and reducing taxes on income should be their key policy imo.

    I agree. But it's important to put the horse before the cart. You don't start by saying "We want a wealth tax". You start by saying "We want to reduce the tax burden on people at work." How? Then you talk about wealth taxes. The mistake we often make on the left is to talk about a wealth tax as virtuous in itself, which reinforces the idea that Labour loves to tax you.
    I agree, but think Labour can afford to be a bit braver as we enter post-Covid times. Back in the 1980s. the "greed is good" mantra was largely unchallenged.

    But now, the level of corporate, and individual, greed is so vast that I think challenging it could be popular. The grotesque differences in income between the average and the top 1-5% are stupendously large, with people (including PL footballers) earning salaries that are just ridiculous. Similarly, the greed that some of the most wealthy corporations exhibit - paying their workers a pittance while directors and shareholders are lining their pockets - should be challenged. Of course we'll get the "you'll just drive investment abroad" mantra. But if Britain really wants to be great for business, Labour should he arguing for less grotesque differentials of income and wealth. For a more equitable and happy form of capitalism, if you like.
    I think I completely agree - I find it hard to see how someone can think all that and also think FOM was a good thing though. It was a magnificent enabler of the basic principle you are criticising
    Well, we'll have to disagree on that - but pleased you agree with the general argument. From my point of view, FOM could have been managed much better, and we didn't use the constraints available to us to limit the numbers. But more importantly, my point about greed extends to FOM as well: it's greed that led employers to use FOM to undercut wages for workers from Europe, nothing else. That culture of greed and exploitation is the problem, not the workers from Eastern Europe. If those jobs had been well paid, they'd have been filled within this country regardless of FOM, and the numbers coming here would have been much smaller. All about corporate profit, not FOM.
    Yes “it's greed that led employers to use FOM to undercut wages for workers from Europe, nothing else”, and when the people it affected most complained, the state called them racist. As Lord Glasman more or less says, FOM was the greatest con trick capitalism could have invented
    Not sure about racist, but you're right that it was easier, and more convenient, to blame the actual workers from Eastern Europe than to blame the exploitative employers that lured them here. Farage more often did the former than the latter, for example.

    You're a Labour person at heart really, aren't you?
  • Options
    TELEGRAPH: Oxford jab professor: we don’t need mass boosters #TomorrowsPapersToday https://t.co/vMdsB3THPL
  • Options
    MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 25,192

    Cyclefree said:

    kle4 said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Required reading by the excellent Jennifer Williams for those who think that it's only the Met which has problems.

    https://twitter.com/jenwilliamsmen/status/1436029384390029320?s=21

    This time it's Greater Manchester Police, which seems to be in just as big a mess.

    Note in particular the reference to the useless new IT system and to the fact that safeguarding reports logged in it are lost. That means that future Oldhams, future grooming scandals, future child abuse scandals, future ill-treatment of the vulnerable scandals are happening right now and not being properly noticed - let alone investigated - right now,

    To me this feels like a much more serious issue than what has occupied this forum endlessly for days now.

    No political upside in police failings. It causes a stink, people get angry, then they worry its wrong to get too angry at the police, someone says more money will fix everything, then it goes quiet again until next time.
    And that's why useless incompetents like Cressida Dick get their contracts renewed.

    Law and order is the most important and basic function of the state. If it can't or won't get that right, why trust it with anything else?

    If you read the article, it is not money which is the issue but poor leadership and a defensive culture which considers its own reputation as the most important thing. In that respect, little has changed since the 1970's - as this documentary on iPlayer makes clear: Bent Coppers - https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m000v4h6.
    Tonight on BBC1 Wales we have the Lynette White scandal. When the bent coppers were eventually busted, their chums at Butetown nick lost all the evidence against them so they walked. On I player shortly.

    My biggest shock over Dick, is how, as Operational Commander on the day when DeMenezes was blown away, she became Chief Constable rather than being escorted out of New Scotland Yard with just a cardboard box of personal items.
    At the risk of being called sexist, is part of it because she is female? Would a man have got the same favour?
    Who knows? But I doubt it

    If you wanted to go into full anti-wokery mode you could question her LGBT credentials too.
  • Options
    IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    Thoughts and prayers for the antiwoke monarchists.

    The Queen and the royal family are supporters of the Black Lives Matter (BLM) movement, one of Her Majesty’s representatives has said.

    https://www.standard.co.uk/news/uk/queen-black-lives-matter-london-buckingham-palace-archie-b954590.html

    "Sir Ken Olisa, the first black Lord-Lieutenant for London revealed to Channel 4 that he had discussed the topic of racism with members of the royal household in the wake of George Floyd’s murder in the US."

    Piccaninny management is in HM's DNA.
  • Options
    Northern_AlNorthern_Al Posts: 7,540
    edited September 2021

    eek said:

    Carnyx said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    ydoethur said:

    Carnyx said:

    Don't know why anyone's getting upset about the NI "increase".

    If you round it up to the nearest 10%, it's basically a zero percent rise.

    And that's as good as a tax decrease.

    You mean, round down ...
    I think he was using mathematical roundings as practised by Mr Hyufd.
    It's hard, though. Rounding up, you go up; rounding down, you go down. Counterintuitive.
    Not to mention rounding to the nearest integer. Divisive. Or perhaps not.
    Reminds me of how 2+2 = 5.

    2.49 + 2.49 = 5 (well 4.98, but that's rounded up to 5.)

    But rounded down that's 2+2 = 5.
    You can equally use

    2.26 + 2.25 = 4.51 which rounds up to 5.

    Yes it's not that different but I just spent 2 months training an AI system to ignore the impact of weird rounding on payslips
    One of my most stressful days at work was ironically on holiday.

    Get a phone call from saying 'We've got a problem, there's x millions missing from one account.'

    So I'm working out how to get back into the country wondering if I've got my own Nick Leeson whilst getting glares from the other half.

    About 40 minutes later 'Never mind, someone added comma separators when doing the reconciliation and it threw everything out. all sorted.'

    Make sure your AI isn't befuddled by comma separators.
    I've never been befuddled by comma separators.

    Al.
  • Options

    Culture war wars – the Churchill years

    Part 1. The Winston Churchill Memorial Trust changes its name to the Churchill Fellowship
    Part 2. Churchill biographer Boris condemns it as "absurd, misguided and wrong"
    Part 3. Churchill grandson Nicholas Soames says the family supports the CF

    In a separate statement online, The Churchill Fellowship said: “Last month we simplified our name. We did so not because we are disowning Sir Winston, but because over many years we have found that, in a simple practical sense, the name was confusing to people and did not explain what we do.”

    It is understood the charity, under its previous name, found itself having to field inquiries from members of the public who assumed it was a historical archive, or a heritage organisation.

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2021/09/09/boris-johnson-criticises-charitys-airbrushing-winston-churchill/ (£££)

    Has Bozza had a bad day needing a quick round of culture wars to get him back to his happy place?
  • Options

    Cyclefree said:

    kle4 said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Required reading by the excellent Jennifer Williams for those who think that it's only the Met which has problems.

    https://twitter.com/jenwilliamsmen/status/1436029384390029320?s=21

    This time it's Greater Manchester Police, which seems to be in just as big a mess.

    Note in particular the reference to the useless new IT system and to the fact that safeguarding reports logged in it are lost. That means that future Oldhams, future grooming scandals, future child abuse scandals, future ill-treatment of the vulnerable scandals are happening right now and not being properly noticed - let alone investigated - right now,

    To me this feels like a much more serious issue than what has occupied this forum endlessly for days now.

    No political upside in police failings. It causes a stink, people get angry, then they worry its wrong to get too angry at the police, someone says more money will fix everything, then it goes quiet again until next time.
    And that's why useless incompetents like Cressida Dick get their contracts renewed.

    Law and order is the most important and basic function of the state. If it can't or won't get that right, why trust it with anything else?

    If you read the article, it is not money which is the issue but poor leadership and a defensive culture which considers its own reputation as the most important thing. In that respect, little has changed since the 1970's - as this documentary on iPlayer makes clear: Bent Coppers - https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m000v4h6.
    Tonight on BBC1 Wales we have the Lynette White scandal. When the bent coppers were eventually busted, their chums at Butetown nick lost all the evidence against them so they walked. On I player shortly.

    My biggest shock over Dick, is how, as Operational Commander on the day when DeMenezes was blown away, she became Chief Constable rather than being escorted out of New Scotland Yard with just a cardboard box of personal items.
    The worst bit of Welsh policing is all the times they missed to investigate Ian Watkins.

    Apparently to my friend in Wales apparently no one really wants to discuss it given what he did.
    True enough. For a moment I mistakenly thought "Steps", huh? Then I remembered the case. Simply vile. I don't know much about the police investigation. It is very much a case of brushing the scandal under the carpet.

    The Lynette White case was about detectives framing 5 black guys when all the evidence pointed to one white guy. When the murderer was eventually caught on DNA evidence, the (allegedly corrupt) detectives were to be put on trial. The evidence was then lost, the case collapsed, and then the evidence was found.
    The police are utter cretins.

    That profession really does attract the worst of society.
  • Options
    IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    eek said:

    Carnyx said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    ydoethur said:

    Carnyx said:

    Don't know why anyone's getting upset about the NI "increase".

    If you round it up to the nearest 10%, it's basically a zero percent rise.

    And that's as good as a tax decrease.

    You mean, round down ...
    I think he was using mathematical roundings as practised by Mr Hyufd.
    It's hard, though. Rounding up, you go up; rounding down, you go down. Counterintuitive.
    Not to mention rounding to the nearest integer. Divisive. Or perhaps not.
    Reminds me of how 2+2 = 5.

    2.49 + 2.49 = 5 (well 4.98, but that's rounded up to 5.)

    But rounded down that's 2+2 = 5.
    You can equally use

    2.26 + 2.25 = 4.51 which rounds up to 5.

    Yes it's not that different but I just spent 2 months training an AI system to ignore the impact of weird rounding on payslips
    One of my most stressful days at work was ironically on holiday.

    Get a phone call from saying 'We've got a problem, there's x millions missing from one account.'

    So I'm working out how to get back into the country wondering if I've got my own Nick Leeson whilst getting glares from the other half.

    About 40 minutes later 'Never mind, someone added comma separators when doing the reconciliation and it threw everything out. all sorted.'

    Make sure your AI isn't befuddled by comma separators.
    I've never been befuddled by comma separators.
    You have just outed yourself as a meatspace inhabitant, then.
  • Options
    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 39,756

    Cyclefree said:

    kle4 said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Required reading by the excellent Jennifer Williams for those who think that it's only the Met which has problems.

    https://twitter.com/jenwilliamsmen/status/1436029384390029320?s=21

    This time it's Greater Manchester Police, which seems to be in just as big a mess.

    Note in particular the reference to the useless new IT system and to the fact that safeguarding reports logged in it are lost. That means that future Oldhams, future grooming scandals, future child abuse scandals, future ill-treatment of the vulnerable scandals are happening right now and not being properly noticed - let alone investigated - right now,

    To me this feels like a much more serious issue than what has occupied this forum endlessly for days now.

    No political upside in police failings. It causes a stink, people get angry, then they worry its wrong to get too angry at the police, someone says more money will fix everything, then it goes quiet again until next time.
    And that's why useless incompetents like Cressida Dick get their contracts renewed.

    Law and order is the most important and basic function of the state. If it can't or won't get that right, why trust it with anything else?

    If you read the article, it is not money which is the issue but poor leadership and a defensive culture which considers its own reputation as the most important thing. In that respect, little has changed since the 1970's - as this documentary on iPlayer makes clear: Bent Coppers - https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m000v4h6.
    Tonight on BBC1 Wales we have the Lynette White scandal. When the bent coppers were eventually busted, their chums at Butetown nick lost all the evidence against them so they walked. On I player shortly.

    My biggest shock over Dick, is how, as Operational Commander on the day when DeMenezes was blown away, she became Chief Constable rather than being escorted out of New Scotland Yard with just a cardboard box of personal items.
    At the risk of being called sexist, is part of it because she is female? Would a man have got the same favour?
    She should have been fired for multiple acts of incompetence, nothing to do with gender
    Yes but my point is why wasn’t she?
    It really is incomprehensible but then so is Williamson and he is male
    Ah, but the spider is apparently trans.
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 53,993
    HYUFD said:



    Tories have shifted the political landscape from left v right to retirees vs workers. Retirees know the Tories are on their side. Workers dont think either party is on their side. Labour need to change that and can do, but they need to demonstrate it. Taxes on wealth and reducing taxes on income should be their key policy imo.

    I agree. But it's important to put the horse before the cart. You don't start by saying "We want a wealth tax". You start by saying "We want to reduce the tax burden on people at work." How? Then you talk about wealth taxes. The mistake we often make on the left is to talk about a wealth tax as virtuous in itself, which reinforces the idea that Labour loves to tax you.
    Agreed and that is why I am surprised that they did not come out for a wealth tax this week.

    It should have been:

    "The Tory plan does not raise enough and is unfair on workers yet again, so we would have a wealth tax instead to raise enough money to actually fund social care now, without hitting most peoples hard work and jobs"

    Instead we heard:

    "We are against this proposal but not providing any better alternative ourselves."
    Ipsos Mori polling on a wealth tax.

    69% oppose a tax on pensions, 58% oppose a tax on the main home minus mortgage, 64% oppose a tax on savings.

    However voters support a tax on financial investment by 43% to 29% and 59% support a tax on all net property minus the main home

    https://twitter.com/APHanrahan/status/1436032157001166850?s=20
    LOL!

    They could have simplified the poll by asking:

    "Do you think other people should take a bigger share of the tax burden?"
  • Options
    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 39,756

    Culture war wars – the Churchill years

    Part 1. The Winston Churchill Memorial Trust changes its name to the Churchill Fellowship
    Part 2. Churchill biographer Boris condemns it as "absurd, misguided and wrong"
    Part 3. Churchill grandson Nicholas Soames says the family supports the CF

    In a separate statement online, The Churchill Fellowship said: “Last month we simplified our name. We did so not because we are disowning Sir Winston, but because over many years we have found that, in a simple practical sense, the name was confusing to people and did not explain what we do.”

    It is understood the charity, under its previous name, found itself having to field inquiries from members of the public who assumed it was a historical archive, or a heritage organisation.

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2021/09/09/boris-johnson-criticises-charitys-airbrushing-winston-churchill/ (£££)

    Has Bozza had a bad day needing a quick round of culture wars to get him back to his happy place?
    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/sep/09/churchill-fellowship-defends-criticism-from-boris-johnson-after-website-rebrand

    "The changes were overseen by the charity’s trustees headed by Jeremy Soames, another grandson of Churchill, after wide consultation with donors and fellows. It had received virtually no complaints about the rebrand until the reports in the Sun and Daily Mail this week.

    It said it was untrue that it taken down several images of Sir Winston from the site. A spokesperson for the fellowship said it had only ever had the rights to use one image, and this was now back on the site. It also questioned reports that some of its “loyal volunteers” were fuming at the move, pointing out that it did not have any volunteers."
  • Options

    TELEGRAPH: Oxford jab professor: we don’t need mass boosters #TomorrowsPapersToday https://t.co/vMdsB3THPL

    Oh! That's not in the iSAGE manual.
  • Options

    Cyclefree said:

    kle4 said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Required reading by the excellent Jennifer Williams for those who think that it's only the Met which has problems.

    https://twitter.com/jenwilliamsmen/status/1436029384390029320?s=21

    This time it's Greater Manchester Police, which seems to be in just as big a mess.

    Note in particular the reference to the useless new IT system and to the fact that safeguarding reports logged in it are lost. That means that future Oldhams, future grooming scandals, future child abuse scandals, future ill-treatment of the vulnerable scandals are happening right now and not being properly noticed - let alone investigated - right now,

    To me this feels like a much more serious issue than what has occupied this forum endlessly for days now.

    No political upside in police failings. It causes a stink, people get angry, then they worry its wrong to get too angry at the police, someone says more money will fix everything, then it goes quiet again until next time.
    And that's why useless incompetents like Cressida Dick get their contracts renewed.

    Law and order is the most important and basic function of the state. If it can't or won't get that right, why trust it with anything else?

    If you read the article, it is not money which is the issue but poor leadership and a defensive culture which considers its own reputation as the most important thing. In that respect, little has changed since the 1970's - as this documentary on iPlayer makes clear: Bent Coppers - https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m000v4h6.
    Tonight on BBC1 Wales we have the Lynette White scandal. When the bent coppers were eventually busted, their chums at Butetown nick lost all the evidence against them so they walked. On I player shortly.

    My biggest shock over Dick, is how, as Operational Commander on the day when DeMenezes was blown away, she became Chief Constable rather than being escorted out of New Scotland Yard with just a cardboard box of personal items.
    The worst bit of Welsh policing is all the times they missed to investigate Ian Watkins.

    Apparently to my friend in Wales apparently no one really wants to discuss it given what he did.
    There have been many dreadful examples of police corruption in S Wales yet no police man has ever been prosecuted. No wonder I have little time and respect for them.
  • Options
    Good to see Scots LibDems standing up against vax ports madness.
  • Options
    Carnyx said:

    Don't know why anyone's getting upset about the NI "increase".

    If you round it up to the nearest 10%, it's basically a zero percent rise.

    And that's as good as a tax decrease.

    You mean, round down ...
    Round down is fine

    Round up should be banned as it contains glyphosate
  • Options
    Exclusive:

    Tory support has fallen to lowest level since 2019 election in wake of National Insurance hike, Yougov poll for Times finds

    Labour has taken a lead over Tories for first time since January this year

    Lab: 35 (+1)
    Con: 33 (-5)
    Lib Dem: 10 (+2)
  • Options
    MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 25,192

    Exclusive:

    Tory support has fallen to lowest level since 2019 election in wake of National Insurance hike, Yougov poll for Times finds

    Labour has taken a lead over Tories for first time since January this year

    Lab: 35 (+1)
    Con: 33 (-5)
    Lib Dem: 10 (+2)

    ***Outlier Alert***
  • Options

    Exclusive:

    Tory support has fallen to lowest level since 2019 election in wake of National Insurance hike, Yougov poll for Times finds

    Labour has taken a lead over Tories for first time since January this year

    Lab: 35 (+1)
    Con: 33 (-5)
    Lib Dem: 10 (+2)

    One particular poster will be very happy....
  • Options

    eek said:

    Carnyx said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    ydoethur said:

    Carnyx said:

    Don't know why anyone's getting upset about the NI "increase".

    If you round it up to the nearest 10%, it's basically a zero percent rise.

    And that's as good as a tax decrease.

    You mean, round down ...
    I think he was using mathematical roundings as practised by Mr Hyufd.
    It's hard, though. Rounding up, you go up; rounding down, you go down. Counterintuitive.
    Not to mention rounding to the nearest integer. Divisive. Or perhaps not.
    Reminds me of how 2+2 = 5.

    2.49 + 2.49 = 5 (well 4.98, but that's rounded up to 5.)

    But rounded down that's 2+2 = 5.
    You can equally use

    2.26 + 2.25 = 4.51 which rounds up to 5.

    Yes it's not that different but I just spent 2 months training an AI system to ignore the impact of weird rounding on payslips
    One of my most stressful days at work was ironically on holiday.

    Get a phone call from saying 'We've got a problem, there's x millions missing from one account.'

    So I'm working out how to get back into the country wondering if I've got my own Nick Leeson whilst getting glares from the other half.

    About 40 minutes later 'Never mind, someone added comma separators when doing the reconciliation and it threw everything out. all sorted.'

    Make sure your AI isn't befuddled by comma separators.
    I've never been befuddled by comma separators.

    Al.
    Even when Jonny Foreigner uses them instead of decimal points?
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 53,993
    Cookie said:

    isam said:



    Tories have shifted the political landscape from left v right to retirees vs workers. Retirees know the Tories are on their side. Workers dont think either party is on their side. Labour need to change that and can do, but they need to demonstrate it. Taxes on wealth and reducing taxes on income should be their key policy imo.

    I agree. But it's important to put the horse before the cart. You don't start by saying "We want a wealth tax". You start by saying "We want to reduce the tax burden on people at work." How? Then you talk about wealth taxes. The mistake we often make on the left is to talk about a wealth tax as virtuous in itself, which reinforces the idea that Labour loves to tax you.
    I agree, but think Labour can afford to be a bit braver as we enter post-Covid times. Back in the 1980s. the "greed is good" mantra was largely unchallenged.

    But now, the level of corporate, and individual, greed is so vast that I think challenging it could be popular. The grotesque differences in income between the average and the top 1-5% are stupendously large, with people (including PL footballers) earning salaries that are just ridiculous. Similarly, the greed that some of the most wealthy corporations exhibit - paying their workers a pittance while directors and shareholders are lining their pockets - should be challenged. Of course we'll get the "you'll just drive investment abroad" mantra. But if Britain really wants to be great for business, Labour should he arguing for less grotesque differentials of income and wealth. For a more equitable and happy form of capitalism, if you like.
    I think I completely agree - I find it hard to see how someone can think all that and also think FOM was a good thing though. It was a magnificent enabler of the basic principle you are criticising
    Well, we'll have to disagree on that - but pleased you agree with the general argument. From my point of view, FOM could have been managed much better, and we didn't use the constraints available to us to limit the numbers. But more importantly, my point about greed extends to FOM as well: it's greed that led employers to use FOM to undercut wages for workers from Europe, nothing else. That culture of greed and exploitation is the problem, not the workers from Eastern Europe. If those jobs had been well paid, they'd have been filled within this country regardless of FOM, and the numbers coming here would have been much smaller. All about corporate profit, not FOM.
    What? So if the wage differential had been greater, the flows would have been less? That's not how it normally works.
    His point is (I believe) that there were a lot of unemployed Brits.

    And that these Brits could have worked, but chose not to because the wages they were being offered did not make it worthwhile.

    If the wages had been higher, then the Brits would have been working, and therefore the demand for non-British labour would have been lower.

    There is a part of this analysis I agree with: the tax system in the UK (with its ridiculously high all in marginal rates for those on benefits) actively discouraged Brits from working.

    But that's a rather different point. One solves that by mending the tax and benefits system so as to prevent it acting as a deterrent to work. (Of course, the latest NI change further discourages work, but that's another story.)
  • Options

    Exclusive:

    Tory support has fallen to lowest level since 2019 election in wake of National Insurance hike, Yougov poll for Times finds

    Labour has taken a lead over Tories for first time since January this year

    Lab: 35 (+1)
    Con: 33 (-5)
    Lib Dem: 10 (+2)

    OMG. Someone has won a bet I think?
  • Options

    Exclusive:

    Tory support has fallen to lowest level since 2019 election in wake of National Insurance hike, Yougov poll for Times finds

    Labour has taken a lead over Tories for first time since January this year

    Lab: 35 (+1)
    Con: 33 (-5)
    Lib Dem: 10 (+2)

    One particular poster will be very happy....
    I don't think No 10 will be too worried but I know some people bet on it....
  • Options

    Exclusive:

    Tory support has fallen to lowest level since 2019 election in wake of National Insurance hike, Yougov poll for Times finds

    Labour has taken a lead over Tories for first time since January this year

    Lab: 35 (+1)
    Con: 33 (-5)
    Lib Dem: 10 (+2)

    Erm... "Boom"
  • Options
    We will probably now get a different poll with a Tory lead of 10, just to muddy the waters.
  • Options

    Exclusive:

    Tory support has fallen to lowest level since 2019 election in wake of National Insurance hike, Yougov poll for Times finds

    Labour has taken a lead over Tories for first time since January this year

    Lab: 35 (+1)
    Con: 33 (-5)
    Lib Dem: 10 (+2)

    ***Outlier Alert***
    If not, then I take back all my comments about Starmer not having a plan for social care being a disaster for Labour.

    Is Opinion reporting for Observer at weekend?
  • Options
    YBarddCwscYBarddCwsc Posts: 7,172

    Cyclefree said:

    kle4 said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Required reading by the excellent Jennifer Williams for those who think that it's only the Met which has problems.

    https://twitter.com/jenwilliamsmen/status/1436029384390029320?s=21

    This time it's Greater Manchester Police, which seems to be in just as big a mess.

    Note in particular the reference to the useless new IT system and to the fact that safeguarding reports logged in it are lost. That means that future Oldhams, future grooming scandals, future child abuse scandals, future ill-treatment of the vulnerable scandals are happening right now and not being properly noticed - let alone investigated - right now,

    To me this feels like a much more serious issue than what has occupied this forum endlessly for days now.

    No political upside in police failings. It causes a stink, people get angry, then they worry its wrong to get too angry at the police, someone says more money will fix everything, then it goes quiet again until next time.
    And that's why useless incompetents like Cressida Dick get their contracts renewed.

    Law and order is the most important and basic function of the state. If it can't or won't get that right, why trust it with anything else?

    If you read the article, it is not money which is the issue but poor leadership and a defensive culture which considers its own reputation as the most important thing. In that respect, little has changed since the 1970's - as this documentary on iPlayer makes clear: Bent Coppers - https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m000v4h6.
    Tonight on BBC1 Wales we have the Lynette White scandal. When the bent coppers were eventually busted, their chums at Butetown nick lost all the evidence against them so they walked. On I player shortly.

    My biggest shock over Dick, is how, as Operational Commander on the day when DeMenezes was blown away, she became Chief Constable rather than being escorted out of New Scotland Yard with just a cardboard box of personal items.
    The worst bit of Welsh policing is all the times they missed to investigate Ian Watkins.

    Apparently to my friend in Wales apparently no one really wants to discuss it given what he did.
    True enough. For a moment I mistakenly thought "Steps", huh? Then I remembered the case. Simply vile. I don't know much about the police investigation. It is very much a case of brushing the scandal under the carpet.

    The Lynette White case was about detectives framing 5 black guys when all the evidence pointed to one white guy. When the murderer was eventually caught on DNA evidence, the (allegedly corrupt) detectives were to be put on trial. The evidence was then lost, the case collapsed, and then the evidence was found.
    It is a shocking, shocking case and the bent coppers got away scot-free.

    The coppers subsequently had the gall to sue South Wales Police for civil damages --thankfully case dismissed.

    The depressing circumstances of Lynette White's squalid life as a Cardiff prostitute are incredibly upsetting.

    Jeffrey Gafoor (the actual murderer) was mixed-race rather than "one white guy"
  • Options
    LeonLeon Posts: 47,197

    Exclusive:

    Tory support has fallen to lowest level since 2019 election in wake of National Insurance hike, Yougov poll for Times finds

    Labour has taken a lead over Tories for first time since January this year

    Lab: 35 (+1)
    Con: 33 (-5)
    Lib Dem: 10 (+2)

    lol. The genius of Bojo is no more
  • Options
    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,297
    edited September 2021
    Leon said:

    Exclusive:

    Tory support has fallen to lowest level since 2019 election in wake of National Insurance hike, Yougov poll for Times finds

    Labour has taken a lead over Tories for first time since January this year

    Lab: 35 (+1)
    Con: 33 (-5)
    Lib Dem: 10 (+2)

    lol. The genius of Bojo is no more
    It is fairness or lack of it that seems to have cut through

    And it was evident on here
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,219
    edited September 2021

    Exclusive:

    Tory support has fallen to lowest level since 2019 election in wake of National Insurance hike, Yougov poll for Times finds

    Labour has taken a lead over Tories for first time since January this year

    Lab: 35 (+1)
    Con: 33 (-5)
    Lib Dem: 10 (+2)

    Erm... "Boom"
    If this holds then there will be even bigger boom when the UC gets cut this autumn which I thought would be the "boom" this season.
  • Options
    LeonLeon Posts: 47,197
    If Labour had a decent blah leader blah they’d be 36 points ahead
  • Options

    Exclusive:

    Tory support has fallen to lowest level since 2019 election in wake of National Insurance hike, Yougov poll for Times finds

    Labour has taken a lead over Tories for first time since January this year

    Lab: 35 (+1)
    Con: 33 (-5)
    Lib Dem: 10 (+2)

    Erm... "Boom"
    If this holds then there will be even bigger boom when the UC gets cut this autumn which I thought would be the "boom" this season.
    £20 UC cut is wrong on so many levels
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    edited September 2021
    THE TIMES: Huge rise in protection from Covid booster jabs

    https://twitter.com/hendopolis/status/1436078622520000513?s=20

    The front pages this evening feel like a proxy war over boosters. Comments about vax the world we don't need to boosters vs leak of data claiming massive rise in protection.
  • Options
    MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 25,192

    Cyclefree said:

    kle4 said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Required reading by the excellent Jennifer Williams for those who think that it's only the Met which has problems.

    https://twitter.com/jenwilliamsmen/status/1436029384390029320?s=21

    This time it's Greater Manchester Police, which seems to be in just as big a mess.

    Note in particular the reference to the useless new IT system and to the fact that safeguarding reports logged in it are lost. That means that future Oldhams, future grooming scandals, future child abuse scandals, future ill-treatment of the vulnerable scandals are happening right now and not being properly noticed - let alone investigated - right now,

    To me this feels like a much more serious issue than what has occupied this forum endlessly for days now.

    No political upside in police failings. It causes a stink, people get angry, then they worry its wrong to get too angry at the police, someone says more money will fix everything, then it goes quiet again until next time.
    And that's why useless incompetents like Cressida Dick get their contracts renewed.

    Law and order is the most important and basic function of the state. If it can't or won't get that right, why trust it with anything else?

    If you read the article, it is not money which is the issue but poor leadership and a defensive culture which considers its own reputation as the most important thing. In that respect, little has changed since the 1970's - as this documentary on iPlayer makes clear: Bent Coppers - https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m000v4h6.
    Tonight on BBC1 Wales we have the Lynette White scandal. When the bent coppers were eventually busted, their chums at Butetown nick lost all the evidence against them so they walked. On I player shortly.

    My biggest shock over Dick, is how, as Operational Commander on the day when DeMenezes was blown away, she became Chief Constable rather than being escorted out of New Scotland Yard with just a cardboard box of personal items.
    The worst bit of Welsh policing is all the times they missed to investigate Ian Watkins.

    Apparently to my friend in Wales apparently no one really wants to discuss it given what he did.
    True enough. For a moment I mistakenly thought "Steps", huh? Then I remembered the case. Simply vile. I don't know much about the police investigation. It is very much a case of brushing the scandal under the carpet.

    The Lynette White case was about detectives framing 5 black guys when all the evidence pointed to one white guy. When the murderer was eventually caught on DNA evidence, the (allegedly corrupt) detectives were to be put on trial. The evidence was then lost, the case collapsed, and then the evidence was found.
    It is a shocking, shocking case and the bent coppers got away scot-free.

    The coppers subsequently had the gall to sue South Wales Police for civil damages --thankfully case dismissed.

    The depressing circumstances of Lynette White's squalid life as a Cardiff prostitute are incredibly upsetting.

    Jeffrey Gafoor (the actual murderer) was mixed-race rather than "one white guy"
    Whereas your final paragraph is factually correct, so thus my statement is factually false. You are nonetheless splitting hairs. My minor descriptive error takes nothing from the police corruption scandal.
  • Options
    rcs1000 said:

    I am not sure we are going to see either of the main party espousing low taxation for many years to come....the reality is, huge bills have been rung up, aging population is incredibly expensive, and the first mention of cutting back the state, gets you Back to Wigan Pier stuff day in day out.

    You have to be a very unique kind of politician to stand up and say no I am ideologically opposed to a big state. Its always easier just to at very least just keep it as is.

    I think we're going through a 60s/70s type scenario right now, where everybody is a tax-and-spender, and everybody loves big government.

    The only real difference between the Conservative and Labour parties right now seems to be that the Conservatives are seeking to somewhat shield their voters (who trend older) from the taxes required to pay for this.

    My guess is that politicians will blanche at the scale of the required tax increases (or spending cuts) and will therefore choose to borrow and to print money. After all, it hasn't caused problems so far.

    However... I think this will all end in tears. Under whose watch, I do not know.
    With the Tories having stolen Labour's clothes there's an opportunity here for Labour to do the same. They have a golden opportunity now to speak about how high the Tories have jacked up taxes on workers.

    As I said on my prior thread header the effective real tax rate for a lowly paid graduate now is 49.8% and its even higher for many other classes of people too.

    Its not only regressive but its economically harmful and counterproductive. You tax that which you wish to discourage, by taxing work so heavily you discourage people from working and encourage them to engage in ways to get their income off the books.

    So perhaps Labour have a golden chance here - instead of talking about tax rises, how about talking about tax cuts for working people instead. Since the Tories have abandoned the low-tax clothes, maybe Labour could steal them in turn. Cut the taxes of working people to match those of people who aren't working.

    I can suggest a way for Labour to pay for it if they do this too . . . the Laffer Curve. Cutting taxes on working, will encourage more working to go ahead, to be registered on the books properly and will get the economy growing and ultimately more taxes for HMRC. Win, win.
  • Options
    RazedabodeRazedabode Posts: 2,977
    Not surprising re. YouGov. A huge Tory mistake, which sets the tone for post pandemic election,,
  • Options

    Exclusive:

    Tory support has fallen to lowest level since 2019 election in wake of National Insurance hike, Yougov poll for Times finds

    Labour has taken a lead over Tories for first time since January this year

    Lab: 35 (+1)
    Con: 33 (-5)
    Lib Dem: 10 (+2)

    OMG. Someone has won a bet I think?
    Not surprised at all. I said immediately that bet would be won thanks to this tax.

    Well done CHB.
  • Options
    QuincelQuincel Posts: 3,949

    Exclusive:

    Tory support has fallen to lowest level since 2019 election in wake of National Insurance hike, Yougov poll for Times finds

    Labour has taken a lead over Tories for first time since January this year

    Lab: 35 (+1)
    Con: 33 (-5)
    Lib Dem: 10 (+2)

    Geronimo getting the last laugh...
  • Options

    Not surprising re. YouGov. A huge Tory mistake, which sets the tone for post pandemic election,,

    Shades of Theresa May's dementia tax
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,005
    edited September 2021

    Exclusive:

    Tory support has fallen to lowest level since 2019 election in wake of National Insurance hike, Yougov poll for Times finds

    Labour has taken a lead over Tories for first time since January this year

    Lab: 35 (+1)
    Con: 33 (-5)
    Lib Dem: 10 (+2)

    One poll and clearly no real movement to Labour either who are only up 1%.

    2% behind for a governing party that has been in power for 11 years is par for the course. Better to get the difficult financial decisions out of the way now midterm to give the NHS and social care the top up it needs and balance the books and then can go for tax cuts again before the next general election
  • Options
    Leon said:

    Exclusive:

    Tory support has fallen to lowest level since 2019 election in wake of National Insurance hike, Yougov poll for Times finds

    Labour has taken a lead over Tories for first time since January this year

    Lab: 35 (+1)
    Con: 33 (-5)
    Lib Dem: 10 (+2)

    lol. The genius of Bojo is no more
    Not just that- it's fed through incredibly quickly- isn't the rule of thumb about a week? And he can't reverse course, because the government needs the money. Even if they chuck the immediate Covid recovery on the credit card (which they probably should have, and would have had they not had a work experience sixth former as Chancellor), they will need the money before the next GE.

    Still, we'll be fine as long as we have a PM who is calm, sanguine, unconcerned about short-term unpopularity...

    ... Bugger. He's going to panic and declare war on France, isn't he?
  • Options
    RazedabodeRazedabode Posts: 2,977

    Not surprising re. YouGov. A huge Tory mistake, which sets the tone for post pandemic election,,

    Shades of Theresa May's dementia tax
    Yup - worse in a way, as quite clear Boris doesn’t give a shit
  • Options

    Leon said:

    Exclusive:

    Tory support has fallen to lowest level since 2019 election in wake of National Insurance hike, Yougov poll for Times finds

    Labour has taken a lead over Tories for first time since January this year

    Lab: 35 (+1)
    Con: 33 (-5)
    Lib Dem: 10 (+2)

    lol. The genius of Bojo is no more
    Not just that- it's fed through incredibly quickly- isn't the rule of thumb about a week? And he can't reverse course, because the government needs the money. Even if they chuck the immediate Covid recovery on the credit card (which they probably should have, and would have had they not had a work experience sixth former as Chancellor), they will need the money before the next GE.

    Still, we'll be fine as long as we have a PM who is calm, sanguine, unconcerned about short-term unpopularity...

    ... Bugger. He's going to panic and declare war on France, isn't he?
    Seems to have fed through too quickly to me.
  • Options
    LeonLeon Posts: 47,197
    edited September 2021

    Leon said:

    Exclusive:

    Tory support has fallen to lowest level since 2019 election in wake of National Insurance hike, Yougov poll for Times finds

    Labour has taken a lead over Tories for first time since January this year

    Lab: 35 (+1)
    Con: 33 (-5)
    Lib Dem: 10 (+2)

    lol. The genius of Bojo is no more
    It is fairness or lack of it that seems to have cut through

    And it was evident on here
    The tax hike is theoretically justifiable, but the execution was awful. A bit like Biden quitting Vietnam

    The worst of it is the creation of a whole new tax, sacred in its virtuousness, which will therefore only grow.

    If these polls persist Boris is in trouble
  • Options
    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,297
    edited September 2021
    HYUFD said:

    Exclusive:

    Tory support has fallen to lowest level since 2019 election in wake of National Insurance hike, Yougov poll for Times finds

    Labour has taken a lead over Tories for first time since January this year

    Lab: 35 (+1)
    Con: 33 (-5)
    Lib Dem: 10 (+2)

    One poll and clearly no real movement to Labour either who are only up 1%.
    I would not be complacent

    This forum has given a good flavour of the anger and the feeling of unfairness

    This may be Boris's dementia tax moment
  • Options
    IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Leon said:

    Exclusive:

    Tory support has fallen to lowest level since 2019 election in wake of National Insurance hike, Yougov poll for Times finds

    Labour has taken a lead over Tories for first time since January this year

    Lab: 35 (+1)
    Con: 33 (-5)
    Lib Dem: 10 (+2)

    lol. The genius of Bojo is no more
    Wholly phuck.

    If a PBer had called Hartlepool as Peak Boris, surely we should worship him as a god. Is there anything above god?
  • Options

    NEW THREAD

  • Options
    I’m old enough to remember when the Tory decision to tax the low paid to subsidise the rich was regarded as a disaster for Labour and proof that Boris Johnson is an untouchable political genius.

    The YG is almost certainly an outlier, but just about all the post-announcement polling has not exactly screamed Tory strategic triumph. And this is before the UC cut and the energy price rises - not to mention the NI deductions actually being seen in pay packets.

    War with France on the way, presumably.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    edited September 2021
    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Exclusive:

    Tory support has fallen to lowest level since 2019 election in wake of National Insurance hike, Yougov poll for Times finds

    Labour has taken a lead over Tories for first time since January this year

    Lab: 35 (+1)
    Con: 33 (-5)
    Lib Dem: 10 (+2)

    lol. The genius of Bojo is no more
    It is fairness or lack of it that seems to have cut through

    And it was evident on here
    The tax hike is theoretically justifiable, but the execution was awful. A bit like Biden quitting Vietnam

    The worst of it is the creation of a whole new tax, sacred in its virtuousness, which will therefore not only grow.

    If these polls persist Boris is in trouble
    A big problem for the Tories, all of previous decisions could be laid squarely on Boris. They always had the escape plan of ditching him and going with somebody like Dishy Rishi.

    Problem now is Rishi is the architect of not only an unpopular rise, but even worse its a whole tax, where we all know its only ever going to go up and up and up. He is the one that has decided the best course of action was to open this one way door.
  • Options

    Exclusive:

    Tory support has fallen to lowest level since 2019 election in wake of National Insurance hike, Yougov poll for Times finds

    Labour has taken a lead over Tories for first time since January this year

    Lab: 35 (+1)
    Con: 33 (-5)
    Lib Dem: 10 (+2)

    OMG. Someone has won a bet I think?
    Not surprised at all. I said immediately that bet would be won thanks to this tax.

    Well done CHB.
    Indeed. But seems far too fast to be a genuine poll response to the NI and care situation. Most people will have heard nothing about it until the 10pm news last night.
  • Options
    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,205

    Cyclefree said:

    kle4 said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Required reading by the excellent Jennifer Williams for those who think that it's only the Met which has problems.

    https://twitter.com/jenwilliamsmen/status/1436029384390029320?s=21

    This time it's Greater Manchester Police, which seems to be in just as big a mess.

    Note in particular the reference to the useless new IT system and to the fact that safeguarding reports logged in it are lost. That means that future Oldhams, future grooming scandals, future child abuse scandals, future ill-treatment of the vulnerable scandals are happening right now and not being properly noticed - let alone investigated - right now,

    To me this feels like a much more serious issue than what has occupied this forum endlessly for days now.

    No political upside in police failings. It causes a stink, people get angry, then they worry its wrong to get too angry at the police, someone says more money will fix everything, then it goes quiet again until next time.
    And that's why useless incompetents like Cressida Dick get their contracts renewed.

    Law and order is the most important and basic function of the state. If it can't or won't get that right, why trust it with anything else?

    If you read the article, it is not money which is the issue but poor leadership and a defensive culture which considers its own reputation as the most important thing. In that respect, little has changed since the 1970's - as this documentary on iPlayer makes clear: Bent Coppers - https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m000v4h6.
    Tonight on BBC1 Wales we have the Lynette White scandal. When the bent coppers were eventually busted, their chums at Butetown nick lost all the evidence against them so they walked. On I player shortly.

    My biggest shock over Dick, is how, as Operational Commander on the day when DeMenezes was blown away, she became Chief Constable rather than being escorted out of New Scotland Yard with just a cardboard box of personal items.
    On my list to watch.

    Cyclefree said:

    kle4 said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Required reading by the excellent Jennifer Williams for those who think that it's only the Met which has problems.

    https://twitter.com/jenwilliamsmen/status/1436029384390029320?s=21

    This time it's Greater Manchester Police, which seems to be in just as big a mess.

    Note in particular the reference to the useless new IT system and to the fact that safeguarding reports logged in it are lost. That means that future Oldhams, future grooming scandals, future child abuse scandals, future ill-treatment of the vulnerable scandals are happening right now and not being properly noticed - let alone investigated - right now,

    To me this feels like a much more serious issue than what has occupied this forum endlessly for days now.

    No political upside in police failings. It causes a stink, people get angry, then they worry its wrong to get too angry at the police, someone says more money will fix everything, then it goes quiet again until next time.
    And that's why useless incompetents like Cressida Dick get their contracts renewed.

    Law and order is the most important and basic function of the state. If it can't or won't get that right, why trust it with anything else?

    If you read the article, it is not money which is the issue but poor leadership and a defensive culture which considers its own reputation as the most important thing. In that respect, little has changed since the 1970's - as this documentary on iPlayer makes clear: Bent Coppers - https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m000v4h6.
    Tonight on BBC1 Wales we have the Lynette White scandal. When the bent coppers were eventually busted, their chums at Butetown nick lost all the evidence against them so they walked. On I player shortly.

    My biggest shock over Dick, is how, as Operational Commander on the day when DeMenezes was blown away, she became Chief Constable rather than being escorted out of New Scotland Yard with just a cardboard box of personal items.
    At the risk of being called sexist, is part of it because she is female? Would a man have got the same favour?
    She should have been fired for multiple acts of incompetence, nothing to do with gender
    Yes but my point is why wasn’t she?
    The clue may be in the vague "security at the Foreign Office" job she had after leaving the Met and before being appointed. Smacks of being given a sinecure with a promise of something more in return for keeping her mouth shut about certain events and people.

    Look around you at other police forces or potential replacements in the Met. They are mostly as useless as she is.
  • Options
    nico679nico679 Posts: 4,819
    How exactly will this latest border policy work .

    Do the coast guards accompany the boat and radio the French to warn them incase the boat gets into trouble .

    If not how do the coast guards ensure the boat is safe and has sufficient fuel to get back to France or does the hateful Patel not really care if the boat sinks and people die .

  • Options
    MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 25,192

    Exclusive:

    Tory support has fallen to lowest level since 2019 election in wake of National Insurance hike, Yougov poll for Times finds

    Labour has taken a lead over Tories for first time since January this year

    Lab: 35 (+1)
    Con: 33 (-5)
    Lib Dem: 10 (+2)

    OMG. Someone has won a bet I think?
    Not surprised at all. I said immediately that bet would be won thanks to this tax.

    Well done CHB.
    A PB Legend!
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    RazedabodeRazedabode Posts: 2,977

    HYUFD said:

    Exclusive:

    Tory support has fallen to lowest level since 2019 election in wake of National Insurance hike, Yougov poll for Times finds

    Labour has taken a lead over Tories for first time since January this year

    Lab: 35 (+1)
    Con: 33 (-5)
    Lib Dem: 10 (+2)

    One poll and clearly no real movement to Labour either who are only up 1%.
    I would not be complacent

    This forum has given a good flavour of the anger and the feeling of unfairness

    This may be Boris's dementia tax moment
    The thing is - the public aren’t stupid. Yes, we all know we need to properly fund services. But not at the cost of a) funnelling more money into venture capitalist care firms or b) chucking money at a problem because an institution refuses to reform/adjust/ change.

    Like the whole PCR testing crap, I am stick to death of funding the Tories best mates, and I say that as a historic conservative voter. No more.
  • Options
    MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 25,192
    HYUFD said:

    Exclusive:

    Tory support has fallen to lowest level since 2019 election in wake of National Insurance hike, Yougov poll for Times finds

    Labour has taken a lead over Tories for first time since January this year

    Lab: 35 (+1)
    Con: 33 (-5)
    Lib Dem: 10 (+2)

    One poll and clearly no real movement to Labour either who are only up 1%.

    2% behind for a governing party that has been in power for 11 years is par for the course. Better to get the difficult financial decisions out of the way now midterm to give the NHS and social care the top up it needs and balance the books and then can go for tax cuts again before the next general election
    Have some humility tonight.

    When you are 20 points ahead on Saturday evening again, you can crow again.
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,750
    Leon said:

    Exclusive:

    Tory support has fallen to lowest level since 2019 election in wake of National Insurance hike, Yougov poll for Times finds

    Labour has taken a lead over Tories for first time since January this year

    Lab: 35 (+1)
    Con: 33 (-5)
    Lib Dem: 10 (+2)

    lol. The genius of Bojo is no more
    Eh, there have been dips before and then they rebound, though dipping to this level is because they did already seem to be down a few points on average. It'll be interesting to see if the tax rise plan is one of those things that marks a transition point though - it's pretty random what does.
  • Options
    MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 25,192
    IshmaelZ said:

    Leon said:

    Exclusive:

    Tory support has fallen to lowest level since 2019 election in wake of National Insurance hike, Yougov poll for Times finds

    Labour has taken a lead over Tories for first time since January this year

    Lab: 35 (+1)
    Con: 33 (-5)
    Lib Dem: 10 (+2)

    lol. The genius of Bojo is no more
    Wholly phuck.

    If a PBer had called Hartlepool as Peak Boris, surely we should worship him as a god. Is there anything above god?
    Boris Johnson?
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